Fixed Income - Credit yields have entered a smooth downward channel in October, with credit spreads showing a noticeable compression. For example, the yield of the 5Y AAA credit bond "25 ICBC Secondary Capital Bond 02BC" has decreased from 2.19% at the beginning of the month to 2.11% by the end of the week, a decline of nearly 8 basis points [10] - The report suggests a bullish outlook for the bond market, recommending a focus on 10Y government bonds, 30Y government bonds, and 5Y capital bonds, with expectations for the 10Y government bond yield to return to around 1.65% by year-end [16][12] Media and Internet - The AI comic industry is experiencing high growth driven by both supply and demand, with a significant increase in the number of AI comic productions and viewership. The market scale is expected to exceed 20 billion, with related companies projected to grow significantly [19] - The gaming sector is expected to continue benefiting from high-quality product performance, with recommendations to focus on major titles and new game pipelines that show structural growth opportunities [20] Pharmaceuticals - The pharmaceutical index has seen a slight increase of 0.58%, but innovative drugs are currently underperforming. However, the report anticipates a positive investment trend in innovative drugs as clinical research progresses and BD (business development) opportunities expand [30][33] - Breakthroughs in gene testing technology are opening up significant market opportunities, particularly in multi-cancer early screening and MRD (minimal residual disease) monitoring, with several companies achieving notable clinical trial results [31][32] Utilities and Environmental Protection - In September, electricity consumption growth was recorded at 4.5%, indicating a recovery in secondary industry electricity usage. The report highlights the importance of monitoring companies with potential third-quarter performance catalysts [36][37] - The coal supply is expected to remain strong, with a recovery in raw coal production and a stable demand outlook for winter heating [36] New Consumption - Li Ning's retail revenue has seen a decline due to external environmental disturbances, but online sales continue to grow. The company is actively expanding its offline store presence, which may support long-term growth [29] - The report emphasizes the importance of sports resources in aiding the company's business development in the medium to long term [29]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" (maintained) [5] Core Views - The company achieved over 30% year-on-year growth in net profit attributable to the parent company for Q3 2025, solidifying its B-end business while expanding into the C-end market [5][8] - The company is positioned as a leader in standardized cold dishes in China, with domestic and international production capacity gradually being released, supported by its R&D capabilities, sales channel expansion, and rich customer resources [8] Financial Performance Summary - For 2023, the company is projected to have a revenue of 490 million yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 34.75%. By 2025, revenue is expected to reach 600 million yuan, reflecting a growth rate of 12.36% [7] - The net profit attributable to the parent company is forecasted to be 35 million yuan in 2023, increasing to 45 million yuan in 2025, with a year-on-year growth rate of 9.84% [7] - The earnings per share (EPS) is expected to grow from 0.25 yuan in 2023 to 0.32 yuan in 2025 [7] - The company’s return on equity (ROE) is projected to improve from 10.90% in 2023 to 12.10% in 2025 [7] Business Development - The company reported a revenue of 450 million yuan for Q1-Q3 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 16%, with a net profit of 35.74 million yuan, up 14% year-on-year [8] - The gross margin for Q1-Q3 2025 was 18.36%, an increase of 0.6 percentage points year-on-year [8] - The company is expanding its production capacity both domestically and internationally, with significant growth in mushroom and seafood products [8] - The establishment of a wholly-owned subsidiary in Singapore and a holding subsidiary in Thailand is expected to enhance international market presence [8] Market Strategy - The company primarily serves B-end clients, including large chain restaurants, and is gradually expanding into the C-end market, aiming for a "dual-wheel drive" strategy [8] - The company has built long-term strategic partnerships with major clients through stringent food safety standards and quality control systems [8] - The focus on providing value-added services and co-creation with clients is expected to deepen customer relationships and optimize business scale [8]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" (maintained) due to sustained revenue momentum and solid fundamentals [5]. Core Views - The company is expected to achieve net profits attributable to shareholders of 4.563 billion, 5.936 billion, and 7.374 billion yuan for the years 2025 to 2027, with year-on-year growth rates of 37.17%, 30.08%, and 24.22% respectively. The current stock price corresponds to P/E ratios of 34.27, 26.34, and 21.21 for the same years [6]. - The company has shown rapid growth in its fundamentals, with a revenue increase of 34.13% year-on-year in the first three quarters of 2025, reaching 16.844 billion yuan, and a net profit increase of 38.91% year-on-year, totaling 3.761 billion yuan [8]. Financial Performance Summary - Revenue for 2025 is projected at 21.375 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 34.96%. The net profit for the same year is expected to be 4.563 billion yuan, reflecting a growth rate of 37.17% [6][9]. - The company achieved a gross margin of 45.21% in Q3 2025, with a slight decrease of 0.6 percentage points compared to the previous year, primarily due to changes in product mix [8]. - The sales expense ratio significantly improved, leading to a net profit margin increase of 1.83 percentage points to 22.68% [8].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [5] Core Views - The external environment remains challenging, but the company is expected to benefit from sports resources that will support its long-term development [5] - The company has shown resilience in its e-commerce channel, maintaining high single-digit growth despite external pressures [7] - The company is actively expanding its offline store presence, with a net increase of 33 stores in Q3 2025, totaling 6,132 stores [7] - The signing of player Yang Hanshen, who was selected in the first round of the NBA draft, is anticipated to enhance the company's brand and product sales in the basketball category [7] - The company is projected to achieve net profits of RMB 2.645 billion, RMB 2.843 billion, and RMB 3.101 billion for the years 2025 to 2027, respectively [7] Financial Summary - Revenue projections for the company are as follows: RMB 28,676 million in 2024, RMB 29,027 million in 2025, RMB 30,766 million in 2026, and RMB 32,845 million in 2027, with growth rates of 3.9%, 1.2%, 6.0%, and 6.8% respectively [8] - The company's net profit for 2025 is estimated at RMB 2,645 million, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 