1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the content 2. Report's Core View - The US corn market is expected to remain in a narrow - range oscillation. The domestic corn spot has short - term downward space, and the 01 corn futures will fluctuate weakly. The 01 starch futures are expected to oscillate at the bottom in the short term. It is recommended to try to go long on 05 and 01 corn lightly and to shrink the spread between 01 corn and starch when the spread is high [4][7][9][10] 3. Summary by Relevant Sections Data Futures Disk - Corn futures (C2601, C2605, C2509) and corn starch futures (CS2601, CS2605, CS2509) all showed price declines on October 30, 2025. For example, C2601 closed at 2111, down 5 (-0.24%), and CS2601 closed at 2419, down 8 (-0.33%). The trading volume and open interest of different contracts had varying degrees of increase or decrease. For instance, the trading volume of C2601 increased by 24.51%, and the open interest of CS2601 decreased by 1.70% [2] Spot and Basis - Corn spot prices in different regions had different trends. The prices in Qinggang, Songyuan Jiji, etc. were reported, with some stable and some falling. The basis of corn in different regions also varied, such as -277 in Qinggang. Starch spot prices in different enterprises were stable, and the basis was relatively high, like 120 in Longfeng. The spreads between different contracts of corn and starch also had changes, for example, the spread of C01 - C05 was -102, up 3 [2] Market Judgment Corn - The US corn market is in a narrow - range oscillation. The import profit of foreign corn has declined, and the FOB price at northern ports in China is stable. The spot price in the Northeast corn - producing area has continued to decline, while the supply in North China has decreased, and the corn spot price has begun to stabilize and rebound. The price difference between Northeast and North China corn has narrowed. The wheat price in North China is relatively strong, and the price difference between wheat and corn has widened. The domestic breeding demand is stable, but the corn spot still has short - term downward space. The market is concerned about the selling pressure of Jilin corn at the end of October [4][7] Starch - The number of vehicles arriving at Shandong deep - processing plants has decreased, and the corn spot price in Shandong has stabilized. The starch inventory has decreased this week. The starch price mainly depends on the corn price and downstream stocking. The by - product price is relatively strong, and the enterprise profit is good. However, due to the possible decline of corn price at the end of October in North China, the starch spot price is also expected to decline, and the 01 starch futures are expected to oscillate at the bottom in the short term [8] Trading Strategy - The US corn is expected to continue to oscillate narrowly. North China corn is stabilizing and rebounding, but there is short - term pressure. It is recommended to try to go long on 05 and 01 corn lightly and to shrink the spread between 01 corn and starch when the spread is high [9][10] Corn Options - The option strategy is a short - term strategy of accumulating puts and calls with rolling operations [12] Relevant Attachments - The attachments include charts of corn and corn starch spot prices, basis, spreads, etc., which visually show the price trends and relationships of different contracts and regions over time [14][16][20]

Group 1: Report Overview - Report Name: Peanut Daily Report [1] - Date: October 30, 2025 [1] - Researcher: Liu Dayong [1] Group 2: Investment Rating - No investment rating for the industry is provided in the report. Group 3: Core Viewpoints - Peanut spot prices are expected to be relatively stable in the short - term, with supply increasing and downstream demand remaining weak [4][8] - Peanut futures will continue to oscillate at the bottom, and the new - season peanut production is expected to be higher than last year with lower planting costs [8] Group 4: Data Summary Futures Market | Futures Contract | Closing Price | Change | Change Rate | Trading Volume | Volume Change Rate | Open Interest | Open Interest Change Rate | | ---- | ---- | ---- | ---- | ---- | ---- | ---- | ---- | | PK604 | 7898 | - 34 | - 0.43% | 348 | 51.97% | 1700 | - 6.03% | | PK510 | 8140 | - 12 | - 0.15% | 66 | 247.37% | 474 | 9.98% | | PK601 | 7800 | - 22 | - 0.28% | 71128 | 3.92% | 170724 | - 2.86% | [2] Spot Market and Basis - Spot prices in Henan Nanyang are 7200 yuan/ton, Shandong Jining and Linyi are 8400 yuan/ton, Rizhao peanut meal is 3250 yuan/ton, Rizhao soybean meal is 2980 yuan/ton, peanut oil is 14580 yuan/ton, and Rizhao first - grade soybean oil