Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [5] Core Views - The company's performance is impacted by electricity consumption and coal inventory, but there is optimism for a recovery in electricity demand and coal price elasticity in Q2 [5] - The company reported a revenue of 6.42 billion yuan in Q1 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 8.1%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 444 million yuan, down 1.98% year-on-year [6] - The electricity price in Anhui province is expected to decline, which may affect revenue, but the company benefits from lower coal prices and new power generation units coming online [6] Financial Summary - Revenue projections for the company are as follows: 27,867 million yuan in 2023, 30,094 million yuan in 2024, and 30,516 million yuan in 2025E, with a growth rate of 8.26%, 7.99%, and 1.40% respectively [5] - Net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to be 1,430 million yuan in 2023, 2,064 million yuan in 2024, and 2,205 million yuan in 2025E, with growth rates of 186.37%, 44.36%, and 6.85% respectively [5] - The company’s earnings per share (EPS) are expected to be 0.63 yuan in 2023, 0.91 yuan in 2024, and 0.97 yuan in 2025E [5] Market Performance - The closing price of the company's stock is 7.53 yuan, with a market capitalization of approximately 17,069.48 million yuan [3] - The company's asset-liability ratio stands at 64.43%, and the net asset value per share is 7.12 yuan [3]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the utility sector is "Positive" (maintained) [4] Core Viewpoints - The new regulations for public funds are expected to lead to an increased allocation towards the utility sector, which is anticipated to benefit from a shift in investment strategies focusing on the "risk-return ratio" [6][4] - The utility sector, particularly hydropower, is projected to be one of the biggest beneficiaries of the new policies, as they are characterized by low covariance with the market, leading to potential valuation increases [6][4] - Historical data shows that major hydropower companies have consistently ranked in the top percentiles for risk-return ratios, indicating strong performance relative to market volatility [6][7] Summary by Sections Sector Performance - The report highlights the underallocation of public funds in the utility and environmental sectors compared to their index weights, suggesting a significant opportunity for investment [6][7] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends prioritizing investments in resilient hydropower companies and undervalued thermal power companies that benefit from declining coal prices [6] - Specific stock recommendations include: 1. Hydropower: Guotou Power, Changjiang Power, Chuanwei Energy 2. Wind Power: Longyuan Power (H), Xintian Green Energy, Datang Renewable, CGN New Energy 3. Thermal Power: Waneng Power, Shanghai Electric, China Resources Power, Huadian International, Sheneng Co [6]

证券研究报告 海外 行业定期报告 hyzqdatemark 2025 年 05 月 12 日 郑嘉伟 SAC：S1350523120001 zhengjiawei@huayuanstock.com 于炳麟 SAC：S1350524060002 yubinglin@huayuanstock.com 郑冰倩 SAC：S1350525040002 zhengbingqian@huayuanstock.com 投资评级： 无 ——海外科技周报（25/5/5-25/5/9） 投资要点： 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的评级说明和重要声明 证券分析师 海外 AI：本周 Centrus Energy（LEU）公布 1Q25 财报，公司营收同比增长 67%至 7310 万美元，每股收益达 1.60 美元，显著超出市场预期，主要受益于俄供应延迟推后交付带来的集中确认，以及 SWU 单价与销量的双重 提升。毛利率从去年同期的 10%提升至 45%，现金储备上升至 6.86 亿美元，为未来产能扩张与 DOE 合作奠定 资金基础。我们认为，公司作为美国唯一具备 HALEU 生产许可和商业离心机部署能力的企业，其"技术+政策+ 安全合规"组合 ...

证券研究报告 公用事业 行业定期报告 hyzqdatemark 2025 年 05 月 12 日 投资要点： 证券分析师 A 股财报画像的推演：杠铃策略延续 电力：区域火电公司业绩兑现度高 136 号文利好存量绿电资产 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的评级说明和重要声明 从 2024 年年报来看，A 股市场强预期、弱现实背景并未改变，从 2021 年下半年开始（也正 是沪深 300 阶段性见顶回落的时间点），A 股市场预期与现实的落差即开始加剧，最近两年 愈发突出。回顾历年所在时点对当年归母净利润的 wind 一致预期全 A 样本加总数据，年初高 开与逐季下修形成鲜明反差，而最终业绩又低于已然下修后的预期。 2024 年 A 股实际归母净利润达到年初预期的 79%，较 2023 年的 77%略有好转，但是仍处于 历史低位。换言之，对于个股而言，只要最终业绩达到年初预期的八成就算超预期了。我们 认为这是近年来红利资产持续上涨的根本原因，业绩稳定性权重胜过业绩向上弹性。 从金融学理论看红利行情的本质：对宏观经济本身无谓多空，而是对波动性的重新定价，从而 享受了折现率收窄的利好，而折现率下降不完全来自于无风险利率下降。红利 ...

