- Model Name: Style Rotation Model; Model Construction Idea: The model is built from basic style factors such as valuation, market capitalization, volatility, and momentum, gradually constructing a style timing and scoring system[1][6] - Model Construction Process: 1. Construct 640 micro features based on 80 underlying micro indicators[1][6] 2. Use common indices as style stock pools instead of absolute proportion division of style factors to construct new style returns as labels[1][6] 3. Use a rolling training random forest model to avoid overfitting risks, select features, and obtain style recommendations[1][6] 4. Construct a style rotation framework from style timing to style scoring and from style scoring to actual investment[1][6] - Model Evaluation: The model effectively avoids overfitting risks and provides a comprehensive framework for style rotation from timing to scoring and actual investment[1][6] Model Backtest Results - Style Rotation Model, Annualized Return: 21.63%, Annualized Volatility: 24.09%, IR: 0.90, Monthly Win Rate: 59.12%, Maximum Drawdown: 28.33%[7][8] - Market Benchmark, Annualized Return: 7.21%, Annualized Volatility: 21.56%, IR: 0.33, Monthly Win Rate: 56.20%, Maximum Drawdown: 43.34%[8] - Excess Return, Annualized Return: 13.35%, Annualized Volatility: 11.43%, IR: 1.17, Monthly Win Rate: 66.42%, Maximum Drawdown: 10.28%[7][8] Monthly Performance - June 2025, Style Rotation Model Return: 1.28%, Excess Return: -2.51%[13] - July 2025, Latest Style Timing Directions: Low Valuation, Small Market Cap, Reversal, Low Volatility[13] - July 2025, Latest Holding Index: CSI Dividend Index[13]

Investment Rating - The report gives a "Buy" rating for the company, marking its first coverage [8][66]. Core Viewpoints - The company is a leader in industrial software and AI, focusing on digital transformation for industrial enterprises through its proprietary software and AI agent products [8][13]. - The company has seen rapid growth in its self-developed products, with revenue from its proprietary software increasing from 205 million yuan in 2022 to 458 million yuan in 2024, achieving a doubling in revenue [8][53]. - The company has successfully signed two major contracts worth over 100 million yuan each in 2024, marking significant breakthroughs in its AI business [8][62]. Summary by Sections 1. Company Overview - Established in December 2006 and listed in October 2016, the company serves over 3,000 clients in high-end equipment manufacturing, automotive, high-tech electronics, and general machinery [8][13]. 2. Product and Service Growth - The company has developed a series of proprietary industrial software products, known as the "Le Series," which includes 12 industry packages and 156 industrial components, enhancing its coverage across various manufacturing processes [8][50]. - The AI product line, "Ling Series," has been integrated into various applications, including robotics training, automotive design optimization, and AI quality inspection for high-end equipment [8][58]. 3. Financial Performance - The company forecasts revenue growth from 1.51 billion yuan in 2024 to 2.57 billion yuan in 2027, with corresponding growth rates of 21%, 20%, and 17% [8][65]. - The projected net profit for the company is expected to rise from 191.73 million yuan in 2024 to 393.72 million yuan in 2027, with growth rates of 32%, 25%, and 24% respectively [8][66]. 4. Market Trends - The industrial software market in China is projected to grow significantly, with the market size expected to reach 531.2 billion yuan by 2027, driven by strong demand for digitalization and smart manufacturing [8][45]. - The global industrial AI software market is also expected to expand rapidly, with a projected compound annual growth rate of 35.97% from 2025 to 2030 [8][57].

