Workflow
Yin He Qi Huo
icon
Search documents
玉米淀粉日报-20251022
Yin He Qi Huo· 2025-10-22 10:10
Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant information provided. 2. Core Viewpoints - The US corn report has lowered the yield, but the production remains high, causing the US corn price to decline. It may continue to adjust the yield downward, and the US corn is expected to trade in a narrow range. China has imposed a 15% tariff on US corn, resulting in a 26% tariff within the quota, and a 22% tariff on US sorghum. Despite this, the import profit of foreign corn is relatively high. The domestic corn market shows different trends in different regions, with the spot price in the Northeast being strong and that in North China being weak. The wheat price in North China is strong, and the price difference between wheat and corn has widened, making corn more cost - effective. However, the short - term increase in wheat price is limited due to the rumored wheat auction. The domestic livestock farming demand remains stable, and the inventory of downstream feed enterprises is low. Some enterprises are building inventory in the Northeast, keeping the corn spot price relatively stable in the short term. New - season corn pressure has eased, and the Northeast corn spot price has rebounded, but there may be selling pressure in Jilin at the end of October [4][6]. - In the starch market, the number of vehicles arriving at Shandong deep - processing plants has increased, leading to a weakening of the corn spot price in Shandong. The starch price in Shandong is around 2,760 yuan, and the Northeast starch spot price is stable. The corn starch inventory has decreased this week. The starch price mainly depends on the corn price and downstream stocking. The by - product price is strong, and the enterprise is profitable due to the significant decline in corn price. The 01 starch futures contract is trading in a narrow range following the corn price. As the North China corn price may still decline by the end of October, the corn starch spot price will also fall, but the futures contract has no profit, so it is expected to trade in a narrow range in the short term [7]. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 First Part: Data - **Futures Market**: Corn futures contracts C2601, C2605, and C2509 decreased by 0.52%, 0.45%, and 0.57% respectively, with closing prices of 2,133, 2,239, and 2,274. Their trading volumes decreased by 7.76%, 29.23%, and increased by 40.60% respectively, and open interests increased by 0.47%, 2.99%, and 25.14% respectively. Corn starch futures contracts CS2601 and CS2605 decreased by 0.12% and 0.04% respectively, while CS2509 increased by 0.31%. Their trading volumes decreased by 36.56%, 6.42%, and 20.00% respectively, and open interests increased by 0.51%, 3.00%, and decreased by 1.09% respectively [2]. - **Spot and Basis**: The spot price of corn in Zhucheng Xingmao is 2,340 yuan, while in Qinggang it is 1,970 yuan, up 5 yuan. The basis of corn in different regions ranges from - 304 to 66. The spot price of starch in different enterprises is between 2,650 - 2,920 yuan, and the basis ranges from 101 - 371 [2]. - **Spreads**: The spreads of corn and starch contracts show different changes. For example, the C01 - C05 spread of corn is - 123, down 1, and the CS09 - C09 spread between starch and corn is 338, up 21 [2]. 3.2 Second Part: Market Outlook - **Corn**: The US corn market is affected by yield adjustments and tariff policies. In the domestic market, the price of northern port corn is stable, the Northeast corn spot price is strong, and the North China corn price is weak due to increased supply. The wheat price in North China is strong, and the livestock farming demand is stable. The corn spot price is expected to be relatively stable in the short term, but there may be selling pressure at the end of October [4][6]. - **Starch**: The starch price is mainly influenced by the corn price and downstream stocking. The inventory has decreased this week, and the by - product price is strong. The enterprise is profitable. The 01 starch futures contract is expected to trade in a narrow range following the corn price, and the spot price may decline as the North China corn price falls [7]. - **Trading Strategies**: The US corn is expected to trade in a narrow range. The North China corn price is in a bottom - oscillating state, and the Northeast corn may rebound in the short term. It is recommended to exit the long positions of 01 or 05 corn futures and wait for a pull - back, and to adopt a wait - and - see approach for arbitrage [8]. 3.3 Third Part: Corn Options The recommended option strategy is a short - term strategy of accumulating put and call options with rolling operations [11]. 3.4 Fourth Part: Related Graphs The report provides graphs showing the spot price of corn in different regions, the basis and spreads of corn and corn starch futures contracts over different time periods, which help in analyzing the price trends and market relationships of corn and corn starch [13][15][19].
