Investment Rating - The report rates the industry as "stronger than the market" [2] Core Insights - The data center industry has become a core incremental application scenario for the power equipment sector, directly driving demand growth and technological iteration [2][5] - The report emphasizes the need to incorporate AI industry multidimensional indicators to accurately gauge the demand for power distribution equipment, given the capital expenditure characteristics of the data center sector [2][5] - The report outlines a three-pronged indicator system: demand side, supply chain, and AI application side to support investment decisions in the data center power distribution equipment sector [2][5] Summary by Sections Demand Side - Capital expenditures from overseas cloud giants reached $99.617 billion in Q3 2025, a year-on-year increase of 80.39% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 9.54% [7] - Alibaba's capital expenditure was 31.5 billion yuan in Q3 2025, a year-on-year increase of 80.10% but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 18.55% [12] - Tencent's capital expenditure was 13 billion yuan, down 24.05% year-on-year and 32.05% quarter-on-quarter [12] Supply Chain - NVIDIA's total revenue in Q3 2025 was $57.006 billion, with data center product revenue reaching $51.215 billion, marking a historical peak [18] - TSMC's revenue in December 2025 was 335 billion New Taiwan dollars, a year-on-year increase of 20.4% [24] - The CPU price index rose slightly to 99.04 in November 2025, while DRAM spot prices decreased from $71.25 to $71.00 [27] AI Application Side - The number of AI models is steadily increasing, with API call volumes reaching 7.73 trillion tokens from January 20 to January 26, 2026, a quarter-on-quarter increase of 3.07% [30] - The price of tokens for models scoring over 40 on the Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index dropped by over 50% in Q3 2025 [46] - The report highlights the importance of AI application development in determining the strength and sustainability of capital expenditure cycles in data centers [30]

字节跳动（豆包、火山引擎）：2026年春晚独家AI云合作伙伴、豆包将深度嵌入晚会互动，凭借豆包 的领先优势占据春晚最佳C位，借全民流量实现 AI 产品的渗透。 腾讯（元宝）：砸下 10 亿，马化腾亲自督战，试图复制 11 年前微信支付诺曼底登陆的景象，依托微信 社交生态实现 AI 产品的暴力拉新与裂变。 百度（文心一言/文心助手）： 投入 5 亿，绑定北京台春晚，用百款 AI 特效玩法死守搜索入口。 45 亿人民币。 这个数字背后已经不是简单的节日撒钱了，巨头们心里非常清楚，AI 时代的超级入口至 今属于空缺，谁先占据用户手机屏幕，谁就拥有定义下一代互联网的主动权，任何人都有机会，也任何 人都不敢缺席。 2026 年春节将成为史上最烧钱的 AI 战场。 先是字节跳动拿下春晚 C 位，紧接着腾讯10亿红包砸向元宝，百度临门一脚宣布拿出5亿，今天阿里直 接加倍，30亿投向春节饭桌上。 到目前为止，这个春节至少有45亿被撒向中国互联网，这场战局已经超出了节日营销的范畴，巨头的大 手笔参战，让2026年春节成为最大规模的AI用户习惯养成实验。 阿里巴巴（通义千问）：豪掷30 亿，将阿里系的吃喝玩乐生态全量接入，试图用 ...

Group 1: A-Share Market Activity - In January 2026, the number of new A-share accounts opened reached 4.9158 million, representing a year-on-year increase of 213% and a month-on-month increase of 89% compared to January 2025 [1] Group 2: Hong Kong Stock Market and Tax Rumors - The Hong Kong stock market experienced a significant drop due to rumors regarding tax adjustments for high-tech enterprises, which analysts believe are exaggerated and lack solid evidence [2] - The potential tax increase on internet companies could contradict current policies aimed at promoting consumption, indicating a misalignment in market expectations [2] Group 3: Precious Metals Market - After a significant sell-off, gold prices rebounded by 6.5% to $1,955.90 per ounce, driven by market reactions to the nomination of Kevin Warsh as the next Federal Reserve Chair and a strengthening dollar [2] - Silver prices have entered a "meme stock" state, driven more by market sentiment and social media discussions rather than fundamental changes, with expectations of a gradual decline in the silver market [3] Group 4: Banking and Financial Products - In January 2026, the expected recovery in the scale of bank wealth management products did not materialize, with some major banks reporting a decline in scale, indicating a continuation of a shrinking trend [4] Group 5: Regulatory Changes in Commodity Trading - The Shanghai Gold Exchange announced adjustments to the margin level for silver contracts from 26% to 23% and reduced the price fluctuation limit from 25% to 22% [4] Group 6: Industry Reports and Projections - A report by Frost & Sullivan predicts that the smart retail market in China will reach approximately 64.5 billion yuan by 2030, with a compound annual growth rate of 22% [4] Group 7: Corporate Announcements and Financial Performance - *ST Jinling's restructuring plan has been approved by the court, which may help mitigate debt risks and improve financial performance [6] - *ST Hengji has been awarded a compensation of 175 million yuan from a lawsuit, although the impact on future profits remains uncertain [7] - Baba Foods reported a net profit decline of 1.30% for 2025, despite an 11.22% increase in revenue [13] - Zhuoyue New Energy achieved a net profit growth of 14.16% for 2025, despite a revenue decline of 17.43% [14] - Zhongyuan Media reported a 30.99% increase in net profit for 2025, with a revenue decline of 5.13% [15] - High-speed Electric reported a net profit growth of 14.02% for 2025, with a revenue increase of 17.16% [16] Group 8: Stock Market Performance - The Shenzhen Composite Index rebounded over 2%, with more than 4,800 stocks rising across the market, indicating a strong recovery [18]