Group 1: Defense Spending and Market Context - China's defense spending for 2025 is projected to be 1,784.7 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 7.2%[2] - The defense budget has shown a consistent single-digit growth for ten consecutive years from 2016 to 2025[13] - The recent military conflict between India and Pakistan has heightened the focus on defense construction and military-related industries[2] Group 2: Aircraft Industry Insights - The C919 aircraft has over 1,400 orders, with an estimated order value exceeding 1 trillion yuan, scheduled for delivery between 2024 and 2031[42] - The value distribution in aircraft manufacturing shows that the airframe accounts for approximately 30%-35%, engines for 20%-25%, and onboard equipment for 25%-30%[29] - Global passenger turnover is expected to grow at an annual rate of 3.75%, with the global fleet projected to reach 48,931 aircraft by 2043, doubling from 24,077 in 2023[45] Group 3: Market Performance and Valuation - The median price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio for the new energy sector has increased by 7.72% to 37.6X[54] - The median P/E ratio for the electronic equipment sector rose from 55.1X to 56.0X, with the total market value increasing from 131.42 billion yuan to 139.8 billion yuan[57] - The median P/E ratio for the machinery sector increased from 55.8X to 58.7X, with total market value rising from 95.8 billion yuan to 102.28 billion yuan[63] Group 4: Notable Companies and Stock Performance - Among the top performers, Qifeng Precision saw a stock increase of 79.25%, followed by Huiwei Intelligent at 41.00% and Laisai Laser at 26.30%[49] - A total of 133 out of 146 companies in the North Exchange technology growth sector experienced stock price increases, with a median increase of 5.69%[49]

