Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [7] Core Insights - The company's stock option incentive plan targets 85 individuals, accounting for approximately 26.32% of the total workforce of 323 employees as of December 31, 2024 [1] - The performance targets for the incentive plan are set for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, focusing on revenue growth and specific revenue milestones for physical AI products [2][3][4] - The company is concentrating on physical AI, aiming to create a comprehensive service platform that is expected to drive the intelligent upgrade of industrial manufacturing [5] - Continuous mergers and acquisitions are anticipated to integrate quality resources, which may accelerate the company's performance growth [6] Financial Forecasts - The company is projected to achieve revenues of 566.48 million, 788.01 million, and 1,073.86 million yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, representing year-on-year growth rates of 49.54%, 39.11%, and 36.27% [12] - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to reach 68.88 million, 102.37 million, and 142.02 million yuan for the same years, with growth rates of 66.18%, 48.62%, and 38.73% [12] - The earnings per share (EPS) are forecasted to be 0.77, 1.15, and 1.59 yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [12]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided in the content about the report industry investment rating. 2. Core Views of the Report - The trend of loose funds is strong, and there is no need to worry about short - term liquidity, but there may be sporadic disturbances at times such as tax payment periods [1]. - In the past week, the trading volume of trading desks was high, and the sentiment of funds to extend duration remained strong. The duration of medium - and long - term bond funds reached a new high this year, and there was a trend of extending duration in credit bonds, secondary bonds, and interest - rate bonds. In the future, the short - term market is driven by trading desks, so it is necessary to closely monitor the ebb and flow of buying in ultra - long non - active interest - rate bonds and long - term credit bonds [2]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Liquidity Tracking 3.1.1 Central Bank Operations - In the past week (6/30 - 7/4), the central bank's open - market operations resulted in a net liquidity withdrawal of 13753 billion yuan. As of 7/4, the central bank's reverse - repurchase balance was 6522 billion yuan, significantly lower than on 6/30 but still higher than the seasonal level in previous years. In the next week (7/7 - 7/11), 6522 billion yuan of reverse - repurchases will mature, with the maturity pressure distributed as Monday > Tuesday > Wednesday > Thursday > Friday [9]. - In July, a total of 1.5 trillion yuan of MLF and outright reverse - repurchases will mature, including 3000 billion yuan of MLF, 7000 billion yuan of 3 - month outright reverse - repurchases, and 5000 billion yuan of 6 - month outright reverse - repurchases [10]. 3.1.2 Government Bond Issuance - In the past week, the net payment of government bonds was 341 billion yuan, with a net payment of - 401 billion yuan for treasury bonds and 742 billion yuan for local bonds. In the next week, the expected net payment of government bonds is 2511 billion yuan, with 1399 billion yuan for treasury bonds and 1112 billion yuan for local bonds. The net payment pressure is relatively large on Monday, about 2174 billion yuan, and relatively small from Tuesday to Friday [14]. - As of 7/4, the net financing progress of treasury bonds is 53.8%, with a remaining net financing space of 3.08 trillion yuan in 2025; the issuance progress of new local bonds is 50.3%, with a remaining issuance space of 2.58 trillion yuan; the issuance progress of refinancing special bonds is 89.8%, with a remaining issuance space of 204.1 billion yuan. The supply of government bonds is slow in July, and the issuance pressure is large in August and September in the third quarter [16][18]. 3.1.3 Bill Market - In the past week, the bill interest rates showed a divergent trend. The 3 - month direct - discount and transfer - discount interest rates of state - owned and joint - stock banks increased, while the 6 - month rates decreased. Seasonally, the current bill interest rates are still significantly weaker than the seasonal level, indicating that the recovery of credit demand is still slow [24]. 3.1.4 Fund Review - After the quarter - end, funds became significantly looser. From 7/2 - 7/4, the fund sentiment index stabilized in the range of 45 - 50. Most fund interest rates declined, and the fund prices moved closer to the policy interest rates. The term and market stratifications mostly converged [26][28][29]. - In the past week, the total trading volumes of DR/R/GC were 12.10 trillion yuan, 37.99 trillion yuan, and 107.87 million lots respectively. The trading volumes of DR001/R001/GC001 were 11.64 trillion yuan, 34.05 trillion yuan, and 93.67 million lots respectively. On 7/4, the overnight trading volume ratios were 97%, 91%, and 89% respectively, all higher than on 6/27 [35]. - The net lending of the banking system was basically stable, and the net lending of large - scale banks increased. The net borrowing demand of core non - banking institutions decreased slightly. In terms of maturity, large - scale banks mainly lent overnight funds, while funds and securities firms mainly borrowed overnight funds, and insurance and other products mainly borrowed 7 - day funds [39]. 