Core Viewpoint - The glass futures market has experienced a significant downturn, with the main contract price falling below the critical threshold of 1000 yuan/ton for the first time in over four months, raising concerns about the market's bottom and future trends [1] Market Performance - The glass futures market has shown weak performance, with the main contract price dropping over 2% in early trading on November 21 [1] - After the National Day holiday, production companies initiated price cuts to alleviate inventory pressure, leading to a decline in the average transaction price of large glass sheets in the Shahe region from approximately 1237 yuan/ton in early October to around 1117 yuan/ton by the end of October [3] Supply and Demand Dynamics - Despite some manufacturers starting cold repairs to adjust supply, the impact has been minimal, and the speed of supply adjustment is lagging behind the decline in demand [4] - Glass companies and midstream traders have significantly higher inventory levels compared to the same period last year, contributing to a persistent supply-demand imbalance [4] - The real estate sector's downturn has directly affected glass demand, with downstream processing companies facing insufficient orders, as indicated by a drop in order days to 9.9 days, a record low [8] Future Outlook - In the short term, the glass market lacks clear driving forces, and a weak trend is likely to continue; however, prices are at a low point, and expectations for further cold repairs may stimulate some mid-to-downstream demand [11] - The recovery of the glass industry in the medium to long term will depend on the extent of supply-side capacity adjustments and the recovery of demand from the real estate market [11] - Market participants should closely monitor changes in supply-side production cuts and real estate policy developments, as well as potential technical rebound risks [11]

瑞达期货研究院 「2025.11.21」 热轧卷板市场周报 成本支撑减弱 热卷期价震荡偏弱 添加客服 研究员：蔡跃辉 期货从业资格号F0251444 期货投资咨询从业证书号Z0013101 取 更 多 资 讯 业务咨询 关 注 我 们 获 目录 1、周度要点小结 2、期现市场 3、产业情况 「周度要点小结1」 行情回顾 3 来源：瑞达期货研究院 1. 价格：截至11月21日收盘，热卷主力合约期价为3270（+14），杭州涟钢热卷现货价格为3320（+0）。（单 位：元/吨/周） 2. 产量：热卷产量小幅上调。316.01（+2.35），（同比+4.16）。（单位：万吨） 3. 需求：表观需求增加。本期表需324.42（+10.83），（同比+8.82）。（单位：万吨） 4. 库存：厂库增、社库降。总库存402.11（-8.41），（同比+86.88）。（单位：万吨） 5. 盈利率：钢厂盈利率37.66%，环比上周减少1.30个百分点，同比去年减少16.89个百分点。 「 周度要点小结2」 行情展望 4 来源：瑞达期货研究院 1. 宏观方面：海外，（1）美联储公布10月28日至29日的联邦公开市场委员会（FOM ...

投资咨询业务资格：证监许可【2011】1778 号 期货研究报告 姓名：涂伟华 宝城期货投资咨询部 从业资格证号：F3060359 投资咨询证号：Z0011688 电话：0571-87006873 邮箱：tuweihua@bcqhgs.com 作者声明 本人具有中国期货业协会 授予的期货从业资格证书，期 货投资咨询资格证书，本人承 诺以勤勉的职业态度，独立、 客观地出具本报告。本报告清 晰准确地反映了本人的研究观 点。本人不会因本报告中的具 体推荐意见或观点而直接或间 接接收到任何形式的报酬。 钢材&铁矿石 | 日报 2025 年 11 月 21 日 钢材&铁矿石日报 专业研究·创造价值 现实格局偏弱，钢矿延续震荡 核心观点 螺纹钢：主力期价震荡运行，录得 0.07%日涨幅，量仓收缩。现阶段， 螺纹需求有所好转，但持续性存疑，相反供应也在回升，供需双增局面 下螺纹基本面表现依旧不佳，钢价继续承压，相对利好的是估值偏低， 预计走势延续低位震荡运行态势，关注需求表现情况。 热轧卷板：主力期价震荡运行，录得 0%日跌幅，量仓收缩。目前来看， 热卷供需格局有所好转，库存再度去化，但供应压力未解，且需求韧性 存疑，基本 ...

