乘 亦安期货 动力煤早报 研究中心黑色团队 2025-12-31 最新 日变化 月变化 最新 日变化 月变化 周变化 年变化 周变化 年变化 秦皇岛5500 秦皇岛5000 -126.0 -125.0 25省终端可用天数 25省终端供煤 -0.3 686.0 0.0 15.0 34.0 226 2.6 5.0 -78.0 587.0 -11.0 606.6 -33.5 -16.3 -107.0 一州港5500 810.0 0.0 -5.0 -50.0 -55.0 北方港库存 2708.0 -5.0 112.0 374.5 495.0 550.0 -90.0 -85.0 -1.0 -31.9 鄂尔多斯5500 0.0 0.0 -65.0 北方锚地船舶 70.0 -3.0 13.0 20.0 -0.1 0.0 0.0 -70.0 北方港调入量 130.4 大同5500 -7.7 -9.8 北方港吞叶量 榆林6000 690.0 0.0 0.0 -42.0 -52.0 1663 19.8 35.3 3.1 3.1 -1510 -25.0 -56.3 CBCFI海运指数 秦皇岛-上海（4-5DWT） 榆林6200 5 ...

有色套利早报 研究中心有色团队 2025/12/31 铜：跨市套利跟踪 2025/12/31 国内价格 LME价格 比价 现货 97700 12516 7.86 三月 98240 12477 7.84 均衡比价 盈利 现货进口 7.95 -1171.20 现货出口 - 锌：跨市套利跟踪 2025/12/31 国内价格 LME价格 比价 现货 23290 3091 7.54 三月 23420 3123 5.60 均衡比价 盈利 现货进口 8.37 -2576.06 铝：跨市套利跟踪 2025/12/31 国内价格 LME价格 比价 现货 22180 2941 7.54 三月 22620 2974 7.54 均衡比价 盈利 现货进口 8.33 -2321.75 镍：跨市套利跟踪 2025/12/31 国内价格 LME价格 比价 现货 131750 16358 8.05 均衡比价 盈利 现货进口 8.04 1259.30 免责声明: 以上内容所依据的信息均来源于交易所、媒体及资讯公司等发布的公开资料或通过合法授权渠道向发布人取得的资讯，我们力求分析及建议内 容的客观、公正，研究方法专业审慎，分析结论合理，但公司对信 ...

| 品种 | 类别 | 指标 | 11/28 | 12/24 | 12/26 | 12/29 | 12/30 | 日度变化 | 間度变化 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | BR主力合约(12) | 10415 | 11395 | 11635 | 11600 | 11565 | -35 | 170 | | | | 持仓量 | 52021 | 99013 | 64505 | 59203 | 49563 | -9640 | -49450 | | | 需面 | 成交量 | 97141 | 191046 | 196070 | 152140 | 121267 | -30873 | -69779 | | | | 仓単数量 | 15540 | 23490 | 23490 | 23490 | 23490 | 0 | 0 | | | | 虚实比 | 16.74 | 21.08 | 13.73 | 12.60 | 10.55 | -2 | -11 | | | | 顺丁基差 | 35 | -345 | -335 | -150 | ...

LPG = FA 81+ 研究中心能化团队 2025/12/31 LR GEBE 内院CFR华 CP预测合 山东烷基 纸面进口利润 日期 华南液化气 华东液化气 山东液化气 丙烷CIF日本 山东醚后碳四 主力基差 同价 化油 南 2025/12/24 4392 4480 4320 590 543 510 4570 7180 -277 398 2025/12/25 4389 4520 7150 4505 4310 l 590 539 510 -245 413 2025/12/26 4510 4384 4270 512 4500 7150 -233 289 541 390 4380 4430 2025/12/29 4510 4320 580 231 208 7130 -163 434 515 4440 2025/12/30 4510 4372 4300 582 542 7150 375 l 80 H H 日度变化 -20 2 11 7 10 20 -59 -8 周二，民用气方面，华东4372（-8），山东4300（-20），华南4510（+0）。醚后碳四4440（+10）。最低交割地为山东。夜盘上 日度变化 涨， ...

原油成品油早报 研究中心能化团队 2025/12/30 | 日期 | WTI | BRENT | DUBAI | diff FOB dated bre | BRENT 1- | WTI-BREN | DUBAI-B | NYMEX RB | RBOB-BR | NYMEX | HO-BRT | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | | nt | 2月差 | T | RT（EFS | OB | T | HO | | | 2025/12/23 | 58.38 | 62.38 | 62.11 | - | 0.51 | -4.00 | 0.64 | 174.32 | 10.83 | 219.06 | 29.63 | | 2025/12/24 | 58.35 | 62.24 | 62.07 | - | 0.44 | -3.89 | 0.82 | 174.71 | 11.14 | 215.76 | 28.38 | | 2025/12/25 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | ...

新 加 坡 燃 料 油 现 货 燃料油早报 研究中心能化团队 2025/12/30 | 燃 料 油 | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 日期 | 鹿特丹3.5% HSF | 鹿特丹0.5% VLS | 鹿特丹HSFO-Br | 鹿特丹10ppm G | 鹿特丹VLSFO-G | LGO-Brent M1 | 鹿特丹VLSFO-H | | | O掉期 M1 | FO掉期 M1 | ent M1 | asoil掉期 M1 | O M1 | | SFO M1 | | 2025/12/23 | 333.06 | 381.38 | -9.15 | 607.46 | -226.08 | 21.48 | 48.32 | | 2025/12/24 | 331.79 | 379.41 | -9.49 | 608.64 | -229.23 | 22.69 | 47.62 | | 2025/12/25 | 331.98 | 379.54 | -9.56 | 607.21 | -227.67 | - | 47.56 | | 2025/ ...

