Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Increase" rating for the industry, indicating a positive outlook with expected performance exceeding the benchmark index by more than 10% [4]. Core Insights - The AI industry continues to see significant advancements, with major models like DeepSeek-R1-0528 and Google's Gemini 2.5 Pro demonstrating enhanced capabilities in reasoning and performance metrics [9][11]. - The ByteDance Volcano Engine Force conference is set to showcase comprehensive upgrades to the Doubao model family and explore various AI applications across multiple industries [15][17]. - The vertical integration of the domestic computing power industry, particularly the merger between Sugon and Haiguang Information, is a landmark event that aligns with national strategies for self-sufficiency in computing power [18][21]. Summary by Sections AI Model Developments - DeepSeek-R1-0528 has undergone a minor version upgrade, significantly improving its reasoning capabilities and depth of thought, with a notable performance in mathematical testing [9][10]. - Google's Gemini 2.5 Pro has been updated to outperform competitors in various benchmarks while maintaining a competitive pricing strategy [11][13]. Industry Events - The ByteDance Volcano Engine Force conference on June 11 will cover AI innovations and industry applications, featuring multiple forums and discussions on AI's potential across sectors like finance and healthcare [15][17]. Industry Integration - The merger between Sugon and Haiguang Information is a strategic move to enhance domestic computing capabilities, responding to both national and global technological competition [18][21]. - This merger is expected to eliminate communication barriers within the supply chain, accelerating technology iteration cycles and enhancing collaborative efficiencies [21]. Companies to Watch - The report suggests monitoring various companies in the computing power sector, including Cambrian, Haiguang Information, Alibaba, and others, as potential investment opportunities [3][22]. - In the AI agent space, companies like Kingsoft Office and Yonyou Network are highlighted for their growth potential [3][22].

Investment Rating - The industry is rated as "Buy" for several key companies, including Xining Special Steel, Nanjing Steel, Hualing Steel, and Baosteel [8]. Core Viewpoints - The market remains in a state of fluctuation, with the non-ferrous sector outperforming the black metal sector. Financial attributes of metals like gold, silver, and copper are expected to benefit from the current economic conditions [2]. - The macroeconomic policies are showing effectiveness, with the manufacturing PMI rising to 49.5% in May, indicating an overall expansion in economic output [4][12]. - The steel industry is experiencing a divergence in profitability across the black metal supply chain, with some companies undervalued and presenting good strategic investment opportunities [2][4]. Supply Analysis - Daily molten iron production has slightly decreased to 2.417 million tons, with a minor decline in the utilization rate of blast furnaces to 90.6% [3][11]. - The total inventory of steel has decreased by 0.1%, with a narrowing decline rate of 2.2 percentage points [23][25]. Demand Analysis - Apparent consumption of the five major steel products has weakened, with rebar consumption dropping by 7.9% week-on-week [38][49]. - The average weekly transaction volume for construction steel has increased by 2.0% [40]. Raw Material Analysis - Iron ore prices have declined, with the Platts 62% iron ore price index at $96.1 per ton, down 0.7% week-on-week [57]. - The average daily iron ore import volume at 45 ports has increased by 17.9% week-on-week [57]. Price and Profit Analysis - Steel prices are showing a slight improvement, with the current spot price for rebar in Beijing at 3,170 RMB per ton, up 1.9% week-on-week [73]. - The immediate gross profit for long-process rebar is reported at -134 RMB per ton, indicating a slight improvement in margins [72][73].

