Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Recommendation," indicating an expected increase in the industry index by more than 5% over the next 3-6 months compared to the benchmark index [49]. Core Insights - The report emphasizes the strategic importance of the U.S. government's executive order aimed at enhancing the leadership position of American drone systems and accelerating the eVTOL pilot programs [5][9]. - It highlights the potential for significant growth in the low-altitude economy, particularly in three application scenarios: new consumption in cultural tourism, manned (passenger) transport, and specialized uses [35][34]. - The report identifies key players in the industry, including manufacturers and supply chain participants, and suggests focusing on segments with high growth potential from 2025 to 2027 [36][34]. Industry Overview - The report notes that as of June 6, 2025, the total market capitalization of the industry is approximately 334.09 billion yuan, with 122 listed companies [2]. - The Huachuang Transportation Low Altitude 60 Index has shown a year-to-date increase of 3.8%, outperforming the CSI 300 Index, which has decreased by 1.6% [26][27]. U.S. Government Initiatives - The executive order signed by President Trump on June 6, 2025, aims to expand the operational scope of drones and accelerate the development and testing of drone technologies, including advanced air mobility [5][6]. - The establishment of eVTOL pilot programs is a key focus, with plans to select at least five pilot projects for applications in cargo transport and medical rescue [10][9]. Market Dynamics - The report indicates that companies like Archer and Joby, despite not yet achieving type certification or mass production, have market valuations exceeding 40 billion yuan, reflecting strong market confidence in the future potential of eVTOL for air transportation [13][12]. - It suggests that both Chinese and American companies are well-positioned to dominate the global market for eVTOL, with China leading in technological advancements [13][12]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on key segments within the low-altitude economy, including main manufacturers, supply chain participants, and new infrastructure developments [36][34]. - Specific companies highlighted for investment include Wan Feng Ao Wei (for general aviation and eVTOL), Green Energy Huichong (for drones), and various supply chain firms like Zongshen Power and Yingboer [36][34].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommendation" rating for the technology sector in A-shares, expecting the industry index to outperform the benchmark index by more than 5% in the next 3-6 months [35]. Core Views - The delivery of Broadcom's Tomahawk 6 (TH6) chip marks a significant breakthrough in AI infrastructure, addressing network bottlenecks and enhancing GPU utilization from 40% to over 90%, which is crucial for training large AI models [17][18]. - The report highlights the strong performance of the communication sector, which has outperformed the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index by 4.40 percentage points this week, with a 5.27% increase [9][11]. - The report emphasizes the growth potential in the domestic communication industry, particularly in light of the advancements in AI infrastructure and the increasing focus on high-performance technology [27][28]. Summary by Sections Industry Basic Data - The communication industry consists of 124 listed companies with a total market capitalization of 48,971.71 billion and a circulating market capitalization of 21,813.38 billion [2]. Relative Index Performance - The absolute performance of the communication sector over the past month is 7.2%, 6 months is 2.2%, and 12 months is 30.5% [3]. Market Review - The communication sector has shown a year-to-date increase of 0.94%, outperforming the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index, which has decreased by 1.55% [9]. - The top five gainers in the communication sector this week include Huamai Technology (+33.74%), ST Zhongjia (+33.33%), and Taicheng Light (+30.31%) [14]. Broadcom's TH6 Chip Delivery - The TH6 chip has a switching capacity of 102.4 Tbps, doubling the current market standard and increasing throughput by six times compared to its predecessor [17]. - The chip's architecture allows for high-density, low-loss connections, significantly reducing latency and power consumption [18][19]. Broadcom's Q2 FY25 Financial Analysis - Broadcom reported a revenue of 15 billion USD for Q2 FY25, a 20% year-on-year increase, driven primarily by AI business growth [23]. - The semiconductor business generated 8.4 billion USD, with AI business revenue reaching 4.4 billion USD, indicating a strong growth outlook for the second half of the year [24]. Investment Recommendations - Key recommendations include China Mobile, China Telecom, and China Unicom for operators; New Yisheng, Tianfu Communication, and Zhongji Xuchuang for optical modules; and Haige Communication for military and satellite communications [29].

