Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the content Core Viewpoints - The report presents the trading data of various index options on November 7, 2025, including trading volume, PCR (Put-Call Ratio), and VIX (Volatility Index), to reflect the market conditions of index options [1][2][3] Summary by Directory 1. Option Trading Volume - On November 7, 2025, the trading volume of Shanghai Stock Exchange 50 ETF options was 1.0162 million contracts; the trading volume of CSI 300 ETF options (Shanghai market) was 1.1392 million contracts; the trading volume of CSI 500 ETF options (Shanghai market) was 1.4885 million contracts; the trading volume of Shenzhen 100 ETF options was 0.0894 million contracts; the trading volume of ChiNext ETF options was 1.5671 million contracts; the trading volume of Shanghai Stock Exchange 50 index options was 0.0245 million contracts; the trading volume of CSI 300 index options was 0.1374 million contracts; and the total trading volume of CSI 1000 options was 0.2314 million contracts [1] - The table shows the call, put, and total trading volumes of various index ETF options on the same day [20] 2. Option PCR - The turnover PCR of Shanghai Stock Exchange 50 ETF options was reported at 0.78, with a month - on - month change of +0.11; the position PCR was reported at 0.97, with a month - on - month change of - 0.01. Similar data for other types of options are also provided, including CSI 300 ETF options (Shanghai market), CSI 500 ETF options (Shanghai market), Shenzhen 100 ETF options, ChiNext ETF options, Shanghai Stock Exchange 50 index options, CSI 300 index options, and CSI 1000 index options [2] - The table shows the turnover PCR, month - on - month change, position PCR, and month - on - month change of various index ETF options [32] 3. Option VIX - The VIX of Shanghai Stock Exchange 50 ETF options was reported at 16.19%, with a month - on - month change of - 0.32%; the VIX of CSI 300 ETF options (Shanghai market) was reported at 17.64%, with a month - on - month change of - 0.21%. Similar data for other types of options are also provided, including CSI 500 ETF options (Shanghai market), Shenzhen 100 ETF options, ChiNext ETF options, Shanghai Stock Exchange 50 index options, CSI 300 index options, and CSI 1000 index options [3] - The table shows the VIX and month - on - month change values of various index ETF options [45]

1. Report Industry Investment Ratings - Index Futures: Neutral [24] - Precious Metals: Cautiously Bullish [7][47] 2. Core Views - Index Futures: The market is at a critical point, with cautious trading volume. It is expected to oscillate around the integer point in the short - term, which helps consolidate the long - term pattern. Short - term fluctuations may be intensified by the US dollar liquidity risk [3][24]. - Precious Metals: Despite the uncertain interest - rate cut rhythm and the recovery of US economic data, the record - breaking government shutdown in the US may intensify market risk - aversion sentiment, supporting the safe - haven premium of precious metals [3][5] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Market Analysis Index Futures - US economic data: The preliminary value of the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index in November 2025 was 50.3, the lowest since June 2022. The one - year inflation rate expectation was 4.7%. The US government shutdown led to a rapid decline in the three major US stock indexes [4]. - Domestic situation: External relations have eased, and the macro - level driving force has weakened. Institutional pressure has eased, and it is the portfolio rebalancing window. The stock position is oscillating, and the risk appetite is decreasing. The margin trading balance has increased weekly but has not exceeded the previous high, and the daily average trading volume is less than 2 trillion yuan. The Shanghai Composite Index is likely to oscillate around 4000 points [4]. Precious Metals - Price performance: In the week of 2025 - 11 - 07, gold and silver prices continued to oscillate, showing signs of stabilization after a high - point correction [5]. - Interest rate situation: The Fed's "hawkish interest - rate cut" in October was implemented. There are significant differences within the FOMC on whether to cut interest rates again in December, and the future interest - rate cut path is highly uncertain [5]. - Economic data: The US ADP employment in October increased by 42,000, exceeding expectations, but overall labor demand is slowing, and wage growth is stagnant. The US ISM Services PMI in October rose to 52.4, a new eight - month high, with multiple sub - indexes performing well, but core data such as non - farm payrolls are still missing due to the government shutdown [3][5]. Strategy Index Futures - Unilateral strategy: Bullish on IH and IF; Neutral on IC and IM [7]. Precious Metals - Strategy: Cautiously bullish; Suspend arbitrage [7]. Index Futures Logic and Strategy