Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [8] Core Views - The company's Q1 2025 report indicates a rebound in net interest margin and a stable performance in non-performing loans, supported by a reduction in impairment losses [1][2][3] Summary by Relevant Sections Performance Overview - In Q1 2025, the company's revenue decreased by 7.1% year-on-year, a decline of 13.3 percentage points compared to 2024 annual results. The net profit attributable to the parent company increased by 0.6% year-on-year, a slight decline of 0.3 percentage points from 2024 annual results. The non-performing loan ratio remained stable at 1.38%, while the provision coverage ratio decreased by 7 percentage points to 171% [2][5] Profit Support from Provisions - The Q1 2025 revenue decline of 7.1% year-on-year was driven by a combination of improved net interest margin, negative impacts from non-interest income, and a significant reduction in impairment losses. The net interest margin for Q1 2025 was 1.61%, an increase of 30 basis points from Q4 2024, with a year-on-year decline narrowing by 35 basis points. Non-interest income saw a year-on-year decline of 24.9%, while impairment losses decreased by 20.4% compared to the previous year [3][4] Interest Margin Recovery - The net interest margin for Q1 2025 was 1.61%, reflecting a 30 basis point increase from Q4 2024. This improvement was attributed to a rise in asset yield by 13 basis points to 3.63% and a decrease in liability cost by 19 basis points to 1.94% [4] Non-Performing Loan Performance - The non-performing loan ratio remained stable at 1.38% at the end of Q1 2025. The generation rate of non-performing loans decreased by 15 basis points compared to the first half of 2024, indicating a need to monitor future pressures on new non-performing loans [5] Earnings Forecast and Valuation - The forecast for net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to grow by 0.60% in 2025, 0.95% in 2026, and 1.43% in 2027. The target price is set at 3.95 CNY per share, corresponding to a price-to-book ratio of 0.60 for 2025, indicating a potential upside of 32% from the current price of 2.99 CNY per share [6]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the report on Bank of China is "Buy" [5] Core Insights - Bank of China reported a revenue growth of 2.6% year-on-year in Q1 2025, which is better than expected, while profit decreased by 2.9% year-on-year [2][5] - The bank's non-performing loan (NPL) ratio remained stable at 1.25% at the end of Q1 2025, with a provision coverage ratio of 198%, down 3 percentage points from the end of 2024 [4][5] - The report anticipates a net profit growth of 1.07%/6.26%/5.93% for the years 2025-2027, with a target price of 6.40 CNY per share, indicating a potential upside of 16% from the current price [5] Summary by Sections Revenue Performance - In Q1 2025, Bank of China's revenue increased by 2.6% year-on-year, which is an improvement of 1.4 percentage points compared to 2024 [2] - The average net interest margin for Q1 2025 was 1.29%, a decrease of 11 basis points from Q4 2024 and 15 basis points from Q1 2024 [3] Profitability - The bank's profit for Q1 2025 decreased by 2.9% year-on-year, attributed to a 23.3% increase in income tax compared to the previous year [2][5] - Non-interest income showed a positive trend, with a 2.1% year-on-year increase in fee income and a significant 669% increase in foreign exchange gains [2] Asset Quality - The NPL generation rate increased by 7 basis points to 0.49% in Q1 2025, indicating a slight rise in new non-performing loans, but overall risk performance remains stable [4] - The provision coverage ratio at the end of Q1 2025 was 198%, reflecting a decrease of 3 percentage points from the end of 2024 [4] Forecast and Valuation - The forecast for Bank of China's net profit for 2025-2027 is 240.39 billion CNY, 255.43 billion CNY, and 270.57 billion CNY respectively, with corresponding book values per share of 8.49 CNY, 9.01 CNY, and 9.56 CNY [5][12] - The target valuation for 2025 is set at a price-to-book ratio of 0.75x, leading to a target price of 6.40 CNY per share [5]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [6] Core Views - The company's performance in 2024 and Q1 2025 met expectations, with total revenue and net profit for 2024 reaching 115.46 billion and 34.12 billion respectively, reflecting year-on-year growth of 14.31% and 8.80% [10] - The company is currently in a phase of significant growth, with strong performance in both domestic and international markets, particularly in the high-end segment [10] - The company aims for a total revenue growth of 5%-12% and a net profit increase slightly lower than revenue growth for 2025, indicating confidence in sustained momentum [10] Revenue Growth - In 2024, the revenue growth rates for domestic and international markets were 13.32% and 27.37% respectively, with the proportion of international revenue increasing by 1.73 percentage points [2] - For Q1 2025, the revenue growth rates were 8.45% for domestic and 19.04% for international markets, with the international revenue share rising by 1.38 percentage points [2] Profitability and Cash Flow - The company's gross margin and net margin for 2024 were 74.74% and 29.55%, showing a slight decline of 3.60 and 1.50 percentage points year-on-year [3] - Operating cash flow increased by 2.37% in 2024 and by 42.5% in Q1 2025, indicating strong cash flow performance [3] Earnings Forecast and Valuation - Revenue growth forecasts for 2025-2027 are 9.1%, 9.6%, and 9.7% respectively, with net profit growth rates of 7.9%, 9.4%, and 9.5% [4] - The expected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 2.95, 3.23, and 3.54 yuan per share, with corresponding price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios of 16.05, 14.67, and 13.40 [4]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [8] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 5.36 billion in 2024, a decrease of 10.8% year-on-year, and a net profit of 760 million, down 65.7% year-on-year. The first quarter of 2025 saw a revenue of 1.54 billion, an increase of 36.4% year-on-year, but a net profit decline of 47.4% year-on-year [1][6] - The lithium business continues to grow, with a production of 43,700 tons in 2024, up 137.8% year-on-year, and sales of 42,600 tons, up 145.0% year-on-year. The company is implementing cost-reduction measures to mitigate market risks [2][3] - The cesium and rubidium business is showing strong performance, with a revenue of 345 million in the first quarter of 2025, a growth of 94% year-on-year [3] - The copper smelting business faced challenges due to a tight global supply of copper concentrate, leading to a net loss of approximately 100 million in the first quarter of 2025 [4] - The company aims to achieve a production capacity of 60,000 tons per year at the Kitumba copper project by 2026, with a total copper resource of 27.9 million tons [5][6] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 5.36 billion, with a net profit of 760 million, reflecting a significant decline in profitability. The first quarter of 2025 showed a revenue of 1.54 billion, but net profit decreased to 130 million [1][6] - The projected net profits for 2025-2027 are 640 million, 1.32 billion, and 1.98 billion respectively, with corresponding EPS of 0.89, 1.83, and 2.74 [6][12] Business Segments - The lithium segment is expanding, with a production increase to 43,700 tons in 2024 and a sales increase to 42,600 tons. The company is also focusing on cost reduction strategies [2][3] - The cesium and rubidium segment reported a revenue increase of 94% in the first quarter of 2025, indicating strong market demand [3] - The copper smelting segment is under pressure due to reduced processing fees, resulting in a net loss in early 2025 [4] Future Outlook - The company is targeting a production capacity of 60,000 tons per year at the Kitumba copper project by 2026, with ongoing construction and development plans [5][6]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" (maintained) [6] Core Views - The company reported a revenue of 8.124 billion yuan for 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 33.74%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 19.2% to 334 million yuan [1] - The company is optimizing its supply chain and enhancing its warehousing capabilities, particularly in North America, which is expected to accelerate growth [2][3] - The company has introduced new product lines and improved its marketing strategies, which are anticipated to drive steady growth post-tariff adjustments [5][11] Financial Performance Summary - For Q4 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 2.396 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 23.62%, but the net profit attributable to shareholders fell by 56% to 56 million yuan [1] - In Q1 2025, the company reported a revenue of 2.091 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 14%, with a net profit of 111 million yuan, up 10% [1] - The company expects revenues of 9.769 billion yuan in 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 20.25%, and net profits of 388 million yuan, reflecting a growth of 16.45% [11] Product and Market Performance - The furniture segment generated 4.198 billion yuan in revenue, up 37% year-on-year, while the home goods segment saw a 36% increase to 2.953 billion yuan [2] - The company has established a strong market position in Europe, with revenue of 4.896 billion yuan, a 31% increase, and in the US, revenue reached 3.017 billion yuan, up 39% [3] - The company is diversifying its sales channels, with Amazon contributing 5.37 billion yuan in revenue, a 31% increase, and independent sites growing by 58% to 214 million yuan [4] Supply Chain and Product Development - The company is enhancing its supply chain by relocating some operations to Southeast Asia, which is expected to reduce costs while maintaining quality [5] - In 2024, the company launched several new product lines and received 31 international design awards, indicating a commitment to improving product design capabilities [5] Future Outlook - The company anticipates continued revenue growth, projecting revenues of 12.034 billion yuan and net profits of 547 million yuan by 2026, with respective year-on-year