1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content provided 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The suspension of reciprocal tariffs enhances the risk appetite of A-shares. The appreciation of the RMB attracts foreign capital inflows, and global financial asset reallocation is favorable for A-shares. The market is waiting for new positive forces to break the current large-scale horizontal consolidation situation [14][63]. - The decline in deposit rates, the large-scale issuance of free cash flow ETFs, and the appreciation of the RMB are beneficial for the value style. The suspension of reciprocal tariffs boosts risk appetite, which is conducive to the growth style. The market is expected to continue its structural trend [65]. 3. Summary According to Related Catalogs Market Viewpoints - On May 12, China and the US reached an agreement to significantly reduce reciprocal tariffs, which is beneficial for domestic exports. As of the end of April 2025, the total net asset value of public funds was 33.12 trillion yuan, an increase of 89.85 billion yuan compared to the end of March. Since the beginning of 2025, Asian currencies and the euro have mostly appreciated by 5% - 10% against the US dollar, while the RMB has risen by less than 2% from the beginning of the year to early May. The appreciation of the RMB has attracted over 150 billion yuan in cumulative net inflows of northbound funds, a significant increase compared to the same period last year. These foreign funds prefer blue-chip stocks with stable performance and high dividend yields, strengthening the value investment style [14]. - The huge losses in Asian life insurance have exposed the systematic risks of maturity mismatches in US dollar assets. A "big retreat" of up to $7.5 trillion from US assets has just begun. Goldman Sachs strategists believe that the Chinese stock market is expected to benefit from improved corporate profit prospects and increased foreign capital inflows. On May 28, the US Trade Court suspended reciprocal tariffs, which is conducive to enhancing the risk appetite of A-shares. The major indices of the two markets are still repairing their daily technical indicators, waiting for new positive forces [14]. Trading Strategies - **Futures Direction Trading**: The suspension of reciprocal tariffs by the US Trade Court, the continuous inflow of foreign capital attracted by the RMB appreciation, and the reallocation of global financial assets are all favorable for A-shares. The market is waiting for new positive forces to break the current large-scale horizontal consolidation [15]. - **Options Trading**: Since the market is still in a large-scale horizontal consolidation phase, it is recommended to postpone the purchase of deep out-of-the-money call options on stock indices [15]. Macroeconomic Data - In April, China's export volume was $315.6 billion, a year-on-year increase of 8.2%, far exceeding expectations. The monthly value of social consumer goods retail in April was 3.30 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 5.1%. The monthly value of manufacturing fixed asset investment in April was 2.39 trillion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 8.2%. The monthly value of infrastructure investment in April was 2.08 trillion yuan, with a year-on-year growth rate of 9.6% [24][27][29]. - In April, the cumulative year-on-year growth rate of industrial added value was 6.4%, and the month-on-month growth rate was 0.22%. The solar power generation in April was 44.7 billion kWh, a year-on-year increase of 42.5%. The export volume of electric vehicles in April was 308,000 units, a record high, with a year-on-year increase of 37.5%. The output of industrial robots in April was 71,500 units, a historical high, with a year-on-year increase of 42% [33][35][37]. - In April, the output of integrated circuits was 41.6 billion pieces, still at a historical high. In April, the year-on-year growth rate of retail and food sales in the US was 5.2%, indicating high consumption levels. In March, the US commodity import volume was $346.7 billion, a record high, with a year-on-year increase of 32.2% [41][43][45]. - In March, the US consumer goods import volume reached $103.1 billion, a new historical high, with a year-on-year growth rate of 55.9%, reflecting strong consumer demand and large-scale inventory replenishment by retailers. In March, the US intermediate goods import volume was $75.5 billion, still at a high level, with a year-on-year growth rate of 39.4%, indicating that US manufacturers are hoarding intermediate goods due to tariff issues [47][49]. - In March, the US capital goods import volume was $93 billion, a new historical high, with a year-on-year growth rate of 22.5%, indicating an acceleration of the return of US manufacturing and the "re - industrialization" process in the US. In March, the US merchandise trade deficit was $163.5 billion, a new historical record, with a year-on-year growth rate of 74.8% [51][54]. - In March, the number of job openings in the US was 7.19 million, and the voluntary resignation rate rose to 2.1%, indicating a tightening labor market in the US. In March, the inventory growth rates of US wholesalers and manufacturers continued the trend of active inventory replenishment [56][59]. Strategy Recommendations - Wait for positive forces to break the current horizontal consolidation situation, as the suspension of reciprocal tariffs by the US Trade Court, the appreciation of the RMB attracting continuous foreign capital inflows, and the reallocation of global financial assets are all favorable for A-shares [63]. - Postpone the recommendation of far - month deep out-of-the-money call options on stock indices while the market is in the horizontal consolidation phase of a large platform, and wait for the market to break through upwards [67].

