LME期铜收涨212美元，报13210美元/吨。LME期铝收涨48美元，报3184美元/吨。LME期锌收涨62美 元，报3216美元/吨。LME期铅收涨4美元，报2053美元/吨。LME期镍收涨185美元，报17888美元/吨。 LME期锡收涨2407美元，报47967美元/吨。LME期钴收平，报56290美元/吨。 ...

Core Insights - Northbound capital has shown significant growth in trading activity and investment preferences, particularly favoring hard technology and non-ferrous metals sectors in 2025 [1][2][3][7]. Group 1: Market Performance - By the end of 2025, northbound capital held nearly 1.08 trillion shares of A-shares, with a market value surpassing 2.59 trillion yuan, marking a nearly 20% increase from the previous year [2]. - The total trading volume of northbound capital exceeded 50.33 trillion yuan in 2025, representing a more than 40% increase year-on-year, contributing nearly 6% to the overall A-share market trading volume [3]. - The trading activity of northbound capital reached new heights, with 33 trading days exceeding 300 billion yuan, 27 of which occurred in 2025 [3]. Group 2: ETF Trading - Northbound capital's ETF trading volume surpassed 810 billion yuan in 2025, a 76% increase from 2024, indicating a growing preference for ETF investments among foreign investors [4]. - The proportion of ETF trading in the total northbound capital trading volume reached 1.62%, setting a historical high [4]. Group 3: Sector Preferences - The hard technology and non-ferrous metals sectors emerged as the new favorites for northbound capital, with 14 industries seeing holdings exceed 50 billion yuan, and 10 industries surpassing 100 billion yuan [7]. - The electric equipment sector led with a holding value of over 449.6 billion yuan, followed by the electronics sector at over 387 billion yuan, and the non-ferrous metals sector at over 185.5 billion yuan [7]. - The non-ferrous metals sector saw a remarkable growth of over 172% in holdings compared to the end of 2024, reflecting a shift in investment focus [8]. Group 4: Stock Concentration - The concentration of holdings by northbound capital reached a five-year low in 2025, indicating a trend towards diversification in investment strategies [10]. - The top 20 companies held by northbound capital accounted for less than 36% of total holdings, a decrease of over 2 percentage points from 2021 [11]. Group 5: Popular Investment Themes - In 2025, eight out of ten popular investment themes, including commercial aerospace and semiconductor sectors, saw over 50% of their constituent stocks receiving increased holdings from northbound capital [9]. - The commercial aerospace sector, in particular, had over 80% of its stocks increased in holdings, driven by strong market performance and supportive policies [9]. Group 6: Long-term Trends - Eighteen stocks have been consistently increased in holdings for five consecutive quarters, primarily in the machinery, electric equipment, and automotive sectors, indicating strong institutional confidence [12]. - Conversely, 26 stocks have seen reductions in holdings over the same period, mainly in the pharmaceutical, banking, and consumer sectors, reflecting a shift in investment focus [12][13].

Core Viewpoint - The prices of gold, silver, copper, aluminum, and lithium carbonate are expected to continue rising, with significant performance anticipated for cyclical resource products as 2026 approaches [1] Group 1 - The market for cyclical resource products is showing strong upward trends, with prices reaching new highs [1] - The ongoing performance of these commodities is projected to be promising, indicating potential investment opportunities [1] - The overall sentiment in the resource sector remains optimistic as demand continues to drive prices higher [1]

重要内容提示： ● 白银有色集团股份有限公司（以下简称"公司"）于2026年1月12日召开第五届董事会第三十一次会 议，同意选举王文广先生担任公司第五届董事会董事及董事会战略委员会、合规与风险管理委员会委员 职务，尚需提交股东会审议。同日收到董事王樯忠先生递交的书面辞职报告，因到龄退休，王樯忠先生 申请辞去公司董事以及董事会下设专门委员会相关委员职务，辞职后不再担任公司任何职务。 一、董事选举情况 登录新浪财经APP 搜索【信披】查看更多考评等级 证券代码：601212 证券简称：白银有色 公告编号：2026-临004号 白银有色集团股份有限公司 关于选举董事及董事辞职的公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述或者重大遗漏，并对其内容 的真实性、准确性和完整性承担法律责任。 近日，公司收到甘肃省新业资产经营有限责任公司《关于向白银有色集团股份有限公司推荐董事人选的 函》，推荐王文广同志为公司董事人选，王樯忠同志不再担任公司董事职务。 2026年1月12日，公司召开第五届董事会第三十一次会议，审议通过《关于选举董事的提案》，尚需提 交股东会审议。根据《公司法》和《公司章程》规定， ...