12.21% [6][8] - The company's return on equity (ROE) is projected to decline from 11.54% in 2024 to 9.00% in 2027 [8]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" (maintained) [5] Core Views - The company achieved a year-on-year increase of 26% in net profit attributable to shareholders for Q1-Q3 2025, supported by the issuance of convertible bonds to enhance cash flow [5][6] - The company is focusing on advanced projects such as oil-gas springs, autonomous driving systems, and humanoid robot lead screws, indicating a strong potential for growth in emerging markets [6] - The issuance of targeted convertible bonds aims to improve cash flow and support long-term development, with a net fundraising amount of approximately RMB 148.22 million [6] Financial Performance Summary - For 2025, the company expects revenue of RMB 779 million, a year-on-year growth of 23.87%, and net profit of RMB 141 million, a year-on-year growth of 29.57% [5][7] - The company's earnings per share (EPS) is projected to be RMB 1.19 for 2025, with a return on equity (ROE) of 21.56% [5][7] - The company’s total market capitalization is approximately RMB 5.97 billion, with a circulating market value of about RMB 3.29 billion [3][5]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the transportation industry is "Positive" (maintained) [4] Core Views - The express delivery industry shows resilient demand, with a year-on-year growth of 12.7% in September, indicating a steady expansion of the market [4][25] - The logistics sector is witnessing technological advancements, with JD Logistics planning to procure 3 million robots and 100,000 unmanned vehicles over the next five years, which may enhance supply chain efficiency [5] - The shipping market is expected to benefit from geopolitical factors and trade negotiations, potentially increasing demand for oil transportation and bulk shipping [6][10] - The aviation sector is experiencing growth, with a 10.8% increase in international flight volumes for the upcoming winter-spring season, reflecting a recovery in air travel [10][12] Summary by Sections Express Delivery - In September 2025, the express delivery business volume reached 16.88 billion pieces, a 12.7% year-on-year increase, with revenue of 127.37 billion yuan, up 7.2% [4][25] - Major players like SF Express and JD Logistics are expected to benefit from cyclical recovery and cost control, with significant growth potential [14] Shipping and Ports - The VLCC market may benefit from U.S. sanctions on Russian oil, potentially increasing long-distance shipping demand [6] - The shipping market is expected to see a recovery driven by environmental regulations and geopolitical stability, with recommendations to focus on companies like China Shipping and COSCO [14][15] Aviation - The aviation industry is projected to maintain steady growth, with a 10.3% increase in total transport turnover and a 5.2% rise in passenger transport volume in the first three quarters of 2025 [10] - Airbus has opened a new A320 assembly line in Tianjin, marking a significant milestone in Sino-European cooperation [9] Road and Rail - National logistics operations are running smoothly, with rail freight increasing by 2.33% and highway freight truck traffic rising by 24.72% [13] - Strategic partnerships in the highway sector are being formed to enhance service offerings and operational efficiency [13] Overall Market Performance - From October 20 to October 24, 2025, the transportation sector index increased by 1.12%, underperforming the Shanghai Composite Index, which rose by 2.88% [20][23]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [5] Core Insights - The company's profits from civil explosives continue to grow, while other businesses and subsidies are a drag on overall performance [5] - The company reported a revenue of 1.601 billion yuan for Q3 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 6.01%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 190 million yuan, down 13.06% year-on-year [7] - The decline in revenue and profit is primarily due to the performance of non-explosive businesses and reduced government subsidies [7] Financial Performance Summary - Revenue forecast for 2023 is 2.541 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 18.05%, followed by a decline in 2024 and 2025 [6] - Net profit attributable to shareholders for 2023 is projected at 306 million yuan, with a significant year-on-year increase of 112.65%, but a forecasted decline in 2024 [6] - The company’s gross margin for the first three quarters is stable at 34.91%, with a slight increase of 0.3 percentage points year-on-year [7] - The company expects net profits of 255 million yuan, 337 million yuan, and 504 million yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 30, 23, and 15 [7][8]

Investment Rating - The report suggests a "关注" (focus) investment rating for the company [4]. Core Insights - The company specializes in engineering cost services and has a leading advantage in full-process engineering consulting and BIM+ services. It aims to enhance service capabilities and market share through strategic investments in network construction and R&D projects [2][12]. - The company has a projected compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 31.1% for net profit from 2021 to 2024, with engineering cost services accounting for over 50% of its main business revenue [3][46]. - The company is recognized as a specialized and innovative small and medium-sized enterprise in Jiangsu Province, with a net profit margin of 26.64% expected in 2024 [14]. Summary by Sections Initial Issuance - The company plans to issue 14 million shares at a price of 14.27 CNY per share, with an earnings multiple of 8.76X. The subscription date is set for October 28, 2025 [3][6]. - The total amount raised, after deducting issuance costs, will be invested in projects aimed at enhancing engineering consulting service networks and R&D [12][13]. Company Overview - The company provides a range of professional technical services, including engineering cost, bidding agency, project supervision, BIM services, and engineering design [14][17]. - The main revenue source is engineering cost services, with a projected gross margin of 49.9% in 2024 [17][37]. - The company has established a strong presence in Jiangsu Province, with its top five clients accounting for approximately 18% of total sales in 2024 [42][43]. Industry Insights - The fixed asset investment scale in China is expanding, which is driving the growth of the engineering consulting service industry. The total investment is expected to increase from 49.32 trillion CNY in 2020 to 52.09 trillion CNY in 2024 [3][14]. - The number of engineering cost consulting firms in China has nearly doubled from 2019 to 2023, indicating a robust growth trend in the industry [3][16]. Financial Performance - The company's revenue reached 368 million CNY in 2023, with a year-on-year growth of 21.41%, and is projected to reach 396 million CNY in 2024, with a growth rate of 7.39% [46]. - The net profit for 2024 is expected to be approximately 105.39 million CNY, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 30.02% [46].