Macro Strategy - The macroeconomic indicators show a structural differentiation in domestic demand while external demand remains stable overall, with a focus on improving the efficiency of fund utilization in monetary policy [1][10] - The ECI supply index is at 50.12%, down 0.03 percentage points from last week, while the demand index is at 49.94%, up 0.01 percentage points [10] - The overall economic outlook is cautiously optimistic, with the central bank's tone shifting from "timely adjustments" to "flexibly grasping the implementation of policies" [10] Fixed Income - The report emphasizes a preference for medium to low-priced, high-rated convertible bonds with a remaining maturity of 1-3 years, which can contribute stable cash flow and have a strong willingness to convert [2][13] - The issuance of green bonds totaled approximately 31.44 billion yuan this week, a decrease of 11.72 billion yuan from the previous week, with a total transaction volume of 73.5 billion yuan [3][15] - The issuance of secondary capital bonds amounted to 9.1 billion yuan this week, with a total transaction volume of approximately 199 billion yuan, down 55.5 billion yuan from the previous week [4][16] Industry Recommendations - Maiwei Biotech (688062) is entering a new stage with significant potential in its differentiated ADC+TCE dual platform, with revenue forecasts for 2025 adjusted from 750 million yuan to 1.108 billion yuan [6][20] - Dashishi Co. (01405.HK) is expanding against the trend, benefiting from continued store openings and expected recovery in average transaction amounts [7] - Luzhou Laojiao (000568) is rationally addressing transformation pains while actively seizing opportunities, with profit forecasts adjusted to 12.4 billion, 12.9 billion, and 14.1 billion yuan for 2025-2027 [8][9]

Investment Rating - The report recommends a focus on solid-state battery equipment suppliers, particularly leading companies such as XianDao Intelligent, laser welding equipment manufacturers like LianYing Laser, and formation and capacity equipment suppliers like HangKe Technology [2]. Core Viewpoints - Solid-state batteries possess high energy density and safety, with broad future application scenarios. The transition from liquid to solid-state batteries is expected to enhance energy density significantly, with solid-state batteries projected to achieve energy densities exceeding 500 Wh/kg by 2030 [2][11]. - The dry process for all-solid-state batteries opens new demand for equipment, with significant changes in the production process across all stages, including the elimination of solvents and the introduction of new assembly techniques [2][10]. - Domestic key equipment companies are making strides in solid-state battery production, with several firms already achieving pilot production lines and partnerships for research and development [2][12]. Summary by Sections 1. High Energy Density and Safety of Solid-State Batteries - Solid-state batteries utilize solid electrolytes, offering advantages in energy density and safety compared to traditional liquid batteries. They can achieve energy densities of 300-500 Wh/kg, significantly higher than liquid batteries [11][12]. - The solid-state design eliminates risks associated with liquid electrolyte leakage and enhances thermal stability, making them suitable for various applications, including consumer electronics and electric vehicles [11][12]. 2. Dry Process as the Mainline for All-Solid-State Batteries - The dry process introduces new production techniques that enhance efficiency and reduce costs. Key changes include the elimination of solvent use and the introduction of new assembly methods that improve the overall production process [2][10]. 3. Key Domestic Equipment Companies - Notable companies in the solid-state battery equipment sector include: - XianDao Intelligent: First to achieve full-line equipment for solid-state batteries. - LianYing Laser: Leading in laser welding equipment, expected to benefit from increased demand in solid-state battery assembly [2][12]. 4. Investment Recommendations - The report emphasizes investment in solid-state battery equipment suppliers, particularly those involved in full-line production and advanced technologies, as they are positioned to benefit from the industry's growth [2][12]. 5. Policy Support for Solid-State Battery Development - The Chinese government is actively promoting the development of solid-state batteries through various initiatives, aiming for significant advancements in production capabilities by 2027 [2][39][45].

Macro Liquidity and Fund Prices - The central bank's open market operations have increased, with a cumulative net injection of 1.37 trillion yuan, indicating strong support intentions[10] - The interbank liquidity has shown increased volatility as the quarter-end approaches, with money market rates rising[14] - Under the central bank's support, short-term bond yields have continued to decline, with 1-year and 10-year government bond yields down by 14 basis points and 7 basis points respectively[14] Micro Liquidity and A-share Market - A-shares have seen a significant increase in trading volume, with the average daily trading amount rising to 1.49 trillion yuan, an increase of 271.6 billion yuan from the previous period[18] - Retail investors' sentiment remains weak despite the recent "three consecutive days of gains," with retail net inflow decreasing by 402 billion yuan to 633 billion yuan[25] - Leverage funds have seen a substantial net inflow of 261 billion yuan, indicating a significant increase in market risk appetite[30] Fund Flows and Investment Trends - The net inflow of A-share funds was 938 billion yuan, primarily due to