Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the chemical industry [2] Core Insights - The chemical industry is expected to benefit from anti-involution policies aimed at curbing disorderly competition and eliminating outdated production capacity, which may lead to a recovery in industrial product prices and positively impact PPI and CPI [6][11][17] - The report highlights the significant influence of the energy and chemical sectors on PPI, with their price fluctuations directly affecting overall industrial inflation levels [16] - The industry is under pressure from declining product prices and reduced capacity utilization, leading to a strong demand for anti-involution measures [17] - The current valuation of the chemical industry is at a historical low, providing substantial upside potential as the sector is expected to recover from its cyclical bottom [17][19] Summary by Sections 1. Importance of Inflation Recovery - The report emphasizes that the chemical sector is a crucial lever for inflation recovery, as evidenced by the PPI's continuous decline and the need for policy intervention to combat deflationary pressures [6][11] 2. Reasons to Focus on Chemicals - The energy and chemical sectors account for 25%-30% of PPI, making their price recovery vital for overall inflation [16] - The industry faces significant profitability challenges, with nearly 25% of chemical companies reporting losses in 2024 [17] 3. Paths for Anti-Involution in Chemicals 3.1. Active Approach: Industry Self-Regulation - Certain sub-industries, such as polyester filament and sucralose, are attempting to improve profitability through supply-side collaboration, benefiting from high concentration and low profitability [27][29] - The report identifies key chemical products likely to benefit from self-regulation, including polyester filament, polyester bottle chips, and organic silicon [29][31] 3.2. Passive Approach: Policy-Driven Industry Improvement - The report outlines a dual-track policy framework focusing on optimizing existing capacity and strictly controlling new projects to enhance the competitive landscape [27][31] - Historical experiences suggest that effective policy measures will include phasing out outdated facilities and enforcing stricter environmental regulations [27][31]

Group 1 - The acrylic acid concept sector increased by 2.56%, ranking fifth among concept sectors, with 13 stocks rising, including Xingye Co., which hit the daily limit [1] - Notable stock performances within the acrylic acid sector include Bohai Chemical, Akerley, and Guoen Co., which rose by 6.42%, 4.84%, and 4.10% respectively [1] Group 2 - The acrylic acid concept sector saw a net inflow of 231 million yuan from main funds, with 10 stocks receiving net inflows, and 7 stocks exceeding 10 million yuan in net inflows [2] - Xingye Co. led the net inflow with 105 million yuan, followed by Tianlong Group, Bohai Chemical, and Satellite Chemical with net inflows of 75.79 million yuan, 35.55 million yuan, and 20.25 million yuan respectively [2] Group 3 - In terms of fund inflow ratios, Xingye Co., Bohai Chemical, and Hongqiang Co. had the highest net inflow rates at 38.39%, 13.27%, and 8.28% respectively [3] - The acrylic acid concept fund inflow rankings show that Xingye Co. had a daily increase of 10.02% with a turnover rate of 6.04%, while Tianlong Group and Bohai Chemical had increases of 1.70% and 6.42% respectively [3][4]

Group 1 - As of August 19, 2023, the National Social Security Fund has invested in 89 stocks among the top ten circulating shareholders, with the basic chemical industry being the most favored, holding 11 stocks with a total market value of 4.075 billion yuan [1] - Minsheng Securities suggests looking for stocks with good performance in the second quarter, particularly in the new materials industry benefiting from AI capital investment and industry leaders in segments affected by U.S. tariff conflicts [1] - The export window for phosphate fertilizer is approaching, with high demand expected to continue. The export guidance indicates that exports may occur in phases, with the first batch concentrated from May to September, and the total export quota for 2025 is expected to decrease compared to last year [1] Group 2 - As of August 20, 2025, the CSI Sub-Industry Chemical Theme Index (000813) increased by 0.39%, with notable stock performances including Lianhong New Science (up 10.01%) and Yuntianhua (up 4.84%) [2] - The Chemical ETF (159870) rose by 0.63%, with a latest price of 0.64 yuan and a net subscription of 100 million shares during the trading session [2] - The CSI Sub-Industry Chemical Theme Index tracks the performance of large and liquid listed companies in the chemical sector, reflecting the overall performance of these companies [4] Group 3 - As of July 31, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the CSI Sub-Industry Chemical Theme Index include Wanhua Chemical, Salt Lake Potash, and Juhua Co., with these stocks accounting for 43.54% of the total index weight [5]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the increasing cash dividend awareness among listed companies in China, with a record total cash dividend of 2.4 trillion yuan for 2024, representing a 9% increase from 2023 [1] - Major companies such as China National Petroleum Corporation, Sinopec, and China Shenhua Energy are among those leading in cash dividends, with China National Petroleum Corporation distributing 86 billion yuan in 2024 [1] - The number of companies consistently paying dividends has risen, with 2,447 out of 4,445 companies listed for over three years having paid dividends for three consecutive years, marking a 12% increase from the previous year [2] Group 2 - The average dividend payout ratio for listed companies in 2024 is 39%, with 1,411 companies having an average payout ratio greater than 40%, a 24% increase from 2023 [2] - The trend of increasing dividend payments reflects a growing internal drive among companies to provide predictable cash flow returns to investors, contributing to higher quality development in the capital market [3] - The average dividend yield for 466 companies over the past three years exceeds 3%, with 133 companies yielding over 5%, indicating a significant advantage over some national bond yields [2]

