Core Insights - The report highlights a steady recovery in AIDC demand in China, driven by significant capital expenditures from major companies like Alibaba, which reported a 34% year-on-year revenue growth in its cloud segment and an 80.1% increase in capital expenditures [35][38]. - The potential approval of the H200 chip for export to China is expected to further stimulate domestic AI model development and increase demand for domestic AIDC solutions [42][43]. Macroeconomic Overview - The macroeconomic analysis indicates a continued trend of moderate export recovery, with November exports increasing by 5.9% year-on-year, a significant rebound from the previous decline of 1.1% [6][7]. - The report notes that while there is a recovery in export figures, the overall trend remains cautious due to high base effects and potential global trade slowdowns [9][10]. Industry Analysis - The telecommunications sector is experiencing a positive shift, with AIDC demand expected to accelerate as companies ramp up investments in AI and cloud infrastructure [35][39]. - The report suggests that the approval of the H200 chip could lead to a resurgence in demand for AI servers and related infrastructure, benefiting various segments within the AIDC ecosystem [42][43]. Investment Recommendations - Recommended stocks in the AIDC space include companies like Huazhong Technology, Aofei Data, and Guanghuan New Network, which are positioned to benefit from the anticipated growth in AIDC demand [40][44]. - The report also identifies potential beneficiaries in the cooling and power supply sectors related to AIDC, suggesting a broad investment opportunity across the supply chain [40][44]. Institutional Research Trends - Recent institutional research has shown increased interest in sectors such as home appliances, building materials, and computing, indicating a shift in market focus [24][25]. - The report emphasizes the importance of institutional research as a critical component of investment decision-making, providing timely and multidimensional insights into industry dynamics [24].

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Overweight" (maintained) [1] Core Insights - The report highlights strong growth in AIDC demand driven by significant capital expenditures from Alibaba, which reported a 34% year-on-year revenue increase in Q2 FY2026 and an 80.10% increase in total capital expenditures [3] - Century Internet's IDC business shows robust growth with a 21.7% year-on-year revenue increase in Q3 2025, indicating a positive trend in AIDC demand [4] - The potential approval of the H200 chip is expected to boost domestic AIDC demand, enhancing the AI ecosystem in China [5] Summary by Sections AIDC Demand and Growth - Alibaba's capital expenditures reached 31.5 billion yuan in Q2 FY2026, up 80.10% year-on-year, with a focus on AI cloud computing infrastructure [3] - Century Internet's operational capacity increased to 783 MW, with a quarterly growth of 109 MW, reflecting a strong demand for IDC services [4] Chip Supply and Market Impact - The U.S. government's potential approval for the H200 chip could significantly enhance domestic AIDC demand and support the growth of the AI ecosystem in China [5] Investment Recommendations - Recommended stocks in AIDC data centers include Guanghuan New Network, Aofei Data, and others, while beneficiaries include WanGuo Data and Century Internet [6] - For AIDC cooling solutions, recommended stocks include Yingweike, with beneficiaries like Yinlun Co. and others [6] - In AIDC power supply, beneficiary stocks include Kehua Data and others [6]

业 研 究 《"AI+卫星"的共振—行业周报》 -2025.12.7 《字节发布豆包手机助手，重视端侧 AI 投 资 机 遇 — 行 业 点 评 报 告 》 -2025.12.1 《谷歌和阿里火出圈，全球 AI 持续共 振—行业周报》-2025.11.30 蒋颖（分析师） 雷星宇（联系人） jiangying@kysec.cn ——行业点评报告 投资评级：看好（维持） 行业走势图 数据来源：聚源 -24% 0% 24% 48% 72% 96% 2024-12 2025-04 2025-08 通信 沪深300 相关研究报告 2025 年 12 月 09 日 "H200 芯片或放开"下的投资机会梳理 leixingyu@kysec.cn 证书编号：S0790124040002 英伟达 H200 芯片有望获对华出口许可，国内 AI 模型发展或将加速 2025 年 12 月 9 日，据央视网、中国基金报消息，美国总统特朗普在"真实社交" 媒体平台发文称，在确保美国国家安全的前提下，将"允许英伟达向中国及其他 国家的合格客户交付其 H200 芯片产品"，Blackwell 芯片以及即将发布的 Rubin 芯片则不在获批 ...

