、误导或造成资料传输或储存上的错误、或遭第三人侵入系统篡改或伪造变造资料等，我司均不承担任何责任。 最新 日变化 周变化 月变化 年变化 最新 日变化 周变化 月变化 年变化 秦皇岛5500 830.0 0.0 0.0 61.0 -5.0 25省终端可用天数 25.1 -0.3 5.1 4.2 7.5 秦皇岛5000 737.0 0.0 0.0 59.0 -8.0 25省终端供煤 543.7 -4.5 -64.9 -96.4 -79.2 广州港5500 865.0 0.0 0.0 60.0 -45.0 北方港库存 2469.0 -4.0 180.0 242.0 -173.8 鄂尔多斯5500 595.0 0.0 15.0 50.0 -35.0 北方锚地船舶 99.0 -3.0 -21.0 15.0 48.0 大同5500 645.0 0.0 15.0 55.0 -65.0 北方港调入量 184.4 21.6 14.8 35.4 25.8 榆林6000 732.0 0.0 20.0 50.0 -103.0 北方港吞吐量 187.6 11.6 27.7 30.4 10.0 榆林6200 760.0 0.0 20. ...

游期现01-60到70，成交转好 玻璃产销：沙河80，湖北95，华东100，华南102 | | | | | | 纯 碱 | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | 2025/11/14 2025/11/20 2025/11/21 周度变化 日度变化 | | | | | | 2025/11/14 2025/11/20 2025/11/21 周度变化 日度变化 | | | | 沙河重碱 | 1180.0 | 1130.0 | 1140.0 | -40.0 | 10.0 | SA05合 约 | 1301.0 | 1232.0 | 1235.0 | -66.0 | 3.0 | | 华中重碱 | 1200.0 | 1140.0 | 1150.0 | -50.0 | 10.0 | SA01合约 | 1226.0 | 1158.0 | 1170.0 | -56.0 | 12.0 | | 华南重碱 | 1350.0 | 1350.0 | 1350.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | ...

纸浆早报 SP主力合约收盘价： 5298.00 | 日期 | 2025/11/20 | 2025/11/19 | 2025/11/18 | 2025/11/17 | 2025/11/14 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 主力合约收盘价 | 5298.00 | 5396.00 | 5408.00 | 5474.00 | 5480.00 | | 折美元价 | 662.95 | 662.95 | 664.17 | 673.11 | 674.24 | | 距上一日涨跌 | -1.81616% | -0.22189% | -1.20570% | -0.10949% | -0.97579% | | 山东银星基差 | 212 | 154 | 142 | 76 | 70 | | 江浙沪银星基差 | 212 | 144 | 132 | 76 | 70 | 以13%增值税计算 | 产地 | 品牌 | 价格说明 | 港口美元价格 | 山东地区人民币价格 | 进口利润 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 金狮 | CFR | 78 ...

Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided regarding the report industry investment rating Group 2: Report Core Views - For methanol, the current situation remains poor, Iranian plant shutdowns are slower than expected, November imports are likely to remain high, the contradiction in the 01 contract is difficult to resolve, port sanctions are expected to be resolved before the end of gas restrictions, inventory reduction is difficult, upward price momentum is weak, and the downside space depends on the inland market. Recently, coal prices have strengthened, but it has no impact on profits [1]. - For polyethylene, the inventory of the two major oil companies is neutral year - on - year. Upstream and coal - chemical industries are reducing inventory, while social inventory remains flat. Downstream raw material and finished product inventories are also neutral. Overall inventory is neutral. The 09 contract basis is around - 110 in North China and - 50 in East China. Overseas markets in Europe, America, and Southeast Asia are stable. Import profit is around - 200 with no further increase for now. Non - standard HD injection prices are stable, other price spreads are volatile, and LD prices are weakening. September maintenance is flat month - on - month, and recent domestic linear production has decreased month - on - month. Attention should be paid to LL - HD conversion and US price quotes. New device pressure in 2025 is significant, and the commissioning of new devices should be monitored [4]. - For polypropylene, the upstream two major oil companies and the mid - stream are reducing inventory. In terms of valuation, the basis is - 60, non - standard price spreads are neutral, and the import profit is around - 700. Exports have been good this year. Non - standard price spreads are neutral, and markets in Europe and America are stable. PDH profit is around - 400, propylene prices are volatile, and powder production starts are stable.拉丝 production scheduling is neutral. Future supply is expected to increase slightly month - on - month. Current downstream orders are average, and raw material and finished product inventories are neutral. Under the background of over - capacity, the 01 contract is expected to face moderate to excessive pressure. If exports continue to grow or there are many PDH device overhauls, the supply pressure can be alleviated to a neutral level [4]. - For PVC, the basis of 01 contract is maintained at - 270, and the factory pickup basis is - 480. Downstream开工率 is seasonally weakening, and the willingness to hold inventory at low prices is strong. Mid - and upstream inventories are continuously accumulating. Summer maintenance of Northwest devices is seasonal, and the load center is between the spring maintenance and the high - production period in Q1. In Q4, attention should be paid to the commissioning and export sustainability. Recent export orders have slightly declined. Coal market sentiment is positive, and the cost of semi - coke is stable. Calcium carbide profits are under pressure due to PVC overhauls. The FOB counter - offer for caustic soda exports is 380. Attention should be paid to whether subsequent export orders can support high - price caustic soda. The comprehensive PVC profit is - 100. Currently, the static inventory contradiction is accumulating slowly, costs are stabilizing, downstream performance is average, and the macro - environment is neutral. Attention should be paid to exports, coal prices, commercial housing sales, terminal orders, and开工率 [4]. Group 3: Summary by Commodity Methanol - **Price Data**: From November 14 to November 20, the power coal futures price remained at 801. The prices of Jiangsu, South China, Lunan, Southwest, Hebei, and Northwest spot markets showed certain fluctuations, with daily changes of 0, 12, 5, 7, 0, 5 respectively on November 20 compared to the previous period. CFR China and CFR Southeast Asia prices also had some changes [1]. - **Profit Data**: Import profit, main contract basis, and MTO profit on the futures market also showed corresponding changes during this period [1]. Polyethylene (PE) - **Price Data**: From November 14 to November 20, prices of Northeast Asian ethylene, North China LL, East China LL, East China LD, and East China HD showed fluctuations. The daily change of East China LL and East China LD on November 20 was - 25 compared to the previous period [4]. - **Inventory and Other Data**: The two major oil companies' inventory, import profit, main contract futures price, basis, and warehouse receipts also had certain changes during this period. The two major oil companies' inventory remained at 12017 on November 20, and the basis was - 40 [4]. Polypropylene (PP) - **Price Data**: From November 14 to November 20, prices of Shandong propylene, Northeast Asian propylene, East China PP, North China PP, and other markets showed fluctuations. The daily changes of Shandong propylene, East China PP, and North China PP on November 20 were - 20, - 15, - 13 respectively compared to the previous period [4]. - **Profit and Inventory Data**: Export profit, main contract futures price, basis, and the two major oil companies' inventory also had corresponding changes during this period. The basis remained at - 100, and the two major oil companies' inventory was 15733 on November 20 [4]. Polyvinyl Chloride (PVC) - **Price Data**: From November 14 to November 20, prices of Northwest calcium carbide, Shandong caustic soda, and various production - method PVC in different regions showed fluctuations. The daily change of the East China price of calcium carbide - based PVC was - 50 on November 20 compared to the previous period [4]. - **Profit and Basis Data**: Export profit, Northwest and North China comprehensive profits, and the basis of high - end delivery products remained relatively stable during this period, with the basis of high - end delivery products remaining at - 90 [4].

| | 最新 | 日变化 | 周变化 | 月变化 年变化 | | 最新 | 日变化 | 周变化 | 月变化 | 年变化 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 柳林主焦 | 1645.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 70.00 | 3.46% Peak Downs | 214.00 | 7.00 | 2.50 | 9.50 | -3.00 | | 原煤口岸库提价 | 997.00 | -43.00 | -103.00 | -130.00 | -6.82% Goonyella | 213.00 | 8.00 | 2.50 | 8.50 | -4.00 | | 沙河驿蒙5# | 1550.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 80.00 | -1.90% 盘面05 | 1183.50 | -41.50 | -69.00 | -119.50 | -11.15% | | 安泽主焦 | 1660.00 | 0.00 | -40.00 | 60.00 | 3.75% 盘面09 | 1244.50 | -48.00 ...

