Core Insights - The Chinese futures market showed significant growth in December, with a trading volume of 9.51 billion contracts and a turnover of 90.81 trillion yuan, marking year-on-year increases of 45.17% and 58.55% respectively [1] - By the end of 2025, the cumulative trading volume is projected to reach 90.74 billion contracts and a turnover of 766.25 trillion yuan, reflecting year-on-year growth of 17.4% and 23.74% [1] Trading Volume and Turnover by Exchange - The Shanghai Futures Exchange (SHFE) is expected to have a trading volume of approximately 23.35 billion contracts and a turnover of about 259 trillion yuan by 2025, with year-on-year growth of 3.31% and 27.86% [1] - The Zhengzhou Commodity Exchange (ZCE) is projected to achieve a trading volume of around 31.38 billion contracts and a turnover of approximately 88.96 trillion yuan, with year-on-year increases of 20.26% and 4.47% [1] - The Dalian Commodity Exchange (DCE) is anticipated to have a trading volume of about 26.07 billion contracts and a turnover of around 102.77 trillion yuan, with year-on-year growth of 14.94% and 4.49% [1] - The China Financial Futures Exchange (CFFEX) is expected to reach a trading volume of approximately 3.04 billion contracts and a turnover of about 255.19 trillion yuan, with year-on-year increases of 19.94% and 33.66% [1] - The Guangzhou Futures Exchange (GFE) is projected to have a trading volume of around 5.34 billion contracts and a turnover of approximately 31.60 trillion yuan, with year-on-year growth of 171.62% and 190.27% [1] Leading Products by Trading Volume and Turnover - In December, the top three products by turnover at SHFE were silver futures, gold futures, and copper futures [2] - The leading products by turnover at ZCE included PTA futures, caustic soda futures, and glass futures [2] - The DCE's top products by turnover were coking coal futures, palm oil futures, and soybean meal futures [2] - GFE's leading products by turnover included lithium carbonate futures, polysilicon futures, and platinum futures [2] - CFFEX's top products by turnover were CSI 1000 index futures, CSI 500 index futures, and 30-year treasury bond futures [2] Market Drivers and Trends - The growth in the futures market is attributed to increased hedging demand from industrial enterprises due to factors such as fluctuating U.S. tariffs, a loose global monetary policy environment, rising geopolitical risks, and domestic economic adjustments [3] - The influx of long-term capital into the capital market, particularly from insurance funds, has also contributed to the increased hedging demand [3] - The recovery of operational conditions in the real economy, especially in new sectors like renewable energy and AI, has boosted optimism regarding the demand for new energy materials [3] - The introduction of 18 new futures and options products covering various sectors has enhanced the product system of the market [3] Performance of Commodity Markets - The commodity market experienced more declines than increases last year, with precious metals continuing to rise for the fourth consecutive year; gold and silver prices increased by 55.77% and 124.62% respectively [4] - The non-ferrous metals sector also performed strongly, with copper and tin prices rising by 33.18% and 29.01% respectively [4] - The energy and chemical sector, however, faced challenges, with crude oil prices declining by 10.98% [4] Future Outlook - The futures market is expected to continue its high-quality development, with anticipated growth in trading volume and turnover of 10% to 15% this year [4] - New products like coking coal options are expected to be launched, further expanding the market's service scope [4] - The demand for hedging from real enterprises is projected to increase due to ongoing global commodity price volatility and geopolitical risks [4]

【冠通期货研究报告】 玻璃日报：短期震荡偏强 发布日期：2026 年 1 月 8 日 一、市场行情回顾 1，期货市场：玻璃主力低开高走，日内走强。120 分钟布林带三轨开口向 上，短期延续震荡偏强信号，盘中压力关注前期高点附近，支撑关注今日的低点 附近。成交量较昨日减 24.8 万手，持仓量较昨日增 67492 手；日内最高 1171， 最低 1136，收盘 1163，（较昨日结算价）涨 30 元/吨，涨幅 2.65%。 2，现货市场：整体产销向好，除西北地区价格暂稳外，其他区域均有企业 提涨。华北：市场成交向好，厂家挺价心理渐起；华东：下游刚需补货为主，价 格暂稳；华中：成交尚可，湖北个别厂家提涨；华南：下游适量采购，重心上移。 3，基差：华北现货价格 1020，基差-143 元/吨。 二、基本面数据 供应方面，截止1月8日，全国浮法玻璃日均产量为15.01万吨，比1日-0.96%。 全国浮法玻璃产量 105.92 万吨，环比-1.32%，同比-3.9%。行业平均开工率 71.96%， 环比-1.08%；平均产能利用率 75.63%，环比-1.03%。湖南旗滨光能科技有限公 司郴州一线设计产能 1000 吨 ...

