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好太太(603848):2024A、2025Q1点评:收入业绩阶段性承压,期待国补带动需求修复
长江证券· 2025-04-28 23:30
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [10]. Core Views - The company's revenue performance is under pressure, with expectations for demand recovery driven by national subsidies. The company has a solid foundation in smart drying products and aims to expand into multiple categories to drive future growth. The company has a market share of approximately 40% in the smart drying sector and anticipates a gradual recovery in revenue following the implementation of national subsidies in March 2025 [9][10]. Financial Performance Summary - For 2024, the company is projected to achieve revenue of 1.557 billion, net profit attributable to shareholders of 248 million, and net profit excluding non-recurring items of 244 million, representing year-on-year declines of 8%, 24%, and 24% respectively. In Q4 2024, the expected revenue is 488 million, with net profit attributable to shareholders at 58 million and net profit excluding non-recurring items at 54 million, reflecting year-on-year declines of 15%, 35%, and 42% respectively. For Q1 2025, the company is expected to generate revenue of 259 million, with net profit attributable to shareholders at 33 million and net profit excluding non-recurring items at 32 million, showing year-on-year declines of 11%, 40%, and 43% respectively [2][7][9]. Revenue and Profit Analysis - The company faces significant operational pressure in 2024, with an overall revenue decline of 8%. In Q4 2024, the revenue decline is projected at 15%. However, the decline in Q1 2025 is expected to narrow to 11%. The sales performance of smart home products is expected to grow, while traditional drying rack products are projected to decline by 19% [13]. The gross margin is under pressure due to changes in product mix, with Q4 2024 and Q1 2025 gross margins at 37.6% and 47.9% respectively, reflecting year-on-year declines of 15.5 and 4.0 percentage points [13]. Future Profit Forecast - The company is expected to achieve net profits attributable to shareholders of 280 million, 330 million, and 380 million for the years 2025 to 2027, corresponding to price-to-earnings ratios of 20, 17, and 15 times respectively [9].
小鹏汽车-W(09868):正式推出智能辅助驾驶安心服务,彰显智驾技术信心
长江证券· 2025-04-28 23:30
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [6]. Core Views - On April 28, 2025, the company launched the "Smart Assisted Driving Assurance Service" priced at 239 HKD per year, offering up to 1 million HKD in compensation, highlighting four key advantages: comprehensive coverage, wide insurance company participation, unlimited claims, and availability across all vehicle models [2][8]. - The company is expected to see steady sales growth due to the launch of new models such as MONA M03 and P7+, alongside improvements in its marketing system and channel transformation [2][8]. - The company anticipates a revenue of 150-157 billion HKD for Q1 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 129.1%-139.8%, with Q4 2024 revenue reaching 161.1 billion HKD, marking its best quarterly performance [8]. - The company has a robust cash reserve of 419.6 billion HKD as of Q4 2024, reflecting a quarter-on-quarter increase of 17.4% [8]. - The company is positioned for a strong sales cycle in 2025, with multiple new models expected to launch, enhancing its revenue potential [8]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company has launched a unique service that allows users to enjoy benefits even 5 seconds after exiting the NGP, which is expected to significantly enhance user trust in its smart driving systems [2][8]. Financial Performance - The company reported a gross margin of 10.0% in Q4 2024, an increase of 5.9 percentage points year-on-year, achieving six consecutive quarters of growth [8]. - The projected revenue for the company in 2025 is 991 billion HKD, corresponding to a price-to-sales ratio of 1.4X [8]. Market Position - The company is leveraging its AI capabilities to maintain a competitive edge in the smart driving sector, with a monthly active user penetration rate of 86% for its XNGP urban driving feature as of March 2025 [8].
美埃科技(688376):2024、2025Q1业绩点评:海外业务增速亮眼,并购捷芯隆完善业务布局
长江证券· 2025-04-28 15:32
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [9]. Core Views - In 2024, the company achieved operating revenue of 1.72 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 14.45%, and a net profit attributable to the parent company of 190 million yuan, up 10.83% year-on-year. For Q1 2025, the operating revenue was 320 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 16.02%, with a net profit of 40 million yuan, an increase of 18.45% year-on-year [2][6]. - The company completed the privatization of Jiexinlong, which enhances its business layout through multiple synergies in the supply chain and sales regions [2][6]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - The company reported a total operating revenue of 1.72 billion yuan in 2024, with a gross profit of 510 million yuan, resulting in a gross margin of 29.62%, an increase of 2.90 percentage points year-on-year. The overseas revenue reached 228 million yuan, growing 33.28% year-on-year, which is higher than the overall growth rate [11]. - For Q1 2025, the company achieved an operating revenue of 320 million yuan, with a net profit of 40 million yuan, marking an 18.45% increase year-on-year [6]. Business Expansion - The acquisition of Jiexinlong is expected to enhance the company's business, particularly in overseas markets. Jiexinlong reported revenue of 357 million yuan in 2023, with a net profit of 55 million yuan and a healthy gross margin of 31.7% [11]. - The company plans to expand its production capacity, which is currently at full utilization, to support future revenue and profit growth [11]. Future Outlook - The company has set ambitious performance targets through a stock incentive plan, aiming for revenues of at least 2 billion yuan in 2024, 2.75 billion yuan in 2025, and 3.8 billion yuan in 2026, corresponding to growth rates of 32.9%, 37.5%, and 38.2% respectively [11]. - The projected net profits for 2024, 2025, and 2026 are 240 million yuan, 300 million yuan, and 360 million yuan, respectively, with corresponding price-to-earnings ratios of 20x, 16x, and 13x [11].
