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黑色产业链日报-20251231
Dong Ya Qi Huo· 2025-12-31 10:16
Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the content Core Viewpoints - Steel prices are affected by the warm commodity market but constrained by the weak reality. They are supported by costs but suppressed by weakening demand and possible tightening of export expectations, and are expected to maintain a volatile trend [3] - The iron ore market has a neutral fundamental situation. High supply and rigid demand are in balance, and prices are expected to move in a volatile manner [22] - For coal and coke, the import pressure in January may ease. The price of coking coal may rebound if the resumption of domestic mines falls short of expectations. The supply - demand structure of coke may improve if the iron - making production of downstream steel mills increases rapidly [33] - Ferroalloy prices may be suppressed by corporate hedging when they rebound to a certain level, but the downside is limited due to cost support [48] - The over - supply expectation of soda ash is intensifying, and the demand expectation is weakening. High inventory restricts the price [63] - For glass, the cold - repair of production lines before the Spring Festival may affect long - term pricing, and the high inventory in the middle reaches needs to be digested [86] Summary by Related Catalogs Steel - **Futures Prices and Spreads**: On December 31, 2025, the closing prices of rebar and hot - rolled coil contracts changed compared to the previous day. For example, the rebar 01 contract closed at 3100 yuan/ton (down 13 yuan from the previous day), and the hot - rolled coil 01 contract closed at 3221 yuan/ton (down 56 yuan from the previous day). The month - to - month spreads also showed changes [4] - **Spot Prices and Basis**: The spot prices of rebar and hot - rolled coil in different regions had slight fluctuations. The basis of rebar and hot - rolled coil in different contracts and regions also changed. For example, the 01 rebar basis (Shanghai) was 200 yuan/ton on December 31, 2025, up 13 yuan from the previous day [9][11] - **Other Ratios**: The volume - screw difference, rebar - iron ore ratio, and rebar - coke ratio were relatively stable on December 31, 2025, compared to the previous day [15][19] Iron Ore - **Price Data**: On December 31, 2025, the closing prices of iron ore contracts showed small changes. For example, the 01 contract closed at 805 yuan/ton (down 4 yuan from the previous day). The basis of different contracts also changed [23] - **Fundamental Data**: As of December 26, 2025, the daily average pig iron production was 226.58 tons (up 0.03 tons week - on - week), the 45 - port desilting volume was 315.06 tons (up 1.61 tons week - on - week), and the 45 - port inventory was 15858.66 tons (up 346.03 tons week - on - week) [27] Coal and Coke - **Futures Spreads and