Domestic Macro Policy - The central government is focusing on the formulation of the 15th Five-Year Plan, emphasizing long-term strategic adjustments to macroeconomic policies rather than short-term gains[4] - The National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC) announced a new policy financial tool worth CNY 500 billion to support effective investment[5] - The People's Bank of China (PBOC) is shifting its monetary policy focus from "implementation" to "execution," aiming for a moderately loose monetary policy[8] Infrastructure and Industry - Policies are being introduced to stabilize growth in key industries such as steel, petrochemicals, and machinery, with an emphasis on capacity reduction[6] - The steel industry aims for an average annual growth of around 4% in value added over the next two years[7] Real Estate Policy - Cities like Guangzhou and Wuhan are implementing measures to optimize land use and stimulate demand, including interest subsidies for home loans[9] - The focus is on utilizing existing urban land effectively as China enters a "stock era" in urban development[9] Trade Relations - The U.S.-China trade conflict is escalating, with the U.S. imposing a 100% tariff on Chinese products starting November 1, 2025[12] - China has responded with export controls on rare earth technologies, affecting various critical sectors[11] Overseas Macro Policy - The U.S. government is facing a shutdown due to funding issues, impacting federal employees and public services[15] - The Federal Reserve's future interest rate decisions remain uncertain, with discussions around potential rate cuts to address labor market concerns[16] Market Trends - In the first week of October, major overseas stock indices, including the S&P 500 and Nasdaq, experienced declines of approximately 2.43% and 2.53%, respectively[18] - Gold prices continued to rise, with COMEX gold reaching USD 3,986.20 per ounce, reflecting a 2.68% increase[19] Risk Factors - There is a risk of divergence in domestic and international monetary policies, with domestic policy execution potentially falling short of expectations[20]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the building materials industry is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Viewpoints - The Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development has emphasized deepening reforms in the construction industry, focusing on industrialization, digitalization, and greening as development paths. This aims to transition the construction industry from a traditional extensive model to a refined and intelligent one, with key measures including the promotion of prefabricated buildings and the application of construction robots. The ultimate goal is to achieve high-quality development and enhance the quality, efficiency, and sustainability of "Chinese construction" [1] - The report highlights the long-term investment value of the building materials sector, particularly in green building materials and intelligent construction, which are expected to open new growth spaces due to the profound changes driven by the "three transformations" [1] - Recommended stocks in the consumer building materials sector include: Sankeshu (channel penetration, retail expansion), Dongfang Yuhong (waterproof leader, optimized operational structure), Weixing New Materials (high-quality operations, high retail business proportion), and Jianlang Hardware. Beneficiary stocks include: Beixin Building Materials (gypsum board leader, diversified expansion in coatings and waterproof sectors) [1] Summary by Sections Market Overview - The building materials index increased by 2.66% from October 6 to October 10, 2025, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 3.18 percentage points. Over the past three months, the CSI 300 index rose by 14.91%, while the building materials index increased by 14.73%, indicating a slight underperformance of 0.18 percentage points. In the past year, the CSI 300 index rose by 16.55%, and the building materials index increased by 21.26%, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 4.71 percentage points [2][11] Cement Sector - As of October 10, 2025, the average price of P.O42.5 bulk cement nationwide was 287.21 yuan/ton, a decrease of 0.26% month-on-month. The price trends varied by region, with increases in Northeast (+0.60%) and Central China (+1.32%), while declines were noted in North China (-1.09%) and East China (-1.57%) [22][25] - The clinker inventory ratio was stable at 67.40% [23] - The report tracks the valuation of listed companies in the cement sector, indicating a need for monitoring [72] Glass Sector - The average spot price of float glass as of October 10, 2025, was 1301.65 yuan/ton, reflecting a week-on-week increase of 0.72%. However, the futures price decreased by 2.86% [76][77] - National float glass inventory increased by 696 million weight boxes, a rise of 13.71% [78][79] Fiberglass Sector - The market price for non-alkali 2400tex direct yarn ranged from 3400 to 4000 yuan/ton, with variations depending on the manufacturer [4] Consumer Building Materials - As of October 10, 2025, the price of crude oil was 65.05 USD/barrel, down 3.59% week-on-week. The price of asphalt remained stable at 4570 yuan/ton, while acrylic acid and titanium dioxide prices showed slight declines [4]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [2] Core Viewpoints - The report indicates that thermal coal prices may establish a support level above 700 RMB per ton, with a steady and cautious approach to coal investments [4][14] - The current thermal coal price is 705 