Core Points - The first "Golden Bull to Win" National Futures Trading Competition is set to launch, organized by China Securities Journal, with the official start date in January 2026 [1] - The competition will feature both real and simulated trading events, aiming for long-term engagement in the futures market [1] - The event emphasizes the importance of the futures market in providing authoritative price references for commodities, enhancing resource allocation, and stabilizing market operations [1] Group 1 - The competition aims to create a professional platform that integrates market resources, fostering a shared and win-win futures ecosystem [1] - It is designed to enhance participants' trading capabilities in both stock and futures markets, thereby improving their investment profitability [1] - Futures companies sponsoring the event will gain designated trading merchant qualifications, highlighting the competitive nature of the industry [1] Group 2 - The competition will feature two main award categories: "comprehensive" and "sector-specific," along with monthly and quarterly incentive awards [1] - Continuous updates about the competition will be provided through various platforms, including China Securities Journal's official website and social media [2]

| 业期现日报 | 投资咨询业务资格:证监许可 | 【2011】1292号 | | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2025年11月21日 | 纪元菲 | Z0013180 | | | | | | | | | | 现货价格及主力合约基差 | 11月20日 | 11月19日 | 涨跌 | 涨跌幅 | 单位 | 品种 | | | | | | 华东通氧S15530工业硅 | 9550 | 9450 | 100 | 1.06% | 墓差 (通室S15530章准) | 475 | 60 | 415 | 691.67% | | | 华东SI4210工业硅 | 9750 | 9800 | 50 | 0.51% | 元/吨 | 基差 (Sl4210基准) | -75 | -440 | 82.95% | 365 | | 新疆99硅 | 9000 | 8850 | 1.69% | 120 | 基差(新疆) | 725 | 260 | 465 | 178.85% | | | 月间价差 | 合约 | ...

Group 1: Report Investment Rating - No investment rating for the industry is provided in the report. Group 2: Core Views - Cotton: ICE US cotton closed flat on Thursday at 63.78 cents/pound, CF601 rose 0.15% to 13,465 yuan/ton, and the main contract's open interest decreased by 8,504 lots to 544,900 lots. The 3128B cotton spot price index was 14,340 yuan/ton, up 20 yuan/ton from the previous day. The US non - farm payrolls data exceeded expectations, reducing the probability of a 25bp Fed rate cut in December to around 40%, pressuring the US cotton price. Zhengzhou cotton maintained a sideways trend, with the main contract's open interest decreasing for two consecutive days and the 05 contract's increasing. There is currently high supply pressure and commercial inventory is accumulating rapidly, but there is also support from cost, demand, and expectations. The cotton price is unlikely to fall below the previous low again, and the supply pressure will gradually ease over time. In the short term, Zhengzhou cotton lacks a directional driver and is expected to trade sideways [1]. - Sugar: China's imports of syrup and premixed sugar powder in October were 115,600 tons, a year - on - year decrease of 110,300 tons. The spot price of new sugar in Guangxi was 5,600 - 5,660 yuan/ton, unchanged; the price of old sugar from a Yunnan sugar - making group was 5,440 - 5,490 yuan/ton, and the new sugar price was 5,390 - 5,590 yuan/ton, down 10 yuan/ton. The mainstream price range of processed sugar was 5,750 - 5,890 yuan/ton, with some prices down 20 yuan/ton. Raw sugar trading is guided by the crushing progress in India and Thailand, and with no new news, it is expected to trade sideways. More domestic sugar mills have started crushing, resulting in sufficient supply. Although imports of syrup and premixed powder in October decreased significantly, they were still higher than market expectations. The market has significant differences in views on the future, and the price shows no sign of bottoming out and is expected to continue to decline [1]. Group 3: Summary by Directory 1. Daily Data Monitoring - Cotton: The 1 - 5 contract spread was - 10 yuan/ton, down 5 yuan/ton; the main contract basis was 1,326 yuan/ton, up 32 yuan/ton. The spot price in Xinjiang was 14,563 yuan/ton, up 6 yuan/ton, and the national spot price was 14,791 yuan/ton, up 12 yuan/ton [2]. - Sugar: The 1 - 5 contract spread was 47 yuan/ton, down 1 yuan/ton. Some sugar data sources had missing values [2]. 