Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage on Disco Corporation with a "Buy" rating and sets a target price of 79,000 JPY, corresponding to a 48x FY26E PE [1]. Core Insights - Disco Corporation is a leading player in the global semiconductor wafer cutting and thinning equipment market, maintaining a market share of 70%-80%. The company has built a comprehensive product lineup around its core technologies of "cutting, grinding, and polishing," and continues to demonstrate industry-leading profitability through its integrated business model of "equipment + consumables + services" [1][15]. - The upgrade of AI chips is expected to drive rapid growth in demand for high-end thinning and polishing equipment. The transition to HBM4/4E and 3nm processes will necessitate thinner wafers (<30µm), with Disco's unique dry polishing technology poised to secure a significant market share in the HBM4 era [2][16]. - Disco's integrated business model, which includes high-margin consumables (approximately 25% of revenue), allows for consistent revenue generation and smooths out cyclical fluctuations. The company maintains a gross margin of 69%-70% due to increased consumable density driven by higher material hardness and precision requirements [3][17]. Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The global AI chip market is entering a new cycle, with significant capital expenditure growth expected from major storage companies, projected to increase by 17% in 2026. The DRAM market is anticipated to see an 85% increase in value, surpassing 300 billion USD [2][16]. Financial Projections - The report forecasts Disco's net profit for FY2025, FY2026, and FY2027 to be 127.8 billion JPY, 178.5 billion JPY, and 212.3 billion JPY, respectively, reflecting year-on-year growth of 3.1%, 39.7%, and 18.9%. The corresponding EPS is projected to be 1,178 JPY, 1,646 JPY, and 1,957 JPY [5][15]. Competitive Positioning - Disco's unique "razor and blades" business model, characterized by high-margin consumables, positions the company favorably against pure equipment manufacturers. The deep integration with clients during the R&D phase enhances pricing power and customer loyalty [3][17]. - The report highlights a divergence from market sentiment, suggesting that concerns over power semiconductors negatively impacting performance underestimate the demand for high-end equipment driven by AI chip performance upgrades [4][18]. Valuation Analysis - The report values Disco at 48x FY26E PE, considering its monopolistic position in HBM and advanced packaging sectors, as well as its superior gross margin structure compared to peers [5][19].

拟收购PUMA股权助力全球化再下一城 2026 年 1 月 28 日│中国香港 服装 安踏体育于 2026 年 1 月 26 日公告与 Pinault 家族（Artémis）签署购股协 议，收购 PUMA 29.06%的股权：交易对价为每股 35 欧元，总金额约 15.06 亿欧元（约 122.8 亿人民币），全部由公司自有现金支付。公司凭借"单聚 焦、多品牌及全球化"战略，通过此次收购成为 PUMA 最大股东，进一步完 善全球品牌矩阵。PUMA 在足球、跑步及赛车等专业领域的深厚积淀，与公 司现有品牌形成较强互补，此外依托安踏在中国市场的渠道与零售运营优 势，有望助力 PUMA 挖掘中国市场潜力。我们认为此次收购后公司将拥有 覆盖大众到高端、时尚到专业的全方位多品牌组合，进一步增强国际竞争力， 收购估值合理且公司预计不影响 25 年派息能力，看好协同效应有望支撑公 司长期价值提升，维持"买入"评级。 证券研究报告 安踏体育 (2020 HK) 港股通 收购后成为 Puma 最大股东，推进单聚焦、多品牌及全球化战略 2026 年 1 月 26 日，安踏体育公告与卖方 Artémis 订立协议，同意以每股 35 ...