Ratios**: On December 31, 2025, the month - to - month spreads of coking coal and coke contracts changed. The coking profit on the disk decreased, and the ratios of ore - coke, screw - coke, and carbon - coal also changed [36] - **Spot Prices and Profits**: The spot prices of coking coal and coke in different regions were relatively stable. The import profits of different types of coal and the export profit of coke showed some fluctuations [39] Ferroalloy - **Silicon Iron**: On December 31, 2025, the basis of silicon iron in Ningxia was - 22 yuan/ton (up 78 yuan from the previous day), and the month - to - month spreads also changed. The spot prices in different regions were stable or had small increases [49] - **Silicon Manganese**: The basis of silicon manganese in Inner Mongolia was 80 yuan/ton (up 22 yuan from the previous day). The month - to - month spreads and spot prices in different regions also changed [50][52] Soda Ash - **Futures Prices and Spreads**: On December 31, 2025, the closing prices of soda ash contracts decreased. The month - to - month spreads changed significantly. For example, the month - to - month spread (9 - 1) increased by 25 yuan, with a growth rate of 17.61% [64] - **Spot Prices**: The spot prices of heavy and light soda ash in different regions were relatively stable, with only slight changes in some regions [64] Glass - **Futures Prices and Spreads**: On December 31, 2025, the closing prices of glass contracts were basically unchanged. The month - to - month spreads and basis in different regions changed slightly [87] - **Sales and Production**: The daily sales - to - production ratios in different regions of glass showed fluctuations. For example, the sales - to - production ratio in Shahe on December 26, 2025, was 105 [88]
软商品日报-20251231
Dong Ya Qi Huo· 2025-12-31 10:16
软商品日报 2025/12/31 咨询业务资格:沪证监许可【2012】1515号 研报作者:许亮 Z0002220 审核:唐韵 Z0002422 【免责声明 】 本报告基于本公司认为可靠的、已公开的信息编制,但本公司对该等信息的准确性及完整性不作任何保证。本报告所载的意见、结论及预测仅反映报告发布时的观点、结论和 建议。在不同时期,本公司可能会发出与本报告所载意见、评估及预测不一致的研究报告。本公司不保证本报告所含信息保持在最新状态。本公司对本报告所含信息可在不发出通知的情形 下做出修改, 交易者(您)应当自行关注相应的更新或修改。本公司力求报告内容客观、公正,但本报告所载的观点、结论和建议仅供参考,交易者(您)并不能依靠本报告以取代行使 独立判断。对交易者(您)依据或者使用本报告所造成的一切后果,本公司及作者均不承担任何法律责任。本报告版权仅为本公司所有。未经本公司书面许可,任何机构或个人不得以翻 版、复制、发表、引用或再次分发他人等任何形式侵犯本公司版权。如征得本公司同意进行引用、刊发的,需在允许的范围内使用,并注明出处为"东亚期货",且不得对本报告进行任何有 悖原意的引用、删节和修改。本公司保留追究相关 ...
东亚期货铝产业周报-20251229
Dong Ya Qi Huo· 2025-12-29 03:23
铝产业周报 2025/12/29 咨询业务资格:沪证监许可【2012】1515号 研报作者:陈乃轩 Z0023138 审核:唐韵 Z0002422 【氧化铝】最新观点: 氧化铝运行产能处于历史高位,新增产能正逐步投放。需求端来看,需求增速放缓,带动氧化铝市场情绪显著转弱。当前库存持续累积,但是政策鼓励产业兼并重组,引发"产能出清"政策 预期,期货价格暴力反弹,氧化铝短期底部可能逐步显现。 利多因素: 1,部分区域氧化铝企业因利润亏损出现弹性生产。 2,"产能出清"的政策预期发酵; 【免责声明】 本报告基于本公司认为可靠的、已公开的信息编制,但本公司对该等信息的准确性及完整性不作任何保证。本报告所载的意见、结论及预测仅反映报告发布时的观点、结论 和建议。在不同时期,本公司可能会发出与本报告所载意见、评估及预测不一致的研究报告。本公司不保证本报告所含信息保持在最新状态。本公司对本报告所含信息可在不发出通知的情 形下做出修改, 交易者(您)应当自行关注相应的更新或修改。本公司力求报告内容客观、公正,但本报告所载的观点、结论和建议仅供参考,交易者(您)并不能依靠本报告以取代行 使独立判断。对交易者(您)依据或者使用本 ...