Summary of Key Points Core Viewpoint - As of August 19, 2023, the social security fund has invested in 89 stocks, with a total market value of 25.34 billion yuan, indicating a strong interest in specific sectors and companies [1]. Company Insights - The top three companies by market value held by the social security fund are: - Changshu Bank (601128) with a holding value of 2.78 billion shares worth 2.05 billion yuan, showing a year-to-date increase of 13.48% [3]. - Pengding Holdings (002938) with 0.43 billion shares valued at 1.38 billion yuan, experiencing a significant year-to-date increase of 45.32% [3]. - Haida Group (002311) with 0.21 billion shares worth 1.23 billion yuan, also showing a strong year-to-date increase of 24.40% [3]. Industry Preferences - The basic chemical industry is the most favored by the social security fund, with 11 stocks and a total holding value of 4.08 billion yuan [1]. - The pharmaceutical and biological, electronics, and electrical equipment industries follow closely, with 10, 9, and 9 stocks respectively [1].

万华化学8月19日公告，其福建工业园新建TDI二期装置(36万吨/年)已于近期建成投产，并产出合格产 品。 公告称，按照年度检修计划，公司烟台产业园30万吨/年TDI装置及相关配套装置将于8月19日开始陆续 停产检修，预计检修40天左右。 同时，万华化学还披露，子公司匈牙利宝思德化学公司MDI(40万吨/年)、TDI(25万吨/年)等一体化装置 及相关配套装置于7月23日开始陆续停产检修。截至目前，上述TDI装置的停产检修已经结束，恢复正 常生产；MDI装置待复产后另行公告。 万华化学全球最大的MDI和TDI供应商，截至2024年末，拥有TDI产能111万吨/年。随着福建工业园新建 TDI二期装置的投产，其TDI总产能进一步提升。 ...

Investment Rating - The report provides a standard investment rating for the chemical industry, indicating a positive outlook for specific sectors within the industry [5]. Core Insights - The report highlights the impact of the explosion at Kanto Denka's facility in Japan, which is expected to create opportunities for domestic electronic gas suppliers as Kanto Denka holds a 90% market share in nitrogen trifluoride production in Japan [6][13]. - The first World Humanoid Robot Games held in Beijing is seen as a catalyst for the robotics industry's development, showcasing technological innovation and attracting talent [6][14]. - The report emphasizes the structural optimization of supply in the chemical sector, suggesting a focus on sectors with significant elasticity and competitive advantages, such as organic silicon and membrane materials [6][15]. Industry Performance - The report notes that during the week of August 11 to August 15, 2025, the CSI 300 index rose by 2.37%, while the Shenwan Basic Chemical Index increased by 2.46%, outperforming the market slightly [6][18]. - The top-performing sub-sectors included modified plastics (up 12.29%) and fluorochemicals (up 5.81%), while the worst performers were civil explosives (down 3.02%) and compound fertilizers (down 1.81%) [6][19]. Price Trends - Key products that saw price increases included hydrochloric acid (up 15.38%) and propylene (up 4.00%), while notable declines were observed in butanone (down 7.16%) and liquid ammonia (down 5.89%) [6][26]. - The report tracks price differentials, with significant increases in the propylene-propane differential (up 33.47%) and decreases in the bisphenol A-phenol differential (down 26.57%) [6][28]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on sectors that may benefit from supply-side reforms, particularly organic silicon, membrane materials, and dye sectors, with recommended companies including Hoshine Silicon Industry and Zhejiang Longsheng [6][15]. - It also highlights the growing demand for health additives and sugar substitutes driven by new consumer trends, recommending companies that emphasize technological and product differentiation [6][16][17].