2. Market Information - Cotton: On November 20, the number of cotton futures warehouse receipts was 3,503, a decrease of 17 from the previous trading day, and the valid forecasts were 1,147. The arrival prices of cotton in different domestic regions on that day were: 14,563 yuan/ton in Xinjiang, 14,826 yuan/ton in Henan, 14,848 yuan/ton in Shandong, and 14,902 yuan/ton in Zhejiang. The yarn comprehensive load was 51.1, down 0.1 from the previous day; the yarn comprehensive inventory was 26.6, up 0.1; the short - fiber fabric comprehensive load was 51.8, unchanged; and the short - fiber fabric comprehensive inventory was 29.7, up 0.1 [2][3]. - Sugar: On November 20, the number of sugar futures warehouse receipts was 7,982, a decrease of 446 from the previous trading day, and the valid forecasts were 183 [4]. 3. Chart Analysis - The report provides multiple charts for cotton and sugar, including the closing price, basis, contract spread, warehouse receipts and valid forecasts, and price index of the main contracts, but no specific analysis of the charts is provided [6][14]

工业硅日报 工业硅&多晶硅日报（2025 年 11 月 21 日） 二、日度数据监测 | | 二、日度数据监测 | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 分 | 项 | 2025/11/19 | 2025/11/20 | 涨 跌 | | | | | 工业硅 | | | | | 期货结算价（元/吨） | 主力 | 9390 | 9075 | -315 | | | | 近月 | 9390 | 9080 | -310 | | | | 不通氧553#硅(华东) | 9350 | 9350 | 0 | | | | 不通氧553#硅(黄埔港) | 9350 | 9350 | 0 | | | 不通氧553#现货价格 | 不通氧553#硅(天津港) | 9250 | 9300 | 50 | | | （元/吨） | 不通氧553#硅(昆明) | 9350 | 9350 | 0 | | | | 不通氧553#硅(四川) | 9050 | 9050 | 0 | | | | 不通氧553#硅(上海) | 9650 | 9700 | 50 | | | | 通氧553#硅(华 ...

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - All commodities in the report, including crude oil, fuel oil, asphalt, polyester, rubber, methanol, polyolefins, and polyvinyl chloride, are rated as "oscillating" [1][3][5][6][8] 2. Core Views of the Report - **Crude Oil**: On Thursday, oil prices closed down. The macro - non - farm data was below expectations, pressuring the market. European ARA hub inventory data showed mixed trends. The market is fragile and sensitive to negatives, and oil prices are expected to continue oscillating [1] - **Fuel Oil**: Futures prices fell on Thursday. Singapore's October sales data showed growth and decline in different types. In November, sufficient inventory will suppress the low - sulfur market, while the high - sulfur market has relatively healthy downstream demand, and prices are expected to be weak [3] - **Asphalt**: The futures price rose on Thursday. Supply may decline slightly in the short - term due to profit reduction, and downstream demand is limited due to weather, so the price is treated with a bearish view [3] - **Polyester**: Futures prices of related products fell. Some devices had maintenance and restart operations. With the improvement of the PTA fundamentals, its price is expected to oscillate strongly, while the ethylene glycol has short - term supply improvement but medium - term inventory pressure, and its price will adjust widely [5] - **Rubber**: Futures prices fell on Thursday. The supply pressure increases while the downstream demand is weak externally, but winter storage demand supports the price, so the price is expected to oscillate [6] - **Methanol**: Supply has returned to a high level recently, but Iranian devices may stop in the future, and port inventory is expected to decline from December to January, so the price is expected to oscillate at the bottom [6] - **Polyolefins**: The market is gradually shifting to a situation of strong supply and weak demand, but the low valuation may prompt downstream actions, and the price is expected to oscillate weakly at the bottom [6][8] - **Polyvinyl Chloride**: Market prices in different regions decreased. Supply remains high, and demand will decline due to the slowdown of real - estate construction, so the price is expected to oscillate weakly [8] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Research