Core Viewpoint - The glass market is experiencing a significant price increase due to supply constraints and rising production costs, driven by government-mandated production line shutdowns and increasing raw material prices [1][3][4] Supply and Demand Dynamics - In the Shahe region, four coal-fired production lines have been shut down since November 2, resulting in a loss of 2,400 tons/day of production capacity, which has led to a surge in glass trading and a production-sales rate of 166% [1] - Current daily melting capacity remains stable at 161,300 tons, with no immediate plans for production line shutdowns or restarts [3] - The overall demand has improved recently, particularly in Shahe and Hubei, with downstream sectors primarily focused on replenishing inventory [3] Price Influences - The rising prices of soda ash are contributing to increased production costs for glass manufacturers, while the demand for coal and natural gas is expected to rise during the heating season, further supporting glass prices [1] - Despite high inventory levels in glass manufacturing, the sentiment in the market is being positively influenced by macroeconomic policies and recent important meetings, suggesting a potential for price recovery [3][4] Market Outlook - The glass market is currently characterized by high inventory levels, with a slight decrease in factory stock observed recently [3] - The seasonal demand is weaker than expected, and the market is anticipated to return to fundamentals as prices adjust [4] - Future focus will be on the sustainability of production and sales, as well as the overall demand from end-users [3][4]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating The provided content does not mention the industry investment rating. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - Glass is expected to continue in a pattern of weak demand and strong expectations in November 2025, with the 01 contract likely to oscillate at the bottom. Attention should be paid to low - buying opportunities after the premium is reversed. In the long - term, the cost support of the glass industry will gradually strengthen [3][63]. - For soda ash, in the short - term, there is a risk of capacity clearance. The price is expected to continue to oscillate at the bottom. The SA01 contract should focus on the previous low support. In the long - term, the valuation of soda ash is not optimistic due to the expected new capacity release [4][102]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Glass 2025 November Strategy Report 3.1.1 Glass 2025 October Review - In October, glass supply was stable, demand was weak, and the speculative demand in the middle - stream turned into speculative supply. The upstream inventory increased rapidly, and the prices in the main producing areas dropped. By the end of the month, the spot price stabilized at a low level [11]. - The FG01 - 05 spread continued the reverse - spread trend, corresponding to the weak reality and the market's expectation of environmental protection and capacity - restriction policies [11]. - In terms of supply, the daily melting capacity was stable in October, with 1 line ignited and no cold - repair. The production cost increased slightly, and the profit situation deteriorated [14]. - On the demand side, the deep - processing orders decreased, and the mid - and downstream inventory decreased. The real - estate data was poor, white - goods production decreased year - on - year, and automobile production maintained a high growth rate [20][22]. 3.1.2 Glass 2025 November Outlook - **Demand**: Affected by the real - estate cycle, glass demand is expected to remain weak. In November, the rigid demand may be weak and stable seasonally. Attention should be paid to whether the middle - stream replenishes inventory [50]. - **Supply**: In November, the ignition and cold - repair of production lines are expected to be relatively balanced. The supply may be affected by cold - repair and policy implementation, but the medium - term positive impact is limited [55]. - **Cost**: In October, the increase in fuel prices raised the production cost of the glass industry. The cost support for prices will gradually strengthen [60]. 3.1.3 Glass Balance Sheet and Strategy Outlook - In November, the glass supply - demand pattern is expected to remain weak year - on - year, and the upstream inventory is expected to be worse than that in the fourth quarter of last year. - The valuation is driven by supply - side factors and potential mid - and downstream inventory replenishment. The 01 contract is expected to oscillate at the bottom, and attention should be paid to low - buying opportunities. The 01 - 05 spread has limited room to widen [63]. 3.2 Soda Ash 2025 November Strategy Report 3.2.1 Soda Ash 2025 October Review - In October, the high - supply and high - inventory pattern of soda ash remained unchanged. The spot price decreased slightly after the National Day, and the production cost increased due to the rise in coal prices. The SA01 contract oscillated in the range of 1200 - 1275 yuan/ton [70]. - In terms of supply, the production of soda ash remained high, but the alkali plant's initiative to reduce the load increased. The cost increased, and the industry's loss expanded [79]. - On the demand side, the demand for heavy soda ash from the glass industry was stable, and the demand for light soda ash was supported. The net export of soda ash in September remained at a relatively high level [82][86]. - In terms of inventory, the upstream inventory increased seasonally at the beginning of the month and then changed little under the drive of downstream low - price replenishment [89]. 3.2.2 Soda Ash 2025 November Outlook - **Supply**: The capacity clearance of the soda ash industry is expected to continue in November, but the mid - term price is still under pressure due to the expected release of 2.8 million tons of new capacity from Yuangxing Phase II [95]. - **Demand**: The rigid demand for light soda ash is supported, and the demand for heavy soda ash from the glass industry is expected to be stable [98][99]. 3.2.3 Soda Ash Balance Sheet and Strategy Outlook - In November, the soda ash supply - demand surplus pattern has not changed. The price is affected by the progress of Yuangxing Phase II's production. In the long - term, the valuation of soda ash is not optimistic. - The current price of soda ash is expected to continue to oscillate at the bottom. The SA01 contract should focus on the previous low support. The 01 - 05 spread lacks fundamental drivers and is more affected by macro factors [102].

Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant information provided. Core Viewpoints - Last week, the glass futures first declined and then rose. The closing price of the main contract FG2601 decreased by 0.82% compared to the previous week, reaching 1083 yuan/ton. The spot price of 5mm white glass sheets in Hebei Shahe was 1048 yuan/ton, down 0.38% from the previous week [2][8][13]. - The glass supply has stabilized at a low level and is showing signs of recovery. The demand from the terminal real - estate sector remains weak, and the glass fundamentals are characterized by stable supply and weak demand. In the short term, it is expected to mainly operate with a downward - biased oscillation [3]. - Influenced by the "anti - involution" policy, there is an expectation of capacity clearance in the float glass industry. However, the terminal real - estate demand is still weak, and the market sentiment of "anti - involution" has faded. The glass is expected to mainly operate with wide - range oscillations [5][6][7]. Summary by Directory Glass Futures and Spot Weekly Market - The closing price of the main contract decreased from 1092 yuan/ton to 1083 yuan/ton, a decline of 0.82%. The spot benchmark price dropped from 1052 yuan/ton to 1048 yuan/ton, a decrease of 0.38%. The main basis decreased from - 40 yuan/ton to - 35 yuan/ton, a decline of 12.50% [8]. Glass Spot Market - The market price of 5mm white glass sheets in Hebei Shahe, the spot benchmark location, was 1048 yuan/ton, down 0.38% from the previous week [13]. Fundamentals - Cost and Profit No specific content for cost and profit analysis provided other than the title. Fundamentals - Supply - The number of operating float glass production lines nationwide was 226, with an operating rate of 76.35%. The number of operating production lines is at a historically low level for the same period [23]. - The daily melting capacity of float glass nationwide was 161,300 tons, which is at the lowest level in the same period in history and has stabilized and started to recover [25]. Fundamentals - Demand - In August 2025, the apparent consumption of float glass was 4.8602 million tons [29]. Fundamentals - Inventory - The inventory of float glass enterprises nationwide was 65.79 million weight boxes, a decrease of 1.24% from the previous week, and the inventory is running above the 5 - year average [43]. Fundamentals - Supply - Demand Balance Sheet - The report provides the annual supply - demand balance sheet of float glass from 2017 to 2024E, including data on production, consumption, production growth rate, consumption growth rate, and net import ratio [44].