large-scale private placements in bank stocks, which had a limited impact on overall market liquidity[22] - The issuance of new equity funds was strong at 159 billion yuan, although this was a decrease of 97.7 billion yuan from the previous period[39] - ETF funds turned to a net outflow of 196 billion yuan, with the A500 ETF seeing a significant net subscription of 112.8 billion yuan[45] Risk Factors - Economic recovery may fall short of expectations, increasing market uncertainty[67] - Potential overseas recession could impact domestic exports and related supply chains[67] - Geopolitical events may pose unexpected risks to market stability[67]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the real estate industry [1] Core Views - The report indicates that the current policy environment recognizes the necessity of a stable and healthy real estate market for economic transformation, suggesting a potential turning point in the current cycle [9] - The new housing market shows a significant increase in transaction volume, while the second-hand housing market is experiencing a slight decline [4][20] - The report emphasizes the importance of developing a new model for real estate growth, tailored to local conditions, to better promote high-quality economic development [4] Summary by Sections 1. Sector View - The report recommends strong local state-owned enterprises and quality private enterprises in real estate development, such as China Resources Land, Poly Developments, and Binjiang Group, while suggesting to pay attention to Greentown China [9] - In property management, companies with strong market expansion capabilities and service diversification are highlighted as having long-term investment value, recommending China Resources Vientiane Life, Greentown Service, Poly Property, and Yuexiu Service [9] - For real estate brokerage, the report notes that the second-hand housing market has been recovering since August 2022, with a recommendation for leading companies like Beike and a suggestion to pay attention to Wo Ai Wo Jia [10] 2. Real Estate Fundamentals and High-Frequency Data - New housing sales in 36 cities increased by 39.5% week-on-week but decreased by 31.0% year-on-year, with a total of 5043.6 million square meters sold year-to-date, down 4.0% year-on-year [14] - The second-hand housing market saw a slight decline in transaction volume, with a total of 4020.3 million square meters sold year-to-date, up 18.1% year-on-year [20] - The inventory of new homes in 13 cities stands at 7849.6 million square meters, with a de-stocking period of 20.2 months [30] 3. Land Market Situation - The report notes that from June 23 to June 29, 2025, the land transaction area in 100 cities was 1783.7 million square meters, down 23.0% month-on-month and down 55.6% year-on-year [50] - The average land price was 1586 RMB per square meter, reflecting a decrease of 23.8% month-on-month and 19.0% year-on-year [50] - Cumulative land transaction area for 2025 is 52061.3 million square meters, down 7.4% year-on-year [50] 4. Financing Situation - In the domestic credit bond market, real estate companies issued a total of 64.8 billion RMB in bonds last week, a decrease of 37.4% week-on-week [53] - The net financing amount for the week was -49.4 billion RMB, indicating a challenging financing environment [53] - Year-to-date, real estate companies have issued a total of 2299.7 billion RMB in credit bonds, up 7.1% year-on-year [53] 5. Market Review - The real estate sector saw a weekly increase of 3.3%, outperforming the CSI 300 and Wind All A indices, which increased by 2.0% and 3.6%, respectively [58]

Market Overview - The US stock market is in a rebound trend, reaching new historical highs, with the Nasdaq leading with a 4.2% increase, followed by the Dow Jones and S&P 500 with 3.8% and 3.4% gains respectively[2] - Developed markets saw a 3.3% increase this week, while emerging markets also rose by 3.3%[8] Hong Kong Market Insights - The Hong Kong stock market remains in a volatile trend, requiring new catalysts to break previous highs[2] - The Hang Seng Index increased by 0.4%, while the Hang Seng Tech Index decreased by 0.9% this week[8] Economic Indicators and Predictions - The Federal Reserve's dovish stance has increased the probability of interest rate cuts, with expectations for three cuts by the end of the year[4] - The upcoming data verification period will shift focus towards economic fundamentals and corporate earnings[2] Investment Trends - Significant inflows into US stock ETFs were noted, with a net inflow of approximately $42.7 billion over the past two weeks, surpassing other markets[6] - The technology sector remains optimistic, driven by strong performance from companies like Micron Technology and Nvidia, which are benefiting from AI infrastructure demand[5] Sector Performance - The industrial, healthcare, and financial sectors saw the highest net inflows in global stock ETFs, while energy, technology, and materials sectors experienced notable outflows[10] - The Hang Seng Index's price-to-earnings ratio (P/E) is currently at a critical level, indicating potential valuation opportunities[22]

