Core Insights - Galaxy General has completed a new financing round exceeding $300 million, setting a record for single-round financing in the embodied intelligence sector, with a post-financing valuation of $3 billion (approximately 211.3 billion RMB) [1][5] - The investment round was led by China Mobile Chain Long Fund, with participation from various industry capital and investment platforms, indicating strong market confidence in the embodied intelligence field [1][2] Financing Details - The financing attracted both domestic and international investors, including significant players like CICC, the Chinese Academy of Sciences Fund, and others, highlighting a collaborative investment approach [1][2] - Following this round, Galaxy General's total financing has reached approximately $800 million, with the valuation tripling in just six months from $1 billion [1][5] Technological Advancements - Galaxy General employs a unique training paradigm using synthetic action data for pre-training and real data for post-training, claiming to have developed a full-stack self-research model from "hundred billion datasets" to "embodied large models" [3] - The company has launched several models, including GraspVLA, GroceryVLA, and NavFoM, and has achieved significant milestones in autonomous operations, winning competitions with its Galbot robot team [3] Industry Collaborations - In the industrial manufacturing sector, Galaxy General has established partnerships with major companies such as CATL, Bosch, Toyota, and others, accumulating thousands of orders for humanoid robots [3] - The company is also expanding into commercial services and healthcare, with solutions like the "Galaxy Space Capsule" and collaborations with medical institutions for robotic applications in hospitals [4] IPO Plans - Galaxy General is preparing for an IPO in Hong Kong, with plans to submit an application as early as the first quarter of next year, targeting a valuation between $3 billion and $4 billion [1][5][6] - The company’s recent stock reform is seen as a strategic move to attract new primary market investors, reflecting a broader trend of startups in the sector accelerating their path to public markets [6]

Core Insights - UAE capital is poised to play a crucial role in reversing market concerns about an AI bubble, with OpenAI planning to raise up to $100 billion, seeking investments from UAE sovereign wealth funds [1] - The involvement of UAE funds reflects a "Too Big To Fail" mentality, indicating that continued capital infusion is necessary to maintain the operational stability of major AI firms [1] - The financing implications extend beyond OpenAI, affecting the financial health of key suppliers like Oracle, which faced a downgrade in debt ratings due to concerns over OpenAI's revenue generation capabilities [1] Funding Impact - The funds raised by OpenAI will primarily be used to cover computing costs, providing a stable revenue stream for data center service providers like Oracle, which saw its stock rise over 5% following the news [2] - OpenAI's financing pressure began in late October, with investor concerns about its ability to manage $1.4 trillion in debt given its revenue of only $13 billion [5] - OpenAI is reportedly seeking government guarantees to attract the necessary investments for AI computing and infrastructure, highlighting the precarious nature of the current AI funding landscape [5] Strategic Investments - The deep involvement of UAE sovereign wealth funds is reshaping the industry landscape, with OpenAI already receiving support from the MGX fund [8] - SoftBank's CEO has committed to investing $30 billion in OpenAI, having sold $5.8 billion in Nvidia stock to fund this investment, although the total financing still falls short of OpenAI's projected $1.4 trillion capital needs [9] - The upcoming $100 billion investment is expected to significantly enhance OpenAI's competitive position in the AI sector and improve the financial outlook for partners like Oracle and CoreWeave [9]

风险提示及免责条款 市场有风险，投资需谨慎。本文不构成个人投资建议，也未考虑到个别用户特殊的投资目标、财务状况或需要。用户应考虑本文中的任何 意见、观点或结论是否符合其特定状况。据此投资，责任自负。 近日市场监管总局修改《禁止垄断协议规定》，明确不予禁止的纵向垄断协议需符合的市场份额标准和 其他条件，将于2026年2月1日起施行。 《中华人民共和国反垄断法》2022年修改后建立一项新制度， 规定对市场份额低于一定标准并符合相关条件的经营者，对其达成的纵向垄断协议不予禁止。为明确上 述市场份额标准和条件，稳定市场预期，维护市场公平竞争，市场监管总局经审慎研究评估，并多方征 求意见，制定出台具体规则：对固定或者限定转售商品价格的纵向协议，经营者在协议期间相关市场的 市场份额低于5%，同时协议所涉及商品的营业额低于1亿元的，不予禁止；对其他纵向协议，经营者在 协议期间相关市场的市场份额低于15%的，不予禁止，无营业额条件。同时，配套完善相关程序，提供 了清晰、可操作性强的行为规范。规则制定过程中，市场监管总局既借鉴国际经验，更充分考虑我国超 大规模市场下企业的商业模式和竞争规律，立足于我国市场数据和产业结构特征，形 ...