RMB per ton as of October 10, 2025, showing a slight recovery from a previous low of 699 RMB [4][18] - Coking coal prices have rebounded significantly, with a current price of 1630 RMB per ton, up from a low of 1230 RMB in early July, representing a 61.47% increase [4][5] Summary by Sections Investment Logic - Thermal coal is categorized as a policy-driven commodity, and prices are expected to rebound towards long-term contract prices, currently above the second target price of around 700 RMB [5][14] - The report predicts that the thermal coal price could reach a third target price of approximately 750 RMB by 2025, with a potential peak at 860 RMB [5][14] - Coking coal prices are more influenced by supply and demand fundamentals, with target prices based on the ratio of coking coal to thermal coal prices [5][14] Investment Recommendations - The report outlines a dual logic for coal stocks: cyclical elasticity and stable dividends. It suggests that coal prices are at historical lows, providing room for rebound [6][15] - Four main lines of coal stock selection are recommended: 1. Cyclical logic: Jin控煤业, 兖矿能源 2. Dividend logic: 中国神华, 中煤能源 3. Diversified aluminum elasticity: 神火股份, 电投能源 4. Growth logic: 新集能源, 广汇能源 [6][15] Key Market Indicators - The coal index increased by 4.41% this week, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 4.93 percentage points [9][11] - The average PE ratio for the coal sector is 13.89, and the PB ratio is 1.3, ranking low among all A-share industries [11][25] - The report notes a significant increase in port coal inventory, with a total of 2557.5 thousand tons, reflecting an 11.40% increase [18][19]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Viewpoints - The consumption during the National Day holiday showed steady recovery, with significant increases in travel and retail sales, indicating a positive trend for the retail sector [23][25] - The report emphasizes the importance of emotional consumption themes and highlights high-quality companies in high-growth sectors, particularly in gold jewelry, offline retail, cosmetics, and medical aesthetics [6][33] Summary by Sections Retail Market Review - The retail industry index closed at 2288.03 points, with a weekly increase of 0.28%, underperforming the Shanghai Composite Index which rose by 1.80% [5][12] - The professional chain sector saw the largest increase this week, while the watch and jewelry sector led the year-to-date performance with an increase of 28.18% [14][17] Retail Insights - During the National Day holiday, domestic travel reached 888 million trips, with total spending of 809 billion yuan, marking an increase of 1.23 billion trips and 108.19 billion yuan compared to the previous year [23][24] - Key retail and catering enterprises reported a 2.7% year-on-year increase in sales during the holiday, with daily sales in related industries growing by 4.5% [23][25] Investment Recommendations - Focus on high-quality gold jewelry brands with differentiated product offerings, recommending companies like Laopuhuang and Chaohongji [6][33] - Emphasize offline retail companies that adapt to trends, recommending Yonghui Supermarket and Aiyingshi [6][33] - Highlight domestic cosmetics brands with strong differentiation, recommending brands like Maogeping and Porcelain [6][34] - Suggest medical aesthetics companies with differentiated product lines, recommending Aimeike and Kedi-B [6][34] Company Performance Highlights - Laopuhuang reported a revenue of 12.354 billion yuan in H1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 250.9%, with a net profit of 2.268 billion yuan, up 285.8% [38][39] - Chaohongji achieved a revenue of 4.102 billion yuan in H1 2025, reflecting a 19.5% increase, with a net profit of 331 million yuan, up 44.3% [35] - Maogeping's revenue reached 1.769 billion yuan in H1 2025, a 30.8% increase, with a net profit of 186 million yuan, up 5.2% [35]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is maintained as "Positive" [2][5]. Core Viewpoints - The REITs market is expected to continue to offer good investment opportunities due to the downward pressure on bond market interest rates, the "asset shortage" logic, and the expected inflow of social security and pension funds [5]. - The market performance of various REITs categories shows mixed results, with environmental REITs performing positively in the short term [5][36]. Summary by Sections 1. Recent Developments - Huaxia Kaide Commercial REIT has successfully listed on the Shanghai Stock Exchange, raising a target of 2.2872 billion yuan with a subscription rate of 535.2 times for public investors [6][14]. - Huaxia Zhonghai Commercial REIT is set to be issued from October 13 to 14, 2025, with a target fundraising of 1.5843 billion yuan [6][14]. 2. Market Review - The CSI REITs closing index for week 41 of 2025 is 826.77, up 5.76% year-on-year but down 0.27% week-on-week [7][16]. - The CSI REITs total return index is 1058.71, up 12.09% year-on-year but down 0.26% week-on-week [21]. 3. Market Performance - The trading volume of the REITs market reached 150 million units, a year-on-year decrease of 68.88%, with a transaction value of 702 million yuan, down 64.22% year-on-year [26][31]. - The turnover rate for the period is 0.62%, a decrease of 2.63% year-on-year [26]. 4. Sector Performance - Weekly and monthly performance of various REITs categories shows environmental REITs increased by 0.17% weekly but decreased by 4.16% monthly [36]. - Other categories such as affordable housing, logistics, and energy REITs experienced declines in both weekly and monthly performance [36].