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly state an investment rating for the industry or specific companies involved in the innovative drug sector. Core Insights - Enhertu combined with pertuzumab shows a median progression-free survival (mPFS) of 40.7 months for HER2-positive metastatic breast cancer, significantly outperforming the standard THP therapy which has an mPFS of 26.9 months [12][14] - The report highlights the increasing sales of Enhertu, projected to reach $3.754 billion in 2024, indicating strong market potential for HER2-targeted therapies [9] - The report emphasizes the importance of ADC (antibody-drug conjugate) technology in enhancing treatment efficacy for various cancers, particularly in combination with immune checkpoint inhibitors [17] Summary by Sections Section 1: Innovative Drug Focus - The report reviews the latest advancements in innovative drugs, particularly focusing on HER2-positive breast cancer treatments and the performance of Enhertu in clinical trials [4][5] Section 2: Clinical Trial Data - The DESTINY-Breast09 trial results indicate that Enhertu combined with pertuzumab significantly reduces the risk of disease progression or death by 44% compared to THP [14] - The overall response rate (ORR) for Enhertu plus pertuzumab is reported at 85.1%, compared to 78.6% for THP, showcasing the superior efficacy of the combination therapy [12][14] Section 3: Market Dynamics - The report outlines the competitive landscape for HER2 ADCs, listing various drugs in different stages of development and their respective companies [18] - It notes that the ADC market is expected to expand significantly, with potential market growth of 100-200% for certain indications due to the integration of ADCs with existing therapies [17] Section 4: Recent Announcements - Recent announcements from companies like 恒瑞医药 and 康宁杰瑞 highlight ongoing clinical trials and new drug applications, indicating a vibrant pipeline in the innovative drug sector [33][34]

Group 1: Report Information - Report Title: "【Bond Weekly Report】Certificate of Deposit Weekly Report (0602 - 0608): Funds Expected to Decline, Focus on Certificate of Deposit Configuration Value" [2] - Report Date: June 8, 2025 - Analysts: Zhou Guannan, Dong Yue, etc. - Related Research Reports: [21.16, 25.41, 29.73, 29.22] [10.56, 16.03, 20.43, 15.72] [13.41, 11.63, 9.69, 6.29] [6.28, 8.35, 1.92, 5.71] [10.62, 9.24] [2] Group 2: Supply Analysis - Supply Side: This week (June 2 - June 8), the net issuance of certificates of deposit was -2 to -4, and the spread changed by -2 to -7, etc. - Demand Side: The demand for certificates of deposit was 4.33, 0.00, 11.25, 0.00, etc., and the spread changed by -2 to -7, etc. - Overall Market: The overall market situation included various data such as 21.16, 25.41, etc. Group 3: Investment Suggestions - The report suggests paying attention to the configuration value of certificates of deposit and analyzing the changes in spreads and yields. - It also mentions the historical data and changes of spreads and yields, providing a reference for investment decisions.

Investment Rating - The report maintains a recommendation for precious metals, indicating a bullish outlook due to various factors including U.S. tariff policies and inventory dynamics [1][2]. Core Views - The U.S. has announced an increase in tariffs on steel and aluminum, which has led to heightened risk aversion and a significant rise in precious metal prices. Gold and silver prices increased by 2.48% and 7.61% respectively compared to the previous week [7][8]. - Domestic aluminum ingot inventory continues to decrease, while aluminum rod inventory may begin to accumulate due to seasonal demand fluctuations [2][8]. - The report highlights the potential for silver to benefit from its dual role as an industrial metal in the renewable energy sector and as a financial safe haven [7][8]. Summary by Sections Industrial Metals - The report notes that the U.S. tariff increase has triggered market concerns regarding trade policies for other metals, leading to price increases in precious metals [1][7]. - Copper inventories have shown mixed trends, with SHFE copper inventory at 107,400 tons, up by 1,613 tons week-on-week, while LME copper inventory decreased by 17,475 tons to 132,400 tons [2][8]. Precious Metals - The report recommends several companies in the precious metals sector, including Chifeng Jilong Gold Mining, Zhongjin Gold, and Shandong Gold, among others [2][8]. - The report emphasizes the potential for silver prices to rise due to its industrial applications and current market conditions [7][8]. Aluminum Industry - Domestic aluminum ingot inventory decreased by 15,000 tons to 504,000 tons, while aluminum rod inventory saw a slight increase [7][8]. - The report discusses the establishment of a joint venture by Nanshan Aluminum in Indonesia for a caustic soda project, which is expected to enhance the company's supply chain resilience [8]. New Energy Metals and Minor Metals - The report indicates that tin prices have risen due to slow recovery in Myanmar's tin production and a decrease in social inventory, with national tin ingot social inventory at 8,998 tons, down by 257 tons week-on-week [3][8]. - The report recommends companies with growth potential in tin and tungsten sectors, such as Xingye Silver Tin and Zhangyuan Tungsten [8].

