Core Viewpoint - The company intends to privatize Zeekr (ZK.N) at a proposed price of $2.566 per share, representing a premium of approximately 13.6% over the last trading price on the NYSE, and 20.0% over the volume-weighted average price for the last 30 trading days. If completed, Zeekr will become a wholly-owned subsidiary of Geely Auto and will delist from the US stock market [1][2]. Group 1: Privatization Proposal - Geely holds approximately 65.7% of Zeekr's total issued and outstanding share capital. If the privatization proposal is successful, Zeekr will become a wholly-owned subsidiary and will delist from the NYSE. The funding for the privatization may come from new share issuance, cash reserves, and debt financing if necessary [1][2]. - If cash is used for the privatization, it would require approximately 16.18 billion RMB based on Zeekr's total share capital of 2.542 billion shares and a non-company ownership ratio of 34.3%. If new shares are issued, it would involve issuing approximately 1.073 billion new shares, leading to a dilution of about 9.6% [1][2]. Group 2: Product Development and Market Strategy - Zeekr and Lynk & Co aim for a total sales target of 710,000 units by 2025, with Zeekr contributing 320,000 units and Lynk & Co 390,000 units. The Lynk & Co 900 was launched in April, with over 10,000 pre-orders within an hour, 30% of which came from owners of premium brands [2]. - The Zeekr 9 X luxury SUV is set to debut in the third quarter of 2025, featuring advanced technology and a price expected to exceed 1 million RMB. The introduction of new models is anticipated to accelerate market share acquisition in the high-end segment [2]. Group 3: AI and Technology Integration - Geely announced a deep integration with DeepSeek's large model in February and launched a comprehensive AI strategy in April, which includes advanced technologies that will be gradually applied to new models. The Lynk & Co 900 will be among the first to use NVIDIA's Thor chip, enhancing the company's focus on smart technology and potentially boosting product sales [3]. Group 4: Financial Projections - The company forecasts revenue growth from 240.19 billion RMB in 2024 to 512.83 billion RMB in 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 34.0% in 2024 and 16.6% in 2027. Net profit is expected to increase significantly, with projections of 16.63 billion RMB in 2024 and 20.38 billion RMB in 2027 [4].

Core Viewpoint - The company is positioned for growth through multiple dimensions: smart technology, scale, high-end products, and globalization, with a focus on the implementation of intelligent driving and achieving equality in smart driving capabilities [1][12]. Group 1: Smart Technology - The penetration rate of L2+ intelligent driving is increasing, with a rapid growth in high-level intelligent driving features. Consumer acceptance of smart driving is on the rise, supported by technological advancements from DeepSeek, which significantly reduce training costs and improve response times [2][20]. - The company has launched the Wangchao Ocean series of intelligent driving models, making high-level intelligent driving available at a price point as low as 70,000 yuan, thus promoting smart driving as a key consideration for car buyers [3][14]. Group 2: Scale and Cost Advantages - The Dm-i 5.0 technology is expected to enhance fuel efficiency and strengthen the company's market position through cost advantages and scale effects. The company aims to capture market share by lowering vehicle prices [12][13]. - The company has reported strong export growth, with significant increases in overseas sales, particularly in Brazil, Turkey, and Europe, indicating a robust global expansion strategy [4][12]. Group 3: High-End Product Strategy - The year 2025 is anticipated to be a pivotal year for high-end products, with flagship models like Han L and Tang L set to launch, featuring advanced intelligent driving systems that enhance brand positioning and profitability [4][13]. - The company is focusing on high-end models that integrate advanced technologies, which are expected to drive overall profitability upward [4][12]. Group 4: Globalization - The company is accelerating its overseas market investments and factory setups, with a target of exporting 800,000 vehicles in 2025, which is expected to boost profitability [4][12]. - The establishment of a self-owned shipping fleet is enhancing the company's export capabilities, contributing to its strong performance in international markets [12][13]. Group 5: Financial Projections - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are estimated at 1,014.12 billion yuan, 1,237.23 billion yuan, and 1,477.25 billion yuan, respectively, with net profits expected to reach 58.15 billion yuan, 67.12 billion yuan, and 74.19 billion yuan [5][7]. - The company anticipates a significant increase in earnings per share (EPS) from 19.13 yuan in 2025 to 24.41 yuan in 2027, reflecting strong growth potential [5][7].

