Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommendation" rating for the building materials industry [2] Core Views - The real estate policy continues to stabilize, which is expected to support the recovery of leading companies in the consumption building materials sector [14][15] - The cement market is experiencing continued low demand and overall price decline, with a national average shipment rate of 43.4% [11][21] - The float glass market is facing price declines and weak supply-demand support, with a current average price of 1174 RMB/ton [12][21] - The fiberglass market shows stable pricing for alkali-free roving, while electronic yarn prices remain steady [13] Summary by Sections Industry Dynamics - The cement market saw a price drop of 1.1% this week, with significant declines in various regions, while some areas like Jilin and Henan experienced slight price increases [11][21] - The float glass market's average price decreased by 7.14 RMB/ton, with a total production of 1.0909 million tons this week, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 8.2% [12][21] - The fiberglass market remains stable, with prices for alkali-free roving around 3500-3600 RMB/ton, while electronic yarn prices are expected to remain stable due to tight supply [13] Consumption Building Materials - The real estate policy is expected to drive demand for high-quality building materials, with the "Good House" national standard promoting industry transformation [14][15] - The report highlights the potential for recovery in the consumption building materials sector, particularly for leading companies [15] Recommended Stocks - Key recommended stocks include Weixing New Materials, Keda Manufacturing, Mona Lisa, Beixin Building Materials, Keshun Co., Dongpeng Holdings, with a focus on companies like China National Materials and Tianan New Materials [16][18]

Report Title - ABS Supply and Demand are Booming — ABS Monthly Report (June 2025) [1] Core Viewpoint - In June 2025, the ABS market showed a prosperous situation with growth in both supply and demand. The primary issuance scale increased, the secondary trading volume and turnover rate significantly improved, the investor structure had certain changes, and the yields and spreads also presented corresponding trends [2][3][4][5] Specific Summaries by Section Primary Issuance - **Issuance Scale**: In June 2025, the ABS issuance scale increased by 36% month-on-month to 205.546 billion yuan. Among them, the issuance scales of credit ABS, enterprise ABS, and ABN were 24.719 billion yuan, 128.621 billion yuan, and 52.206 billion yuan respectively, with month-on-month growth rates of 3%, 55%, and 18% [2][8] - **Issuance Term and Interest Rate**: Newly issued ABS in June mostly had a term of 1 - 2 years, and the weighted average coupon rate continued to decline. The weighted average coupon rate was 1.93%, a decrease of 7.82bp compared to May. By ABS type, the weighted term of newly issued credit ABS was 2.80 years with a weighted interest rate of 1.63%; for enterprise ABS, the weighted term was 3.38 years and the weighted interest rate was 2.05%; for ABN, the weighted term was 2.56 years and the weighted interest rate was 1.93% [2][10] Secondary Trading - In June 2025, the ABS trading volume and turnover rate significantly increased. The monthly trading volume was 163.716 billion yuan, a 38.01% increase from May. The monthly turnover rate was 5.0%, a 1.3 percentage point increase from May. Among them, ABN was the most actively traded ABS product type, with a monthly turnover rate of 7.0% in June, a 1.1 percentage point increase from the previous month [3][16] Investor Structure - **Credit ABS**: Commercial banks and non - legal person products were the main holders, accounting for 69% and 15% respectively. The holding proportions of commercial banks and non - legal person products decreased by 0.55 and 0.04 percentage points respectively compared to the previous month, while the holding proportion of securities companies increased by 0.37 percentage points [4][19] - **ABN**: Non - legal person products and commercial banks held the most, accounting for 62% and 28% respectively, remaining the same as the previous month [4][19] - **Enterprise ABS**: For Shanghai Stock Exchange enterprise ABS, trust institutions and bank self - operations were the main investors, with holding proportions of 31% and 26% respectively as of June, with the trust institution's proportion decreasing by 0.2 percentage points and the bank self - operation's increasing by 0.1 percentage point compared to the previous month. For Shenzhen Stock Exchange enterprise ABS, trust institutions and general institutions were the main investors, with holding proportions of 32% and 27% respectively as of June, with the trust institution's proportion decreasing by 0.3 percentage points and the general institution's remaining unchanged [4][24] Yields and Spreads - In June, the yields to maturity of ABS at various terms continued to decline. The changes in the yields to maturity of 1 - year, 3 - year, 5 - year, and 10 - year AAA - rated asset - backed securities compared to May 30, 2025, were - 1.6bp, - 3.1bp, - 6.7bp, and - 7.0bp respectively. The spreads between ABS and medium - and short - term notes mostly decreased. The spreads between 1 - year, 3 - year, 5 - year, and 10 - year AAA - rated asset - backed securities and medium - and short - term notes of the same term and rating changed to 5.7bp, - 12.1bp, - 2.5bp, and - 3.5bp respectively, with changes of 0.3bp, - 2.0bp, - 2.5bp, and - 2.1bp respectively [5][26]