3.1.5 Inter - bank Certificates of Deposit - In the past week (6/30 - 7/6), the total issuance of certificates of deposit was 243.7 billion yuan, with a net financing of - 2.08 billion yuan. The issuance scale decreased compared with the previous week, but the net financing scale increased. By entity, the issuance scale of inter - bank certificates of deposit was ranked as joint - stock banks > state - owned banks > city commercial banks > rural commercial banks. By maturity, the weighted issuance maturity increased significantly [46]. - In the past week, the issuance prices of certificates of deposit of joint - stock banks at various maturities decreased significantly. On 7/4, the yield to maturity of 1 - year AAA certificates of deposit was 1.5929%, down 4.21bps from 6/27. In the next three weeks, 510.5 billion yuan (7/7 - 7/13), 802.8 billion yuan (7/14 - 7/20), 1076.5 billion yuan (7/21 - 7/27), and 376.7 billion yuan (7/23 - 8/3) will mature respectively. The maturity pressure is large in late July [48][52]. 3.2 Institutional Behavior Tracking 3.2.1 Secondary Transactions - The funds' demand for credit bonds is stronger than that for interest - rate bonds, and the trend of extending the duration of credit bonds is obvious [56]. 3.2.2 Institutional Duration - On 7/4, the median of the 10 - day moving average of the duration of medium - and long - term bond funds was 3.96 years, further increasing compared with 6/27 (3.91 years). The 5 - day moving average of the trading duration of urban investment bonds, secondary bonds increased, while that of industrial bonds decreased [57][61]. 3.2.3 Institutional Leverage - In the past week, the calculated bond - market leverage ratio was 107.96%, slightly higher than the previous week (107.93%), and the upward trend slowed down [63].

- The report highlights the "WanDe Micro Cap Index" as a dynamic strategy index rather than a static one, with its returns driven by micro-cap style and daily rebalancing that generates a "reversal effect"[12] - The reversal effect is attributed to the liquidity spillover effect, which has been amplified by the shift in market participant structure since 2021, where individual investors gained pricing power over institutional investors, favoring smaller-cap stocks[12] - The report suggests that the trading heat for small-cap stocks is likely to continue in July, supported by marginal optimism in overseas markets and eased liquidity shocks from U.S. Treasury issuance[12] - The "Barra Style Factors" analysis indicates positive returns for fundamental-related factors, with a preference for value over growth, particularly BP value assets[23] - Transaction-related factors such as short-term momentum, long-term reversal, and low-volatility stocks are expected to deliver excess returns[23] - The report notes a shift in market preference from extreme small-cap styles to larger-cap styles, as evidenced by the positive returns of the size factor and the expanded drawdown of the non-linear size factor[23] - The weekly performance of style factors includes metrics such as turnover (0.2%), financial leverage (0.2%), earnings volatility (0.2%), and BP value (0.2%), among others[24] - Negative returns are observed for non-linear size (-0.2%) and volatility (-0.3%), indicating a divergence in market preferences[24]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [6] Core Views - The main brand of the company is expected to stabilize and recover, with a significant improvement in sales trends anticipated in the upcoming quarters [2] - The expansion of the JD Outlet is expected to accelerate, with a strong long-term growth momentum [3] - The company is characterized by high dividend yields, with a stable performance in its main brand leading the industry [1] Summary by Sections Investment Highlights - The company is recognized as the leading men's apparel brand with high dividends, and its main brand is performing steadily, outpacing peers [1] Positive Surprises - The main apparel business is expected to stabilize and rebound, with a forecasted reduction in revenue decline for the main brand in Q4 2024 and Q1 2025, leading to a potential year-on-year revenue increase [2] - The JD Outlet's expansion is anticipated to accelerate in the second half of the year, with a significant number of new stores expected to open [3] Driving Factors - Improvement in the main brand's revenue is expected to enhance profit margins, leading to a steady increase in net profit and attractive dividend yields [4] - The accelerated opening of JD Outlet stores and the gradual refinement of the single-store model are expected to boost market confidence and