Summary of Tianhe Solar's Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Tianhe Solar - **Industry**: Solar Energy and Energy Storage Key Financial Performance - **Q3 2025 Net Profit**: Loss of 1.283 billion CNY, but improved from Q2 2025 [2][4] - **Total Revenue for Q3 2025**: 18.914 billion CNY [4] - **Total Revenue for the First Three Quarters of 2025**: 49.97 billion CNY, with a net loss of 4.2 billion CNY [4] Business Segment Performance - **Module Business**: - Shipment volume of approximately 18 GW with a loss of about 0.06 CNY per watt [2][5] - Expected shipment target for 2025: 70-75 GW [2][8] - **Energy Storage Business**: - Q3 2025 shipment exceeded 1 GWh with a small profit [2][5] - Annual shipment target for 2025: over 8 GWh, expected to double to 15-16 GWh in 2026 [2][3][6] - Anticipated overseas market share: 60%-70% [2][3] - **Distributed Systems**: - Achieved nearly 300 million CNY in profit in Q3 2025, with operational scale close to 20 GW [2][5] - Net profit per watt approximately 0.02 CNY [2][5] - **Support Structure Business**: - Q3 shipment of 2.2 GW, with over 70% being tracking supports and achieving profitability [2][5] Market Outlook - **Global Solar Market Demand**: Expected to remain stable or grow slightly in 2026, with significant growth in the Middle East and Asia-Pacific regions [4][15] - **Energy Storage Market Growth**: Anticipated industry growth rate of around 30% in 2026 due to increasing demand [2][6] - **India Market**: - Zero anti-dumping tax rate, significantly better than competitors facing 23%-30% [4][26] - Expected shipment in India to exceed 20 GW in H1 2025, with market share projected to rise from 7-8% to over 10% [4][26][27] Strategic Initiatives - **Response to Policy Changes**: - The cancellation of mandatory storage policies in China is expected to benefit competitive companies like Tianhe Solar [6][7] - Focus on high-value customer acquisition and signing overseas orders [6][7] - **Cost Management**: - Achieved a 20%-25% reduction in overall costs through supply chain management and operational efficiency [23] - **R&D Focus**: - Emphasis on developing proprietary energy storage systems, with a dedicated team for PCS product management [10][12] Risks and Challenges - **Profitability Concerns**: - Current profitability in the Chinese energy storage market is low, but expected to improve with scale and structural adjustments [12][13] - **Debt Levels**: - Industry debt levels are high, averaging over 75%, but opportunities for debt-to-equity conversions exist [25][24] Conclusion - Tianhe Solar is navigating a challenging financial landscape with strategic initiatives aimed at improving profitability and market share, particularly in the energy storage and international markets. The company is well-positioned to leverage favorable policy changes and growing demand in key regions like India and Europe.

Summary of the Conference Call Records Industry Overview - The analysis focuses on the overall performance of the A-share market in Q3 2025, highlighting a significant improvement in net profit growth, particularly in the dual innovation sectors, with the Sci-Tech 50 and ChiNext indices leading in net profit growth rates [1][2]. Key Financial Metrics - The net profit growth rate for the entire A-share market reached 11.55% year-on-year in Q3 2025, a notable increase compared to Q2 [1][2]. - The overall revenue growth for the A-share market was 3.89% year-on-year in Q3, with a cumulative growth of 1.4% for the first three quarters [2]. - The two non-financial sectors (excluding financial and oil & gas industries) showed a revenue growth of 3.5% in Q3, with a cumulative growth of 1.67% [2]. Profitability and Cost Management - The decline in expense ratios significantly contributed to corporate profitability, particularly with financial expenses decreasing by 11% year-on-year [1][6]. - The return on equity (ROE) for the two non-financial sectors slightly rebounded to 6.31% in Q3, although the recovery was weak [1][7]. - The improvement in net profit margins was the main driver for the ROE rebound, while asset turnover remained at a low level [7][10]. Economic Indicators and Their Impact - Macroeconomic indicators showed a rebound in industrial profits due to low base effects in August and September, with improvements in price levels, particularly the Producer Price Index (PPI) [3][11]. - The supply-side reforms are expected to positively influence PPI and related economic indicators, with a potential for PPI to turn positive by mid-2026 [11][12]. Cash Flow Analysis - Overall cash flow in Q3 2025 remained at a low level compared to the past decade, with operating cash flow showing improvement while investment cash flow declined [1][13]. - The operating cash flow for listed companies increased to 7.78% of revenue, up from 6.71% in the previous year, indicating some recovery in profit margins [14]. Sector Performance - The dual innovation sectors (Sci-Tech and ChiNext) showed significant profit improvements, with net profit growth rates of 65.4% and 33.38% respectively [5]. - The TMT (Technology, Media, and Telecommunications) sector maintained high growth, with double-digit net profit growth across various sub-sectors, particularly in semiconductors and optical electronics [23]. - The non-bank financial sector performed well, driven by strong market profitability and significant investment income growth [22]. Consumer Goods Sector - The essential consumer goods sector, particularly the liquor segment, faced challenges with both volume and price declines, impacting even leading companies [19]. - In contrast, the discretionary consumer goods sector saw high growth in segments like sports, automotive services, and cosmetics, benefiting from structural recovery supported by policies [20]. Future Outlook - The economic recovery is expected to accelerate in the latter half of 2025 and into 2026, driven by demand-side policies and improved corporate expectations [18]. - However, there remains uncertainty regarding corporate capital expenditure willingness, as companies have yet to form a strong consensus on future revenue expectations [18]. Conclusion - The overall performance of the A-share market in Q3 2025 indicates a positive trend, with significant improvements in profitability and revenue growth across various sectors. However, challenges remain in consumer goods and the need for sustained economic recovery and corporate investment.

