| | | 投资咨询业务资格:证监许可【2012】31号 | | | TC 国贸期货 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | 沥青数据日报 | | | | | | | | 国贸期货研究院 能源化工研究中心 投资咨询号:Z0021177 卢钊毅 | | | | 2025/6/26 | | 呉沥青 | | 从业资格号:F03101843 数据来源:钢联 | | | | | | 들 | | 华东 华北 | 华南 | 东北 | 西北 | 山东 | | 现点 | 现值 | 3710 3780 | 3680 | 3900 | 3900 | 3750 | | 货 区 域 | 前值 | 3780 3830 | 3690 | 3900 | 3900 | 3800 | | 涨幅 | | (70) (50) | (10) | 0 | 0 | (50) | | 企 | | 东海-山东 昆仑-广东 海韵-山东 弘润-山东 路畅-山东 长江-江苏 | | | | | | 现业 | 现值 | 3950 3480 | 3710 | 3580 | 3750 | 3630 | ...

1、25日玻璃纯碱震荡。 2、随着价格不断下探,低位价格弹性较大。 3、玻璃供需双弱,现货价格不佳,产销偏弱,库存累积加快,预期再度悲 观,整体看供需或延续偏弱,成本支撑不足,价格承压震荡。 4、纯碱方面,检修结束后供应快速恢复,直接需求存走弱预期,供需过剩 行情分析 担忧再起。浮法和光伏玻璃利润不佳,负反馈加剧,且成本支撑弱化, 合席 | 。 短期价格或趋于震荡,以期权买权参与 交易策略 缅甸生仔 00000 200 8000 6000 作 终 元 50 2000 = 2024 = 2025 本报告中的信息均源于公开可获得的资料,国贸期货力求准确可靠,但不对上述信息的准确性及完整性 任何保证。本报告不构成个人投资建议,也未针对个别投资者特殊的投资目标、财务状况或需要,投资者 需自行判断本报告中的任何意见 或建议是否符合其特定状况,据此投资,责任自负。本报告仅向特定客 推送,未经国贸期货授权许可,任何引用、转载以及向第三方传播的行为均构成对国贸期货的侵权,我 将视情况追究法律责任。期市有风险,入市需谨慎。〔 ITC国贸期货 TER 500FF 国贸期货有限公i 流的衍生品综合服务商 入 期 市 市 官 方 网 ...

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No investment rating information is provided in the report. 2. Core View - In the short - term, methanol prices will fluctuate within a range. In the medium - to - long - term, the methanol spot market may shift from a strong to a weakening and fluctuating trend [1]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Market Quotes - **Coal and Gas**: The price of Jincheng anthracite is 900.00, Inner Mongolia steam coal is 630.00, Sichuan - Chongqing liquefied gas is 4330.00 (down 20.00 from the previous day), international natural gas is 12.00 (down 1.62 from the previous day) [1]. - **Methanol**: Spot prices in many places increased slightly. For example, the price in Taicang is 2620.00 (down 20.00 from the previous day), Inner Mongolia is 2060.00, and Shandong is 2260.00 (up 20.00 from the previous day). The domestic production is 292718.00 (down 1100.00 from the previous day), and the domestic operating rate is 91.27 (down 0.34 from the previous day) [1]. - **Formaldehyde**: The market shows mixed trends. The formaldehyde price in Shandong is 920.00, unchanged from the previous day [1]. - **Related Products**: Dimethyl ether price is 3450.00 (down 100.00 from the previous day), MTBE price is 5230.00 (down 120.00 from the previous day) [1]. Market Analysis - **Methanol Market**: In the northwest main production area, enterprise inventories are at a low level. Downstream and traders have a stronger willingness to replenish at low prices, and the auction transaction prices of enterprises are rising. The positive sentiment in the futures market drives smooth transactions of new domestic orders in the afternoon, and some enterprises stop selling to support prices, pushing up the spot prices generally. However, downstream buyers are mainly on the sidelines, and after replenishing at low prices, their purchases become more rational [1]. - **Formaldehyde Market**: The raw material methanol has a slight correction, strengthening the cost - side support. But as the downstream enters the off - season, formaldehyde production enterprises face greater shipment pressure and adjust their shipment mechanisms according to their own inventory [1].