版面之外 . 以下文章来源于版面之外 ，作者版君 版面之外，才是真相。 本文来自微信公众号： 版面之外 ，作者：版君，编辑：画画，题图来自：AI生成 2026 年春节将成为史上最烧钱的 AI 战场。 先是字节跳动拿下春晚 C 位，紧接着腾讯10亿红包砸向元宝，百度临门一脚宣布拿出5亿，今天阿里 直接加倍，30亿投向春节饭桌上。 到目前为止，这个春节至少有45亿被撒向中国互联网，这场战局已经超出了节日营销的范畴，巨头 的大手笔参战，让2026年春节成为最大规模的AI用户习惯养成实验。 阿里巴巴 （通义千问） ：豪掷30 亿，将阿里系的吃喝玩乐生态全量接入，试图用钱买出一个全能入 口。 字节跳动 （豆包、火山引擎） ：2026年春晚独家AI云合作伙伴、豆包将深度嵌入晚会互动，凭借豆 包的领先优势占据春晚最佳C位，借全民流量实现 AI 产品的渗透。 腾讯 （元宝） ：砸下 10 亿，马化腾亲自督战，试图复制 11 年前微信支付诺曼底登陆的景象，依托 微信社交生态实现 AI 产品的暴力拉新与裂变。 所以，他们选择了最不讲道理的打法：撒钱，用最传统的流量和补贴的互联网打法，强行将 AI 塞入 它们熟悉的春节场景里。 这 ...

Core Insights - The global AIDC demand continues to grow rapidly, with positive signals from cloud vendors regarding capital expenditure, business promotion, and pricing strategies. The price increase and expansion of AI spending are reshaping the AIDC industry logic, enhancing the return expectations of computing assets and elevating the industry's scale ceiling, transitioning AIDC from a heavy asset industry to a core infrastructure sector with high barriers and certainty [1][5]. Group 1: Market Trends - The global cloud computing market is expected to grow from approximately $1.29 trillion in 2025 to about $2.28 trillion by 2030, with a CAGR of around 12%. However, supply-side constraints are evident, as the prices of storage chips and CPUs are rising, leading to increased cloud service costs [1][2]. - NAND flash prices are predicted to rise by 33% to 38% in Q4 2025, with similar increases expected in Q1 of the same year. Additionally, Intel and AMD plan to raise server CPU prices by 10-15%. Energy costs are also rising, with U.S. electricity costs increasing by 6.7% year-on-year in December last year, cumulatively up by about 38% since 2020 [2]. Group 2: Competitive Landscape - The domestic AI model competition is accelerating the deployment of computing infrastructure, with companies like DeepSeek, Kimi, and Alibaba launching model upgrades that highlight the significant demand for training and inference computing power. The focus of competition has shifted from individual model performance to the overall capability of computing supply and system engineering efficiency [3]. - In the application layer, competition is intensifying, with Tencent's Yuanbao rapidly increasing its user base by integrating the DeepSeekR1 model and leveraging extensive marketing resources. This growth is expected to translate into high-frequency demand for backend intelligent computing centers and high-speed networks, further accelerating the deployment and upgrade of related technologies [4]. Group 3: Industry Outlook - The AIDC industry is likely entering a structurally expanding cycle with high barriers. Innovations such as liquid cooling and high-density power supply solutions are penetrating the market, addressing the technical challenges posed by the increase in power consumption per rack from traditional 5-15 kW to 200 kW. The domestic chip ecosystem is maturing, with Alibaba's "Zhenwu 810E" performance matching international mainstream products, facilitating the optimization of the domestic computing system [5]. - The AIDC market is expected to expand at a compound annual growth rate of 31.5%, with the core barriers of the industry shifting from capital investment to technology integration and operational efficiency. The price increases from cloud vendors and the expansion of AI spending are jointly reshaping the AIDC industry logic, benefiting leading companies with technological iteration capabilities and resource integration efficiency [5]. Group 4: Investment Recommendations - Suggested investment targets include: 1. Cloud Computing: Alibaba-W (09988), Cloudflare (NET.US), Shenxinfu (300454.SZ), Kingsoft Cloud (03896), New Intent Group (01688), and UCloud (688158.SH) [6]. 2. AIDC: Runze Technology (300442.SZ), Baoxin Software (600845.SH), Data Port (603881.SH), Guanghuan New Network (300383.SZ), Aofei Data (300738.SZ), and Yunsai Zhili (600602.SH) [6]. 3. Computing Power Services: Xiechuang Data (300857.SZ), Hongjing Technology (301396.SZ), Dawi Technology (600589.SH), Youfang Technology (688159.SH), Litong Electronics (603629.SH), Zhiwei Intelligent (001339.SZ), and Coreweave (CRWV.US) [6]. 4. CDN: Wangsu Technology (300017.SZ) [7]. 5. Chips: Haiguang Information (688041.SH), Cambrian-U (688256.SH), Muxi Shares-U (688802.SH), Tianshu Zhixin (09903), Moer Thread-U (688795.SH), and Longxin Zhongke (688047.SH) [7]. 6. Large Models: Minimax-WP (00100), Zhipu (02513), and iFlytek (002230.SZ) [7].