is 8320 yuan/ton [2] - The basis for Henan Nanyang is - 600 yuan/ton, Shandong Jining and Linyi are 600 yuan/ton, and the difference between peanut oil and soybean oil is 6260 yuan/ton [2] - Import prices: Sudanese peanuts are 8500 yuan/ton, and Brazilian new peanuts are 9200 yuan/ton, Indian 50/60 peanuts are 8000 yuan/ton [2][4] Spread - PK01 - PK04 spread is - 98 yuan/ton with a change of 12 yuan/ton; PK04 - PK10 spread is - 242 yuan/ton with a change of - 22 yuan/ton; PK10 - PK01 spread is 340 yuan/ton with a change of 10 yuan/ton [2] Group 5: Market Analysis - Henan peanut prices have stabilized and rebounded, and Northeast peanut prices have also rebounded. The price of 308 common peanuts in Fuyu, Jilin is 4.15 yuan/jin, and in Changtu, Liaoning is 4.15 yuan/jin, both up 0.05 yuan/jin from yesterday. Henan Baisha common peanuts are quoted at 3.5 - 3.65 yuan/jin, up 0.05 yuan/jin [4] - Some peanut oil mills have started purchasing, with the mainstream transaction price at 7800 - 7900 yuan/ton, and the theoretical break - even price for oil mills is 7920 yuan/ton [4] - Rizhao soybean meal spot is strong, at 2980 yuan/ton, up 10 yuan/ton from yesterday. The unit - protein price difference between peanut meal and soybean meal is high, and peanut meal is weak in the short - term, with 48 - protein peanut meal quoted at 3200 yuan/ton [6] Group 6: Trading Strategies - Unilateral: Try short - term long positions for 01 and 05 peanut contracts as they are oscillating at low levels [9] - Calendar spread: Wait and see [10] - Options: Hold the short position of pk601 - P - 7600 [11] Group 7: Related Attachments - Figures include Shandong peanut spot prices, peanut oil mill crushing profit, peanut oil prices, peanut spot and continuous contract basis, peanut 10 - 1 contract spread, and peanut 1 - 4 contract spread [13][20][23]

Group 1: Market Information - The closing prices of CF01, CF05, and CF09 contracts were 13620, 13625, and 13780 respectively, with a rise of 55 each; CY01 and CY05 contracts closed at 19865 and 19775, up 100 and 25 respectively, while CY09 remained at 0 [2]. - The trading volume of CF01 contract was 185,465 hands, an increase of 63550, and the open - interest was 578,488, a decrease of 596 [2]. - CCIndex3128B price was 14840 yuan/ton, up 7; Cot A was 75.95 cents/pound [2]. - The 1 - month to 5 - month spread of cotton was - 5, unchanged; the 1 - month to 5 - month spread of棉纱 was 90, up 75 [2]. Group 2: Market News and Views Cotton Market - On October 29, 2025, the road transportation price index of Xinjiang - outbound cotton was 0.1803 yuan/ton·km, remaining flat, and it's expected to fluctuate upward in the short term [4]. - As of October 27, 2025, the cotton picking progress in Xinjiang was about 82.8%, with different progress in southern, northern, and eastern Xinjiang, and the picking is expected to end soon [4]. - In July 2025, the EU's clothing import value was $20.269 billion, up 18.6% year - on - year and 22.45% month - on - month [5]. - The supply - side acquisition is at its peak with stable prices around 6.2 yuan/kg, and the demand - side changes little. After the Sino - US economic and trade consultations, Zhengzhou cotton is expected to be slightly stronger in the short term [6]. Trading Strategies - Unilateral: US cotton is likely to fluctuate, and Zhengzhou cotton is expected to be slightly stronger [7]. - Arbitrage: Wait and see [8]. - Options: Wait and see [9]. Cotton Yarn Industry - The Zhengzhou cotton futures fluctuated at night, with obvious hedging pressure. The cotton yarn market had a tepid transaction, with stable prices, weakening downstream demand, and small and urgent orders [11]. - The cotton grey fabric market was dull, with smooth sales at cost, large losses, and difficulty in order connection [11]. Group 3: Options - On October 28, 2025, the closing price of CF601C13400.CZC was 240, down 10.4%; the closing price of CF601P13000.CZC was 29, down 63.8%; the closing price of CF601P12400.CZC was 8, down 85.2% [13]. - The 120 - day HV of cotton was 8.0835, slightly lower than the previous day. The implied volatilities of CF601 - C - 13400, CF601 - P - 13000, and CF601 - P - 12400 were 7.5%, 10%, and 13.5% respectively [13]. - The PCR of the main contract of Zhengzhou cotton was 0.7379 for open - interest and 0.6827 for trading volume, and both call and put trading volumes decreased [14]. - Option strategy: Wait and see [15]. Group 4: Related Attachments - There are eight figures including the 1% tariff price difference between domestic and foreign cotton markets, the 1 - month, 5 - month, and 9 - month basis of cotton, CY05 - CF05 and CY01 - CF01 spreads, and CF9 - 1, CF5 - 9 spreads [16][20][26][28].