期货执业证号:F3074875: 投资咨询证号: Z0017779 2025/6/26 | | 品种 | 收盘价 | 较前值变动 | 品种 | 收盘价 | 较前值变动 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | (bp) | | | (bp) | | | DR001 | 1.37 | 0.11 | DR007 | 1.69 | 2.52 | | | GC001 | 1.81 | 21.00 | GC007 | 1.97 | 7.00 | | 化 贝 | SHBOR 3M | 1.63 | 0.10 | LPR 5年 | 3.50 | 0.00 | | H | 1年期国债 | 1.37 | 0.28 | 5年期国债 | 1.52 | 0.03 | | 市 | 10年期国债 | 1.65 | 0.40 | 10年期美债 | 4.30 | -4.00 | | 场 | 回顾:央行昨日开展了3653亿元7天期逆回购操作,当日1563亿元逆回购 | | | | | | | 与 | 到期,据此计算,单日净投放2090亿元。 热评:本周央行公开市场有9603亿元 ...

ITG国贸期货 投资咨询业务资格:证监许可【2012】31号 碳酸锂数据日报 国贸期货研究院 谢灵 投资咨询号: Z0015788 从业资格号: F3040017 2025/06/26 有色金属研究中心 研究助理 陈宇森 从业资格号: F03123927 数据来源:SMM,公开新闻整理 100000 锂化合物 平均价 涨跌 SMM电池级碳酸锂 60200 300 80000 4000 SMM工业级碳酸锂 58600 300 收盘价 涨跌幅 期货合约 60000 3000 碳酸锂2507 61180 1.02% 61080 碳酸锂2508 0. 89% 40000 碳酸锂2509 0. 96% 60880 碳酸锂2510 - 1000 60800 0.76% 20000 碳酸锂2511 60740 1.2% 平均价 锂矿 锂辉石精矿(CIF中国) 619 2 46 esn (Li20:5 5%-6%) | | 锂云母 | 685 | 20 | 电碳-工碳价差 元/吨 | - 【业级碳酸锂-平均价 - 电池级碳酸锂-平均价 TT / 144 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | -- ...

投资咨询业务资格:证监许可【2012】31号 ITG国贸期 权数据日报 主能介于品中心 =: F0251925 力史波动率链 醫小值 - 最大值 -- 10%分位值 30%分位值 -- 60%分位值 · 当前值 90%分位值 2025/6/25 数据来源: Wind,国贸期货研究院 | | | | | 行情回顾 | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 指数 | 收盘价 | | 张肤帽(%) | | 成交额(亿元) | | 成交里(亿) | | | 上证50 | 2715. 9216 | | 1.16 | | 890. 75 | | 49. 03 | | | 沪深300 | 3904. 0342 | | 1.20 | | 2942. 29 | | 163. 66 | | | 中证1000 | 6194. 666 | | 1.92 | | 3036. 58 | | 233. 45 | | | | | | | 中金所股指期权成交情况 | | | | | | 指数 | 期权成交望 | 认购期权 | 认沽期权 | 日成交里 ...

7000 1000 6000 800 5000 600 4000 400 3000 2000 1000 -200 | 螺纹基差(右轴) = 价格:螺纹钢:HRB400 20mm:上海 - 期货收盘价(活跃合约):螺纹钢 8000 800 600 6000 400 200 2000 -200 | 2025/06/25 | | 国贸期货出品 ITG 国贸期货 | | --- | --- | --- | | 投资咨询业务资格:证监许可[2012] 31号 | | | | 黑色金属研究中心 | 执业证号 | 投资咨询证号 | | 张宝慧 | F0286636 | Z0010820 | | 黄志鸿 | F3051824 | Z0015761 | | 节子勖 | F03094002 | Z0020036 | | | 远月合约收盘价 (元/吨) | RB2601 | HC2601 | < 12601 | J2601 | JM2601 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 6月24日 25 | 2977.00 | 3099.00 | 676. 50 | 1399. ...

做据已 投资咨询业务资格:证监许可【2012】31号 ITG国贸期货 www.itf.com.cn 400-8888-598 慎 险 | 指标 | | 6月24日 | 涨跌 | | 豆粕主力合约基差(张家港) | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 大连 | 13 | -10 | 2500 2000 | ===== 19/20 ===== 20/21 ===== 21/22 ===== 22/23 | | | | -- 23/24 | - 24/25 | | | 天津 | -87 | | 1500 1000 | | | | | | | | 43%豆粕现货基差 | 日照 张家港 | -137 -117 | -20 | -500 | | | | | | | | (对主力合约) | | | | 09/21 | 10/22 11/77 12/23 01/23 02/23 03/25 04/25 05/26 06/26 07/27 08/27 | | | | | | | | 东莞 | -157 ...

Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided Core View of the Report - The lithium carbonate futures price is expected to decline in the short term, and there is a possibility of a negative feedback loop between the lithium carbonate price and the ore price in the later stage [3] Summary by Relevant Catalogs Lithium Compound Prices - SMM battery - grade lithium carbonate average price is 59,900 yuan/ton, down 50 yuan/ton [1] - SMM industrial - grade lithium carbonate average price is 58,300 yuan/ton, down 50 yuan/ton [1] Lithium Futures Prices - Lithium carbonate 2507 closed at 61,020 yuan/ton, up 2.01% [1] - Lithium carbonate 2508 closed at 60,900 yuan/ton, up 2.66% [1] - Lithium carbonate 2509 closed at 60,700 yuan/ton, up 3.06% [1] - Lithium carbonate 2510 closed at 60,580 yuan/ton, up 3.17% [1] - Lithium carbonate 2511 closed at 60,500 yuan/ton, up 3.28% [1] Lithium Ore Prices - Lithium spodumene concentrate (CIF China) price is 617 yuan/ton, unchanged [1] - Lithium mica (Li20: 1.5% - 2.0%) price is 665 yuan/ton [2] - Lithium mica (Li20: 2.0% - 2.5%) price is 1190 yuan/ton [2] - Phosphorus lithium aluminum stone (Li20: 6% - 7%) price is 5225 yuan/ton, down 335 yuan/ton [2] - Phosphorus lithium aluminum stone (Li20: 7% - 8%) price is 6075 yuan/ton, down 390 yuan/ton [2] Cathode Material Prices - The average price of lithium iron phosphate (power type) is 30,160 yuan/ton, down 15 yuan/ton [2] - The average price of ternary material 811 (polycrystalline/power type) is 142,760 yuan/ton, up 10 yuan/ton [2] - The average price of ternary material 523 (single - crystal/power type) is 114,175 yuan/ton, up 50 yuan/ton [2] - The average price of ternary material 613 (single - crystal/power type) is 120,375 yuan/ton, unchanged [2] Price Spreads - The price spread between battery - grade and industrial - grade lithium carbonate is 1600 yuan/ton [2] - The price spread between battery - grade lithium carbonate and the main contract is - 800 yuan/ton, down 1630 yuan/ton [2] - The price spread between the near - month and the first - continuous contract is 120 yuan/ton, down 240 yuan/ton [2] - The price spread between the near - month and the second - continuous contract is 320 yuan/ton, down 280 yuan/ton [2] Inventory - The total inventory (weekly, tons) is 134,901 tons, up 1352 tons [2] - The smelter inventory (weekly, tons) is 58,625 tons, up 972 tons [2] - The downstream inventory (weekly, tons) is 40,366 tons, down 320 tons [2] - The other inventory (weekly, tons) is 35,910 tons, up 700 tons [2] - The registered warehouse receipts (daily, tons) is 22,375 tons, down 4404 tons [2] Profit Estimation - The cash cost of purchasing lithium spodumene concentrate is 60,012 yuan/ton, and the profit is - 948 yuan/ton [3] - The cash cost of purchasing lithium mica concentrate is 64,430 yuan/ton, and the profit is - 6856 yuan/ton [3] Industry News - Zimbabwe will ban the export of lithium concentrate from 2027 to promote local processing [3]

直纺短纤负荷(周) 88. 90% 91. 30% 0. 02 涤纶短纤产销 53.00% 27.00% -26. 00% 涤纱开机率(周) 67.00% 67.00% 0. 00 再生棉型负荷指数(周) 50. 40% 50. 40% 0. 00 涤纶短纤与纯涤纱价格 涤纶短纤现金流 14000 10000 10000 1800 (探偵) 太原始欲德 t T325年演出 (群炉) 图片员22日 短规金流 ·1.4D直线条短 9000 9000 13000 1400 8000 8000 12000 1000 7000 7000 6000 11000 600 6000 5000 10000 200 5000 4000 -200 9000 + 3000 2021-01-01 2022-01-01 2023-01-01 2024-01-01 2025-01-01 2021-01-01 2022-01-01 2023-01-01 2024-01-01 2025-01-01 涤棉纱65/35 45S价格与利润 中空短纤价格与现金流 2500 10000 22500 4000 泽梯少利润 泽棉纱65/35 45S 中空短 ...