菲利华(300395):行业波动业绩筑底,景气上行弹性充足
长江证券· 2025-04-28 15:31
丨证券研究报告丨 公司研究丨点评报告丨菲利华(300395.SZ) [Table_Title] 行业波动业绩筑底,景气上行弹性充足 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 2024 年公司半导体业务稳健增长,航空航天等领域需求波动,导致公司整体收入及业绩出现同 比下滑;盈利能力方面,公司石英玻璃材料受收入结构变化、石英玻璃制品受火加工能力提升, 毛利率均出现不同程度下滑。但公司在航空航天、半导体、光学和先进方向四大业务领域均取 得阶段性进展,展望后续,航空航天景气复苏以及高端民用布局进入收获期,有望从 2025 年 起进入新一轮快速成长阶段。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 王贺嘉 王清 SAC:S0490520110004 SAC:S0490524050001 SFC:BUX462 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 菲利华(300395.SZ) cjzqdt11111 [Table_Title2] 行业波动业绩筑底,景气上行弹性充足 [Table_Summary2] 事件描述 公司发布 2024 年报,2024A 实现营业收 17 ...
机械行业2025Q1持仓分析
长江证券· 2025-04-28 15:30
丨证券研究报告丨 行业研究丨专题报告丨机械 [Table_Title] 机械行业 2025Q1 持仓分析 报告要点 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 [Table_Summary] 1)2025Q1 机械行业持仓占比达 5.32%,环比提升,建筑及工程机械板块资金配置明显提升。 2)机械设备行业持仓公司数量环比上升,资金配置集中度降低。 3)2025Q1 机械行业持仓 TOP10 公司变动较大。从基金加仓情况来看,反应基金对工程机械、 AIDC、机器人等板块偏好较高。 赵智勇 倪蕤 刘晓舟 SAC:S0490517110001 SAC:S0490520030003 SAC:S0490524030001 SFC:BRP550 [Table_Title2] 机械行业 2025Q1 持仓分析 [Table_Summary2] 机械设备配置占比环比提升,资金偏好增强 以长江行业分类计算,基金 2025Q1 整体配置偏向电子(19.21%)、医疗保健(10.47%)、电 力及新能源设备(9.34%)、食品饮料(8 ...
图南股份(300855):需求短期波动但盈利稳定,新项目转固迎来新成长期
长江证券· 2025-04-28 15:30
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [7]. Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 1.258 billion in 2024, a decrease of 9.16% year-on-year, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 267 million, down 19.17% year-on-year [2][4]. - The revenue for Q4 2024 was 178 million, reflecting a significant decline of 44.2% year-on-year and 48.87% quarter-on-quarter, with a net profit of 9 million, down 87.22% year-on-year [2][4]. - In Q1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 286 million, a decrease of 18.33% year-on-year but a substantial increase of 60.5% quarter-on-quarter [2][4]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - The company’s total revenue for 2024 was 12.58 billion, with a net profit of 2.67 billion, and a non-recurring net profit also at 2.67 billion, indicating a decrease in profitability [2][4]. - The revenue breakdown shows that high-temperature alloy casting generated 420 million (down 33.3%), while deformation high-temperature alloys brought in 520 million (up 18.4%) [4]. - The overall gross margin for 2024 was 33.93%, a slight decrease of 0.4 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin was 21.23%, down 2.63 percentage points year-on-year [4]. Investment Projects - The company’s fixed assets increased to 770 million by the end of 2024, with ongoing projects expected to enhance production capacity [4]. - The completion of the automated processing line for aviation components is expected to significantly contribute to the company’s production capabilities [4]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The projected net profit for 2025-2027 is estimated at 363 million, 469 million, and 668 million respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 36%, 29%, and 42% [4]. - The corresponding price-to-earnings ratios are projected to be 24, 18, and 13 times for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [4].