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - The report gives a "long" rating for the global economy in the macro and finance sector [1] 2. Core View - The global economy maintains an upward trend, with factors such as the rise of US manufacturing PMI, the progress of US - EU tariff negotiations, the increase in container prices, China's economic data, and the recovery of European manufacturing all contributing to this positive outlook [1] 3. Summary by Related Contents Important Information - Asian life insurance's huge losses expose the systemic risk of dollar - asset maturity mismatch, and a capital shift from focusing on US assets to seeking alternatives has begun, with a "big retreat" of up to $7.5 trillion starting [1] - US National Economic Council Director Hasset said more trade agreements may be seen in the future, and tariffs on some countries may drop to 10% or lower [1] - The Reserve Bank of New Zealand cut the benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points to 3.25%, the sixth consecutive cut since last year, and warned about the threat of US trade policy to the global economy [1] - The yield of 30 - year Japanese government bonds rose 10 basis points to 2.93%, and the yield of 10 - year Japanese government bonds rose 6.5 basis points to 1.525% after weak demand in the 40 - year bond auction [1] - South Korean retailers' sales in April increased by 7% year - on - year due to strong demand for online food and grocery delivery services [1] - Goldman Sachs said tariffs will push the US core PCE inflation rate to rebound to 3.6% later this year, but it's a "one - time" price increase [1] - SpaceX's "Starship" ninth test flight ended in failure as the spacecraft disintegrated in the air due to cabin leakage [1] - Peru's Ministry of Economy and Finance plans to hold high - level meetings with China and Brazil to promote the "Two - Ocean Railway" project [1] Global Economic Logic - The preliminary value of the US Markit manufacturing PMI in May was 52.3, reaching a three - month high [1] - The acceleration of US - EU tariff negotiations boosts market risk appetite [1] - The price of 40 - foot containers (FEU) on the Shanghai - US West Line on June 15 reached $9100, more than three times the average price in early May [1] - China cut the 1 - year deposit interest rate by 15 basis points to 0.95% [1] - China's total retail sales of consumer goods in April increased by 5.1% year - on - year [1] - Germany's rearmament and the European Central Bank's interest rate cut promote the recovery of European manufacturing [1]

Report Summary 1. Industry Investment Rating - The investment rating for the urea in the energy and chemical industry is "oscillation" [1] 2. Core View - In the short - term, the futures price of urea will oscillate in the range of 1780 - 1860 yuan/ton. Although it is the agricultural demand peak season from May to June and the urea export policy has been implemented, the export volume is lower than market expectations, and relevant institutions are calling for stable prices. Yesterday, the low - price transactions in Shandong, Shanxi, and Henan improved successively, and it is expected that the spot price will be slightly adjusted today [1] 3. Summary by Related Contents Market Review - On Tuesday, the price of the main urea contract 2509 dropped by 3 yuan to 1814 yuan/ton. The spot price of urea in the central China's mainstream area remained stable at 1850 yuan/ton. Long positions decreased by 1047 lots to 173,300 lots, and short positions increased by 449 lots to 164,100 lots [1] Important Information - Supply: The daily output of the urea industry was 204,600 tons, a decrease of 200 tons from the previous working day and an increase of 31,200 tons compared with the same period last year. The operating rate was 88.96%, an 8.89% increase compared with 80.07% in the same period last year [1] - Inventory: The total inventory of Chinese urea enterprises was 917,400 tons, an increase of 100,200 tons from last week, a 12.26% month - on - month increase. The urea port inventory was 203,000 tons, a month - on - month increase of 40,000 tons [1] - Demand: The operating rate of compound fertilizers was 37.57%, a 2.6% month - on - month decrease, and the operating rate of melamine was 66.4%, an 8.3% month - on - month decrease [1] - Export Policy: The relevant association will organize self - regulated urea exports on a fertilizer - year basis. The self - regulated export volume for this year (until April 2026) is about 2 million tons, and the export rhythm and time periods will be adjusted to ensure domestic market stability and prevent excessive concentration of exports [1] - Coal Price: On May 26, the global steam coal price dropped to a four - and - a - half - year low, only a quarter of the peak level during the 2022 global energy crisis, mainly due to continuous production growth and a surge in inventory [1] Trading Strategy - The recommended trading strategy is to wait and see [1]

