建筑装饰 基金经理薪酬与基准强挂钩下，建筑板块哪些标的有望获增配？ 本周核心观点：本周证监会发布《推动公募基金高质量发展行动方案》，着 力推动基金公司从"重规模"向"重回报"转变，其中规定公募基金经理 薪酬与基准强挂钩，预计主动权益类基金经理为了避免产品业绩低于基准 过多而对绩效薪酬产生较大负面影响，将尽可能让持仓结构贴近基准，持 仓结构变化有望带来市场结构性投资机会。基于基金 2024 年报数据，有 4020 个主动权益基金基准中包含沪深 300 指数，这些基金的基准中沪深 300 指数平均权重 61%。我们假设主动权益类基金按照规模的 90%去配 置基准（假设后续基准不变），则合计将配置沪深 300 指数 1.65 万亿元， 而主动权益类基金合计持有沪深 300 成份股市值 1.34 万亿元，因此可测 算后续主动权益类基金需增配沪深 300 指数 3036 亿元。主动权益类基 金对建筑板块持股比例为 0.71%，显著欠配，如后续主动权益基金规模的 90%按照基准及沪深 300 中建筑板块权重来配置，合计带来建筑板块资金 增配规模为 218 亿元（约占建筑沪深 300 标的自由流通盘市值的 6.5%）。重点 ...

Investment Rating - The industry maintains a rating of "Buy" for key companies such as Anta Sports, Tabo, and Bosideng, with a recommendation to focus on high-quality brands and companies with strong fundamentals [5][10][28]. Core Insights - Puma's Q1 2025 performance met expectations, with revenue growth of 0.1% year-on-year to €2.076 billion, while net profit saw a significant decline of 99.5% to €500,000 due to global economic fluctuations, particularly in the US and China [1][15]. - The report emphasizes the resilience of the sportswear sector, projecting a revenue growth of 4.4% and a net profit decline of only 0.6% for key apparel companies in 2024, with a stronger recovery anticipated in 2025 [4][26]. - The DTC (Direct-to-Consumer) business showed robust growth, with a 12% increase in revenue to €550 million, while wholesale revenue declined by 3.6% [3][20]. Summary by Sections Puma's Q1 2025 Performance - Revenue increased by 0.1% to €2.076 billion, with a slight decline in gross margin by 0.6 percentage points to 47% [1][15]. - Operating profit fell by 63.7% to €6 million, and net profit dropped by 99.5% to €500,000, attributed to economic volatility [1][15]. - Inventory rose by 16.3% to €2.08 billion, mainly due to increased in-transit stock [1][15]. Regional and Business Model Analysis - EMEA region revenue grew by 5.1% to €890 million, while the Americas saw a decline of 2.7% to €750 million, primarily due to a 11.1% drop in North America [2][20]. - The Asia-Pacific region experienced a 4.7% decline to €430 million, with a notable 17.7% drop in Greater China [2][20]. - The company is adapting to US tariff issues by optimizing product sourcing and reallocating production [2][20]. DTC and Wholesale Business Performance - DTC revenue increased by 12% to €550 million, with e-commerce growing by 17.3% and self-operated retail stores by 8.9% [3][20]. - Wholesale revenue decreased by 3.6% to €1.53 billion, driven by weak demand in the US and China [3][20]. Industry Outlook - The report suggests focusing on brands with solid fundamentals and anticipating a recovery in 2025, with the sportswear sector expected to benefit from government policies and increased consumer participation in sports [4][26]. - Recommendations include companies like Anta Sports, Tabo, and Bosideng, which are projected to have strong earnings growth and attractive valuations [28][29].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Increase" rating for the banking sector [5] Core Insights - The report highlights that by the end of 2024, the bond investments of 42 listed banks significantly contributed to their performance, particularly due to the continuous decline in bond market interest rates, with a cumulative drop of 88 basis points in the 10-year government bond yield [1] - The report emphasizes the substantial floating profits accumulated in the FV-OCI financial assets due to fair value changes, which banks have utilized to support their performance through timely disposals of financial assets [1][4] - The report identifies that the floating profits from FV-OCI assets are particularly significant for certain city commercial banks and rural commercial banks, with some banks showing floating profit to profit ratios exceeding 100% [2][3] Summary by Sections 1. FV-OCI Floating Profit Situation - State-owned banks dominate the floating profit scale, with China Construction Bank and Agricultural Bank of China exceeding 50 billion yuan in floating profits by the end of 2024 [1] - City and rural commercial banks show high ratios of FV-OCI floating profits to