Core Viewpoint - The company is experiencing a decline in overall sales, particularly in traditional vehicles, while showing significant growth in the new energy vehicle (NEV) segment, indicating a strategic shift towards electrification and global expansion [1][2][3][4]. Group 1: Sales Performance - In April, the company's wholesale sales reached 191,000 units, down 9.3% year-on-year and 28.9% month-on-month [1]. - Cumulative wholesale sales from January to April totaled 896,000 units, a slight decrease of 0.7% year-on-year [1]. - The wholesale sales of self-owned passenger vehicles in April were 109,000 units, down 11.1% year-on-year and 33.9% month-on-month [1][2]. - The sales of Changan Ford in April were 13,000 units, down 31.6% year-on-year and 30.3% month-on-month [1]. Group 2: New Energy Vehicle Growth - The wholesale sales of self-owned NEVs in April were 62,000 units, an increase of 19.8% year-on-year, but down 28.9% month-on-month [2]. - Cumulative NEV sales from January to April reached 256,000 units, reflecting a significant year-on-year growth of 41.9% [2]. - The Deep Blue brand sold 20,000 units in April, up 58.0% year-on-year, while Avita sold 11,681 units, marking a 122.6% increase year-on-year [2][3]. Group 3: Future Outlook and Strategy - The company aims to achieve a sales target of 3 million units by 2025, with 1 million units expected to be NEVs [2]. - New models, including the Deep Blue S09, are set to be launched, enhancing the company's competitive edge in the market [3]. - The company plans to expand its global presence by establishing new operational entities and logistics nodes, with a target of 500+ channel touchpoints by 2025 [4]. Group 4: Financial Projections - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are estimated at 189.6 billion, 209.5 billion, and 233.5 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding net profits of 8.87 billion, 10.76 billion, and 12.72 billion yuan [5][7]. - The expected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025-2027 are 0.89, 1.09, and 1.28 yuan, with price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 14, 11, and 10 times [5][7].

Core Viewpoint - The company reported strong sales growth in April, particularly in the new energy vehicle segment, indicating a positive trend in market demand and product acceptance [1][3][6]. Sales Performance - In April, the total wholesale sales reached 234,000 units, representing a year-on-year increase of 52.7% and a month-on-month increase of 0.8%. Cumulatively, from January to April, total wholesale sales amounted to 938,000 units, up 49.1% year-on-year [1][3]. - New energy vehicle sales in April were 125,563 units, showing a year-on-year increase of 144.2% and a month-on-month increase of 4.9%, with a penetration rate of 53.6%. Cumulatively, new energy vehicle sales from January to April reached 465,000 units, up 137.7% year-on-year [1][3]. Brand Performance - By brand, Geely sold 193,000 units in April, with the Galaxy model contributing 96,632 units (including Geometry). Zeekr sold 13,727 units, while Lynk & Co sold 27,589 units [2][3]. Product Launches and Market Strategy - The launch of the Geely Galaxy E8 facelift in April, priced between 149,800 to 198,800 RMB, is expected to drive sales. The company plans to introduce five new products under the Galaxy brand, including two SUVs and three sedans, with an annual sales target of over 1 million units for the Galaxy brand [3]. - The company aims for total sales of 710,000 units in 2025, with Zeekr targeting 320,000 units and Lynk & Co aiming for 390,000 units. The Lynk 900 was officially launched in April, with pre-orders exceeding 40,000 units [4]. Technological Advancements - The company is enhancing its AI technology integration, having announced a comprehensive AI strategy in April. This includes the application of advanced technologies in new models, with the Lynk 900 set to feature the Nvidia Thor chip, positioning the company as a leader in smart vehicle technology [5]. Financial Projections - The company forecasts revenues of 364.78 billion RMB in 2025, 439.69 billion RMB in 2026, and 512.83 billion RMB in 2027, with net profits projected at 14.02 billion RMB, 17.78 billion RMB, and 20.38 billion RMB respectively. The expected EPS for these years is 1.39, 1.76, and 2.02 RMB, corresponding to a PE ratio of 11, 9, and 7 times based on the closing price of 16.36 HKD on April 30 [6][8].

Core Viewpoint - The company is experiencing significant growth in the sales of new energy vehicles, driven by both domestic and international demand, alongside advancements in smart driving technology and high-end product offerings [2][5][6]. Sales Performance - In April, the company reported wholesale sales of 380,000 new energy vehicles, a year-on-year increase of 21.3% and a month-on-month increase of 0.7% [1][2]. - Cumulative sales from January to April reached 1.359 million units, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 45.1% [2]. - The export volume for April reached 79,000 units, marking a new high, with steady growth observed in the first four months of the year [2]. International Expansion - The company is expanding its international presence, with plans to increase investments in markets such as Brazil, Uzbekistan, Hungary, Turkey, and Indonesia [2]. - The introduction of additional roll-on/roll-off ships is expected to enhance shipping capacity and support export growth, with a fleet expansion planned to reach eight ships by January 2026 [2]. Smart Driving Technology - The launch of the Dynasty Ocean series smart driving models aims to democratize high-level smart driving features, potentially transforming consumer purchasing considerations in the automotive market [3]. - The company has sold over 4.4 million vehicles equipped with L2 or higher driving assistance systems, leveraging its data advantage to promote smart driving accessibility [3]. High-End Product Strategy - The year 2025 is positioned as a pivotal year for high-end product offerings, with the launch of the Tengshi N9 and flagship models like Han L and Tang L, which feature advanced smart driving systems and rapid charging technology [4]. - These high-end models are expected to enhance overall profitability and drive the brand's premium positioning in the market [4]. Financial Projections - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are estimated at 1,014.12 billion, 1,237.23 billion, and 1,477.25 billion yuan, respectively, with net profits expected to reach 58.15 billion, 67.12 billion, and 74.19 billion yuan [5][7]. - The earnings per share (EPS) are forecasted to be 19.13, 22.09, and 24.41 yuan for the same period, with corresponding price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 18, 16, and 14 [5][7].