交易咨询业务资格：证监许可【2012】1091号 大越期货投资咨询部 胡毓秀 从业资格证号：F03105325 投资咨询证号：Z0021337 联系方式：0575-85226759 重要提示：本报告非期货交易咨询业务项下服务，其中的观点和信息仅作参考之用，不构成对任何人的投资建议 。 我司不会因为关注、收到或阅读本报告内容而视相关人员为客户；市场有风险，投资需谨慎。 玻璃早报 2025-11-3 每日观点 玻璃： 1、基本面：供给低位企稳回升，但沙河地区"煤改气"等供应端扰动因素较多；下游深加工订单 整体偏弱，不及往年同期，地产终端需求疲弱，库存高位；偏空 2、基差：浮法玻璃河北沙河大板现货1048元/吨，FG2601收盘价为1083元/吨，基差为-35元，期 货升水现货；偏空 3、库存：全国浮法玻璃企业库存6579万重量箱，较前一周减少1.24%，库存在5年均值上方运行； 偏空 4、盘面：价格在20日线下方运行，20日线向下；偏空 5、主力持仓：主力持仓净空，空减；偏空 6、预期：玻璃基本面偏弱，短期预计震荡偏弱运行为主。 影响因素总结 利多： 1、"反内卷"政策影响下，浮法玻璃行业存产能出清预期。 利空： ...

Core Insights - The 30-year Treasury ETF (511090) is experiencing a stalemate between bulls and bears, with a recent trading volume of 3.92% and a transaction value of 1.259 billion yuan [1] - As of October 31, the average daily trading volume for the 30-year Treasury ETF over the past month was 9.994 billion yuan, indicating strong market activity [1] - The latest scale of the 30-year Treasury ETF reached 32.162 billion yuan, with a total of 268 million shares outstanding [1] - The ETF has seen continuous net inflows over the past three days, totaling 920 million yuan, with a peak single-day net inflow of 418 million yuan [1] Policy and Market Dynamics - The central bank maintains a loose liquidity stance, with the governor stating that the bond market is operating well and plans to resume public market operations for government bonds [2] - On November 3, the central bank conducted a 783 million yuan reverse repurchase operation with a rate of 1.40%, while 337.3 billion yuan in reverse repos were set to mature on the same day [2] - The 30-year Treasury ETF closely tracks the China Bond 30-Year Treasury Index, which consists of publicly issued 30-year government bonds, serving as a benchmark for investments in this category [2]

Core Insights - The photovoltaic sector is showing resilience with the CSI Photovoltaic Industry Index rising by 1.94%, driven by significant gains in key stocks such as Arctech, Trina Solar, and Hongyuan Green Energy [1] - New advancements in perovskite photovoltaic devices have achieved a record conversion efficiency of 25.19%, maintaining over 95% performance after 1000 hours of operation [1] - The introduction of "anti-involution" policies by the government is expected to enhance competition and promote sustainable development in the photovoltaic industry [2] Group 1: Market Performance - The CSI Photovoltaic Industry Index increased by 1.94%, with Arctech rising over 7%, Trina Solar over 6%, and Hongyuan Green Energy nearly 6% [1] - The Photovoltaic 50 ETF (516880) rose by 2.03%, with a trading volume of nearly 10 million yuan within the first five minutes of opening [1] - As of October 31, the Photovoltaic 50 ETF had a circulating share of 2.314 billion and a market size of 1.941 billion yuan [1] Group 2: Technological Advancements - A research team from Nanjing University of Technology developed a perovskite photovoltaic device with a conversion efficiency of 25.19% using "all-vacuum thermal evaporation" technology [1] - The device's performance remained above 95% after continuous operation for over 1000 hours, indicating significant technological progress [1] Group 3: Industry Outlook - Since June 2025, the government has implemented "anti-involution" policies to regulate competition in the photovoltaic sector, shifting from chaotic price competition to sustainable development [2] - The market share of N-type monocrystalline silicon technology is expected to exceed 96.9%, with three major technological routes (TOPCon, HJT, BC) driving efficiency improvements and cost reductions [2] - The installed capacity of photovoltaic systems in China is projected to grow by approximately 45% in 2024 compared to the previous year, marking a nearly 20-fold increase since 2015 [2]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report indicates a reversal in the relationship between GDP, revenue, and profit growth, with A-share revenue growth surpassing nominal GDP for the first time since 2023, showing a year-on-year growth rate of 3.8% in Q3 2025 [1][10] - The net profit growth rate for all A-shares (excluding financial and real estate sectors) improved by 0.9 percentage points to 3.8% in Q3 2025, indicating a marginal recovery in profitability [1][19] - The net asset return (TTM) rose to 7.5%, marking two consecutive quarters of improvement, driven primarily by profit margin recovery [1][19] Group 2 - The midstream manufacturing sector showed significant improvement, with revenue and profit growth rates of 2.1% and 18.1% respectively in Q3 2025, reflecting a marginal increase compared to Q2 [2][39] - The TMT sector continued to outperform, with profit share rising to 16.0%, while the downstream consumer sector saw a decline in profit share to 25.1%, the lowest since Q3 2024 [2][39] - The non-bank financial sector recorded nearly 40% profit growth, indicating a strong performance relative to other sectors [2][39] Group 3 - The report highlights that the recovery in upstream profit share often requires a return to price advantages, which was observed in September 2025, suggesting a potential easing of performance pressures in the upstream sectors [3][29] - The energy metals and fiberglass manufacturing sectors achieved simultaneous volume and price increases, indicating effective outcomes from anti-involution policies [3][29] - The report notes that while the technology sector's absolute growth rates are high, the degree of expectation fulfillment is not particularly strong, suggesting potential risks if larger-scale industry catalysts do not emerge [3][29] Group 4 - The report indicates that the overall revenue growth for all A-shares was 1.36% year-on-year as of Q3 2025, with a notable improvement of 1.2 percentage points compared to Q2 [10][14] - Capital expenditure growth for all A-shares (excluding financial and real estate) recorded a decline of 1.91%, indicating limited new capital investment and a focus on updates and renovations [10][15] - The inventory growth rate for all A-shares (excluding financial and real estate) rebounded to 4.5%, reflecting a recovery in demand and improved operational expectations [10][15]

Core Insights - The manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for October is at 49.0%, a decrease of 0.8 percentage points from the previous month, indicating a slowdown in manufacturing activity [1] - The non-manufacturing business activity index is at 50.1%, an increase of 0.1 percentage points from last month, suggesting stability in the non-manufacturing sector [2] - The comprehensive PMI output index is at 50.0%, down 0.6 percentage points from the previous month, reflecting overall economic stability [1] Manufacturing Sector - Manufacturing production and new orders indices are at 49.7% and 48.8%, respectively, down 2.2 and 0.9 percentage points from last month, indicating a decline in production and market demand [1] - High-tech manufacturing, equipment manufacturing, and consumer goods industries have PMIs of 50.5%, 50.2%, and 50.1%, respectively, all remaining in the expansion zone and significantly above the overall manufacturing level [1] Enterprise Size Analysis - The PMIs for large, medium, and small enterprises are 49.9%, 48.7%, and 47.1%, showing a decline of 1.1, 0.1, and 1.1 percentage points, respectively, indicating a decrease in economic sentiment across all sizes [2] - Large enterprises have production and new orders indices at 50.9% and 50.1%, respectively, remaining in the expansion zone for six consecutive months, indicating sustained production and demand [2] Non-Manufacturing Sector - The non-manufacturing business activity index is at 50.1%, up 0.1 percentage points, indicating continued stability in non-manufacturing operations [2] - The service sector business activity index is at 50.2%, reflecting a slight increase and improved sentiment in the service industry [2] - The construction industry business activity index is at 49.1%, down 0.2 percentage points, indicating a decline in construction activity [2] Economic Outlook - The slight increase in the business activity index for October suggests stable operations in the non-manufacturing sector, supported by holiday consumption and positive changes in investment and consumption-related activities [3] - The effectiveness of growth-stabilizing policies is expected to strengthen domestic demand in the fourth quarter, providing solid support for achieving annual economic and social development goals [3]