Group 1 - The report indicates a rebound in institutional research focus on home appliances, building materials, and computers, with an increase in the number of research sessions compared to the previous week [2][12][19] - In the weekly perspective, the total number of research sessions for the entire A-share market decreased to 482, lower than 542 in the same period of 2024, indicating a continued decline in research heat [12][20] - Monthly data shows that in November, the total number of research sessions for the entire A-share market reached 2969, which is lower than 3286 in the same period of 2024, but reflects a rebound compared to previous months [20][21] Group 2 - From an individual stock perspective, companies such as Dazhu Laser, Jereh, and Fule New Materials received significant market attention, with Dazhu Laser being researched 4 times in the last week [25][28] - Over the past month, companies like Oke Yi, Huichuan Technology, and Ice Wheel Environment have also garnered considerable attention, with Oke Yi being researched 28 times [29][30] - Zhongyou Technology, focusing on intelligent logistics systems, has seen a remarkable performance with a revenue growth of 36.69% and a net profit growth of 1074.35% in the first three quarters of 2025, leading to increased institutional interest [27]

Group 1: Federal Reserve Structure and Function - The Federal Reserve System consists of three key entities: the Board of Governors, 12 regional Federal Reserve Banks, and the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), which is responsible for monetary policy formulation[2] - The FOMC has 12 voting members, including 7 governors from the Board, the New York Fed President, and 4 rotating regional Fed Presidents, meeting 8 times a year to vote on monetary policy changes[2] Group 2: Trump's Influence on the Federal Reserve - With Powell's retirement, Trump is expected to nominate two new governors in 2026, potentially increasing his influence to 4 out of 7 governors, exceeding 50% of the Board[3] - The selection of a new Fed Chair will require a balance of loyalty to Trump and market trust, complicating the nomination process[3] Group 3: Challenges for the New Fed Chair - The new Fed Chair will face challenges in balancing political pressure from Trump with the Fed's independence, especially in a high inflation and weakening labor market context[4] - The new Chair's influence in 2026 may be limited as they will need time to establish authority and navigate existing policies[4] Group 4: Impact on Asset Prices - The impact of the Fed Chair transition on asset prices will vary by scenario, with short-term effects on long-term Treasury yields likely minimal, depending more on economic conditions[5] - Long-term effects on the dollar and stock market will depend on the new Chair's control over the Fed and potential policy reforms[5]

宏观经济点评 提质增效，科技突围——12 月政治局会议学习 ——宏观经济点评 | | | shenmeichen@kysec.cn hening@kysec.cn 证书编号：S0790522110002 证书编号：S0790524110002 事件：中共中央政治局 12 月 8 日召开会议，分析研究 2026 年经济工作。 1.形势判断：会议对"十四五"成就满意，综合国力有所提升。短期看，会议指出"（2025 年）经济社会发展主要目标将顺利实现"，指向全年大概率完成 5%的经济发展目标。 中期看，会议对"十四五"成果满意，指出"我国经济、科技、国防等硬实力和文化、 制度、外交等软实力明显提升，'十四五'即将圆满收官，第二个百年奋斗目标新征 程实现良好开局"。 相关研究报告 《推动基础设施 REITs 扩围—宏观周 报》-2025.12.7 《通向供需新均衡—2026 年宏观展 望》-2025.12.2 《工业生产与需求边际走弱—宏观经 济专题》-2025.12.1 2.经济目标：经济工作稳中求进、提质增效，预计 2026 年经济目标可能略低于 5%， 对总量增长有一定容忍度，重点是结构调整和科技突破。会议指出 ...

2025 年 12 月 09 日 开源晨会 1209 ——晨会纪要 沪深300 及创业板指数近1年走势 数据来源：聚源 -40% -20% 0% 20% 40% 60% 2024-12 2025-04 2025-08 沪深300 创业板指 昨日涨跌幅前五行业 | 行业名称 | 涨跌幅(%) | | --- | --- | | 通信 | 4.794 | | 综合 | 3.031 | | 电子 | 2.600 | | 非银金融 | 1.904 | | 计算机 | 1.492 | 数据来源：聚源 昨日涨跌幅后五行业 | 行业名称 | 涨跌幅(%) | | --- | --- | | 煤炭 | -1.433 | | 石油石化 | -0.839 | | 食品饮料 | -0.775 | | 公用事业 | -0.421 | | 钢铁 | -0.271 | 数据来源：聚源 吴梦迪（分析师） wumengdi@kysec.cn 证书编号：S0790521070001 观点精粹 总量视角 【宏观经济】推动基础设施 REITs 扩围——宏观周报-20251207 行业公司 【中小盘】商业航天催化不断，可复用火箭迎来大发展——中小盘 ...

