嘉能可
Search documents
广金期货策略早餐-20250529
Guang Jin Qi Huo· 2025-05-29 06:37
Group 1: Copper - Investment Rating: Not provided - Core View: Copper prices show strong resilience due to US tariff policies despite the domestic market entering the off - season. There are concerns about supply due to the shutdown of the Kamoa copper mine [1] - Summary: - Intraday View: Fluctuate between 77,500 - 79,000 [1] - Medium - term View: Fluctuate between 66,000 - 90,000 [1] - Reference Strategy: Adopt an oscillating operation approach [1] - Core Logic: Macro - Trump postponed EU tariffs, increasing market risk appetite; Supply - LME available inventory dropped to a one - year low, and the Kakula copper mine in Congo stopped production; Demand - US tariff policy boosted import demand, while domestic downstream demand declined; Inventory - LME and SHFE copper inventories decreased [1] Group 2: Protein Meal - Investment Rating: Not provided - Core View: The trend of soybean meal being stronger in the far - term than the near - term is weakening. Consider selling out - of - the - money put options on near - term soybean meal contracts and holding the "long soybean oil 2509 - short palm oil 2509" position [4][6] - Summary: - Intraday View: Soybean and rapeseed meal continue to fluctuate widely [2] - Medium - term View: The far - strong and near - weak trend of soybean meal weakens [4] - Reference Strategy: Sell the out - of - the - money put option of soybean meal 2509 - P - 2850 [4] - Core Logic: As of May 27, the basis of soybean meal spot - 09 was negative. There may be positive factors from US soybean shipments and weather speculation. Domestic soybean meal has the characteristic of "not following the rise of the external market". The US biodiesel policy and RVO obligations have uncertainties. South American soybean production is finalized, and the focus shifts to North America. Canadian rapeseed planting is faster than usual, while Ukrainian rapeseed production is expected to decline [4][5][6] Group 3: Petroleum Asphalt - Investment Rating: Not provided - Core View: In the short term, asphalt prices face upward pressure due to factors such as rainfall and funds. In the long term, with the increase in supply and weak demand, if oil prices decline, asphalt prices are expected to follow a weak trend [8][10] - Summary: - Intraday View: Operate under pressure [7] - Medium - term View: Oscillate weakly [7] - Reference Strategy: Sell at high prices [8] - Core Logic: Supply - Local refineries are in a loss - making state, and the domestic asphalt plant operating rate has declined. Production is expected to increase in May. Demand - Rainfall in some areas and poor project funds have led to weak demand. Inventory - Asphalt plant inventory has decreased, while social inventory has increased. Cost - Oil price fluctuations are large, and there is support from raw material costs [8][9]
最新!澳洲富豪Top10揭晓,矿业女王连续6年蝉联榜首
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-29 02:57
《澳洲金融评论报》报道称,矿企大亨Gina Rinehart连续第6年蝉联Financial Review Rich List榜首,尽 管铁矿石价格下跌导致其身家缩水6%至381亿澳元,但 依旧遥遥领先于其他人。 大宗商品价格疲软也导致其他排名前10的富豪身家缩水,包括排名第5的Clive Palmer(201亿澳元)和 第9的Nicola Forrest(128亿澳元)。 这导致澳洲10大富豪的总身家缩水了9.2%,至2020亿澳元。 但尽管如此,200名富豪的总财富仍有所增 长。 矿业依旧首当其冲,总价值1413亿 澳元(下降4.6%),其次是房地产业,总价值1258亿澳元(增长 5.5%)。 今年是Rich List发布的第43个年头,完整榜单将于周五公布。 第一份较简短的榜 单于1983年在Business Review Weekly发布,1984年扩展至200人。 (图片来源:《澳洲金融评论报》) Rinehart的父亲Lang Hancock曾跻身首份富豪榜,此后这个家族一直是榜单的常 客。 (图片来源:《澳洲金融评论报》) Rinehart的Hancock Prospecting不仅是澳洲最大的 ...