Report Overview - Report Title: Apple Weekly: The Quality of New Season Apples is Average, and Merchants are Actively Purchasing [1] - Researcher: Liu Qiannan [1] - Industry: Apple Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. Report's Core View - The late Fuji apples in the new season are increasing in supply, but the picking, storage, and demand are facing challenges. The price of high - quality apples is stable, while the price of ordinary apples is chaotic. The futures price is expected to be slightly stronger in the short term due to the expected low excellent fruit rate [6][15]. Summary by Section Part 1: Logical Analysis and Trading Strategies 1. Spot Analysis - New season late Fuji apples: The supply increased this week, with the picking and storage progress lagging behind last year. In the western region, the trading of late Fuji is entering the middle and late stages, and merchants are actively buying high - quality apples but cautious about ordinary ones. In Shandong, the supply is limited, and it's difficult for merchants to buy enough high - quality apples. The trading in the sales area is still sluggish, and the demand is under pressure [6]. - Main producing area prices: In Shandong, the prices of 85 first - and second - grade late Fuji are 4 - 4.5 yuan/jin, 80 first - and second - grade are 3.5 - 4.0 yuan/jin, 80 first - and second - grade semi - are 3.3 - 3.5 yuan/jin, and the general goods are 2.0 - 3.0 yuan/jin. In Shaanxi, the prices of Luochuan 70 and above semi - commercial apples are around 3.7 - 4.2 yuan/jin, and the general goods are 3.4 - 3.6 yuan/jin. The labor cost in the producing area is high [6]. 2. Supply Analysis - Cold storage inventory: The cold storage inventory statistics are suspended. As of October 9, 2025, the cold storage inventory of apples in the main producing areas was 6.79 tons. The 2024 - 2025 production season inventory has ended, and the 2025 - 2026 production season is in the purchasing stage. The national storage volume in 2025 is expected to be counted from late October to early November [11]. 3. Demand Analysis - Sales area situation: In the Guangdong Chalong market, the number of daily arrivals is about 24.6 vehicles. The sales of high - quality new season late Fuji are okay, while the sales of ordinary ones are slow, and there is inventory pressure in the transit warehouse. The average wholesale price of 6 key fruits on October 24 was 7.02 yuan/kg, at a medium level in recent years. The profit of storage merchants in Qixia is suspended from statistics. The market arrival volume increased this week, the sales speed is stable, the mainstream transaction price is stable, and the profit margin of traders is large [14]. 4. Trading Strategies - Trading logic: Due to the small fruit diameter in some areas of Shaanxi and the water - crack problem caused by continuous rainfall, the excellent fruit rate of late - maturing Fuji is expected to be low. The opening price of late - maturing Fuji is high, and the cost of making futures warehouse receipts is high. The futures price is expected to be slightly stronger in the short term [15]. - Strategies: Unilateral: Apple prices are expected to be slightly stronger in the short term due to the expected low excellent fruit rate. Arbitrage: Go long on November contracts and short on January contracts. Options: It is recommended to wait and see [15]. Part 2: Weekly Data Tracking 1. Apple Supply and Demand Situation - No specific text data provided, but there are charts showing apple export volume, planting area, consumption, production, and deep - processing volume from 2018 - 2023 [19]. 2. Inventory and Shipment (Mysteel) - No specific text data provided, but there are charts showing the cold storage inventory and shipment volume trends of apples in China, Shandong, and Shaanxi from 2016/17 - 2024/25 [22][23]. 3. Spread and Basis - No specific text data provided, but there are charts showing the basis of January, May, and October contracts and the spreads between 1 - 5, 5 - 10, and 10 - 1 contracts from 2019 - 2026 [26].

农产品日报 2024 年 10 月 29 日 研究所 农产品研发报告 研究员：刘倩楠 期货从业证号： F3013727 投资咨询证号： Z0014425 联系方式： :liuqiannan_qh@chinas tock.com.cn 苹果日报 第一部分 市场信息 | 现货价格 | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 上一工作日价 指标 | 今日价格 | | 涨跌 | 指标 | 今日价格 | 上一工作日价 | 涨跌 | | 格 | | | | | | 格 | | | 富士苹果价格指数 | 107.18 | 107.61 | -0.43 | 洛川半商品纸袋70 | 3.85 | 3.85 | 0.00 | | 栖霞 一、二级纸袋 80 | #N/A | #N/A | #N/A | 沂源纸袋70 | 2.30 | 2.30 | 0.00 | | 蓬莱 一、二级纸袋 80 | 3.95 | 3.95 | 0.00 | 6种水果平均批发价 | 7.20 | 7.06 | 0.14 | | 期货价格 | | | | | | | ...