Quantitative Models and Construction Methods 1. Model Name: Broad-based Index Rotation Strategy - **Model Construction Idea**: The strategy is based on the weekly change rate of the total sentiment heat (MA2) for broad-based indices. The model selects the index with the highest heat change rate for investment, while staying in cash if the "Other" group has the highest rate [7][12][15] - **Model Construction Process**: 1. Calculate the weekly heat change rate for each broad-based index (CSI 300, CSI 500, CSI 1000, CSI 2000, and "Other") 2. Smooth the weekly change rate using a 2-period moving average (MA2) 3. At the end of each week, invest in the index with the highest MA2 heat change rate. If the "Other" group has the highest rate, remain in cash [8][9][12] - **Model Evaluation**: The model demonstrates a systematic approach to capturing short-term sentiment-driven opportunities in broad-based indices [12][15] --- Model Backtesting Results 1. Broad-based Index Rotation Strategy - **Annualized Return (2017-Present)**: 8.74% - **Maximum Drawdown**: 23.5% - **2025 YTD Return**: 10.6% [15] --- Quantitative Factors and Construction Methods 1. Factor Name: Total Sentiment Heat - **Factor Construction Idea**: The factor aggregates the sentiment heat of individual stocks within a broader category (broad-based indices, industries, or concepts) to serve as a proxy for market sentiment [7] - **Factor Construction Process**: 1. Define the total sentiment heat for individual stocks as the sum of their browsing, watchlist, and click counts 2. Normalize the sentiment heat by dividing it by the total market heat on the same day 3. Multiply the normalized value by 10,000 to scale the indicator within the range [0, 10,000] 4. Aggregate the total sentiment heat of all constituent stocks within a specific category (e.g., broad-based indices, industries, or concepts) [7] - **Factor Evaluation**: The factor effectively captures market sentiment dynamics, particularly at the individual stock level, where mispricing due to limited attention is more pronounced [7] 2. Factor Name: Weekly Heat Change Rate (MA2) - **Factor Construction Idea**: This factor measures the weekly change rate of sentiment heat for a specific category, smoothed using a 2-period moving average (MA2) [7][19][27] - **Factor Construction Process**: 1. Calculate the weekly change rate of total sentiment heat for each category (e.g., broad-based indices, industries, or concepts) 2. Apply a 2-period moving average (MA2) to smooth the weekly change rate [19][27] - **Factor Evaluation**: The MA2 smoothing process enhances the stability of the factor, making it suitable for identifying short-term sentiment trends [19][27] --- Factor Backtesting Results 1. Total Sentiment Heat - **Indicator Range**: [0, 10,000] (normalized and scaled) [7] 2. Weekly Heat Change Rate (MA2) - **Broad-based Indices**: - CSI 500: +2.11% (highest weekly increase) - CSI 1000: -1.54% (lowest weekly decrease) [15] - **Industries (Shenwan Level 1)**: - Top 5 Positive Changes: Communication (+29.1%), Environmental Protection, Computer, Building Materials, Social Services - Top 5 Negative Changes: Automotive, Coal, Transportation, Utilities, Comprehensive (-35.2%) [26] - **Concepts**: - Top 5 Positive Changes: Football Concept (+152.7%), Military Restructuring (+128.7%), Dental Medical (+93.4%), Beer Concept (+90.7%), Digital Currency (+84.5%) [27][30] 3. Heat-based Concept Portfolios - **BOTTOM Portfolio**: - **Annualized Return**: 15.71% - **Maximum Drawdown**: 28.89% - **2025 YTD Return**: 22.3% [32]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" recommendation for the automotive sector, particularly for complete vehicles and robotics, with an optimistic outlook for annual sales [2][3]. Core Insights - The automotive sector continues to show weak performance, influenced by previous news regarding price cuts and competition, alongside investor concerns about sales post-subsidy reductions in 2026. However, the report maintains that the risk of a severe price war this year is low and that sales expectations remain optimistic [2][3]. - Positive industry developments include Tesla's robot factory audit, Changan's management upgrade, and Li Auto's weekly sales exceeding 10,000 units, which support better stock performance