Group 1 - The report indicates that the upcoming spring rally is likely to occur earlier than usual due to significant adjustments in November and a late Spring Festival, suggesting a favorable environment for early positioning in December [1][25][39] - Historical data shows that growth-type spring rallies account for nearly 60% of past spring market trends, driven primarily by liquidity easing and technology policy expectations [2][55] - The cyclical spring rally, while less frequent, still holds strong predictive value, with approximately 40% of past rallies characterized by inventory replenishment and inflation expectations [2][60] Group 2 - The report emphasizes that both technology and cyclical sectors can thrive simultaneously, suggesting a dual-driven approach to investment strategies [4][48] - Key sectors for investment include technology (military, media, AI applications) and cyclical industries (solar, chemicals, steel), which are expected to benefit from improving PPI and anti-involution policies [4][60] - The report highlights that the spring rally is not confined to the spring season, as it can be influenced by macroeconomic expectations, liquidity improvements, and institutional behavior [25][34] Group 3 - The report outlines that the spring rally typically features a strong focus on high beta stocks, with significant sector rotation reflecting the market's anticipation of economic trends and policy directions [49][55] - It notes that the performance of growth stocks is particularly sensitive to liquidity conditions and technology policy, making them prime candidates for investment during the spring rally [56][59] - The cyclical rally is characterized by a recovery in resource prices and manufacturing sectors, driven by inventory replenishment and improving economic conditions [60]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Outperform" (Maintain) [3] Core Insights - The company is set to officially launch the Phase IIc clinical trial for its self-developed recombinant human thymosin β4 (NL005) for the treatment of acute myocardial infarction (AMI) following successful communication with the CDE [4][5] - The company anticipates revenue growth from 0.89 billion yuan in 2025 to 6.11 billion yuan in 2027, with net profits projected to shift from a loss of 440 million yuan in 2025 to a profit of 730 million yuan in 2027 [4][7] - The company has established a significant partnership with a well-known domestic ophthalmology company to promote the localization of its balanced salt solution, enhancing its market presence in the ophthalmic medical sector [5] Financial Summary - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 0.89 billion yuan, 2.71 billion yuan, and 6.11 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding net profits of -440 million yuan, -20 million yuan, and 730 million yuan [4][7] - The company’s gross margin is expected to improve from 55.8% in 2025 to 71.5% in 2027, while the net margin is projected to turn positive by 2027 [7][10] - The price-to-sales (P/S) ratio is forecasted to decrease from 78.8 in 2025 to 11.5 in 2027, indicating a potential increase in valuation as revenues grow [4][7]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is optimistic (maintained) [1] Core Insights - The report indicates that the ΔEVE (Economic Value of Equity) indicator for major banks has decreased compared to 2024, with some banks potentially exceeding the regulatory requirement of -15% [4][15] - The report highlights that for every 20 trillion yuan of local government bonds undertaken by banks, the ΔEVE/ Tier 1 capital ratio deteriorates by 0.65% to 1.73% [24][25] - The current regulatory buffer allows major banks to undertake approximately 666.8 billion yuan of 30-year local government bonds [33][34] - The report suggests a potential relaxation of regulatory requirements for interest rate risk indicators, which could facilitate banks' ability to manage long-term local government bonds [7] Summary by Sections ΔEVE Indicator Assessment - As of H1 2025, the ΔEVE/ Tier 1 capital ratio for major banks is as follows: ICBC at -16.66%, CCB at -17.26%, ABC at -14.89%, BOC at -12.28%, PSBC at -9.02%, and BC at -12.46% [15][16] - The report notes a decline in the ΔEVE indicator for these banks compared to 2024, with specific changes of -1.95pct for ICBC and -2.52pct for CCB [4][15] Local Government Bond Undertaking - The report estimates that major banks added 3.25 trillion yuan in local government bonds in H1 2025, with state-owned banks accounting for 1.86 trillion yuan, representing 57.2% of the total [5][32] - The duration of local government bonds is assumed to be distributed across various terms, with 30% of bonds being 10 years and 23% being 30 years [25][29] Debt Capacity Assessment - The current regulatory buffer allows major banks to support the undertaking of 30-year local government bonds up to 666.8 billion yuan, with potential increases if regulatory requirements are relaxed [33][34] - For every 1% relaxation in the ΔEVE/ Tier 1 capital ratio, banks could undertake an additional 593.4 billion yuan of 30-year local government bonds [34][35] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends a bottom-line allocation to large state-owned banks, with specific beneficiaries being ABC and ICBC [39] - Core allocations should focus on leading comprehensive banks, with recommended stocks including CMB and CCB [39] - For flexible allocations, regional banks with unique characteristics, such as JSB and CQB, are highlighted as potential beneficiaries [39][40]