证券研究报告·公司研究简报·电池 先惠技术（688155） 自动化产线+模组结构件快速放量，牵手清陶 布局固态电池设备 增持（首次） | [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入（百万元） | 2,448 | 2,464 | 3,042 | 3,669 | 4,338 | | 同比（%） | 35.63 | 0.64 | 23.46 | 20.62 | 18.22 | | 归母净利润（百万元） | 39.96 | 223.02 | 301.68 | 366.01 | 446.69 | | 同比（%） | 142.31 | 458.19 | 35.27 | 21.32 | 22.04 | | EPS-最新摊薄（元/股） | 0.32 | 1.78 | 2.41 | 2.93 | 3.57 | | P/E（现价&最新摊薄） | 168.29 | 30.15 | 22.29 | 18.37 | 15.05 | [Table_Tag] [Tabl ...

证券研究报告·海外公司深度·药品及生物科技(HS) 康方生物（09926.HK） 全球双抗龙头，依沃西引领二代 IO 新时代 2025 年 07 月 07 日 证券分析师 朱国广 买入（首次） | [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入（百万元） | 4,551 | 2,124 | 3,672 | 5,342 | 7,240 | | 同比(%) | 442.19 | (53.33) | 72.88 | 45.47 | 35.53 | | 归母净利润（百万元） | 2,028.30 | (514.52) | (1,028.86) | (1,059.61) | 664.07 | | 同比(%) | 273.60 | (125.37) | (99.97) | (2.99) | 162.67 | | EPS-最新摊薄（元/股） | 2.26 | (0.57) | (1.15) | (1.18) | 0.74 | | P/E（现价&最新摊薄） | ...

证券研究报告·策略报告·策略点评 策略点评 20250707 美股连涨，非美风偏收紧——港股&海外周 观察 我们对港股持谨慎乐观态度。港股下行有底，关注短暂回调后的或有增 量资金入场。 1、港股还处在震荡趋势中，超宽松的流动性并未流向二级市场股票。 2、外部风险上行。1）美股仍处在反弹趋势中，持续创历史新高。部分 海外机构或将继续回流美股，分散中国资产的关注。2）市场重新关心 美国对等关税议题，担心有变。 3、进入数据验证期，市场将会更关注经济基本面和企业盈利面。最近， 互联网巨头价格战，市场担心二季度企业盈利下滑。 4、随着市场进一步回调，增配红利和自下而上寻找低估股票渐渐成为 共识。部分此前获利了结资金也在寻找合适时机入场增配。 ◼ 美股：事件面及宏观经济韧性，推动美股再度走高。其中道指领涨 2.3%， 标普 500 及纳指分别上涨 1.7%及 1.6%。 特朗普"大美丽"法案"闯关"成功。美国独立日当天（7 月 4 日）， 特朗普签署了大规模减税和支出法案——"大美丽法案"（One Big Beautiful Bill Act）。具体来看，减税方面，主要是 2017 年个人所得税 减税永久化、延长并提高 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the environmental protection industry [1]. Core Views - The report highlights that the environmental protection sector is entering a mature phase, leading to improved free cash flow and increased dividends due to reduced capital expenditures. The focus is on enhancing operational efficiency through heat supply and IDC collaborations, which are expected to boost ROE and valuations [12][14]. Summary by Sections Industry Trends - The environmental protection sector is experiencing a shift towards maturity, with capital expenditures decreasing and free cash flow turning positive in 2023, continuing to improve in 2024. This trend is expected to enhance dividend payouts significantly [12][14]. - The report notes that the waste incineration segment is seeing a decline in capital expenditures, which is positively impacting free cash flow and dividend distributions [12][14]. Company Insights - Huanlan Environment is expanding its heat supply business, leveraging existing waste incineration projects to improve operational efficiency and cash flow. The company has signed multiple heat supply agreements and is expected to increase its heat supply volume significantly in the coming years [9][10][11]. - The report emphasizes the strong dividend potential of several companies, including Junxin Co. with a cash dividend of 507 million yuan in 2024, Green Power with 418 million yuan, and Huanlan Environment with a proposed dividend of 652 million yuan [12][13][14]. Market Developments - The report indicates that the water services sector is also showing stable growth, with a projected revenue of 655 billion yuan in 2024, despite a slight decline due to one-time gains. The sector is expected to benefit from ongoing water price reforms, which will enhance profitability and valuation [16][18][19]. - The report highlights the increasing penetration of new energy sanitation vehicles, with sales growing by 73% in the first five months of 2025, indicating a shift towards more sustainable practices in the industry [26][32]. Future Outlook - The report suggests that the environmental protection industry is poised for a new phase of growth driven by market reforms and operational efficiencies. Companies that can effectively manage their cash flows and adapt to changing market conditions are expected to see significant valuation increases [20][24].

