1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant information provided 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The fiscal situation in 2025 presents challenges that will continue into 2026. Greater fiscal expansion is needed to ensure the effectiveness of the fiscal policy. If government bond supply does not significantly exceed expectations, fiscal revenue and expenditure in 2026 are expected to remain under pressure [1][5][25] 3. Summary by Related Catalog Fiscal Revenue in 2025 - Fiscal revenue growth was -1.7% in 2025, still lower than the budgeted 0.1%, indicating continued pressure on fiscal revenue. Non-tax revenue growth slowed down, with a year-on-year decline of 11.3%, while tax revenue growth increased by 0.8% year-on-year. Some taxes, such as personal income tax (up 11.5% year-on-year) and stamp duty (up 24.6% year-on-year), showed significant growth, but whether this high growth can continue in 2026 remains to be seen. Some tax growth may improve in 2026. Export tax rebates and value-added and consumption taxes on imported goods dragged down the tax growth rate in 2025 by -1.2% and -0.5% respectively, but these are expected to improve in 2026. Government fund revenue continued to face pressure, with an actual growth rate of -7.0% in 2025 [2] - The overall revenue of the first and second accounts fell short of expectations in 2025. The budgeted growth rate of fiscal revenue was 0.1%, while the actual growth rate was -1.7%. The budgeted growth rate of government fund revenue was 0.7%, and the actual growth rate was -7.0% [8] Fiscal Expenditure in 2025 - The fiscal expenditure rhythm was slow, and the growth rate was lower than the budget. The actual growth rate of fiscal expenditure was 1.0%, compared with the budgeted 4.4%. The actual growth rate of government fund expenditure was 11.3%, compared with the budgeted 23.1% [3] - The pressure of rigid expenditure increased, and the growth rate of infrastructure expenditure slowed down significantly. The overall fiscal expenditure increased by 1.0% year-on-year, while social, scientific, cultural, and educational expenditures increased by 4.5% year-on-year, and debt interest payments increased by 4.8% year-on-year, both significantly higher than the overall fiscal expenditure growth rate. Infrastructure expenditure decreased by 6.6% year-on-year [3] - The actual deficit increased moderately, and the scale of carry - over and surplus funds changed little compared with the previous year. The actual fiscal deficit in 2025 was 7.14 trillion yuan, accounting for 5.1% of GDP, with the actual deficit rate increasing by 0.3 percentage points compared with the previous year, significantly lower than the increase in the budgeted deficit rate from 3% to 4%. The estimated balance of the first account was about 580.5 billion yuan, with a small increase compared with previous years. The balance of the second account was about 683.0 billion yuan, a slight decrease from 962.0 billion yuan in the same period last year [4] Outlook for 2026 - Fiscal challenges remain in 2026, and greater fiscal expansion is needed to ensure the effectiveness of the overall fiscal policy. If the budgeted deficit rate in 2026 is 4%, with about 2 trillion yuan in special treasury bonds and 4.5 trillion yuan in special bonds, and assuming an additional 50 billion yuan in special treasury bonds for capital replenishment, the expected increase in government bonds this year is 1 trillion yuan, a decrease from 2.9 trillion yuan in 2025, which will limit the scope of fiscal policy implementation in 2026 [5]

Investment Rating - The report gives a "Buy" rating for the company, marking its first coverage [3]. Core Insights - The company is a leader in automotive intelligent driving perception and is expanding into the robotics sector, establishing a new growth curve [1][3]. - The demand for intelligent driving products is increasing due to the rapid penetration of advanced driver-assistance systems (ADAS) and supportive government policies [2][34]. - The company has a solid order backlog of approximately 20.9 billion yuan, indicating strong demand certainty [2]. Summary by Sections 1. Company Overview - The company has been focused on automotive intelligent driving perception systems since its establishment in 2010, achieving significant milestones such as large-scale production of automotive-grade ADAS millimeter-wave radar [15][16]. - In 2025, the company announced a partnership with NVIDIA to enter the robotics field, developing a control system for robots [15][17]. 2. Market Dynamics - The penetration rate of intelligent driving systems is rapidly increasing, with L2 and above ADAS installations reaching 10.98 million units in 2024, representing a penetration rate of 47.9% [35]. - The company benefits from the rising demand for sensors and domain controllers as the market for intelligent driving expands [2][34]. 3. Financial Performance - The company's revenue is projected to grow from 1.202 billion yuan in 2023 to 2.786 billion yuan in 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 18% [5][25]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to fluctuate, with estimates of 0.99 billion yuan in 2025 and 1.76 billion yuan in 2027 [3][5]. 4. Product Development - The company is actively developing new products, including 4D millimeter-wave radar and various sensors to meet the safety redundancy requirements for L3 autonomous driving [17]. - The integration of perception and decision-making systems is a key focus, with the company aiming to enhance its competitive edge in both automotive and robotics sectors [3][17].