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a positive outlook for future stock performance [1]. Core Insights - The company has entered a new phase of business development (BD) with two significant licensing agreements, which are expected to enhance cash flow and support future growth [2]. - The differentiated ADC (Antibody-Drug Conjugate) and TCE (T-cell Engager) platforms show promising potential, with several innovative products in the pipeline targeting various cancers [3]. - The company is strategically commercializing its products, with notable revenue growth in existing therapies and new product approvals anticipated [4]. Financial Projections - Total revenue is projected to grow significantly from 127.84 million in 2023 to 2,091.52 million by 2027, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 69.11% [1]. - The net profit is expected to improve from a loss of 1,053.43 million in 2023 to a loss of 226.00 million by 2027, indicating a trend towards profitability [1]. - The earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to improve from -2.64 in 2023 to -0.57 in 2027, suggesting a gradual recovery in financial performance [1]. Business Development Highlights - The company has secured exclusive licensing agreements with Calico Life Sciences and Qilu Pharmaceutical, which will provide substantial upfront payments and milestone payments, enhancing liquidity [2]. - The ADC platform is actively developing multiple candidates, including Nectin4 ADC and B7-H3 ADC, with ongoing clinical trials expected to yield significant data in the near future [3]. - The TCE platform is also being developed with innovative strategies to enhance tumor targeting and efficacy, with IND applications anticipated in early 2026 [3]. Commercialization Strategy - The company has achieved significant revenue growth in its existing products, such as the osteoporosis treatment with a revenue increase of 230% year-on-year [4]. - Collaborations with established pharmaceutical companies are expected to leverage their sales capabilities, facilitating rapid market penetration for new products [4]. - The company is exploring unique marketing strategies to address aging-related medication needs in specific regions, potentially expanding its market reach [4].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1] Core Views - The company is experiencing rapid expansion and improving profitability despite challenges in the broader dining market [25] - The company has achieved a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 41% in revenue from 2020 to 2024, with a significant increase in store count and same-store sales [25][27] - The company is well-positioned in the growing Chinese pizza market, with a focus on both high-end urban consumers and lower-tier markets [56][62] Summary by Sections 1. Company Overview - The company is the exclusive franchisee of Domino's Pizza in mainland China, Hong Kong, and Macau, with a significant expansion strategy initiated in 2017 [14][18] - As of the end of 2024, the company operates 1,008 stores across 39 cities, with a strong focus on delivery and menu optimization [25][27] 2. Market Potential - The Chinese pizza market is growing rapidly, with a CAGR of 12% from 2010 to 2024, significantly outpacing global averages [41][42] - The company has a competitive advantage due to its efficient delivery system and a diverse product matrix that appeals to various consumer segments [56][62] 3. Expansion Strategy - The company plans to continue its aggressive store expansion, with net new store openings projected at 300 and 350 for 2025 and 2026, respectively [25] - The focus will be on penetrating lower-tier cities and enhancing the existing urban structure, with expectations of increased market share in these areas [25] 4. Financial Projections - The company forecasts net profits of 128.59 million, 196.21 million, and 256.47 million yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with significant year-on-year growth rates [1] - The report highlights that the company's valuation remains attractive, with a PEG ratio of 0.73x for 2025, indicating potential for future growth [1]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the utility sector [1]. Core Insights - The Xinjiang and Inner Mongolia 136 documents have been released, outlining subsidy mechanisms for existing and new projects, with specific electricity pricing structures [4][6]. - The National Development and Reform Commission anticipates a better power supply situation during the summer peak in 2025, with an expected increase in national peak electricity load by approximately 100 million kilowatts year-on-year [4][6]. Industry Data Tracking - **Electricity Price**: The average grid purchase price in May 2025 was 394 RMB/MWh, a year-on-year decrease of 3% and a month-on-month increase of 0.4% [40]. - **Coal Price**: As of June 27, 2025, the price of thermal coal at Qinhuangdao port was 620 RMB/ton, a year-on-year decrease of 26.89% but an increase of 11 RMB/ton week-on-week [44]. - **Water Conditions**: As of June 27, 2025, the water level at the Three Gorges Reservoir was 150 meters, with inflow and outflow rates showing year-on-year increases of 26% and 3%, respectively [56]. - **Electricity Consumption**: Total electricity consumption from January to May 2025 was 3.97 trillion kWh, a year-on-year increase of 3.4% [15]. - **Power Generation**: Cumulative power generation from January to May 2025 was 3.73 trillion kWh, with a year-on-year increase of 0.3% [23]. - **Installed Capacity**: New installed capacity from January to May 2025 included 17.55 million kW of thermal power (up 45% year-on-year) and 19.785 million kW of solar power (up 150% year-on-year) [49][61]. Investment Recommendations - **Thermal Power**: Focus on regional thermal power investment opportunities during the summer peak [4]. - **Hydropower**: Recommend investing in hydropower due to low costs and strong cash flow [4]. - **Nuclear Power**: Highlight growth potential with recent approvals for new units [4]. - **Green Energy**: Emphasize the recovery of asset quality and growth potential in green energy [4]. - **Grid Infrastructure**: Suggest monitoring trends in smart grid and digitalization [4].