投资咨询业务资格：证监许可【2011】1778 号 期货研究报告 宝城期货铁矿石早报（2026 年 2 月 11 日） ◼ 品种观点参考 时间周期说明：短期为一周以内、中期为两周至一月 1.有夜盘的品种以夜盘收盘价为起始价格，无夜盘的品种以昨日收盘价为起始价格，当日日盘收盘价为终点价格， 计算涨跌幅度。 2.跌幅大于 1%为弱势，跌幅 0~1%为震荡偏弱，涨幅 0~1%为震荡偏强，涨幅大于 1%为强势。 3.震荡偏强/偏弱只针对日内观点，短期和中期不做区分。 ◼ 行情驱动逻辑 铁矿石供需格局变化不大，钢厂生产趋稳，矿石终端消耗低位回升，但增幅有限，且钢市产业矛 盾在累积，需求改善力度有限，利好效应不强。与此同时，国内港口到货量回落，且飓风扰动下矿商 发运大幅下降，海外矿石供应短期收缩，库存高企局面下供应压力缓解有限。总之，天气因素扰动下 海外矿石供应短期收缩，而需求则是弱稳运行，铁矿石基本面未见改善，高库存格局下矿价仍将承压 运行，关注钢价表现情况。 （仅供参考，不构成任何投资建议） | 品种 | 短期 | 中期 | 日内 | 观点参考 | 核心逻辑概要 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | ...

期货研究报告 晨会纪要 投资咨询业务资格：证监许可【2011】1778 宝城期货橡胶早报-2026-02-11 品种晨会纪要 时间周期说明：短期为一周以内、中期为两周至一月 | 品种 | | 短期 | 中期 | 日内 | 观点参考 | 核心逻辑概要 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 沪胶 | 2605 | 震荡 | 震荡 | 偏强 | 偏强运行 | 偏多氛围支撑，沪胶震荡偏强 | | 合成胶 | 2604 | 震荡 | 震荡 | 偏强 | 偏强运行 | 偏多氛围支撑，合成胶震荡偏强 | 备注： 1.有夜盘的品种以夜盘收盘价为起始价格，无夜盘的品种以昨日收盘价为起始价格，当日日盘收盘 价为终点价格，计算涨跌幅度。 2.跌幅大于 1%为弱势，跌幅 0~1%为偏弱，涨幅 0~1%为偏强，涨幅大于 1%为强势。 3.偏强/偏弱只针对日内观点，短期和中期不做区分。 -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ...

