证券研究报告 固收定期报告 hyzqdatemark 2025 年 06 月 08 日 信用利差整体小幅波动 ——信用分析周报（2025/6/2-2025/6/6） 投资要点： 本周（6/2-6/6）市场概览： 廖志明 SAC：S1350524100002 liaozhiming@huayuanstock.com 3）负面舆情：广东蒙泰高新纤维股份有限公司主体评级调低，其所发行的"蒙泰转 债"债项评级调低。 本周市场分析：本周公开市场共有 16026 亿元逆回购到期，本周央行累计开展 9309 亿元逆回购操作，实现全周净回笼 6717 亿元。本周 DR001 由周初的 1.41%小幅下 行至 1.39%。 投资建议：总体来看，本周 AAA 主体信用利差整体小幅走扩，AA+电子行业、AA 医药生物行业利差大幅压缩，其余各行业各评级的债券信用利差小幅波动。城投债 方面，本周城投债信用利差整体小幅波动，各地区的城投信用利差大多小幅走扩， 贵州、云南等区域的 AA 城投主体利差小幅压缩。产业债方面，本周产业债信用利差 整体呈现短端走扩，长端小幅波动的态势。银行资本债方面，本周银行资本债信用 利差整体小幅波动，5Y 二 ...

Group 1 - The North Exchange will officially launch the North Certificate Specialized and New Index on June 30, 2025, providing investors with a multi-dimensional investment benchmark [2][5][9] - The North Certificate Specialized and New Index will select the largest 50 companies from the "specialized and new" small giant listed companies on the North Exchange, reflecting the overall performance of these companies [5][9] - A total of 27 companies are expected to enter the dual index list, including Jinbo Biological, Shuguang Digital Innovation, and Naconoer [9][10] Group 2 - The financial performance of the Specialized and New Index shows better growth compared to the North Certificate 50 Index, with total revenue and median revenue for 2024 reaching 318 million and 4.09 million respectively [12][13] - The total net profit for the Specialized and New Index in 2024 is projected to be 31.5 million, indicating a year-on-year growth of 10% [12][13] - The median market capitalization for the North Certificate 50 Index is 47 million, while for the Specialized and New Index it is 33 million, indicating a larger overall market value for the North Certificate 50 Index [12][13][19] Group 3 - The price-to-earnings ratio (PE TTM) for the North Certificate Specialized and New Index is 69X, which is higher than the 49X for the North Certificate 50 Index [19][23] - The average daily trading volume for the North Certificate A-shares has decreased to 248 billion, reflecting a slight decline in market activity [20][26] - The North Certificate 50 Index has shown a weekly increase of 1.30%, indicating a positive market sentiment [20][31]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - In May 2025, the wealth management scale increased slightly. The scale is expected to decline seasonally in June and may grow significantly in July due to the deposit rate cut [2][10]. - In the first five months of 2025, the wealth management scale of the four major banks' wealth management companies grew moderately, while some joint - stock banks had higher growth rates. Among city and rural commercial bank wealth management companies, Suyin Wealth Management led, and Ningyin Wealth Management had a prominent scale increase [2][11]. - In May 2025, the average monthly annualized yield of pure fixed - income wealth management of wealth management companies declined month - on - month. Due to low bond yields, the subsequent fixed - income wealth management yields may drop to around 2% [2]. - The bond market is volatile with few opportunities. It is recommended to focus on 5Y credit bonds with yields above 2%, as the credit spread may further compress [2]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 5 - month Wealth Management Scale Growth - As of the end of May 2025, the total wealth management scale was 31.5 trillion yuan, an increase of 1.58 trillion yuan from the end of the previous year and 0.19 trillion yuan from the end of the previous month. The growth in May exceeded the average increment from 2021 - 2024 [2][5]. - In 2024, the wealth management scale increased by 3.15 trillion yuan. In 2025, the increment in January was 0.17 trillion yuan, much lower than that in January 2022 [9]. - In March 2025, the wealth management scale decreased by 1.11 trillion yuan, close to the seasonal pattern. In April, it increased by 2.2 trillion yuan, exceeding the average increment from 2021 - 2024 [10]. 