Core Insights - OpenAI and Oracle are advancing the $500 billion "Gateway" project, with the first site in Texas now operational [1][2] - The project aims to invest $400 billion over the next three years, ultimately reaching 7GW capacity [2] - OpenAI's CFO highlighted that the Texas Abilene site could expand to over 1GW, enough to power approximately 750,000 American homes [2] Project Expansion - The expansion includes five new sites in Texas, New Mexico, Ohio, and an undisclosed Midwest location [1][2] - Oracle is leading the construction of three large data centers as part of this initiative [4][5] - OpenAI and Oracle's agreement involves developing up to 4.5GW of new capacity over five years, valued at over $300 billion [5] Infrastructure Demand - The unprecedented scale of the Gateway project is a response to the significant demand for computing power for AI training and inference [6][8] - OpenAI's CFO emphasized the current shortage of computing power, stating that there is not enough capacity to fulfill all AI capabilities [8] - The construction aims to ensure that computing power is available by 2026, utilizing NVIDIA's next-generation Vera Rubin chips [9] Financing Structure - The project is supported by a complex financing structure, with OpenAI paying for computing power through operational expenses [12] - OpenAI's projected revenue for the year is expected to reach $13 billion, with plans to use cash flow and debt financing for construction costs [13] - NVIDIA is also involved through equity investment, receiving compensation for the chips provided [15] Political and Economic Implications - The Gateway project carries significant political and economic implications, having been announced in collaboration with former President Trump [19][20] - The project is expected to employ over 6,000 construction workers daily and provide nearly 1,700 long-term jobs [21] - OpenAI's infrastructure development aims to reshape the U.S. power grid and enhance the country's global influence [22][23]

9 月 23 日，中国领先且增长最快的零食饮料零售企业——福建万辰生物科技集团股份有限公司（下 称"万辰集团"），正式向香港联合交易所递交上市申请，拟在主板挂牌上市。 据招股书披露，万辰集团凭借其独特的商业模式和高效的运营体系，已在中国零食饮料市场占据领先 地位。根据灼识咨询的资料，按 2024 年商品交易总额（ GMV ）计算，"好想来"不仅是中国零食 饮料零售品牌第一，也是全国首个门店数量突破 10,000 家的量贩零食品牌。 财务数据亮眼，增长势头强劲 据万辰招股书显示，驱动万辰集团增长的核心引擎 ——是一个由五大要素构成的良性循环"增长飞 轮"。这一模式不仅是其商业战略的核心，更是实现消费者、加盟商、供应商与公司多方共赢局面的 关键。 在消费市场深刻变革的背景下， 万辰集团展现出了 强劲 的增长潜力 。据招股书显示，集团总收入 从 2023 年的人民币 93.0 亿元增长至 2024 年的人民币 323.3 亿元，同比增长 247.9% 。 2024 年，集团 GMV 达人民币 426 亿元，较 2023 年同比增长 282% ，增速领跑行业。盈利能力方 面，集团 2024 年经调整净利润达人民币 8 ...

美东时间23日周二，在上周美联储宣布降息后的首次公开演讲中，美联储主席鲍威尔继续为进一步降息留下空间，并暗示在有挑战的风险环境下会谨慎降息。 在问答环节， 鲍威尔警告股市估值太高 ，打压了市场情绪，引发美股大盘下挫，收盘时三大指数结束三连涨势头，纳指跌近1%。 演讲稿中， 鲍威尔再次警告，联储的双重使命——充分就业和价格稳定均面临威胁，两面的风险意味着没有毫无风险的政策路径。 假如降息幅度过大或速度 过快，可能无法有限控制高通胀、让通胀持续高于美联储2%的目标，而假如货币紧缩维持太久，则可能无谓地拖累劳动力市场。 鲍威尔指出，"短期内通胀存在上行风险，就业则存在下行风险——这是一个有挑战的局面"。在"活力不足、略显疲软的劳动力市场"形势下，就业下行的风险已 增加。正是因为就业风险增加导致风险平衡变化，上周美联储才决定降息。 对于关税，鲍威尔重申，合理的预期是， 关税对通胀将有短暂影响，只会导致一次性的价格波动。 不过，"一次性"的波动并不意味着"立即发生"，可能会持续 几个季度。鲍威尔仍认为，美联储必须密切关注关税可能带来的持续性影响，称要确保关税不会演变为持续性的通胀问题。 鲍威尔本次讲话没有透露任何信息， ...