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [3][4] Core Views - The report highlights that copper prices are expected to experience high-level fluctuations in the short term, driven by supply disruptions and ongoing negotiations between the US and China [4] - Aluminum prices are on the rise due to continuous inventory depletion, while the alumina market remains in an oversupply situation [4] - Lithium prices are recovering from the bottom as demand increases during the peak season, with a notable decrease in inventory [4] - Cobalt prices are likely to continue rising due to the implementation of export quotas in the Democratic Republic of Congo, which may tighten supply [4] Summary by Sections 1. Industry Overview - The report indicates that the US CPI for September was lower than expected, which may influence market conditions [8] 2. Market Performance - The overall performance of the non-ferrous metals sector shows that the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 2.88%, while the non-ferrous sector increased by 1.13%, underperforming the index by 1.75 percentage points [11][12] 3. Valuation Changes - The TTM PE for the non-ferrous sector is 27.27, with a weekly change of 0.68, while the PB is 3.17, reflecting a 0.09 change [21][24] 4. Industrial Metals - Copper prices increased by 2.61% in London and 3.95% in Shanghai, with inventories decreasing [26] - Aluminum prices rose by 2.78% in London and 1.14% in Shanghai, with a notable increase in aluminum enterprise profits [36] - Lead and zinc prices also saw increases, with lead prices up by 2.00% and zinc by 2.48% [47] - Lithium prices for lithium carbonate rose by 2.79% to 75,400 yuan/ton, while lithium spodumene increased by 4.14% to 881 USD/ton [76] - Cobalt prices saw a significant increase, with MB cobalt rising by 7.75% to 22.60 USD/pound [89]

Investment Rating - The report indicates a positive outlook for the Beijing Stock Exchange (北交所) market, with a focus on long-term stable growth companies and sectors that are scarce in the market [2][13]. Core Insights - The report highlights the successful completion of a convertible bond issuance by Wantong Hydraulic, raising 150 million yuan, marking a significant case in the context of the registration system reform at the Beijing Stock Exchange [2][5]. - The Social Security Fund has increased its investments in the Beijing Stock Exchange, with 73% of the 22 companies reporting positive revenue growth in the first three quarters of 2025 [2][9]. - The report suggests that the current market conditions may present investment opportunities, particularly in sectors with stable long-term performance and those that promote domestic consumption [2][13]. Summary by Sections Convertible Bond Issuance - Wantong Hydraulic successfully completed a convertible bond issuance of 150 million yuan, which is significant as it is the first case of predetermined issuance targets under the new registration system [2][5]. - The bond has a tiered interest rate structure, starting at 0.20% in the first year and increasing by 0.20% each subsequent year [6][7]. Market Performance - As of October 24, 2025, 73% of the companies listed on the Beijing Stock Exchange reported revenue growth, with five companies achieving over 20% growth in both revenue and net profit [9][10]. - The overall price-to-earnings (PE) ratio for the North Exchange A-shares has risen to 49.6X, indicating a recovery in valuations [14][15]. Investment Opportunities - The report identifies several key investment themes: companies with stable long-term growth, those with significant adjustments in stock prices, and sectors focused on self-sufficiency and domestic consumption [13][14]. - The report emphasizes the importance of monitoring the overall market sentiment and trading volume on the Beijing Stock Exchange for future investment decisions [13][20]. New Listings and IPOs - No new companies were listed in the week of October 20-24, 2025, but the report notes that 40 companies have been listed since January 1, 2024, with an average issuance PE of 13.98X [21][25]. - The report also mentions ongoing IPO applications and approvals, indicating a normalization of new stock issuances on the exchange [29].