银河期货铁合金日报-20251022
Yin He Qi Huo· 2025-10-22 10:10
大宗商品研究所 黑色金属研发报告 铁合金日报 第一部分 市场信息 | | | | 期 货 | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 期货合约 | 收盘价 | 日变动 | 周变动 | 成交量 | 日变化 | 持仓量 | 日变化 | | SF主力合约 | 5538 | 64 | 186 | 134081 | -44845 | 197587 | -7816 | | SM主力合约 | 5810 | 64 | 64 | 174618 | 14272 | 356712 | -12350 | | | | | 现 货 | | | | | | 硅铁 | 现货价格 | 日变动 | 周变动 | 硅锰 | 现货价格 | 日变动 | 周变动 | | 72%FeSi内蒙 | 5300 | 50 | 20 | 硅锰6517内蒙 | 5680 | 0 | 0 | | 72%FeSi宁夏 | 5280 | 50 | 80 | 硅锰6517宁夏 | 5580 | 0 | -20 | | 72%FeSi青海 | 5270 | 20 | 20 | 硅锰6517广西 | ...
银河期货铁矿石日报-20251022
Yin He Qi Huo· 2025-10-22 10:10
大宗商品研究所 黑色研发报告 | | 今日 | 昨日 | 涨跌 | | 今日 | 昨日 | 涨跌 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | DCE01 | 774.0 | 769.5 | 4.5 | I01-I05 | 21.0 | 20.0 | 1.0 | | DCE05 | 753.0 | 749.5 | 3.5 | I05-I09 | 22.0 | 20.0 | 2.0 | | DCE09 | 731.0 | 729.5 | 1.5 | I09-I01 | -43.0 | -40.0 | -3.0 | | 现货 | 昨天 | 前天 | 涨跌 | 折标准品 | 01厂库基差 | 05厂库基差 | 09厂库基差 | | PB粉(60.8%) | 773 | 772 | 1 | 842 | 64 | 84 | 104 | | 纽曼粉 | 777 | 777 | 0 | 842 | 64 | 84 | 104 | | 麦克粉 | 777 | 777 | 0 | 843 | 66 | 86 | 106 | | 金布巴粉(60.5%) | 747 | ...
银河期货苹果日报-20251022
Yin He Qi Huo· 2025-10-22 09:50
Group 1: Report Information - The report is an agricultural product daily report on apples, dated October 22, 2024, prepared by researcher Liu Qiannan [2] Group 2: Market Information - The Fuji apple price index was 107.18, down 0.43 from the previous trading day; the 6 - fruit average wholesale price was 6.99, down 0.09 [3] - Among spot prices, the price of Luochuan semi - commercial paper - bagged 70 remained stable at 3.85, and the price of Yiyuan paper - bagged 70 was 2.30, unchanged [3] - For futures prices, AP01 was 8794, down 26 from the previous close; AP05 was 9307, down 2; AP10 was 9499, up 122 [3] Group 3: Market News - As of September 25, 2025, the national main - producing area apple cold - storage inventory was 14.79 tons, a decrease of 6.02 tons from the previous week [6] - In August 2025, the export volume of fresh apples was about 6.84 tons, a 27.6% increase from the previous month and a 17.6% decrease year - on - year. The cumulative export volume from January to August 2025 was about 53.27 tons, a 7.7% decrease year - on - year [6] - In August 2025, the import volume of fresh apples was 1.18 tons, a 33.3% decrease from the previous month and a 15.3% decrease year - on - year. The cumulative import volume from