Group 1 - The Hong Kong stock market experienced a decline, with the Hang Seng Index falling by 1.52% to 23916.06 points, losing the 24000-point mark [4][16] - Among the sectors, healthcare, materials, and industrial sectors showed the highest gains, increasing by 5.49%, 3.24%, and 2.72% respectively, while information technology, consumer discretionary, and financial sectors faced declines of 1.82%, 1.36%, and 0.28% [7][27] - The average daily trading volume on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange was HKD 2455.12 billion, a decrease of HKD 33.71 billion from the previous week [16][27] Group 2 - As of July 4, the price-to-earnings (PE) and price-to-book (PB) ratios for the Hang Seng Index were 10.65 times and 1.12 times, respectively, both down by 1.28% from the previous week, placing them at the 73% and 75% percentile levels since 2019 [18][21] - The risk premium for the Hang Seng Index was calculated at 5.04%, which is -1.84 standard deviations from the 3-year rolling mean, indicating a low-risk appetite in the market [21][24] - The report suggests that the technology sector remains a high investment opportunity due to strong policy support and growth potential, while the consumer sector is expected to improve performance driven by domestic consumption policies [40][41]

Domestic Macro - Demand Side - As of July 4, 2023, the passenger car sales in June reached 2.032 million units, a year-on-year increase of 15.8%[2] - The average number of domestic flights executed this week was 14,200, a month-on-month increase of 11.46%[2] - The Baltic Dry Index (BDI) averaged 1,442.75, a month-on-month decrease of 13.9% and a year-on-year decrease of 24.6%[2] Domestic Macro - Production Side - As of July 4, 2023, the operating rate of blast furnaces was recorded at 83.44%, a slight decrease of 0.4 percentage points[3] - The operating rate for PTA production was 79.13%, maintaining a high level[3] - The operating rate for automotive semi-steel tires was 70.41%, a month-on-month decrease of 7.64 percentage points[3] Price Performance - As of July 4, 2023, the average wholesale price of pork increased by 0.75% week-on-week, while the futures settlement price rose by 2.43%[2] - Brent crude oil prices fell by 0.25%, while WTI crude oil prices increased by 0.90%[3] - The prices of rebar and iron ore increased by 1.36% and 0.99% respectively this week[3] Fiscal Policy - This week, the issuance of ordinary government bonds reached 199.9 billion, with an issuance progress of 55.5%[3] - New special bonds (excluding debt replacement) amounted to 45.8 billion, with an issuance progress of 48.7%[3] Overseas Macro and Market - The "Big and Beautiful" Act is expected to increase the deficit by $3.4 trillion over ten years, potentially pushing the U.S. deficit rate to 7%[4] - The U.S. non-farm payrolls in June added 147,000 jobs, exceeding expectations, primarily due to a significant increase in state and local government education jobs[4] - The ISM manufacturing PMI for June was reported at 49.0, slightly better than the expected 48.8, indicating a contraction in manufacturing[4]

Group 1 - The Hong Kong stock market experienced a decline, with the Hang Seng Index falling by 1.52% to 23916.06 points, losing the 24000-point mark [4][16] - Among the sectors, healthcare, materials, and industrial sectors saw the highest gains, with increases of 5.49%, 3.24%, and 2.72% respectively, while information technology, consumer discretionary, and financial sectors faced declines [7][27] - The average daily trading volume on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange was HKD 2455.12 billion, a decrease of HKD 33.71 billion from the previous week [16][27] Group 2 - As of July 4, the PE and PB ratios for the Hang Seng Index were 10.65 times and 1.12 times, respectively, both down by 1.28% from the previous week, placing them at the 73% and 75% percentile levels since 2019 [18][24] - The risk premium for the Hang Seng Index was calculated at 5.04%, which is -1.84 standard deviations from the 3-year rolling mean, indicating a low-risk appetite in the market [21][24] - The report suggests that the technology sector remains a high investment opportunity due to strong policy support and growth potential, while the consumer sector is expected to improve performance driven by domestic consumption policies [40][41] Group 3 - The report highlights that the A-share market performed better than the Hong Kong market, with the AH share premium index rising to 130.88, at the 46% percentile level since 2014 [27][40] - The healthcare sector is expected to benefit from new policies supporting innovative drug development, which may enhance the performance of related stocks [11][40] - The report emphasizes the importance of high-dividend stocks in providing stable returns amid global uncertainties, particularly in the energy and financial sectors [40][41]