证券研究报告 | 行业周报 gszqdatemark 2025 06 08 年 月 日 食品饮料 周观点：啤酒饮料正当旺季，关注大众品上新催化 投资建议：1、白酒：淡季筑底、中长期价值凸显，建议关注" 优势龙头、红 利延续、强势复苏"三条主线：1）优势龙头，头部酒企份额持续提升：贵州 茅台、五粮液、山西汾酒、古井贡酒；2）红利延续，高确定性区域酒：今世 缘（江苏格局红利）、迎驾贡酒（洞藏大单品红利）等；3）受益复苏与风险偏 好提升，弹性标的：泸州老窖、水井坊、舍得酒业、老白干酒、港股珍酒李渡、 酒鬼酒等。2、大众品：燕京 U8 改革深化，农夫山泉推新" 茶 "，山姆供应 链上新加速，建议寻找高成长与强复苏两条主线：1）高景气或高成长逻辑： 盐津铺子、东鹏饮料、燕京啤酒、珠江啤酒、三只松鼠、百润股份、有友食品、 好想你等，港股农夫山泉、华润饮料、卫龙美味等。2）政策受益或复苏改善： 青岛啤酒、海天味业、新乳业、伊利股份、重庆啤酒、安琪酵母、仙乐健康、 安井食品、立高食品等，港股 H&H 国际控股等。 白酒：茅台发布 走进系列"，淡季进一步筑底。近期在时隔 6 年后，贵州茅 台上新走进系列新品，并于 6 月 5 ...

证券研究报告 | 行业周报 gszqdatemark 2025 06 08 年 月 日 房地产开发 2025W23：5 月核心城市二手房成交规模有所回落 5 月上海、北京、深圳二手房成交规模有所回落。2025 年 5 月上海、北 京、深圳二手房成交套数分别为 21400 套、14277 套、4830 套，环比分 别-8.6%、-8.3%、-18.1%，相较于 3 月分别-27.1%、-25.8%、-22.5%。 核心城市二手房成交相较此前有一定降温，这其中有一定季节性因素，但 整体仍好于新房市场。我们预计，在当前现有地产政策框架下，二手房成 交或持续强于新房；新房受供货结构影响，总量弹性不大，或维持近年同 期低位量能，结构性的城市和区域表现尚可。 行情回顾：本周申万房地产指数累计变动幅度为 0.9%，落后沪深 300 指 数 0.02 个百分点，在 31 个申万一级行业排名第 21 名。 新房：本周30个城市新房成交面积为157.9万平方米，环比下降35.7%， 同比下降 9.6%，其中样本一线城市的新房成交面积为 40.9 万方，环比- 40.3%，同比-7.4%；样本二线城市为 79.8 万方，环比-28 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for companies such as Beixin Building Materials, Pona, and China Jushi, while recommending "Hold" for Weixing New Materials [8]. Core Views - The construction materials sector is expected to experience a "not-so-weak" off-season despite the traditional seasonal downturn, with a slight increase in demand for certain materials [1][2]. - Government debt issuance has increased, which may alleviate fiscal pressure and accelerate municipal engineering projects, benefiting companies like Longquan Co., Qinglong Pipe Industry, and China Liansu [2]. - The glass market is facing a supply-demand imbalance, with a marginal improvement in demand since March 2025, but overall demand is expected to decline post-2025 [2][3]. - The cement industry is still in a demand bottoming process, with companies increasing production cuts to stabilize prices [2][15]. - The fiberglass market shows signs of recovery, particularly in wind power applications, while electronic fiberglass demand remains strong [2][7]. Summary by Sections 1. Market Overview - From June 3 to June 6, 2025, the construction materials sector (SW) rose by 0.63%, with cement up 0.38%, glass manufacturing up 1.01%, fiberglass up 2.07%, and renovation materials up 0.24% [1][11]. - The net capital inflow for the construction materials sector was -159 million yuan during this period [1]. 2. Cement Industry Tracking - As of June 6, 2025, the national cement price index was 358.88 yuan/ton, down 0.51% from the previous week, with a total cement output of 3.157 million tons, a decrease of 9.81% [15]. - The cement market is characterized by weak demand in infrastructure and residential construction, with a utilization rate of 61.01% for cement clinker production [15][27]. 3. Glass Industry Tracking - The average price of float glass was 1250.27 yuan/ton, down 1.63% from the previous week, with inventory levels increasing significantly [3][32]. - The demand for glass is expected to remain weak in June, with prices likely to fluctuate downward [3][34]. 4. Fiberglass Industry Tracking - The fiberglass market is witnessing a stabilization in prices, with demand from wind power applications supporting growth [2][7]. - The price of non-alkali fiberglass is expected to stabilize, while electronic fiberglass prices remain steady [6][7]. 5. Carbon Fiber Industry Tracking - The carbon fiber market is stable, with production rates at 60.69% and a slight increase in inventory levels [7]. - The demand for carbon fiber is anticipated to grow, particularly in wind energy and hydrogen storage applications [7]. 6. Consumer Building Materials - The consumer building materials sector is benefiting from improved second-hand housing transactions and consumption stimulus policies, with companies like Beixin Building Materials and Weixing New Materials recommended for investment [2][8].