Table - Economic environment: Neutral. China's service trade import and export in the first three quarters increased by 7.6% year - on - year, with a shrinking trade deficit [24]. - Valuation: Neutral. The price - to - earnings ratio of index futures has recovered, while the price - to - book ratio is still low, and the stock - bond ratio has decreased [24]. - Liquidity: Neutral. The central bank's net reverse - repurchase withdrawal last week was 157.22 billion yuan [24]. - Monetary policy: Upward. The central bank will maintain a supportive and moderately loose monetary policy [24]. - RMB trend: Upward. The RMB exchange rate is expected to strengthen with the Fed's substantial interest - rate cut and the consolidation of domestic demand [24]. - Incremental funds: Upward. The government encourages the entry of long - term funds, and institutional incremental funds are expected to drive market stability [24]. - Restricted stock unlocking: Neutral. There will be 1.407 billion restricted shares of 34 companies unlocking this week, with a market value of 24.733 billion yuan, an increase of 742 million yuan from the previous week [24]. - Overall evaluation: Neutral. The market is in a game around 4000 points, with cautious trading volume. It is expected to oscillate in the short - term, and investors are advised to use index futures for risk hedging [24]. Commodity Strategy View Table - Interest rates: Upward. The yields of US Treasury bonds of different maturities changed in different directions. Doubts about the Fed's independence and expectations of a September interest - rate cut are the main trading themes. If Trump successfully removes a Fed governor, it may boost precious metal prices [44]. - Inflation: Upward. The 10 - year Breakeven inflation rate remained stable at 2.41%. US core PCE inflation data was in line with expectations, and the impact of tariffs on inflation is emerging. The market expects a September interest - rate cut [44]. - Exchange rate: Upward. The US dollar index rose slightly. The market expects a 25 - basis - point Fed interest - rate cut in September, which may suppress the US dollar [47]. - Safe - haven: Neutral. Geopolitical factors such as the situation in Ukraine are in a state of balance [47]. - Position: Neutral. Gold SPDR ETF holdings increased, while silver SLV ETF holdings decreased. Gold speculative net long positions increased, while silver net long positions decreased [47]. - Gold - silver ratio: Short at high levels. The trading logic of silver is similar to that of gold, and silver may have upward potential with the implementation of easing policies and the repair of the gold - silver ratio [46][47].

Report's Investment Rating for the Industry - No information provided regarding the report's investment rating for the industry Core Views - In October 2025, the PPI decline continued to narrow, and the CPI turned from decline to increase. The PPI decline narrowing reflects the gradual improvement of the price environment in the industrial sector, and the CPI increase shows a mild warming trend in consumer prices. It is expected that the PPI will continue a mild recovery, and the CPI in the fourth quarter will continue the marginal improvement trend [5][6] Summary by Directory Macro Events - On November 9, 2025, the National Bureau of Statistics announced that in October 2025, the national consumer price (CPI) increased by 0.2% year-on-year, and the industrial producer price (PPI) decreased by 2.1% year-on-year, with the decline narrowing by 0.2 percentage points compared to the previous month [4] 10 - Month Inflation Warming PPI: Decline Improvement - The PPI decline continued to narrow. In October 2025, the national industrial producer price (PPI) decreased by 2.1% year-on-year, with the decline narrowing by 0.2 percentage points compared to the previous month, and the month - on - month change turned from flat to an increase of 0.1%. The price of the mid - stream manufacturing industry continued to improve, some foreign - demand industries recovered, the international input impact continued, the new - quality productivity industry maintained growth, and the price of the consumption - upgrade category continued to rise [12] CPI: Food Drag Reduction - The CPI continued to rise month - on - month, and the year - on - year decline narrowed. In October, the national consumer price (CPI) decreased by 0.1% year-on-year, with the decline narrowing by 0.2 percentage points compared to the previous month; the month - on - month increase was 0.2%. The year - on - year decline of food prices narrowed, and the month - on - month increase expanded. The non - food price increase was stable with a slight increase, and the service consumption price continued the recovery trend [32] Appendix: CPI and PPI Data for October 2025 CPI and PPI Data Overview - In October 2025, the national consumer price (CPI) increased by 0.2% year - on - year and 0.2% month - on - month. The national industrial producer price (PPI) decreased by 2.1% year - on - year, with the decline narrowing by 0.2 percentage points compared to the previous month, and the month - on - month change turned from flat to an increase of 0.1% [47][50] Interpretation by Chief Statistician Dong Lijuan - In October, policies to expand domestic demand continued to show results. The CPI increased by 0.2% both year - on - year and month - on - month, and the core CPI increased by 1.2% year - on - year. The PPI turned from flat to an increase of 0.1% month - on - month and decreased by 2.1% year - on - year, with the decline narrowing [54]

Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the content Core View - The report presents the trading liquidity data of various market sectors on November 7, 2025, including trading volume, holding amount, trading - holding ratio, and their changes compared to the previous trading day [1] Summary by Directory 1. Plate Liquidity - The report shows various data of different plates, including trading - holding ratio, trading volume change rate, holding amount, etc., and all data sources are from Flush and Huatai Futures Research Institute [1][8] 2. Stock Index Plate - On November 7, 2025, the stock index plate had a trading volume of 585.836 billion yuan, a - 15.43% change from the previous trading day; the holding amount was 1310.507 billion yuan, a - 1.45% change; the trading - holding ratio was 44.30% [1] 3. Treasury Bond Plate - On November 7, 2025, the treasury bond plate had a trading volume of 328.044 billion yuan, a - 4.11% change from the previous trading day; the holding amount was 880.127 billion yuan, a - 0.40% change; the trading - holding ratio was 36.66% [1] 4. Basic Metal and Precious Metal (Metal Plate) - **Basic Metal**: On November 7, 2025, the basic metal plate had a trading volume of 368.519 billion yuan, a + 6.40% change from the previous trading day; the holding amount was 587.035 billion yuan, a + 1.74% change; the trading - holding ratio was 74.75% [1] - **Precious Metal**: On November 7, 2025, the precious metal plate had a trading volume of 561.584 billion yuan, a + 19.04% change from the previous trading day; the holding amount was 433.908 billion yuan, a + 1.89% change; the trading - holding ratio was 155.08% [1] 5. Energy and Chemical Plate - On November 7, 2025, the energy and chemical plate had a trading volume of 372.660 billion yuan, a - 5.05% change from the previous trading day; the holding amount was 460.521 billion yuan, a + 0.70% change; the trading - holding ratio was 69.87% [1] 6. Agricultural Product Plate - On November 7, 2025, the agricultural product plate had a trading volume of 278.366 billion yuan, a - 10.89% change from the previous trading day; the holding amount was 579.105 billion yuan, a + 0.24% change; the trading - holding ratio was 45.38% [1] 7. Black Building Materials Plate - On November 7, 2025, the black building materials plate had a trading volume of 222.313 billion yuan, a - 4.46% change from the previous trading day; the holding amount was 379.934 billion yuan, a - 0.27% change; the trading - holding ratio was 52.23% [2]

Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Core Views - In 2025, the coal market showed a deep V-shaped trend. Since July, due to policies and inspections, coal production has declined, while demand has been strong. Both thermal coal and coking coal have shifted from a loose to a tight - balanced or structurally short supply - demand situation. In the fourth quarter, the tight supply - demand pattern is hard to reverse, and coal prices are likely to rise [2][17]. - The decline in coal production in Shanxi has a greater impact on coking coal. In addition, environmental inspections in Wuhai and the resumption of railway freight in Xinjiang have affected coal production. Although coking coal production is better than overall coal production, the supply is still tight [3][4][34]. - After the reversal of coal prices in July, imports have partially made up for the domestic supply gap. However, the import of coking coal from Mongolia has decreased in terms of high - quality coking coal, and the overall coal import situation is still severe due to Indonesia's new pricing policy [6][7]. - Steel mills' production has remained strong this year, driving up the demand for coking coal. The consumption of both coking coal and thermal coal has increased in the third quarter, leading to a tight - balanced or structurally short supply - demand situation [8]. - The total and structure of coking coal inventory have been optimized, and the thermal coal inventory has also shown a favorable trend, which supports coal prices [9]. - In the fourth quarter, coal prices are likely to remain firm. Coking coal, as a trading instrument, will continue to attract market attention. It is recommended to go long on coal at dips and adopt a strategy of going long on coal and short on ore [10]. Summary by Directory 1. Coal Price Trend Reversal, Supply - Demand Pattern Remodeled - In 2025, the coal market showed a deep V - shaped trend. Policy changes led to a decline in coal production since July, while demand was strong. Both thermal coal and coking coal shifted from a loose to a tight - balanced or structurally short supply - demand situation [17]. 