铁合金早报 供应 需求 800 1300 1800 2300 01/01 02/01 03/01 04/01 05/01 06/01 07/01 08/01 09/01 10/01 11/01 12/01 硅铁：72%FeSi：出口价格：天津港 （美元/吨） 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 800 1300 1800 2300 01/01 02/01 03/01 04/01 05/01 06/01 07/01 08/01 09/01 10/01 11/01 12/01 硅铁：75%FeSi：出口价格：天津港 （美元/吨） 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 -2500 -1500 -500 500 1500 01/01 02/01 03/01 04/01 05/01 06/01 07/01 08/01 09/01 10/01 11/01 12/01 硅铁-硅锰主力合约价差（元/吨） 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 7000 8000 01/01 02/01 03/01 04/01 05/01 06/01 07/ ...

集运早报 | | | | | | | 研究中心能化团队 | | | 2025/11/21 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 合约 | | 昨日收盘价 | 涨跌 | 基美 | 昨日成交量 | | 昨日持命量 | 持合变动 | | 期货 | EC2512 | | 1775.7 | 0.70% | -418.0 | 4067 | | 8060 | -1508 | | | EC2602 | | 1631.0 | -0.55% | -273.3 | 32775 | | 42029 | 1785 | | | EC2604 | | 1163.0 | 0.03% | 194.7 | 3097 | | 16014 | 70 | | | EC2606 | | 1381.1 | -0.07% | -23.4 | 218 | | 1575 | -7 | | | EC2608 | | 1505.0 | 1.00% | -147.3 | 92 | | 1224 | 12 | | | EC2610 | | 1109.0 | -0.09% ...

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided in the given content 2. Core View of the Report - This week, oil prices remained volatile. News of potential Russia - Ukraine negotiations on Thursday and the suspension of oil exports from Russia's Novorossiysk port due to an attack on Friday caused intraday fluctuations. The fundamentals maintain a pattern of oversupply and increased uncertainty regarding Russian sanctions risks. The US sanctions on Russia will take effect on November 21, and short - term statements from the US and Russia will affect market expectations. US EIA commercial crude oil inventories increased, while global oil slightly decreased. Due to high gasoline and diesel profits, recent refinery operations in Europe and the US have recovered, and the maintenance rate of Middle - Eastern refineries remains high. In the short term, the interruption of Russian ports supports the Dubai spread, but global supply pressure and OPEC's potential production increase plan limit the upside. In the short term, spreads and absolute prices will remain volatile, and the strategy of short - selling on rallies is recommended for the fourth quarter [5]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Oil Price Data - **Crude Oil and Related Products**: From November 14 - 20, WTI decreased by $0.44 to $59.00, BRENT decreased by $0.13 to $63.38, and DUBAI increased by $0.01 to $64.67. The BRENT 1 - 2 month spread increased by $0.07 to $0.58, and the WTI - BRENT spread decreased by $0.31 to -$4.38. Other related products also showed various changes [3]. - **Domestic Products**: From November 14 - 20, domestic gasoline decreased by 30 yuan to 7060 yuan, and domestic diesel decreased by 10 yuan to 6423 yuan. The domestic gasoline - BRT spread decreased by 24 yuan, and the domestic diesel - BRT spread decreased by 5 yuan [3]. - **Other Products**: From November 14 - 20, Japan's CFR naphtha decreased, Singapore's 380CST fuel oil increased, and HH natural gas increased. The spreads of these products also changed accordingly [3]. 3.2 Daily News - **US Government Policy**: The Trump administration is restructuring the Department of Energy, canceling the office focused on clean and renewable energy and creating a department for hydrocarbons and fusion energy [3]. - **Corporate Actions**: India's Reliance Industries will stop processing Russian oil at part of its Jamnagar refinery due to US sanctions [3]. - **Geopolitical Tensions**: Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard has elevated its combat readiness, and the Ukrainian military attacked Russia's Ryazan refinery [4]. 3.3 Inventory - **US Inventory**: In the week of November 07, US crude oil exports decreased by 1.551 million barrels per day to 2.816 million barrels per day, domestic production increased by 211,000 barrels to 13.862 million barrels per day, and commercial crude oil inventories (excluding strategic reserves) increased by 6.413 million barrels to 428 million barrels, a 1.52% increase. The US strategic petroleum reserve increased by 798,000 barrels to 410.4 million barrels, a 0.19% increase [5]. - **Other Regions' Inventory**: As of the week of November 12, the total refined oil inventory at the Port of Fujairah in the UAE increased by 3.204 million barrels to 21.181 million barrels. As of the week of November 08, Japan's commercial crude oil inventory decreased by 353,966 thousand liters to 10,379,001 thousand liters. From November 7 - 13, both gasoline and diesel inventories decreased, with gasoline at 10.4149 million tons (down 1.52%) and diesel at 12.8156 million tons (down 0.63%) [5].