-鸡蛋期货再创新低 近期持续建议关注高空机会 2025年05月27日 > 下跌驱动分析 今日鸡蛋期货主力合约破位下跌,截至收稿盘中2507合约跌 至2889元/500千克,跌幅2.56%。 1、现货方面,近期现货价格持续走弱,昨日现货止跌。26日 河北邯郸馆陶鸡蛋价格为2.64元/斤,已跌至除2020年之外的近 五年次低点。 > 后币观点 前期重点提示关注2507合约承压后的波段做空机会,当前关 注3000压力效果,若压力有效则方向不变,反之建议前期空单 适量止盈。上周重点建议关注2508合约波段做空机会,若3600 压力有效则方向不变。亦可等待6月现货供给压力释放后的远月 合约波段做多机会。 数据米波:唐易大师、早创哈试 容员:张晓君 人业资格:F0242716 交易谷间资格:Z0011 告情品已做最新爱更,也不保证分析师做出的任何建议不会发生任何受更。在任何情况下,报告中的信息或所表达 时后思以米凉十公开觉料,花公司对这些信息的准确性及元整生个作士何保证,个标让放 联系电话0371-65617380 2、分析逻辑:短期来看,低价冷库启动叠加端午临近消费走 好,蛋价短期止跌反弹,节后能否延续反弹关注库存水平 ...

Morning session notice 更多精彩内容请关注格林大华期货官方微信 格林大华期货研究院 证监许可【2011】1288 号 2025 年 5 月 27 日星期二 研究员： 吴志桥 从业资格：F3085283 交易咨询资格：Z0019267 联系方式：15000295386 | 板块 | 品种 | 多（空） | 推荐理由 【行情复盘】 周一尿素主力合约 2509 期价下跌 21 元至 1816 元/吨，华中主流地区尿素现货价格 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | 下跌 30 元至 1850 元/吨，多头持仓增加 5979 手至 17.55 万手，空头持仓增加 3862 手至 16.51 万手。 【重要资讯】 1、供应方面，尿素行业日产 20.46 万吨，较上一工作日减少 0.02 万吨，较去年同 期增加 3.12 万吨；开工 88.96%，较去年同期 80.07%提升 8.89%。 | | | | 加 | 2、库存方面，中国尿素企业总库存量 91.74 万吨，较上周增加 10.02 万吨，环比增 12.26%。尿素港口库存 20.3 万吨，环比增加 4 万吨。 ...

Group 1: Investment Ratings - The investment ratings for the sectors are as follows: Sugar in the agricultural, forestry, and livestock sector is rated as "volatile"; Red dates in the same sector are rated as "volatile and slightly weak"; Rubber series in the energy and chemical sector are rated as "volatile", with natural rubber and synthetic rubber having different specific trends [1][3][4] Group 2: Core Views - Sugar market is affected by factors such as global production forecasts and domestic production and sales data. Currently, Zhengzhou sugar is at the lower edge of the volatile range, and short - term trading information is limited. Attention should be paid to Brazilian and domestic data [1] - After the Dragon Boat Festival stocking atmosphere fades, the red date market's trading enthusiasm declines. The downstream consumption will enter the off - season, and the inventory pressure will suppress the price. Focus on the growth of jujube trees in the main producing areas [3] - Natural rubber is affected by high inventory and increasing raw material supply, with limited upward drivers and likely to be in low - level volatility. Synthetic rubber lacks obvious positive factors and may run weakly due to falling raw material prices [4] Group 3: Summary by Variety Sugar - **Market Review**: SR509 closed at 5835 yuan/ton yesterday with a daily increase of 0.03%, and SR601 closed at 5699 yuan/ton with a daily increase of 0.11% [1] - **Important Information**: Global sugar production in the 2025/26 season is expected to increase by 8.6 million tons to 189.3 million tons. Domestic sugar prices in different regions have adjusted, and the port's waiting - to - ship sugar quantity has decreased [1] - **Market Logic**: External markets were closed yesterday. Zhengzhou sugar weakened at night after a small rebound. It is at the lower edge of the volatile range, and there may be new downward impetus [1] - **Trading Strategy**: For SR509, pay attention to the support at 5800 today. If the support is effective, short - term investors can try intraday long positions [1] Red Dates - **Market Review**: CJ509 closed at 9000 yuan/ton yesterday with a daily increase of 0.22%, and CJ601 closed at 9920 yuan/ton with a daily increase of 0.10% [3] - **Important Information**: The physical inventory of 36 sample points last week increased by 0.76% week - on - week and 67.60% year - on - year. Market prices in different regions were stable over the weekend [3] - **Market Logic**: The main red date contract traded sideways. After the stocking for the Dragon Boat Festival, the market's trading enthusiasm declined. The inventory pressure will suppress the price [3] - **Trading Strategy**: Pay attention to the support at 8950. If it is broken, look for support in the 8800 - 8850 range. It is recommended to short on rallies and consider 9 - 1 reverse arbitrage [3] Rubber Series - **Market Review**: RU2509 closed at 14400 yuan/ton yesterday with a daily decrease of 0.93%, NR2507 closed at 12645 yuan/ton with a daily increase of 0.16%, and BR2507 closed at 11545 yuan/ton with a daily decrease of 1.74% [4] - **Important Information**: Thai raw material prices, domestic rubber prices, tire enterprise capacity utilization rates, and Qingdao's rubber inventory data are provided [4] - **Market Logic**: Natural rubber continued to be volatile and weak with resistance to decline. Synthetic rubber fell again and then stabilized at the support level. Raw material prices fell, and the market atmosphere was weak [4] - **Trading Strategy**: For RU, pay attention to the 14300 - 14330 support area; for NR, focus on the 12500 - 12880 volatile range; for BR, consider stopping losses on short positions and pay attention to the 11500 - 11550 support [4]