波动率数据日报 永安期货期权总部 更新时间:2025/12/30 、隐含波动率指数、历史波动率及其价差走势图 1、金融期权隐含波动率指数反映截止上一交易日的30日隐波走势,商品期权隐含波动 率指数通过主力月平值期权上下两档隐波加权所得,反映主力合约的隐波变化趋势。2 隐波指数与历史波动率的差值,差值越大反映隐波相对历史波动率越高,差值越小代 表隐波相对历史波动率越低。 免费声明：本文所有内得均不符成改造仪、对文中信息的准明情和克题性不作任何保证，仅供学习交流。我受课模或作出的任何放受决策与平企司完美。就仅仅为我 公司所有、未来书面许可。任何扎格和个人不得以世同形式相談、提到发布。如引用、代度、规控班出处为水安和货公司、且不得进行存择原置的引用、量市和谐政。 隐波指教分位教与波动率价差分位费排名图 1、隐波分位数代表当前品种隐波在历史上的水平。分位教高代表当前稳波偏高。分位数低代表稳疲隔低。2、波动率价差书急按指数十历史皮 动率。 隐含波动率分位数排名 历史波动率分位数排名 PTA 42 6) 85 300E IF 100042 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 ore 0.7 0.8 0.9 0.1 0.1 0 ...

02后面主要看现货走势, 1月运价见顶高度与时间、 后续跌价等节奏很难预估，当前点位下不建议入场。 _ 地缘反转、节前减仓、跌无可跌后的涨价函），思路以连高空为主。 04估值中性偏高，但短期存在上行风险（资金移仓、 远月受地缘影响大；在复航预期、淡季的长期逻辑下，10逢高空思路为主。 ગઢ 美容量版 | | | | | | | 研究中心能化团队 | | | 2025/12/30 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | हिंदी को प्रति | | 昨日收盘价 | 涨跌 | 基美 | 昨日成交昼 | | 昨日持仓昼 | 持仓变动 | | 期货 | EC2512 | | 1604.8 | -0.51% | 137.8 | 151 | | 1695 | | | | EC2602 | | 1822.9 | -0.09% | -80.3 | 24389 | | 30437 | 20 -1412 | | | EC2604 | | 1169.9 | 1.31% | 572.7 | 6762 | | 21197 | -26 ...

Group 1: SP Main Contract Information - The closing price of the SP main contract on December 29, 2025, was 5510.00 [3] - The closing prices from December 23 - 26, 2025, were 5620.00, 5620.00, 5604.00, and 5630.00 respectively [3] - The corresponding US - dollar prices were 698.78, 700.03, 698.96, 702.06, and 686.78 [3] - The daily price changes were - 0.03557%, 0.00000%, - 0.28470%, 0.46395%, and - 2.13144% [3] - The Shandong Yinxing basis on December 29, 2025, was 80, and the Yangtze River Delta Yinxing basis was 50 [3] Group 2: Pulp Import Information - With a 13% VAT calculation, the import profit for Canadian Golden Lion pulp was 51.39, for Canadian Lion pulp was - 287.55, and for Chilean Yinxing pulp was - 24.91 [4] - The port US - dollar prices were 780, 730, and 700 respectively, and the Shandong region RMB prices were 6300, 5565, and 5590 [4] Group 3: Pulp and Paper Price Averages - From December 23 - 29, 2025, the national average prices of softwood pulp, hardwood pulp, kraft pulp, and chemimechanical pulp remained unchanged at 6073.75, 4810.75, 5415.00, and 3686.25 respectively [4] - The Shandong region average prices also remained unchanged at 6245.00, 4775.00, 5400.00, and 3600.00 [4] - The cultural paper (double - offset index, double - copper index), packaging paper (white - card index), and most of the price indices remained unchanged, except for the life - paper index which increased by 2 to 857 [4] Group 4: Paper Profit Margins - The estimated profit margins of double - offset paper and double - copper paper remained unchanged from December 24 - 29, 2025, at - 4.4235% and 5.9667% respectively [4] - The estimated profit margin of white - card paper remained unchanged at - 8.9723% [4] - The estimated profit margin of life - paper increased from 3.5917% to 4.3314%, a change of 0.7397 [4] Group 5: Pulp Price Spreads - From December 23 - 29, 2025, the softwood - hardwood pulp price spread was 930.00, the softwood - kraft pulp price spread was 190, the softwood - chemimechanical pulp price spread was 1740, and the softwood - waste paper price spread was 4014 [4]

Group 1: Price Performance - Latest prices of London Gold, London Silver, London Platinum, London Palladium, WTI Crude Oil, and LME Copper are 4337.05, 74.64, 2208.00, 1837.00, 58.08, and 12553.00 respectively, with changes of 0.00, 0.00, 0.00, 0.00, 1.34, and 420.00 [1] - Latest values of the US Dollar Index, Euro to US Dollar, British Pound to US Dollar, US Dollar to Japanese Yen, and US 10 - year TIPS are 98.00, 1.18, 1.35, 156.03, and 1.91 respectively, with changes of - 0.04, 0.00, 0.00, - 0.53, and 0.00 [1] Group 2: Trading Data - Latest COMEX silver inventory is 13969.43, with a change of - 18.67;上期所白银库存 is 796.74, with a change of - 22.69; gold ETF持仓 is 1071.99, with a change of 0.86; silver ETF持仓 is 16305.96, with a change of - 84.60;上金所白银库存 is 714.41, with a change of 0.00;上金所黄金递延费支付方向 is 1;上金所白银递延费支付方向 is 2 [1] Group 3: Data Source - The data in the above charts are from Bloomberg, Yong'an Yuandian Information, and Wind [4]