证券研究报告 Q4 自有品牌业务延续高增 2026 年 1 月 28 日│中国内地 电子商务 公司发布业绩预告，预计 25 年归母净利润 1.76~2.00 亿，yoy66.6%~89.3%。 公司 Q4 自有品牌延续高增表现，绽家持续拓品类/合作新 IP，高基数下仍 有亮眼同增；斐萃强化抗衰科研能力，高客单进阶产品快速放量中；纽益倍 26M1 以来达播发力下品牌起量显著，布局 AKK 菌单品，AKK 菌 24 年市场 规模 3.25 亿美元，原料端集群效应助推成分持续高热，品牌后续增长潜力 可期。近期取得口服美容品牌美斯蒂克中国区独家总代，继续拓展品牌矩阵。 我们预计公司在强势品牌运营孵化能力赋能下，有望持续捕捉高端家清与口 服美容行业红利。维持增持评级。 绽家：持续拓品类，多 IP 强化香氛心智 25H2 以来陆续上新羽绒服清洁慕斯/极光彩漂粉等单品，持续拓展家清细分 品类。IP 联名方面，奥黛丽赫本 IP 上新护衣喷雾/精油香挂/除臭精油，继 续夯实品牌香氛心智；26M1 新 IP 联名落地，上新 Hello Kitty 系列衣物喷 雾/内衣洗衣液，热门 IP 为大单品持续注入活力。25Q4 绽家延续高 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 184.61 RMB [6][4]. Core Insights - The company is expected to turn a profit in 2025, projecting a net profit attributable to shareholders of between 0.75 billion and 1.1 billion RMB, which exceeds previous forecasts [1]. - The growth in revenue is driven by the release of prior R&D investments, particularly in core electronic products like domain controllers and 5G TBOX, alongside cost reduction and efficiency improvements [2]. - The company is transitioning from a research-driven phase to a product scaling phase, with expectations for revenue and profit recovery in 2026, supported by stable production phases with key clients [3]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - The company forecasts a revenue increase to 7.51 billion RMB in 2025, with a growth rate of 35.49% compared to the previous year, and further growth to 9.77 billion RMB in 2026 [10]. - The net profit is projected to reach 0.88 billion RMB in 2025, with significant growth to 3.76 billion RMB in 2026, reflecting a 328% increase [10]. Product and Market Development - The company is focusing on high-level intelligent driving products, with collaborations with key clients like Geely and Xiaomi expected to stabilize production and contribute to revenue growth [3]. - The international expansion is ongoing, with partnerships with global manufacturers like Stellantis and Scania, aiming for production deliveries in 2026 [3]. Valuation and Estimates - Revenue forecasts for 2025, 2026, and 2027 have been adjusted to 7.51 billion, 9.77 billion, and 12.02 billion RMB respectively, with corresponding gross margin estimates of 24.3%, 24.9%, and 26.9% [4]. - The report employs a Sum-of-the-Parts (SOTP) valuation method, estimating a net profit of 2.64 billion RMB from hardware and 1.1 billion RMB from software in 2026, leading to a target price adjustment from 145.23 RMB to 184.61 RMB [4].

证券研究报告 经纬恒润 (688326 CH) 25 年业绩预告扭亏，规模效应凸显 | 泰研: 究 | | --- | | सह | 2026 年 1 月 28 日│中国内地 汽车零部件 公司发布 2025 年年度业绩预盈公告，预计 2025 年年度实现归属于母公 司所有者的净利润与上年同期相比，将实现扭亏为盈，实现归属于母公司所 有者的净利润 0.75 亿元到 1.1 亿元。公司的预盈利润区间下限超过我们此 前预测的 0.66 亿元，我们继续看好公司 2026 年公司规模化效应驱动下的 盈利增长，看好公司 2026 年海外业务落地放量，维持"买入"评级。 2025 回顾：扭亏为盈，研发成果释放与降本增效共同驱动 2025 年公司收入规模的扩大主要受益于前期研发投入的释放，以域控制器 等新产品阵营为代表的核心电子产品实现快速放量，同时原有产品持续迭代 获得更多客户与项目机会，推动整体收入增长。降本增效方面，公司通过 AI 工具优化开发流程、推动国产替代和提升智能制造水平，有效控制各项成本 费用，使毛利率有所提升、期间费用率显著下降，从而对盈利能力改善形成 实质支撑。产品与客户层面，公司电子产品包括区域控制器、 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the company [7]. Core Insights - The company expects a net profit attributable to shareholders of 176 to 200 million RMB for 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 66.6% to 89.3% [1]. - The company's self-owned brand business continues to show strong growth in Q4, with significant performance from various product lines and collaborations [1][2]. - The report highlights the potential for growth in the high-end home cleaning and oral beauty sectors, driven by strong brand management capabilities [1]. Summary by Sections Self-Owned Brand Business - The self-owned brand business has shown high growth, with the brand "Zhanjia" expanding its product categories and collaborations with new IPs, achieving a GMV of 350 million RMB across three platforms, a year-on-year increase of 107% [2]. - The brand "Feicui" has launched advanced anti-aging products, contributing to a significant increase in average transaction value [3]. Market Potential - The global AKK bacteria market is projected to reach approximately 325 million USD in 2024, with significant growth expected in the Chinese market [4]. - The company has recently become the exclusive agent for the oral beauty brand "Meisidike" in China, further expanding its brand matrix [4]. Financial Forecast and Valuation - The report adjusts the net profit forecast for the self-owned brand business to 108 million, 262 million, and 403 million RMB for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, reflecting a positive outlook [5]. - The target market capitalization is set at 17.617 billion RMB, with a target price of 56.64 RMB per share, based on a PE ratio of 38 for the self-owned brand business [5][12].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for Anta Sports [7] Core Views - Anta Sports announced an agreement to acquire approximately 29.06% of PUMA's shares for €15.06 billion (approximately ¥122.8 billion), becoming PUMA's largest shareholder [1][2] - The acquisition is part of Anta's strategy of "single focus, multi-brand, and globalization," aiming to enhance its global brand matrix and leverage PUMA's strengths in professional sports and fashion [2][4] - The transaction is expected to be completed by December 31, 2026, pending regulatory approvals, and is anticipated to have no impact on Anta's dividend capacity for 2025 [3][4] Summary by Sections Acquisition Details - Anta Sports will pay €35 per share, representing a 63% premium over PUMA's closing price of €21.5 on January 27, 2026 [3] - The acquisition is valued at approximately 0.8 times the expected revenue for FY2027, indicating a reasonable valuation for a global brand [3] Financial Projections - Anta forecasts net profits of ¥130.2 billion, ¥140.1 billion, and ¥155.0 billion for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [5] - The target price for Anta is set at HKD 109.21, based on a target PE of 20x for 2026 [5] Market Potential - PUMA's revenue in China is currently low, accounting for about 7% in the fiscal year 2024, indicating significant growth potential in the Chinese market [4] - Anta plans to utilize its established "brand + retail" business model to enhance PUMA's operations in China, aiming for growth above the industry average [4]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is maintained as "Buy" with a target price of RMB 96.40 [1]. Core Insights - The company, Ugreen Technology, is expanding its AI+NAS ecosystem, positioning NAS as a central hub for home data, and has launched the SynCare smart security series [1][6]. - The company expects a net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025 to be between RMB 653 million and RMB 733 million, aligning with expectations [1]. - The company is accelerating its penetration into overseas markets while continuously investing in the AI+NAS ecosystem, which is expected to drive growth [1][6]. Financial Performance and Forecast - For the fiscal year 2024, the company anticipates revenue of RMB 6,170 million, with a year-on-year growth of 28.46%. The net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to be RMB 462.28 million, reflecting a growth of 19.29% [5]. - The company forecasts significant revenue growth in the coming years, with expected revenues of RMB 9,236 million in 2025 and RMB 12,500 million in 2026, representing growth rates of 49.70% and 35.34%, respectively [5]. - The expected net profit for 2026 is RMB 1,000 million, with a year-on-year growth of 41.64% [5]. Product Development and Market Strategy - Ugreen has announced the pre-sale of its AI NAS products, which will be available on Kickstarter in March, showcasing advanced features such as Intel CPUs and AI capabilities [7]. - The SynCare series, which includes smart security products, was showcased at CES 2026, indicating the company's commitment to building a comprehensive smart ecosystem [8]. - The company has reported impressive sales growth in its mobile power and NAS categories, with year-on-year increases of 127% and 227%, respectively, in 2025 [6]. Valuation and Market Position - The company is expected to enjoy a valuation premium due to its overseas market penetration and product category expansion, with a projected PE ratio of 40 times for 2026 [9]. - The target price of RMB 96.40 is based on a 40 times PE ratio, reflecting confidence in the company's growth trajectory and market strategy [9].