【冠通期货研究报告】 纯碱日报：短期震荡偏强 发布日期：2026 年 1 月 8 日 一、市场行情回顾 1，期货市场：纯碱主力低开低走，日内走弱。120 分钟布林带三轨开口向 上，短期震荡偏强信号，上方压力重点关注周线的 60 均线附近，支撑继续关注 日线的 40 均线附近。成交量较昨日减 15.6 万手，持仓量较昨日增 13.1 万手； 日内最高 1271，最低 1222，收盘 1239，（较昨日结算价）涨 2 元/吨，涨幅 0.16%。 2，现货市场：窄幅上涨。企业装置大稳小动，博源银根产量提升，产业供 应高位徘徊。下游采购情绪一般，多维持按需补货，低价成交为主。 3，基差：华北重碱现货价格 1250，基差 11 元/吨。 二、基本面数据 供应方面，截止 1 月 8 日，国内纯碱产量 75.36 万吨，环比+5.65 万吨，涨 幅 8.11%。其中，轻碱产量 34.91 万吨，环比+2.30 万吨；重碱产量 40.45 万吨， 环比+3.35 万吨。综合产能利用率 84.39%，上周 79.96%，环比+4.43%。其中氨 碱产能利用率 90.41%，环比+11.20%；联产产能利用率 74.11%，环比 ...

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided in the report. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The domestic cotton market has relatively sufficient supply as the national cotton inspection volume has exceeded 6 million tons, and the ginning mills' lint processing is nearly finished. The orders for medium - and high - count yarns from downstream textile enterprises are stable, with most enterprises making just - in - time replenishments. Some regional warehouses have seen a slight decrease in inventory, and overall outbound shipments are good, but the national commercial inventory is expected to continue increasing. - There are growing expectations of a reduction in cotton planting area in Xinjiang in 2026, and the new cycle of target price subsidies provides a bottom - line support. In the short term, the upward driving force for cotton prices remains unchanged, and potential risks and correction opportunities should be monitored. [2] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Futures Market - Zhengzhou cotton main contract closed at 14,740 yuan/ton, down 295 yuan; cotton yarn main contract closed at 20,795 yuan/ton, down 255 yuan. - The net position of the top 20 in cotton futures was - 162,774 lots, an increase of 27,643 lots; the net position of the top 20 in cotton yarn futures was - 2,298 lots, an increase of 203 lots. - The main contract positions of cotton were 862,891 lots, a decrease of 62,575 lots; the main contract positions of cotton yarn were 17,043 lots, a decrease of 906 lots. - Cotton warehouse receipts were 7,189 lots, an increase of 140 lots; cotton yarn warehouse receipts were 20 lots, unchanged. - The China Cotton Price Index (CCIndex:3128B) was 15,992 yuan/ton, an increase of 208 yuan; the China Yarn Price Index for pure - combed 32 - count cotton yarn was 21,300 yuan/ton, unchanged. [2] 3.2 Spot Market - The arrival price of imported cotton (FCIndexM:1% tariff) was 12,599 yuan/ton, down 35 yuan; the arrival price of imported pure - combed 32 - count cotton yarn was 21,059 yuan/ton, an increase of 101 yuan. - The arrival price of imported cotton (FCIndexM:sliding duty) was 13,729 yuan/ton, down 25 yuan; the arrival price of imported pure - combed 32 - count cotton yarn was 22,387 yuan/ton, an increase of 103 yuan. [2] 3.3 Upstream Situation - The national cotton sowing area was 2,838.3 thousand hectares, an increase of 48.3 thousand hectares; the national cotton output was 6.16 million tons, an increase of 0.54 million tons. [2] 3.4 Industry Situation - The cotton - yarn price difference was 5,308 yuan/ton, down 208 yuan; the