profits, with Lanzhou Bank reaching 126.9% [2] - The contribution of FV-OCI floating profits to core Tier 1 capital is significant for several city and rural commercial banks, with notable increases year-on-year [3] 2. Financial Asset Disposal Income Situation - In 2024, listed banks disposed of AC financial assets generating a total income of 50.29 billion yuan, an increase of 82.5% year-on-year, and FV-OCI financial assets generating 85.36 billion yuan, an increase of 134.4% year-on-year, leading to a total disposal income of 135.6 billion yuan [4][8] - The report notes that while the disposal income is significant, it does not imply a substantial increase in the scale of asset disposals, as the gains are influenced by the declining interest rates in the bond market [4] 3. Sector Outlook - The report suggests that while short-term impacts from tariff policies may affect exports, long-term domestic policies aimed at stabilizing real estate, promoting consumption, and enhancing social welfare are expected to support economic growth [9] - The banking sector is anticipated to benefit from policy catalysts, with specific banks like Ningbo Bank, Postal Savings Bank, and China Merchants Bank highlighted as potential investment opportunities [9]

【腾讯开源定制化视频模型 HunyuanCustom，擅长人物一致性和多模 态】5 月 9 日，腾讯混元开源多模态定制化视频模型 HunyuanCustom，专门 解决一致性问题，而且支持多模态输入。该模型基于混元模型，通过 LLaVA 图文对齐模块与身份增强系统，确保生成视频中人物形象跨场景、跨动作保 持高度统一。解决基本图文生成问题之后，HunyuanCustom 配备 AudioNet 音频驱动模块与视频条件注入系统，分别实现音频驱动和视频驱动的视频定 制。实测中，该模型在身份一致性（Face-Sim 和 DINO-Sim）、文字与视频 内容的匹配度（CLIP-B-T）和视频画面的时间连贯性（Temp-Consis）方面 均达到业界领先水平。 【Lightricks 正式发布最新 AI 视频生成模型——LTX Video 130 亿参数模 型】Lightricks 日前发布 130 亿参数 AI 视频生成模型 LTX Video（LTXV- 13B）。该模型在生成高质量 AI 视频方面较现有同类模型提升 30 倍，并且 能在消费级 GPU，如 RTX 3090、4090、5090 上运行，而无需依赖昂贵 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for key companies in the environmental sector, including High Energy Environment and Huicheng Environmental [6][7]. Core Insights - The environmental industry is experiencing a transformation driven by deepening pollution prevention measures and low-carbon investments, with a focus on green development [1]. - The macroeconomic environment is favorable, with historically low interest rates, making high-dividend and growth-oriented assets attractive [2]. - The report highlights the importance of the newly proposed sustainable disclosure standards for enterprises, which aim to enhance transparency regarding climate-related risks and opportunities [10][20]. Summary by Sections Industry Investment Rating - The report recommends "Buy" for companies such as Huicheng Environmental, High Energy Environment, and Hongcheng Environment, indicating strong growth potential and favorable market conditions [6][7]. Industry Performance - The environmental sector outperformed the market, with a weekly increase of 3.32%, surpassing the Shanghai Composite Index by 1.40% and the ChiNext Index by 0.05% [3][35]. - Key sub-sectors showed positive growth, particularly monitoring (5.65%) and waste treatment (3.24%) [3]. Policy Developments - The Ministry of Finance issued a draft for the "Sustainable Disclosure Standards No. 1 - Climate," which outlines how companies should disclose climate-related risks and impacts [10][20]. - The Guangxi Autonomous Region's plan for air pollution prevention emphasizes strict control measures and accountability for pollution management [21][32]. Market Trends - The report notes that the environmental sector's valuation and institutional holdings are at historical lows, suggesting a potential for continued rebound [33]. - Companies like High Energy Environment and Huicheng Environmental are positioned to benefit from increased demand for waste treatment and recycling solutions [36]. Key Company Highlights - High Energy Environment is focusing on hazardous waste resource utilization and has a strong project pipeline, which is expected to accelerate revenue growth [36]. - Huicheng Environmental is advancing in the hazardous waste sector with significant projects and innovative technologies for plastic recycling, indicating robust growth prospects [36].