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [3][6] Core Insights - The company is expected to achieve a revenue of 6-7 billion yuan in 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 410.87% to 496.02%, and a net profit of 1.85-2.15 billion yuan, marking a turnaround from losses [1] - The demand for AI computing power continues to rise, and the maturity of the cloud product line is driving large-scale commercialization across various sectors, including telecommunications, finance, and the internet [1][3] - The company's quarterly revenue is projected to increase, with Q4 2025 revenue estimated between 1.393 billion and 2.393 billion yuan, showing a sequential growth from Q3 2025 [1] Financial Projections - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 6.368 billion, 13.091 billion, and 20.953 billion yuan, respectively, with net profits expected to be 2.062 billion, 4.363 billion, and 7.018 billion yuan [3][5] - The company is expected to achieve an EPS of 4.89 yuan in 2025, increasing to 10.35 yuan in 2026 and 16.64 yuan in 2027 [5][10] - The net asset return rate is projected to improve significantly, reaching 18.0% in 2025 and 30.7% in 2027 [5][10] Market Position and Competitive Advantage - The company is positioned in the semiconductor industry, with leading technology in computing chips and accelerated customer adoption, enhancing business resilience and performance [3][6] - The launch of the Cambricon NeuWare software platform supports rapid migration and optimization of AI models, establishing a comprehensive system from self-developed chip architecture to high-performance software [2]

1. Report Title and Date - The report is titled "Convertible Bond Industry Chain Big Map - February 2026" and was issued on February 3, 2026 [1] 2. Analysts and Contact Information - Analysts are Yang Yewei and Wang Sufang, with their respective license numbers S0680520050001 and S0680524060002, and email addresses yangyewei@gszq.com and wangsufang@gszq.com [2][3] 3. Hot Topics and Related Convertible Bonds 3.1 "Brain - Machine Interface" - Convertible bonds related to this topic include Lepu Convertible Bond 2, Yiwei Convertible Bond, Kelan Convertible Bond, Jiahe Convertible Bond, and Seli Convertible Bond, with details such as their prices, premiums, balances, and associations with the brain - machine interface provided [5] 3.2 "Commercial Spaceflight" (Part 1) - Convertible bonds include Qifan Convertible Bond, Lion Convertible Bond, Ruike Convertible Bond, etc., with information about their industries, prices, and associations with the commercial spaceflight field [7] 3.3 "Commercial Spaceflight" (Part 2) - Convertible bonds like Tian23 Convertible Bond, Guoli Convertible Bond, and Mengsheng Convertible Bond are related, and their details are presented [10] 4. Industry Chains and Related Convertible Bonds 4.1 Power, Electrical Equipment Industry Chain - It includes segments such as power generation, power equipment, and energy storage, with a list of related convertible bonds like Jieneng Convertible Bond, Jinke Convertible Bond, etc. The top 10 convertible bonds by trading volume in January are also provided, including details like trading volume, price, and premiums [13][15] 4.2 Mining, Non - ferrous Metals, and Chemical Industry Chain - Covers various segments such as basic chemicals, chemical fibers, and coal. Related convertible bonds are listed, and the top 10 convertible bonds by January trading volume are presented, including their trading volumes, prices, and other indicators [17][19] 4.3 Machinery, Transportation, and Automobile Industry Chain - Comprises machinery, automobile parts, and logistics segments. Related convertible bonds are listed, and the top 10 convertible bonds by January trading volume are shown, including trading volumes, prices, and premiums [22][24] 4.4 Electronics Industry Chain - Includes semiconductor materials, electronic chemicals, etc. Related convertible bonds are listed, and the top 10 convertible bonds by January trading volume are provided, with details like trading volume, price, and premiums [27][32] 4.5 Military and TMT Industry Chain - Involves communication equipment, military, computer, and media segments. Related convertible bonds are listed, and information about some convertible bonds' trading volume, price, and other aspects in January is presented [35][38] 4.6 Real Estate Industry Chain - Covers building materials, construction engineering, and household appliances segments. Related convertible bonds are listed, and the top 10 convertible bonds by January trading volume are shown, including trading volumes, prices, and premiums [41][46] 4.7 Financial Industry Chain - Divided into non - banking finance and banking segments. All related convertible bonds are listed, and information about their trading volume, price, and other indicators in January is provided [49][52] 4.8 Light Industry and Downstream Consumption Industry Chain - Encompasses papermaking, agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery, and other segments. Related convertible bonds are listed, and the top 10 convertible bonds by January trading volume are presented, including trading volumes, prices, and premiums [55][57] 4.9 Pharmaceutical and Biological Industry Chain - Includes pharmaceutical product production, medical devices, and pharmaceutical circulation. Related convertible bonds are listed, and the top 10 convertible bonds by January trading volume are provided, with details like trading volume, price, and premiums [60][64] 4.10 Environmental Protection Industry Chain - Covers environmental monitoring, comprehensive treatment, and waste treatment. Related convertible bonds are listed, and the top 10 convertible bonds by January trading volume are shown, including trading volumes, prices, and premiums [67][69]

