丨证券研究报告丨 投资策略丨点评报告 [Table_Title] 恒生系列指数季度检讨结果公布，港股通名单或 随之调整——"重估牛"系列之"入通"策略 报告要点 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 戴清 SAC：S0490524010002 SFC：BTR264 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 [Table_Summary] 8 月 22 日，恒生指数公司发布了截至 2025 年 6 月 30 日的恒生指数系列季度检讨结果，恒生 指数、恒生中国企业指数，以及恒生综合指数等指数的成分股发生变化。 纳入恒生综合指数的 个股有望进入港股通，根据我们对于 2022 年至 2025 年 3 月"入通"的全样本进行统计，纳入 港股通前个股有望实现一定涨幅，建议持续关注。 [Table_Title 恒生系列指数季度检讨结果公布，港股通名单 2] 或随之调整——"重估牛"系列之"入通"策略 [Table_Summary2] 事件描述 8 月 22 日，恒生指数公司发布了截至 2025 年 6 月 30 日的恒生指数系列季度检讨结果，恒生 指数、恒生中国 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [9] Core Views - The report highlights that the electrolytic aluminum sector is expected to experience a dual boost in profitability and valuation, with China Hongqiao as a leading integrated player driving this trend [5][7] - The company has shown remarkable performance, with a cumulative increase of 1316.85% since the low point in March 2020, and a year-to-date increase of 124.49% as of August 22, 2025 [5] - The company's net profit attributable to shareholders for the first half of the year increased by 35.02% year-on-year, benefiting from lower coal prices and a low base from last year's impairment profits [5][6] - The average dividend yield from 2020 to 2024 is projected to be 10.48%, with a high of 13.69% in 2024, showcasing the company's strong dividend attributes [6][7] Summary by Sections Company Performance - The company has a robust cash flow, with net cash flow from operating activities increasing from 17.779 billion to 33.983 billion from 2020 to 2024 [6] - The integrated supply chain from bauxite to aluminum processing helps mitigate price fluctuations across different products [6] Future Outlook - The report suggests that the electrolytic aluminum sector is entering a phase of profitability and valuation recovery, with potential for further growth in dividend yields as aluminum prices rise [7] - The anticipated annualized net profit for the first half of the year is projected at 24.72 billion, with a reference dividend payout ratio of 62.03%, leading to a dividend yield of 7.09% [7]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the industry is "Positive" and is maintained [8]. Core Insights - The innovation layout of traditional Chinese medicine (TCM) companies includes two main categories: (1) TCM new drugs primarily classified as Class 1, which cannot currently use the same valuation system as innovative drugs due to differences in input-output, release rhythm, and lifecycle; (2) Innovative chemical and biological drugs, which are in need of value reassessment within TCM companies [2][6]. - The approval of TCM new drugs is accelerating, but the industry is still in its early development stage. From 2017 to 2024, the approval of TCM new drugs shows an accelerating trend, and with the implementation of policies and active corporate layouts, a surge in TCM new drug listings is expected [6][17]. - Several TCM companies are actively laying out innovative chemical and biological drugs, with companies like Jiuzi Tang, Kangyuan Pharmaceutical, Yiling Pharmaceutical, and Tianshili having multiple pipelines entering clinical stages, laying a solid foundation for long-term development [6][21]. Summary by Sections TCM New Drug Approval - The approval of TCM new drugs is showing an accelerating trend, indicating a potential future surge in listings due to supportive policies and active corporate strategies [6][17]. - The industry is still considered to be in its early development stage, with a different valuation system compared to chemical and biological drugs [6][17]. Innovative Drug Layout of TCM Companies - TCM companies are increasingly involved in the layout of innovative chemical and biological drugs, with several companies having multiple pipelines in clinical stages [21][22]. - Specific companies such as Jiuzi Tang focus on stem cell drugs, while Kangyuan Pharmaceutical has several pipelines in late-stage clinical trials for major diseases [21][22]. - Yiling Pharmaceutical has innovative chemical drugs entering the harvest stage, and Tianshili is involved in various fields including dual antibodies and stem cell injections [21][22]. Investment Perspective - The report suggests that the "insurance fund's transformation" will continue to evolve, with innovative drugs being a primary investment focus. Companies with healthy cash flow and innovative capabilities are favored [28]. - The report emphasizes the importance of breakthrough therapies and technological advancements, particularly in new treatment areas such as cytokine immunotherapy and PD1-based therapies [28].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [4]. Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 11.54 billion yuan in Q2 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 21.4%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 2.77 billion yuan, up 31.5% year-on-year. The performance exceeded expectations due to scale effects and a decrease in raw material costs [2][4]. - The company is positioned as a leading global automotive glass manufacturer, with a widening competitive moat and significant long-term investment value [2][7]. Summary by Relevant Sections Financial Performance - In Q2 2025, the company reported a revenue of 11.54 billion yuan, a 21.4% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 2.77 billion yuan, reflecting a 31.5% year-on-year growth. The gross profit margin reached 38.5%, an increase of 3.5 percentage points year-on-year [2][7]. - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 2.35 billion yuan for the mid-year report, with a payout ratio of 48.9% [7]. Market Position and Growth Potential - The company benefits from a high penetration rate of high-value-added products and an increasing global market share. The automotive glass market is expected to expand rapidly over the next decade, with the company poised to gain significantly [2][7]. - The company’s high-value products accounted for an increased revenue share, with a notable rise in the penetration of advanced glass technologies [7]. Future Outlook - The company is expected to continue its rapid growth, driven by the increasing demand for advanced automotive glass products. Projections for net profit attributable to shareholders are 9.88 billion yuan, 11.34 billion yuan, and 13.17 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [7].