2. Stricter Coal Policies, Sharp Supply Contraction - Since the end of July, coal production has decreased month - on - month after inspections. Shanxi's production decline has a greater impact on coking coal. In addition, environmental inspections in Inner Mongolia and the resumption of railway freight in Xinjiang have affected coal production. Overall, coal production has been affected by multiple factors, and the supply of coking coal is tight [3][4][34]. 3. Imports Fill Part of the Gap, Russia and Mongolia Provide Large Increases - After the reversal of coal prices in July, imports have partially made up for the domestic supply gap. Mongolia's coking coal import has decreased in terms of high - quality coking coal, while Russia's import has increased significantly. The overall coal import situation is still severe due to Indonesia's new pricing policy [6][7]. 4. Continuous Consumption Growth, Structural Shortage - Steel mills' production has remained strong, driving up the demand for coking coal. The consumption of both coking coal and thermal coal has increased in the third quarter. Power plant coal consumption is high in the off - season, chemical coal consumption is at a high level, and building material coal consumption remains stable, resulting in a tight - balanced or structurally short supply - demand situation [8][43][50]. 5. Inventory Continues to Improve, Boosting Coal Prices Upward - Since the third quarter, the total and structure of coking coal inventory have been optimized. The thermal coal inventory has not increased further and is lower than last year's level. The inventory situation supports coal prices [9][65]. 6. Fourth - Quarter Market Outlook - In the fourth quarter, the tight supply - demand pattern of coal is hard to reverse. Coal prices are likely to remain firm. Although steel mills may cut production in the short term, the adjustment space for coking coal prices is limited. A strategy of going long on coal and short on ore can be considered [10][69].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Views - Recent liquidity crisis in the US led to a "bond market blood - sucking → risk asset blood - loss" chain. The market is in a capital re - pricing cycle, and the current decline is due to capital cost rather than fundamental deterioration [9]. - The wave of US Treasury issuance and fiscal deficit expansion will strengthen the mid - term pattern of liquidity tightening and asset re - pricing. Dollar liquidity will remain tight from November to December, and rising bond yields will push up global capital pricing and suppress high - valuation assets [9]. - The market is in a phased switch from liquidity flooding to pricing callback. Once fiscal spending resumes and the Fed stops liquidity withdrawal or shifts policy, asset prices will rise again. This is a valuation adjustment, not a structural breakdown [10]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs 3.1 US Treasury Yield Review - As of November 7, the 10 - year US Treasury yield rose 9bp in two weeks, reaching 4.11%. The 2 - year yield rose 7bp and the 30 - year yield rose 11bp compared to two weeks ago [5]. 3.2 US Treasury Market Changes - In late October, the duration of US Treasury issuance slightly rebounded. The issuance amounts were $68.47 billion for 2 - year, $69.902 billion for 5 - year, and $43.95 billion for 7 - year bonds. The US fiscal deficit in September was $197.9 billion, and the 12 - month cumulative deficit slightly declined to $1.78 trillion [5]. 3.3 Derivatives Market Structure - The net short position in US Treasury futures slightly declined. As of September 23, the net short positions of speculators, leveraged funds, asset management companies, and primary dealers dropped to 5.738 million contracts. The federal funds rate futures market remained net short, rising to 395,400 contracts [5]. 3.4 US Dollar Liquidity and US Economy 3.4.1 Monetary Policy - On October 30, 2025, the Fed cut interest rates by 25bp to 3.75% - 4.00%, and announced to stop balance - sheet reduction in December and reinvest all MBS principal repayments in short - term bonds. Powell emphasized that the decision on further rate cuts in December depends on data [6]. 3.4.2 Fiscal Policy - As of November 5, the US Treasury's TGA deposit balance expanded by $37.63 billion in two weeks, and the Fed's reverse repurchase tool expanded by $18.06 billion, increasing short - term uncertainty in the liquidity buffer [6]. 3.4.3 Economic Situation - As of November 1, the Fed's weekly economic indicator was 2.22 (2.13 two weeks ago), indicating short - term economic improvement after stability [6].