Macroeconomic Insights - The US unemployment rate fell to 4.4% in December, down from a revised 4.5% in November, indicating a temporary halt in concerns over job market deterioration[11] - The US manufacturing PMI declined while the services PMI increased, reflecting mixed economic signals[7] - Consumer confidence in the US continued to recover in January, with inflation expectations slightly rising[7] Market Trends - Risk assets generally rose in the week of January 2-9, 2026, with major economies' stock markets and commodity prices increasing[7] - The 10-year US Treasury yield rose by 5.7%, while domestic 10Y government bond futures prices fell by 0.1%[7] - The dollar index increased by 0.7%, with the USD/CNY exchange rate at 6.98, indicating a slight appreciation of the yuan[7] Sector Performance - The AI application sector is expected to see significant growth, with a projected compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of over 35% for the AI industry and over 63% for the large model market[23] - The consumer electronics sector, particularly smart glasses, is experiencing rapid growth, with a projected 110% year-on-year increase in global shipments in the first half of 2025[38] Investment Recommendations - It is advised to overweight A/H shares due to multiple factors supporting Chinese equity performance, including an expected expansion of the fiscal deficit and a more aggressive economic policy[18] - Gold is recommended for overweight allocation due to its strong resilience and safe-haven attributes amid rising geopolitical uncertainties[20] - The report suggests a cautious approach to oil investments, recommending a lower allocation due to expected price pressures from geopolitical events and US policy directions[20]

本报告导读： 从技术面来看，均线强弱指数处于历史高位，日历效应显示各大宽基指数在 1 月下 半月表现不佳。因此，我们认为，市场下周或出现短暂震荡。 投资要点： 量化择时和拥挤度预警周报（20260109） [Table_Authors] 郑雅斌(分析师) 市场下周或出现短暂震荡 [Table_Summary] 下周（20260112-20260116，后文同）市场观点：市场下周或出现短 暂震荡。从量化指标上看，基于沪深 300 指数的流动性冲击指标周 五为 0.60，高于前一周（0.34），意味着当前市场的流动性高于过去 一年平均水平 0.60 倍标准差。上证 50ETF 期权成交量的 PUT-CALL 比率震荡下降，周五为0.64，低于前一周（0.88），投资者对上证50ETF 短期走势乐观程度上升。上证综指和 Wind 全 A 五日平均换手率分 别为 1.41%和 2.24%，处于 2005 年以来的 79.01%和 87.08%分位点， 交易活跃度有所上升。从宏观因子上看，1. 上周人民币汇率震荡， 在岸和离岸汇率周涨幅分别为 0.1%、-0.09%。2. 根据国家统计局公 布的数据，中国 12 月官方 ...

Group 1 - The market has shown a strong upward trend, achieving a seventeen-day consecutive rise, which is more robust than the historical eighteen-day rise, and is currently approaching a dense trend line zone between 4156 and 4193 [1][2] - After stabilizing above 4018, the market experienced rapid growth in a "vacuum zone" until reaching 4156, where the upward momentum is expected to slow down as it enters a trend line dense area [2] - The current market structure indicates a transition from a focus on technology hardware and non-ferrous metals to a stronger emphasis on software and application sectors, with significant gains in AI marketing, software services, and related concepts [4] Group 2 - The use of moving averages is crucial in managing volatility during strong market conditions, with specific focus on the 5-day and 8-day moving averages as key support levels [3] - The strategy emphasizes maintaining discipline in trading, suggesting that investors should hold positions until a significant trend reversal occurs, while being cautious of making emotional decisions [5] - The entrepreneurial board signals indicate a pattern of "air refueling" after breaking previous highs, suggesting a need for confirmation through oscillation and pullbacks to align moving averages and positions [4]

（文章来源：证券日报） 证券日报网讯 1月12日，厦钨新能发布公告称，公司2026年第一次临时股东会审议通过《关于公司2026 年度日常关联交易预计额度的议案》。 ...