Investment Rating - The report indicates a positive outlook for the pet industry, highlighting its rapid growth and potential investment opportunities [1][15][17]. Core Insights - The pet industry is experiencing significant growth, with exhibition space increasing from 42,000 square meters in 2021 to 100,000 square meters by 2025, representing a 138% growth [1][15]. - The number of exhibitors has surged from 400 in 2021 to 1,200 by 2025, marking a 200% increase [1][15]. - The first day of the event saw a 43% increase in attendees compared to the previous year, with a new procurement event attracting over 120 exhibitors and 3,262 high-quality buyers [1][15]. - The transaction volume during the two-day professional visitor day exceeded 35 million yuan, a 175% increase year-on-year [1][15]. - The report emphasizes the importance of new product iterations in driving industry upgrades, with over 300 exclusive new products launched this year [2][16]. Summary by Sections Livestock Farming - The average price for lean pigs is 14.73 yuan/kg, down 0.3% from last week, indicating a relatively low valuation in the market [3][17]. - The average price for white feather chickens is 7.45 yuan/kg, down 0.4%, while chicken product prices remain stable at 8.9 yuan/kg [3][17]. - The report suggests focusing on leading companies with cost-effective growth potential, such as Muyuan Foods and Wens Foodstuff Group [3][17]. Agricultural Products - The approval of genetically modified varieties is set to enter commercial sales, with potential for significant growth in the sector [3][17]. - The report highlights the investment potential in the agricultural sector, particularly in companies that can leverage procurement and scale advantages [3][17]. Market Trends - The agricultural sector has underperformed the broader market by 1 percentage point this week, with a 1% increase in the agricultural sector overall [8][12]. - The report notes a 3.87% increase in the fishery sector, indicating a positive trend in that area [12][8].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for key companies in the environmental sector, including Huicheng Environmental, Gaoneng Environment, and Hongcheng Environment [6][7]. Core Insights - The environmental industry is experiencing a transformation driven by deepening pollution prevention measures and low-carbon investment themes, with a focus on sustainable development [1]. - The macroeconomic environment is characterized by historically low interest rates, making high-dividend and growth-oriented assets attractive [2]. - The report highlights the importance of the newly issued "Sustainable Disclosure Guidelines No. 1" by the Ministry of Finance, which mandates companies to disclose climate-related risks and opportunities [10][20]. Summary by Sections Industry Performance - The environmental sector outperformed the broader market, with a weekly increase of 3.32%, surpassing the Shanghai Composite Index's 1.92% and the ChiNext Index's 3.27% [3][35]. - Sub-sectors such as monitoring (5.65%) and waste treatment (3.24%) showed significant growth, while companies like Qiaoyin Co. and Baoxin Technology led in stock performance with increases of 23.63% and 17.74% respectively [3][35]. Key Companies - Huicheng Environmental is recognized for its strong growth potential, driven by significant projects in hazardous waste management and innovative recycling technologies [36]. - Gaoneng Environment aims to become a leading environmental service provider, focusing on hazardous waste resource utilization and environmental engineering [36]. - Hongcheng Environment is noted for its consistent dividend payouts and robust growth in revenue and net profit, with a projected compound annual growth rate of 22.7% [36]. Regulatory Developments - The report discusses the issuance of the "14th Five-Year Plan for Air Pollution Prevention and Control" by the Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region, emphasizing the need for stringent pollution control measures and the promotion of low-emission technologies [21][32]. - The guidelines for sustainable disclosure are expected to enhance transparency and guide companies in their strategic transitions towards low-carbon operations [20]. Market Outlook - The environmental sector is positioned for continued growth, with institutional holdings and valuations at historical lows, suggesting a rebound is likely [33]. - The report recommends focusing on companies with strong cash flows and growth potential, particularly those benefiting from carbon neutrality initiatives [2][33].

Investment Rating - The industry maintains a rating of "Buy" for key companies such as Anta Sports, Tabo, and others, indicating a positive outlook for investment opportunities [10][29]. Core Insights - Puma's Q1 2025 performance met expectations, with revenue growth of 0.1% year-on-year to €2.076 billion, while net profit saw a significant decline of 99.5% to €500,000 due to global economic fluctuations, particularly in the US and China [1][15]. - The report emphasizes a focus on robust fundamentals and high-quality brands in the apparel and home textiles sector, anticipating performance recovery and valuation improvement in 2025 [4][26]. - The sportswear segment is expected to benefit from national policy support and increased participation in sports, with a projected revenue growth of 8.7% for key companies in 2024 [4][26]. Summary by Sections Regional and Business Model Analysis - In Q1 2025, EMEA region revenue grew by 5.1% to €890 million, while the Americas saw a decline of 2.7% to €750 million, primarily due to an 11.1% drop in North America [2][20]. - The Asia-Pacific region experienced a 4.7% revenue decline to €430 million, largely attributed to a 17.7% drop in Greater China sales [2][20]. Business Performance - Wholesale revenue decreased by 3.6% to €1.53 billion, while Direct-to-Consumer (DTC) revenue increased by 12% to €550 million, with e-commerce growing by 17.3% [3][22]. - DTC revenue now accounts for 26.3% of total revenue, up 2.8 percentage points year-on-year [3][22]. Key Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on companies with strong fundamentals, such as Anta Sports and Tabo, which have shown significant revenue growth in Q1 2025 [28]. - Other recommended companies include Hailan Home, which is expanding its business successfully, and Bosideng, which is expected to achieve good performance in FY2025 [28][29]. - In the home textiles sector, Luolai Life is highlighted for its strong performance, with a projected net profit growth of 20% in 2025 [28][29].

Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with a "Buy" rating for the company [1] Core Views - The company, as a leading player in Jiangsu's liquor market, is expected to enhance its market share and scale through product upgrades and channel expansion, with projected diluted EPS of 2.99, 3.28, and 3.58 CNY per share for 2025-2027 [1][2] Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company is a top-tier representative of Su-style liquor, with a rich history dating back to the Han Dynasty and significant market presence since the establishment of its brands in 1996 and 2004 [2][15] - In 2023, the company achieved revenue exceeding 10 billion CNY, with a CAGR of 20.75% for total revenue and 20.77% for net profit from 2016 to 2024, ranking 3rd and 8th among 20 peers respectively [2][15] Product Structure and Growth - The company has seen a steady improvement in product structure, with revenue from premium categories (300 CNY and above) growing at a CAGR of 22% from 2019 to 2024, expected to account for 94% of total revenue by 2024 [3][30] - The company has successfully developed key products in various price segments, with significant growth in the mid-range and premium segments, particularly the V series [3][4] Regional Expansion - The company is expanding its market share within Jiangsu, narrowing the gap with competitors, and is also making strides in out-of-province markets, with a CAGR of 25% for out-of-province revenue from 2019 to 2024 [4][12] - Key markets such as Anhui and Shandong are projected to exceed 200 million CNY in sales by 2024, indicating substantial growth potential [4][12] Financial Performance - The company’s financial metrics show robust growth, with projected revenues of 12.78 billion CNY in 2025 and net profits of 3.73 billion CNY, reflecting a stable growth trajectory [6][11] - The company maintains a healthy financial structure, with a net profit margin of approximately 29.6% and a return on equity (ROE) of 22.1% for 2024 [6][11] Future Outlook - The company aims for a long-term revenue target of 15 billion CNY, supported by ongoing product innovation and market expansion strategies [2][15] - The report emphasizes the company's strong brand positioning and cultural significance, which are expected to drive future growth [2][15]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Increase" rating for the banking sector [5] Core Insights - The report highlights that by the end of 2024, the bond investments of 42 listed banks significantly contributed to their performance, particularly due to the continuous decline in bond market interest rates, with a cumulative drop of 88 basis points in the 10-year government bond yield [1] - The report emphasizes the substantial floating profits accumulated in the FV-OCI financial assets due to fair value changes, which banks have utilized to support their performance through timely disposals of financial assets [1][4] - The report identifies that the floating profits from FV-OCI assets are particularly significant for state-owned banks, with Construction Bank and Agricultural Bank leading with floating profit balances exceeding 50 billion yuan by the end of 2024 [1] Summary by Sections 1. FV-OCI Floating Profit Situation - By the end of 2024, the floating profit from FV-OCI assets is notably high among city commercial banks and rural commercial banks, with Lanzhou Bank's floating profit to profit ratio reaching 126.9% [2] - The report indicates that the floating profits from FV-OCI assets have a significant capital replenishment effect, particularly for city and rural commercial banks, with notable contributions to their core Tier 1 capital [3] 2. Financial Asset Disposal Income Situation - In 2024, listed banks disposed of AC financial assets generating a total income of 50.29 billion yuan, an increase of 82.5% year-on-year, while the disposal of FV-OCI financial assets generated 85.36 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 134.4% [4] - The report notes that the disposal income from these two asset categories accounted for 2.4% of the revenue of the sample banks, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 1.3 percentage points [4][8] 3. Sector Outlook - The report suggests that while short-term impacts from tariff policies may affect exports, long-term domestic policies aimed at stabilizing real estate, promoting consumption, and enhancing social security are expected to support economic growth [9] - The banking sector is anticipated to benefit from policy catalysts, with specific banks such as Ningbo Bank, Postal Savings Bank, and China Merchants Bank highlighted as potential investment opportunities [9]