Industry Investment Rating - The investment rating for Treasury bonds is "Oscillation" [1] Core Viewpoints - China's economic growth in April maintained resilience, with fixed - asset investment and consumption slightly falling short of expectations, while industrial production and exports were better than market expectations [1] - After the Sino - US economic and trade talks in Geneva on May 12, there was a "rush to ship" in US - bound shipping. After the central bank cut the reserve requirement ratio and interest rates in May, it is unlikely to do so again in the short to medium term [1] - The 90 - day window period reached in the Sino - US economic and trade talks brought a brief respite to the market, but this temporary measure did not eliminate long - term uncertainties [1] - Last Friday, the prices of Treasury bond futures contracts showed a slight decline and then a rebound, closing slightly higher for the day, forming a seesaw with the trend of the Wind All - A Index. Treasury bond futures may continue to oscillate in the short term [1] Summary by Directory Market Review - Last Friday, the 2 - year and 5 - year Treasury bond futures opened flat, while the 10 - year and 30 - year varieties opened lower. They fluctuated downward in the morning, bottomed out in the afternoon and then rose, and fluctuated horizontally in the second half of the afternoon. As of the close, the 30 - year Treasury bond futures contract TL2509 rose 0.04%, the 10 - year T2509 rose 0.04%, the 5 - year TF2509 rose 0.07%, and the 2 - year TS2509 rose 0.04% [1] Important Information - Open market: Last Friday, the central bank conducted 142.5 billion yuan of 7 - day reverse repurchase operations, with 106.5 billion yuan of reverse repurchases maturing on the same day, resulting in a net injection of 3.6 billion yuan [1] - Money market: Last Friday, short - term interest rates in the inter - bank money market rose compared with the previous trading day. The weighted average of DR001 for the whole day was 1.57% (1.48% the previous trading day), and the weighted average of DR007 for the whole day was 1.59% (1.57% the previous trading day) [1] - Cash bond market: Last Friday, the closing yields of inter - bank Treasury bonds fluctuated narrowly compared with the previous trading day. The yield to maturity of 2 - year Treasury bonds fell 0.54 basis points to 1.47%, the 5 - year rose 0.01 basis points to 1.57%, the 10 - year rose 0.22 basis points to 1.72%, and the 30 - year rose 0.20 basis points to 1.89% [1] - The US President said on May 24 that it was "bad" that US cars could not be sold in the EU and planned to impose a 50% tariff on the EU starting from June 1. On Sunday, the US President agreed to extend the deadline for the 50% tariff on the EU to July 9 [1] Market Logic - China's economic data in April showed that fixed - asset investment and consumption were slightly below expectations, while industrial production and exports were better than market expectations, indicating that the Chinese economy maintained resilience in April [1] - After the Sino - US Geneva economic and trade talks on May 12, there was a "rush to ship" in US - bound shipping. After the central bank cut the reserve requirement ratio and interest rates in May, it is unlikely to do so again in the short to medium term [1] - The 90 - day window period from the Sino - US economic and trade talks brought a short - term respite but did not eliminate long - term uncertainties. The prices of Treasury bond futures contracts on Friday showed a slight decline and then a rebound, closing slightly higher, and may continue to oscillate in the short term [1] Trading Strategy - Traders should conduct band operations [2]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - The report gives a bullish rating for IH, IF, and a moderately bullish rating for IM, IC in the macro and financial sector regarding stock index futures [1]. 