national industrial inventory of cotton was 850,000 tons, an increase of 65,000 tons. - The monthly import volume of cotton was 120,000 tons, an increase of 30,000 tons; the monthly import volume of cotton yarn was 150,000 tons, an increase of 10,000 tons. - The profit of imported cotton was 2,263 yuan/ton, an increase of 233 yuan; the national commercial inventory of cotton was 4.6836 million tons, an increase of 1.753 million tons. [2] 3.5 Downstream Situation - The inventory days of yarn were 26.33 days, an increase of 0.21 days; the inventory days of grey cloth were 32.34 days, an increase of 0.37 days. - The monthly output of cloth was 2.81 billion meters, an increase of 0.19 billion meters; the monthly output of yarn was 2.039 million tons, an increase of 0.038 million tons. - The monthly export value of clothing and clothing accessories was 11,593,686 thousand US dollars, an increase of 590,205.57 thousand US dollars; the monthly export value of textile yarns, fabrics and products was 12,275,733 thousand US dollars, an increase of 1,017,314.08 thousand US dollars. [2] 3.6 Option Market - The implied volatility of at - the - money call options for cotton was 15.87%, an increase of 2.74%; the implied volatility of at - the - money put options for cotton was 15.87%, an increase of 2.73%. - The 20 - day historical volatility of cotton was 9.63%, an increase of 0.32%; the 60 - day historical volatility of cotton was 7.53%, an increase of 0.27%. [2] 3.7 Industry News - As of the week of January 4, the inventory of imported cotton in major ports increased by 0.53% week - on - week, with a total inventory of 397,300 tons. Among them, the inventory in Shandong's Qingdao, Jinan ports and surrounding warehouses was 334,000 tons, a year - on - year decrease of 21.48%, the inventory in Jiangsu's Zhangjiagang port and surrounding warehouses was about 34,100 tons, and the inventory in other ports was about 29,200 tons. This week, the arrivals were mainly Brazilian and Australian cotton, and the quotas have not been issued yet, with the market in a wait - and - see mode. - The Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) cotton futures fell on Wednesday, erasing earlier gains and closing lower due to the stronger US dollar. The ICE March cotton futures contract closed down 0.21 cents, or 0.32%, at 64.85 cents per pound. - Brazil's cotton sowing progress is smooth, significantly faster than the five - year average. As of the week of December 27, 2025, the planting rate of Brazil's 2025/26 cotton was 25.1%, compared with 16.9% the previous week and a five - year average of 15.6%. [2]

期，港口甲醇库存或有望高位回落。需求方面，本周华东MTO企业多家负荷下调，不过内地企业负荷提升 数据来源第三方，观点仅供参考，市场有风险，投资需谨慎！ ，对冲之后国内甲醇制烯烃周均开工小幅提升，随着后期华东MTO检修计划落地，MTO行业存在负荷降低 研究员: 林静宜 期货从业资格号F03139610 期货投资咨询从业证书号Z0021558 | | | 甲醇产业日报 2026-01-08 | 项目类别 | 数据指标 | 最新 | 环比 数据指标 | 最新 | 环比 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 期货市场 | 主力合约收盘价甲醇(日,元/吨) | 2231 | -36 甲醇5-9价差(日,元/吨) | -4 | -24 | | | 主力合约持仓量:甲醇(日,手) | 870199 | 51352 期货前20名持仓:净买单量:甲醇(日,手) | -176203 | -38027 | | | 仓单数量:甲醇(日,张) | 8205 | 0 | | | | 现货市场 | 江苏太仓(日,元/吨) | 2255 | 5 内蒙古(日,元/吨) | 1857.5 | -2. ...