摘要 ► 本 周数据： 2025年4月第4周（4.21-4.27）乘用车销量45.3万辆，同比+5.1%，环比+17.0%；新能源乘用车销量23.8万辆，同比+22.5%，环比+16.4%；新能 源渗透率52.5%，环比-0.3%。 ► 本周行情 ： 汽车板块本周表现强于市场 本周（4月28-4月30日）A股汽车板块上涨3.97%，在申万子行业中排名第2位，表现强于沪深300（-0.59%）。细分板块中，汽车零部件、摩托车 及其他、商用载货车、汽车服务、乘用车分别上涨6.77%、5.07%、1.81%、1.33%、0.38%，商用载客车下跌2.39%。 ► 本周观点： 本月建议关注核心组合【比亚迪、吉利汽车、小鹏汽车、小米集团、伯特利、拓普集团、新泉股份、沪光股份、春风动力】。 ► 2025Q1：政策促进内需 具身智能加速 乘用车： 2025Q1乘用车批发销量636.1万辆，同比+11.9%，环比-28.2%；受政策驱动，需求表现较好。结构端，受春节燃油旺季影响，新能源同比高增， 出口相对平稳。2025Q1新能源乘用车批发销量287.2万辆，同比+45.1%，环比-33.7%。价格端，2025Q1价格竞争相对 ...

Event Overview - The company disclosed its 2024 annual report and Q1 2025 report, achieving a total revenue of 16.82 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 28.7%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.15 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 97.1%. For Q1 2025, the company reported a revenue of 4.65 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 41.0%, and a net profit of 510 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 96.8%, exceeding previous performance forecasts [1]. Analysis and Judgment - Q1 2025 performance exceeded expectations, driven by the growth of the Wujie brand and the channel vehicle business. The revenue for Q4 2024 was 4.60 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 24.3%, with growth attributed to the rapid expansion of the Wujie brand. The Q1 2025 revenue reached a historical high of 4.65 billion yuan, primarily due to: 1) High growth in Wujie brand and channel vehicle business, with motorcycle product revenue of 2.74 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 39.4% (Wujie brand revenue was 860 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 41.8%); 2) Recovery in general machinery business with sales revenue of 1.126 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 65.37%; 3) Growth in motorcycle engines and all-terrain products [1]. - On the profit side, the net profit attributable to shareholders for Q4 2024 was 220 million yuan, turning from loss to profit, but down 28.0% quarter-on-quarter due to asset/credit impairment of approximately 200 million yuan. The Q1 2025 performance showed rapid growth both year-on-year and quarter-on-quarter, mainly due to the synergy of volume and profit from the Wujie brand, high growth in channel vehicle business, and optimization of the expense structure [1]. - The expense structure significantly improved under scale effects, with Q1 2025 sales/management/R&D/financial expenses at 1.0%/2.5%/2.0%/-0.7%, showing year-on-year changes of -0.8/-1.9/-1.2/+0.2 percentage points and quarter-on-quarter changes of +0.0/-0.2/-0.2/+1.0% [1]. Product and Channel Growth - In 2024, the Wujie brand achieved revenue of 3.15 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 111.4%. Domestic sales revenue was 1.81 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 114.5%, while export sales revenue was 1.35 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 107.5%. The European market contributed significantly, with sales revenue of 1.02 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 133.4%. By the end of 2024, the company established 990 domestic sales outlets and 1,165 overseas sales outlets, including nearly 900 in Europe, laying a solid foundation for continued sales growth [2]. Global Expansion of Mid-to-Large Displacement Motorcycles - The company's mid-to-large displacement motorcycle sales (over 250cc) were 75,000 and 108,000 units in 2023 and 2024, respectively, representing year-on-year growth of 53.7% and 43.1%. Export sales were 41,000 and 51,000 units, with year-on-year growth of 47.7% and 24.8%, respectively, primarily driven by the Wujie brand. In 2024, the Wujie brand saw rapid sales growth in Spain, with cumulative sales reaching 9,000 units, a year-on-year increase of 128.5%, and market share rising to 4.2%. In Q1 2025, sales reached 2,336 units, a year-on-year increase of 44.6%, ranking fifth in the market. In Italy, the SR16 scooter model sold 1,033 units in Q1 2025, becoming the best-selling domestic model [3]. Investment Recommendations - The company is expected to benefit from the dual expansion of the Wujie brand in both product and channel, accelerating growth through volume and profit synergy. Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 20.16 billion, 23.71 billion, and 27.64 billion yuan, with net profits of 1.95 billion, 2.41 billion, and 2.88 billion yuan, respectively. The EPS is projected to be 0.95, 1.17, and 1.40 yuan, corresponding to a closing price of 12.45 yuan per share on April 30, 2025, with PE ratios of 13, 11, and 9 times [4].