Core Viewpoint - Pinduoduo Group announced the implementation of a co-chairman system during its annual shareholder meeting, appointing Zhao Jiazhen as co-chairman alongside Chen Lei, with a strategic focus on the Chinese supply chain for future business development [1] Group 1 - The company celebrated its tenth anniversary, highlighting significant accumulation in business, technology, and services, with operations reaching most countries globally [1] - The next phase of the company's strategy will be more focused, with a commitment to high-quality development and a complete overhaul of the platform to enhance the value of its ecosystem [1] - Zhao Jiazhen noted that Temu has achieved remarkable scale at a surprising speed, driven by the benefits of the Chinese supply chain industry, presenting new opportunities for both Pinduoduo and Temu [1] Group 2 - The company plans to concentrate its resources on upgrading and reconstructing the supply chain, aiming for an overall upgrade in supply chain operational models [1] - The direction of high quality and branding will be prioritized, with expectations to recreate another Pinduoduo in the next three years [1]

Core Insights - Goldman Sachs predicts a shift in investment opportunities from AI giants to cyclical sectors as the U.S. economy is expected to accelerate growth in 2026 [1][2] - The report indicates that stock correlations in the U.S. market will drop to historical lows in 2026, suggesting a market driven by stock-picking strategies [1][4] Economic Outlook - The S&P 500 index's earnings per share (EPS) is projected to grow by 12% next year, driven by easing tariff pressures and overall economic acceleration [2] - Cyclical sectors, including industrials, materials, and consumer discretionary, are expected to lead in EPS growth in 2026, with significant rebounds anticipated [3] Sector Performance - Real estate sector EPS growth is forecasted to rise from 5% this year to 15% next year, while consumer discretionary is expected to increase from 3% to 7% [3] - Industrial companies are projected to see EPS growth accelerate from 4% to 15%, contrasting with a slowdown in technology sector EPS growth from 26% in 2025 to 24% in 2026 [3] Market Dynamics - The expected low correlation of 23% among S&P 500 constituents in 2026 indicates a highly differentiated market, where traditional index-buying strategies may underperform [4] - The divergence in stock performance suggests that precise stock selection will be crucial for profitability [4] Seasonal Trends - Historical data indicates that the last two weeks of December typically present a favorable seasonal window for stock performance, with an average return of 1.77% during this period [5][6] - Despite recent declines in the S&P 500 index, there is potential for upward movement as the market enters this historically positive timeframe [5][6]

高盛称，2026年将成为石油供应波动的最后一年，而液化天然气供应激增将持续至2032年，两大供应浪潮将显著压制全球油气 价格。 12月19日，据追风交易台消息，高盛在最新发布的2025-2026年大宗商品展望报告中发出明确信号：微观层面的"供应浪潮"将主 导未来几年的能源价格走势。 该行预计 2026年将迎来"最后一次大规模供应浪潮"，导致市场出现日均200万桶的过剩，布伦特原油价格预计在2026年平均跌至 56美元/桶，并在年中触底。分析师表示，除非出现大规模供应中断或OPEC+大幅减产，否则2026年油价走低将是市场再平衡的 必然选择。 在明年中期触底之后，高盛预计，油价2026年四季度开启回升，因为随着市场开始计价2027年下半年的供应短缺，关注点将转 向激励长周期生产。 报告指出，为满足2030年代及2040年的需求增长并弥补老油田的自然衰退，油价需回升以刺激投资。高盛预计到2028年底，布 伦特/WTI价格将逐步回升至80美元/76美元。 （布伦特原油日线走势图） 同时，高盛预计，天然气市场面临史无前例的超长周期供应过剩。全球LNG供应在2025-2030年激增超过50%，欧洲天然气价格 （TTF） ...