Market Overview - The A-share market experienced an overall increase on January 12, with the Shanghai Composite Index closing at 4165.29 points, up 1.09%, the Shenzhen Component Index at 14366.91 points, up 1.75%, and the ChiNext Index at 3388.34 points, up 1.82% [1] - The total trading volume for both markets reached 360.14 billion yuan, an increase of 47.87 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day [1] Capital Flow - The net outflow of main funds from the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets exceeded 21 billion yuan, with an opening net outflow of 19.86 billion yuan and a closing net outflow of 5.16 billion yuan, totaling 21.31 billion yuan for the day [2] - The CSI 300 index saw a net outflow of 7.26 billion yuan, while the ChiNext index experienced a net outflow of 1.42 billion yuan [3] Sector Performance - The computer industry saw a significant net inflow of 36.56 billion yuan, with a growth rate of 6.97%, driven by stocks like Tonghuashun [5] - Other sectors with notable inflows included defense and military (7.07 billion yuan, 6.02% increase), media (7.02 billion yuan, 7.35% increase), non-bank financials (3.70 billion yuan, 1.62% increase), and retail (3.61 billion yuan, 2.83% increase) [5] - Conversely, sectors with significant outflows included power equipment (-8.94 billion yuan, 1.73% increase), non-ferrous metals (-6.92 billion yuan, 2.06% increase), electronics (-5.97 billion yuan, 1.97% increase), basic chemicals (-5.47 billion yuan, 1.00% increase), and real estate (-3.79 billion yuan, -0.13% decrease) [5] Institutional Activity - The top stocks with net inflows from institutions included Shanzigaoke (484.20 million yuan, 10.09% increase), Leike Defense (234.98 million yuan, 10.00% increase), and Zhongke Xingtai (186.52 million yuan, 20.00% increase) [8] - Notable stocks with significant institutional outflows included Kunlun Wanwei (-5.36 billion yuan, 19.99% decrease) and other companies like Xinyuan Technology and Yanjin Technology, which also faced substantial outflows [8] Analyst Recommendations - Analysts have given strong buy ratings to stocks such as Xianle Health (target price 32.5 yuan, current price 24.39 yuan, 33.25% upside) and ZheShang Securities' recommendation for Dongfang Securities (target price 15.06 yuan, current price 10.99 yuan, 37.03% upside) [10] - Other stocks with favorable ratings include Yaxiang Integration (target price 162.8 yuan, current price 124.59 yuan, 30.67% upside) and China Merchants Bank (target price 55 yuan, current price 41.12 yuan, 33.75% upside) [10]

1月12日，A股市场整体上涨。 截至收盘，上证指数收报4165.29点，上涨1.09%；深证成指收报14366.91点，上涨1.75%；创业板 指收报3388.34点，上涨1.82%。两市合计成交36013.76亿元，较上一交易日增加4786.81亿元。 1. 两市主力资金净流出超210亿元 今日沪深两市主力资金开盘净流出198.59亿元，尾盘净流出51.6亿元，全天净流出213.07亿元。 | | | 沪深两市最近五个交易日主力资金流向情况(亿元) | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 日期 | | 净流入金额 开盘净流入 | 尾盘净流入 | 超大单净买入 | | 2026-1-12 | -213.07 | -198.59 | -51. 60 | 53. 33 | | 2026-1-9 | -298.04 | -164. 63 | 1.02 | -16. 77 | | 2026-1-8 | -374. 35 | -163. 14 | -6. 58 | -144. 92 | | 2026-1-7 | -471.98 | -191.26 | 8. 31 | -213. ...