3.2 Wealth Management Scale of Wealth Management Companies in the First 5 Months - As of the end of May 2025, the top three wealth management companies in terms of scale were China Merchants Bank Wealth Management, Industrial Bank Wealth Management, and CITIC Bank Wealth Management [11]. - Among the big - four banks' wealth management companies, except for CCB Wealth Management, others' scales increased compared to the beginning of the year. In April, their scales increased significantly, but the growth slowed down in May [2][12]. - Among joint - stock bank wealth management companies, Hengfeng Wealth Management, Bohai Bank Wealth Management, Minsheng Wealth Management, and Everbright Wealth Management had remarkable scale growth in the first 5 months [14]. - Among city and rural commercial bank wealth management companies, Suyin Wealth Management led, and Ningyin Wealth Management had a 25% increase in scale compared to the beginning of the year [15]. 3.3 Fixed - Income Wealth Management Yield in May 2025 - In May 2025, the average upper limit of the performance comparison benchmark of newly - issued RMB fixed - income wealth management products of wealth management companies was 2.93%, and the lower limit was 2.28%. The subsequent performance comparison benchmark may further decline [18]. - As of June 1, 2025, the average 7 - day annualized yield of cash - management wealth management products of wealth management companies was 1.38%, and that of money funds was 1.27%. The yield of cash - management wealth management decreased slightly in May [21]. - In May 2025, the average monthly annualized yield of pure fixed - income wealth management products of wealth management companies was 3.01%, a slight decline from the previous month. Future yields are expected to drop to around 2% [2][25]. 3.4 Investment Suggestions - The stage of the fastest decline in banks' liability cost ratio has passed. In May 2025, the policy rate was cut by 10BP, and major banks' deposit rates were further reduced [26]. - As of June 6, 2025, the yields of 10 - year and 30 - year treasury bonds and 5 - year AAA - rated secondary capital bonds decreased significantly, and banks faced a serious yield inversion problem. The 10Y treasury bond yield is expected to range from 1.6% - 1.8% in the second half of the year, and the bond market may fluctuate narrowly [27]. - It is recommended to focus on 5Y credit bonds with yields above 2%, as the deposit rate cut will promote the growth of the wealth management scale in July and further compress the credit spread [33]. - It is also recommended to pay attention to the opportunities of Hong Kong financial stocks, especially the valuation of Hong Kong banks may be repaired, and the net interest margin of commercial banks may stabilize in 2026 [35].

证券研究报告 交通运输 | 航运港口 非金融|首次覆盖报告 hyzqdatemark 2025 年 06 月 06 日 证券分析师 孙延 SAC：S1350524050003 sunyan01@huayuanstock.com 刘晓宁 SAC：S1350523120003 liuxiaoning@huayuanstock.com 曾智星 SAC：S1350524120008 zengzhixing@huayuanstock.com 王惠武 SAC：S1350524060001 wanghuiwu@huayuanstock.com 联系人 张付哲 zhangfuzhe@huayuanstock.com | 基本数据 | | 年 | 06 | 日 | | 月 05 | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 收盘价（元） | | | | 9.02 | | | | | | | 一 年 内 最 低 | 高 | | | | 最 | | / | 10.61/7.91 | | | （元） | | | | | | | | | ...

证券研究报告 环保 | 环境治理 非金融|首次覆盖报告 hyzqdatemark 2025 年 06 月 06 日 证券分析师 查浩 SAC：S1350524060004 zhahao@huayuanstock.com 刘晓宁 SAC：S1350523120003 liuxiaoning@huayuanstock.com 蔡思 SAC：S1350524070005 caisi@huayuanstock.com 联系人 市场表现： | 基本数据 | | 2025 | 年 | 06 | 04 | 日 | | | | 月 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 收盘价（元） | | | | | 21.79 | | | | | | | 一 年 内 最 | 高 | | | | 24.00/13.62 | | 最 | 低 | / | | | （元） | | | | | | | | | | | | 总市值（百万元） | | | | | 12,281.79 | | | | | | | 流通市值（百万元） | | | | | ...

