证券研究报告 | 公司点评报告 2025 年 08 月 28 日 隆达股份（688231.SH） 高温合金业务快速增长，境外收入占比持续提升 中游制造/军工 公司2025H1实现营业收入8.29亿元（同比+15.72%）；实现归母净利润5304.32 万元（同比+15.53%），扣非归母净利润 5037.62 万元（同比+29.44%）。 ❑ 风险提示：市场开拓不及预期、原材料价格波动风险。 强烈推荐（维持） 目标估值：NA 当前股价：21.48 元 基础数据 | 总股本（百万股） | 247 | | --- | --- | | 已上市流通股（百万股） | 126 | | 总市值（十亿元） | 5.3 | | 流通市值（十亿元） | 2.7 | | 每股净资产（MRQ） | 11.2 | | ROE（TTM） | 2.7 | | 资产负债率 | 27.7% | | 主要股东 | 浦益龙 | | 主要股东持股比例 | 35.8% | 股价表现 % 1m 6m 12m 绝对表现 20 49 93 相对表现 12 37 59 资料来源：公司数据、招商证券 -20 0 20 40 60 80 100 Aug/24 D ...

中际旭创（300308.SZ） 25Q2 净利率超预期，规模优势与先发优势突出 TMT 及中小盘/通信 2025 年 8 月 26 日，公司发布 2025 年半年度报告。25H1 营业收入 147.89 亿 元，同比增长 36.95%；归母净利润 39.95 亿元，同比增长 69.40%。25Q2 单 季度营收 81.15 亿元，环比增长 21.59%；归母净利润 24.12 亿元，环比增长 52.40%。公司业绩高增得益于高速产品出货比重增加及成本控制能力提升。 证券研究报告 | 公司点评报告 2025 年 08 月 27 日 财务数据与估值 | 会计年度 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入(百万元) | 10718 | 23862 | 36693 | 67164 | 82661 | | 同比增长 | 11% | 123% | 54% | 83% | 23% | | 营业利润(百万元) | 2494 | 6050 | 11313 | 18705 | 23170 | | 同比 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" investment rating for the construction industry [1] Core Insights - The construction industry is experiencing a slight slowdown in growth, but remains resilient, with a focus on fiscal stimulus and the acceleration of major engineering projects [1] - The actual funding for fixed asset investment from January to July 2025 has shown a cumulative growth of +1.0%, with budgetary funds increasing by +9.4% [1][11] - New signed orders in the construction sector have faced pressure, with a year-on-year decline of -1.6% in the first half of 2025, while the investment in ongoing projects has maintained positive year-on-year growth [1][11] Summary by Sections Funding Availability - From January to July 2025, the cumulative growth rate of actual funding for fixed asset investment is +1.0%, compared to -1.8 percentage points in June 2025 and +3.3 percentage points for the entire year of 2024 [11] - The growth rate of national budgetary funds is +9.4%, which is an improvement from -5.4 percentage points in June 2025 [25] - The total fixed asset investment completed from January to July 2025 reached 28.8 trillion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of +1.6% [11][19] New Orders and Project Commencement - The construction industry has seen a year-on-year decline of -1.6% in new signed orders for the first half of 2025, while the investment in ongoing projects has shown a cumulative investment amount of 24.2 trillion yuan with a growth rate of +8.8% [1][11] - The construction PMI for July 2025 is reported at 52.7, indicating a rebound from the previous month [11] Work Volume - The physical work volume in the construction sector has shown a decline in the production of various building materials, with cement, steel, and glass production decreasing by -6.4%, -4.2%, and -2.8% respectively in July 2025 [1][11] - The broad infrastructure investment growth rate is recorded at +7.3% from January to July 2025, although this represents a slight slowdown compared to previous months [11][19] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on state-owned enterprises with strong fundamentals and low valuations, particularly in the context of more proactive fiscal policies [1] - It highlights three pathways for the industry to overcome bottlenecks as it matures: focusing on competitive advantages, addressing incremental demand, and developing new productive forces [1]

证券研究报告 | 公司点评报告 2025 年 08 月 27 日 中科海讯（300810.SZ） 25H1 业绩承压，合同负债创历史新高 中游制造/军工 公司 2025 年上半年总收入 9596.68 万元，同比-9.61%，归母净利润-6467.71 万元，同比-12.09%，扣非归母净利润-6531.94 万元，同比-10.97%。 ❑ 盈利预测：预测 2025-2027 年归母净利润预测达到分别为 0.18 亿、0.29 亿和 强烈推荐（维持） 目标估值：NA 当前股价：53.81 元 基础数据 | 总股本（百万股） | 118 | | --- | --- | | 已上市流通股（百万股） | 114 | | 总市值（十亿元） | 6.4 | | 流通市值（十亿元） | 6.1 | | 每股净资产（MRQ） | 6.4 | | ROE（TTM） | -4.4 | | 资产负债率 | 33.2% | | 主要股东 宁波梅山保税港区中科海讯 | | | 科技投资合伙企业(有限合 主要股东持股比例 | 29.26% | | | 伙) | 股价表现 % 1m 6m 12m 绝对表现 29 163 242 相对表现 ...