Report Summary 1. Industry Investment Rating No industry investment rating is provided in the report. 2. Core View The supply of laying hens remains at a high level, with the demand side generally weak. Without significant improvement in the short - term, egg prices are expected to remain weak. However, the recent increase in the number of culled chickens and downstream replenishment has led to a slight rebound in spot prices. It is recommended to adopt a wait - and - see approach in the short term [7]. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Futures Market - **Futures Prices**: JD01 closed at 3368, up 64 from the previous day; JD05 closed at 3477, up 33; JD09 closed at 3863, up 26 [2]. - **Cross - month Spreads**: The 01 - 05 spread was - 109, up 31; the 05 - 09 spread was - 386, up 7; the 09 - 01 spread was 495, down 38 [2]. - **Price Ratios**: The 01 egg/corn ratio was 1.59, up 0.04; the 01 egg/bean meal ratio was 1.13, up 0.02, etc. [2] 3.2 Spot Market - **Egg Prices**: The average price in the main production areas was 2.86 yuan/jin, down 0.05 yuan/jin from the previous day; the average price in the main sales areas was 3.14 yuan/jin, unchanged [2][4]. - **Culled Chicken Prices**: The average price of culled chickens in the main production areas was 4 yuan/jin, down 0.02 yuan/jin from the previous day [2][6]. 3.3 Profit Calculation - **Profit per Chicken**: The profit was 0.27 yuan/feather, down 2.20 yuan from the previous day [2]. - **Feed Prices**: The average price of corn was 2243, up 2; the average price of bean meal was 3032, unchanged; the price of laying hen compound feed was 2.48, unchanged [2] 3.4 Fundamental Information - **Egg Price Trends**: The national mainstream egg prices were mixed, with prices in some areas stable and others falling. Egg prices continued to fluctuate and consolidate, with average sales [4]. - **Laying Hen Inventory**: In September, the national inventory of laying hens was 1.368 billion, an increase of 30 million from the previous month and a 6% year - on - year increase. It is estimated that the inventory from October 2025 to January 2026 will be approximately 1.36 billion, 1.36 billion, 1.356 billion, and 1.347 billion respectively [5]. - **Chick Hatchlings**: In September, the monthly hatchling volume of sample enterprises was 39.2 million, a 1.5% month - on - month decrease and a 14% year - on - year decrease [5]. - **Culled Chicken Volume**: From October 24th to the end of the week, the culling volume of laying hens in the main production areas was 20.02 million, a 1.4% decrease from the previous week. The average culling age was 499 days, unchanged from the previous week [5]. - **Egg Sales Volume**: As of the week of October 25th, the egg sales volume in representative sales areas was 7498 tons, a 1.6% increase from the previous week [5]. - **Profit and Inventory**: As of October 23rd, the weekly average profit per jin of eggs was - 0.22 yuan/jin, down 0.09 yuan/jin from the previous week. As of October 24th, the expected profit of laying hen farming was - 0.51 yuan/feather, down 2.79 yuan/jin from the previous week. As of October 17th, the average weekly inventory in the production link was 1.04 days, a decrease of 0.01 days from the previous week, and the average weekly inventory in the circulation link was 1.1 days, unchanged from the previous week [5][6] 3.5 Trading Strategy - **Single - side Trading**: It is recommended to wait and see in the short term [8]. - **Arbitrage**: It is recommended to wait and see [8]. - **Options**: It is recommended to wait and see [8] 3.6 Related Charts The report provides 15 charts, including those on egg prices in the main production and sales areas, chick prices, culled chicken prices, feed costs, laying hen inventory, spreads, basis, and profit trends [11][15][19]

Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content found Group 2: Core Views of the Report - The mid - term upward trend of copper continues, but there is a risk of short - term retracement; alumina prices may rebound slightly but are suppressed by over - supply and imports; aluminum prices are expected to be volatile and bullish; ADC12 aluminum alloy ingot prices will remain strong and volatile; zinc prices may be long on dips; lead prices may decline; nickel prices are weak and volatile; stainless steel prices are recommended to be short on rebounds; tin prices are affected by macro - sentiment and demand expectations; industrial silicon prices can be traded with a high - throw and low - suck strategy; polysilicon prices suggest reducing short - term long positions and buying on dips; lithium carbonate prices can be bought on pullbacks [1][9][17][22][27][34][38][43][51][56][64][69] Group 3: Summary by Related Catalogs Copper - **Market Review**: The Shanghai copper 2512 contract closed at 88,710 yuan/ton, up 1.16%, with an increase of 22,023 lots in the Shanghai copper index. Shanghai spot copper was at a discount of 60 yuan/ton, down 5 yuan/ton from the previous day [1] - **Important Information**: The "small non - farm" ADP released weekly employment data; Trump may influence the Fed; CMOC will invest 1.08 billion US dollars to expand its KFM copper mine; Anglo American's Q3 copper production increased; First Quantum's Q3 copper production and guidance production changed [1] - **Logic Analysis**: Sino - US relations have eased, and the macro - sentiment has improved. The supply of copper mines is more disrupted, and the processing fee is expected to decline. The supply is relatively tight, and consumption is weak [1][3] - **Trading Strategy**: Go long on dips for the mid - term; hold inter - market positive spreads; wait and see for options [4][5][6] Alumina - **Market Review**: The alumina 2601 contract rose 40 yuan to 2,879 