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, marking its first coverage in the market [5][8]. Core Insights - The company is a leading brand in the fresh tea beverage sector, driven by product innovation and an efficient supply chain, which supports its high operational efficiency [5][8]. - The fresh beverage market in China is expected to grow significantly, with the market size projected to reach 1,163.4 billion yuan by 2028, increasing its share of the overall beverage market [7][24]. - The company holds a strong competitive position, ranking second in the fresh tea beverage market with a GMV of 19.2 billion yuan and a market share of 9.1% as of the end of 2023 [7][32]. Summary by Sections Market Performance - As of June 4, 2025, the closing price of the company's stock is 29.50 HKD, with a total market capitalization of approximately 70,156.48 million HKD [3]. Financial Forecast and Valuation - Revenue projections for the company are as follows: 2023: 7,675.67 million yuan, 2024: 8,791.36 million yuan, 2025E: 10,967.55 million yuan, 2026E: 12,926.70 million yuan, 2027E: 14,761.33 million yuan, with respective growth rates of 38.07%, 14.54%, 24.75%, 17.86%, and 14.19% [6][56]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company is forecasted to be 1,079.63 million yuan in 2023, increasing to 2,635.01 million yuan by 2027, with growth rates of 194.48%, 36.95%, 30.19%, 18.87%, and 15.17% [6][56]. - The company is expected to maintain a high return on equity (ROE), projected at 185.19% in 2023, declining to 29.65% by 2027 [6][56]. Industry Trends - The fresh beverage market in China is experiencing rapid growth, with the current market size at 517.5 billion yuan, accounting for 36.3% of the beverage market, and expected to grow to 1,163.4 billion yuan by 2028 [7][24]. - The company has a robust product development capability, focusing on fruit tea, milk tea, and coffee, with continuous product innovation [10][47]. - The supply chain efficiency is enhanced by a network of 22 warehouses, with 76% of stores located within 150 kilometers of a warehouse, ensuring timely deliveries [51][53]. Competitive Position - The company is well-positioned in the competitive landscape of the fresh tea beverage market, with a solid ecological foundation and a significant number of stores [7][32]. - The report identifies comparable companies in the same sector, such as Mixue Group and Tehai International, to benchmark the company's valuation [8][56].

证券研究报告 交通运输 | 航运港口 港股|首次覆盖报告 hyzqdatemark 2025 年 06 月 05 日 证券分析师 孙延 SAC：S1350524050003 sunyan01@huayuanstock.com 刘晓宁 SAC：S1350523120003 liuxiaoning@huayuanstock.com 曾智星 SAC：S1350524120008 zengzhixing@huayuanstock.com 王惠武 SAC：S1350524060001 wanghuiwu@huayuanstock.com 张付哲 zhangfuzhe@huayuanstock.com 市场表现： | 基本数据 | 2025 | 年 | 04 | | 日 | 06 | 月 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 收盘价（港元） | | | | 25.25 | | | | | 一年内最高/最低（港 | | | 25.80/15.70 | | | | | | 元） | | | | | | | | | 总市值（百万港元） | | | | 68, ...