Views - **Crude Oil**: WTI 12 - month contract closed down $0.3 to $59.14/barrel, Brent 1 - month contract closed down $0.13 to $63.38/barrel, and SC2512 closed at 456.7 yuan/barrel, down 1.7 yuan/barrel. The non - farm employment increased by 119,000 in August, and the unemployment rate reached a nearly four - year high. European ARA hub diesel inventory decreased by nearly 5%, gasoline inventory slightly decreased, naphtha inventory increased by nearly 10%, aviation fuel inventory slightly decreased, and fuel oil inventory increased [1] - **Fuel Oil**: On Thursday, the main contract of fuel oil (FU2601) fell 1.76% to 2517 yuan/ton, and the low - sulfur fuel oil (LU2601) fell 3.5% to 3139 yuan/ton. In October 2025, Singapore's total marine fuel sales were 4.8177 million tons, with a 1.1% month - on - month increase and a 1.23% year - on - year decrease. In November, low - sulfur supply is abundant, and high - sulfur has relatively healthy demand [3] - **Asphalt**: On Thursday, the main contract (BU2601) rose 0.33% to 3058 yuan/ton. This week, domestic asphalt shipments decreased by 18.7% month - on - month, and the capacity utilization rate of modified asphalt enterprises decreased [3] - **Polyester**: TA601 closed down 0.34% at 4696 yuan/ton, EG2601 closed down 2.08% at 3822 yuan/ton, and PX601 closed down 0.58% at 6830 yuan/ton. Some devices had maintenance and restart operations, and the PTA load was adjusted to 72.1% [5] - **Rubber**: On Thursday, the main contract of natural rubber (RU2601) fell 190 yuan/ton to 15250 yuan/ton, and the main contract of 20 - number rubber (NR) fell 160 yuan/ton to 12320 yuan/ton. Rubber production is seasonally increasing, and imports are increasing year - on - year [6] - **Methanol**: On Thursday, the spot price in Taicang was 2000 yuan/ton. Domestic maintenance devices are resuming production, and Iranian devices may stop in the future [6] - **Polyolefins**: On Thursday, the price of East China PP and PE had different trends, and the profit of various production methods was negative. The market is gradually shifting to strong supply and weak demand [6][8] - **Polyvinyl Chloride**: Market prices in East, North, and South China decreased. Supply remains high, and demand will decline due to real - estate construction slowdown [8] 3.2 Daily Data Monitoring - The table shows the spot price, futures price, basis, basis rate, and their changes of various energy - chemical products on November 20 and 19, 2025, including crude oil, liquefied petroleum gas, asphalt, etc. [9] 3.3 Market News - The latest report from the Bureau of Labor Statistics showed that non - farm employment increased by 119,000 in August, and the unemployment rate reached a nearly four - year high. The ARA hub's inventory data for diesel, gasoline, naphtha, aviation fuel, and fuel oil in the week ending November 20 was released [12][13] 3.4 Chart Analysis - **4.1 Main Contract Prices**: There are charts showing the closing prices of main contracts of various energy - chemical products from 2021 to 2025, such as crude oil, fuel oil, low - sulfur fuel oil, etc. [15][16][17] - **4.2 Main Contract Basis**: Charts display the basis of main contracts of different products over time, including crude oil, fuel oil, low - sulfur fuel oil, etc. [32][37][38] - **4.3 Inter - period Contract Spreads**: There are charts showing the spreads between different contracts of various products, such as fuel oil, asphalt, PTA, etc. [44][50][53] - **4.4 Inter - variety Spreads**: Charts present the spreads between different varieties, including crude oil internal and external markets, fuel oil high - low sulfur, etc. [61][63][65] - **4.5 Production Profits**: There are charts showing the production profits of LLDPE, PP, etc. [68]