yuan/ton, with a decrease of 11,116 lots in positions. Spot prices in most regions were stable, with some declines in Guangxi and Guizhou [7] - **Related Information**: Tangshan launched a heavy - pollution emergency response; a Yunnan electrolytic aluminum enterprise purchased alumina; Australian alumina prices changed; domestic alumina production capacity increased [8] - **Logic Analysis**: Alumina supply and demand are still in significant surplus, but there are expectations of production cuts, which drive prices to rebound slightly, but are restricted by production cuts not being implemented and imports [9][11] - **Trading Strategy**: There is an expectation of further production cuts in November, with short - term narrow - range fluctuations; wait and see for arbitrage and options [12][13] Electrolytic Aluminum - **Market Review**: The Shanghai aluminum 2512 contract rose 75 yuan to 21,295 yuan/ton, with an increase of 13,871 lots in positions. Spot prices in different regions changed slightly [15] - **Related Information**: Sino - US leaders will meet; the "14th Five - Year Plan" suggestions were released; aluminum inventories decreased; Century Aluminum's Icelandic smelter had a production reduction [15][16] - **Trading Logic**: The global trade situation has eased, and there are expectations of interest rate cuts. Overseas production cuts intensify supply - demand concerns, and domestic consumption has resilience, so aluminum prices are expected to be volatile and bullish [17] - **Trading Strategy**: Aluminum prices are volatile and bullish [18] Cast Aluminum Alloy - **Market Review**: The cast aluminum alloy 2512 contract rose 65 yuan to 20,690 yuan/ton, with an increase of 1,342 lots in positions. Spot prices in different regions were stable [20] - **Related Information**: Sino - US leaders will meet; the "14th Five - Year Plan" suggestions were released; cast aluminum alloy warehouse receipts and social inventories changed [20][21] - **Trading Logic**: The macro - expectation is improving. The supply of scrap aluminum is tight, and the industry supply is shrinking. Demand is resilient, so prices will remain strong and volatile [22] - **Trading Strategy**: Aluminum alloy prices are strong and volatile; wait and see for arbitrage and options [23] Zinc - **Market Review**: The Shanghai zinc 2512 rose 0.27% to 22,430 yuan/ton, with an increase of 1,255 lots in positions. The spot market was cautious in purchasing [25] - **Related Information**: An Inner Mongolia lead - zinc mine resumed production and may stop production in winter; domestic zinc ingot inventories changed [26] - **Logic Analysis**: Domestic smelters' winter storage has expanded, and processing fees have decreased, squeezing smelter profits. Consumption may weaken. Overseas inventories are low, and LME zinc prices are strong [27] - **Trading Strategy**: Go long on dips; consider advance layout for arbitrage; sell out - of - the - money call options [28] Lead - **Market Review**: The Shanghai lead 2512 fell 0.4% to 17,355 yuan/ton, with a decrease of 566 lots in positions. Spot prices decreased, and downstream procurement willingness declined [31] - **Related Information**: Some lead - battery enterprises plan to reduce or stop production; a lead smelter in North China stopped for maintenance; a lead - zinc mine in Inner Mongolia resumed production; lead inventories decreased [32][33] - **Logic Analysis**: Some lead - battery enterprises reduce production to avoid inventory risks, while the supply of recycled lead may increase, so lead prices may decline [34] - **Trading Strategy**: Hold profitable short positions; wait and see for arbitrage; continue to hold sold out - of - the - money call options [35][36] Nickel - **Market Review**: The main Shanghai nickel contract NI2512 rose 410 to 121,540 yuan/ton, with a decrease of 2,144 lots in the index positions. Spot premiums changed [37] - **Important Information**: Indonesia and Brazil strengthened cooperation; a nickel company's performance and production quota plans; Indonesia promoted the downstream development of nickel resources; the Indonesian nickel price index was stable [38] - **Logic Analysis**: Precious metals' correction led to a decline in non - ferrous metals. LME nickel inventories are increasing, and the upside of nickel prices is limited, showing a weak and volatile trend [38] - **Trading Strategy**: Nickel prices are weak and volatile; wait and see for arbitrage; sell a wide - straddle combination of the 2512 contract [38][39] Stainless Steel - **Market Review**: The stainless steel main contract SS2512 rose 40 to 12,805 yuan/ton, with an increase of 2,342 lots in positions. Spot prices were in a certain range [42] - **Important Information**: Some steel mills plan to reduce production; Taiwan's stainless steel industry is under cost pressure [43] - **Logic Analysis**: Terminal demand in October is not optimistic, and the supply of 200 - series stainless steel is reduced. The cost support is not strong, and prices face resistance [43] - **Trading Strategy**: Short on rebounds; wait and see for arbitrage [44][45] Tin - **Market Review**: The main Shanghai tin 2512 contract closed at 286,720 yuan/ton, up 1,850 yuan/ton or 0.65%. Spot prices rose, but the market acceptance was low [47] - **Related Information**: The "14th Five - Year Plan" suggestions were released; the APEC meeting will be held; the US plans to cooperate with South Korea; ADP released US employment data [50] - **Logic Analysis**: The market focuses on the Fed's interest - rate decision. The supply of tin mines is tight, and production in September decreased. Demand is slowly recovering [51] - **Trading Strategy**: Affected by macro - sentiment and demand expectations; wait and see for options [52][53] Industrial