证券研究报告 | 行业周报 gszqdatemark 2025 06 08 年 月 日 有色金属 "关税缓和+就业放缓"预期释放，看好金属价格反弹 黄金：""关税缓和+就业放缓"的组合为美联储降息提供了前提条件。本周关税政策出现较大 的乐观预期，中美元首通话强调了双方主张，中方元首同时欢迎特朗普再次访华。这一消息 直接引起市场乐观情绪高涨，白银受工业品影响保持强势，而黄金受到避险情绪的回落而下 跌。周内美国爆冷的就业数据引发增长放缓担忧，首先是周三、周四分别披露的 ADP 就业人 数与当周初请失业金人数反应就业增长放缓，而后周五公布的非农就业人口则小幅超预期 （披露值 13.9 万人，前值 14.7 万人"（调调 ，预期值 13 万人 ，虽短期缓解市场衰退担忧， 但整体来看，就业市场仍然呈现放缓趋势。"关税缓和+就业放缓"的组合实际上为美联储降 息提供了前提条件，本周特朗普再度喊话美联储降息，黄金短期调整后，可能迎来一波降息 预期升温的反弹行情。建议关注：紫金矿业、山东黄金、赤峰黄金、银泰黄金、招金矿业等。 工业金属：（1 铜：宏观环境反复，铜价仍处于震荡盘整期。①宏观方面：关税反复带来 宏观预期来回摇摆，铜 ...

证券研究报告 | 行业周报 gszqdatemark 2025 06 08 年 月 日 电力 迎峰度夏有望提振电力需求，新型电力系统试点解决新能源消纳 本周行情回顾：本周（6.3-6.6）上证指数报收 3385.36 点，上涨 1.13%，沪 深 300 指数报收 3873.98 点，上涨 0.88%。中信电力及公用事业指数报收 2939.08 点，下跌 0.12%，跑输沪深 300 指数 1.00pct，位列 30 个中信一级 板块涨跌幅榜第 25 位。 本周行业观点： ➢ 新型电力系统建设试点工作发布，算电协同、煤电改造等 7 大方向，有 望解决新能源消纳。6 月 4 日，国家能源局发布《关于组织开展新型电 力系统建设第一批试点工作的通知》，提出围绕算力与电力协同、大规 模高比例新能源外送、新一代煤电等七个方向开展试点工作。 在算电协同方面，提出重点在国家枢纽节点和青海、新疆、黑龙江等能 源资源条件好区域协同规划布局算力与电力项目，探索新能源就近供电、 聚合交易、就地消纳的"绿电聚合供应"模式，提高数据中心绿电占比； 通过算力负荷与新能源功率联合预测、算力负荷柔性控制、智能化调度 等技术，提升源荷协同水平 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for key companies in the textile and apparel sector, including Anta Sports, Xtep International, and Shenzhou International, among others [9][11][23]. Core Insights - Lululemon's FY2025Q1 revenue increased by 7% year-on-year to $2.4 billion, with international business revenue growing by 19% [1][14]. - The report emphasizes the importance of focusing on brands with strong fundamentals and quality, anticipating performance recovery and valuation improvement in 2025 [4][19]. - The outdoor sports and running demand segments are expected to expand faster than the overall demand for sportswear and branded apparel [4][19]. Summary by Sections Lululemon Performance - Lululemon's FY2025Q1 revenue growth was driven by a 19% increase in its China business, which reached $410 million [3][16]. - The company expects revenue growth of 7% to 8% for FY2025Q2 and 5% to 7% for the full fiscal year [1][14]. Regional Performance - In the Americas, Lululemon's U.S. revenue grew by 1.7% to $1.36 billion, while Canadian revenue increased by 3.9% to $290 million [2][15]. - The Chinese market showed robust growth, with same-store sales up 7% and plans to expand store count to around 200 [3][16]. Industry Outlook - The textile and apparel sector is projected to outperform the broader market, with a focus on companies that demonstrate strong operational capabilities and sustainable growth [4][19]. - The report highlights the potential for companies like Anta Sports and Xtep International to benefit from the growing demand in the outdoor and running segments [4][23]. Key Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on high-quality brands such as Anta Sports, Xtep International, and Shenzhou International, which are expected to deliver strong performance in 2025 [4][11][23]. - It also suggests monitoring companies like Hailan Home and Bosideng for their growth potential and attractive valuations [11][23].