January to August 2025 was 9.84 tons, a 22% increase year - on - year [6] - The transaction price of apples in the origin was stable. In Shandong, most were traded as general goods, with high - quality goods having high prices and less transactions. In the northwest, it was in the ordering, harvesting, and loading stage, with most high - quality goods already ordered [7] - The profit of storage merchants for Qixia 80 first - and second - grade apples in the 2024 - 2025 production season was 0.4 yuan per catty, a decrease of 0.1 yuan per catty from the previous week [8] - In Shandong Yantai Qixia, the price of new - season paper - bagged Fuji 80 and above first - and second - grade apples was 3.5 - 4.0 yuan per catty, with individual cold - storage high - price acquisitions at 4.2 yuan per catty. In Shaanxi Yan'an Luochuan, the ordering price of 70 and above semi - commercial apples was stable, with a mainstream transaction price of 3.5 - 4.0 yuan per catty [8] Group 4: Trading Logic - In some areas of Shaanxi this year, the fruit diameter was small, and there were water - crack problems due to continuous rainfall. The high - quality fruit rate of late - maturing Fuji was expected to be low, and the opening price was high, so the futures price was expected to be slightly stronger in the short term [9] Group 5: Trading Strategy - Unilateral: The apple market is expected to be slightly stronger in the short term due to the expected low high - quality fruit rate [10] - Arbitrage: It is recommended to wait and see [10] - Options: It is recommended to wait and see [10] Group 6: Related Attachments - The report includes 10 related figures, such as the price of Qixia first - and second - grade paper - bagged 80 apples, the price of Luochuan semi - commercial paper - bagged 70 apples, and the national cold - storage apple inventory [14][20][30]
银河期货尿素日报-20251022
Yin He Qi Huo· 2025-10-22 09:09
尿素日报 【市场回顾】 1、期货市场:尿素期货偏强震荡,最终报收 1621(+10/+0.62%)。 2、现货市场:出厂价大稳小动,成交一般,河南出厂报 1500-1510 元/吨,山东小 颗粒出厂报 1490-1500 元/吨,河北小颗粒出厂 1540-1550 元/吨,山西中小颗粒出厂报 1460-1500 元/吨,安徽小颗粒出厂报 1500-1510 元/吨,内蒙出厂报 1400-1470 元/吨。 大宗商品研究 能源化工研发报告 尿素日报 2025 年 10 月 22 日 【重要资讯】 【尿素】10 月 22 日,尿素行业日产 18.60 万吨,较上一工作日增加 0.15 万吨(修正: 上一工作日日产 18.45 万吨);较去年同期减少 0.65 万吨;今日开工率 79.49%,较去年 同期 86.35%下降 6.86%。 【逻辑分析】 今日,市场情绪表现一般,主流地区尿素现货出厂报价下跌,成交平平。山东地区 主流出厂报价领跌,市场情绪表现一般,工业复合肥开工率略有提升,原料库存充裕, 成品库存偏高,基层订单稀少,刚需补货为主,农业刚需采购,贸易商出货,新单成交 乏力,待发消耗,预计出厂报价弱稳为主; ...