Silicon - **Important Information**: Five departments issued a plan to regulate the market order [55] - **Logic Analysis**: The operating rate of northwest silicon plants is high, and southwest plants will stop furnaces. Demand from organic silicon and aluminum alloys is stable, and polysilicon production is expected to decrease. There may be inventory reduction, and prices are recommended to be traded with a high - throw and low - suck strategy [56][58] - **Strategy Suggestion**: High - throw and low - suck, buy on dips; no arbitrage opportunity; sell out - of - the - money put options [59][60][61] Polysilicon - **Important Information**: Five departments issued a plan to regulate the market order [63] - **Logic Analysis**: Southwest polysilicon production capacity reduces the operating load, and production in November is expected to decrease. Demand is expected to be poor, but there is still resilience. There will be inventory accumulation, but at a reduced rate. The price is under short - term pressure [64] - **Strategy Suggestion**: Reduce short - term long positions and buy on dips; conduct reverse arbitrage on far - month contracts; hold bought call options [65][66][67] Lithium Carbonate - **Market Review**: The lithium carbonate 2601 contract rose 660 to 82,900 yuan/ton, with an increase of 13,378 lots in positions and an increase of 190 in Guangzhou Futures Exchange warehouse receipts. Spot prices increased [69] - **Important Information**: Some companies obtained lithium - related mining rights or signed cooperation agreements [70] - **Logic Analysis**: Demand is driven by power and energy storage, and supply is tight. Inventory and warehouse receipts are decreasing. The market is bullish, and prices are rising [69][70] - **Trading Strategy**: Buy on pullbacks; wait and see for arbitrage; sell out - of - the - money put options [71][72][73]

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided regarding the report industry investment rating. 2. Core Viewpoints - The egg market is expected to maintain a situation of stable supply and weak demand. Egg prices are likely to remain weak, with red eggs showing general sales and powder eggs at risk of further decline. The price of old hens may be stable to slightly weak, with limited decline, and the weekly average price may be around 4.25 yuan per catty [5]. - The supply of laying hens remains high. In September, the national inventory of laying hens was 1.368 billion, an increase of 30 million from the previous month and a 6% year - on - year increase. The monthly hatching volume of egg - chick seedlings in sample enterprises in September was 39.2 million, a 1.5% month - on - month decrease and a 14% year - on - year decrease [10]. - Feed prices declined this week, reducing the cost of egg - chicken farming. Although the average egg price increased slightly this week, the overall supply exceeded demand, and the profit of egg - chicken farming increased. As of October 23, the weekly average profit per catty of eggs was - 0.22 yuan per catty, a decrease of 0.09 yuan per catty from the previous week; on October 24, the expected profit of egg - chicken farming was - 0.51 yuan per chicken, a decrease of 2.79 yuan per catty from the previous week [13]. - This week's egg demand was relatively stable, with a decrease in sales in the sales areas. The inventory in the production and circulation links decreased. Vegetable and pork prices showed a slight increase [16]. - In the short term, it is recommended to wait and see. For unilateral trading, close the previous short - position orders at a profit; for arbitrage and options, it is recommended to wait and see [17]. 3. Summary by Directory First Part: Logical Analysis and Trading Strategies - **Spot Analysis** - This week, the average price of eggs in the main production areas was 2.82 yuan per catty, a decrease of 0.05 yuan per catty from last Friday, and the average price in the main sales areas was 3.07 yuan per catty, an increase of 0.02 yuan per catty from last Friday. The egg price was weak, and the red - powder price difference narrowed. The price of old hens was expected to be stable to slightly weak next week, with a weekly average price of around 4.25 yuan per catty [5]. - **Supply Analysis** - From October 18 - 24, the national main - production - area egg - chicken culling volume was 20.02 million, a 1.4% decrease from the previous week. The average culling age of culled chickens was 499 days, the same as the previous week. In September, the national inventory of laying hens was 1.368 billion, an increase of 30 million from the previous month and a 6% year - on - year increase. The monthly hatching volume of egg - chick seedlings in sample enterprises in September was 39.2 million, a 1.5% month - on - month decrease and a 14% year - on - year decrease [10]. - **Cost Analysis** - As of October 24, the comprehensive feed cost was about 2469 yuan per ton, equivalent to about 2.71 yuan per catty of eggs. This week, feed prices declined, reducing the cost of egg - chicken farming. The average egg price increased slightly, and the profit of egg - chicken farming increased. As of October 23, the weekly average profit per catty of eggs was - 0.22 yuan per catty, a decrease of 0.09 yuan per catty from the previous week; on October 24, the expected profit of egg - chicken farming was - 0.51 yuan per chicken, a decrease of 2.79 yuan per catty from the previous week [13]. - **Demand Analysis** - This week, egg demand was relatively stable, with a decrease in sales in the sales areas. As of October 25, the sales volume of eggs in the national representative sales areas was 7498 tons, a 1.6% increase from the previous week. The inventory in the production and circulation links decreased. As of October 