1. Report Industry Investment Ratings No information about industry investment ratings is provided in the reports. 2. Core Views of the Reports 2.1 Palm Oil - Affected by a mix of bullish and bearish fundamentals, palm oil futures prices will continue to trade in a range. In the domestic market, Dalian palm oil futures are consolidating, with short - term prices holding above 8,500 yuan. Attention should be paid to whether it can effectively break through the moving average resistance and whether Malaysian palm oil can hold above 4,000 ringgit [1]. 2.2 Soybean Oil - Uncertainty in the US biodiesel policy makes CBOT soybean oil vulnerable to the movements of related varieties. Although the purchase of US soybeans by Cofco this week boosted CBOT soybean prices, global soybean supply remains ample, keeping CBOT soybeans under pressure. In the domestic market, the pre - Spring Festival stocking period and reduced soybean imports are positive factors, but CBOT soybeans may still correct after a short - term rebound, and the May contract of Dalian soybean oil faces resistance around 7,950 - 8,000 yuan [1]. 2.3 Rapeseed Oil - With limited available domestic rapeseed oil in the spot market, the market is closely watching whether COFCO will start operations on the 10th. Supported by tight spot supply, the downside for rapeseed oil in the short term is limited, and the overall trend will be a wide - range shock adjustment [1]. 2.4 Red Dates - Downstream demand is on a need - to - buy basis, with more buyers inspecting goods, but there is no significant improvement in trading volume. Spot prices are weakly stable. Driven by positive sentiment in the commodity market, futures prices rebounded, and the basis narrowed. The generation of new - season warehouse receipts is accelerating. The pre - Spring Festival stocking and actual inventory - reduction progress should be monitored. In the short term, there is no obvious fundamental driver, and futures prices will fluctuate and consolidate [2]. 2.5 Corn - In the northeast, corn trading is average, and prices are stable, while in the north port, prices declined slightly due to increased arrivals. In the north China region, farmers are reluctant to sell, and the number of trucks arriving at deep - processing plants is low. However, due to profit losses, plants are not willing to raise prices, so prices are generally stable. On the demand side, low inventory at the north port supports prices, but deep - processing plants' profit losses limit their acceptance of high - priced corn, and feed companies have sufficient inventory. Policy - wise, the targeted auction of imported corn and the start of competitive sales supplement market supply but have limited short - term impact. In the short term, the reluctance to sell and downstream restocking support the futures market, but selling pressure and policy - driven supply limit the upside. Attention should be paid to policy implementation and farmers' selling attitudes [5]. 2.6 Sugar - As the Brazilian sugarcane crushing season nears its end, its influence on the raw sugar market is diminishing. The market focus has shifted to the northern hemisphere's sugarcane production. India's sugar production in the 2025/26 season is increasing, while Thailand's production is still down year - on - year. In the short term, prices are expected to trade in the range of 14.5 - 15.5 cents per pound. In the domestic market, pre - Spring Festival stocking has boosted sales, and December's Guangxi production and sales data met expectations. However, as it is the peak of the sugar - making season, market participants are cautious, and price increases face resistance. Sugar prices are expected to remain in a low - level range - bound pattern [8][9]. 2.7 Apples - With the approaching Spring Festival stocking season, the trading atmosphere in the apple market has warmed up, and the number of trucks arriving at wholesale markets has increased. High - quality apples are in short supply and prices are firm, but high prices may suppress consumption, and competition from other fruits (such as citrus) has put pressure on ordinary apples' inventory. Futures prices have rebounded, and delivery profits have improved. Attention should be paid to inventory - reduction progress [13]. 2.8 Cotton - ICE cotton futures declined due to falling crude oil prices and a stronger US dollar. In the US cotton - growing areas, rising temperatures, reduced precipitation, and an increasing drought index are in line with the winter La Nina weather pattern. USDA export sales have returned to normal levels, and shipments have slowed. In the domestic market, processing enterprises are holding firm on prices, and the basis is strong. The core drivers are the expected reduction in cotton planting in Xinjiang and downstream restocking, but low - cost foreign cotton and the off - season demand limit price increases. In the short term, cotton prices are expected to remain bullish, but there is a risk of correction after continuous price increases [16]. 2.9 Eggs - Based on previous chick sales data, the number of laying hens entering the laying period in January is expected to be lower than the number of old hens leaving the flock, potentially reducing the laying - hen inventory and easing supply pressure. After continuous price increases, the downstream market is resistant to high - priced eggs, and all sectors are actively selling. Egg prices in the production areas are mixed. Market circulation is smooth, and inventory levels are low. As the traditional consumption peak approaches, downstream stocking demand is rising, but due to relatively ample supply, the main contract is expected to trade in a low - level range [18]. 