Core Insights - Nike's latest financial report shows robust revenue growth and significant inventory improvement, indicating enhanced operational efficiency, although profit margins are pressured by transformation investments [1][3][6] - The North American market and running category show positive recovery signals, while the Greater China region continues to face challenges, suggesting a full recovery will take time [1][4][6] Financial Performance - For the second fiscal quarter ending November 30, Nike reported net sales of $12.43 billion, a 1% year-over-year increase, outperforming Wall Street expectations [1][5] - Net profit for the quarter was $792 million, a 32% decline, with diluted earnings per share at $0.53 [5] - Inventory decreased by 3% to $7.7 billion, reflecting effective inventory management and preparation for new product launches [1][5] Profitability Challenges - The decline in profit margins is attributed to a significant drop in gross margin by 3 percentage points, influenced by rising tariffs in North America, markdowns from clearing old inventory, and an 8% decrease in direct-to-consumer (DTC) sales [1][3][5] - Marketing expenses increased by 13% year-over-year to stimulate demand, further impacting profit margins in the short term [3][5] Market Performance by Region - North America emerged as a highlight for the quarter, driven by strong performance in running products and new launches [4] - The Europe, Middle East, and Africa (EMEA) region recorded a 3% growth, while Greater China faced challenges with revenue of $1.423 billion, affected by a soft macroeconomic environment and intensified competition [4][5] Strategic Outlook - Nike's management indicated that the current transformation is at a "mid-stage," with a non-linear recovery path expected, particularly in Greater China and the Converse brand [2][6] - The company anticipates low single-digit revenue decline for the third fiscal quarter, reflecting a cautious approach amid a complex external environment [2][6]

持续更新中 风险提示及免责条款 周五上午日本央行宣布加息25个基点，将无担保隔夜拆借利率上调至0.75%，创下1995年以来最高水 平，这次决议以9:0的结果获得全票通过。 市场有风险，投资需谨慎。本文不构成个人投资建议，也未考虑到个别用户特殊的投资目标、财务状况或需要。用户应考虑本文中的任何 意见、观点或结论是否符合其特定状况。据此投资，责任自负。 日本央行行长植田和男在随后的新闻发布会中表示，预计实际利率仍将维持在极低水平。 宽松的货币 环境将继续支撑经济。 如果经济展望实现，日本央行将加息。 经济展望实现的可能性正在上升。 ...

周五，亚太股市追随隔夜美股涨势，日经225指数上涨超1%，MSCI亚太指数上涨0.6%。美股期货涨跌不一，道指期货下跌0.26%， 纳指100期货上涨0.1%。美国通胀数据降温强化了美联储降息预期，标普500指数周四上涨0.8%，纳斯达克100指数涨1.5%，提振市 场情绪。 日本央行宣布加息25个基点，将基准利率上调至30年来最高水平，并暗示如果条件允许将继续收紧货币政策，推动日本10年期国债 收益率自2006年以来首次触及2%，30年期、40年期日债收益率纷纷上行。不过，日元兑所有G10货币下跌，市场认为央行加息步伐 仍将谨慎。 大宗商品市场周五多数承压。因美国通胀放缓和美元走强承压，现货黄金下跌0.1%至4330美元下方。铂金、钯金均回落，周四均显 著拉升。而白银上涨0.4%，逼近66美元。供应过剩仍抑制油价走势，布伦特原油和美国WTI原油双双走低。 核心市场走势： 标普500指数期货基本持平，纳指100指数期货上涨0.1%； 日经225指数上涨1.25%，日本东证指数上涨0.7%；澳大利亚标普/ASX 200指数上涨0.5%； 欧洲斯托克50指数期货下跌0.3%; 美元指数基本持平；日元下跌0.3%至 ...

全球AI竞赛正加速"铜与电"资源的结构性短缺，尤其在美国，电力市场紧张和铜供应受限或将成为制约AI产业发展的关键瓶颈。 据追风交易台，高盛Daan Struyven分析师团队在最新大宗商品2026年展望报告中警告，美国AI数据中心的爆炸式增长正推动电力需求激增，美国 电力市场面临进一步紧张，存在价格大幅上涨甚至停电的风险，这可能成为拖累美国在AI竞赛中进展的关键瓶颈。 报告指出，AI驱动的数据中心繁荣已将美国年化电力需求增长推至近3%，超过GDP增长率。高盛估算，大部分美国区域电力市场的备用发电容量 已处于或低于关键水平。这种紧张局势已在去年夏季引发实时电价飙升，并推高了包括弗吉尼亚州在内的PJM电力市场的发电容量价格——而弗 吉尼亚州正是全球数据中心之都。 高盛预计，2026年美国电力市场将进一步收紧，电价波动加剧，部分地区甚至可能出现电力供应中断，影响数据中心运营和AI算力扩展。铜价则 受益于全球电气化和AI基础设施建设，尽管短期内价格或有调整，但长期看涨逻辑依然坚实。 美国电力市场告急，AI进展或受阻 高盛报告指出，铜是电气化和AI基础设施不可或缺的原材料，约半数全球铜需求来自电力相关领域，包括数据中心 ...