Group 1: Market Performance - The Asia-Pacific stock markets experienced a significant rebound, with the Nikkei 225 index closing at 54,720.66 points, marking a historical high [1] - The South Korean Composite Index rose by 6.84% to 5,288.08 points, driven by major semiconductor manufacturers Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix, with Samsung's stock surging 11%, the largest single-day increase since March 2020 [1] - In the A-share market, major indices also strengthened, with the Shanghai Composite Index up 1.29%, the Shenzhen Component Index up 2.19%, and the ChiNext Index up 1.86%, with over 4,800 stocks rising and more than 80 stocks hitting the daily limit [1] Group 2: Sector Highlights - The space photovoltaic concept stocks saw a strong rally, with companies like Guosheng Technology and Jinjing Technology hitting the daily limit, while several others also experienced significant gains [3] - The precious metals sector rebounded strongly, with Xiaocheng Technology rising over 18% and Hunan Gold hitting the daily limit, following a surge in gold prices that broke through $4,890 [3] - CPO and other computing hardware stocks performed well, with companies like Robotec hitting the daily limit and Tianfu Communication rising over 10%, both reaching historical highs [3] Group 3: Individual Stock Movements - The stock of Cambrian Technologies experienced a significant drop, initially falling over 13% before closing down 9.18%, following the company's announcement addressing recent misinformation about its operations [3] - Domestic AI chip companies reported improved performance in their main operations, but their stock prices did not reflect this, with Moer Thread closing at 554.92 yuan per share, down 2.65%, and Muxi shares falling over 3% to 513.78 yuan per share [3] - In the Hong Kong market, the Hang Seng Index turned positive in the afternoon, while the Hang Seng Tech Index narrowed its decline to 0.9%, having previously dropped over 20% from its October 2024 high, entering a technical bear market [4]

Group 1 - The core logic of technology investment is based on "first principles," emphasizing that the performance of AI systems is determined by the shortest supply chain segments rather than the most powerful components [2] - The investment strategy focuses on identifying bottleneck segments in the supply chain, particularly in storage, as demand for storage is expected to grow significantly due to the increasing size of AI models and their requirements [4][12] - The investment approach is characterized by a shift from macro capacity considerations to micro-level KPIs and contract details, highlighting the importance of operational efficiency and management practices in the supply chain [5][6] Group 2 - The storage sector is identified as a critical bottleneck in the AI supply chain, with demand growth outpacing that of GPUs, driven by the evolution of multi-modal models and increased data throughput [8][11] - The supply constraints in the storage market are attributed to high capital expenditure requirements and technological barriers, making it difficult for new capacity to meet the surging demand [14][16] - The expected structural changes in the storage market indicate that by 2026, over half of storage procurement will come from AI data centers, with a significant shift towards customized and long-term contracts [15][16] Group 3 - The investment philosophy emphasizes the importance of understanding industry dynamics and avoiding speculative behaviors based on price movements, advocating for a focus on fundamental industry truths [7][12] - The narrative economy is highlighted as a significant factor influencing asset pricing, where trends and narratives can drive valuations faster than actual earnings growth [27][28] - The competitive landscape in the AI sector is evolving, with companies like Google and Nvidia driving demand for optical devices and storage, indicating a shift in value distribution within the supply chain [23][29]