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [10]. Core Views - The company's profitability continues to improve, with shareholder returns remaining at a high level. The dividend yield for the fiscal year 2024 is expected to exceed 7%. Future valuation recovery is likely to focus on stabilizing revenue, with expectations for sequential improvement in revenue in the second half of the year as the negative impacts of price increases are gradually absorbed [2][8]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 40.092 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 2.7%. The gross profit margin increased by 1.9 percentage points to 34.5%, primarily due to cost structure optimization and improved operational efficiency. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 2.271 billion, representing a year-on-year growth of 20.5%. After excluding a one-time gain of approximately 211 million from the sale of a subsidiary, the adjusted net profit attributable to shareholders was 2.112 billion, a year-on-year increase of 12.0% [4][5]. Business Segments - **Instant Noodles Segment**: Revenue was 13.465 billion, down 2.5% year-on-year. The gross profit margin slightly increased by 0.7 percentage points to 27.8%, leading to a segment net profit growth of 11.9% to 951 million [5]. - **Beverage Segment**: Revenue was 26.359 billion, down 2.6% year-on-year. The gross profit margin significantly improved by 2.5 percentage points to 37.7%, resulting in a segment net profit growth of 19.7% to 1.335 billion [5][6]. Strategic Focus - The beverage business is focusing on health and innovation while maintaining its core offerings. The company is expanding its no-sugar beverage line and introducing differentiated products like "electrolyte alkaline water" to compete in the market. The core product "Ice Red Tea" is being enhanced through new flavors and scenario-based marketing [6]. - The instant noodle business is adopting a dual strategy of premiumization and value for money. The company plans to promote innovative products and cater to mid-to-high-end consumers while also offering larger volume products to meet consumer demand for value [7]. Future Outlook - The ongoing improvement in profitability and high dividend yield provide a safety margin for investors. The company is expected to see a sequential improvement in revenue in the second half of the year as the negative impacts of price increases are absorbed. EPS is projected to be 0.77 and 0.89 for 2025 and 2026, respectively, with corresponding PE valuations of 13 and 11.5 times [8].

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" and is maintained [8] Core Viewpoints - The 2025 China Computing Power Conference will be held from August 22 to 24 in Datong, focusing on enhancing collaboration among various stakeholders in the computing power industry for high-quality development [2][5] - The ongoing AI wave is driving the expansion of computing power, making domestic computing power a viable solution under supply chain security considerations, with significant opportunities for the domestic chip industry [2][10] - The demand for computing power is expected to continue to grow explosively due to the rapid increase in AI applications and model complexity, with daily token consumption in China rising from 100 billion to over 30 trillion in just 18 months, a growth of over 300% [10] Summary by Sections Event Description - The conference aims to strengthen communication and cooperation among government leaders, telecom companies, chip manufacturers, computing power enterprises, industry experts, and academic institutions [5] Event Commentary - The computing power industry in China needs to develop towards high quality and scalability, with current statistics showing 10.85 million standard racks in use and a smart computing power scale of 788 EFLOPS [10] - There are challenges such as inefficient resource scheduling and underutilization of GPU capabilities that need to be addressed alongside infrastructure development [10] Investment Opportunities - The report suggests focusing on the entire domestic chip industry chain, particularly leading companies in computing power chips like Cambricon, as domestic computing power is expected to thrive amid supply chain security concerns [10]

Investment Rating - The report indicates a favorable investment opportunity in the Hong Kong internet sector, particularly with the acceleration of AI industry development [4][7]. Core Insights - The Hong Kong IPO market is experiencing a resurgence, with a significant increase in the number of mainland companies listing in Hong Kong, marked by improved financing amounts and stock performance post-listing [7][19]. - The AI application market is thriving, with expectations for a transformative leap as commercialization accelerates, particularly in the domestic market where growth rates surpass those of international counterparts [8][30]. - The China Securities Hong Kong Internet Index primarily consists of companies in the information technology and consumer discretionary sectors, with a total weight of 70.58%, indicating a concentrated investment focus [9][49]. Summary by Sections Hong Kong IPO Market - The IPO market in