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the content. 2. Core View - The report presents the arbitrage data of various futures varieties including thermal coal, energy chemicals, black metals, non - ferrous metals, agricultural products, and stock index futures on February 11, 2026, mainly including basis, inter - period and inter - variety spreads [1]. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Thermal Coal - The basis data of thermal coal on different dates from February 4 to February 10, 2026 are presented, such as the basis on February 10 being - 102.4 yuan/ton [2]. 3.2 Energy Chemicals - **Energy Commodities**: Basis data of fuel oil, crude oil, asphalt and INE crude oil on different dates from February 4 to February 10, 2026 are provided, along with their price ratios [7]. - **Chemical Commodities**: - Basis data of rubber, methanol, PTA, LLDPE, PVC, and PP on different dates from February 4 to February 10, 2026 [9]. - Inter - period spreads of rubber, methanol, PTA, LLDPE, PVC, PP, and ethylene glycol, including 5 - 1 month, 9 - 1 month, and 9 - 5 month spreads [10]. - Inter - variety spreads of LLDPE - PVC, LLDPE - PP, PP - PVC, and PP - 3*methanol on different dates from February 4 to February 10, 2026 [10]. 3.3 Black Metals - Basis data of rebar, iron ore, coke, and coking coal on different dates from February 4 to February 10, 2026, such as the basis of rebar on February 10 being 158.0 yuan/ton [20]. - Inter - period spreads of rebar, iron ore, coke, and coking coal, including 5 - 1 month, 9(10) - 1 month, and 9(10) - 5 month spreads [19]. - Inter - variety spreads of rebar/iron ore, rebar/coke, coke/coking coal, and rebar - hot rolled coil on different dates from February 4 to February 10, 2026 [19]. 3.4 Non - Ferrous Metals - **Domestic Market**: Basis data of copper, aluminum, zinc, lead, nickel, and tin on different dates from February 4 to February 10, 2026, such as the basis of copper on February 10 being 10 yuan/ton [28]. - **London Market**: LME spreads, Shanghai - London ratios, CIF prices, domestic spot prices, and import profit and loss of copper, aluminum, zinc, lead, nickel, and tin on February 10, 2026 [33]. 3.5 Agricultural Products - Basis data of soybeans No.1, soybeans No.2, soybean meal, soybean oil, and corn on different dates from February 4 to February 10, 2026, such as the basis of soybeans No.1 on February 10 being - 339 yuan/ton [38]. - Inter - period spreads of soybeans No.1, soybeans No.2, soybean meal, soybean oil, rapeseed meal, rapeseed oil, palm oil, corn, sugar, and cotton, including 5 - 1 month, 9 - 1 month, and 9 - 5 month spreads [38]. - Inter - variety spreads of soybeans No.1/corn, soybeans No.2/corn, soybean oil/soybean meal, soybean meal - rapeseed meal, soybean oil - palm oil, rapeseed oil - soybean oil, and corn - corn starch on February 10, 2026 [38]. 3.6 Stock Index Futures - Basis data of CSI 300, SSE 50, CSI 500, and CSI 1000 on different dates from February 4 to February 10, 2026, such as the basis of CSI 300 on February 10 being 25.91 [50]. - Inter - period spreads of CSI 300, SSE 50, CSI 500, and CSI 1000, including next - month - current - month and next - quarter - current - quarter spreads [50].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided in the report 2. Core Views - Today, all stock indices fluctuated within a narrow range. The trading volume of the Shanghai, Shenzhen, and Beijing stock markets was 2.1247 trillion yuan, a decrease of 145.4 billion yuan compared to the previous day. As silver stopped falling and rebounded, market sentiment improved, and the stock index's operation logic returned to its fundamental factors. However, due to the approaching holiday, the demand for cash during the holiday and concerns about uncertainties, the willingness of funds to trade was relatively weak, and the trading volume of the stock market remained around 2 trillion yuan. In the medium to long term, the positive policy expectations and the continuous net inflow of incremental funds into the stock market remain unchanged, and the core logic for the medium to long - term upward movement of the stock index is relatively solid. Overall, the risk appetite of the stock market before the holiday is cautious, and the stock index mainly fluctuates within a range [4]. - Regarding options, the implied volatility of at - the - money options has recently rebounded. Since the logic for the medium to long - term upward movement of the stock index is relatively solid, the bull spread strategy is maintained [4]. 3. Summary According to Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Option Indicators - On February 10, 2026, the 50ETF rose 0.28% to close at 3.170; the 300ETF (Shanghai Stock Exchange) rose 0.13% to close at 4.733; the 300ETF (Shenzhen Stock Exchange) rose 0.06% to close at 4.931; the CSI 300 Index rose 0.11% to close at 4724.30; the CSI 1000 Index rose 0.20% to close at 8250.30; the 500ETF (Shanghai Stock Exchange) fell 0.21% to close at 8.377; the 500ETF (Shenzhen Stock Exchange) fell 0.24% to close at 3.330; the ChiNext ETF fell 0.30% to close at 3.311; the Shenzhen 100ETF rose 0.06% to close at 3.496; the SSE 50 Index rose 0.18% to close at 3087.41; the Science and Technology Innovation 50ETF rose 0.98% to close at 1.55; the E Fund Science and Technology Innovation 50ETF rose 0.94% to close at 1.50 [6]. - The trading volume PCR and position PCR of various options on February 10, 2026, and the previous trading day are provided, including 50ETF options, 300ETF options (Shanghai and Shenzhen Stock Exchanges), CSI 300 index options, CSI 1000 index options, 500ETF options (Shanghai and Shenzhen Stock Exchanges), ChiNext ETF options, Shenzhen 100ETF options, SSE 50 index options, Science and Technology Innovation 50ETF options, and E Fund Science and Technology Innovation 50ETF options [7]. - The implied volatility of at - the - money options in February 2026 and the 30 - day historical volatility of the underlying assets for various options are provided, including 50ETF options, 300ETF options (Shanghai and Shenzhen Stock Exchanges), CSI 300 index options, CSI 1000 index options, 500ETF options (Shanghai and Shenzhen Stock Exchanges), ChiNext ETF options, Shenzhen 100ETF options, SSE 50 index options, Science and Technology Innovation 50ETF options, and E Fund Science and Technology Innovation 50ETF options [8][9]. 3.2 Related Charts - Multiple charts are provided for different types of options, including the trend, volatility, trading volume PCR, position PCR, implied volatility curve, and each - term at - the - money implied volatility of 50ETF options, 300ETF options (Shanghai and Shenzhen Stock Exchanges), CSI 300 index options, CSI 1000 index options, 500ETF options (Shanghai and Shenzhen Stock Exchanges), ChiNext ETF options, Shenzhen 100ETF options, SSE 50 index options, Science and Technology Innovation 50ETF options, and E Fund Science and Technology Innovation 50ETF options [10][19][22][35][43][56][69][82][92][105][118][126]