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The bond market opportunities may come from adjustments. If no unexpected events occur, the 10Y Treasury bond is expected to trade in a narrow range of 1.6% - 1.8% by the end of the year, and the bond market may lack trending opportunities [2]. - The current economic operation is in a neutral range. Exports are resilient, consumption has improved year - on - year, but investment remains sluggish. The marginal change in the economy compared to 2024 may lie in consumption. However, due to over - capacity, PPI is still under pressure, and combined with negative real estate investment and international energy prices, black - series prices are particularly low. The bond market is not likely to enter a major bear market in the short term [2]. 3. Summary According to the Directory 3.1 Macro News - The central bank did not conduct open - market Treasury bond trading operations in May. In May, it carried out 700 billion yuan of repurchase operations, but due to the maturity of 900 billion yuan of existing operations, it achieved a net liquidity withdrawal of 200 billion yuan [11]. - At the end of the first quarter of 2025, the balance of consumer loans was 21.02 trillion yuan, a year - on - year increase of 6.1%, and an increase of 32.1 billion yuan in the first quarter. The balance of RMB loans of financial institutions was 265.41 trillion yuan, a year - on - year increase of 7.4%, and RMB loans increased by 9.78 trillion yuan in the first quarter [12]. - From January to April this year, the profits of large - scale industrial enterprises increased by 1.4%, 0.6 percentage points faster than in the first quarter. The revenues of large - scale light - industry enterprises reached 7.35 trillion yuan, a year - on - year increase of 4.9%, and the profits were 419.06 billion yuan, a year - on - year increase of 3.8% [12][13]. - The US tariff policy is in a judicial tug - of - war. The Fed has maintained the federal funds rate at 4.25% - 4.5% for the third consecutive time, and may face "difficult trade - offs" in the future [17]. 3.2 Medium - term High - frequency Data: Strong Consumption, Stable Production, and Weak Prices 3.2.1 Consumption - As of May 25, the daily average retail volume of passenger cars was 60,800, a year - on - year increase of 26.4%, and the daily average wholesale volume was 75,900, a year - on - year increase of 14.4% [15]. - As of May 23, the weekly retail volumes of refrigerators/freezers, air conditioners, and washing machines were 741,400, 1.6127 million, and 655,700 units respectively, with month - on - month changes of - 8.1%, + 65.6%, and - 20.5%. The weekly retail revenues were 1.892 billion yuan, 3.901 billion yuan, and 1.246 billion yuan respectively, with month - on - month changes of + 2.6%, + 70.4%, and - 44.0% [23]. - As of June 1, the total movie box office in the past seven days was 480 million yuan, a month - on - month increase of 95.8% and a year - on - year increase of 17.5% [27]. 3.2.2 Transportation - As of May 25, the weekly container throughput of ports was 7 million TEUs, a month - on - month increase of 3.6%. The CCFI composite index on May 30 was 1118, a month - on - month increase of 0.9% [29]. - The Baltic Dry Index on May 30 was 1418, with a weekly average of 1342, a month - on - month decrease of 0.6%. The Baidu Migration Index on June 1 was 674, with a weekly average of 600, a year - on - year increase of 37.8% [33]. - As of May 25, the weekly number of civil aviation flights was 1.21 million, a month - on - month increase of 7.7%. The average subway passenger volume in first - tier cities on May 31 was 34.666 million person - times, and the weekly average was 39.258 million person - times, a year - on - year increase of 3.8% [37]. - As of May 25, the weekly postal express pick - up volume was 4.15 billion pieces, a month - on - month increase of 2.0%, and the delivery volume was 4.22 billion pieces, a month - on - month increase of 6.4%. As of June 1, the weekly railway freight volume was 78 million tons, a month - on - month decrease of 0.16%, and the highway truck traffic volume was 52.008 million vehicles, a month - on - month decrease of 6.14% [43][47]. 