国债衍生品周报-20251228
Dong Ya Qi Huo· 2025-12-28 01:43
Group 1: Core View - The trading advisory view is to focus on the fluctuations of the term spread and keep the position flexible to cope with potential fluctuations [2] Group 2: Market Factors Bullish Factors - The sentiment in the bond market has warmed up, the yield of the 10-year active bond has fallen below 1.85%, and the term spread has narrowed [2] - The central bank restarted the 14-day reverse repurchase after three months, releasing cross-year liquidity and leading to a loose funding situation [2] Bearish Factors - The 10-year Treasury bond futures declined slightly, and the 10Y - 1Y term spread continued to widen [2] - Due to the imbalance between long - end supply and demand and the pressure of new public fund regulations, the 30-year yield increased by nearly 2bp [2] Group 3: Market Data Yield and Interest Rate - Data on 2Y, 5Y, 10Y, 30Y, and 7Y Treasury bond yields from 24/04 to 25/08 are presented [3] - Data on deposit - type institutional pledged repurchase weighted interest rates for 1 - day and 7 - day and 7 - day reverse repurchase rates from 23/12 to 25/06 are shown [3] Term Spread - Data on the 7Y - 2Y and 30Y - 7Y Treasury bond term spreads from 24/04 to 25/08 are provided [5] Futures Position and Transaction - Data on the positions and transactions of 2 - year, 5 - year, 10 - year, and 30 - year Treasury bond futures from different time periods are presented [7][8] Basis and Spread - Data on the basis of 2 - year, 5 - year, 10 - year, and 30 - year Treasury bond futures for the current quarter are shown [9][10][11][13] - Data on the inter - period spreads (current quarter - next quarter) of 2 - year, 5 - year, 10 - year, and 30 - year Treasury bond futures from different time periods are provided [16][17] - Data on the cross - variety spreads of TS*4 - T and T*3 - TL from different time periods are presented [18][19]
油料周报-20251228
Dong Ya Qi Huo· 2025-12-28 01:37
油料产业周报 油料周报 2025/12/26 咨询业务资格:沪证监许可【2012】1515号 研报作者:许亮 Z0002220 审核:唐韵 Z0002422 【免责声明 】 本报告基于本公司认为可靠的、已公开的信息编制,但本公司对该等信息的准确性及完整性不作任何保证。本报告所载的意见、结论及预测仅反映报告发布时的观点、结论和 建议。在不同时期,本公司可能会发出与本报告所载意见、评估及预测不一致的研究报告。本公司不保证本报告所含信息保持在最新状态。本公司对本报告所含信息可在不发出通知的情形 下做出修改, 交易者(您)应当自行关注相应的更新或修改。本公司力求报告内容客观、公正,但本报告所载的观点、结论和建议仅供参考,交易者(您)并不能依靠本报告以取代行使 独立判断。对交易者(您)依据或者使用本报告所造成的一切后果,本公司及作者均不承担任何法律责任。本报告版权仅为本公司所有。未经本公司书面许可,任何机构或个人不得以翻 版、复制、发表、引用或再次分发他人等任何形式侵犯本公司版权。如征得本公司同意进行引用、刊发的,需在允许的范围内使用,并注明出处为"东亚期货",且不得对本报告进行任何有 悖原意的引用、删节和修改。本公司 ...
铜周报:铜价延续上涨趋势-20251228
Dong Ya Qi Huo· 2025-12-28 01:31
Report Title - Copper Weekly Report [1][2] Investment Rating - No investment rating information is provided in the report. Core Viewpoints - Copper prices are supported at high levels by macro - liquidity and exchange rates, but the weak fundamental reality limits their upside potential. In the short term, copper prices may enter a high - level shock phase, and the risk of a correction is increasing [4][5] Summary by Directory Copper Futures Market Data (Weekly) - The latest price of Shanghai Copper Main Contract is 98,720 yuan/ton, with a weekly increase of 5.95%. The position is 252,097 lots, with a weekly increase of 14,445 lots, and the trading volume is 286,978 lots [6] - The latest price of Shanghai Copper Index Weighted is 98,776 yuan/ton, with a weekly increase of 6.09%. The position is 651,557 lots, with a weekly increase of 29,521 lots, and the trading volume is 477,230 lots [6] - The latest price of International Copper is 88,630 yuan/ton, with a weekly increase of 5.71%. The position is 2,830 lots, with a weekly decrease of 1,145 lots, and the