银河期货股指期货数据日报-20251022
Yin He Qi Huo· 2025-10-22 09:04
Report Information - Report Title: Stock Index Futures Data Daily Report [1] - Report Date: October 22, 2025 [2] IM Futures Daily Quotes - The closing price of CSI 1000 was 7312.21 points, down 0.43%. The trading volume was 22,732 lots, down 4%, and the trading value was 33.22 billion yuan, down 5% [3]. - The closing price of IM2511 was 7237.20 points, down 0.49%. The trading volume was 35,068 lots, down 22%, and the trading value was 5.08 billion yuan, down 22%. The open interest was 68,005 lots, down 4,046 lots [3]. - The closing price of IM2512 was 7163.20 points, down 0.50%. The trading volume was 120,919 lots, down 20%, and the trading value was 17.32 billion yuan, down 20%. The open interest was 180,451 lots, down 10,035 lots [3]. - The closing price of IM2603 was 6947.20 points, down 0.51%. The trading volume was 18,115 lots, down 32%, and the trading value was 2.52 billion yuan, down 32%. The open interest was 78,082 lots, down 2,049 lots [3]. - The closing price of IM2606 was 6736.00 points, down 0.51%. The trading volume was 8,259 lots, down 21%, and the trading value was 1.11 billion yuan, down 21%. The open interest was 15,098 lots, up 2,464 lots [3]. Market Summary - The main contract of IM fell 0.5%, closing at 7163.2 points. The total trading volume of the four contracts was 182,361 lots, down 50,712 lots from the previous day. The total open interest was 341,636 lots, down 13,666 lots from the previous day [5]. - The main contract of IM was at a discount of 149.01 points, up 12.24 points from the previous day. The annualized basis rate was -12.87% [5]. - The dividend impacts of the four contracts were 1.12 points, 1.15 points, 1.75 points, and 46.49 points respectively [5]. Main Seats - For IM2511, the top five seats had a total trading volume of 106,651 lots, down 25,677 lots; the total long positions were 66,989 lots, down 6,809 lots; and the total short positions were 85,506 lots, down 6,255 lots [18]. - For IM2512, the top five seats had a total trading volume of 20,192 lots, down 7,829 lots; the total long positions were 30,143 lots, down 840 lots; and the total short positions were 39,197 lots, down 805 lots [22]. IF Futures Daily Quotes - The closing price of CSI 300 was 4592.57 points, down 0.33%. The trading volume was 18,533 lots, down 14%, and the trading value was 44.09 billion yuan, down 20% [23]. - The closing price of IF2511 was 4574.00 points, down 0.45%. The trading volume was 21,714 lots, down 27%, and the trading value was 2.98 billion yuan, down 27%. The open interest was 38,677 lots, down 3,011 lots [23]. - The closing price of IF2512 was 4563.40 points, down 0.46%. The trading volume was 65,140 lots, down 16%, and the trading value was 8.91 billion yuan, down 16%. The open interest was 151,558 lots, down 6,000 lots [23]. - The closing price of IF2603 was 4537.00 points, down 0.44%. The trading volume was 8,023 lots, down 37%, and the trading value was 1.09 billion yuan, down 37%. The open interest was 55,037 lots, down 1,150 lots [23]. - The closing price of IF2606 was 4500.20 points, down 0.45%. The trading volume was 2,057 lots, down 30%, and the trading value was 0.28 billion yuan, down 30%. The open interest was 4,041 lots, up 708 lots [23]. Market Summary - The main contract of IF fell 0.46%, closing at 4563.4 points. The total trading volume of the four contracts was 96,934 lots, down 25,532 lots from the previous day. The total open interest was 249,313 lots, down 9,453 lots from the previous day [24]. - The main contract of IF was at a discount of 29.17 points, up 1.1 points from the previous day. The annualized basis rate was -3.95% [24]. - The dividend impacts of the four contracts were 4.27 points, 5.11 points, 10.34 points, and 40.82 points respectively [24]. Main Seats - For IF2511, the top five seats had a total trading volume of 24,250 lots, down 7,555 lots; the total long positions were 19,300 lots, down 1,683 lots; and the total short positions were 20,538 lots, down 1,748 lots [37]. - For IF2512, the top five seats had a total trading volume of 60,343 lots, down 7,531 lots; the total long positions were 62,955 