3.2.3 Operating Rates - As of May 28, the operating rate of blast furnaces of major steel enterprises was 77.8%, a month - on - month increase of 0.5%. As of May 29, the asphalt operating rate was 24.0%, a month - on - month increase of 4.3% [52]. - As of May 29, the soda ash operating rate was 79.13%, a month - on - month increase of 0.03%, the PVC operating rate was 72.2%, a month - on - month decrease of 0.6%. As of May 30, the average operating rates of PX and PTA were 82.1% and 74.2% respectively, with month - on - month increases of 6.2% and 1.1% [56]. 3.2.4 Real Estate - As of May 29, the transaction area of commercial housing in 30 large and medium - sized cities was 2.31 million square meters, with month - on - month increases of 8.9%, 18.3%, and 6.7% in first - tier, second - tier, and third - tier cities respectively. The number of transactions was 23,000 units, with month - on - month increases of 6.9%, 17.0%, and - 0.6% in first - tier, second - tier, and third - tier cities respectively [64]. - As of May 23, the transaction area of second - hand housing in 9 sample cities was 1.921 million square meters, a month - on - month increase of 4.0% and a year - on - year increase of 7.5% in May. As of May 25, the listing volume index of second - hand housing in the country was 16.0, a month - on - month decrease of 2.6% and a year - on - year decrease of 57.8% in May. The listing price index was 154.6, a month - on - month decrease of 0.1% and a year - on - year decrease of 8.1% in May [70]. - As of June 1, the number of land transactions in 100 large and medium - sized cities was 552, a month - on - month increase of 35.0%. The floor price per square meter was 49,504 yuan, a month - on - month decrease of 98.3%, and the land premium rate was 4.6%, a month - on - month decrease of 25.5% [74]. 3.2.5 Prices - As of May 30, the average wholesale price of pork was 20.7 yuan/kg, a month - on - month decrease of 0.3%. The average wholesale price of vegetables was 4.3 yuan/kg, a month - on - month increase of 1.3%. The average wholesale price of 6 key fruits was 7.8 yuan/kg, a month - on - month increase of 0.5% [75][80]. - The commodity price BPI on June 1 was 856, a decrease of 2.8% compared to the beginning of the year. The price of thermal coal at northern ports on May 30 was 615 yuan/ton, a decrease of 20.1% compared to the beginning of the year. The spot price of rebar on May 30 was 3077.1 yuan/ton, a month - on - month decrease of 2.4%. The spot price of iron ore was 756.5 yuan/ton, a month - on - month decrease of 3.0%. The spot price of glass was 14.4 yuan/square meter, a month - on - month decrease of 0.1% [80][83][84]. 3.3 Bond and Foreign Exchange Markets: Stable Capital Interest Rates - On May 30, overnight Shibor was 1.47%, down 3.50BP from May 26. R001 was 1.57%, up 1.78BP; R007 was 1.70%, up 0.12BP. DR001 was 1.48%, down 2.91BP; DR007 was 1.66%, up 1.00BP. IBO001 was 1.51%, down 3.57BP; IBO007 was 1.58%, up 12.78BP [88]. - Most Treasury bond yields declined. On May 30, the 1 - year/5 - year/10 - year/30 - year yields were 1.46%/1.56%/1.67%/1.89% respectively, up 1.1BP/down 0.2BP/down 5.0BP/up 0.3BP compared to May 23. The yields of 1 - year/5 - year/10 - year/30 - year state - owned development bonds were 1.54%/1.62%/1.70%/2.07% respectively, up 