Group 1: Steel Industry Report's Industry Investment Rating - Not provided Core Viewpoint - Steel prices are expected to maintain a range - bound oscillation. For rebar, focus on the support at the 3000 level, and for hot - rolled coils, focus on the support at the 3240 level. Operate by closing short positions and temporarily holding a wait - and - see attitude on single - side trades [1][3] Summary by Relevant Catalogs - **Steel Prices and Spreads**: Rebar and hot - rolled coil spot prices in different regions decreased by 10 yuan/ton, and futures contract prices also declined. Rebar 01 contract decreased by 20 yuan, and hot - rolled coil 05 contract decreased by 9 yuan [1] - **Cost and Profit**: The billet price decreased by 30 yuan, and the slab price remained unchanged. Profits in different regions of rebar and hot - rolled coils showed different trends, such as the East China hot - rolled coil profit increasing by 5 yuan [1] - **Production**: The daily average pig iron output decreased by 0.6 tons to 236.3 tons, a decrease of 0.3%. The output of five major steel products increased by 15.5 tons to 849.9 tons, an increase of 1.9%. Rebar production increased by 8 tons to 208 tons, an increase of 4% [1] - **Inventory**: The inventory of five major steel products decreased by 44.2 tons to 1433.1 tons, a decrease of 3%. Rebar inventory decreased by 22.8 tons to 553.3 tons, a decrease of 4% [1] - **Trading and Demand**: The building materials trading volume decreased by 0.8 to 8.5, a decrease of 8.5%. The apparent demand of five major steel products increased by 33.6 tons to 894.2 tons, an increase of 3.9%. The apparent demand of rebar and hot - rolled coils also increased [1] Group 2: Iron Ore Industry Report's Industry Investment Rating - Not provided Core Viewpoint - Iron ore is expected to show a high - level oscillation trend, and single - side trades should be on hold [4] Summary by Relevant Catalogs - **Iron Ore - related Prices and Spreads**: The warehouse - receipt costs of some iron ore varieties decreased slightly, such as the PB powder warehouse - receipt cost decreasing by 3.3 yuan, a decrease of 0.4%. The 01 contract basis of some varieties also changed slightly [4] - **Supply**: The weekly arrival volume at 45 ports decreased by 472 tons to 2269 tons, a decrease of 17.2%, and the global shipping volume increased by 447.4 tons to 3516.4 tons, an increase of 14.6% [4] - **Demand**: The daily average pig iron output of 247 steel mills decreased by 0.6 tons to 236.3 tons, a decrease of 0.3%. The daily average ore - removal volume at 45 ports increased by 2.9 tons to 329.9 tons, an increase of 0.9% [4] - **Inventory Changes**: The inventory at 45 ports decreased by 120.8 tons to 15054.65 tons, a decrease of 0.4%. The imported iron ore inventory of 247 steel mills decreased by 75 tons to 9001 tons, a decrease of 0.8% [4] Group 3: Coke and Coking Coal Industry Report's Industry Investment Rating - Not provided Core Viewpoint - For coke, it is regarded as oscillating bearishly in the range of 1550 - 1700, and temporarily on hold. For coking coal, it is regarded as oscillating bearishly in the range of 1050 - 1200, and temporarily on hold [6] Summary by Relevant Catalogs (Coke) - **Coke - related Prices and Spreads**: Coke futures prices decreased, such as the 01 contract decreasing by 6 yuan, a decrease of 0.3%. The fourth - round price increase of mainstream coke enterprises was fully implemented [6] - **Production**: The daily average output of all - sample coking plants decreased by 0.3 tons to 63 tons, a decrease of 0.5% [6] - **Demand**: The pig iron output decreased, and the demand for coke was suppressed to some extent [6] - **Inventory Changes**: Coking plants, ports, and steel mills all had a slight reduction in inventory, and the overall inventory was slightly lower in the middle level [6] Summary by Relevant Catalogs (Coking Coal) - **Coking Coal - related Prices and Spreads**: Coking coal futures prices decreased, such as the 01 contract decreasing by 26 yuan, a decrease of 2.3%. Some coking coal prices decreased, such as the Mongolian 5 raw coal (warehouse - receipt) decreasing by 41 yuan, a decrease of 3.2% [6] - **Supply**: Some shut - down coal mines in Shanxi began to resume production, and the Mongolian coal customs clearance increased significantly in November [6] - **Demand**: The coking plant's production decreased slightly, and the replenishment demand weakened [6] - **Inventory Changes**: The overall inventory of coking coal was slightly lower in the middle level, with coal - washing plants, ports, and coking plants reducing inventory [6]