证券研究报告 | 公司深度报告 2025 年 07 月 03 日 中国有色矿业（01258.HK） 铜业先驱，多项目投产驱动产能跃升 周期/金属及材料 公司于 2011 年通过重组赞比亚四家铜企而设立，现已发展为全球领先的垂直整 合铜生产商。作为中国首个境外有色金属矿山开发者，公司以谦比希铜矿为起 点，逐步向刚果（金）拓展产业版图，最终构建 "赞比亚-刚果（金）双核心" 战略布局，成为中资企业在非洲的矿业龙头。 强烈推荐（首次） 当前股价：7.5 港元 基础数据 | 总股本（百万股） | 3902 | | --- | --- | | 香港股（百万股） | 3902 | | 总市值（十亿港元） | 28.4 | | 香港股市值（十亿港元） | 28.4 | | 每股净资产（港元） | 0.6 | | ROE（TTM） | 17.7 | | 资产负债率 | 27.1% | | 主要股东 | 中国有色矿业集团有限公司 | | 主要股东持股比例 | 66.6319% | 股价表现 % 1m 6m 12m 绝对表现 36 50 19 相对表现 32 26 -17 资料来源：公司数据、招商证券 -40 -20 0 20 ...

2024 年，全市场非金融产业债发行规模 76266 万元，较 2023 年增长 22%，且 为历史新高。从历年发债规模走势来看，2014 年-2016 年产业债发行规模增长 较快。2017 年监管政策相对收紧，产业债发行规模大幅回落。2018 年以来维 持震荡增长。另一方面，2024 年产业债净融资规模 16600 亿元，为历史次高， 仅低于2015年的19305亿元。2014年以来，产业债仅在2017年和2021年-2023 年两个周期内净融资为负值，均为融资政策相对较严的政策区间。 二、2024 年以来产业债发行期限整体延长 2014 年至 2016 年，产业债加权平均发行期限分别为 2.11 年、1.98 年和 2.1 年， 但随着 2017 年融资环境收紧，产业债发行期限也随之缩短。2017 年至 2023 年，产业债加权平均发行期限均在 2 年以内，其中 2021 年达到最低值 1.54 年。 但随着 2023 年"一揽子化债"启动和债市持续走牛，2024 年和 2025 年 1-5 月，产业债加权平均发行期限分别达到 3.09 年和 3.29 年，增长幅度较大。 三、近年来产业债平均发行成本持续 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "strongly recommended" rating for Meituan, Alibaba, JD Group, Pinduoduo, and Vipshop, indicating a positive outlook for these companies in the e-commerce sector [18][21][24]. Core Insights - The local lifestyle sector remains competitive, but Meituan's long-term competitiveness and investment value are intact, making it a key recommendation [19]. - In the e-commerce sector, leading companies are currently undervalued, with Alibaba, JD Group, Pinduoduo, and Vipshop being highlighted as strong investment opportunities [18][21]. - The upcoming summer travel season is expected to boost the tourism sector, with a focus on short-distance self-driving and family trips, despite a recent slowdown in outbound travel demand [5][19]. Summary by Sections Industry Performance - The restaurant and tourism sector index rose by 3.91%, outperforming the CSI 300 index (up 1.95%) but underperforming the ChiNext index (up 5.69%) [5][7]. - The retail sector index increased by 4.38%, also outperforming the CSI 300 index but underperforming the ChiNext index [5][7]. Key Company Developments - Alibaba has integrated Ele.me and Fliggy into its China e-commerce group, enhancing its consumer service platform [5][27]. - Meituan is expanding its instant retail services, aiming to enhance user experience across various product categories [5][28]. - Taobao Flash Sale and Ele.me have achieved over 60 million daily orders, reflecting a 179% year-on-year growth in retail orders [5][29]. Investment Recommendations - E-commerce: The report suggests that concerns over competition are overstated, with expected profit growth for major players like Alibaba, Pinduoduo, JD, and Vipshop [18]. - Local lifestyle: Meituan's core business growth and barriers remain strong, with a projected core business operating profit of 53.2 billion yuan for 2025 [19]. - Retail: Focus on quality retail trends, with recommendations for Yonghui and other quality retailers showing promising growth [19]. Company Performance Metrics - The report provides performance metrics for key companies, indicating strong earnings growth and favorable price-to-earnings ratios for companies like JD and Alibaba [23][24].