lots, down 3,925 lots; and the total short positions were 67,929 lots, down 1,931 lots [39]. IC Futures Daily Quotes - The closing price of CSI 500 was 7128.48 points, down 0.80%. The trading volume was 16,974 lots, down 18%, and the trading value was 28.62 billion yuan, down 17% [43]. - The closing price of IC2511 was 7065.00 points, down 0.81%. The trading volume was 23,265 lots, down 30%, and the trading value was 3.29 billion yuan, down 30%. The open interest was 45,760 lots, down 4,745 lots [43]. - The closing price of IC2512 was 7011.60 points, down 0.80%. The trading volume was 68,879 lots, down 23%, and the trading value was 9.66 billion yuan, down 23%. The open interest was 131,680 lots, down 8,301 lots [43]. - The closing price of IC2603 was 6849.00 points, down 0.80%. The trading volume was 12,798 lots, down 27%, and the trading value was 1.75 billion yuan, down 27%. The open interest was 51,376 lots, down 643 lots [43]. - The closing price of IC2606 was 6683.00 points, down 0.58%. The trading volume was 4,297 lots, down 25%, and the trading value was 0.57 billion yuan, down 25%. The open interest was 7,623 lots, up 1,052 lots [43]. Market Summary - The main contract of IC fell 0.8%, closing at 7011.6 points. The total trading volume of the four contracts was 109,239 lots, down 36,408 lots from the previous day. The total open interest was 236,439 lots, down 12,637 lots from the previous day [44]. - The main contract of IC was at a discount of 116.88 points, up 15.94 points from the previous day. The annualized basis rate was -10.31% [44]. - The dividend impacts of the four contracts were 2.48 points, 2.56 points, 4.7 points, and 61.33 points respectively [44]. Main Seats - For IC2511, the top five seats had a total trading volume of 67,839 lots, down 18,700 lots; the total long positions were 54,199 lots, down 5,969 lots; and the total short positions were 62,660 lots, down 5,635 lots [58]. - For IC2512, the top five seats had a total trading volume of 15,118 lots, down 5,088 lots; the total long positions were 22,161 lots, up 149 lots; and the total short positions were 27,575 lots, down 646 lots [62]. IH Futures Daily Quotes - The closing price of SSE 50 was 3010.10 points, up 0.09%. The trading volume was 5,142 lots, down 7%, and the trading value was 12.38 billion yuan, down 16% [64]. - The closing price of IH2511 was 3003.60 points, down 0.13%. The trading volume was 11,040 lots, down 14%, and the trading value was 0.99 billion yuan, down 15%. The open interest was 14,291 lots, down 219 lots [64]. - The closing price of IH2512 was 3005.60 points, down 0.06%. The trading volume was 31,434 lots, down 11%, and the trading value was 2.83 billion yuan, down 11%. The open interest was 59,769 lots, down 2,561 lots [64]. - The closing price of IH2603 was 3005.20 points, down 0.09%. The trading volume was 3,566 lots, down 16%, and the trading value was 0.32 billion yuan, down 16%. The open interest was 13,098 lots, down 338 lots [64]. - The closing price of IH2606 was 3004.40 points, down 0.06%. The trading volume was 1,049 lots, down 6%, and the trading value was 0.09 billion yuan, down 6%. The open interest was 1,315 lots, up 283 lots [64]. Market Summary - The main contract of IH fell 0.06%, closing at 3005.6 points. The total trading volume of the four contracts was 47,089 lots, down 6,344 lots from the previous day. The total open interest was 88,473 lots, down 2,835 lots from the previous day [64]. - The main contract of IH was at a discount of 4.5 points, down 2.04 points from the previous day. The annualized basis rate was -0.93% [65]. - The dividend impacts of the four contracts were 5.19 points, 6.04 points, 12.07 points, and 31.3 points respectively [65]. Main Seats - For IH2511, the top five seats had a total trading volume of 28,426 lots, down 3,572 lots; the total long positions were 21,934 lots, down 650 lots; and the total short positions were 32,918 lots, down 1,657 lots [74]. - For IH2512, the top five seats had a total trading volume of 12,090 lots, down 2,502 lots; the total long positions were 7,249 lots, down 148 lots; and the total short positions were 8,061 lots, up 117 lots [76].