1.5BP/up 1.5BP/down 1.6BP/down 0.1BP compared to May 23 [98]. - On May 30, the yields of 1 - year/5 - year/10 - year local government bonds were 1.52%/1.66%/1.87% respectively, up 3.0BP/down 1.7BP/up 1.2BP compared to May 23. The yields of 1 - month/1 - year AAA and AA + inter - bank certificates of deposit were 1.56%/1.70%/1.59%/1.74% respectively, down 6.1BP/up 0.2BP/down 6.1BP/up 0.2BP compared to May 23 [102]. - The central parity rate and spot exchange rate of the US dollar against the RMB on May 30 were 7.18 and 7.20 respectively, down 71 pips and up 58 pips compared to May 23 [105]. 3.4 Institutional Behavior: Interest - rate Bond Funds Extend Duration, Credit - bond Funds Keep Duration Stable - As of May 25, the net - loss rate of public wealth management products of wealth management companies was about 1.08%, a decrease of 0.89BP from the beginning of the year, and it has dropped to the lowest level this year [107]. - Since the beginning of 2025, the duration of medium - and long - term pure interest - rate bond funds has shown a trend of first decreasing and then increasing. On May 29, 2025, the estimated median duration was about 4.1 years, and the estimated average duration was about 4.6 years, an increase of about 0.09 years compared to the previous week [110]. - Since the beginning of 2025, the duration of medium - and long - term pure credit - bond funds has shown a slight fluctuation trend. On May 29, 2025, the estimated median duration was about 2.0 years, and the estimated average duration was about 2.1 years, a decrease of about 0.05 years compared to the previous week [111]. 3.5 Investment Suggestions - The bond market opportunities may come from adjustments. When the 10Y Treasury bond yield reaches the upper limit of the range, extend the duration; when it approaches the lower limit, reduce the duration, and conduct 10BP - level band operations [2]. - In June, the bond market may face several challenges. It is recommended to wait until the second half of June for interest - rate bond band opportunities. The total maturity of inter - bank certificates of deposit in June will reach 4.17 trillion yuan, a record high in recent years. The scale of wealth management products may decline seasonally in the second half of June, and the scale may increase significantly in July due to the reduction of deposit interest rates [2]. - The yield curve of credit bonds within 5 years may flatten. It is recommended to focus on credit bonds with a yield of over 2%. It is also recommended to pay more attention to Hong Kong - listed financial stocks, fixed - income + Hong Kong - listed dividend stocks, and continue to be bullish on Hong Kong - listed banks [116].

证券研究报告 建筑装饰 行业定期报告 hyzqdatemark 2025 年 06 月 05 日 证券分析师 王彬鹏 SAC：S1350524090001 wangbinpeng@huayuanstock.com 戴铭余 SAC：S1350524060003 daimingyu@huayuanstock.com 郦悦轩 SAC：S1350524080001 liyuexuan@huayuanstock.com 三条选股思路 投资评级： 看好（维持） ——建筑装饰行业周报（20250526-20250601） 投资要点： 本周观点： 结构性行情显现，建筑板块配置价值重估。2025 年以来，建筑板块整体仍处于基本 面弱复苏阶段，市场情绪偏谨慎，估值与交易热度维持低位。然而，随着宏观政策 持续托底、专项资金加快落地、企业分化趋势加剧，板块内部正逐步显现结构性行 情，配置价值有望重估。我们建议从"区域方向""相对收益配置组合"与"产业 外延转型升级"三条主线出发，精选具备政策优势、盈利修复能力或成长弹性的优 质标的，把握阶段性布局窗口。 联系人 板块表现： 线路一：区域方向明确，中西部基建、"一带一路"与水利建设成为 ...

证券研究报告 建筑材料 行业定期报告 hyzqdatemark 2025 年 06 月 04 日 证券分析师 戴铭余 SAC：S1350524060003 daimingyu@huayuanstock.com 王彬鹏 SAC：S1350524090001 wangbinpeng@huayuanstock.com 郦悦轩 SAC：S1350524080001 liyuexuan@huayuanstock.com 朱芸 SAC：S1350524070001 zhuyun@huayuanstock.com 唐志玮 tangzhiwei@huayuanstock.com 板块表现： 高端电子布景气度进一步验证，关注玻纤企业新一轮军备竞赛 投资评级： 看好（维持） ——建筑材料行业周报（25/05/26-25/06/01） 投资要点： 联系人 高端电子布需求释放提速，玻纤企业开启军备竞赛。2025 年 5 月 27 日，日商三 菱瓦斯化学（MGC）发出交期延宕通知，低热膨胀系数（Low CTE）玻璃布原 料短缺、订单需求暴增，导致 BT 材料交期大幅拉长，进一步印证了今年以来高 端电子布供不应求的局面,市场对该领域关注 ...