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the media sector [5]. Core Viewpoints - The media sector has shown a positive trend, with a 2.52% increase from June 3 to June 6, 2025, driven by the gaming sector and AI themes [10][12]. - The report highlights optimism for AI applications, IP monetization, and mergers and acquisitions in the media sector by 2025 [10][16]. - Key areas of focus include new AI applications, companies with IP advantages, and state-owned enterprises due to increased funding and market value assessments [10][16]. Summary by Sections 1.1 Market Overview - The media sector's performance is noted with a 2.52% increase, outperforming other sectors such as telecommunications and non-ferrous metals [10][12]. - The top five gainers in the media sector include Gehua Cable (16.4%), Hubei Broadcasting (15.5%), and Shengxun Technology (13.6%) [12][14]. 1.2 Sub-sector Insights - Resource integration expectations are focused on companies like China Vision Media and Guangxi Broadcasting [16]. - AI-related companies to watch include Rongxin Culture and Aofei Entertainment [16]. - In gaming, strong performers include Shenzhou Taiyue and Kainet Network [16]. - State-owned enterprises of interest include Ciweng Media and Anhui Xinhua Media [16]. - In the education sector, Xueda Education is highlighted [16]. - Key Hong Kong stocks include Alibaba and Tencent, with a focus on New Oriental in the K12 education sector [16]. 2. Key Events Review - Google released the Gemini 2.5 Pro model, showcasing superior capabilities in mathematics, programming, and reasoning, achieving a 24-point increase in Elo score [18]. - Luma AI introduced the Modify Video feature, enhancing video creation flexibility, which has gained significant attention on social media [18]. 3. Sub-sector Data Tracking - The domestic film market's total box office from May 31 to June 6, 2025, reached approximately 515 million yuan, with "Mission: Impossible 8" leading at 218 million yuan [20][22]. - The top-rated series during the same period included "Cang Hai Chuan" and "Zhe Yao" [23][24].

Economic Overview - The US economy shows strong resilience in May, with no signs of recession observed[1] - The unemployment rate remained stable at 4.2%, matching expectations[2] - Non-farm payrolls increased by 139,000, slightly above the forecast of 130,000[2] Employment Data - April's non-farm payrolls were revised down from 177,000 to 147,000, and March's from 185,000 to 120,000, totaling a downward revision of 95,000 over two months[2] - Labor force participation rate decreased to 62.4%, below the expected 62.6%[2] - Average hourly earnings rose by 0.4% month-on-month, exceeding the previous month's increase of 0.2%[2] Market Reactions - Following the non-farm payroll release, US stock markets rose, with the S&P 500, Nasdaq, and Dow Jones increasing by 1.0%, 1.2%, and 1.1% respectively[3] - The 10-year US Treasury yield increased by 11.1 basis points to 4.51%[3] - The probability of the Federal Reserve cutting rates twice in 2025 dropped from 100% to around 80%[3] Key Events to Watch - Two critical events in the next two months: trade negotiations and the potential passage of Trump's "Big Beautiful Bill" in the Senate[4] - The trade agreement deadline for tariffs on China is August 12, while the deadline for other countries is July 9[4] - Market expectations for trade agreements with China, India, Japan, and Canada are above 50%[4] Risks - Ongoing risks include unexpected developments in the US economy, inflation, Federal Reserve monetary policy, and geopolitical conflicts[4]