银河期货油脂日报-20251022
Yin He Qi Huo· 2025-10-22 09:00
Group 1: Report Overview - The report is a research report on agricultural products in the commodities sector, specifically focusing on the daily situation of oils and fats on October 22, 2025 [1][2] Group 2: Investment Rating - No investment rating for the industry is provided in the report Group 3: Core View - Short - term, the oil and fat market is expected to be slightly weak and volatile. It's advisable to wait and see, and consider buying on significant dips [9] Group 4: Data Analysis - **Spot Prices and Basis**: The closing prices of soybean oil, palm oil, and rapeseed oil on the 2601 contract were 8238, 9164, and 9834 respectively, with price changes of (56), (130), and (30). The spot basis varied by region and variety, with some showing no change and others having small fluctuations [3] - **Monthly Spread Closing Prices**: For the 1 - 5 monthly spread, soybean oil was 170 with a change of (10), palm oil was 26 with a change of 14, and rapeseed oil was 386 with a change of 28 [3] - **Cross - Variety Spreads**: For the 01 contract, the Y - P spread was (926) with a change of 74, the OI - Y spread was 1596 with a change of 26, the OI - P spread was 670 with a change of 100, and the oil - meal ratio was 2.86 with a change of (0.02) [3] - **Import Profits**: The CNF price of 24 - degree palm oil was 1102 with a profit of (172) for the November shipment from Malaysia and Indonesia. The FOB price of crude rapeseed oil from Rotterdam was 1085 with a profit of (822) for the November shipment [3] - **Weekly Commercial Inventories**: In the 42nd week of 2025, the commercial inventories of soybean oil, palm oil, and rapeseed oil were 122.4, 57.6, and 54.9 million tons respectively. Compared with last week, soybean oil decreased by 4.11 million tons, palm oil increased by 2.81 million tons, and rapeseed oil decreased by 2.2 million tons [3] Group 5: Fundamental Analysis International Market - MPOA estimates that Malaysia's palm oil production from October 1 - 20 increased by 10.77% month - on - month, and UOB estimates an increase of 10% - 14%. Indonesia's biodiesel consumption from January - September 2025 was 10.57 billion liters, nearly 10% higher than the same period last year [5] Domestic Market - **Palm Oil**: Due to the expected large increase in Malaysia's palm oil production in October, the palm oil futures price closed down by over 1%. As of October 17, 2025, the commercial inventory was 57.57 million tons, a 5.13% increase from last week. The import profit inversion has narrowed, and there was a reported near - month purchase. The basis is stable to weak. It's expected to be volatile in the short term, and one can consider lightly testing long positions in the 05 contract on significant dips [5] - **Soybean Oil**: The soybean oil futures price closed slightly down. Last week, the actual soybean crushing volume was 2.1662 million tons with an operating rate of 59.59%. As of October 17, 2025, the commercial inventory was 122.4 million tons, a 3.25% decrease from last week. The basis is stable. With the decrease in soybean arrivals and crushing, the inventory may decline slightly, but overall supply is sufficient. It's expected to be volatile, and one can consider buying on significant dips in the 05 contract [6] - **Rapeseed Oil**: The rapeseed oil futures price closed slightly down. Last week, the rapeseed crushing volume in coastal areas was 120,000 tons with an operating rate of 3.2%. As of October 17, 2025, the coastal inventory was 54.9 million tons, a decrease of 2.2 million tons. The European rapeseed oil FOB price increased, and the import profit inversion widened. Rapeseed imports decreased significantly. The basis is stable, and the de - stocking trend in coastal areas is expected to continue. The fundamental situation has little change, and the continuous de - stocking supports the price [7] Group 6: Trading Strategy - **Unilateral Trading**: Wait and see in the short term and consider buying on significant dips [9] - **Arbitrage**: Wait and see [9] - **Options**: Wait and see [9] Group 7: Related Attachments - The report provides multiple charts showing the spot basis of different oils and fats in different regions, monthly spreads, and cross - variety spreads from 2016 - 2025 [12][15]
银河期货甲醇日报-20251022
Yin He Qi Huo· 2025-10-22 08:51
大宗商品研究 能源化工研发报告 甲醇日报 2025 年 10 月 22 日 甲醇日报 【市场回顾】 1、期货市场:期货盘面宽幅震荡,最终报收 2261(+4/+0.18%)。 2、现货市场:生产地,内蒙南线报价 1970 元/吨,北线报价 1990 元/吨。关中地区 报价 2000 元/吨,榆林地区报价 1990 元/吨,山西地区报价 2080 元/吨,河南地区报价 2120 元/吨。消费地,鲁南地区市场报价 2240 元/吨,鲁北报价 2260 元/吨,河北地区 报价 2170 元/吨。 西南地区,川渝地区市场报价 2140 元/吨,云贵报价 2200 元/吨。港 口,太仓市场报价 2230 元/吨,宁波报价 2220 元/吨,广州报价 2250 元/吨。 【重要资讯】 截至 2025 年 10 月 22 日,中国甲醇港口库存总量在 151.22 万吨,较上一期数据增 加 2.08 万吨。其中,华东地区累库,库存增加 3 万吨;华南地区去库,库存减少 0.92 万吨。 【逻辑分析】 供应端,煤制甲醇利润在 400 元/吨附近,甲醇开工率高位稳定,国内供应持续宽 松。进口端,美金价格稳定,进口顺挂扩大,伊朗尚 ...
