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【具身智能产业动态】魔法原子、银河通用相继宣布为总台2026春晚机器人合作伙伴
GUOTAI HAITONG SECURITIES· 2026-01-26 12:50
产业观察 [table_Header]2026.01.26 【具身智能产业动态】魔法原子、银河通用相继宣 产业研究中心 | 布为总台 2026 春晚机器人合作伙伴 | | --- | | 摘要:产业最新趋势跟踪,点评产业最新风向 | | [Table_Summary] 具身智能产业动态 | | 具身机器人产业动态: | | 魔法原子与银河通用相继宣布为总台 2026 春晚机器人合作伙伴 | | 马斯克在达沃斯论坛展望 2027 年底公开发售 Optimus 机器人 | | OpenAI 投资的 1X 公司发布了其世界模型 1XWM | | 宇树科技发布销量数据澄清,2025 年纯人形机器人出货量超 5500 台 | | 星海图、众擎机器人两家公司近期已发生工商变更完成股改 | | 儒拉玛特与越疆达成战略合作,共推具身智能智能工厂产业应用 | 智能汽车产业动态: 九识智能正式进驻阿布扎比,RoboVan 在阿开启常态化运营 九识智能与马来西亚邮政及 ALS 达成战略合作,联合启动大马首个自动驾驶 测试项目 西井科技产品 Q-Truck 中标全球最大单体集装箱码头之一自动驾驶项目 | [Table_Authors ...
资产配置全球跟踪 2026年1月第2期:资产概览:国际金银价格刷新历史记录
GUOTAI HAITONG SECURITIES· 2026-01-26 12:37
资产概览:国际金银价格刷新历史记录 [Table_Authors] 方奕(分析师) ——资产配置全球跟踪 2026 年 1 月第 2 期 本报告导读: 01/19-01/23,美欧反复博弈引发市场 TACO 与避险交易。国际金银价格均刷新历史 记录。美元指数全周大跌 1.9%。美联储 26 年降息路径稳定,27 年加息预期升温。 投资要点: 策略研究 /[Table_Date] 2026.01.26 | | 021-38031658 | | --- | --- | | | fangyi2@gtht.com | | 登记编号 | S0880520120005 | | | 郭佼佼(分析师) | | | 021-38031042 | | | guojiaojiao2@gtht.com | | 登记编号 | S0880523070002 | [Table_Report] 相关报告 成交活跃度下降,中证 1000 估值领涨 2026.01.25 AI 硬件景气强化,科技制造出海延续 2026.01.22 基金增配资源、硬科技与非银 2026.01.22 资产概览:贵金属与日韩权益领涨 2026.01.19 主动外资大幅 ...
战术性大类资产配置周度点评(20260125):欧美地缘政治博弈加剧,建议低配美债-20260126
GUOTAI HAITONG SECURITIES· 2026-01-26 11:41
Group 1 - The report suggests a tactical underweight in US Treasuries due to the exacerbation of geopolitical tensions under the Trump administration, which negatively impacts US debt performance [1][14][15] - It recommends a tactical overweight in A/H shares, US stocks, and gold, while advising a lower allocation to oil [1][14][15] - The report highlights that 2026 is the beginning of the 14th Five-Year Plan in China, with expectations of expanded fiscal deficits and more proactive economic policies [14][15] Group 2 - The report indicates that the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut in December 2025 and the stable appreciation of the RMB provide favorable conditions for monetary easing in early 2026 [14][15] - It notes that structural monetary policies may enhance the willingness of institutional investors to purchase bonds, despite an ongoing imbalance between financing demand and credit supply [14][15] - The report emphasizes that geopolitical uncertainties are likely to support gold prices, making it a recommended asset for overweighting [16][17] Group 3 - The report discusses the recent trend of European pension funds selling off US debt assets, citing concerns over the unpredictability of the current US government and rising national debt [11][12] - It mentions that the geopolitical landscape is shifting, which may lead to increased volatility in oil prices, suggesting a tactical underweight in oil [16][17] - The report provides a tactical asset allocation model, indicating a 45% allocation to equities, 45% to bonds, and 10% to commodities, with specific weightings for various asset classes [18][20]
蜜雪集团(02097):首次覆盖报告:现制饮品国民品牌,高质平价、全球扩张
GUOTAI HAITONG SECURITIES· 2026-01-26 11:41
Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with a "Buy" rating for Mixue Group [5][10]. Core Insights - Mixue Group is positioned as a leading domestic fresh beverage brand, emphasizing high quality at affordable prices, with a competitive edge in supply chain management and scale effects [2][10]. - The company is projected to achieve significant revenue growth, with estimated revenues of RMB 33.75 billion, RMB 38.06 billion, and RMB 42.39 billion for the years 2025 to 2027, reflecting growth rates of 36%, 13%, and 11% respectively [10][16]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to reach RMB 5.93 billion, RMB 6.78 billion, and RMB 7.54 billion for the same period, with growth rates of 34%, 14%, and 11% [10][16]. Financial Summary - Total revenue (in million RMB): - 2023: 20,302 - 2024: 24,829 - 2025E: 33,748 - 2026E: 38,059 - 2027E: 42,393 - Net profit (in million RMB): - 2023: 3,137 - 2024: 4,437 - 2025E: 5,934 - 2026E: 6,779 - 2027E: 7,535 - Projected PE ratios: - 2025E: 24.51 - 2026E: 21.45 - 2027E: 19.30 [4][10][16]. Business Model and Competitive Advantages - Mixue Group operates under a franchise model with a focus on high-density store networks, which enhances consumer reach and operational efficiency [10][22]. - The company has established a robust supply chain with high self-sourcing rates, allowing for cost advantages and quality control [10][22]. - The brand has a strong market presence in the affordable beverage segment, with Mixue Ice City leading in market share [10][22]. Market Expansion Potential - The domestic market for fresh beverages is projected to grow significantly, with an increase in consumer demand for fresh and diverse flavors [10][22]. - Mixue Group has identified potential for opening 60,000 to 70,000 stores domestically and over 40,000 stores internationally, particularly in Southeast Asia [10][22][14]. - The company is also expanding its product offerings by entering the fresh beer market through the acquisition of the brand "Fulu Family" [10][22]. Valuation - The target price for Mixue Group is set at HKD 549.47, based on a combination of relative and absolute valuation methods, reflecting a market capitalization of approximately HKD 208.8 billion [10][20][21].
通信行业 2025Q4 基金持仓总结:基金持仓占比涨幅位列第一,AI算力产业链持续向好
GUOTAI HAITONG SECURITIES· 2026-01-26 11:15
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the communication industry [4][18]. Core Insights - The communication industry saw a significant increase in fund holdings, with a market value share of 10.18% in Q4 2025, reflecting a quarter-on-quarter increase of 3.30 percentage points, ranking first among all sectors [2][6]. - The industry is expected to continue benefiting from developments in AI infrastructure and new connectivity, maintaining a high growth outlook despite current valuations being above historical averages [19]. - Key stocks in the communication sector are focused on the AI industry chain, with major holdings including Zhongji Xuchuang, Xinyi Sheng, and Tianfu Communication, which ranked as the top three in fund holdings by market value [9][19]. Summary by Sections Fund Holdings Overview - As of Q4 2025, the communication sector's fund holdings ranked among the top five sectors, alongside electronics, power equipment, non-ferrous metals, and non-bank financials [6]. - The top three stocks by fund holdings in the communication sector are Zhongji Xuchuang (¥162.18 billion, +45.51% QoQ), Xinyi Sheng (¥124.66 billion, +13.14% QoQ), and Tianfu Communication (¥19.45 billion, +0.73% QoQ) [9][19]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends maintaining an "Overweight" rating for the communication industry, highlighting specific stocks for investment: 1. Optical Modules: Zhongji Xuchuang, Xinyi Sheng, Guangxun Technology, Huagong Technology 2. CPO/Silicon Photonics: Tianfu Communication, Shijia Photonics, Yuanjie Technology, Guangku Technology, Changguang Huaxin, Taicheng Light 3. PCB: Hudian Co., Shenzhen South Circuit 4. End-side: Guanghe Tong, ZTE Corporation 5. IDC/Liquid Cooling: Wangsu Technology, Aofei