投资咨询业务资格：证监许可【2011】1778 号 期货研究报告 黑色金属 | 日报 2026 年 2 月 10 日 煤焦日报 专业研究·创造价值 多空交织，煤焦低位震荡 核心观点 焦炭：2 月 10 日，焦炭主力合约报收于 1665 元/吨，日内录得 1.71%的跌 幅。截至收盘，主力合约持仓量为 3.64 万手，较前一交易日仓差为+1514 手。现货市场方面，日照港准一级湿熄焦平仓价格指数最新报价为 1520 元/吨，周环比持平；青岛港准一级湿熄焦出库价为 1470 元/吨，周环比 下跌 0.68%。整体来看，近期焦炭基本面并无明显变化，供需两端在低位 小幅增加，期货缺乏单边动能，预计短期内焦炭主力合约维持低位震荡格 局。 焦煤：2 月 10 日，焦煤主力合约报收 1119 点，日内下跌 1.67%。截至收 盘，主力合约持仓量为 49.91 万手，较前一交易日仓差为+29997 手。现 货市场方面，甘其毛都口岸蒙煤最新报价为 1230.0 元/吨，周环比上涨 2.50%。整体来看，焦煤基本面支撑有限，中长期需求担忧仍存，结合近 期动力煤价格低位企稳的走势，在缺乏中长期驱动的背景下，预计春节前 焦煤价格或维 ...

马棕报告影响有限 豆类油脂维持震荡 核心观点 2 月 10 日，豆类震荡偏弱，油脂冲高回落。豆一期价表现偏强，期价依 托 5 日和 10 日均线支撑上涨，伴随增仓 6.8 万手；豆二期价震荡偏弱,期价承 压于 20 日均线压力，暂获 5 日均线支撑，资金变化不大；豆粕期价震荡偏强， 期价承压于 20 日、30 日和 60 日均线压力，资金变化不大；菜粕期价依托 5 日 均线支撑震荡偏强，资金变化不大。油脂期价冲高回落，豆油期价跌破 5 日和 20 日均线支撑，资金变化不大；棕榈油期价震荡偏弱，期价承压于 5 日均线 压力，跌破 20 日均线支撑，伴随减仓 1.1 万手；菜籽油期价震荡偏弱，期价 承压于 5 日和 60 日均线压力，下方暂获 30 日均线支撑，资金变化不大。 投资咨询业务资格：证监许可【2011】1778 号 期货研究报告 生猪 2026 年 2 月 10 日 豆类日报 姓名：毕慧 宝城期货投资咨询部 从业资格证号：F0268536 投资咨询证号：Z0011311 电话：0571-87006873 邮箱：bihui@bcqhgs.com 作者声明 本人具有中国期货业协 会授予的期货从业资格证 书 ...