中辉有色观点-20250529
Zhong Hui Qi Huo· 2025-05-29 02:42
中辉有色观点 | 品种 | 核心观点 | 主要逻辑及价格区间 | | --- | --- | --- | | | | 债券收益率冲高回落,影响黄金的短期节奏,但是关税问题远没有解决,俄乌 | | 黄金 | 震荡冲高 | 战火、中东仍然复杂。央行或继续购金。本轮大牛的主要驱动是国际秩序改变, | | | | 长期看黄金是未来秩序筹码,尚在秩序重塑途中,战略配置价值高。【760-787】 | | 白银 | 区间震荡 | 需求方面,全球经济需求较去年或有下降,供给量变化不大,尽管各国财政关 税对冲关税带来的负面影响,但是受黄金和基本金属影响较大,黄金波动刺激 | | | | 跟随,价格没有摆脱此前区间,操作上仍延续此前的区间思路对待。【8200-8390】 | | 铜 | 承压 | 随着端午假期临近,市场避险情绪回升,铜承压回落,关注下方整数关口支撑,空 | | | | 仓或者轻仓过节,中长期依旧看好铜。沪铜关注区间【77000,78000】 | | 锌 | 承压 | 短期供应扰动冲击影响消退,随着端午长假临近,市场避险情绪回升,建议暂 | | | | 时观望,长期看,锌供增需弱,把握逢高空机会。沪锌关注区间【22 ...
中信期货:有色每日报告:美元走势偏弱,有色下方仍有支撑-20250529
Zhong Xin Qi Huo· 2025-05-29 02:26
1. Report Industry Investment Rating The report does not provide an overall industry investment rating. However, for individual metals, the mid - term outlooks are as follows: - Copper: Oscillating on the strong side [5] - Alumina: Oscillating [5] - Aluminum: Oscillating [6] - Zinc: Oscillating on the weak side [7] - Lead: Oscillating [10] - Nickel: Oscillating on the weak side [11] - Stainless steel: Oscillating [15] - Tin: Oscillating [18] 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report The overall view is that the US dollar is trending weakly, providing support for the non - ferrous metals market. In the short - to - medium term, the real supply - demand fundamentals are expected to strengthen again, and the macro - outlook is positive with some fluctuations. Attention should be paid to structural opportunities and short - long opportunities for varieties with supply disruptions. In the long - term, the demand prospects for base metals are uncertain, and opportunities to short on rallies can be considered for some oversupplied or expected - to - be - oversupplied varieties [1]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs 3.1行情观点 3.1.1 Copper - Information: Supply disruptions occur at Zijin Mining's mine, and the annual mid - term negotiation for copper processing fees is approaching. China's electrolytic copper production has increased, and the spot premium is stable. The inventory has decreased slightly. Glencore is buying Russian copper for the Chinese market [5]. - Logic: Macro risks have decreased, and the supply of copper mines is tight with ongoing processing fee negotiations. Demand is rising in the peak season, but the inventory decline has slowed down [5]. - Outlook: Copper prices are expected to oscillate on the strong side in the short term due to supply constraints and increasing demand [5]. 3.1.2 Alumina - Information: The spot price has a slow increase, and a Guizhou enterprise is resuming production. Guinea is cracking down on mining rights [5]. - Logic: In the short - to - medium term, the supply of bauxite is sufficient, and the tightness of the spot market has eased. There are many long - term news events causing market fluctuations [5]. - Outlook: The logic of near - month production resumption is more certain. Consider 7 - 9/7 - 1 reverse arbitrage after the spot and inventory inflection points [5]. 3.1.3 Aluminum - Information: The spot price is rising, and the inventory is decreasing. Some enterprises in Sichuan are resuming production. Russia may supply more aluminum to the US [6]. - Logic: Tariff issues have improved, and the supply growth is limited. The demand is strengthening, and the supply - demand is in a tight balance in the long - term [6]. - Outlook: The demand is rising slightly, and the inventory is expected to decline. It is recommended to go long on dips, and the price will oscillate [6]. 