Report Industry Investment Rating - The rating for RU and NR is neutral. The rating for BR is also neutral [12] Core Viewpoints - The rubber price mainly fluctuates with the surrounding market atmosphere. The change in the rubber fundamentals may come from the supply side. With the increase in the arrival volume in China, the inventory has started to increase slightly, and it is expected to further increase in the future. However, the raw material prices in overseas main producing areas remain firm due to rainfall disruptions, providing strong cost support for natural rubber and limiting the short - term downward space. Currently, the domestic futures price valuation is still low, but the supply - demand drive is insufficient, so the price is expected to fluctuate within a range. - For BR, the decline in the upstream butadiene raw material price since late October in China has turned the production profit of butadiene rubber from loss to profit, partially offsetting the support from the recent concentrated maintenance of upstream butadiene rubber plants. With resilient downstream demand and a relatively low absolute price, the further downward space is expected to be limited. The supply - demand contradiction of butadiene rubber is not prominent, and it mainly fluctuates with the upstream raw materials. In the context of abundant butadiene supply, its weakness is expected to continue [12] Market News and Data Futures - The closing price of the RU main contract was 15,045 yuan/ton, up 195 yuan/ton from the previous day; the NR main contract was 12,130 yuan/ton, up 195 yuan/ton; the BR main contract was 10,305 yuan/ton, up 70 yuan/ton [1] Spot - The price of Yunnan - produced whole latex in the Shanghai market was 14,550 yuan/ton, up 200 yuan/ton. The price of Thai mixed rubber in the Qingdao Free Trade Zone was 14,580 yuan/ton, up 200 yuan/ton. The price of Thai 20 - grade standard rubber in the Qingdao Free Trade Zone was 1,830 US dollars/ton, up 10 US dollars/ton. The price of Indonesian 20 - grade standard rubber in the Qingdao Free Trade Zone was 1,705 US dollars/ton, up 15 US dollars/ton. The ex - factory price of BR9000 from Sinopec Qilu Petrochemical was 10,200 yuan/ton, unchanged from the previous day. The market price of BR9000 in Zhejiang Chuanhua was 10,200 yuan/ton, up 50 yuan/ton [1] Market Information Heavy - Truck Market - In October 2025, about 93,000 heavy - trucks were sold in China (wholesale basis, including exports and new energy), a month - on - month decrease of about 12% from September and a year - on - year increase of about 40% from 66,400 in the same period last year. From January to October 2025, the cumulative sales of heavy - trucks in China exceeded 900,000, reaching 916,000, a year - on - year increase of about 22%. It is expected that the cumulative sales will exceed 1 million after November [2] Global Natural Rubber - According to the ANRPC September 2025 report, the global natural rubber production in September was expected to increase by 5% to 1.433 million tons, a 1% decrease from the previous month; the consumption was expected to decrease by 3.3% to 1.274 million tons, a 1.2% increase from the previous month. In the first three quarters, the cumulative global natural rubber production was expected to increase by 2.3% to 10.374 million tons, and the cumulative consumption was expected to decrease by 1.5% to 11.422 million tons [2] China's Natural Rubber Imports - In September 2025, China's natural rubber imports (including technical - grade rubber, latex, smoked sheets, primary - form rubber, mixed rubber, and composite rubber) were 595,900 tons, a month - on - month increase of 14.41% and a year - on - year increase of 20.92%. From January to September 2025, the cumulative import volume was 4.7172 million tons, a cumulative year - on - year increase of 19.65% [2] Thailand's Natural Rubber Exports - In the first three quarters of 2025, Thailand's exports of natural rubber (excluding composite rubber) totaled 1.993 million tons, a year - on - year decrease of 8%. Among them, the export of standard rubber totaled 1.116 million tons, a year - on - year decrease of 20%; the export of smoked sheets was 308,000 tons, a year - on - year increase of 22%; the export of latex was 556,000 tons, a year - on - year increase of 10%. From January to September, the total natural rubber exports to China were 759,000 tons, a year - on - year increase of 6%. Among them, the export of standard rubber to China totaled 459,000 tons, a year - on - year decrease of 19%; the export of smoked sheets to China totaled 99,000 tons, a year - on - year increase of 330%; the export of latex to