Group 1: Macro Policy Insights - The report emphasizes that recent policies are focused on stimulating domestic demand to achieve a strong start in 2026, highlighting six key areas of focus [4] - It notes that the early issuance of "two new" policies, a comprehensive fiscal and financial package, and continued support for the real estate sector indicate proactive policy measures aimed at economic growth [4] - Key short-term focuses include monitoring local GDP and CPI targets, the pace of fiscal stimulus, and the performance of real estate, exports, and infrastructure in the first quarter [4] Group 2: Industry Performance - The report identifies the top-performing industries in January, with oil and petrochemicals leading at 11.3%, followed by media at 10.8%, and non-ferrous metals at 10.4% [2] - Conversely, the worst-performing sectors include banking at -6.2%, non-bank financials at -5.0%, and agriculture at -3.7% [2] Group 3: Investment Recommendations - The report recommends several stocks for February, including China Aluminum, which is noted for its strong position in the electrolytic aluminum market, and Gree, which is expected to benefit from global household storage growth [6] - Other recommended stocks include Tonghuashun, Haiguang Information, and China Duty Free, each with specific growth drivers outlined [6] Group 4: Sector-Specific Insights - In the environmental sector, the report highlights new policies that promote industrial waste recycling and carbon emission evaluations, benefiting companies like Huicheng Environmental [14] - The agricultural sector is advised to monitor the impact of rising crude oil prices on production costs and demand, particularly for vegetable oils and rubber [16] - In the telecommunications sector, companies like Zhongji Xuchuang and Xinyi Sheng are projected to see significant profit growth due to increased demand for high-speed products and ongoing investments in infrastructure [19][22]

Policy Focus - The recent policies emphasize expanding domestic demand, with a focus on six key areas including support for service consumption and cultural tourism[1] - The Chinese government aims to enhance the elderly care service sector through various measures, including tax incentives and subsidies for service consumption[1][6] Economic Targets - The weighted average GDP target for 22 regions is set at 5%, down from 5.3% in the previous year, reflecting a 0.3 percentage point decrease[8] - Among the major provinces, the highest GDP target is set at over 7% for Tibet, while the lowest is 4.5% for Tianjin[8] Investment and Financing - A new 500 billion yuan special guarantee plan for private investment has been established to guide banks in providing an additional 500 billion yuan in loans to small and micro enterprises[7] - The China Securities Regulatory Commission has modified regulations to expand the types of strategic investors, requiring a minimum shareholding of 5%[5][24] Cultural and Tourism Initiatives - The Ministry of Culture and Tourism has launched a nationwide cultural and tourism consumption month, planning approximately 30,000 events and distributing over 360 million yuan in consumption vouchers[5][25] Industry Development - The government is focusing on the development of zero-carbon factories, aiming to cultivate a number of such facilities in key industries by 2027[9][35] - Policies are being implemented to optimize public housing fund management and stimulate housing demand through various local initiatives[9][34]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Increase" rating for the non-bank financial sector [5] Core Insights - The China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) is expanding the types of strategic investors to enhance long-term capital engagement with listed companies, including pension funds, insurance funds, and public funds [1][2] - The report highlights a stable regulatory environment for the insurance sector, with long-term benefits expected from trends in deposit migration and increasing demand for healthcare and retirement security [3] - The securities sector is experiencing heightened market risk appetite and active trading, benefiting both IT companies and brokerages [3] Summary by Sections Industry Dynamics - Non-bank financial, securities II, insurance II, and fintech indices experienced fluctuations of +1.04%, -0.69%, +5.50%, and -5.78% respectively, while the Shanghai Composite Index decreased by -0.44% [10] - China Life Insurance led the insurance sector with an increase of +8.73% [10] Insurance - Ping An Life increased its stake in China Life H shares by purchasing 11.891 million shares at an average price of 32.0553 HKD, raising its holding to 9.14% [14] - The registered capital of China Life Property Insurance has increased from 18.8 billion RMB to 27.8 billion RMB, a growth of approximately 48% [14] - As of December, the