3.1.4 Zinc - Information: The spot premium is stable, and the inventory is decreasing. A mine's production is expected to be lower than expected [7]. - Logic: The market has digested the maintenance news. The supply of zinc ore is loosening, and the demand is seasonally rising but with limited new orders [7]. - Outlook: The demand is recovering, but the long - term supply surplus is expected, and the price will oscillate on the weak side [7]. 3.1.5 Lead - Information: The price of waste batteries has increased, and the lead ingot price has decreased slightly. The inventory has decreased, and it is the traditional consumption off - season [10]. - Logic: The spot discount is stable, the supply cost is rising, and the demand from battery factories is good [10]. - Outlook: After the Geneva negotiation, the tariff impact has weakened. The demand is in the off - season, but the cost support is stable, and the price will oscillate [10]. 3.1.6 Nickel - Information: The LME and domestic inventories are increasing. Indonesia has various policies and events affecting the nickel market [11]. - Logic: Market sentiment dominates the market. The industry fundamentals are weakening marginally, with high inventory and supply pressure [11]. - Outlook: Short - term wide - range oscillation, and short on rallies for the long - term [11]. 3.1.7 Stainless steel - Information: The futures warehouse receipt inventory has decreased, and the spot premium has widened. The predicted price of Indonesian nickel ore is stable to slightly decreasing [15]. - Logic: The price of nickel and chromium is stable, and the supply is high. The demand is out of the peak season, and the inventory has decreased [15]. - Outlook: Cost provides some support, but demand is weakening. The price will oscillate in the short term [15]. 3.1.8 Tin - Information: The inventory in London and Shanghai has changed, and the spot price has increased slightly. There are rumors of tin ore inflows from Wa State [18]. - Logic: The market sentiment has improved, and the fundamentals are still resilient. However, supply disruptions are easing, and the long - term demand is not optimistic [18]. - Outlook: The macro - environment has improved, but the upside is limited. The price will oscillate, and the performance of开工 rate and inventory will determine the price height in the second quarter [18]. 3.2行情监测 The report only lists the names of different metals (copper, alumina, aluminum, zinc, lead, nickel, stainless steel, tin) for monitoring, but no specific monitoring content is provided [21][35][47][60][64][84][99][109]
建信期货焦炭焦煤日评-20250529
Jian Xin Qi Huo· 2025-05-29 01:57
Group 1: Report Information - Report Type: Coke and Coking Coal Daily Review [1] - Date: May 29, 2025 [2] - Research Team: Black Metal Research Team [3] - Researchers: Zhai Hepan, Nie Jiayi, Feng Zeren [3] Group 2: Market Performance Futures Market - On May 28, the main contracts 2509 of coke and coking coal futures oscillated downward, hitting new lows for September contracts since January 2017 and September 2016 respectively in the afternoon. The J2509 contract closed at 1338.5 yuan/ton, down 1.91%, with a trading volume of 21,100 lots and an open interest of 57,482 lots, an increase of 1,175 lots. The JM2509 contract closed at 779 yuan/ton, down 2.20%, with a trading volume of 537,375 lots and an open interest of 526,866 lots, an increase of 5,852 lots. The capital inflow/outflow was 0.03 billion yuan for J2509 and -0.73 billion yuan for JM2509 [5]. Spot Market - On May 