Investment Rating - The industry maintains a "Recommended" rating, indicating a positive outlook for the gaming sector with expectations of outperforming the benchmark index [4]. Core Insights - In June 2025, the National Press and Publication Administration approved 147 domestic game licenses and 11 imported game licenses, showing a significant increase compared to the same period in 2024, which is expected to boost market confidence in the gaming industry [4]. - Key games approved include titles from major companies such as Tencent, NetEase, and Giant Network, which are anticipated to contribute positively to their financial performance [4]. - The report highlights the strong performance of several companies, including Tencent's long-standing games, Giant Network's new releases, and the proactive measures taken by companies like Kaiying Network in AI gaming [4]. Company Summaries - **Kaiying Network**: Market cap of 37.5 billion, with a 2025 EPS forecast of 0.98 and a strong recommendation rating [2]. - **Giant Network**: Market cap of 41.4 billion, with a 2025 EPS forecast of 0.84 and a strong recommendation rating [2]. - **Yaoji Technology**: Market cap of 11.2 billion, with a 2025 EPS forecast of 1.79 and a strong recommendation rating [2]. - **Shenzhou Taiyue**: Market cap of 22.1 billion, with a 2025 EPS forecast of 0.65 and a strong recommendation rating [2]. - **G-bits**: Market cap of 19.8 billion, with a 2025 EPS forecast of 14.80 and a strong recommendation rating [2]. Industry Scale - The gaming industry consists of 161 listed companies, with a total market capitalization of 1,740.9 billion and a circulating market capitalization of 1,580.9 billion [2]. Industry Index Performance - The absolute performance of the industry over the last 12 months is 42.6%, indicating strong growth [3]. - Relative performance metrics show positive trends, with expectations of continued growth in the coming months [3]. Related Reports - The report references several related analyses that discuss ongoing trends and performance in the gaming sector, highlighting the continuous improvement in revenue and the emergence of new gaming titles [3].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" recommendation for leading internet companies with strong AI capabilities, such as Tencent Holdings, Pop Mart, Kuaishou, NetEase, and Bilibili [1]. Core Insights - The internet industry is experiencing continuous iterations in AI models and applications, leading to a positive outlook for companies with stable performance and strong AI positioning [1]. - The report highlights significant developments in AI applications, including the launch of AI glasses by Xiaomi and increased investment in AIGC micro-short dramas by Kuaishou [5][10]. Industry Overview - The industry consists of 161 listed companies, with a total market capitalization of 1,740.9 billion and a circulating market capitalization of 1,580.9 billion [2]. - The overall market performance from June 23 to June 27 shows the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 1.92%, the Hang Seng Internet Technology Index by 3.89%, and the Industrial Internet Comprehensive Service Index by 4.73% [11]. Company Announcements - Tencent Holdings repurchased a total of 4,922,000 shares from June 23 to June 27, with a total shareholding ratio of 0.05367% [2]. - Other companies such as Reading Group and Youzan also announced share repurchases during the same period [2]. Market Performance - Notable stock performance includes Dongfang Caifu rising by 11.25%, and Kuaishou increasing by 11.25% during the week [13]. - Tencent Holdings saw a slight increase of 1.48%, while Bilibili-W rose by 6.45% [13][17]. Key Recommendations - The report emphasizes the importance of companies like Tencent Holdings, Kuaishou, and Bilibili due to their strong market positions and growth potential in the AI sector [5][18].

