Qi Huo Ri Bao
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供应收缩预期短期内难被证伪 焦炭高位整理价格易涨难跌
Qi Huo Ri Bao· 2025-08-18 23:21
Group 1 - Since late July, coking coal futures prices have maintained a high-level fluctuation pattern due to improved long-term fundamentals in the coal market and a 90-day extension of tariff exemptions between China and the U.S., which alleviated export pressures [1] - The sixth round of price increases for coking coal was implemented on August 14, with prices at 1520 RMB/ton for wet quenching coke and 1460 RMB/ton for ex-factory prices, leading to improved profitability for most coking enterprises [2] - As of August 15, the total inventory of coking coal decreased to 8.8742 million tons, reflecting a continuous trend of inventory reduction across various segments of the industry [3] Group 2 - Current policies, particularly the "anti-involution" policy, are expected to support coking coal prices by suppressing disorderly competition and enhancing supply quality, contributing to a generally optimistic market outlook [4] - Despite a slight increase in supply, demand remains stable, with the average daily production of coking coal and steel maintaining resilience, indicating a balanced supply-demand dynamic [3][4] - The overall macroeconomic environment is optimistic, which, combined with stable supply and demand fundamentals, is expected to drive coking coal futures to continue high-level operations [4]
胶版印刷纸期货等5个品种9月10日上市
Qi Huo Ri Bao· 2025-08-18 17:02
Core Viewpoint - The Shanghai Futures Exchange announced the launch of futures and options for coated printing paper, fuel oil, asphalt, and pulp on September 10, 2025, aiming to provide risk management tools for the cultural paper market and enhance China's position in the global cultural paper industry [1][2]. Group 1: Market Development - The introduction of coated printing paper futures and options will fill a gap in domestic cultural paper derivatives and provide precise tools for managing price volatility for industry chain enterprises [1][2]. - The futures and options will help establish a fair and objective pricing system, leveraging China's status as the largest producer and consumer of cultural paper [2][3]. Group 2: Risk Management - The current lack of a unified pricing benchmark in the spot market creates challenges for enterprises facing price volatility; the new futures and options are expected to improve risk management systems [2][3]. - The "warehouse + factory" physical delivery model will effectively reduce delivery costs and meet the customized needs of enterprises, ensuring smooth delivery and market stability [3][4]. Group 3: Contract Specifications - The trading unit for coated printing paper futures is set at 40 tons per contract, aligning with current purchasing habits and transportation methods in the industry [4]. - The minimum price fluctuation for coated printing paper options is established at 1 yuan per ton, reflecting the typical trading behavior of option traders [5]. Group 4: Regulatory Measures - The Shanghai Futures Exchange emphasizes strong regulation and risk prevention measures to ensure the smooth operation of the new products, including early identification and monitoring of potential risks [5]. - The exchange plans to conduct market promotion, discussions, training, and investor education to enhance the functionality of futures and options and support high-quality development of the real economy [5].
税务部门首次披露“新三样”领域偷骗税案件
Qi Huo Ri Bao· 2025-08-18 16:10
从披露的案例看,有的企业将非直接从事研发工作的人员工资费用纳入研发支出进行申报,违规享受研 发费用加计扣除税费优惠。有的则是骗税团伙通过操控多家新能源企业,虚开发票并虚构生产加工假 象,将不能退税的产品,以可退税的"新三样"产品名义出口,骗取国家出口退税款。 "近年来,国家对'新三样'部署实施一系列税费优惠政策,有力支持了相关经营主体快速发展。"国家税 务总局相关部门负责人说,但仍有少数"新三样"领域经营主体在本身缴税较少的情况下,仍违规骗享税 费优惠甚至偷税骗税,既违背了税费优惠激励创新发展的初衷,又破坏了法治公平的税收环境,还助长 了低价低效无序"内卷式"竞争,加剧产能过剩,破坏全国统一大市场建设。 据新华社电国家税务总局18日对外发布"新三样"(电动汽车、锂电池、光伏产品)领域两起偷骗税案件, 这是税务部门首次披露该领域的违法案件。 ...