28, the daily KDJ indicators of the coke and coking coal 2509 contracts declined, with the J and K values turning down and the D value continuing to slide. The daily MACD green bar of the coke 2509 contract continued to expand, while that of the coking coal 2509 contract turned to expand. The ex - warehouse price index of quasi - first - class metallurgical coke at Rizhao Port, Qingdao Port, and Tianjin Port was 1390 yuan/ton, with no change. The price in Tangshan was 1320 yuan/ton, also unchanged. The aggregated price of low - sulfur main coking coal in different regions remained stable [8]. Group 3: Market Outlook Coke - In the past 5 weeks, the coke production of independent coking plants has hovered near the highest level since early August last year, while the coke production of steel mills has slightly declined since late April. The coke inventory at ports has significantly decreased in the past 5 weeks, but the inventory reduction speed of steel mills and coking plants is slow, adding new downward pressure on coke prices. The profit per ton of coke turned from profit to loss after 2 consecutive weeks of profit, mainly because the second - round price increase of coke spot prices did not occur after the first - round increase in mid - April, creating conditions for steel mills to propose a price cut, which was implemented on May 16 [10]. Coking Coal - From January to April, the year - on - year growth of imports turned negative, but the absolute value of imports remained at a high level, and the overall loose pattern was difficult to reverse. The raw coal inventory of coal washing plants has significantly increased, and the clean coal inventory has risen again to a relatively high level. In the past 5 weeks, the inventory of independent coking plants has significantly decreased, and the port inventory has also returned to the normal level before early August last year, but the inventory of steel mills has increased steadily. If coking plants also adopt inventory reduction strategies while steel mills still have relatively sufficient inventory, coking coal prices are likely to fall rather than rise [10]. Overall - Although the weak market of coke and coking coal futures continues, and there may be new lows in the next two weeks, positive factors in the fundamentals and news are accumulating. Attention should be paid to whether a turning point of bottom - fishing rebound can occur in about the next two weeks under the changes in tariff policies and the recovery of confidence in the steel market [10] Group 4: Industry News - In April 2025, the national issuance of new bonds was 253.4 billion yuan, including 23.3 billion yuan of general bonds and 230.1 billion yuan of special bonds. From January to April, the cumulative issuance of new local government bonds was 1492.7 billion yuan, including 302.3 billion yuan of general bonds and 1190.4 billion yuan of special bonds [12]. - The construction of the Dapingtan Coal Mine project is accelerating. The mine is located in Kuche City, Aksu Region, Xinjiang, with a mining area of 16.56 square kilometers, a geological reserve of 247 million tons, and a designed production capacity of 2.4 million tons/year [12]. - Nanjing Iron and Steel Co., Ltd.'s subsidiary, Anhui Jin'an Mining Co., Ltd., obtained the exploration right of Fanqiao Iron Mine in Huoqiu County, Anhui Province. The mine has an ore resource of 116.4967 million tons and a normal - year production capacity of 3.5 million tons/year of iron ore and 1.04 million tons/year of iron