Data, Guanghuan New Network 6. Network Side: ZTE Corporation, Ruijie Networks, Unisplendour, Fenghuo Communication, Feiling Kesi 7. High-speed Copper Cables: Zhaolong Interconnect 8. Operators: China Mobile, China Telecom, China Unicom 9. Military Communication-related stocks: Haige Communication, Qiyi Er, Changying Tong 10. US stocks: Credo (CRDO), MaxLinear (MXL), Arista Networks (ANET), VNET Group (VNET), Coherent (COHR), Lumentum (LITE), Broadcom (AVGO), Marvell (MRVL), AXT (AXTI) [18]. Valuation Insights - The overall valuation of the communication sector is above the historical average, with a PE-TTM of 50x, placing it in the 86th percentile over the past decade. The sector is expected to maintain significant growth potential as it benefits from AI infrastructure and new connectivity developments [19].
商业航天发展提速,太空光伏迎布局良机
GUOTAI HAITONG SECURITIES· 2026-01-26 11:14
Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate" rating for the industry [1]. Core Insights - The market potential brought by space data centers is enormous, with crystalline silicon and perovskite battery technologies becoming key [2]. - The rapid development of commercial aerospace will benefit space photovoltaics significantly, as solar energy is the only reliable energy source in commercial aerospace, with solar irradiance in space being approximately 5-10 times that of ground photovoltaics [3][7]. Summary by Sections 1. Space Photovoltaics in Commercial Aerospace - Solar energy is a massive energy source, with the sun radiating energy equivalent to 130 trillion tons of coal annually, making it the largest exploitable energy source [7]. - Space photovoltaics are not affected by atmospheric interference, with solar irradiance around 1360 W/m², which is about 1.4 times that of ground photovoltaics [8]. 2. Successful Commercialization of Satellite Internet - Low Earth orbit (LEO) satellites have broad commercial application prospects, characterized by low transmission delays and costs, making them suitable for satellite internet applications [20]. - Companies like SpaceX's Starlink have successfully deployed LEO satellite constellations, enhancing global internet access [22]. 3. Development Opportunities - The mainstream energy solution in space is currently gallium arsenide (GaAs), but crystalline silicon and perovskite technologies are gaining traction due to their cost and efficiency improvements [48]. - The demand for space data centers is expected to grow significantly, with companies exploring the use of crystalline silicon and perovskite layered solutions [5]. 4. Market Outlook - If Elon Musk's goal of deploying 100 GW of AI computing power in space is achieved, it could lead to a demand for 680,000 satellites annually, compared to the current global stock of just over 10,000 satellites [5]. 5. Related Companies - Companies to watch in this sector include Junda Co., JinkoSolar, Trina Solar, Dongfang Risheng, and GCL-Poly Energy [5].
机械行业周报:SpaceX与特斯拉规划部署太阳能产能,光伏产业链迎发展新机遇-20260126
GUOTAI HAITONG SECURITIES· 2026-01-26 11:13
请务必阅读正文之后的免责条款部分 股 票 研 究 SpaceX 与特斯拉规划部署太阳能产能,光伏产业链迎发展新 机遇 机械行业周报 | [姓名table_Authors] | 电话 | 邮箱 | 登记编号 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 肖群稀(分析师) | 0755-23976830 | xiaoqunxi@gtht.com | S0880522120001 | | 丁嘉一(分析师) | 021-23187266 | dingjiayi@gtht.com | S0880525080009 | 本报告导读: 上周(2026/1/19-2026/1/23)机械设备指数涨跌幅为+3.19%。SpaceX 与特斯拉三年 内规划年化 100GW 太阳能产能,商业航天产业推进会即将召开。 [Table_Invest] 评级: 增持 行 业 双 投资要点: [Table_Report] 相关报告 机械行业《液态气周均价环比略跌;广钢获 TCL 供气合同、杭氧中标 4 套 10 万空分装置》 2026.01.26 机械行业《韩国扩大聚变研发预算,General Fusion 拟借壳上市》2026 ...