定了!上期所胶版印刷纸期货和期权等5个品种9月10日上市
Qi Huo Ri Bao· 2025-08-18 12:03
8月18日,上海期货交易所(下称上期所)发布信息称,将于2025年9月10日9时挂牌交易胶版印刷纸期货 及燃料油、石油沥青、纸浆期权,胶版印刷纸期权挂牌交易时间为2025年9月10日21时。 为确保5个品种平稳推出和稳健运行,上期所发布了上述品种合约、业务细则、上市交易有关事项的通 知等内容,上期所相关负责人就市场关心的热点问题接受了媒体采访。 填补市场空白,进一步完善纸企风险管理体系 提及上期所上市胶版印刷纸期货及期权的原因,上期所相关负责人表示,主要是为了给文化用纸市场提 供风险管理工具,完善浆纸产业全周期风险管理体系的同时,助力造纸产业绿色发展,并巩固提升中国 在全球文化用纸行业的地位。 据期货日报记者了解,近年来,我国造纸工业正加快产业升级。据统计,2024年我国胶版印刷纸产量 948万吨,表观消费量871万吨。国内外市场环境复杂多变,企业转型升级、营收增长压力较大,产业避 险需求高。 在厦门国贸(600755)集团股份有限公司浆纸集群总经理黄东东看来,胶版印刷纸期货及期权的上市, 不仅将填补国内文化用纸衍生品的空白,更将为我国文化用纸产业链企业提供精准管理价格波动风险的 工具。 据中粮期货北京市东城 ...
上期所胶版印刷纸期货及期权9月10日上市交易
Qi Huo Ri Bao· 2025-08-18 09:41
Core Viewpoint - The Shanghai Futures Exchange has announced the approval of futures and options for coated printing paper by the China Securities Regulatory Commission, set to launch on September 10, 2025 [1] Group 1 - The futures and options for coated printing paper will begin trading on September 10, 2025, with a pre-opening auction from 08:55 to 09:00 and regular trading starting at 09:00 [1] - The margin requirement for trading will be 8% of the contract value, while the margin for hedging transactions will be 7% [1] - The price fluctuation limit will be set at ±6%, with a double limit on the first trading day [1]
筑牢金融科技根基 护航企业安全发展——国内首家!中金岭南期货双系统信创改造成功并上线
Qi Huo Ri Bao· 2025-08-18 08:23
Group 1 - The core idea of the news is that Zhongjin Lingnan Futures has achieved a significant milestone in its "信创" (Xinchuang) transformation, becoming the first futures company in China to implement the Xinchuang version of the Deso CRM system and the CAP account, which sets a precedent for the industry [1] - The Xinchuang transformation is not merely a technical upgrade but aims to achieve self-controllable core technologies, effectively mitigating external technology risks and ensuring national technological security and supply chain safety [2] - The company emphasizes the importance of political responsibility and strategic foresight in driving technological innovation, establishing a dedicated task force led by the party secretary to ensure the integration of party principles into every aspect of system development [2] Group 2 - The transformation enhances customer service efficiency by streamlining business processes, allowing for a "one-stop" service for high-frequency tasks such as account opening and data changes, significantly improving customer satisfaction and operational efficiency [3] - The company has achieved full autonomy over core business data and systems, ensuring the security of customer funds and transaction information, which enhances market trust in the financial institution [3] - Looking ahead, the company aims to implement the digital transformation directives from the central government, leveraging Xinchuang achievements to support the economic development of the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area [4] Group 3 - Zhongjin Lingnan Futures is committed to creating a comprehensive service system that integrates futures and industry, providing robust financial technology support for the non-ferrous metal industry’s supply stability and green transformation [4] - The company maintains its mission of being a state-owned enterprise that serves the nation, aiming to enhance its information security capabilities to support higher quality development [4]
让“郑州方案”成为全球大宗商品定价体系中的“中国印记”
Qi Huo Ri Bao· 2025-08-18 03:02
Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the increasing international influence of the "Zhengzhou Price" in the global commodity market, particularly through the opening of China's futures market and the introduction of foreign participants in various futures contracts, enhancing price transparency and risk management for domestic and international enterprises [1][21][25]. Group 1: Development of Zhengzhou Futures Market - Since 2018, the Zhengzhou Commodity Exchange (ZCE) has made significant strides in internationalizing its futures market, particularly with PTA futures, which has become a key pricing reference for cross-border trade [5][21]. - The introduction of foreign participants has led to the establishment of a more transparent pricing mechanism, allowing companies to lock in prices and manage risks more effectively [6][10][12]. - The ZCE's initiatives, such as the introduction of bonded delivery and export-type delivery systems, have facilitated smoother cross-border transactions and enhanced the efficiency of international trade [9][23]. Group 2: Impact on Industries - The PTA industry in China has transformed from a reliance on foreign technology to becoming a globally competitive sector, with annual production capacity projected to increase from over 49 million tons in 2020 to 86 million tons by 2024 [3][4]. - The "Zhengzhou Price" has gained recognition among global traders, with significant percentages of international trade in commodities like palm oil and peanuts now referencing Zhengzhou futures prices [7][8]. - The shift from fixed pricing models to futures-based pricing has improved price transparency and reduced negotiation times in international contracts [7][8][18]. Group 3: Future Prospects - The ZCE aims to expand its international influence by introducing more futures products and enhancing its delivery mechanisms, which will further integrate the Chinese futures market into the global trading system [15][26]. - The ongoing development of the "Zhengzhou Plan" is seen as a pathway for establishing a new global pricing paradigm, leveraging China's position as a major consumer and trader of various commodities [21][22]. - The collaboration between domestic and international enterprises is expected to deepen, with the futures market serving as a critical tool for risk management and price discovery in the evolving global trade landscape [25][30].
A股内生动力较强 上行趋势有望延续
Qi Huo Ri Bao· 2025-08-18 01:11
Core Viewpoint - The A-share market has regained upward momentum after a brief pullback, with the Shanghai Composite Index breaking through key resistance levels, indicating strong internal demand and market participation from domestic investors [1][2]. Group 1: Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index reached a new high of 3704 points on August 14, 2024, following a breakthrough of the previous high of 3674 points on August 13 [1]. - Trading activity has increased significantly, with the total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets exceeding 2.2 trillion yuan, and the margin financing balance surpassing 2.05 trillion yuan [1][2]. - The margin financing balance rose to 20,551.9 billion yuan by August 14, 2024, marking a significant increase in market activity [2]. Group 2: Capital Inflow and Market Sentiment - The rise in margin financing indicates that traders are increasing their equity allocations in the A-share market, reflecting a growing market activity [2]. - The proportion of margin financing to the total market capitalization is currently at 2.3%, significantly lower than the 4.7% observed in 2015, suggesting that the current market is not overly leveraged [2]. - Financial data from July shows a substantial increase in non-bank financial institution deposits, indicating a shift of funds from savings to equity investments [3]. Group 3: Future Outlook - The A-share market is expected to continue its upward trend until the end of October, barring any unexpected negative developments or external liquidity constraints [4]. - The market's structural dynamics are driven by sector rotations, with significant performances from cyclical sectors and technology-related stocks, particularly in AI and semiconductor industries [5][7]. - Short-term external uncertainties have decreased, contributing positively to market sentiment, with recent developments in U.S.-China trade relations and economic indicators supporting the outlook for Chinese assets [6].