for related companies [2][3]. Data Tracking - In April, wholesale passenger car sales reached 2.22 million units, a year-on-year increase of 11% but a month-on-month decrease of 10%. Retail sales were 1.59 million units, up 6% year-on-year but down 14% month-on-month [4][21]. - New energy vehicle manufacturers showed significant growth in May, with BYD delivering 382,476 units (up 15% year-on-year), and Li Auto achieving 40,856 units (up 16.7% year-on-year) [4][20]. - The average discount rate in late May rose to 7.8%, an increase of 0.6 percentage points from the previous period and 2.9 percentage points year-on-year [4][22]. Industry Research - Recommended stocks include Li Auto and Jianghuai Automobile, with a focus on companies like BAIC Blue Valley, SAIC Motor, Xpeng Motors, and Xiaomi Group. Li Auto is expected to see sales improvements and new model launches, while Xpeng is preparing for the launch of the G7 [6]. - In the components sector, the report recommends Top Group, Haoneng Co., and others, highlighting the growth potential in high-level autonomous driving technologies [6]. - The heavy truck segment is expected to continue its strong performance, with recommendations for Weichai Power and Sinotruk [6]. Market Performance - The automotive sector index decreased by 0.09% this week, ranking 23rd out of 29 sectors. In comparison, the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 1.13% [8][29].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a recommendation for the steel industry [4]. Core Viewpoints - The steel industry is experiencing a dual weakness in supply and demand, leading to a bottoming out of steel prices [2][3]. - The current demand situation suggests that inventory may soon reach a turning point, despite the ongoing weak demand [2]. - The industry is expected to maintain a bottoming and fluctuating price trend in the short term due to increased maintenance in steel mills, which may lead to supply contraction [2]. Summary by Sections 1. Market Review - As of June 6, the prices for five major steel products are reported as follows: rebar at 3,218 CNY/ton, wire rod at 3,558 CNY/ton, hot-rolled coil at 3,224 CNY/ton, cold-rolled coil at 3,646 CNY/ton, and medium plate at 3,451 CNY/ton, with weekly changes of +0.05%, +0.08%, +0.10%, -0.12%, and -0.64% respectively [1][15]. - The total production of the five major products is 8.8038 million tons, a decrease of 0.47 thousand tons week-on-week [1]. - The average daily molten iron output from 247 steel enterprises is 2.418 million tons, down 0.11 thousand tons week-on-week [1]. 2. Key Industry Data Tracking (a) Production Data - The capacity utilization rate for blast furnaces is 90.65%, down 0.04 percentage points week-on-week [1]. - The operating rate for electric arc furnaces is 76.69%, down 1.09 percentage points week-on-week [1]. (b) Consumption Data - The total consumption of the five major steel products is 8.8217 million tons, a decrease of 316.2 thousand tons week-on-week [1]. - The apparent consumption of rebar, wire rod, hot-rolled, cold-rolled, and medium plate shows week-on-week changes of -196.5 thousand tons, -2.6 thousand tons, -60.1 thousand tons, +13.8 thousand tons, and -70.9 thousand tons respectively [1]. (c) Inventory Situation - The total steel inventory is 13.6381 million tons, a decrease of 17.9 thousand tons week-on-week [1]. - Social inventory decreased by 15.3 thousand tons to 9.3101 million tons, while steel mill inventory decreased by 2.6 thousand tons to 4.3280 million tons [1]. (d) Profitability - The average cost of molten iron for 114 steel mills is 2,362 CNY/ton, down 37 CNY/ton week-on-week [1]. - The gross profit per ton for rebar, hot-rolled coil, and cold-rolled coil is +99 CNY/ton, +33 CNY/ton, and -62 CNY/ton respectively, with week-on-week changes of +9 CNY/ton, 0 CNY/ton, and +62 CNY/ton [1]. 3. Industry Policy and Outlook - The report highlights ongoing government efforts to optimize industrial layout and promote the exit of inefficient production capacity while increasing high-end capacity supply [3][4]. - The steel industry is expected to continue its profit recovery, with potential for greater elasticity in profits if supply-side adjustments are effectively implemented [9][10].