2.10 Pigs - Spot pig prices have returned to a range - bound pattern. After the New Year's Day, market demand has declined significantly. In the north, pig sales have decreased, but high prices have dampened slaughterhouses' purchasing enthusiasm. In the south, demand has dropped sharply, providing little support for prices. Some second - fattening operations are still buying, but overall enthusiasm is low due to high current prices and weak future expectations. The market is betting on pre - Spring Festival consumption, but pigs are expected to be sold in mid - to - late January, and the overall supply in January is expected to be ample. Futures prices were previously strong due to market sentiment, but the upside is limited, and there will be pressure later [19]. 2.11 Meal - Affected by funds and sentiment, US soybean prices are strong, but the global supply - demand situation remains loose, and the expected high - yield in South America continues to suppress prices. The market is waiting for the USDA supply - demand report next Monday for new trading guidance. In the domestic market, the supply of soybeans and soybean meal remains ample, but the expected future tightness supports the 3 - 5 spread and basis. The expected low arrivals in the first quarter are uncertain due to auctions and arrival schedules. The downside for soybean meal is limited, and the upside is mainly affected by policy. In the short term, with positive macro sentiment, the futures market will be range - bound and bullish [21]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs 3.1 Price and Spread Data 3.1.1 Oils - **Soybean Oil**: On January 7, the spot price in Jiangsu was 8,460 yuan, the May 2026 futures price (Y2605) was 7,958 yuan, up 0.58% from the previous day, and the basis was 502 yuan, down 8.39% [1]. - **Palm Oil**: The spot price of 24 - degree palm oil in Guangdong was 8,570 yuan, the May 2026 futures price (P2605) was 8,562 yuan, up 0.73%, and the basis was 8 yuan, down 88.57%. The import cost at Guangzhou Port for May was 8,930 yuan, down 0.18%, and the import profit was - 368 yuan, up 17.58% [1]. - **Rapeseed Oil**: The spot price of third - grade rapeseed oil in Jiangsu was 9,900 yuan, the May 2026 futures price (OI605) was 9,130 yuan, down 0.38%, and the basis was 802 yuan, up 4.55% [1]. - **Spreads**: The 05 - 09 spread for the three oils was 150 yuan, up 8.70%; for palm oil, it was 110 yuan, down 6.78%; for rapeseed oil, it was 14 yuan, down 73.08%. The spot soybean - palm oil spread was - 110 yuan, unchanged; the 2605 spread was - 604 yuan, down 2.72%. The spot rapeseed - soybean oil spread was 1,440 yuan, unchanged; the 2605 spread was 1,137 yuan, down 6.65% [1]. 3.1.2 Red Dates - On January 8, the price of the main contract (2605) was 9,150 yuan/ton, up 1.95%. The 5 - 7 spread was - 45 yuan/ton, up 35.71%, and the 5 - 9 spread was - 180 yuan/ton, up 18.18%. The basis for Cangzhou's top - grade red dates was - 75 yuan/ton, up 60%. The total number of warehouse receipts and valid forecasts was 3,008, up 1.72% [2]. 3.1.3 Corn - The price of the March 2026 corn contract (2603) was 2,248 yuan/ton, up 1.17%. The basis was 72 yuan, down 30.10%. The 3 - 7 spread was - 36 yuan, up 21.74%. The north - south trading profit was - 21 yuan, down 31.25%, and the import profit was 267 yuan, up 3.71% [5]. 3.1.4 Sugar - The May 2026 sugar futures price (2605) was 5,281 yuan/ton, up 0.42%. The 5 - 9 spread was - 12 yuan, up 25%. The spot price in Nanning was 5,350 yuan/ton, up 0.19%, and the basis was 69 yuan, down 14.81%. Nationwide, the cumulative sugar production was 105 million tons, down 23.24%, and the cumulative sales were 35 million tons, down 42.53% [8]. 3.1.5 Apples - The price of the main contract (2605) was 8,583 yuan/ton, down 0.32%. The 5 - 10 spread was 1,109 yuan, up 2.40%. The basis was - 1,383 yuan, up 2.19%. The total number of trucks arriving at three major fruit wholesale markets increased, and the national cold - storage inventory was 733.56 million tons, down 1.41% [10]. 3.1.6 Cotton - The May 2026 cotton futures price (2605) was 15,035 yuan/ton, up 1.21%. The 5 - 9 spread was - 190 yuan, down 2.70%. The Xinjiang ex - factory price of 3128B cotton was 15,574 yuan/ton, up 0.56%. The commercial inventory was 534.9 million tons, up 14.2%, and the industrial inventory was 98.39 million tons, up 4.7% [16]. 3.1.7 Eggs - The March 2026 egg futures price (03) was 3,011 yuan/500 kg, up 0.37%. The basis was 86 yuan/500 kg, up 69.26%. The 3 - 4 spread was - 253 yuan, down 1.20%. The price of egg - laying chicks was 2.8 yuan per chick, unchanged, and the price of culled hens was 3.95 yuan per catty, up 2.07% [18]. 3.1.8 Pigs - The price of the May 2026 pig futures contract (2605) was 12,260 yuan/ton, up 0.04%. The basis of the main contract was 1,215 yuan, up 6.58%. The 3 - 5 spread was - 475 yuan, down 6.74%. The spot price in Henan was 13,000 yuan/ton, up 0.39%. The self - breeding profit per pig was - 35 yuan, up 73.41%, and the number of fertile sows was 3,990 million heads, down 1.12% [19]. 3.1.9 Meal - For soybean meal, the spot price in Jiangsu was 3,120 yuan, up 0.65%. The May 2026 futures price (M2605) was 2,811 yuan, up 1.26%, and the basis was 300 yuan, down 4.63%. The import crushing profit for Brazilian soybeans for February shipment was 157 yuan, up 45.4%. For rapeseed meal, the spot price in Jiangsu was 2,490 yuan, up 2.05%, and the May 2026 futures price (RM2605) was 2,419 yuan, up 1.21% [21].