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the current bullish market conditions driven by the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts, significant investments in AI, and rising asset prices, particularly in gold, indicating a potential for further market growth despite concerns about bubbles and risks [2][3][6][8]. Group 1: Market Conditions - The S&P 500 index has reached a new high for the 28th time this year, while COMEX gold prices closed at $3,775.10, marking the 36th record high of the year, with a year-to-date increase of approximately 43% [3]. - Risk assets and safe-haven assets are both at historical highs, raising questions about whether the market has fully priced in all positive factors and if future growth is sustainable [6][9]. - Analysts believe the market is not yet in a "perfect pricing" state, suggesting that there is still room for further increases despite existing concerns about risks [9][11]. Group 2: Economic and Policy Factors - U.S. Bank strategist Michael Hartnett highlights that tax cuts, tariff reductions, and interest rate cuts create a "run-it-hot" policy environment, providing implicit guarantees for the economy and stock market [8]. - Deutsche Bank's report indicates that the market is filled with concerns about future risks, which could actually provide space for potential market growth [9][10]. Group 3: Investment Strategies - Hartnett proposes a five-point trading strategy to navigate the current market, including investing directly in bubble assets, creating a "barbell" portfolio with both bubble and undervalued stocks, shorting corporate bonds of bubble companies, shorting U.S. bonds, and trading volatility in bonds and stocks [18][19][20]. - Historical data shows that past market bubbles have had significant average increases, suggesting that the current market may still have upward potential [15][17]. Group 4: Gold Market Analysis - The article describes the current gold market as being driven by geopolitical uncertainty, inflation concerns, and expectations of interest rate cuts, creating a "perfect storm" for gold prices [23]. - Despite rising gold prices, analysts argue that the market has not yet entered a bubble phase, as key indicators do not show irrational exuberance [25][26]. - There are some signs that could indicate a potential bubble in gold, such as increased media presence and activity in gold ETFs, but overall, the market is viewed as being in a strong bull phase rather than a bubble [28].

美元或将出现持续且广泛的抛售，这是来自大摩的最新判断，且认为政府关门是美元的"潜在利空"因素。 9月23日，据追风交易台消息，摩根士丹利在最新研报中称， 美元已进入"熊市机制"，预计这一状态将持续更长时间，带来广泛的美元卖压。 大摩策略师David S. Adams认为，美联储在鲍威尔杰克逊霍尔讲话后明确转向优先保护就业市场，即便以容忍高于目标的通胀为代价， 这一政策立场的转变 为美元熊市提供了持续动力 。 美联储政策转向触发美元熊市机制 摩根士丹利在年中展望中曾预测美元将持续走弱，但当时预期最可能的市场机制是"防御机制"，即实际利率和盈亏平衡点同时下降。 然而，自5月以来的实际情况有所不同： 实际利率确实下降了，但盈亏平衡点有所扩大。这种动态正是该行四机制框架所显示的"美元熊市机制"。 大摩指出， 关键的是，市场定价显示美元的利差优势将在未来12个月内下降近100个基点，这将显著降低做空美元的成本。 美国政府关门风险正在上升， 摩根士丹利认为这对美元构成潜在利空 。Polymarket市场数据显示，政府关门概率近期明显上升，这可能进一步 增加美元的风 险溢价 。 研报称，美联储货币政策委员会反应函数的明显转 ...

以下文章来源于冰川思享号 ，作者艾川 冰川思享号 . 汇聚思想，分享锐见 平台抽成更像一种"预收"，其中相当于部分要通过司乘补贴、司机福利、司机保障计划 等方式"返还"给司机。 平台利润真的有这么高吗？网约车平台真的是一个暴利行业吗？ 01 对于网约车行业的运营模式，尤其是抽成议题，公共舆论长期以来都存在着一连串的误解。 网约车平台对司机和乘客两端采取不同的计价方式，并通过价格和补贴机制来调节供需，这个 计价的差值被称为"抽成"。严格说来，抽成这个表述并不严谨，多少有些情绪在里面，更准确 的说法是"服务费"，涵盖了平台为维持交易撮合、提供技术支持和安全保障所收取的费用。 按照网约车抽成的命名逻辑，那么现代社会哪里没有抽成呢？ 传统商业、电商、银行等等在经 济中扮演的都是"中间商"的角色，他们的收入都是广义上的"抽成"。 甚至可以说，没有抽成，就没有现代世界。 撰文丨艾川 近期，多家网约车平台集体发布降低抽成通知，抽成比例上限不超过27%。 舆论普遍对此表示欢迎，但也有些网友说了，27%的平台利润还是太高了。 但考虑到公众已经习惯了这个说法，抽成也就抽成吧。 图/图虫创意 对于抽成议题，公共舆论至少存在着两重误 ...