| 亚太市场 | | 更新于:02-03 13:12 | | --- | --- | --- | | 日经225 | 韩国综合 | 新加坡海峡 | | 54769.57 | 5239.17 | 4932.03 | | +2114.39 +4.02% +289.50 +5.85% | | +39.76 +0.81% | | 澳洲标普200 | 印度 | MSCI台湾 | | 8857.10 | 83948.71 | 1278.12 | | -9.20 -0.10% +2282.25 +2.79% | | +23.98 +1.91% | | 上证指数 | 深证成指 | 恒生指数 | | 4031.43 | 13948.39 | 26830.50 | | +15.68 +0.39% +124.04 +0.90% | | +54.93 +0.21% 同詞學 | 港A股则高开低走。盘中，A股震荡翻红，但港股仍低迷。 全球市场恐慌性抛售后，突然迎来全面反弹。 周二，此前惨遭"大屠杀"的金银急速回血，日韩股市引领亚太市场冲锋。 MSCI亚太指数一度上涨2.3%，创下去年6月以来的最大涨幅;印度股指、台湾加权指数纷纷上扬。 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses rumors regarding potential tax rate adjustments for the financial and internet value-added services sectors, particularly gaming, which led to a decline in stock prices for major internet companies like Tencent. However, industry insiders have largely dismissed these rumors as unfounded and lacking credibility [1][6][7]. Group 1: Market Reactions - On February 3, market rumors about tax rate adjustments caused a significant drop in the A-share gaming sector, with Century Huatong's stock falling over 9%, and other major gaming stocks like Kaixin Network and Giant Network also experiencing declines [1]. - Despite the initial drop, gaming stocks rebounded later, with Shunwang Technology rising by 14.65% and other companies like Xunyou Technology and Zhejiang Shuju Culture seeing increases of over 5% [1][2]. Group 2: Tax Rate Rumors - The rumors suggested that the gaming tax rate might align with the 32% rate applied to liquor, which is a consumption tax, while gaming services are subject to a value-added tax (VAT) of 6% [6][7]. - Industry experts confirmed that there has been no official communication regarding tax rate changes, and the credibility of the rumors is considered low [6][7]. Group 3: Tax Policy Context - The current VAT law, effective from January 1, 2026, specifies three tax rates: 13%, 9%, and 6%, with financial and modern services, including gaming, falling under the 6% category [7]. - Recent adjustments in tax rates have only affected basic telecommunications services, and any changes to the tax structure would require rigorous legislative or administrative processes [7]. - The prevailing policy focus is on stabilizing growth and supporting innovation, making significant tax increases on key industries unlikely [7].

Market Overview - Global markets experienced significant fluctuations, with the Hang Seng Index closing at 26,776, down 2.23% for the day but up 4.47% year-to-date [1] - The US markets showed a contrasting trend, with the Dow Jones increasing by 1.05% and the S&P 500 by 0.54% [1] - Asian markets faced a sell-off in commodities, with gold prices dropping below $4,400 and silver falling over 15% [3] Industry Insights - The heavy truck industry in China saw a 39% year-on-year increase in sales in January, attributed to a low base from the previous year and manufacturers meeting sales targets ahead of schedule [4] - The outlook for heavy truck demand remains optimistic, with expectations of maintaining over 1.1 million units in 2026, driven by a replacement cycle and continued government subsidies [4] Company Analysis - Gako's (1167 HK) focus on KRAS-targeted therapies positions it as a leader in the field, with a robust product pipeline and a partnership with AstraZeneca to accelerate development [4][5] - Gako's core product, JAB-23E73, is expected to achieve peak sales of $1.9 billion, highlighting its significant market potential [7] - The company has developed innovative platforms for antibody-drug conjugates (ADCs), which are anticipated to enhance treatment efficacy and safety [6] Financial Projections - Gako's target price is set at HKD 10.34, based on a discounted cash flow model, reflecting its strong growth potential in the KRAS market [7] - Mindray (425 HK) is projected to see stable growth driven by its battery box and robotics businesses, with revenue forecasts for the second half of 2025 adjusted upward by 1% to HKD 137 billion [8] - The company is expected to maintain a gross margin of 29.1% despite rising raw material costs, indicating effective cost management strategies [8] Strategic Partnerships - Stone Pharmaceutical (1093 HK) has entered a significant partnership with AstraZeneca, valued at over $18.5 billion, to advance multiple projects in weight management and diabetes [9][10] - This collaboration not only enhances Stone's pipeline but also validates its AI-driven drug discovery capabilities [9]