China totaled 199,000 tons, a year - on - year increase of 70% [3] China's Automobile Production and Sales - In September 2025, China's automobile production and sales were 3.276 million and 3.226 million respectively, a month - on - month increase of 16.4% and 12.9% and a year - on - year increase of 17.1% and 14.9% respectively. For the first time in the same historical period, automobile production and sales exceeded 3 million, and the monthly year - on - year growth rate has remained above 10% for five consecutive months [4] China's Rubber - Tire Exports - In the first three quarters of 2025, China's rubber - tire export volume reached 7.28 million tons, a year - on - year increase of 5%; the export value was 127.7 billion yuan, a year - on - year increase of 4.2%. Among them, the export volume of new pneumatic rubber tires reached 7.02 million tons, a year - on - year increase of 4.7%; the export value was 122.7 billion yuan, a year - on - year increase of 4%. In terms of the number of tires, the export volume reached 534.91 million, a year - on - year increase of 5.4%. In the first three quarters, the export volume of automobile tires was 6.22 million tons, a year - on - year increase of 4.5%; the export value was 105.5 billion yuan, a year - on - year increase of 3.6% [4] EU Passenger - Car Market - In September 2025, the EU passenger - car market sales increased by 10% to 888,672 vehicles. The cumulative sales in the first three quarters increased by 0.9% year - on - year to 8.06 million vehicles [4] Market Analysis Natural Rubber Spot and Spreads - On November 6, 2025, the RU basis was - 495 yuan/ton (+5), the spread between the RU main contract and mixed rubber was 465 yuan/ton (-5), and the NR basis was 838.00 yuan/ton (-131.00). The price of whole latex was 14,550 yuan/ton (+200), the price of mixed rubber was 14,580 yuan/ton (+200), and the price of 3L spot was 15,000 yuan/ton (+50). The price of STR20 was 1,830 US dollars/ton (+10). The spread between whole latex and 3L was - 450 yuan/ton (+150); the spread between mixed rubber and styrene - butadiene rubber was 4,180 yuan/ton (+200) [6] Raw Materials - The price of Thai smoked sheets was 58.75 Thai baht/kg (+0.45), the price of Thai latex was 56.30 Thai baht/kg (unchanged), the price of Thai cup lump was 51.90 Thai baht/kg (-1.40), and the spread between Thai latex and cup lump was 4.10 Thai baht/kg (+1.40) [7] 开工率 - The operating rate of all - steel tires was 65.37% (+0.03%), and the operating rate of semi - steel tires was 72.89% (+0.77%) [8] Inventory - The social inventory of natural rubber was 447,668 tons (+15,439), the inventory of natural rubber at Qingdao Port was 1,056,012 tons (+17,061), the RU futures inventory was 120,900 tons (-3,120), and the NR futures inventory was 44,655 tons (+2,015) [8] Butadiene Rubber Spot and Spreads - On November 6, 2025, the BR basis was - 205 yuan/ton (-70), the ex - factory price of butadiene from Sinopec was 6,900 yuan/ton (unchanged), the price of butadiene rubber BR9000 from Qilu Petrochemical was 10,200 yuan/ton (unchanged), the price of BR9000 from Zhejiang Chuanhua was 10,200 yuan/ton (+50), the price of private butadiene rubber in Shandong was 9,850 yuan/ton (+100), and the import profit of butadiene rubber in Northeast Asia was - 2,503 yuan/ton (+52) [9] 开工率 - The operating rate of high - cis butadiene rubber was 66.02% (-0.88%) [10] Inventory - The inventory of butadiene rubber traders was 3,520 tons (-160), and the inventory of butadiene rubber enterprises was 25,770 tons (-1,430) [11] Strategy - For RU and NR, maintain a neutral stance. The rubber price mainly fluctuates with the surrounding market atmosphere. The change in the rubber fundamentals may come from the supply side. With the increase in the arrival volume in China, the inventory has started to increase slightly, and it is expected to further increase in the future. However, the raw material prices in overseas main producing areas remain firm due to rainfall disruptions, providing strong cost support for natural rubber and limiting the short - term downward space. Currently, the domestic futures price valuation is still low, but the supply - demand drive is insufficient, so the price is expected to fluctuate within a range. - For BR, maintain a neutral stance. The decline in the upstream butadiene raw material price since late October in China has turned the production profit of butadiene rubber from loss to profit, partially offsetting the support from the recent concentrated maintenance of upstream butadiene rubber plants. With resilient downstream demand and a relatively low absolute price, the further downward space is expected to be limited. The supply - demand contradiction of butadiene rubber is not prominent, and it mainly fluctuates with the upstream raw materials. In the context of abundant butadiene supply, its weakness is expected to continue [12]

Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided Core Viewpoints - Not provided Summary by Directory Option Trading Volume - On November 6, 2025, the trading volume of SSE 50 ETF options was 861,500 contracts; the trading volume of CSI 300 ETF options (Shanghai market) was 1,254,300 contracts; the trading volume of CSI 500 ETF options (Shanghai market) was 1,647,700 contracts; the trading volume of Shenzhen 100 ETF options was 82,400 contracts; the trading volume of ChiNext ETF options was 1,802,200 contracts; the trading volume of SSE 50 index options was 40,700 contracts; the trading volume of CSI 300 index options was 133,200 contracts; the total trading volume of CSI 1000 options was 260,100 contracts [1] - The table shows the call, put, and total trading volumes of various index ETF options on the previous day, such as 502,100 call contracts and 514,100 put contracts for SSE 50 ETF options, with a total of 1,016,200 contracts [20] Option PCR - The turnover PCR of SSE 50 ETF options was reported at 0.67, with a month - on - month change of - 0.24; the position PCR was reported at 0.98, with a month - on - month change of + 0.09. Similar data is provided for other types of options [2] - The table presents the turnover PCR, month - on - month change, position PCR, and month - on - month change of various index ETF options on the previous day [32] Option VIX - The VIX of SSE 50 ETF options was reported at 16.51%, with a month - on - month change of - 0.63%. Similar data is provided for other types of options [3] - The table shows the VIX and month - on - month change values of various index ETF options on the previous day [46]

Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant information provided. Core Views - The main port of MEG in East China continued to accumulate inventory this week. The EG main contract closed at 3,924 yuan/ton, up 10 yuan/ton or 0.26% from the previous trading day. The spot price of EG in the East China market was 3,978 yuan/ton, down 4 yuan/ton or 0.10% from the previous trading day. The spot basis of EG in East China was 74 yuan/ton, up 3 yuan/ton month-on-month [1]. - The domestic ethylene glycol load is operating at a high level, and the domestic supply will be abundant in the future. Overseas, there are still many losses in ethylene glycol supply, and more than two sets of Saudi devices are still in shutdown or low-load operation, with little change in import expectations. On the demand side, with the recent cooling, the polyester downstream has moderately improved, but the increase in polyester load is limited [2]. - The strategy includes cautious short selling hedging on a unilateral basis. There is a large pressure to accumulate inventory in the fourth quarter under high supply, with many production plans, and port inventories are expected to gradually recover. For the inter - term strategy, it is recommended to reverse the spread between EG2601 and EG2605 [3]. Summary by Directory Price and Basis - The closing price of the EG main contract was 3,924 yuan/ton, up 10 yuan/ton or 0.26% from the previous trading day. The spot price of EG in the East China market was 3,978 yuan/ton, down 4 yuan/ton or 0.10% from the previous trading day. The spot basis of EG in East China was 74 yuan/ton, up 3 yuan/ton month - on - month [1]. Production Profit and Operating Rate - According to Longzhong data, the production profit of ethylene - made EG was - 57 US dollars/ton, unchanged month - on - month. The production profit of coal - made syngas - made EG was - 860 yuan/ton, down 43 yuan/ton month - on - month [1]. International Spread No relevant information provided. Downstream Production, Sales and Operation - With the recent cooling, the polyester downstream has moderately improved, but the increase in polyester load is limited [2]. Inventory Data - According to CCF data released every Monday, the inventory of MEG in the main port of East China was 562,000 tons, up 39,000 tons month - on - month. According to Longzhong data released every Thursday, the inventory of MEG in the main port of East China was 564,000 tons, up 65,000 tons month - on - month. As of November 6, the total inventory of MEG in the main port area of East China was 564,000 tons, an increase of 53,000 tons from Monday. The planned arrivals at the main port of East China this week are relatively large, and inventory accumulation is expected again [1].