valuation [4] Earnings Forecast - Revenue is projected to reach 22.3 billion, 24.8 billion, and 26.6 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 6.5%, 11.1%, and 7.4% [4] - Net profit is expected to be 2.41 billion, 2.66 billion, and 2.91 billion yuan for the same years, with growth rates of 11.7%, 10.4%, and 9.2% [4] Valuation Analysis - The company is expected to achieve a net profit exceeding 2 billion yuan in 2025, with a target price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 14, leading to an estimated market value of around 30 billion yuan [5] - The new JD Outlet business is projected to contribute approximately 1 billion yuan to net profit within three years, with a target PE of 20, resulting in an estimated market value of around 20 billion yuan [5]

Investment Rating - The report suggests that the banking sector is currently in the "mid-stage" of a bull market, with the CITIC Bank Index expected to recover its Price-to-Book (PB) ratio from 0.5X in October 2022 to around 0.8-0.9X [8][17]. Core Insights - The CITIC Bank Index has been on an upward trend since November 2022, marking a technical bull market, while the Shanghai Composite Index experienced a narrow fluctuation from November 2024 to June 2025 [2][17]. - Historical analysis of bull markets in sectors such as liquor, new energy vehicles, and coal reveals that significant factors driving these markets include macro narratives and incremental capital [8][17]. - The banking sector benefits from a narrative of "asset scarcity" and potential incremental capital from insurance and public funds, indicating a favorable outlook for continued growth [8][17]. Summary by Sections Liquor Industry (2016-2021) - The liquor market experienced a dual-phase growth, with the first phase (January 2016 to June 2018) driven by wealth effects from rising real estate prices and consumer upgrades, leading to increased volume and price [2][4]. - The second phase (November 2018 to February 2021) saw market confidence boosted by government meetings and foreign capital inflows, resulting in significant valuation expansion [4][31]. - The CITIC Liquor Index rose by 302% during this period, with net profit for constituent stocks increasing by 36.7% [38][39]. New Energy Vehicles (2019-2021) - The new energy vehicle sector's growth was characterized by two phases: the first (November 2019 to January 2021) was marked by global industry resonance and policy support, leading to substantial valuation increases [5][42]. - The second phase (March 2021 to November 2021) saw rapid penetration rates and increased public fund allocations, with the index rising by 75.4% during this period [56][61]. - The index's PE ratio increased by 259.9%, despite a decline in net profit [52][56]. Coal Industry (2020-2024) - The coal sector's growth from March 2020 to September 2022 was driven by supply-demand imbalances and liquidity resonance, resulting in a significant increase in profitability [7][8]. - From June 2023 to June 2024, the sector benefited from a decline in long-term bond yields, enhancing its appeal as a high-dividend asset, leading to notable valuation improvements [7][8]. - The coal index rose by 27.5% during this latter period, primarily due to significant valuation increases [29][30]. Banking Sector (2022-Present) - The banking sector's bull market is supported by a macro narrative of asset scarcity and ongoing capital inflows from insurance and public funds [8][17]. - The banking sector's performance is compared to traditional industries like liquor and coal, suggesting that it may have similar growth potential in terms of duration and valuation expansion [8][17]. - The report anticipates that the banking sector's Price-to-Earnings (PE) ratio has increased by approximately 75% since October 2022, indicating room for further growth compared to other sectors [8][17].

Core Insights - The current CITIC Bank Index has been rising since November 2022, marking a duration of 2 years and 8 months, while the Shanghai Composite Index has been in a narrow range for 8 months from November 2024 to June 2025, indicating a technical bull market for the CITIC Bank Index [1][12] - Historical analysis of the bull markets in the liquor, new energy vehicle, and coal industries reveals that the banking sector may be in the mid-stage of a bull market, with the CITIC Bank Index's price-to-book (PB) ratio expected to recover from 0.5X in October 2022 to around 0.8-0.9X [1][5] Liquor Industry (2016-2021) - The liquor market experienced a significant rise driven by wealth effects and consumption upgrades, with the index increasing by 180% from January 2016 to June 2018, supported by a 86.5% increase in net profit attributable to the parent company [2][25] - From November 2018 to February 2021, the MSCI expansion and increased foreign capital inflow provided additional funds, leading to a 302% rise in the index, with a 181.7% increase in price-to-earnings (PE) ratio [2][33] New Energy Vehicle Industry (2019-2021) - The new energy vehicle sector saw a global industry resonance, with significant policy support and a