01 事件概述 公司披露2025第一季度报告，2025Q1营收为16.7亿元，同比+1.4%，环比-6.0%；归母净利2.6亿元，同比 +11.0%，环比+30.1%；扣非净利2.4亿元，同比+6.6%，环比+19.0%。 ► 前瞻布局机器人业务，内生+外延加速成长 公司积极布局机器人领域， 内生层面： 设立全资子公司瞬动机器人技术（宁波）有限公司，聘任机器人领域 技术与创业经验丰富的张恂杰先生为副总经理，加速布局人形机器人、外骨骼机器人相关业务； 外延层面： 公司拟通过发行股份+募资方式收购卓尔博71%股权，交易对价总额为11.2亿元，其中计划发行4,193万股（占 发行后爱柯迪总股本比例4.27%）支付6.2亿元，同时计划向不超过35名特定投资者募资不超过5.2亿元支付剩 余款项。通过并购，公司有望发挥其在精密制造领域的优势，赋能卓尔博，加速机器人领域的技术创新和市场 拓展。卓尔博2024年营业收入为10.5亿元，归母净利润为1.5亿元，净利率为14.6%。 公司与卓尔博签订《盈 利预测补偿协议》，2025-2027年净利润目标分别为1.4/1.6/1.7亿元。 ► 推出股权激励方案 保障公司长远发展 根 ...

Group 1 - The company's Q1 2025 revenue reached 3.42 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 15.1% and a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 2.3% [1] - The net profit attributable to the parent company for Q1 2025 was 210 million yuan, up 10.9% year-on-year and up 18.5% quarter-on-quarter [1] - The gross profit margin for Q1 2025 was 19.8%, a decrease of 1.8 percentage points year-on-year and 0.4 percentage points quarter-on-quarter, mainly due to product price declines and structural changes [1] Group 2 - The company aims to enhance its global operations, with a significant focus on North America, where self-operated business revenue reached 200 million USD in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 50.5% [2] - The European segment achieved revenue of 160 million yuan in 2024, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 31.3% [2] Group 3 - The company has been developing its third growth curve since 2021, focusing on digital and energy thermal management, with significant orders from clients like AUX and Sungrow in H1 2023 [3] - In 2024, the company secured major projects including large cooling modules for diesel generators and energy storage liquid cooling systems, with new orders in the digital energy business amounting to 953 million yuan [3] Group 4 - The company is expected to achieve revenues of 15.61 billion yuan, 18.47 billion yuan, and 21.76 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with net profits of 1.09 billion yuan, 1.44 billion yuan, and 1.79 billion yuan [3]

01 事件概述 2025 年4 月重点新能源车企交付量发布，据各公司披露数据： 零跑 41,039 辆，同比 +173.5% ，环比 +10.6% ； 小鹏 35,045 辆，同比 +273.1% ，环比 +5.5% ； 理想 33,939 辆，同比 +31.6% ，环比 -7.5% ； 埃安 28,301 辆，同比 +0.7% ，环比 -17.0% ； 蔚来 23,900 辆，同比 +53.0% ，环比 +58.9% ； 极氪 13,727 辆，同比 -14.7% ，环比 -11.0% ； 小米超 28,000 辆。 02 分析判断 ► 4 月汽车市场平稳增长 上海车展新车上市 4 月汽车市场平稳增长，上海车展新车上市。乘联会初步推算本月狭义乘用车零售总市场规模约为 175.0 万辆左右，同比去年增长 14.4% ， 环比上月 -9.8% ，其中新能源零售预计可达 90 万，渗透率 51.4% 。 4 月 6 家样本新势力车企（不含小米）合计交付 175,951 辆，同比 +59.9% ，环比 +2.6% 。 4 月上半月整体车市热度仍维持较高水平，下半月上海车展开幕；新车型集中上市，新能源热点产品逐一开启 ...