证券研究报告 | 行业深度报告 2025 年 07 月 02 日 储能系列报告（11） 欧洲工商储有望迎来需求爆发 中游制造/电力设备及新能源 工商储作为灵活性资源在电力市场的作用日益凸显，欧美成熟的电力市场为其 提供了畅通的盈利模式。过去由于工商业电价较居民更低，造成工商储经济性 要求更高，当前在欧洲装机远低于户储。但得益于产业链价格下行、针对性政 策支持及动态电价的普及，工商储的经济性拐点已经到来，行业有望迎来需求 爆发。针对工商储应用场景对安全、防护及经济的严苛要求，国内主要企业均 已推出的能量密度更高、部署更快、成本更低、安全性更强的一体化方案，有 望充分受益于市场需求的增长。 风险提示：行业政策变动，贸易壁垒加剧，行业竞争加剧等。 重点公司主要财务指标 | 公司简称 | 公司代码 | 市值 | 24EPS | 25EPS | 25PE | PB | 投资评级 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 阳光电源 | 300274.SZ | 142.4 | 5.32 | 5.85 | 11.7 | 3.5 | 强烈推荐 | | 德业股份 ...

Overall Inventory Cycle - In April, the total inventory in the U.S. increased by 3.37% year-on-year, compared to a previous value of 3.43%[1] - The total sales in April rose by 3.74% year-on-year, down from 4.04% previously[1] - The data indicates a preliminary shift towards active destocking in the U.S. inventory cycle[1] Industry Inventory Cycle - Among 14 major industries in April, 10 were in passive restocking, including construction materials, metals, and consumer goods[12] - The historical percentile for overall inventory in April was 39.2%, with chemical products at 85.7% and construction materials at 83.2%[12] - Oil and chemical sectors are likely transitioning to active destocking, while construction and metal inventories remain high[12] Future Outlook - Despite uncertainties regarding tariffs, the U.S. inventory cycle is expected to lean towards active destocking in Q2 due to previous overstocking[1] - The "panic import" demand has extended the passive restocking cycle for downstream industries[14] - Active destocking is anticipated for automotive and automotive parts as of December 2024, with a continued trend into April 2025[14]

证券研究报告 | 公司点评报告 2025 年 07 月 01 日 唯品会（VIPS.N）25Q2 前瞻 收入及利润趋势符合预期，用户趋势稳步改善 消费品/商业 Q2 收入及 GMV 趋势预计符合指引，用户层面稳步改善，盈利水平保持稳健， 预计收入同比-4%，GMV 增速回正，利润端 Nongaap 归母净利润率预计维持 在 8%左右，预计下半年在穿戴类低基数下需求同比改善以及标品类提高补贴效 率驱动下，收入有望在某一时点恢复正增长。长期看公司正品特卖心智+供应链 优势下平台价值及核心客群保持稳固，公司持续分红+回购提升股东价值彰显经 营信心，维持"强烈推荐"评级。 ❑ 风险提示：宏观经济风险；行业竞争加剧；穿戴类复苏较弱。 财务数据与估值 | 会计年度 | | 2023 | 2024 | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 主营收入(百万元) | | 112856 | 108421 | 107379 | 110764 | 111551 | | 同比增长 | | 9.4% | -3.9% | -1.0% | ...