concentrate [12][13]. - Jiantou Energy expects the thermal coal market to be generally loose in 2025, with coal prices likely to decline further. The company's long - term agreement signing coverage rate in 2025 exceeds 80% [13]. - Lingyuan Iron and Steel Co., Ltd.'s 2290m³ blast furnace was successfully put into operation on May 27, 2025, after capacity replacement [13]. - Handan City encourages steel and logistics enterprises to integrate resources, explore centralized procurement of bulk commodities, and develop multimodal transport [13][14]. - The production - continuation land use project of Heidaigou and Halwusu Open - pit Mines in Zhungeer Banner was approved, which can meet the land demand of the two mines for the next five years [14]. - From January to April 2025, the automobile industry's production increased by 11% year - on - year, but the profit decreased by 5.1%. The industry needs to control costs [14]. - In April 2025, China exported 10.462 million tons of steel, basically the same as the previous month. From January to April, the cumulative export was 37.891 million tons, a year - on - year increase of 8.2% [14]. - In April 2025, the US coal production was 39.6403 million tons, a year - on - year increase of 22.37% and a month - on - month decrease of 6.53% [15]. - In March 2025, India's coal imports were 20.2908 million tons, a year - on - year decrease of 7.79% and a month - on - month increase of 13.65% [15]. - Glencore's Ulan Coal Mine in Australia was approved for expansion, allowing it to mine an additional 18.8 million tons of coal and extend its mine life by two years [15]. - The nationwide blackout in Portugal on April 28 may have caused economic losses of over 2 billion euros to Portuguese enterprises [15] Group 5: Data Overview - The report presents multiple data charts, including the spot price index of metallurgical coke, the aggregated price of main coking coal, the production and capacity utilization rate of coking plants and steel mills, the national daily average pig iron output, the inventory of coke and coking coal in ports, steel mills, and coking plants, the profit per ton of coke for independent coking plants, the production and operating rate of coal washing plants, the inventory of raw coal and clean coal in coal washing plants, and the basis between spot and futures contracts [16][17][19][29][33][36]
华尔街见闻早餐FM-Radio | 2025年5月28日
Hua Er Jie Jian Wen· 2025-05-27 23:28
华见早安之声 请各位听众升级为见闻最新版APP,以便成功收听以下音频。 市场概述 欧美贸易紧张局势缓解,美国消费者信心增加,标普、纳指涨超2%。特斯拉涨近7%、领涨科技七巨头。财报前英伟达收涨超3%。特朗普媒体跌10%。中概 指数六连阴。拼多多一季度营收不及预期,股价跌近14%。德股创历史新高。 报道称日本新日铁将以每股55美元收购美国钢铁,"黄金股"确保美方控制权。 日本出手稳定债市,日债暴力反弹,也提振美债。两年期美债标售后,美债收益率刷新日低。 受日本出手稳定债市以及美国消费者信心改善的影响,美元指数走强,日元创四周新高后一度跌超1%。 盘中原油跌近2%,期金一度跌超2%、黄金连续两日下跌。 亚洲时段,A股齐收跌,成交不足万亿,创新药活跃,恒指午后走高收涨,泡泡玛特创新高,商品、国债均走低。 6/7北京AI大师课报名|新财富白金分析师旷实带你把握中国科技重估下的AI投资主线,了解详情>> 要闻 特朗普罕见赞赏欧盟:对加快贸易谈判感到鼓舞。欧洲一边"加速推进"与美谈判,一边威胁美国科技公司成为"报复对象"。 特朗普怒喷苹果,报道称导火索可能是库克没跟着去中东。 被债务上限"卡脖子",美国财政部削减短债发行 ...
供应过剩!全球动力煤价格创四年半新低
Hua Er Jie Jian Wen· 2025-05-26 07:45
Kpler分析师Firat Ergene直言不讳地指出了市场的残酷现实:"目前几乎没有价格支撑。即便价格更低,也没人会购 买更多煤炭。" 当供应过剩遇到库存激增,全球动力煤市场正遭遇一场"完美风暴"! 5月26日,全球动力煤价格跌至四年半以来的新低,且仅有2022年全球能源危机创下的峰值水平的四分之一。这一 断崖式下跌主要源于产量的持续增长和库存的激增。 印尼、澳大利亚、南非和哥伦比亚等煤炭出口国遭受的打击尤为严重。值得注意的是,分析师警告称更大跌幅或 许还在后头。 有分析认为,在全球去煤化浪潮与供需失衡的双重挤压下,动力煤正从昔日的"黑金"沦为烫手山芋,动力煤基准 价格的崩塌堪称市场教科书级别的逆转。 动力煤市场的戏剧性反转 据悉,2022年俄乌冲突引发的全球能源危机一度将煤炭价格送上"黄金宝座",矿业公司和对冲基金从中赚取了丰 厚利润。 然而,正是这段"黄金时期"埋下了今天供应过剩的种子。持续的高价刺激了全球产能的疯狂扩张,如今,当供应 的洪流涌入市场,煤价的自由落体几乎不可避免。 据报道,作为全球最大的动力煤生产国和消费国,中国今年的国内产量创下历史新高,给全球煤炭市场带来双重 打击: 首先,创纪录的产 ...