Industry Overview - The domestic polymer MDI market is experiencing strong growth due to the recovery in downstream industries such as home appliances, automotive, and energy-efficient construction [1][8] - In the first half of 2025, China's polymer MDI production reached 1.9267 million tons, a year-on-year increase of 13.96%, while consumption was 1.6906 million tons, up 43.38% year-on-year [1][8] - Key drivers of demand include the release of replacement demand in the home appliance sector, rising production and sales of new energy vehicles, and upgrades in insulation materials driven by enhanced green building standards [1][8] Industry Chain - The upstream of the polymer MDI industry includes raw materials such as aniline, formaldehyde, liquid chlorine, and carbon monoxide, as well as production equipment like condensation reaction kettles and gas treatment units [4] - The midstream involves the production and manufacturing of polymer MDI, while the downstream applications include white goods, construction, automotive, insulation boards, and adhesives [4] Current Industry Status - The polymer MDI industry in China is facing challenges due to trade disputes, particularly with the U.S., which has initiated anti-dumping investigations against Chinese MDI [10] - As of June 2025, the industry operating rate was 72.43%, a decrease of 11.75 percentage points month-on-month and 2.93 percentage points year-on-year [10] - The price of polymer MDI in China was 15,500 yuan per ton at the end of June 2025, down 11.46% year-on-year due to seasonal demand and export obstacles [10] Key Enterprises - Wanhua Chemical is the leading company in the domestic polymer MDI industry, with a production capacity of 3.8 million tons per year as of the end of 2024, and plans to expand to 4.5 million tons by mid-2026 [12][14] - Other significant players include Shanghai Lianheng, BASF, and Covestro, which also hold important positions in the Chinese market [12][16] Industry Development Trends 1. **Technological Upgrades and Green Transformation**: The industry is undergoing a shift towards green low-carbon technologies, with leading companies like Wanhua Chemical adopting non-phosgene processes that reduce energy consumption by 23% and carbon emissions by 20% [19] 2. **Optimized Market Demand Structure**: The diversification of downstream applications is driving an upgrade in MDI demand structure, particularly in energy-efficient construction and the automotive sector [20] 3. **Globalization and Policy Adaptation**: Companies are accelerating overseas capacity expansion to mitigate trade friction and carbon tariff pressures, with Wanhua Chemical and BASF expanding their production bases abroad [22]

Group 1: China Shipbuilding - China Shipbuilding will resume trading on August 19, 2025, following a merger with China National Heavy Industry Group through a share exchange [1] - The company has a market capitalization exceeding 170 billion yuan and is expected to achieve a net profit of 2.8 billion to 3.1 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 98.25% to 119.49% [1] - The company focuses on its core business, with improved production efficiency and a favorable overall development trend in the shipbuilding industry, leading to performance growth [1] Group 2: TDI Market - TDI prices have surged, with a benchmark price of 16,066.67 yuan per ton as of August 18, 2025, reflecting a cumulative increase of 40.94% since the beginning of the second half of the year [3][5] - The price range for TDI in 2025 is projected to be between 10,400 yuan and 16,766.67 yuan per ton, with a maximum increase of 61.22% [3] - The recent price increase is attributed to a reduction in production capacity due to incidents at major production facilities, including a fire at Covestro and maintenance at Wanhua Chemical's subsidiary [5] Group 3: TDI-Related Companies - The A-share market has four main companies involved in TDI production: Wanhua Chemical, Cangzhou Dahua, Beihua Co., and Hanjin Technology [6] - Wanhua Chemical is the leading domestic TDI producer, with a total capacity of 147,000 tons per year after the completion of a new project [6] - Cangzhou Dahua maintains stable operations with an annual TDI capacity of 160,000 tons, while Beihua Co. does not produce TDI but is involved in TDI trading through a subsidiary [6][7]

Group 1 - The A-share market has four listed companies with TDI-related production capacity: Wanhua Chemical, Cangzhou Dahua, Beihua Co., and Hangjin Technology [1] - Wanhua Chemical is the domestic leader in TDI, with a TDI production capacity of 1.11 million tons per year as of the end of 2024; a second TDI project in Fujian with a capacity of 360,000 tons per year is expected to be completed and operational by May 2025, bringing total TDI capacity to 1.47 million tons per year [1] - Cangzhou Dahua currently has an annual TDI production capacity of 160,000 tons, with stable operation of its main production facilities and leading product quality and cost control in the industry; in the context of a tight TDI market supply and demand, the company maintains full-load operation of its facilities, achieving a balance between production and sales [1]