2. Core View of the Report - Short - term sharp drops in the stock market on Friday afternoon do not affect the long - term bullish outlook for the four major indices. The reduction of the 1 - year deposit rate below 1% is expected to drive the transfer of household savings and insurance funds to the stock market. The market style is likely to shift to the cyclical value style represented by the Shanghai 50 Index. The inflow of foreign capital in the next few quarters will be the main trading logic, and the market expects free - cash - flow and dividend - related ETFs to benefit the most [2]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Market Review - On Friday afternoon around 2 pm, the main indices of the two markets weakened suddenly, with a small intraday decline. The trading volume of the two markets was 1.15 trillion yuan, showing little change. The Shanghai 50 Index closed at 2711 points, down 21 points or - 0.80%; the CSI 300 Index closed at 3882 points, down 31 points or - 0.81%; the CSI 500 Index closed at 5653 points, down 50 points or - 0.88%; the CSI 1000 Index closed at 5989 points, down 76 points or - 1.26%. Among industry and theme ETFs, those with the highest gains were Auto ETF, Gold Stocks ETF, etc., and those with the highest losses were Fintech ETF, Gaming ETF, etc. Among the sector indices of the two markets, the top - rising ones were Controllable Nuclear Fusion, Passenger Vehicles, etc., and the top - falling ones were Industrial Internet, Sora Concept, etc. The futures of the Shanghai 50, CSI 300, CSI 500, and CSI 1000 indices saw net inflows of 12, 44, 16, and 2 billion yuan respectively [1]. Important Information - The CSRC stated that it will support high - quality unprofitable technology companies to list and promote the implementation of new cases under the fifth listing standard of the Science and Technology Innovation Board, and support high - quality red - chip technology companies to return to the domestic market [1]. - The central bank conducted a 5000 - billion - yuan MLF operation on May 23, with a net injection of 3750 billion yuan after deducting the 1250 - billion - yuan maturity [1]. - The China Association of Automobile Manufacturers summarized the experience of anti - "malicious involution" work, and self - discipline has become a key word in the automotive industry [1]. - The Shanghai Futures Exchange plans to improve the product system suitable for new productive forces and promote the R & D and listing of products such as cast aluminum alloy, and improve the institutional mechanism [1]. - Shipping companies such as CMA CGM and MSC plan to add a peak - season surcharge of up to $2000 per 40 - foot container from June 1, with a 156% increase in freight rates in two weeks [1]. - Huatai Securities believes that after the Hong Kong Stock Exchange reform in 2018, liquidity has improved significantly, and consumer and technology sectors account for half of the Hong Kong stock market [1]. - Some European Central Bank officials believe that the April interest - rate cut was an "advance" of the June cut, with a 90% probability of a cut next month and another cut expected this year [2]. - The US existing - home market in April was unexpectedly cold, with a 0.5% month - on - month decline in sales volume and an annualized sales volume of only 4 million units, the worst April since 2009 [2]. - Driven by new orders, the preliminary value of the US Markit Manufacturing PMI in May was 52.3, a three - month high, and the preliminary value of the Services PMI was 52.3, a two - month high [2]. - Fed Governor Christopher Waller said that if the Trump administration maintains tariffs at about 10%, the Fed may start cutting interest rates in the second half of 2025 [2]. - US President Trump plans to impose a 50% tariff on EU - imported goods starting from June 1 [2]. Market Logic - The short - term sharp drop in the stock market on Friday afternoon is not a concern. The central bank's MLF net injection and the CSRC's support for technology companies' listing, along with the 1 - year deposit rate falling below 1%, are expected to drive funds into the stock market [2]. Future Outlook - The short - term sharp drop on Friday afternoon does not affect the long - term bullish outlook for the four major indices. The decline of the 1 - year deposit rate is expected to drive funds into the stock market, and foreign capital inflow will be the main trading logic. The market style is expected to shift to the cyclical value style, and the market is expected to be dominated by the Shanghai 50 Index [2]. Trading Strategy - In stock index futures directional trading, the 1 - year deposit rate falling below 1% is expected to drive funds into the stock market, and the market style may shift to the cyclical value style. The short - term sharp drop on Friday does not affect the long - term bullish outlook for the four major indices [2]. - In stock index option trading, as the market is in a consolidation period, it is recommended to suspend the purchase of far - month deep - out - of - the - money call options [2].