焦炭日报 研究中心黑色团队 2025/11/21 | | 最新 | 日变化 | 周变化 | 月变化 同比 | | 最新 | 日变化 | 周变化 | 月变化 同比 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 山西准一湿熄 | 1649.42 | 0.00 | 57.81 | 167.03 | -10.07% 高炉开工率 | 88.80 | | 0.99 | -1.53 | 1.06% | | 河北准一干熄 | 1900.00 | 0.00 | 55.00 | 165.00 | 7.95% 铁水日均产量 | 236.28 | | -0.60 | -3.62 | 0.20% | | 山东准一干熄 | 1825.00 | 0.00 | 55.00 | 165.00 | -9.20% 盘面05 | 1786 | -18.00 | -30.50 | -54.50 | -10.70% | | 江苏准一干熄 | 1865.00 | 0.00 | 55.00 | 165.00 | -9.02% 盘面09 | 1850.5 | ...

Report Industry Investment Ratings - Not provided in the documents Core Views - This week, copper prices fluctuated within a narrow range. Supported by the precious metals market, copper prices were strong in the first half of the week and adjusted on Friday. The downstream price - fixing volume rebounded significantly. The market has both liquidity easing expectations and AI bubble risks. The price around 85,000 may be the psychological price for downstream price - fixing [1]. - Overseas production halt news and expectations boosted the domestic aluminum price, making it stronger than the overseas price. Short - term profit - taking led to a correction in the Shanghai aluminum futures. Aluminum ingots continued to accumulate inventory, while aluminum rods, sheets, and foils slightly reduced inventory. The downstream consumption was acceptable, and the acceptance of high prices increased. It may show a volatile trend in the short term [2]. - Zinc prices fluctuated this week. The domestic and imported TC decreased further. The domestic zinc ore supply will be tight from the fourth quarter to the first quarter of next year. The processing fee has dropped significantly, but the smelter's profit is still acceptable. The demand is seasonally weak domestically, while overseas, European demand is average and Middle - East demand has high growth. The domestic social inventory fluctuates, and the overseas LME inventory is oscillating at a low level. The export window has opened. The price may not fall deeply, and it is recommended to wait and see for unilateral trading, pay attention to reverse arbitrage opportunities, and consider the positive arbitrage opportunity of 01 - 03 for the month - spread [5]. - Nickel's short - term fundamental situation is weak. The price of nickel sulfate is relatively stable, the output of pure nickel decreased slightly, the demand is weak, and the inventory at home and abroad continued to increase. There are continuous disturbances in the Indonesian nickel ore market, and the policy side has the motivation to support prices. It is recommended to consider short - selling opportunities [6]. - The fundamentals of stainless steel remain weak. The steel mill's production in October increased slightly month - on - month, the demand is mainly for rigid needs, the prices of nickel iron and chrome iron are stable, and the inventory remains at a high level. The Indonesian policy side has the motivation to support prices. It is recommended to consider short - selling opportunities [7]. - Lead prices fluctuated at a high level this week. The supply of recycled lead increased, and the social inventory accumulated. The demand for batteries may weaken. It is expected that lead prices will fluctuate within a narrow range next week, and it is recommended to wait and see the resumption of recycled lead production and the increase in warehouse receipts [9]. - The center of tin prices rose this week. The supply has been marginally restored, but there are still uncertainties overseas. The demand is mainly rigid. In the short term, it follows the macro - sentiment, and in the long - term, it is recommended to hold near the cost line or use it as a long - position in the non - ferrous metals portfolio [11]. - The price of industrial silicon is expected to fluctuate in the short term and oscillate at the bottom of the cycle in the long - term. The supply and demand in the fourth quarter are expected to be in a balanced and slightly loose state [15]. - The price of lithium carbonate is running strongly. The raw material supply is tight, the upstream