伊之密(300415):注塑机出口加速,回购彰显公司发展信心
长江证券· 2025-04-28 15:29
丨证券研究报告丨 公司研究丨点评报告丨伊之密(300415.SZ) [Table_Title] 伊之密:注塑机出口加速,回购彰显公司发展信 心 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 24Q4 营收 13.90 亿元,同比+20.21%;归母净利润 1.27 亿元,同比+13.49%;扣非归母净利 润 1.24 亿元,同比+10.93%。25Q1 营收 11.87 亿元,同比+24.32%;归母净利润 1.32 亿元, 同比+14.29%;扣非归母净利润 1.26 亿元,同比+13.57%。公司业绩增长一方面受益于下游需 求回暖及新兴市场需求释放、中国制造业产能逐步转移等因素,另一方面也受益于公司自身α 增强,新产品持续迭代助推公司市占率提升。在注塑机出海趋势下,持续看好公司全球化渠道 布局和前瞻性产能布局,公司市占率有望持续提升。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 赵智勇 曹小敏 SAC:S0490517110001 SAC:S0490521050001 SFC:BRP550 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% %% %% 伊之密(300415.SZ) cjzqdt11111 [Tabl ...
同花顺(300033):业绩延续改善趋势,AI赋能增强产品力
长江证券· 2025-04-28 15:27
丨证券研究报告丨 联合研究丨公司点评丨同花顺(300033.SZ) [Table_Title] 同花顺 2025 一季报点评:业绩延续改善趋势, AI 赋能增强产品力 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 2025 年一季度,同花顺业绩延续改善趋势,收入端受益于权益市场热度提升,广告及互联网推 广服务业务销售收款快速增长。成本端销售费用率显著提升,弱化盈利能力。同花顺作为头部 互联网金融平台,平台流量优势稳固。短期内看好公司的业绩弹性,中长期来看,公司前瞻性 布局人工智能赛道,AI 大模型及智能投顾应用顺利落地,有望助同花顺打开新的成长空间。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 吴一凡 宗建树 戴永飞 SAC:S0490519080007 SAC:S0490520030004 SAC:S0490524070001 SFC:BUV596 SFC:BUX668 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 同花顺(300033.SZ) cjzqdt11111 [Table_Title 同花顺 20252]一季报点评:业绩延续改善趋势, AI 赋能增强 ...
沃尔核材(002130):AI驱动创新领航,高速通信线成业绩新引擎
长江证券· 2025-04-28 14:32
丨证券研究报告丨 联合研究丨公司点评丨沃尔核材(002130.SZ) [Table_Title] AI 驱动创新领航,高速通信线成业绩新引擎 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 公司在传统热缩材料及电力领域优势稳固,液冷充电枪为代表的新能源产品加速放量,打开公 司增长空间。子公司乐庭智联为高速数通铜缆全球龙头供应商,"技术领先+规模化智造"双轮 驱动,不断巩固竞争优势。乐庭智联有望充分受益于 AI 数通需求而迎来规模的快速爆发。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 于海宁 杨洋 刘泽龙 SAC:S0490517110002 SAC:S0490517070012 SAC:S0490525040002 SFC:BUX641 SFC:BUW100 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% [Table_Title2] AI 驱动创新领航,高速通信线成业绩新引擎 [Table_Summary2] 事件描述 沃尔核材发布 2024 年年报和 2025 年一季报。2024 年,公司实现营业收入 69.27 亿元,同比 增长 21.03%;实现归母净利润 8.48 亿元,同比增长 21.00%。2025 年 ...
三人行(605168):部分汽车客户减少预算拖累业绩,培育多元增长极
长江证券· 2025-04-28 14:13
[Table_Summary] 公司公布 2025 一季报:2025 年第一季度,公司实现营业收入 8.17 亿元,同比下滑 12.76%; 实现归属于母公司净利润 0.73 亿元,同比增长 50.97%;实现扣非归母净利润 0.18 亿元,同 比下滑 62.33%。部分汽车客户减少预算,个别大项目投放进度较晚拖累收入,投资收益助推 利润增长,同时大幅改善现金流水平。公司布局体彩新业务,积极投资新赛道,打造全新增长 曲线,同时升级多模态 AI 产品,提升智慧营销能力。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 高超 SAC:S0490516080001 SFC:BUX177 丨证券研究报告丨 公司研究丨点评报告丨三人行(605168.SH) [Table_Title] 部分汽车客户减少预算拖累业绩,培育多元增长 极 报告要点 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 三人行(605168.SH) cjzqdt11111 [Table_Title 部分汽车客户减少 2] 预算拖累业绩,培育多元增 长极 [Table_Summary2] 事件描述 公司公布 ...