_ 136 _ 10 ___ 24Q4 行业月报 ·公用事业行业 2 行业月报 · 公用事业行业 可证券|CGS 一、行业要闻 1. 河南电力现货市场完成短周期结算试运行 6月 27日,河南电力现货市场完成短周期结算试运行,共计 112台煤电机组、390 座新能源场 站、127 家售电公司、12 座独立储能电站参与交易。这标志着河南电力市场化改革迈出关键一步。 中国银河证券|CGS 目录 Catalog | 一、 行业要闻 | | --- | | 二、 行业数据 … | | (一) 碳交易市场情况 | | (二） 电力行业相关数据………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………… 7 | | 三、 太阳能单月装机创新高，火电发电量由降转增 | | 四、 开展新型电力系统建设试点，助力新能源消纳……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………11 | | 五、 环保 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the computer industry [1] Core Insights - The stablecoin industry ecosystem is accelerating its construction, with significant opportunities for domestic alternatives. The recent passage of the "Stablecoin Regulation" in Hong Kong is expected to boost the adoption of stablecoins, with major e-commerce platforms like Shopify and retail giants like Amazon and Walmart exploring stablecoin issuance [2][3] - The AI sector is experiencing structural investment opportunities, particularly in domestic alternatives, financial IT, and cross-border payments. The AI sector index saw a 7.6% increase in June, outperforming major indices [2][6] - Huawei's recent developer conference showcased advancements in HarmonyOS and AI cloud services, indicating a strong potential for domestic AI computing infrastructure [2][3] Market Overview - The AI index closed at 9481.88 with a monthly increase of 7.6%, while the computer industry index rose by 7.11% [6] - The AI sector's total market capitalization reached 23666.38 billion, with 84 constituent stocks [8] AI Industry Dynamics - The report highlights the latest developments in data elements and data exchanges, emphasizing the importance of data asset development and high-quality growth in the sector [19][20] - Major AI models are being developed and released, with Huawei announcing the open-sourcing of its Pangu models, which is expected to enhance AI applications across various industries [25] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on specific segments and companies, including: 1. Domestic computing industry chain: Industrial Fulian, Zhongke Shuguang, etc. 2. IDC service providers and computing leasing: Runze Technology, Guanghuan New Network, etc. 3. Domestic software vendors: China Software, Softcom Power, etc. 4. AI applications: iFlytek, Kingsoft Office, etc. 5. Cloud computing vendors: Kingdee International, Kingsoft Cloud, etc. 6. Data element industry chain companies: Tuolisi, Shensanda A, etc. 7. Stablecoin and RWA: Hengsheng Electronics, Sifang Jichuang, etc. [2][3]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" investment rating for the photovoltaic industry [1]. Core Viewpoints - The report emphasizes the need to break the "involution" style competition in the photovoltaic sector, advocating for supply-side reforms driven by policy, industry self-discipline, and corporate production cuts [2]. - It highlights a significant increase in domestic photovoltaic installations, with 197.85 GW added from January to May 2025, representing a 150% year-on-year growth [2]. - The report identifies new technologies, particularly BC (Bifacial Cell) and copper paste, as key drivers for future industry growth and cost reduction [2]. Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The solar energy index rose by 4.1%, with notable gains from companies like Daqo New Energy and Tongwei Co., Ltd., which saw increases exceeding 10% [2]. - The report discusses the government's increasing focus on addressing low-price disorderly competition, aiming to enhance product quality and facilitate the exit of outdated production capacity [2]. Supply and Demand Dynamics - The report notes a recovery in polysilicon prices, with the average transaction price for N-type polysilicon rising to 34,700 CNY/ton, a 0.87% increase week-on-week [2]. - It asserts that the main challenge in the photovoltaic industry is supply rather than demand, with expectations for improved supply conditions due to government guidance and industry self-regulation [2]. Technological Advancements - The report forecasts that leading companies will significantly expand their BC production capacity, with Longi Green Energy expected to reach 50 GW by the end of 2025 [2]. - It highlights the trend towards reducing silver usage in photovoltaic cells, with the silver consumption per watt decreasing from 6 mg/W to 0.5 mg/W, driven by advancements in technologies like XBC, TOPCon, and HJT [2]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on leading companies with strong advantages in new technologies, recommending stocks such as Longi Green Energy, Aiko Solar Energy, and JinkoSolar [2]. - It also advises attention to auxiliary material sectors that benefit from policy improvements and have higher safety margins, recommending companies like GCL-Poly Energy and Sungrow Power Supply [2].