高硫进料支撑,低硫供应压力持续
Yin He Qi Huo· 2025-10-22 02:50
高硫进料支撑,低硫供应压力持续 研究员:吴晓蓉 期货从业证号:F03108405 投资咨询证号:Z0021537 目录 1 227/82/4 228/210/172 181/181/181 87/87/87 文 字 色 基 础 色 辅 助 色 137/137/137 | 第一章 | 综合分析与交易策略 | 2 | | --- | --- | --- | | 第二章 | 核心逻辑分析 | 4 | | 第三章 | 周度数据追踪 | 9 | GALAXY FUTURES 246/206/207 68/84/105 210/10/16 221/221/221 208/218/234 综合分析与交易策略 【综合分析】 俄罗斯能源设施受袭持续,影响成品油产量及出口但燃料油作为进料在炼厂停摆状态下出口反增。中东高硫出口随着发电需求消退有 所回升,虽伊朗出口仍受限制。墨西哥高硫出口在Olmeca和Tula二次装置投产背景下低位。需求端,夏季发电需求彻底消退。四季 度国内地炼原油配额即将用尽背景下,高硫进料需求存在支撑。 低硫燃料油供应因素中期内存在扰动但近端现货市场仍维持疲弱,现货贴水持续下行。尼日利亚RFCC装置运营不稳定 ...
每日早盘观察-20251022
Yin He Qi Huo· 2025-10-22 02:32
期 货 眼 ·日 迹 每日早盘观察 大宗商品研究所 2025 年 10 月 22 日 0 / 43 大宗商品研究所 期货眼·日迹 | 豆粕:供应压力仍存 粕类持续回落 3 | | --- | | 白糖:外糖大跌 郑糖预计走弱 3 | | 油脂板块:俄乌突传变故,盘面震荡偏弱 5 | | 玉米/玉米淀粉:新粮现货上量,盘面开始回落 6 | | 生猪:出栏压力好转 现货阶段反弹 6 | | 花生:花生存在减产,花生短期底部震荡 7 | | 鸡蛋:库存去化较慢 蛋价震荡偏弱 8 | | 苹果:优果率较差 果价表现偏强 9 | | 棉花-棉纱:新棉收购进度加快 棉价震荡为主 10 | | 钢材:需求压力仍存,钢价区间震荡 11 | | --- | | 双焦:现货表现较强 盘面博弈激烈 11 | | 铁矿:中期偏空思路对待 12 | | 铁合金:钢招落地偏弱,底部震荡运行 13 | | 贵金属:前期利多因素松动 金银遭遇重挫 14 | | --- | | 铜:短期震荡整固,长期趋势不变 14 | | 氧化铝:供应端开始出现边际变化 氧化铝低位磨底为主 15 | | 电解铝:本周关注宏观预期 铝中期偏强趋势不改 16 | ...