original premium income for property insurance reached 1,470.3 billion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 2.60%, while life insurance premiums reached 4,649.1 billion RMB, up 9.05% [15] Securities - The A-share market was active in 2025, with daily average trading volume of 2.08 trillion RMB, a year-on-year increase of 70.36% [24] - The number of IPO approvals surged by 109.43% year-on-year, with fundraising amounts increasing by 208.01% [24] - Listed brokerages that have released earnings forecasts expect a net profit growth of 59%-66% year-on-year [24] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests a positive outlook for the insurance sector, despite short-term pressures on capital and sentiment, due to long-term trends in liabilities and stable interest rates [3][37] - In the securities sector, the report recommends focusing on companies like China Ping An A/H, China Life H, Guotai Junan, and Huatai Securities [3][37]

- The report mentions the construction of the A-share prosperity index, which is based on the Nowcasting target of the year-on-year net profit attributable to the parent company of the Shanghai Composite Index. The index reflects the high-frequency prosperity trend of the A-share market[29][30] - The A-share sentiment index is constructed by dividing the market into four quadrants based on the direction of changes in volatility and trading volume. Among these, the quadrant with "volatility up - trading volume down" shows significant negative returns, while the others show significant positive returns. This index includes bottom-warning and top-warning signals[34][37][39] - The report evaluates the performance of style factors using the BARRA factor model, which includes ten categories: size (SIZE), beta (BETA), momentum (MOM), residual volatility (RESVOL), non-linear size (NLSIZE), valuation (BTOP), liquidity (LIQUIDITY), earnings yield (EARNINGS_YIELD), growth (GROWTH), and leverage (LVRG). Recent analysis shows that momentum factors have high excess returns, while beta factors exhibit significant negative excess returns[56][57][58]

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1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided on the industry investment rating in the report. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The policy of the new Fed Chair is uncertain, and it's crucial to focus on subsequent policy statements and implementation [1][9] - The change in Fed policy currently has limited direct impact on the domestic bond market, while recent capital market volatility may help the bond market stabilize and recover [2][10] - The bond market will gradually recover. The actions of allocation - type institutions determine the direction of the bond market's recovery, and trading - type institutions affect the speed of recovery. The dumbbell strategy may be more advantageous [5][19] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Bond Market Performance This Week - The bond market was generally volatile this week, with limited changes in interest rates across different tenors. The 10 - year and 30 - year Treasury bond yields decreased by 1.9bps and increased by 0.2bps to 1.81% and 2.29% respectively. The yields of 3 - year and 5 - year secondary capital bonds increased by 3.0bps and decreased by 1.6bps respectively. The 1 - year AAA certificate of deposit rate remained at 1.60% [1][8] 3.2 Impact of Fed Chair Nomination on the Market - US President Trump nominated Kevin Warsh as the new Fed Chair, causing concerns about the uncertainty of Fed policy paths. This led to significant declines in the precious metals and stock markets [1][8] - The new Fed Chair's policy may be the result of multiple goals and factors, and it's not entirely based on pre - appointment stances [1][9] 3.3 Impact of Fed Policy on the Domestic Bond Market - Whether the Fed's monetary policy is hawkish or dovish, it has relatively limited direct short - term impact on the domestic bond market. There is no significant correlation between the long - term bond yield spread between China and foreign countries and capital flows in recent years, and the appreciation of the exchange rate does not constrain the domestic monetary policy [2][10] 3.4 Influence of Capital Market Volatility on the Bond Market - The recent capital market volatility may reduce risk appetite in the short term, which will slow down the bond - selling of non - bank institutions and help the bond market stabilize and recover [2][12] 3.5 Role of Allocation - Type Institutions in the Bond Market - Allocation - type institutions such as banks and insurance companies may continue to increase their bond market allocations, which is the main force for the market to stabilize. Their actions determine the direction of the bond market's recovery, while trading - type institutions affect the speed of recovery [3][5] 3.6 Bank Bond - Allocation Ability and Willingness - Currently, the fundamentals are weak, and the financing demand is insufficient. After the index adjustment, banks have sufficient bond - allocation ability and do not need to overly worry about supply risks [3][14] - The decline in bank liability costs increases their bond - allocation willingness, as bonds are more valuable for allocation. The 30 - year Treasury bond yield has also risen above the expected interest rate of ordinary life insurance, making ultra - long bonds more valuable for insurance companies [4][16]