Core Viewpoint - Nvidia has entered a strategic partnership with OpenAI to establish AI data centers with a capacity of at least 10 gigawatts (GW), utilizing millions of Nvidia GPUs for training and deploying next-generation AI models [1][2]. Investment Details - Nvidia plans to invest up to $100 billion in OpenAI, marking its largest investment commitment to date. This investment will be phased in as each 1 GW system is deployed, with the first system expected to go live in the second half of 2026 [2][4]. - The investment is expected to generate cumulative revenues of approximately $300 billion to $500 billion for Nvidia in the future, enhancing its competitive barriers against rivals like Broadcom and AMD [4][10]. Strategic Significance - The investment is a strategic equity investment aimed at securing OpenAI as a priority partner, thereby solidifying Nvidia's dominance in AI computing and networking [4][11]. - Nvidia's CEO Jensen Huang emphasized the scale of the partnership, noting that the 10 GW capacity equates to 4 to 5 million GPUs, which is double Nvidia's total shipments for the year [6][7]. Financial Implications - The cost of building a 1 GW data center is estimated between $50 billion and $60 billion, with around $35 billion allocated for Nvidia chips and systems. Thus, the total investment for the 10 GW project could reach several hundred billion dollars [8][10]. - Analysts predict that Nvidia could generate several hundred billion dollars in free cash flow over the next few years, given its revenue scale of up to $200 billion and a free cash flow margin of 40%-50% [10]. Market Positioning - The partnership allows Nvidia to maintain its core position in AI system construction, especially as OpenAI explores hardware development, including self-developed chips [11]. - The collaboration is seen as a strategic move to diversify Nvidia's supply chain and strengthen its position in the AI value chain, moving beyond being just a hardware supplier to a key partner in the AI economic ecosystem [11].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the regulatory actions taken against platforms like Toutiao and UC for failing to manage content responsibly, which has led to the dissemination of harmful information and disruption of the online ecosystem [1][2] - The National Cyberspace Administration of China has implemented measures such as interviews, deadlines for correction, warnings, and strict penalties for responsible individuals on these platforms [1][2] - The overarching goal of these actions is to maintain a clean and healthy online environment that aligns with the interests of the public, emphasizing the importance of platforms fulfilling their social responsibilities [2]

Core Viewpoint - The collaboration between NVIDIA and the Technology Innovation Institute (TII) in Abu Dhabi marks a significant step in NVIDIA's expansion into the Middle East, focusing on the development of next-generation AI models and robotic platforms [1]. Group 1: Collaboration Details - The newly established AI technology center in the UAE will leverage TII's multidisciplinary research capabilities alongside NVIDIA's powerful AI models and computing power [1]. - TII's CEO, Najwa Aaraj, indicated that the institute will utilize NVIDIA's specialized "Thor" chip to advance research in humanoid robots, quadrupedal robots, and robotic arms [1][3]. - The joint laboratory will explore AI applications in various fields, including climate, energy, and genomics, while also planning specific robotic innovations in transportation and logistics [3]. Group 2: UAE's AI Ambitions - This partnership is part of the UAE's strategic goal to become a global player in AI, with the government investing billions of dollars in the AI sector [4]. - The UAE aims to leverage its close relationship with the United States to gain access to advanced technologies, as evidenced by a multi-billion dollar agreement signed during a visit by former President Trump [4]. - TII has been collaborating with NVIDIA for some time, using NVIDIA chips to train its language models, and discussions about the joint laboratory began approximately a year ago [4][5].

Core Viewpoint - Berkshire Hathaway, led by Warren Buffett, has increased its stake in Mitsui & Co. to over 10%, signaling confidence in the Japanese market and potentially considering further investments [1][2]. Group 1: Investment Strategy - This increase marks a subtle shift in Berkshire's investment strategy, as Buffett initially planned to keep holdings in Japan's top five trading companies below 10% [4]. - The agreement from these Japanese companies to "moderately" relax the holding limit has paved the way for Berkshire to become a "major shareholder," allowing deeper involvement in their future developments [4]. Group 2: Market Reaction - Following the announcement, Mitsui & Co.'s stock price rose by 2.2% before settling at a 1.75% increase, with other major trading companies also experiencing stock price gains [2]. Group 3: Unique Value Proposition - Analysts highlight that Buffett's continued investment underscores the unique commercial value of Japanese trading companies, which have shown resilience amid commodity price volatility due to their diversified business structures [4]. - These companies have increasingly focused on shareholder returns, enhancing their attractiveness as investment opportunities [4].