Investment Rating - Strongly recommended (maintained) [2] Core Views - The company reported significant growth in revenue and net profit for Q2 2025, driven by strong performance in motorcycle engines and general machinery, with net profit doubling in the latter segment [1][5] - The low-altitude economy policies are driving growth, and the company has achieved a milestone in obtaining certification for its self-developed aviation engine [1][6] - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 1.08 billion, 1.29 billion, and 1.44 billion yuan in 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, corresponding to PE ratios of 28.6, 24.0, and 21.4 [6][7] Financial Performance Summary - For H1 2025, total revenue reached 6.693 billion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 39.05%, and net profit of 506 million yuan, up 79.37% [5][6] - In Q2 2025, total revenue was 3.450 billion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 39.00%, and net profit of 279 million yuan, up 72.74% [5][6] - The general machinery business saw total revenue of 3.647 billion yuan in H1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 73.06%, with net profit of 370 million yuan, up 139.79% [5][6] - The motorcycle engine business generated revenue of 2.330 billion yuan in H1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 14.39%, with net profit of 133 million yuan, up 39.30% [5][6] Business Segment Insights - The general machinery segment is strengthening its market position through collaboration and resource integration, maintaining leadership in various applications such as emergency power generation and drone charging [5][6] - The motorcycle engine segment is focusing on market expansion in emerging markets like Mexico and Brazil, while enhancing technology and supply chain optimization [5][6] - The aviation engine segment is capitalizing on low-altitude economic policies and has successfully certified its CA500 aviation piston engine, marking a significant achievement in compliance with domestic and international standards [6][7]

业绩超预期，物联网业务高增 TMT 及中小盘/计算机 公司发布 25 年中报，业绩超预期，其中物联网业务线同比增长 136.14%。报 告期内公司端侧智能产品已进入量产阶段，后续将成为公司收入增长的核心引 擎。公司全球化布局成果显著，期间费用持续优化，围绕 AI 在整车操作系统、 机器人、端侧智能等领域加大投入，维持"强烈推荐"投资评级。 ❑ 风险提示：AI 业务发展低于预期；行业竞争加剧。 证券研究报告 | 公司点评报告 2025 年 08 月 27 日 中科创达（300496.SZ） 财务数据与估值 | 会计年度 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入(百万元) | 5242 | 5385 | 6934 | 8108 | 9564 | | 同比增长 | -4% | 3% | 29% | 17% | 18% | | 营业利润(百万元) | 428 | 445 | 544 | 675 | 767 | | 同比增长 | -45% | 4% | 22% | 24% | 14% | | ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" investment rating for the company [3][7]. Core Views - The company achieved a total revenue of 567 million yuan in the first half of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 20.40%. However, the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 64.57% year-on-year to 8.14 million yuan due to market conditions and increased competition [1][7]. - The electronic wet chemical segment generated revenue of 434.15 million yuan, up 25.57% year-on-year, while the electronic specialty gases and precursors segment saw revenue of 120.42 million yuan, a 10.49% increase year-on-year [7]. - The company is focusing on R&D, with R&D expenses amounting to 40.60 million yuan, which is 7.17% of total revenue, reflecting a 38.70% increase year-on-year [7]. - The company is expected to achieve revenues of 1.29 billion yuan, 1.62 billion yuan, and 1.95 billion yuan in 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 26%, 25%, and 20% [7][8]. Financial Data and Valuation - The company’s total revenue is projected to grow from 894 million yuan in 2023 to 1.95 billion yuan in 2027, with corresponding year-on-year growth rates of 12%, 15%, 26%, 25%, and 20% [2][10]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to increase from 14 million yuan in 2023 to 24 million yuan in 2027, with growth rates of 30%, -27%, 21%, 53%, and 31% respectively [8][11]. - The company’s PE ratios for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are projected to be 1100.2, 718.1, and 548.1 respectively, indicating a valuation above the industry average [7][11]. Stock Performance - The company's stock has shown a 14% absolute performance over the past month, a -1% performance over six months, and a 58% performance over the past year [5].