证券研究报告 精细运营与供应链提效有望驱动业绩 持续释放 华泰研究 动态点评 投资评级(维持): 买入 万辰集团 (300972 CH) 目标价(人民币): 276.00 樊俊豪 研究员 SAC No. S0570524050001 SFC No. BDO986 SAC No. S0570524090003 SFC No. BVO045 曾珺 研究员 SAC No. S0570523120004 SFC No. BTM417 季珂* 研究员 SAC No. S0570525080003 jike@htsc.com +(86) 21 2897 2228 石狄 研究员 shidi@htsc.com 吕若晨 研究员 SAC No. S0570525050002 SFC No. BEE828 lvruochen@htsc.com +(86) 755 8249 2388 基本数据 | 收盘价 (人民币 截至 1 月 27 日) | 228.12 | | --- | --- | | 市值 (人民币百万) | 43,090 | | 6 个月平均日成交额 (人民币百万) | 458.98 | | 52 周价格范围 (人民币) ...

证券研究报告 基础材料/能源 1 月下旬以来，美国遭遇冬季风暴极端天气已造成部分受灾地区天然气/电力 供应中断、能源价格上涨等影响，其中作为美国化工重要供给区的得克萨斯 州墨西哥湾沿岸炼油、化工等部分工厂开工已受影响。考虑到美国较多大宗 化工品占全球产能比重仍较高，因而本轮寒潮导致的潜在供给下滑或对相关 产品的供应稳定性造成一定冲击。同时，由于我国大宗化工品已步入产能周 期和库存周期双重拐点，海外供给的潜在下滑或助力国内相关化工品开工率 提升及景气率先修复。关注炼油、乙烯、醋酸、MDI、TDI 等，推荐万华化 学、华谊集团、中国石化（A/H）。 美国遭遇寒潮极端天气，部分大宗化工品供给或受到冲击 据财联社、中新网等，美东时间 1 月 23 日以来，美国遭遇大规模冬季风暴， 已致逾 20 个州进入紧急状态，极端天气已造成部分受灾地区人员伤亡、天 然气/电力供应中断、能源价格上涨等影响，且得克萨斯州墨西哥湾沿岸多 家炼油厂、化工厂和制造商已被迫停产。同时，据美国国家气象局，极寒天 气或将持续到 2 月初。由于美国本土炼油、乙烯、醋酸、MDI、TDI 等较多 化工品产能占全球比重较高（2025 年多种产品产能占比在 ...