证券研究报告·行业跟踪周报·燃气Ⅱ 燃气Ⅱ行业跟踪周报 欧洲储库推进、美国高温天气持续，各地气 价平稳 增持（维持） [Table_Tag] [投资要点 Table_Summary] 2025 年 07 月 07 日 证券分析师 袁理 执业证书：S0600511080001 021-60199782 yuanl@dwzq.com.cn 证券分析师 谷玥 执业证书：S0600524090002 guy@dwzq.com.cn 行业走势 -9% -6% -3% 0% 3% 6% 9% 12% 15% 18% 21% 24% 2024/7/8 2024/11/5 2025/3/5 2025/7/3 燃气Ⅱ 沪深300 相关研究 《中东局势缓和欧洲气价回落，高温 天气带动美国气价上涨，国内气价平 稳》 2025-06-30 《中东局势带动欧美气价上涨，国内 气价平稳》 2025-06-23 东吴证券研究所 1 / 13 | 1. 价格跟踪：欧洲储库推进、美国高温天气持续，本周各地气价平稳 4 | | --- | | 2. 顺价进展：全国顺价逐步推进，城燃公司盈利提升、估值修复 8 | | 3. 重要公告 9 | | ...

证券研究报告·行业跟踪周报·公用事业 公用事业行业跟踪周报 执业证书：S0600511080001 021-60199782 yuanl@dwzq.com.cn 证券分析师 唐亚辉 执业证书：S0600520070005 tangyh@dwzq.com.cn 行业走势 -13% -9% -5% -1% 3% 7% 11% 15% 19% 23% 2024/7/8 2024/11/5 2025/3/5 2025/7/3 公用事业 沪深300 全球最大"电力超市"南方电力市场转入结 算试运行，关注交易主体资产重估机会 增持（维持） [Table_Tag] [投资要点 Table_Summary ] 2025 年 07 月 07 日 证券分析师 袁理 相关研究 《新疆/蒙西 136 号文省级方案发布， 国家发改委预判迎峰度夏保供形势》 2025-06-30 《中东局势缓和欧洲气价回落，高温 天气带动美国气价上涨，国内气价平 稳》 2025-06-30 东吴证券研究所 1 / 21 请务必阅读正文之后的免责声明部分 ◼ 本周核心观点：南方区域电力现货市场进入试运行，22 万市场主体、日 交易 38 亿度，关注电力交易 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the yellow wine industry [1] Core Viewpoints - The yellow wine industry has undergone deep adjustments and is currently experiencing positive changes, with profit margins reaching a turning point and leading companies showing simultaneous growth in volume and price [5][11] - The CR2 market share of the yellow wine industry has continuously increased, with leading companies guiding industry transformation through product innovation and channel expansion [5][18] - The report draws parallels between the yellow wine industry and the beer industry, suggesting that supply-demand resonance can drive continuous upgrades in the yellow wine sector [26][31] - The success of Japan's sake industry in high-end transformation serves as a reference for the yellow wine industry, emphasizing the importance of brand culture, process innovation, and market expansion [55][60] Summary by Sections 1. Positive Changes in the Yellow Wine Industry - The yellow wine industry has seen a marginal turning point in profit margins, with leading companies like Kuaijishan and Guyuelongshan showing significant growth in both volume and price [14][18] - In 2023, the revenue of large-scale enterprises in the yellow wine industry was 8.547 billion yuan, down 15.90% year-on-year, while total profit reached 1.558 billion yuan, up 23.06% year-on-year, resulting in a profit margin increase of 5.77 percentage points to 18.23% [14][18] 2. Market Share and Industry Transformation - The CR2 market share in the yellow wine industry has risen from 14.9% in 2017 to 37.4% in 2023, with Kuaijishan and Guyuelongshan holding market shares of 20.9% and 16.5%, respectively [18][36] - The increase in market share is attributed to product innovation and channel expansion, leading to a high-end, youthful, and national effect [18][21] 3. Supply-Demand Resonance and Industry Upgrades - The report highlights the similarities between the current yellow wine industry and the beer industry, where supply-demand changes have driven industry upgrades since 2018 [26][31] - Leading companies in the yellow wine sector are adopting strategies focused on high-end, youthful, and national markets, similar to the beer industry's approach [26][27] 4. Lessons from Japan's Sake Industry - The Japanese sake industry has undergone several phases, including post-war recovery, rapid growth, economic downturns, and a focus on globalization and high-end products [55][60] - The success of the Dassai brand in Japan, which has seen its total sales increase from 4.6 billion yen in 2014 to 19.5 billion yen in 2024, serves as a model for the yellow wine industry [60][64]