trading volume is 8,081 lots [6] - The latest price of LME Copper 3 - month contract is 12,133 US dollars/ton, with a weekly increase of 3.33%. The position is 239,014 lots, with a weekly decrease of 38,282 lots, and the trading volume is 18,195 lots [6] - The latest price of COMEX Copper is 557.3 US dollars, with a weekly increase of 2.7%. The position is 148,392 lots, with a weekly increase of 4,858 lots, and the trading volume is 31,214 lots [6] Copper Spot Market Data (Weekly) - The latest price of Shanghai Non - ferrous 1 copper is 97,740 yuan/ton, with a weekly increase of 5,390 yuan and a weekly increase rate of 5.84% [11] - The latest price of Shanghai Wumaotrade copper is 97,865 yuan/ton, with a weekly increase of 5,385 yuan and a weekly increase rate of 5.82% [11] - The latest price of Guangdong Nanchu copper is 98,000 yuan/ton, with a weekly increase of 5,330 yuan and a weekly increase rate of 5.75% [12] - The latest price of Yangtze Non - ferrous copper is 98,030 yuan/ton, with a weekly increase of 5,390 yuan and a weekly increase rate of 5.82% [12] Copper Advanced Data (Weekly) - The copper import profit and loss is - 1,732.18 yuan/ton, with a weekly decrease of 683.5 yuan and a weekly decrease rate of 65.18% [13] - The copper concentrate TC is - 43.8 US dollars/ton, with a weekly decrease of 0.55 US dollars and a weekly decrease rate of 1.27% [13] - The copper - aluminum ratio is 4.3348, with a weekly increase of 0.1055 and a weekly increase rate of 2.49% [13] - The refined - scrap copper price difference is 3,943.88 yuan/ton, with a weekly decrease of 348.63 yuan and a weekly decrease rate of - 8.12% [13] Copper Inventory (Weekly) - The total Shanghai Copper warehouse receipts are 59,083 tons, with a weekly increase of 14,433 tons and a weekly increase rate of 32.32% [20] - The total International Copper warehouse receipts are 1,053 tons, with no change [20] - The Shanghai Copper inventory is 95,805 tons, with a weekly increase of 6,416 tons and a weekly increase rate of 7.18% [20] Copper Mid - stream Production (Monthly) - In November 2025, the refined copper production was 123.60 million tons, a year - on - year increase of 11.9%. The cumulative production was 1,332.30 million tons, a year - on - year increase of 9.8% [24] - In November 2025, the copper product production was 222.60 million tons, a year - on - year decrease of 0.8%. The cumulative production was 2,259.30 million tons, a year - on - year increase of 4.9% [24] Copper Mid - stream Capacity Utilization (Monthly) - In November 2025, the capacity utilization rate of refined copper rods was 63.31%, with a monthly increase of 7.11 percentage points and a year - on - year decrease of 5.5 percentage points [26] - In November 2025, the capacity utilization rate of scrap copper rods was 23.59%, with a monthly decrease of 0.52 percentage points and a year - on - year decrease of 3.73 percentage points [26] - In November 2025, the capacity utilization rate of copper strips was 66.44%, with a monthly increase of 2.6 percentage points and a year - on - year decrease of 6.62 percentage points [26] - In November 2025, the capacity utilization rate of copper rods was 54.08%, with a monthly increase of 3.95 percentage points and a year - on - year decrease of 1.98 percentage points [26] - In November 2025, the capacity utilization rate of copper tubes was 59.69%, with a monthly increase of 7.12 percentage points and a year - on - year decrease of 18.42 percentage points [26] Copper Element Imports (Monthly) - In November 2025, the import volume of copper concentrates was 2.526194 