17, the average weekly inventory in the production link was 1.04 days, a decrease of 0.01 days from the previous week, and the average weekly inventory in the circulation link was 1.1 days, the same as the previous week. Vegetable and pork prices showed a slight increase [16]. - **Trading Strategy** - The supply of laying hens remains high, and the demand is generally weak. In the short term, egg prices are likely to be weak. It is recommended to wait and see. For unilateral trading, close the previous short - position orders at a profit; for arbitrage and options, it is recommended to wait and see [17]. Second Part: Weekly Data Tracking - **Inventory (Zhuochuang)** - Relevant data on the inventory of laying hens, brooding chicken replenishment, culling of chickens, etc. are presented in graphical form, but no specific numerical summaries are provided in the text [21][22][23]. - **Cold - Storage Eggs** - No specific content provided. - **Egg - Chicken Farming Situation** - Data on the culling age of chickens and the average price of egg - chick seedlings in the main production areas are presented in graphical form, but no specific numerical summaries are provided in the text [26]. - **Price Difference and Basis** - Data on the basis of January, May, and September contracts and the price differences between 1 - 5, 5 - 9, and 9 - 1 contracts are presented in graphical form, but no specific numerical summaries are provided in the text [29][30][33].

1. Market Analysis and Strategy Recommendations Market Analysis - The potential halving of Sino-US fentanyl tariffs boosted market sentiment, and the EC futures market continued to rise. On October 29, EC2512 closed at 1,871 points, up 4.62% from the previous day. The SCFI European line reported $1,246/TEU on October 24, up 8.8% month-on-month, and the latest SCFIS European line reported 1,312.71 points, up 15.11% month-on-month [5][6]. - Spot freight rates have risen significantly. The final settlement price of the EC2510 contract was 1,161.63 points. The Wall Street Journal reported that the US and China will discuss a trade framework to reduce US tariffs on Chinese goods, and the US may halve the fentanyl - related tariffs on China [6]. Logic Analysis - In terms of spot freight rates, the price difference among major shipping companies has widened again. Some shipping companies have lower SPOT prices due to cargo - collection pressure, but the spot price center is expected to gradually rise. For example, MSK's Shanghai - Rotterdam WK46 weekly quote decreased by $150 compared to last week, and it also released a PSS quote of $300/FEU for the Far East - Northern Europe route [7]. - Different shipping companies have different price quotes for November. It is expected that spot freight rates will gradually rise from November to December, and shipping companies may continue to raise prices. However, the implementation of price increases needs to be monitored [7]. - On the demand side, shipments are expected to improve from November to December, and the impact of possible tariff improvements on the shipment rhythm should be noted. On the supply side, the weekly average capacity of the Shanghai - Northern Europe 5 - port route will be 241,100/260,400/289,200 TEU in October, November, and December respectively, with a slight increase in December [7]. - Regarding Sino - US ship sanctions, there is an expectation of a reduction in port fees. The progress of the Palestine - Israel cease - fire agreement is tortuous and has recently escalated. The sentiment regarding fentanyl tariffs has eased, and the progress of subsequent negotiations should be followed [7]. Trading Strategy - Unilateral trading: For the EC2512 contract, long positions can be reduced and profits can be taken at high prices. The remaining positions can be rolled with a low - buying strategy. Attention should be paid to the Palestine - Israel negotiations, Sino - US tariff negotiations, and port congestion [8][10]. - Arbitrage: Hold a wait - and - see attitude [11]. 2. Industry News - The Wall Street Journal reported that if China takes action to cut the export of fentanyl chemicals, the US will halve the 20% fentanyl - related tariffs on Chinese goods (from 20% to 10%). The expected agreement may be adjusted depending on the meeting between the two sides [11]. - The Wall Street Journal reported that the US and China will lower the port fees imposed on each other [12]. - On October 28th, Hamas denied any connection with the attack on Israeli troops in Rafah, southern Gaza, and emphasized its commitment to the current cease - fire agreement. It also stated that the Israeli military's attacks violated the cease - fire agreement and called on mediators to pressure Israel to stop the violations [12]. - Market news reported that Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu ordered the military to immediately launch an attack on Gaza [13]. 3. Market Data Futures Market - For different contracts such as EC2512, EC2602, etc., the report provides closing prices, price changes, price change percentages, trading volumes, trading volume change percentages, open interest, and open - interest change percentages [5]. - The report also presents the month - spread structure, including the price differences and their changes between different contracts [5]. Container Freight Rates - It provides the prices, month - on - month and year - on - year changes of various container freight rates, such as SCFIS European line, SCFIS US West line, SCFI comprehensive index, and container freight rates for different routes like Shanghai - West Africa, Shanghai - South Africa, etc. [5]. Fuel Costs - The prices, month - on - month and year - on - year changes of WTI and Brent crude oil near - month contracts are reported [5].