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Viewpoints - The new housing transaction area has decreased both year-on-year and month-on-month, prompting the establishment of a sustainable urban renewal model. The Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development emphasizes innovation in mechanisms to accelerate the establishment of this new model, with pilot projects expected to be launched in collaboration with local governments [5][6][61] - The overall real estate market in China is moving towards stabilization, with policies aimed at preventing further declines. However, slight fluctuations in housing prices may still occur during this stabilization process [5][61] Summary by Sections 1. Sustainable Urban Renewal Model - The Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development aims to establish a sustainable urban renewal model, with multiple cities already implementing urban renewal documents. The focus is on renovating existing old housing and launching pilot projects with local governments [6][14][61] 2. Sales Sector - In the 41st week of 2025, the transaction area of new residential properties in 68 major cities was 1.32 million square meters, a year-on-year decrease of 52% and a month-on-month decrease of 32%. Cumulatively, the transaction area from the beginning of the year to date is 91.74 million square meters, reflecting an 11% year-on-year decline [19][36] - The transaction area of second-hand houses in 20 cities was 1.01 million square meters, with a year-on-year growth rate of -45% [36] 3. Investment Sector - In the 41st week of 2025, the planned building area of land released in 100 major cities was 47.78 million square meters, with a transaction area of 11.89 million square meters, representing a year-on-year decrease of 9%. The transaction premium rate was 4.8% [41][42] 4. Financing Sector - In the 41st week of 2025, the issuance of credit bonds was 0.94 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 64% and a month-on-month decrease of 55%. The cumulative issuance of credit bonds was 314.86 billion yuan, remaining stable year-on-year [48][50] 5. Weekly Market Review - The real estate index fell by 0.82%, underperforming the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index, which decreased by 0.51%. The real estate sector ranked 20th among 28 sectors in terms of performance [53][55]

投资评级：看好（维持） 电力设备 电力设备 2025 年 10 月 12 日 行业走势图 数据来源：聚源 -17% 0% 17% 34% 50% 67% 2024-10 2025-02 2025-06 电力设备 沪深300 相关研究报告 《低空经济行业周报（第三十六期）： 中国移动主导首个低空经济共享设备 标准立项，多地低空经济支持政策持 续出台—行业周报》-2025.10.7 《固态电池行业周报（第十七期）： 中伟股份与厦钨新能战略合作，卫蓝 新能源获 D+轮融资引入绿色能源等 战投—行业周报》-2025.10.7 《固态电池行业周报（第十六期）： 中汽新能全固态电池计划 2026年装车 一汽示范车型，当升科技固态锂电正 极材料已实现 10吨级批量出货—行业 周报》-2025.9.28 固态电池行业周报（第十八期）：中科院物理所研发 阴离子调控技术解决固态电池界面问题，中国企业亮 相北美电池展展示固态电池全链条技术 ——行业周报 殷晟路（分析师） yinshenglu@kysec.cn 证书编号：S0790522080001 中科院物理所研发阴离子调控技术解决固态电池界面问题，中国企业亮相北 美电池展展示固 ...