focus on thematic investments, resulting in a 68.2% increase in the index from November 2019 to January 2021, despite a 9.9% decline in net profit [40][46] - From March 2021 to November 2021, the rapid increase in penetration rates and public fund allocations led to a 75.4% rise in the index, driven by performance realization [40][51] Coal Industry (2020-2024) - The coal sector experienced a new boom due to supply-demand imbalances and significant capital expenditure reductions from 2016 to 2018, leading to a 158.1% increase in the index from March 2020 to September 2022, primarily driven by a substantial increase in net profit [4][25] - From June 2023 to June 2024, the coal sector's high dividend characteristics attracted capital, resulting in a notable valuation increase [4][29] Banking Sector (2022-Present) - The banking sector is characterized by a macro narrative of "asset scarcity" and potential incremental funds from insurance capital and public fund adjustments, indicating that the sector is currently in a bull market [5][12] - The duration of the banking bull market, which began in October 2022, is comparable to traditional industries like liquor and coal, suggesting it may still have room to grow [5][12]

Group 1: Key Points on "Capacity Reduction" and "Anti-Involution" - The previous round of "capacity reduction" was effective due to four key points: its importance was elevated to the overall stability of people's livelihoods and society, with capacity reduction being prioritized in the 2015 Central Economic Work Conference[3] - The central government clearly defined the scale of excess capacity, established exit plans, and included them in local government assessments[3] - State-owned enterprises played a crucial role, undertaking approximately 80% of steel and 70% of coal capacity reduction tasks[3] - Ensuring employment and livelihoods was a critical bottom line during the capacity reduction process, with policies in place to prevent mass unemployment and major social incidents[3] Group 2: Current Market Outlook and Policy Implications - The direction of "anti-involution" is confirmed, which helps improve market expectations, but the intensity of capacity reduction may be gradual[4] - Short-term focus will be on controlling incremental capacity while optimizing existing capacity, with policies targeting the regulation of ineffective investment behaviors by local governments[4] - Industries with low capacity utilization and high energy consumption, such as non-metallic mineral products, are likely to see faster exit of outdated capacity[5] - Supply-side reforms have historically had a significant upward effect on PPI, but the impact varies based on the speed of supply-demand gap closure[6] - Current industrial product prices may face challenges due to low capacity utilization and high inventory levels, making short-term improvements unlikely[6]

证券研究报告 | 浙商早知道 报告日期：2025 年 07 月 04 日 浙商早知道 2025 年 07 月 04 日 ： 张延兵 执业证书编号：S1230511010020 ： 021-80106048 ： zhangyanbing@stocke.com.cn 市场总览 ❑ 资金：周四沪深两市总成交额为 13098 亿元，南下资金净流出 30.5 亿港元。 重要推荐 ❑ 【浙商计算机 刘雯蜀/刘静一】美图公司（01357）公司深度：成长视角：受益 AI 时代新红利，再迎阶梯式跃迁 ——20250702 重要观点 http://www.stocke.com.cn 1/4 请务必阅读正文之后的免责条款部分 ❑ 大势：周四上证指数上涨 0.2%，沪深 300 上涨 0.6%，科创 50 上涨 0.2%，中证 1000 上涨 0.5%，创业板指上涨 1.9%，恒生指数下跌 0.6%。 ❑ 行业：周四表现最好的行业分别是电子（+1.7%)、电力设备（+1.4%)、医药生物（+1.4%)、通信（+1.3%)、建筑 材料（+0.9%)，表现最差的行业分别是煤炭（-1.2%)、交通运输（-0.3%)、钢铁（-0.1%)、石 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [7] Core Insights - The launch of AI-Agentforce 2.0 aims to assist enterprises in transitioning from "AI trial" to "AI industrialization" through a standardized toolchain, addressing long development cycles and high operational costs [1][10] - The platform has successfully been applied in various industries, including retail, automotive, fintech, and B2B manufacturing, indicating a strong market demand for AI agents [2] - The report highlights the significant commercial progress of similar products from Salesforce and HubSpot, suggesting a robust demand for marketing SaaS solutions [4] Financial Forecast and Valuation - Revenue projections for the company are estimated at 2.355 billion, 3.088 billion, and 3.848 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 51.13%, 31.08%, and 24.62% [5][11] - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 56.11 million, 144.84 million, and 218.63 million yuan for the same years, indicating a turnaround from losses to profits [5][11] - Earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be 0.22, 0.57, and 0.85 yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [5][11]

证券研究报告 | 浙商早知道 报告日期：2025 年 07 月 03 日 浙商早知道 2025 年 07 月 03 日 ：王禾 执业证书编号：S1230512110001 ：021-80105901 ：wanghe@stocke.com.cn 市场总览 重要点评 【浙商计算机 刘雯蜀/叶光亮】京北方（002987）公司点评：携手国富量子，共同拓展稳定币生态——20250702 http://www.stocke.com.cn 1/3 请务必阅读正文之后的免责条款部分 大势：7 月 2 日上证指数下跌 0.09%，沪深 300 上涨 0.02%，科创 50 下跌 1.22%，中证 1000 下跌 1.01%，创业板 指下跌 1.13%，恒生指数上涨 0.62%。 行业：7 月 2 日表现最好的行业分别是钢铁（+3.37%)、煤炭（+1.99%)、建筑材料（+1.42%)、农林牧渔（+0.84%)、 银行（+0.75%)，表现最差的行业分别是电子（-2.01%)、通信（-1.96%)、国防军工（-1.94%)、计算机（-1.64%)、 美容护理（-1.09%)。 资金：7 月 2 日全 A 总成交额为 14051 ...