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for Dongguan Holdings [3] Core Views - Dongguan Holdings reported a significant increase in net profit attributable to shareholders, with a year-on-year growth of 20.5% in the first half of 2025, driven by a recovery in bad debt provisions [1][7] - The company is focusing on its core business in the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area, optimizing its business structure by reducing non-core investments [7] - The company has committed to a stable cash dividend of no less than 0.475 CNY per share from 2025 to 2027, with a proposed interim dividend of 0.15 CNY per share for 2025 [7] Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved operating revenue of 770 million CNY, a decrease of 8.6% year-on-year, while net profit attributable to shareholders reached 530 million CNY, an increase of 20.5% [1] - The second quarter of 2025 saw operating revenue of 400 million CNY, down 6.3% year-on-year, but net profit attributable to shareholders surged by 699.2% to 310 million CNY [1] - The company’s gross profit margin improved to 68.9%, with the highway business achieving a gross margin of 75.6% [7] Financial Data and Valuation - The projected net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025-2027 is estimated at 1.014 billion CNY, 941 million CNY, and 942 million CNY respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 12.4x for 2025 [2][7] - The company’s total market capitalization is approximately 12.5 billion CNY, with a current share price of 12.07 CNY [3] - Key financial ratios include a return on equity (ROE) of 10.4% and a debt-to-asset ratio of 37.1% [3]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" investment rating for the company [3][7]. Core Views - The company's mid-year performance aligns with forecasts, showing significant growth in electric tools, with a revenue increase of 4.87% year-on-year to 7.027 billion yuan in H1 2025 [1]. - The report anticipates better industry conditions in the second half of the year, driven by potential interest rate cuts that could enhance demand elasticity [7]. - The company is focusing on product innovation to sustain high growth in electric tools, which have seen a revenue increase of 56.03% year-on-year, raising their revenue share from 7.1% to 10.56% [7]. - The report projects revenues of 15.56 billion yuan for 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 5%, and net profits of 2.564 billion yuan, reflecting an 11% increase [2][7]. Financial Performance Summary - H1 2025 financials: Total revenue of 7.027 billion yuan, net profit of 1.273 billion yuan, and a non-recurring net profit of 1.254 billion yuan [1]. - Q2 2025 performance: Revenue of 3.371 billion yuan, net profit of 0.812 billion yuan, and a non-recurring net profit of 0.792 billion yuan [1]. - The company’s gross margin for H1 2025 was 31.95%, with a slight year-on-year decrease, while the net margin improved to 18.69% [7]. Revenue and Profit Forecast - Projected total revenue for 2025 is 15.56 billion yuan, with subsequent years expected to grow to 17.201 billion yuan in 2026 and 19.021 billion yuan in 2027 [2][14]. - Forecasted net profit for 2025 is 2.564 billion yuan, increasing to 2.896 billion yuan in 2026 and 3.255 billion yuan in 2027 [2][14]. Valuation Metrics - Current price-to-earnings (PE) ratio is projected at 16x for 2025, decreasing to 14x in 2026 and 13x in 2027 [7]. - The price-to-book (PB) ratio is expected to decline from 2.3 in 2025 to 1.8 by 2027 [2][14].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" rating for the company [3] Core Insights - The company has shown strong revenue growth, with a total revenue of 1.34 billion and a year-on-year increase of 27.9% in H1 2025. Adjusted net profit reached 320 million, reflecting a 9.6% increase, while the adjusted net profit margin was 23.9%, down 4.0 percentage points [1][7] - The company is a leading player in the domestic building block toy market, with significant market share and brand recognition compared to other domestic competitors. The growth momentum is driven by popular IP resource reserves, strong commercialization capabilities, channel expansion, and overseas market penetration [1][7] - The company has signed 13 new IPs and commercialized 19 IPs, with a total of 925 SKUs launched, contributing 53.1% to revenue. The revenue contribution from the top four IP products is 83.1% [7] Financial Performance - The company's revenue is projected to grow significantly, with estimates of 3.38 billion in 2025, 4.43 billion in 2026, and 5.30 billion in 2027, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 51%, 31%, and 20% respectively [2][10] - The adjusted net profit is expected to reach 773 million in 2025, 1.08 billion in 2026, and 1.34 billion in 2027, with growth rates of 32%, 40%, and 24% respectively [2][10] - The company’s gross margin was 48.4% in H1 2025, down 4.5 percentage points, primarily due to increased costs associated with product upgrades and logistics for overseas expansion [7] Market Expansion - The company has experienced rapid growth in overseas revenue, with a staggering 899% increase in H1 2025, driven by significant contributions from North America and Asia [7] - The company’s low-priced products have seen substantial sales, with 48.6 million boxes sold at a retail price of 9.9 RMB, effectively attracting a broader consumer base [7] Investment Recommendation - The report suggests that the company is well-positioned in the mass consumer market with its competitive pricing strategy and strong product innovation pipeline. The anticipated high revenue growth is expected to continue, leading to an adjustment in net profit forecasts for 2025, 2026, and 2027 [7]