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The in vivo CAR-T technology is emerging as a new hotspot in cell therapy, with significant investment opportunities in the domestic market. Major pharmaceutical companies are actively entering this field, with multiple high-value transactions occurring in 2025 [5][14] - Compared to traditional CAR-T, in vivo CAR-T offers advantages such as reduced manufacturing costs, shortened processing times, and improved accessibility for patients, making it applicable in various diseases including B-cell malignancies and autoimmune diseases [6][15] - The report highlights the performance of various sub-sectors within the pharmaceutical industry, noting that the hospital sector showed the highest increase, while the medical R&D outsourcing sector experienced the largest decline [7][24] Summary by Sections Section 1: In Vivo CAR-T Transactions - Numerous significant transactions in the in vivo CAR-T space have occurred in 2025, indicating strong interest and investment potential. Notable deals include AstraZeneca's acquisition of EsoBiotech for $1 billion and BMS's agreement to acquire Orbital Therapeutics for $1.5 billion [5][14] Section 2: Market Performance - In the second week of October 2025, the pharmaceutical sector declined by 1.20%, underperforming the CSI 300 index by 0.69 percentage points, ranking 25th among 31 sub-industries. The hospital sector saw the largest increase at 1.79% [7][18] - The report provides a detailed analysis of sub-sector performance, with the hospital sector leading gains and the medical R&D outsourcing sector facing the most significant losses [24][28] Section 3: Recommended Stocks - The report recommends several stocks for investment, including Shiyao Group, Sunshine Nuohuo, and Yuekang Pharmaceutical, among others [8][16]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Viewpoints - The report highlights a decline in liquor sales during the recent double festival period, while new consumer categories maintain growth [3][11] - The food and beverage index experienced a slight decline of 0.2%, ranking 15th among 28 sectors, outperforming the CSI 300 by approximately 0.4 percentage points [11][13] - The liquor market is estimated to have seen an overall sales decline of 20% during the double festival, aligning with previous market expectations [11][12] Summary by Sections Weekly Insights - The report notes that the liquor market is facing two types of differentiation: scene differentiation, where banquet scenarios are supported by demand for gatherings, and price differentiation, where high-end and cost-effective products perform well [11][12] - The beverage sector shows resilience due to its essential consumption nature, with functional drinks aligning with health trends and outdoor activities [12] Market Performance - The beverage sector outperformed the liquor sector, with soft drinks (+4.9%), dairy products (+1.8%), and health products (+1.3%) leading the performance [11][13] - Individual stocks such as Zhuangyuan Pasture, Yangyuan Beverage, and Guangming Meat Industry showed significant gains, while brands like Huanlejia and Gujing Gongjiu faced declines [11][13] Upstream Data - Some upstream raw material prices have decreased, with the price of whole milk powder showing a year-on-year increase of 6.1% [17][21] - The price of fresh milk has decreased by 3.2% year-on-year, indicating a downward trend in domestic milk prices [17][21] Liquor Industry News - The report mentions the global launch of a new 25-degree product by Shanxi Fenjiu, highlighting the brand's commitment to quality and innovation [42] - The report also notes a significant increase in sales for the "Maopu" brand, which saw a 115% year-on-year growth in September [42] Recommended Portfolio - The report recommends stocks such as Guizhou Moutai, Shanxi Fenjiu, Ximai Food, Weilong Delicious, and Bairun Shares, emphasizing their growth potential and market positioning [4][46]

Group 1 - The New Third Board serves as an important foundation for small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) in China, currently facing challenges such as insufficient liquidity and financing capabilities [3][12][15] - As of September 22, 2025, there are 6,022 listed companies on the New Third Board, with 38.53% in the innovation layer [3][35] - The market has seen a decline in the number of listed companies from a peak of 11,645 in 2017 to 6,009 by August 2025, with a total market value of 22,763.9 billion [3][19][25] Group 2 - The overall quality of newly listed companies on the New Third Board has improved significantly, with the average revenue of newly listed companies reaching 902 million in 2025 [3][48] - In 2024, 44.07% of New Third Board companies had revenues below 100 million, indicating a concentration of smaller enterprises [54] - The New Third Board is a key gathering place for "specialized, refined, distinctive, and innovative" small giant enterprises, with 728 such companies as of September 22, 2025 [3][24] Group 3 - The New Third Board is undergoing reforms to enhance its ecosystem, including optimizing the market maker mechanism and deepening collaboration with the Beijing Stock Exchange [3][4] - The U.S. OTC market's recent structural reforms may provide insights for the New Third Board's development, focusing on transparency and resource allocation [4][28] Group 4 - The New Third Board's financing tools are relatively limited, with private placements being the primary method, averaging 61.91 million in 2024 [41][44] - The average revenue of newly listed companies has increased from 33.86 million in 2007 to 902 million in 2025, reflecting a trend towards higher quality listings [48][51] - In 2024, 34.71% of New Third Board companies reported losses, highlighting the financial challenges faced by many listed firms [58][59]