Report Industry Investment Rating - Unilateral: Neutral [4] - Arbitrage: Suspended [4] Core View - The raw material supply remains tight, pressuring the production of primary lead, while secondary lead production is gradually resuming. The demand for lead batteries is constrained by high lead prices, and production cuts by enterprises have led to weaker consumption. Although social inventories are at historical lows, they are expected to accumulate in November as supply recovers and imports arrive. Overall, the upside of lead prices is limited by weak consumption, while the downside is supported by costs. The lead price is expected to remain in a volatile range of approximately 16,900 yuan/ton to 17,600 yuan/ton. Attention should be paid to inventory changes and the pace of consumption recovery [4]. Summary by Related Catalogs Market News and Important Data Spot - On November 6, 2025, the LME lead spot premium was -$30.22/ton. The SMM 1 lead ingot spot price decreased by 100 yuan/ton to 17,225 yuan/ton compared to the previous trading day. The SMM Shanghai lead spot premium remained unchanged at 0 yuan/ton, the SMM Guangdong lead spot price decreased by 100 yuan/ton to 17,300 yuan/ton, the SMM Henan lead spot price decreased by 100 yuan/ton to 17,250 yuan/ton, and the SMM Tianjin lead spot premium decreased by 100 yuan/ton to 17,300 yuan/ton. The lead refined-scrap price difference remained unchanged at -50 yuan/ton, the price of used electric vehicle batteries remained unchanged at 10,025 yuan/ton, the price of used white shells remained unchanged at 10,150 yuan/ton, and the price of used black shells decreased by 25 yuan/ton to 10,400 yuan/ton [1]. Futures - On November 6, 2025, the main SHFE lead contract opened at 17,465 yuan/ton and closed at 17,430 yuan/ton, down 45 yuan/ton from the previous trading day. The trading volume for the whole trading day was 44,172 lots, a decrease of 2,244 lots from the previous trading day, and the position was 62,498 lots, a decrease of 3,201 lots from the previous trading day. The intraday price fluctuated, reaching a high of 17,555 yuan/ton and a low of 17,350 yuan/ton. In the night session, the main SHFE lead contract opened at 17,420 yuan/ton and closed at 17,405 yuan/ton, down 0.23% from the afternoon close. According to SMM, the SMM 1 lead price decreased by 50 yuan/ton compared to the previous trading day. The SHFE lead futures weakened and fluctuated during the day. In Henan, holders quoted at a discount of 180 - 150 yuan/ton to the SHFE lead 2506 contract; in Hunan, smelters' quotes at a discount of 30 - 0 yuan/ton to the SMM 1 lead average price had difficulty in making transactions, and traders quoted at a discount of 200 yuan/ton to the SHFE lead 2506 contract; in Anhui and Jiangxi, smelters' inventories were low, and they quoted at a premium of 100 yuan/ton to the SMM 1 lead average price for ex-factory sales; in Guangdong, holders' ex-factory supplies were quoted at a premium of 0 - 50 yuan/ton to the SMM 1 lead average price for transactions. As lead prices continued to weaken, downstream buyers maintained just-in-time purchases, and the enthusiasm for stocking up at low prices was poor, resulting in a generally sluggish spot market [2]. Inventory - On November 6, 2025, the total SMM lead ingot inventory was 32,000 tons, an increase of 1,600 tons compared to the same period last week. As of November 6, the LME lead inventory was 205,500 tons, a decrease of 3,100 tons from the previous trading day [3]. Strategy - Unilateral: Maintain a neutral stance. The lead price is expected to remain in a volatile range of approximately 16,900 yuan/ton to 17,600 yuan/ton, and attention should be paid to inventory changes and the pace of consumption recovery [4]. - Arbitrage: Suspend for now [4].