million tons, a year - on - year increase of 13%. The cumulative import volume was 27.615499 million tons, a year - on - year increase of 8% [30] - In November 2025, the import volume of anode copper was 58,333 tons, a year - on - year decrease of 16%. The cumulative import volume was 688,621 tons, a year - on - year decrease of 15% [30] - In November 2025, the import volume of cathode copper was 269,205 tons, a year - on - year decrease of 25%. The cumulative import volume was 3,085,712 tons, a year - on - year decrease of 8% [30] - In November 2025, the import volume of scrap copper was 208,143 tons, a year - on - year increase of 20%. The cumulative import volume was 2,103,603 tons, a year - on - year increase of 4% [30] - In November 2025, the import volume of copper products was 430,000 tons, a year - on - year decrease of 19%. The cumulative import volume was 4,880,000 tons, a year - on - year decrease of 4.7% [30]
黑色产业链日报-20251226
Dong Ya Qi Huo· 2025-12-26 10:03
Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the content Core Viewpoints - Steel prices are supported by the cost side but constrained by weakening demand and potential tightening of steel export expectations, maintaining a volatile trend [3] - Iron ore has both upward and downward drivers and is expected to trade in a range, with limited upside after valuation repair [21] - As terminal winter storage approaches, the coking coal inventory structure is expected to improve, and the coke valuation repair drive may weaken [31] - The fundamentals of ferroalloys are weak in both supply and demand, with limited upside and downside space [48] - With the strengthening expectation of new soda ash capacity coming online, the market is in surplus, and prices are under pressure [62] - Some glass production lines are expected to cold repair before the Spring Festival, affecting long - term pricing, and the high inventory in the middle reaches needs to be digested [85] Summary by Categories Steel Futures Prices - On December 26, 2025, the closing prices of rebar contracts 01, 05, and 10 were 3097, 3118, and 3167 respectively; hot - rolled coil contracts 01, 05, and 10 were 3288, 3283, and 3296 respectively [4] Spot Prices - On December 26, 2025, the aggregated rebar price in China was 3318 yuan/ton, and the hot - rolled coil price in Shanghai was 3270 yuan/ton [8][10] Ratios - The ratios of 01, 05, and 10 rebar to 01, 05, and 09 iron ore were all 4; to 01, 05, and 09 coke were all 2 on December 26, 2025 [18] Iron Ore Prices - On December 26, 2025, the closing prices of 01, 05, and 09 iron ore contracts were 801.5, 783, and 761 respectively [22] Fundamentals - On December 26, 2025, the daily average hot metal output was 226.58 tons, and the 45 - port inventory was 15858.66 tons [25] Coking Coal and Coke Futures Spreads - On December 26, 2025, the spreads of coking coal 09 - 01, 05 - 09, and 01 - 05 were 174, - 80, and - 94 respectively; for coke were 224.5, - 76.5, and - 148 respectively [35] Spot Prices - On December 26, 2025, the ex - factory price of Anze low - sulfur coking coal was 1600 yuan/ton, and the ex - factory price of Jinzhong quasi - first - grade wet coke was 1330 yuan/ton [38] Ferroalloys Silicon Iron - On December 26, 2025, the silicon iron basis in Ningxia was - 72, and the spot price in Ningxia was 5350 yuan/ton [49] Silicon Manganese - On December 26, 2025, the silicon manganese basis in Inner Mongolia was 100, and the spot price in Inner Mongolia was 5590 yuan/ton [50] Soda Ash Futures Prices - On December 26, 2025, the closing prices of soda ash 05, 09, and 01 contracts were 1200, 1258, and 1121 respectively [63] Spot Prices - On December 26, 2025, the heavy - soda market price in North China was 1300 yuan/ton, and the light - soda market price was 1250 yuan/ton [63] Glass Futures Prices - On December 26, 2025, the closing prices of glass 05, 09, and 01 contracts were 1057, 1160, and 936 respectively [86] Spot Sales - On December 25, 2025, the sales - to - production ratio in Shahe was 102, and in Hubei was 97 [87]