Report Industry Investment Ratings - **Macrofinance**: Index futures are recommended for long - term bullishness with a strategy of buying on dips; treasury bonds are expected to trade sideways [1][5] - **Black Building Materials**: Coking coal and rebar are advised for range trading; glass is recommended to sell call options [1][7][9] - **Non - ferrous Metals**: Copper is for range short - term trading; aluminum is for long - position reduction; nickel is for waiting and watching or shorting on rallies; tin, gold, and silver are for range trading; lithium carbonate is expected to be in a relatively strong sideways trend [1][11][17][19] - **Energy and Chemicals**: PVC, caustic soda, styrene, rubber, urea, methanol, and polyolefins are expected to trade sideways; soda ash 01 contract bears are advised to exit and wait and watch [1][20][23][32] - **Cotton Textile Industry Chain**: Cotton and cotton yarn are expected to trade sideways; PTA is in a low - level sideways trend; apples are expected to be in a slightly strong sideways trend; red dates are expected to be in a slightly weak sideways trend [1][35][37] - **Agriculture and Animal Husbandry**: Pigs are under pressure for rebound; eggs have limited upside potential; corn is in a bottom - building sideways trend; soybean meal is in a range - bound trend; oils and fats are in a weak adjustment [1][40][43][44] Core Views The report provides investment strategies and market outlooks for various futures products based on their fundamentals, macroeconomic factors, and supply - demand relationships. It analyzes factors such as economic data, policy expectations, production, consumption, and inventory levels to predict price trends and gives corresponding trading suggestions [1][5][7] Summary by Directory Macrofinance - **Index Futures**: They are expected to trade sideways in the short - term and are long - term bullish. With market hotspots rotating quickly and no clear main line, factors like US employment data and policy expectations affect the market. A strategy of buying on dips is recommended [5] - **Treasury Bonds**: They are expected to trade sideways. After previous trading operations, the most fluent phase of yield decline has ended, and the market is in a range - bound pattern. Short - term trading is influenced by news, economic data, and policy expectations, while long - term trading awaits signals from the Central Economic Work Conference [5] Black Building Materials - **Coking Coal**: It is in a sideways trend. The coal market is experiencing price cuts, weak demand, and high inventory, with low purchasing willingness from various parties [7][8] - **Rebar**: It is expected to trade sideways. The futures price has fallen below certain cost levels, and in the short - term, there is no major supply - demand contradiction, with steel prices likely to be in a low - level sideways trend [8] - **Glass**: It is recommended to sell call options. The main contract's position has reached a new high, and the market is weak due to factors such as unchanged supply, slowdown in restocking, and weakening demand. There is a risk of further demand decline and delivery pressure in the near - term [9][10] Non - ferrous Metals - **Copper**: It is in a high - level sideways trend. Market sentiment has turned cautious, and factors such as US government policies, economic data, and supply - demand fundamentals affect the price. Although there is long - term potential, short - term risks exist, and range trading or waiting and watching is advised [11] - **Aluminum**: It is expected to trade sideways. Alumina production has some fluctuations, and electrolytic aluminum supply and demand are balanced. With the approach of the off - season and other factors, the price is likely to be range - bound [12] - **Nickel**: It is recommended to wait and watch or short on rallies. Indonesia's policy adjustment may affect supply, and there is an