growth rates of 23.19% and 40.89% [11] - The ongoing optimization of the Southeast Asian supply chain is expected to mitigate tariff impacts and strengthen long-term competitive advantages [11]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for HNA Holding is "Accumulate" [5] Core Views - The company achieved a total revenue of 65.2 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 11%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was -0.92 billion yuan, compared to a profit of 0.31 billion yuan in 2023 [1] - The company is expected to see a steady improvement in performance, with projected net profits of 1.57 billion yuan, 2.81 billion yuan, and 4.83 billion yuan for the years 2025 to 2027, respectively [5] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company reported a net profit of 0.27 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 60% [1] - The total revenue for Q1 2025 was 17.6 billion yuan, showing a slight increase of 0.3% year-on-year [1] Operational Metrics - The daily aircraft utilization rate for 2024 increased by 1 hour to 9.3 hours, while the passenger load factor rose by 0.8 percentage points to approximately 83.5% [2] - The fleet size at the end of 2024 was 348 aircraft, with a net increase of 14 aircraft throughout the year [2] Revenue and Cost Analysis - The unit revenue per available seat kilometer (ASK) for 2024 was 0.440 yuan, down 6% year-on-year, while the unit revenue per revenue passenger kilometer (RPK) was 0.527 yuan, down 8% [3] - The unit operating cost per ASK for 2024 was 0.407 yuan, a decrease of 3% year-on-year, primarily due to a drop in fuel prices [3] Expense Overview - The financial expenses for 2024 were 5.2 billion yuan, a decrease of 3% year-on-year, mainly due to lower interest expenses and reduced foreign exchange losses [4] - The selling expense ratio for 2024 was 3.2%, an increase of 0.4 percentage points year-on-year [4] Profit Forecast - The company is expected to experience a reversal in supply-demand dynamics, leading to high profit elasticity in the medium to long term [5] - The projected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is 0.04 yuan, increasing to 0.11 yuan by 2027 [7]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [5] Core Views - The company's performance is expected to be strong, with significant contributions from the consolidation of Jia Le. In 2024, the company achieved revenue of 4.24 billion yuan (up 36.6% year-on-year) and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 0.381 billion yuan (up 229.5% year-on-year) [1][5] - The company's manufacturing segment saw revenue growth driven by acquisitions and improved production efficiency. In 2024, the manufacturing revenue reached 3.534 billion yuan (up 44.6% year-on-year), with notable growth in apparel manufacturing [2] - The brand management segment is actively expanding new channels, with a revenue of 0.658 billion yuan in 2024 (up 5.1% year-on-year). The collaboration with Xiaomi has deepened, launching multiple new products [3] Summary by Sections Performance Overview - In Q1 2025, the company reported revenue of 1.234 billion yuan (up 35.6% year-on-year) and a net profit of 0.085 billion yuan (up 20.1% year-on-year) [1] - The company’s net profit margin for 2024 was 9.0% (up 5.3 percentage points year-on-year) [4] Manufacturing Segment - The manufacturing revenue for 2024 was 3.534 billion yuan, with apparel manufacturing revenue growing by 146.4% year-on-year [2] - The gross margin for manufacturing in 2024 was 22.55%, with a decline attributed to the consolidation of Jia Le [2] Brand Management - The brand management revenue for 2024 was 0.658 billion yuan, with distribution revenue increasing by 20.8% year-on-year [3] - The gross margin for brand management was 25.52%, reflecting adjustments in product and channel structure [3] Financial Projections - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 5.344 billion yuan, 6.222 billion yuan, and 7.190 billion yuan, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 26%, 16%, and 16% [5][11] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is projected to be 0.384 billion yuan in 2025, with a growth rate of 0.7% [5][11]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [5] Core Views - The company's performance is expected to be strong, with significant contributions from the consolidation of Jia Le [5] - The garment manufacturing segment is experiencing revenue growth due to acquisitions and improved production efficiency [2] - The brand management segment is actively expanding new channels, with Xiaomi continuing to launch new products [3] - The company is effectively controlling expenses, with one-time investment gains from Jia Le enhancing profits [4] - Profitability is projected to improve as overseas production efficiency increases, with sustained revenue growth anticipated from 2025 to 2027 [5] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved revenue of 4.24 billion yuan (up 36.6% year-on-year) and a net profit of 0.381 billion yuan (up 229.5% year-on-year) [1] - For Q1 2025, revenue was 1.234 billion yuan (up 35.6% year-on-year) and net profit