Morning session notice 早盘提示 更多精彩内容请关注格林大华期货官方微信 研究员： 卫立 从业资格：F3075802 交易咨询资格：Z0018108 联系方式：010-56711700 | 板块 | 品种 | 多（空） | 推荐理由 【行情复盘】 铜价保持震荡；LME 期铜涨 0.34%，收至 9519.5；沪铜主连跌 0.13%，收至 77820；COMEX 铜主连跌 0.1%，收至 4.6735。 【重要资讯】 1、美国 5 月标普全球服务业 PMI 初值为 52.3，预期 50.8；5 月标普全球制造业 PMI 初 值为 52.3，预期 50.1。美国 30 年期国债收益率升至 5.15%，续刷 2023 年 10 月以来最 高水平。据 CME"美联储观察"：美联储 6 月维持利率不变的概率为 94.6%，降息 25 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 有色与贵 | 铜 | 震 荡 偏 | 个基点的概率为 5.4%。美联储 7 月维持利率不变的概率为 73.1%，累计降息 25 个基点 的概率为 25.7%，累计降息 50 个基点的概率为 1.2%。(金十数 ...

Report Summary 1) Report Industry Investment Rating No investment rating is provided in the report. 2) Core Viewpoints - Short - term natural rubber is in a dilemma with no strong unilateral driver to break the trading range. It may still trade at low levels, and there is unlikely to be a smooth unilateral market. [2][17] - In the medium - to - long - term, there are increasing uncertainties affecting the market, including the supply data after June, the implementation of the EUDR Act, the macro - environment, weather conditions, and the result of the EU anti - dumping investigation. It is recommended to adopt a wait - and - see or short - term trading approach. [17] 3) Summary by Directory Upstream raw material prices are firm, and subsequent supply will gradually increase - Global natural rubber main producing areas have ended the dry season and entered the transition period, with raw material supply gradually recovering but not surging. Thailand postponed the rubber tapping season to June. [3] - As of May 22, Thai raw material prices are at a relatively high level in the past five years, and domestic prices are also on the high side. [3] Slow rubber inventory reduction and poor tire product sales - As of May 18, China's natural rubber social inventory was 134.2 million tons, with a week - on - week decrease of 1.3 million tons (0.96%). Qingdao's inventory also decreased, but the overall inventory reduction is slow. [5] - China's auto production and sales in the first four months reached record highs, but it did not significantly improve tire product sales. As of May 22, the capacity utilization rates of full - steel and semi - steel tire sample enterprises showed a mixed trend, and tire product inventory is slightly increasing. [9] Monitor the increase in zero - tariff imported rubber - In April 2025, China's natural rubber exports increased, and imports decreased compared with the previous month but increased year - on - year. [12] - Since December 1, 2024, China has implemented a zero - tariff policy for natural rubber imported from Laos, Myanmar, and Cambodia. The import volume in the first quarter increased significantly, slowing down the inventory reduction in Yunnan. [14] Summary and outlook - After a sharp decline in early April, natural rubber prices have been consolidating for over a month. Although some positive factors have pushed up the price center, high inventory and weak demand prevent effective breakthroughs. [15][17]