农产品日报 | 2026-01-08 市场要闻与重要数据 期货方面，昨日收盘豆粕2605合约2811元/吨，较前日变动+35元/吨，幅度+1.26%；菜粕2605合约2419元/吨，较前 日变动+29元/吨，幅度+1.21%。现货方面，天津地区豆粕现货价格3140元/吨，较前日变动+30元/吨，现货基差 M05+329，较前日变动-5；江苏地区豆粕现货3110元/吨，较前日变动+40元/吨，现货基差M05+299，较前日变动 +5；广东地区豆粕现货价格3140元/吨，较前日变动跌+30元/吨，现货基差M05+329，较前日变动-5。福建地区菜 粕现货价格2620元/吨，较前日变动+20元/吨，现货基差RM05+201，较前日变动-9。 近期市场资讯，巴西国家商品供应公司作物进展报告称，截止2026年1月3日，巴西2025/26年度大豆播种进度98.2%， 高于一周前的97.9%和五年同期均值97.6%，但低于去年同期的98.5%；收获进度0.1%，低于去年同期的0.2%和五 年同期均值0.6%。 市场分析 当前下游油厂大豆和豆粕库存均维持高位，但由于偏高的进口成本和一季度偏少的到港，使得市场对于近月合约 的预 ...

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光大期货煤化工商品日报（2026 年 1 月 8 日） 一、研究观点 | 点评 | | | | | 品种 | | 观点 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | | | 尿素 | | 偏强 | | 周三尿素现货市场继续走强，主流地区市场价格局部继续上调 | | | | | | 10 元/吨，山东、河 南地区市场价格目前均为 1750 元/吨，日环比分别上涨 10 元/吨、持平。昨日尿素 | | | 行业日产量 | | | | | | 20.4 万吨，日环比稳定。中旬之后仍有企业复产，尿素供应水平继续提 | | | 升。需求端追高情绪谨慎，昨日主流地区产销率回落至 | | | | | | 10%～30%区间，仅个别地 | | | 区仍能维持 | | | | | | 100%以上。本周尿素企业库存小幅增加 0.29%，尿素基本面近期变化不 | | | 大，期货市场煤炭走强对尿素期价提供强力支撑，再加上后续印标最终结果、出口 | | | | | | | | | 以及国内宏观等方面仍有题材发酵可能，预计短期尿素期货价格继续偏强运行。考 | ...

厂内库存基本持平 市场分析 价格与基差：2026-01-07，尿素主力收盘1790元/吨（+12）；河南小颗粒出厂价报价：1750 元/吨（0）；山东地区小 颗粒报价：1750元/吨（+10）；江苏地区小颗粒报价：1760元/吨（+10）；小块无烟煤800元/吨（+0），山东基差： -40元/吨（-2）；河南基差：-40元/吨（-12）；江苏基差：-30元/吨（-2）；尿素生产利润185元/吨（+10），出口利润 843元/吨（-21）。 尿素日报 | 2026-01-08 供应端：截至2026-01-07，企业产能利用率80.29%（0.08%）。样本企业总库存量为102.22 万吨（+0.30），港口样本 库存量为17.20 万吨（-0.50）。 风险 国内出口政策、装置检修情况、库存变动情况、农业需求情况。 2026年期货市场研究报告 第1页 请仔细阅读本报告最后一页的免责声明 需求端：截至2026-01-07，复合肥产能利用率33.89%（-3.86%）；三聚氰胺产能利用率为47.65%（-10.42%）；尿素 企业预收订单天数6.41日（+0.41）。 尿素元旦节后部分地区环保限制解除，成交好转，期 ...