was 0.085 billion yuan (up 20.1% year-on-year) [1] Manufacturing Segment - In 2024, the garment manufacturing revenue reached 3.534 billion yuan (up 44.6% year-on-year), with bag manufacturing revenue at 2.372 billion yuan (up 20.3% year-on-year) and garment manufacturing revenue at 1.162 billion yuan (up 146.4% year-on-year) [2] - The gross margin for garment manufacturing was 22.55% (down 1.33 percentage points year-on-year), primarily due to the impact of Jia Le's consolidation [2] Brand Management - Brand management revenue in 2024 was 0.658 billion yuan (up 5.1% year-on-year), with distribution revenue at 0.498 billion yuan (up 20.8% year-on-year) and online revenue at 0.160 billion yuan (down 25.2% year-on-year) [3] - The gross margin for brand management was 25.52% (down 1.03 percentage points year-on-year) [3] Profitability and Forecast - The net profit margin for 2024 was 9.0% (up 5.3 percentage points year-on-year) [4] - Revenue forecasts for 2025 to 2027 are 5.344 billion yuan, 6.222 billion yuan, and 7.190 billion yuan, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 26%, 16%, and 16% [5] - Expected net profit for 2025 to 2027 is 0.384 billion yuan, 0.480 billion yuan, and 0.590 billion yuan, with growth rates of 1%, 25%, and 23% respectively [5]

Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the content Core Viewpoints - In the next month or so, the market may focus more on fundamentals and likely continue to show defensive characteristics. It is recommended to increase exposure to convertible bonds that benefit from domestic demand stimulus, are insensitive to external demand, have technological growth potential, and have relatively stable fundamentals [1][2]. - The reasons for the market's short - term preference for fundamentals include the upcoming implementation of the new Nine - Point Regulations based on 2024 financial reports, potential rating downgrades of convertible bonds after annual report disclosures, and the impact of overseas tariff risks on domestic risk appetite and fundamentals. However, the risk of a sharp decline in the equity market in the short term is limited, and the upward repair trend may continue [2]. - Short - term investors are advised to focus on high - grade, fundamentally stable convertible bonds, which may benefit from incremental capital inflows. Convertible bonds related to consumer electronics, home appliances, and home furnishings that benefit from consumption subsidies can also be appropriately considered. For new - quality productivity - related convertible bonds, high - priced targets can be appropriately liquidated for profits, and those that have been fully adjusted in the short term can be bought at low prices [2]. Summary by Directory 1. Convertible Bond Market Observation - In the past week (April 28 - April 30), most convertible bond indices declined, except for the optional consumer industry index of convertible bonds, bonds rated AA - and below, the high - price index of convertible bonds, and the small - cap convertible bond index, which rose. In terms of valuation, both bond - like and equity - like valuations were compressed. The median price of the convertible bond market slightly decreased to 119.23 yuan, at the 74.65% level since 2017 [1]. 2. Convertible Bond Market Tracking 2.1 Convertible Bond Market Trends - Provided the performance data of various convertible bond indices in different time periods, such as the WanDe Convertible Bond Energy Index, which declined by 0.72% in the past week, - 0.04% in the past two weeks, - 1.43% since March, - 1.91% in the past month, - 1.43% in the past two months, increased by 3.20% in the past six months, and 2.51% in the past year [11]. 2.2 Convertible Bond Individual Securities - Not elaborated in detail in the provided content, only mentioned figures related to the top and bottom five gainers and losers of individual bonds and their underlying stocks in the past week [16][23]. 2.3 Convertible Bond Valuations - Not elaborated in detail in the provided content, only mentioned figures related to the valuation trends of bond - like, balanced, and equity - like convertible bonds, as well as the conversion premium rate valuation trends of convertible bonds with different parities [24][26]. 2.4 Convertible Bond Prices - Not elaborated in detail in the provided content, only mentioned figures related to the conversion premium rate valuation trends of convertible bonds with different parities, the proportion trends of high - price and low - price bonds, the proportion trend of bonds below the bond floor, and the median price trend of the convertible bond market [33][35].

证券研究报告 | 债券市场专题研究 | 债券研究 债券市场专题研究 报告日期：2025 年 05 月 05 日 转债复盘 2021：牛市延续，超额显著 ——可转债复盘系列 核心观点 本报告深度复盘 2021 年可转债市场，全面剖析其市场表现、供需结构、信用风险等关 键要素，为投资者提供精准参考。 ❑ 牛市延续，转债超额显著 2021 年，可转债市场延续牛市行情，中证转债指数全年涨幅超 17%，与中证 1000 等小盘指数走势较为契合，有效满足了固收 + 投资者的配置需求。市场规模在大 盘银行转债的推动下成功突破 7000 亿元。从供需结构看，银行板块供给旺盛，发 行额超 600 亿元，推动市场规模提升，且全年发行节奏平稳。信用风险主要集中 在上半年，整体处于可控范围。该年度市场可划分为三个阶段：一是年初低价转 债修复，二季度周期和成长转债开启上涨通道；二是三季度估值和正股双轮驱动， 转债市场表现强劲；三是四季度估值再度提升，行业轮动速度加快。 ❑ 风险提示： 分析师：王明路 http://www.stocke.com.cn 1/11 请务必阅读正文之后的免责条款部分 1）经济基本面改善持续性不足； 2）债市超 ...