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided. 2. Core Viewpoints - The price of peanuts in Henan continued to decline, while that in the Northeast remained stable. The price of imported peanuts was stable. It is expected that the peanut spot will be relatively weak in the short term [4]. - The price of peanut oil was stable, and the peanut meal was also stable recently. The theoretical profit of oil - mill crushing was acceptable [8]. - The 01 and 05 peanut futures are in a low - level oscillation, and the far - month peanuts may be stronger. The new - season peanut output is expected to be higher than last year, and the 01 peanut will still oscillate weakly [8]. 3. Summary by Directory First Part: Data - **Futures Disk** - PK604 closed at 7932, up 16 (0.20%), with a trading volume of 229 (down 24.17%) and an open interest of 1,809 (down 1.26%) [2]. - PK510 closed at 8152, up 16 (0.20%), with a trading volume of 19 (up 58.33%) and an open interest of 431 (up 1.41%) [2]. - PK601 closed at 7822, up 16 (0.20%), with a trading volume of 68,448 (up 29.61%) and an open interest of 175,747 (down 1.98%) [2]. - **Spot and Basis** - Spot prices in Henan Nanyang, Shandong Jining, and Shandong Linyi were 7200, 8400, and 8400 respectively. The price of Rizhao peanut meal was 3250, and that of Rizhao soybean meal was 2970. The price of peanut oil was 14580, and that of Rizhao first - grade soybean oil was 8270 [2]. - The price of Henan Nanyang peanuts dropped by 1400, and the price of Rizhao soybean meal dropped by 20, and the price of Rizhao first - grade soybean oil dropped by 100 [2]. - The basis of Henan Nanyang peanuts was - 622, and that of Shandong Jining and Linyi was 578. The difference between soybean meal and peanut meal was - 1, and the difference between peanut oil and soybean oil was 6310 [2]. - **Import Price** - The price of Sudan peanuts was 8500, and the price of Senegalese peanuts remained unchanged [2]. - **Spread** - The spread of PK01 - PK04 was - 110 (unchanged), PK04 - PK10 was - 220 (unchanged), and PK10 - PK01 was 330 (unchanged) [2]. Second Part: Market Analysis - In the Northeast, the price of 308 common peanuts in Fuyu, Jilin was 4.1 yuan/jin, and that in Changtu, Liaoning was 4.1 yuan/jin, both remaining stable. In the Henan production area, the price of Baisha common peanuts was 3.35 - 3.5 yuan/jin, down 0.1 yuan/jin. The price of peanuts in Junan, Shandong was 4.0 yuan/jin, remaining stable. The price of imported Brazilian new peanuts was 9200 yuan/ton, and that of Indian specification peanuts 50/60 was 8000 yuan/ton, both remaining stable [4]. - Some peanut oil mills started to purchase, with the mainstream transaction price at 7800 - 7900 yuan/ton, and the theoretical break - even price of oil mills was 7920 yuan/ton. The price of soybean oil and peanut oil remained stable, with domestic first - grade ordinary peanut oil at 14500 yuan/ton and small - pressed fragrant peanut oil at 16500 yuan/ton [4]. - The spot price of Rizhao soybean meal was relatively strong at 2970 yuan/ton. The unit - protein spread between peanut meal and soybean meal was relatively high, and peanut meal was relatively weak in the short term, with the 48 - protein peanut meal quoted at 3200 yuan/ton [6]. Third Part: Trading Strategies - **Unilateral** - Peanuts 01 and 05 are in a low - level oscillation. It is advisable to wait and see [9]. - **Monthly Spread** - Wait and see [10]. - **Options** - Hold the sold pk601 - P - 7600 [11]. Fourth Part: Relevant Attachments - The report includes six figures, namely the spot price of Shandong peanuts, the profit of peanut oil mills, the price of peanut oil, the basis between peanut spot and continuous contracts, the spread between peanut 10 - 1 contracts, and the spread between peanut 1 - 4 contracts [13][20][23]