软商品日报-20251226
Dong Ya Qi Huo· 2025-12-26 09:58
Group 1: Report Overview - Report Date: December 26, 2025 [1] - Report Author: Xu Liang (Z0002220), Reviewed by Tang Yun (Z0002422) [2] Group 2: Sugar Market Core View - Short - term basis repair is completed, and further upward movement is difficult. With multiple factors affecting the market, the sugar price is under pressure to fall [3] Price and Spread Data - Sugar futures: SR01 closed at 5294 with a daily decline of 1.3% and a weekly increase of 2.26%; SR03 closed at 5287 with a daily increase of 0.28% and a weekly increase of 3.46%; etc [4] - Sugar basis: On December 25, 2025, the basis of Nanning - SR01 was - 24 with a daily increase of 28 and a weekly decrease of 102; etc [9] - Import price: On December 26, 2025, the in - quota price of Brazilian sugar imports was 4157 with a daily increase of 15 and a weekly increase of 75; the out - of - quota price was 5270 with a daily increase of 20 and a weekly increase of 98; etc [12] Group 3: Cotton Market Core View - In the short term, there is still hedging pressure on cotton prices to be digested. In the long term, if the supply expectation remains unchanged, the cotton supply - demand in the new year may be tight, and cotton prices have room to rise. Attention should be paid to downstream orders before the holiday [14] Price and Spread Data - Cotton and cotton yarn futures: Cotton01 closed at 14565 with an increase of 270 (1.89%); Cotton05 closed at 14535 with an increase of 280 (1.96%); etc [15] - Cotton and cotton yarn spreads: The cotton basis was 782 with a daily decrease of 242; the spread of cotton01 - 05 was 30 with a daily decrease of 10; etc [15] Group 4: Apple Market Core View - The overall trading of late Fuji inventory is slow, and transactions are mostly on - demand. Merchants' restocking is temporarily over [18] Price and Spread Data - Apple futures: AP01 closed at 9694 with a daily increase of 0.03% and a weekly increase of 1.14%; AP03 closed at 9360 with a daily increase of 0.61% and a weekly increase of 0.8%; etc [19] - Apple spreads: The spread of AP01 - 05 was 483 with a daily increase of 2.11% and a weekly increase of 16.39%; etc [19] Group 5: Red Date Market Core View - In the short term, red date prices are expected to fluctuate at a low level. In the long term, the overall supply - demand of red dates in the new year in China is loose, and prices will still be under pressure [26] Price and Spread Data - Red date futures spreads: The spread of red date futures (01 - 05) shows certain trends in different years; etc [27]
软商品日报-20251224
Dong Ya Qi Huo· 2025-12-24 10:30
咨询业务资格:沪证监许可【2012】1515号 研报作者:许亮 Z0002220 审核:唐韵 Z0002422 【免责声明 】 本报告基于本公司认为可靠的、已公开的信息编制,但本公司对该等信息的准确性及完整性不作任何保证。本报告所载的意见、结论及预测仅反映报告发布时的观点、结论和 建议。在不同时期,本公司可能会发出与本报告所载意见、评估及预测不一致的研究报告。本公司不保证本报告所含信息保持在最新状态。本公司对本报告所含信息可在不发出通知的情形 下做出修改, 交易者(您)应当自行关注相应的更新或修改。本公司力求报告内容客观、公正,但本报告所载的观点、结论和建议仅供参考,交易者(您)并不能依靠本报告以取代行使 独立判断。对交易者(您)依据或者使用本报告所造成的一切后果,本公司及作者均不承担任何法律责任。本报告版权仅为本公司所有。未经本公司书面许可,任何机构或个人不得以翻 版、复制、发表、引用或再次分发他人等任何形式侵犯本公司版权。如征得本公司同意进行引用、刊发的,需在允许的范围内使用,并注明出处为"东亚期货",且不得对本报告进行任何有 悖原意的引用、删节和修改。本公司保留追究相关责任的权力。所有本报告中使用的商标 ...