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommendation" rating for the technology sector in A-shares, expecting the industry index to outperform the benchmark index by more than 5% in the next 3-6 months [35]. Core Insights - The delivery of Broadcom's Tomahawk 6 (TH6) switch chip marks a significant breakthrough in AI infrastructure, enhancing network capabilities and addressing bottlenecks in AI computing [17][19]. - The communication industry has shown strong performance, with a 5.27% increase in the index, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 4.40 percentage points [9][11]. - Broadcom's Q2 FY25 financial results indicate a 20% year-on-year revenue growth, driven primarily by the strong performance of its AI business [23][24]. Summary by Sections Industry Basic Data - The communication industry comprises 124 stocks with a total market value of 48,971.71 billion and a circulating market value of 21,813.38 billion [2]. Relative Index Performance - The absolute performance over 1 month, 6 months, and 12 months is 7.2%, 2.2%, and 30.5% respectively, while the relative performance is 5.5%, 4.7%, and 22.7% [3]. Market Review - The communication sector has outperformed both the CSI 300 and ChiNext indices this week, with notable stock performances including Huamai Technology (+33.74%) and ST Zhongjia (+33.33%) [6][14]. Broadcom TH6 Chip Delivery - The TH6 chip offers a switching capacity of 102.4 Tbps, doubling the current market standard and increasing throughput by six times compared to its predecessor [17][18]. Financial Analysis of Broadcom - Broadcom's Q2 FY25 revenue reached 15 billion USD, with AI business revenue at 4.4 billion USD, reflecting a 46% year-on-year increase [23][24]. Investment Recommendations - Key recommendations include China Mobile, China Telecom, and China Unicom for operators, and New Yisheng, Tianfu Communication, and Zhongji Xuchuang for optical modules and chips [29].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the computer industry, expecting the industry index to outperform the benchmark index by more than 5% in the next 3-6 months [36]. Core Insights - The computer industry has entered a rebound phase, with significant developments in AI technology and strategic mergers, particularly the merger between Haiguang Information and Zhongke Shuguang, which is expected to create a leading player in the domestic computing power sector [7][18]. - The report highlights the acceleration of mergers and acquisitions in the industry, driven by policy support and the need for vertical integration in the "chip-server" sector [9][24]. - The report emphasizes the importance of the upcoming events in June, which are expected to catalyze the commercialization of AI technologies and boost the technology market [7][18]. Summary by Sections Industry Weekly Viewpoint - The computer index rose by 3.26% from June 3 to June 6, outperforming the ChiNext index by 0.94 percentage points, ranking 4th among 30 sectors [14]. - Key stocks that performed well include Huijin Co. (up 50.54%), Qingyun Technology-U (up 38.27%), and Zhongdian Xilong (up 32.72%) [7][14]. Market Performance Review - The report notes that the overall A-share market experienced a net outflow of 69.06 billion yuan, while the computer sector saw a minor net outflow of 15.6 million yuan during the same period [15]. Strategic Mergers and Acquisitions - The merger between Haiguang Information and Zhongke Shuguang is positioned as a significant event, potentially creating a "carrier-level" enterprise in the domestic computing power field, with a combined market value exceeding 400 billion yuan [18][19]. - The report outlines the supportive policies for mergers and acquisitions, including the "New National Nine Articles" and "Science and Technology Innovation Board Eight Articles," which encourage industry consolidation [9][24]. Investment Recommendations and Related Stocks - The report suggests focusing on key players in various segments, including: - Chips: Haiguang Information, Cambrian, Longxin Zhongke, and Jingjia Micro [26]. - Servers: China Great Wall, Zhongke Shuguang, Unisplendour, Inspur Information, and Digital China [26]. - Operating Systems: China Software, Chengmai Technology, and Kirin Software [26]. - Databases: Dameng Data, Haimass Data, and Tai Chi Software [26].