Hong Kong has become vibrant since September 2024, with a notable increase in the number of listings and financing amounts, suggesting a new trend for mainland companies to go public in Hong Kong [19][23]. - From Q3 2024 to June 2025, 62.1% of newly listed H-shares saw positive first-day performance, and 55.6% maintained positive returns after 30 days [20]. AI Application Development - The AI application market is witnessing rapid growth, with significant increases in user engagement across both web and app platforms, although the transition from novelty to necessity remains a challenge [30][34]. - Domestic AI products are growing at a faster rate compared to international products, with web product visits increasing by approximately 82% and app MAU rising by about 124% from January 2024 to April 2025 [30][34]. Investment Value of the China Securities Hong Kong Internet Index - The index, launched on January 11, 2021, reflects the performance of 30 selected internet-related companies, with a base point of 1000 as of December 30, 2016 [9][45]. - As of August 11, 2025, the index's components are heavily weighted towards information technology (43.08%) and consumer discretionary sectors, particularly in software and services (30.02%) and technology hardware (13.07%) [49][53].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the industry is "Positive" and is maintained [8] Core Insights - The official release and open-source of DeepSeek-V3.1 occurred on August 21, 2025, featuring 685 billion parameters and an extended context length of 128K, supporting both thinking and non-thinking modes [2][5] - The API pricing structure was adjusted on September 6, 2025, with input prices set at 0.5 CNY per million tokens (cache hit) and 4 CNY per million tokens (cache miss), while output prices are 12 CNY per million tokens [2][5] - The model's capabilities have significantly improved in areas such as Tools use, Coding, and information retrieval, with notable performance in programming and search tasks [10] - The training path focuses on Post-Training optimization and data expansion training, enhancing the model's performance in tool usage and agent tasks [10] - The technical specifications include the use of UE8M0 FP8 Scale parameter precision, which is designed for the next generation of domestic chips, achieving a 75% reduction in traffic compared to traditional FP32 scaling [10] - The pricing strategy has become more competitive, with V3.1 being significantly cheaper than competitors like Claude, enhancing the competitiveness of domestic open-source models [10] - The report emphasizes the ongoing monitoring of DeepSeek's future releases and the expected acceleration of AI application monetization in various verticals such as finance, education, healthcare, and enterprise services [10] Summary by Sections Event Description - DeepSeek-V3.1 was officially released and open-sourced on August 21, 2025, with significant upgrades in parameters and context length [5] Event Commentary - The model's performance has shown substantial improvements, particularly in programming and complex search tasks, indicating a strong competitive edge [10]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [9]. Core Views - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.337 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 12.48%. However, the second quarter saw a decline in net profit to 585 million yuan, down 11.65% year-on-year. Despite short-term pressures, the major shareholder continues to increase holdings, and the company announced its first mid-year dividend since listing, reflecting confidence from the major shareholder and the company's commitment to shareholder returns [2][6][11]. - The company is expected to benefit from the gradual commissioning of ongoing and approved projects, which will further enhance growth potential. With the resumption of approvals for offshore wind projects in Fujian, the company's offshore wind growth is anticipated to receive new catalysts, leading to a positive long-term growth outlook [2][11]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company reported operating revenue of 6.369 billion yuan, a decrease of 4.44% year-on-year. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.337 billion yuan, an increase of 12.48% [6]. - The company's thermal power generation completed 3.254 billion kWh, down 6.1% year-on-year, while coal power generation was 3.238 billion kWh, down 2.73% year-on-year. The net profit from the wholly-owned subsidiary Hongshan Thermal Power was 199 million yuan, a decrease of 5.09% year-on-year [11]. - The company's wind power generation reached 2.867 billion kWh, an increase of 8.37% year-on-year, with offshore wind generation growing by 10.42% [11]. Investment and Growth Potential - The major shareholder has cumulatively increased holdings by 205 million yuan, enhancing market recognition of the company's long-term investment value. The company aims to have a controllable operating and construction capacity of 15 million kW by the end of 2025 and 20 million kW by the end of 2030 [11]. - The company expects earnings per share (EPS) for 2025-2027 to be 1.05 yuan, 1.07 yuan, and 1.34 yuan, respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 9.28, 9.18, and 7.29 [11].

丨证券研究报告丨 港股研究丨公司点评丨中国生物制药（1177.HK） [Table_Title] 财务增长强劲，创新持续爆发 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 2025H1 中国生物制药实现营收 175.7 亿元（同比+10.7%），持续经营业务归母净利润 33.9 亿 元翻倍大增（同比+140.2%）。创新产品收入及占比快速攀升，占总收入比例达 44.4%。公司以 5 亿美元全资收购礼新医药，整合其四大抗体与 ADC 技术平台，推进至少 6 项核心管线转化。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 彭英骐 刘长洪 SAC：S0490524030005 SAC：S0490525070007 SFC：BUZ392 中国生物制药（1177.HK） cjzqdt11111 [Table_Title2] 财务增长强劲，创新持续爆发 [Table_Summary2] 事件描述 2025 年 8 月 18 日，中国生物制药发布 2025 年中期业绩公告：2025 年上半年实现营业收入 175.7 亿元，同比增长 ...