中国银河证券|CGS 全景东盟双周报（2025 年第 5 期） : "黄金签证"助力制度型开放实践 首席经济学家：章俊 www.chinastock.com.cn 证券研究报告 "黄金签证"助力制度型开放实践 2025年7月4日 核心观点 分析师 章俊 首席经济学家 ☎：010-8092 8096 网: zhangjun_yj@chinastock.com.cn 分析师登记编码：S0130523070003 研究助理 请务必阅读正文最后的中国银河证券股份有限公司免责声明 全景东盟双周报 刘小逸 网: liuxiaoyi_yj@chinastock.com.cn 田冀霖 网: tianjilin_yj@chinastock.com.cn 风险提示 请务必阅读正文最后的中国银河证券股份有限公司免责声明。 随着美国"对等关税"90天暂缓期进入最后倒计时(7月9日),东南亚地区 ● 超 30%的平均加征税率生效在即。区域内国家正采取"多线并进"的应对方 案:在贸易端加速"窗口期"出口冲刺,马来西亚单月对美出口额增长超四成; 在外交层面稳步推进对华经贸合作并密集开展对美游说与协商,争取在暂缓 期内签订关税协议,其中,越 ...

_ 136 _ 10 ___ 2 行业月报 · 公用事业行业 24Q4 行业月报 ·公用事业行业 中国银河证券|CGS 目录 Catalog | 一、 行业要闻 | | --- | | 二、 行业数据 … | | (一) 碳交易市场情况 | | (二） 电力行业相关数据………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………… 7 | | 三、 太阳能单月装机创新高，火电发电量由降转增 | | 四、 开展新型电力系统建设试点，助力新能源消纳……………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………11 | | 五、 环保公用行业表现………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………１2 | | ...

Group 1: Macro Economic Insights - The U.S. Senate passed the modified "Big Beautiful Act" with a narrow margin, which will increase the deficit to 7% during Trump's term [2][3][4] - The updated version of the fiscal bill is projected to increase the deficit by $4 trillion over the next ten years, with long-term implications potentially raising it to $5.5 trillion if tax cuts are made permanent [3][4] - The long-term debt-to-GDP ratio is expected to rise to 126% by 2034, indicating increasing fiscal pressure [4][7] Group 2: Marine Economy and Communication - The Chinese government has prioritized the development of the marine economy, with policies aimed at enhancing marine industries such as marine electronic information and offshore wind power [9][10] - The domestic marine production value is projected to reach 10.54 trillion yuan in 2024, with a growth rate of 5.9%, indicating significant potential in the marine sector [10] - The global submarine cable market is expected to grow from $21 billion in 2024 to $68 billion by 2032, with a CAGR of approximately 15.8% [10] Group 3: Company-Specific Developments - Kangtai Biological's PCV13 vaccine has received GMP certification from Turkey, marking a significant step in its overseas expansion [15][16] - The company has established partnerships in over ten countries for the registration and commercialization of various vaccines, with overseas revenue expected to grow significantly [16][18] - Midea Group's revenue for Q1 2025 was 127.8 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 20.5%, with expectations of maintaining steady growth despite industry headwinds [21][24] Group 4: Industry Trends and Challenges - The home appliance industry is facing a downturn, but Midea Group is expected to maintain growth due to its competitive advantages and high dividend yield [21][24] - The company is adapting to U.S. tariff policies, which have negatively impacted exports, but it is expected to gradually adjust its global production capacity [22][23] - The industrial business, particularly in HVAC and related fields, is showing strong growth potential, supported by strategic acquisitions [23][24]

Group 1: Strategic Importance of Marine Economy - The Central Financial Committee emphasized the marine economy's role in China's modernization, advocating for high-quality development along a "marine strong" path[5] - The meeting reiterated the importance of the marine economy following previous significant discussions, including the 20th Party Congress and the 2024 Central Economic Work Conference[7] - Five guiding principles were established to drive marine economic development: innovation, efficient collaboration, industrial upgrading, harmony between humans and the sea, and win-win cooperation[9] Group 2: Policy Framework and Focus Areas - Six key focus areas were identified for policy coordination: policy support, technological innovation, strengthening marine industries, planning for marine development, ecological protection, and global cooperation[10] - The marine economy's contribution to China's GDP is significant, with the marine service industry accounting for approximately 60% of the marine production value in 2024, which reached 10.54 trillion yuan, a 5.9% increase year-on-year[14][23] Group 3: Competitive Landscape and Opportunities - The global marine economy is characterized by differentiated competition, with countries like the US, Japan, and the EU leading in various sectors such as marine fisheries and renewable energy[16] - China's marine economy shows strong momentum, with the marine second industry accounting for 35% of the marine production value, and the marine engineering equipment manufacturing sector maintaining a global market share for seven consecutive years[23][24] - Investment opportunities are identified in marine technology, renewable energy, marine biology and medicine, and marine cultural tourism, with a focus on deep-sea materials and equipment[27][29] Group 4: Risks and Challenges - Risks include inadequate understanding of domestic and international policies and potential shortcomings in policy implementation[30]