黑色产业链日报-20251224
Dong Ya Qi Huo· 2025-12-24 10:03
1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Views - Steel prices are supported by cost at the bottom but suppressed by weakening demand and possible tightening of steel export expectations, maintaining a volatile trend [3] - Iron ore shipments remain high, with non-mainstream mines as the main source of growth, exerting significant supply pressure and capping price upside. However, iron ore also has upward drivers, and is expected to trade within a range with limited upside after valuation repair [21] - As terminal winter storage approaches, the coking coal inventory structure is expected to improve, and the downside of the coking coal futures may be limited due to the relatively high basis. After the third round of coke price cuts, the cost of dry quenched coke warehouse receipts is about 1700 - 1720, and the driving force for coke valuation repair may weaken temporarily [31] - The fundamentals of ferroalloys are weak in both supply and demand, with limited upside potential. The demand for ferroalloys is gradually weakening as downstream hot metal production continues to decline. Ferroalloys may follow steel price movements, and while the upside is limited, the downside is also supported by cost [48] - With the increasing expectation of new soda ash production capacity, the expectation of oversupply is intensifying, and the futures price is breaking through the cost. The rigid demand for soda ash is expected to weaken further as glass cold repairs accelerate. High inventories in the upstream and midstream restrict the price [65] - From December to before the Spring Festival, there are still some glass production lines waiting to undergo cold repairs, which may affect far - month pricing and market expectations. The near - month 01 contract will follow the reality (delivery logic) and be mainly driven by warehouse receipt games, which may become clearer in late December. Currently, the high inventory in the glass midstream needs to be digested, and there is still pressure on the spot market [89] 3. Summary by Related Catalogs Steel - **Futures Prices**: On December 24, 2025, the closing prices of rebar 01, 05, and 10 contracts were 3121, 3136, and 3173 respectively; the closing prices of hot - rolled coil 01, 05, and 10 contracts were 3287, 3285, and 3301 respectively [4] - **Spot Prices**: On December 24, 2025, the aggregated rebar prices in China, Shanghai, Beijing, and other regions were 3327, 3320, 3130, etc. respectively; the aggregated hot - rolled coil prices in Shanghai, Lecong, and other regions were 3270, 3260, etc. respectively [8][10] - **Price Spreads**: On December 24, 2025, the 01 - 05 month spreads of rebar and hot - rolled coil were - 15 and 2 respectively; the 05 - 10 month spreads were - 37 and - 16 respectively; the 10 - 01 month spreads were 52 and 14 respectively. The 01, 05, and 10 contract spreads between hot - rolled coil and rebar were 166, 149, and 128 respectively [4][15] Iron Ore - **Futures Prices**: On December 24, 2025, the closing prices of 01, 05, and 09 iron ore contracts were 798, 779.5, and 758 respectively; the 01, 05, and 09 contract bases were - 6.5, 11.5, and 33.5 respectively [22] - **Spot Prices**: On December 24, 2025, the prices of Rizhao PB powder, Rizhao Carajás fines, and Rizhao Super Special were 787, 867, and 669 respectively [22] - **Fundamentals**: As of December 19, 2025, the daily average hot metal production was 226.55, the 45 - port inventory was 15512.63, and the 247 - steel mill inventory was 8723.95 [25] Coal and Coke - **Futures Price Spreads**: On December 24, 2025, the 09 - 01, 05 - 09, and 01 - 05 spreads of coking coal were 165, - 80, and - 85 respectively; the 09 - 01, 05 - 09, and 01 - 05 spreads of coke were 219, - 74.5, and - 144.5 respectively [34] - **Spot Prices**: On December 24, 2025, the ex - factory price of Anze low - sulfur coking coal was 1600, and the ex - factory price of Jinzhong quasi - first - grade wet coke was 1330 [37] Ferroalloys - **Silicon Iron**: On December 24, 2025, the silicon iron basis in Ningxia was - 76, the 01 - 05 spread was - 80, and the spot price in Ningxia was 5330 [49] - **Silicon Manganese**: On December 24, 2025, the silicon manganese basis in Inner Mongolia was 88, the 01 - 05 spread was - 70, and the spot price in Inner Mongolia was 5570 [50] Soda Ash - **Futures Prices**: On December 24, 2025, the closing prices of 05, 09, and 01 soda ash contracts were 1184, 1241, and 1117 respectively; the 5 - 9, 9 - 1, and 1 - 5 month spreads were - 57, 124, and - 67 respectively [66] - **Spot Prices**: On December 24, 2025, the heavy - soda market prices in North China, South China, and other regions were 1300, 1400, etc. respectively; the light - soda market prices in North China, South China, and other regions were 1250, 1350, etc. respectively [66] Glass - **Futures Prices**: On December 24, 2025, the closing prices of 05, 09, and 01 glass contracts were 1048, 1145, and 941 respectively; the 5 - 9, 9 - 1, and 1 - 5 month spreads were - 97, 204, and - 107 respectively [90] - **Spot Sales**: From December 15 - 19, 2025, the sales - to - production ratios in Shahe, Hubei, East China, and South China regions showed different trends [91]