inventory has decreased significantly, and the downstream inventory is relatively sufficient. The trading is light, and the basis has weakened slightly. In the long - term, the pattern may change in the next 1 - 2 years if the energy storage demand remains high and the power demand is stable [17]. Summary by Metal Copper - This week, copper prices fluctuated within a narrow range. The downstream price - fixing volume rebounded significantly. The market has both liquidity easing expectations and AI bubble risks. The price around 85,000 may be the psychological price for downstream price - fixing [1]. Aluminum - Overseas production halt news and expectations boosted the domestic aluminum price, making it stronger than the overseas price. Short - term profit - taking led to a correction in the Shanghai aluminum futures. Aluminum ingots continued to accumulate inventory, while aluminum rods, sheets, and foils slightly reduced inventory. The downstream consumption was acceptable, and the acceptance of high prices increased. It may show a volatile trend in the short term [2]. Zinc - Zinc prices fluctuated this week. The domestic and imported TC decreased further. The domestic zinc ore supply will be tight from the fourth quarter to the first quarter of next year. The processing fee has dropped significantly, but the smelter's profit is still acceptable. The demand is seasonally weak domestically, while overseas, European demand is average and Middle - East demand has high growth. The domestic social inventory fluctuates, and the overseas LME inventory is oscillating at a low level. The export window has opened. The price may not fall deeply, and it is recommended to wait and see for unilateral trading, pay attention to reverse arbitrage opportunities, and consider the positive arbitrage opportunity of 01 - 03 for the month - spread [5]. Nickel - Nickel's short - term fundamental situation is weak. The price of nickel sulfate is relatively stable, the output of pure nickel decreased slightly, the demand is weak, and the inventory at home and abroad continued to increase. There are continuous disturbances in the Indonesian nickel ore market, and the policy side has the motivation to support prices. It is recommended to consider short - selling opportunities [6]. Stainless Steel - The fundamentals of stainless steel remain weak. The steel mill's production in October increased slightly month - on - month, the demand is mainly for rigid needs, the prices of nickel iron and chrome iron are stable, and the inventory remains at a high level. The Indonesian policy side has the motivation to support prices. It is recommended to consider short - selling opportunities [7]. Lead - Lead prices fluctuated at a high level this week. The supply of recycled lead increased, and the social inventory accumulated. The demand for batteries may weaken. It is expected that lead prices will fluctuate within a narrow range next week, and it is recommended to wait and see the resumption of recycled lead production and the increase in warehouse receipts [9]. Tin - The center of tin prices rose this week. The supply has been marginally restored, but there are still uncertainties overseas. The demand is mainly rigid. In the short term, it follows the macro - sentiment, and in the long - term, it is recommended to hold near the cost line or use it as a long - position in the non - ferrous metals portfolio [11]. Industrial Silicon - The price of industrial silicon is expected to fluctuate in the short term and oscillate at the bottom of the cycle in the long - term. The supply and demand in the fourth quarter are expected to be in a balanced and slightly loose state [15]. Lithium Carbonate - The price of lithium carbonate is running strongly. The raw material supply is tight, the upstream inventory has decreased significantly, and the downstream inventory is relatively sufficient. The trading is light, and the basis has weakened slightly. In the long - term, the pattern may change in the next 1 - 2 years if the energy storage demand remains high and the power demand is stable [17].