overall surplus in the nickel market, with different trends in various nickel products [16] - **Tin**: It is for cautious range trading. Supply is expected to improve, and demand is weak, but low overseas inventory provides some support [17] - **Silver and Gold**: They are expected to trade sideways. The US government's policy and Fed's interest - rate expectations affect the prices, and there is support from interest - rate cut expectations and risk - aversion demand [19] - **Lithium Carbonate**: It is expected to be in a relatively strong sideways trend. Supply and demand are in a tight balance, and downstream demand is strong. Attention should be paid to the progress of mine certificates in Yichun and downstream production schedules [20] Energy and Chemicals - **PVC**: It is expected to trade sideways with a weakening trend. High supply, weak demand, and uncertain exports are the main factors, and attention should be paid to cost, policy, and inventory changes [20] - **Caustic Soda**: It is expected to trade sideways with a weakening trend. High inventory in the alumina industry exerts pressure on the caustic soda spot market, and attention should be paid to the verification of production - reduction expectations [23] - **Styrene**: It is expected to trade sideways. Cost, supply, and demand factors lead to a balanced market, and attention should be paid to factors such as oil prices and production schedules [24][25] - **Rubber**: It is expected to trade sideways, with support at the 15000 level. Cost support and inventory pressure coexist, and the tire industry's production capacity utilization rate has some fluctuations [26] - **Urea**: It is expected to trade sideways. High supply, increasing demand in some sectors, and high inventory limit the upward potential of prices [28] - **Methanol**: It is expected to trade sideways. Supply is increasing, demand is weakening, and inventory is accumulating. Attention should be paid to factors such as macro - level changes and production schedules [29] - **Polyolefins**: PE is expected to trade in a range, and PP is expected to trade sideways with a weakening trend. Cost compression, increasing supply, and weakening demand lead to a potential expansion of the supply - demand gap [30][31] - **Soda Ash**: 01 contract bears are advised to exit and wait and watch. Supply is expected to contract, and cost support is strong, with limited downward space for the price [34][35] Cotton Textile Industry Chain - **Cotton and Cotton Yarn**: They are expected to trade sideways. Global supply - demand data is relatively loose, and downstream consumption is weak [35] - **PTA**: It is in a low - level sideways trend. Supply is accumulating, demand is weak, and the price is affected by factors such as oil prices and cost [35][37] - **Apples**: They are expected to be in a slightly strong sideways trend. With a decline in both production and quality, prices are likely to remain strong [37] - **Red Dates**: They are expected to trade sideways with a weakening trend. The acquisition progress is accelerating, and prices are slightly loosening [38] Agriculture and Animal Husbandry - **Pigs**: They are under pressure for rebound. Short - term price fluctuations are affected by factors such as secondary fattening and demand, and long - term supply remains high [40] - **Eggs**: They have limited upside potential. Supply is sufficient in the short - term, and demand is stable. In the long - term, supply pressure may gradually ease [43] - **Corn**: It is in a bottom - building sideways trend. Short - term price is affected by new - grain listing, and long - term supply - demand is relatively balanced with some pressure on the upside [44][45] - **Soybean Meal**: It is in a range - bound trend. US soybean supply - demand and domestic buying and selling affect the price, and range trading or basis pricing is recommended [45] - **Oils and Fats**: They are in a weak adjustment. Different oils have different supply - demand situations, and short - term adjustment risks exist, with long - term potential for wide - range fluctuations [46][51]