赚翻了!中国70亿美元收购邦巴斯铜矿,如今总价值超千亿美元
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-05-24 03:45
Core Insights - The article highlights the strategic acquisition of the Bambas copper mine by China Minmetals ten years ago for $7 billion, which has now turned into a significant asset valued over 100 billion yuan, showcasing a successful investment strategy during a downturn in the global copper market [1][3][15] Group 1: Investment Strategy - In 2014, during a global downturn in copper prices, China Minmetals seized the opportunity to acquire the Bambas copper mine, which was undervalued at $6,600 per ton, effectively purchasing a valuable asset at a fraction of its worth [3][6] - The mine has a production capacity of 400,000 tons of copper concentrate annually, contributing significantly to China's domestic copper supply [6][8] - The total estimated output by 2025 is projected to reach 3.1 million tons, generating approximately $28 billion in revenue from copper sales alone, excluding additional revenues from by-products like silver and molybdenum [6][8] Group 2: Operational Efficiency - The mining operation has achieved a low extraction cost of $3,200 per ton, making it competitive even when copper prices drop to $8,000, ensuring profitability [6][8] - The mine's valuation has surpassed 100 billion yuan, with only 10% of its resources extracted so far, indicating a long-term profit potential over the next 20 years [6][8] Group 3: Strategic Resource Management - China Minmetals' acquisition of the Bambas mine has reduced China's reliance on copper imports, which currently stands at 25 million tons annually, with over 75% dependence on foreign sources [8] - The mine provides a stable supply of copper at prices 12% lower than the spot market, benefiting key industries such as electric vehicles and photovoltaic cables [8][11] Group 4: Community and Environmental Impact - The company has implemented sustainable practices by planting 1.9 million trees and rehabilitating 368 hectares of land, demonstrating a commitment to environmental stewardship [11] - Local employment initiatives have resulted in 98.4% of the workforce being locally hired, significantly boosting the local economy and creating 5,600 new jobs in 2023 [11][13] Group 5: Technological Advancements - The Bambas mine employs advanced technologies such as remote-controlled mining and smart helmets, enhancing operational efficiency and safety [13] - Innovations in processing techniques have improved recovery rates by 9%, contributing to increased production without additional resource extraction [13][15]
新能源金属储备全球化博弈,读懂中国“一超三强”大格局
2 1 Shi Ji Jing Ji Bao Dao· 2025-05-23 09:57
Core Insights - The rapid development of China's new energy industry has led to a significant increase in overseas resource mergers and acquisitions by Chinese mining companies, enhancing their global presence and resource security [2][3] - Companies like Luoyang Molybdenum and Tianqi Lithium have emerged as leaders in the cobalt and lithium markets, respectively, showcasing the potential for growth and strategic acquisitions in the mining sector [3][9] Group 1: Industry Overview - The distribution of mineral resources, such as cobalt, is highly uneven globally, with the Democratic Republic of Congo accounting for 70% of the world's cobalt production, highlighting the strategic importance of overseas acquisitions for Chinese companies [1][2] - The domestic demand for lithium and cobalt has surged alongside the growth of the new energy vehicle market, with lithium carbonate prices reaching historical highs of 170,000 yuan/ton in 2017 [5][8] Group 2: Company Performance - Luoyang Molybdenum has become the world's largest cobalt producer in 2023, with production increasing from 1.5-2 million tons to 5.55 million tons in 2023, and projected to reach 11.42 million tons in 2024 [10][12] - Tianqi Lithium's revenue and net profit skyrocketed from 1.3 billion yuan and 14 billion yuan in 2013 to 40 billion yuan and 24 billion yuan in 2022, respectively, due to strategic acquisitions and market demand [4][8] Group 3: Strategic Acquisitions - Tianqi Lithium's acquisition of a 23.77% stake in Chile's SQM for $4.066 billion in 2018 was a pivotal move, allowing it to secure access to one of the world's highest-quality lithium resources [7][9] - Luoyang Molybdenum's acquisition of the TFM and KFM projects in the Democratic Republic