证券研究报告·公司点评报告·计算机设备 道通科技（688208） 2025 半年度业绩预告点评：业绩超预期，继 续看好"出海+AI"成长曲线 买入（维持） | [Table_EPS] 盈利预测与估值 | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入（百万元） | 3,251 | 3,932 | 4,899 | 6,012 | 7,556 | | 同比（%） | 43.50 | 20.95 | 24.57 | 22.73 | 25.68 | | 归母净利润（百万元） | 179.23 | 640.93 | 796.86 | 982.25 | 1,183.18 | | 同比（%） | 75.66 | 257.59 | 24.33 | 23.27 | 20.46 | | EPS-最新摊薄（元/股） | 0.27 | 0.96 | 1.19 | 1.47 | 1.77 | | P/E（现价&最新摊薄） | 118.08 | 33.02 | 26.56 | 21.55 | 17.89 | [关键 ...

2 汽车周观点： 6月第4周乘用车环比+3.9%，继续看好汽车板块 证券分析师 ：黄细里 执业证书编号：S0600520010001 联系邮箱：huangxl@dwzq.com.cn 2025年7月7日 请务必阅读正文之后的免责声明部分 核心结论 证券研究报告 注：若无特殊说明，"本周"均代表2025.6.16-2025.6.22 （ ➢本周复盘总结：六月第四周交强险56.9万辆，环比上周/上月周度+3.9%/+24.2%。 ➢本周细分板块涨跌幅排序:SW摩托车及其他(+5.1%) >SW商用载客车(+4.4%) >SW乘 用车(+0.4%) >SW汽车（+0.1%）> SＷ商用载货车(0.1%) > SW汽车零部件(-0.7%) 。 本周已覆盖标的春风动力、爱玛科技、宇通客车、上汽集团、中国重汽涨幅前五。 ◼ 本周团队研究成果：外发小鹏G7上市点评。 ◼ 本周行业核心变化：1）小鹏G7定位为极致空间而生的家庭科技美学中大型SUV，602 km Max版搭载双Orin-X芯片定价19.58万元，702km Max版搭载双Orin-X芯片定价2 0.58万元，Ultra版搭载三颗图灵AI芯片定价22.58万元， ...

证券研究报告·固定收益·固收点评 固收点评 20250707 绿色债券周度数据跟踪 （20250630-20250704） [Table_Tag] [Table_Summary] 观点 ◼ 一级市场发行情况： 本周（20250630-20250704）银行间市场及交易所市场共新发行绿色债券 12 只，合计发行规模约 349.61 亿元，较上周增加 35.31 亿元。发行年限 多为 3 年；发行人性质为央企子公司、中央国有企业、民营企业、地方 国有企业、中央金融企业；主体评级多为 AAA、AA+级；发行人地域为 北京市、上海市、天津市、河南省、贵州省、陕西省；发行债券种类为 中期票据、交易商协会 ABN、企业 ABS、超短期融资券、科创债、私 募公司债。 ◼ 二级市场成交情况： 本周（20250630-20250704）绿色债券周成交额合计 562 亿元，较上周减 少 173 亿元。分债券种类来看，成交量前三为非金公司信用债、金融机 构债和利率债，分别为 278 亿元、218 亿元和 50 亿元；分发行期限来 看，3Y 以下绿色债券成交量最高，占比约 84.85%，市场热度持续；分 发行主体行业来看，成交量前三 ...