消费旺季和国外装置限气停车风险仍在 甲醇2601合约或可择机做多
Qi Huo Ri Bao· 2025-08-18 00:30
Group 1 - The overall trading atmosphere in the spot market has weakened, with traders adopting aggressive pricing strategies to promote sales while downstream buyers are inclined to press for lower prices, leading to a weak performance of methanol futures contracts [1] - Domestic methanol supply is expected to steadily increase as maintenance peaks have passed, with production profits from coal-based methanol remaining high at around 350 RMB/ton, despite rising production capacity utilization rates indicating potential bottlenecks [2] - The economic viability of natural gas-based methanol projects has weakened significantly due to high industrial gas prices, with several projects currently suspended and uncertain restart timelines [2] Group 2 - Iranian methanol supply remains high, with several production facilities operating normally, while non-Iranian supplies are also expected to remain elevated due to limited international demand [3] - The traditional downstream processing sector is facing challenges, with many products, including formaldehyde and MTBE, operating below breakeven profit levels, leading to reduced purchasing activity from downstream enterprises [4] - Recent price rebounds in methanol have led to a decline in production profits for MTO facilities, with several undergoing maintenance or operating below capacity, indicating a potential decrease in overall industry activity [5] Group 3 - The upcoming "Golden September and Silver October" demand season is under scrutiny, with expectations of limited demand growth due to high raw material inventories and ongoing losses in downstream sectors [4][5] - The market outlook for methanol futures contracts is expected to remain weak, with potential opportunities for low-risk positions in future contracts once current bearish pressures are alleviated [6]
赋能交易,共筑生态——指数化投资新趋势交流论坛暨“交易高手俱乐部”启动仪式在上海举行
Qi Huo Ri Bao· 2025-08-17 23:49
Core Viewpoint - The "Empower Trading, Build Ecology" forum and the launch of the "Trading Masters Club" aim to promote index investment trends and trading strategies, fostering knowledge sharing and collaboration among investors [1][5]. Group 1: Event Overview - The forum was co-hosted by Xunuo Capital, Futures Daily, Hongkai Investment, Yiluo Fund, and others, gathering industry elites, experts, and investment enthusiasts [1]. - Key figures including Li Xudong, Li Xin, and Lin Jun delivered opening remarks, emphasizing the importance of networking in investment success [1]. Group 2: Objectives of the Trading Masters Club - The club aims to break down information silos, promote knowledge sharing, and cultivate new investment talent, focusing on three main goals: mutual assistance in the investment field, systematic trading thinking for the youth, and empowering a new generation of trading experts [1]. - Lin Jun described the club as a super engine that fosters complementary coexistence among various investment strategies and provides a platform for value accumulation [1]. Group 3: Contributions from Futures Daily - Li Xin stated that Futures Daily will empower the club through resources, platforms, and ecosystems, transforming information advantages into practical support for traders [2]. Group 4: Market Analysis and Insights - Yang Jinghao, Chief Economist at Kangkai Data, analyzed macroeconomic changes between China and the U.S., noting that while the U.S. economy shows resilience, tariffs and interest rate expectations could impact China's exports [2]. - He suggested that the current situation may present opportunities for the A-share market, highlighting the potential for new upward momentum driven by favorable policies in consumption and investment [3]. Group 5: Practical Insights from Trading Experts - Several experienced traders shared their insights and strategies during the event, emphasizing the importance of practical experience in navigating market changes [3]. - The event featured nearly 50 trading experts who provided valuable discussions on trading techniques and market responses [3]. Group 6: Investment Talent Development - Wu Yunfeng, founder of Investment Advisory Network, discussed the platform's role in selecting and nurturing outstanding futures trading talent, with a focus on a closed-loop ecosystem for talent development [4]. - The "Futures Star Competition," a collaboration with Futures Daily, has attracted nearly 5,000 participants and has a peak equity of over 2 billion, showcasing the platform's effectiveness in talent identification [4]. Group 7: Future Activities and Goals - The successful launch of the Trading Masters Club is expected to further consolidate industry efforts, promoting communication and development in the index investment sector [5]. - The club plans to regularly host various activities and seminars to provide ongoing professional support and quality services to its members [5].