of Congo has positioned it as a key player in the global cobalt market, with significant production increases expected [10][12] Group 4: Market Dynamics - The global cobalt market is relatively small compared to other industrial metals, with Luoyang Molybdenum projected to account for 39.4% of global cobalt production by 2024, indicating its influence on price fluctuations [12][13] - The copper market is also seeing significant contributions from Chinese companies, with domestic copper production expected to grow significantly, driven by companies like Zijin Mining and Luoyang Molybdenum [16][19] Group 5: Globalization and Challenges - Chinese mining companies are increasingly facing challenges in their global operations, including regulatory issues and geopolitical risks, as seen in Luoyang Molybdenum's disputes in the Democratic Republic of Congo [22][25] - Diversification in resource acquisition is becoming essential for mitigating risks, with companies like Zijin Mining and Luoyang Molybdenum expanding their operations across multiple countries and mineral types [26]
碳酸锂期货日报-20250522
Jian Xin Qi Huo· 2025-05-22 01:51
Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided. 2. Core View of the Report - The decline of lithium carbonate futures has slowed down, with total positions decreasing by 7,059 lots, and funds slightly leaving the market. The spot price of lithium carbonate continues to decline, and the cost - side support is ineffective. Salt plants have insufficient motivation to reduce production, and the supply side continues to pressure prices. However, the terminal demand is improving, which will support lithium prices. In the short term, the supply - side pressure and demand - side recovery coexist. It is expected that the social inventory of lithium carbonate will slightly decrease. The risk - return ratio of shorting is not good, and the rebound space of lithium carbonate is limited due to inventory pressure [7]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Market Review and Operation Suggestions - Lithium carbonate futures fluctuated slightly up, with total positions down 7,059 lots. The spot price of lithium carbonate continued to decline, with electric carbon down 200, and ore prices also dropped. The losses of salt plants using purchased lithium spodumene and mica have narrowed. The cost - side support is difficult to work as ore prices haven't stopped falling, and salt plants have little motivation to cut production. From May 1 - 18, the retail sales of new - energy passenger vehicles in China reached 484,000, a year - on - year increase of 32% and a 15% increase from the same period last month. The terminal demand for energy - storage batteries is improving due to export rush, which will support lithium prices. It is expected that the social inventory of lithium carbonate will slightly decrease [7]. 3.2 Industry News - **Argentina's Mining Project**: On May 20, Argentina approved a $2.5 - billion lithium project of Rio Tinto, the first mining project under the new investment incentive mechanism. Other companies applying for mining projects include Ganfeng Lithium, McEwen Copper and Posco, but only Rio Tinto's project has been approved so far [8]. - **Solid - State Battery Development**: Since the beginning of this year, there have been continuous positive news in China's solid - state battery field. At the 17th Shenzhen International Battery Technology Exchange/Exhibition, many new solid - state battery products were unveiled. The solid - state battery technology is continuously breaking through, and the industrialization process is expected to accelerate. There are 49 A - share stocks related to solid - state batteries. Since May, the solid - state battery stocks have generally performed well, with the concept index up 5.4%, and 10 stocks up more than 10%, among which Guoxuan High - Tech, Xinyu Renhe and Defu Technology led the gains [9]. - **Cobalt Export Policy**: On May 20, CMOC called on the Democratic Republic of the Congo to lift the cobalt export ban, warning that the current policy is accelerating car companies' shift to cobalt - free batteries. Congo (DRC) imposed a four - month embargo in February. CMOC plans to produce 100,000 - 120,000 tons of cobalt this year. After the embargo expires on June 22, it may switch to a quota system, which may further support the rebound of cobalt prices [9].