宁波银行:2025年业绩快报点评中收增速超30%,活期存款新增占比高达70%-20260126
GUOTAI HAITONG SECURITIES· 2026-01-26 07:40
中收增速超 30%,活期存款新增占比高达 70% 宁波银行(002142) 宁波银行 2025 年业绩快报点评 | [姓名table_Authors] | 电话 | 邮箱 | 登记编号 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 马婷婷(分析师) | 021-23185608 | matingting@gtht.com | S0880525100001 | | 陈惠琴(分析师) | 021-38676666 | chenhuiqin@gtht.com | S0880525100003 | 本报告导读: 展望 2026 年,宁波银行有望继续在四个维度实现基本面与业绩双改善:信贷高增 长、以综合化经营优势沉淀活期存款、发挥财富管理及国际结算优势推动中收增长、 优化资产布局减轻信用成本压力。 投资要点: | [Table_Finance] 财务摘要(百万元) | 2023A | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业收入 | 61,585 | 66,631 | 72,223 | 80,024 ...
太空光伏迎新催化,关注建筑AI应用
GUOTAI HAITONG SECURITIES· 2026-01-26 07:35
股票研究/[Table_Date] 2026.01.25 太空光伏迎新催化,关注建筑 AI 应用 [Table_Industry] 建筑工程业 | [姓名table_Authors] | 电话 | 邮箱 | 登记编号 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 韩其成(分析师) | 021-38676162 | hanqicheng@gtht.com | S0880516030004 | | 郭浩然(分析师) | 010-83939793 | guohaoran@gtht.com | S0880524020002 | | 曹有成(分析师) | 021-23185701 | caoyoucheng@gtht.com | S0880525040079 | 太空光伏应用空间大,上海港湾持续推进卫星电源系统与钙钛矿太阳能电池研发。 AI 应用本月迎新催化,关注建筑 AI 应用标的。 投资要点: [太空光伏应用空间大, Table_Summary] 上海港湾持续推进卫星电源系统与钙钛矿太阳能 电池研发。(1)1 月 22 日,据澎湃新闻报道,特斯拉 CEO 马斯克在达沃 斯论坛年会期间表示,SpaceX ...
非凡领越:全球资产重塑,盈利拐点确立-20260126
GUOTAI HAITONG SECURITIES· 2026-01-26 07:35
全球资产重塑,盈利拐点确立 非凡领越(0933) ——非凡领越首次覆盖报告 | [姓名table_Authors] | 电话 | 邮箱 | 登记编号 | [Table_Invest] 评级: | 增持 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 盛开(分析师) | 021-23154510 | shengkai@gtht.com | S0880525040044 | | | | 钟启辉(研究助理) | 021-23185686 | zhongqihui@gtht.com | S0880125042254 | | | | | | | | [当前价格 Table_CurPrice] (港元): | 0.69 | 本报告导读: 公司全球多品牌矩阵成型。核心品牌 Clarks 盈利拐点显现,重组艰难时期基本结 束。Clarks 新任 CEO Victor 具备高胜率零售管理体系和实战经验。我们认为非凡 领越是国内服装板块中少数拥有百年全球品牌"全球控股权"的企业,其资产属性 显著优于单纯收购"大中华区运营权"的模式。首次覆盖,予以增持评级。 投资要点: | 财务摘要(百万港元) ...