Group 1 - In 2025, China's defense expenditure is projected to be 1,784.7 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 7.2% [4][8][10] - The Indian military conducted strikes against multiple targets in Pakistan, escalating regional tensions [4][8] - The domestic aircraft industry, particularly the C919, has a backlog of orders exceeding 1 trillion yuan, with a significant portion of its structure designed and manufactured by Chinese companies [4][28][27] Group 2 - The median price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio for the North Exchange's technology growth stocks increased by 5.69% from May 6 to May 9, 2025, with 91% of companies experiencing price increases [4][35][37] - The median P/E ratio for the new energy sector rose by 7.72% to 37.6X, indicating a positive trend in valuations [41][62][64] - The median P/E ratio for the electronic equipment sector increased from 55.1X to 56.0X, with a total market capitalization rising from 1,314.2 billion yuan to 1,398.0 billion yuan [41][43][44] Group 3 - The mechanical equipment sector's median P/E ratio rose from 55.8X to 58.7X, with total market capitalization increasing from 958.0 billion yuan to 1,022.8 billion yuan [48][49][50] - The information technology sector's median P/E ratio increased from 81.7X to 86.4X, with total market capitalization rising from 861.8 billion yuan to 890.0 billion yuan [53][54][56] - The automotive sector's median P/E ratio increased from 31.0X to 32.9X, with total market capitalization rising from 539.5 billion yuan to 557.2 billion yuan [58][61] Group 4 - The North Exchange's aerospace and military industry chain includes 15 companies, highlighting the growth potential in this sector amid geopolitical tensions [4][32][33] - The C919 aircraft is positioned to compete with Boeing's 737 series and Airbus's A320 series, indicating a strategic move towards enhancing domestic capabilities in the aviation market [4][27][28]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [5] Core Views - Post-election user retention has improved against the trend, and the cryptocurrency ecosystem layout opens up commercial space [5] - The company reported Q1 2025 earnings that exceeded market expectations, with revenue of $23.70 million, a 34% year-on-year increase, primarily driven by increased monetization revenue [6] - The company has seen a significant reduction in net losses, with Q1 2025 net loss at $2.65 million compared to $43.29 million in Q1 2024 [6] - Monthly active users (MAU) reached 59 million in Q1 2025, an 18% year-on-year growth, with an average revenue per user (ARPU) of $0.34, up 10% year-on-year [6] - The company is developing a cryptocurrency wallet in collaboration with Tether, expected to launch in Q3 2025, and has established a cloud business partnership with the Salvadoran government [6] Financial Summary - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are $167.9 million, $381.9 million, and $1,068.1 million respectively, with net profits expected to be -$51.6 million, $5.2 million, and $144.0 million [6][7] - The company has maintained a strong user base, with MAU exceeding 40 million for 13 consecutive quarters and over 50 million for 7 consecutive quarters [6] - The company’s adjusted EBITDA loss in Q1 2025 was $22.71 million, a reduction of $3.77 million from the previous year [6]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" (maintained) [5] Core Views - The company's performance has been impacted by power shortages and asset impairments, but it is expected to see a significant increase in copper production in 2025 [5][7] - The company reported a revenue of 145.53 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 5.88%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 2.81 billion yuan, up 4.05% year-on-year [7] - The forecast for net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025-2027 is 2.90 billion, 3.39 billion, and 4.08 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding P/E ratios of 14X, 12X, and 10X [5][7] Financial Performance Summary - Revenue for 2023 is projected at 137.45 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 12.81% [6] - The company plans to produce 194,900 tons of copper concentrate in 2025, a 26% increase year-on-year, and 1,896,000 tons of cathode copper, a 7% increase [7] - The company's gross profit for copper products is expected to be 5.39 billion yuan, down 20% year-on-year, while sulfuric acid gross profit is projected to increase by 205% to 1.14 billion yuan [7] Key Financial Metrics - The company's total market capitalization is 40.56 billion yuan, with a circulating market capitalization of 33.37 billion yuan [3] - The asset-liability ratio stands at 49.48%, and the net asset value per share is 2.71 yuan [3] - The projected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is 0.23 yuan, with a return on equity (ROE) of 7.97% [6][8]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Viewpoints - The report highlights that the pig price is expected to maintain fluctuations in the short term, with a slight increase in production capacity observed in April. The current pig price is 14.79 CNY/kg, with an average weight of 129.71 kg for market pigs [6][20] - The report suggests a shift from "cyclical thinking" to focusing on financial performance, emphasizing that the efficiency differences among companies are significant. It recommends focusing on leading companies in the pig farming sector, such as Muyuan Foods and Wens Foodstuff Group, due to their strong profit certainty in 2025 [7][21] - The poultry sector is experiencing a rebound in chicken prices, with the latest prices for broiler chickens at 7.46 CNY/kg and chick prices at 3.1 CNY each. The report indicates that the industry is facing quality issues with breeding stock, leading to a concentration of profits towards upstream sources [8][22] - In the feed sector, the report recommends Haida Group due to its cash flow turning point and overseas growth potential. The fish prices have shown positive trends, with various species experiencing year-on-year increases [9][23][24] - The pet industry is noted for its continuous growth, with sales data indicating a decline in some segments but strong performance from certain brands like MaiFudi and Fuleijiate. The report emphasizes the importance of domestic brands and their market performance [13][25][29] - The agricultural products sector is expected to see price increases due to reduced imports and a focus on domestic supply, with the report highlighting the importance of improving farmers' income through price adjustments [16][31] Summary by Sections 1. Pig Industry - Short-term pig prices are expected to fluctuate, with a current price of 14.79 CNY/kg and an average weight of 129.71 kg for market pigs. The production capacity is slightly increasing, with a total of 40.39 million breeding sows reported [6][20] - The report suggests that the overall supply of pigs is expected to be high, leading to a weak price outlook in the medium to long term [20][21] 2. Poultry Industry - Chicken prices are rebounding, with broiler prices at 7.46 CNY/kg and chick prices at 3.1 CNY each. The report indicates that the industry is facing quality issues with breeding stock, leading to a concentration of profits towards upstream sources [8][22] 3. Feed Industry - The report recommends Haida Group due to its cash flow turning point and overseas growth potential. Fish prices have shown positive trends, with various species experiencing year-on-year increases [9][23][24] 4. Pet Industry - The pet industry is noted for its continuous growth, with sales data indicating a decline in some segments but strong performance from certain brands like MaiFudi and Fuleijiate. The report emphasizes the importance of domestic brands and their market performance [13][25][29] 5. Agricultural Products - The agricultural products sector is expected to see price increases due to reduced imports and a focus on domestic supply, with the report highlighting the importance of improving farmers' income through price adjustments [16][31]

证券研究报告 建筑材料 行业定期报告 hyzqdatemark 2025 年 05 月 12 日 戴铭余 SAC：S1350524060003 daimingyu@huayuanstock.com 王彬鹏 SAC：S1350524090001 wangbinpeng@huayuanstock.com 郦悦轩 SAC：S1350524080001 liyuexuan@huayuanstock.com 朱芸 SAC：S1350524070001 zhuyun@huayuanstock.com 唐志玮 tangzhiwei@huayuanstock.com 板块表现： 房地产政策表述聚焦久期，顺周期依然为盾 源引金融活水 润泽中华大地 内容目录 | 1. 板块跟踪 | | --- | | 1.1. 板块跟踪 | | 1.2. 行业动态 | | 2. 数据跟踪. | | 2.1. 水泥：仍然跌多涨少，下周或将延续跌势 . | | 2.2. 浮法玻璃：价格跌多涨少，交投不温不火. | | 2.3. 光伏玻璃：交投欠佳，库存缓增…………………………………………………………………………………………………………………………… ...