姓名：涂伟华 宝城期货投资咨询部 从业资格证号：F3060359 投资咨询证号：Z0011688 电话：0571-87006873 邮箱：tuweihua@bcqhgs.com 作者声明 本人具有中国期货业协会 授予的期货从业资格证书，期 货投资咨询资格证书，本人承 诺以勤勉的职业态度，独立、 客观地出具本报告。本报告清 晰准确地反映了本人的研究观 点。本人不会因本报告中的具 体推荐意见或观点而直接或间 接接收到任何形式的报酬。 钢材&铁矿石 | 日报 2026 年 2 月 10 日 钢材&铁矿石日报 专业研究·创造价值 产业逻辑主导，钢矿偏弱运行 核心观点 螺纹钢：主力期价震荡下行，录得 0.55%日跌幅，量缩仓增。现阶段， 螺纹钢供应有所收缩，而需求同样走弱，供需双弱局面下螺纹钢基本面 弱势未变，淡季钢价继续承压，相对利好则是成本支撑，预计走势延续 震荡偏弱运行，关注库存变化情况。 投资咨询业务资格：证监许可【2011】1778 号 期货研究报告 一 产业动态 （1）2025 年全国社会物流总额超 368 万亿元，同比增长 5.1% 热轧卷板：主力期价偏弱震荡，录得 0.65%日跌幅，量缩仓增。目前来 看 ...

期货研究报告 有色金属 姓名：龙奥明 宝城期货投资咨询部 从业资格证号：F3035632 投资咨询证号：Z0014648 电话：0571-87006873 邮箱：longaoming@bcqhgs.com 作者声明 本人具有中国期货业协会授 予的期货从业资格证书，期货投 资咨询资格证书，本人承诺以勤 勉的职业态度，独立、客观地出 具本报告。本报告清晰准确地反 映了本人的研究观点。本人不会 因本报告中的具体推荐意见或观 点而直接或间接接收到任何形式 的报酬。 投资咨询业务资格：证监许可【2011】1778 号 有色金属 | 日报 2026 年 2 月 10 日 有色日报 专业研究·创造价值 有色震荡走弱 核心观点 沪铜 今日铜价震荡走弱，沪铜持仓量小幅下降。宏观层面，国内临近 春节假期，市场交投活跃度下降，行情波动也随之下降。产业层 面，本周一电解铜社库呈现去化，下游逢低补库意愿较强。临近春 节假期，短期资金驱动较弱。短期可关注白银走势，白银短期走势 或影响铜价。 沪铝 今日铝价震荡走弱，沪铝持仓量小幅下降。宏观层面，国内临近 春节假期，市场交投活跃度下降，行情波动也随之下降。产业层 面，国内电解铝季节性累库。 ...

投资咨询业务资格：证监许可【2011】1778 号 期货研究报告 碳酸锂 姓名：龙奥明 宝城期货投资咨询部 从业资格证号：F3035632 投资咨询证号：Z0014648 电话：0571-87006873 邮箱：longaoming@bcqhgs.com 作者声明 本人具有中国期货业协会授 予的期货从业资格证书，期货投 资咨询资格证书，本人承诺以勤 勉的职业态度，独立、客观地出 具本报告。本报告清晰准确地反 映了本人的研究观点。本人不会 因本报告中的具体推荐意见或观 点而直接或间接接收到任何形式 的报酬。 碳酸锂 | 日报 2026 年 2 月 10 日 碳酸锂日报 专业研究·创造价值 【现货市场】碳酸锂现货价格为 136040 元/吨，较前日上涨 0.31%，近 10 个交易日整体呈现下降走势。 【基差分析】当前基差为-1580 点，负基差（现货贴水），较前日 走强 100 点，近 10 个交易日基差整体走弱。 【仓单情况】碳酸锂注册仓单量为 35537 手，较前日增加 940 手 （+2.72%），近 10 个交易日仓单整体增加。 【供需关系】节前供需双弱。 （仅供参考，不构成任何投资建议） 专业研究·创 ...

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the content 2. Core View of the Report - For the short - term, medium - term, and intraday of thermal coal spot, the view is "oscillation". The core logic is that during the peak winter period, high daily coal consumption in national power plants drives inventory reduction in the middle and lower reaches of the industrial chain. However, stable coal production and a bearish long - term market outlook suppress coal prices at a low level. [1][4] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Variety View Reference - The short - term, medium - term, and intraday views of thermal coal spot are all "oscillation". The core logic is that the peak demand season supports a slight increase in port coal prices. [1] 3.2 Main Variety Price Market Driving Logic - Commodity Futures Black Sector - The reference view of thermal coal spot is "oscillation". As of February 5, 2026, the quotation of 5500K thermal coal at Qinhuangdao Port is 692 yuan/ton, with a week - on - week increase of 1 yuan/ton. High daily coal consumption in power plants drives inventory reduction, but stable production and a bearish long - term outlook keep coal prices low. [4]