Investment Rating of the Reported Industry No information provided regarding the industry investment rating in the content. Core Viewpoints of the Report - In September 2025, the wealth - management scale decreased seasonally. As of the end of September 2025, the total wealth - management scale was 31.9 trillion yuan, up 2.0 trillion yuan from the end of the previous year but down 1.0 trillion yuan from the end of the previous month. The scale increase in Q3 2025 was higher than that in the same period from 2022 - 2024 [3][7]. - The average monthly annualized return of pure fixed - income wealth - management products of wealth - management companies decreased slightly in September. The average performance comparison benchmark of newly - issued RMB fixed - income wealth - management products of wealth - management companies has been declining. The upper and lower limits of the average performance comparison benchmark of newly - issued RMB fixed - income wealth - management products in September 2025 were 2.70% and 2.20% respectively [3]. - The cost rate of interest - bearing liabilities of A - share listed banks has been declining rapidly in the past two years. It is expected that the cost rate of interest - bearing liabilities of A - share listed banks in Q4 2025 will drop below 1.65%, and the liability cost of commercial banks will decline year - by - year in the next five years, supporting the downward oscillation of bond yields [3][18]. - There may be a wave of market conditions in the bond market in Q4. The 10Y government bonds have good allocation value for bank self - operation. It is recommended that commercial bank self - operation increase the allocation of government bonds. It is predicted that the 10Y Treasury bond yield may return to around 1.65% by the end of the year [3][21]. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 1. Seasonal Decline in September's Wealth - Management Scale - As of the end of September 2025, the total wealth - management scale was 31.9 trillion yuan, up 2.0 trillion yuan from the end of the previous year and down 1.0 trillion yuan from the end of the previous month. The scale increased by 0.17 trillion yuan in January, 0.13 trillion yuan in February, decreased by 1.11 trillion yuan in March, increased by 2.20 trillion yuan in April, increased by 0.19 trillion yuan in May, decreased by 0.86 trillion yuan in June, increased by 2.0 trillion yuan in July, increased by 0.25 trillion yuan in August, and decreased by 1.0 trillion yuan in September. The wealth - management scale is at a historical high, and it may reach 33 trillion yuan in October [6]. - The wealth - management scale decreased by 1.0 trillion yuan in September 2025, close to the seasonal pattern (the average decrease in September from 2021 - 2024 was 0.82 trillion yuan). Despite the stock market's sharp rise in Q3 2025, the total increase in the wealth - management scale in Q3 was 1.25 trillion yuan, higher than that in the same period from 2022 - 2024 [3][7]. 2. Yield of Fixed - Income Wealth - Management Products in September 2025 - The average performance comparison benchmark of newly - issued RMB fixed - income wealth - management products of wealth - management companies has been oscillating downward since early 2022. In September 2025, the upper and lower limits of the average performance comparison benchmark were 2.70% and 2.20% respectively. It is expected that the lower limit may slowly drop to around 2.0% [11]. - The yield of cash - management wealth - management products oscillated in September. As of October 12, 2025, the average 7 - day annualized yield of cash - management wealth - management products of wealth - management companies was 1.30%, while that of money market funds was 1.12%. The yield of money - related products may further decline slightly [12]. - Although the bond market adjusted in September, the average monthly annualized return of pure fixed - income wealth - management products of wealth - management companies was 1.97%, showing that the products were less affected by the bond market adjustment [16]. 3. Investment Suggestion: Declining Bank Liability Costs Support the Bond Market - The cost rate of interest - bearing liabilities of A - share listed banks has been declining rapidly in the past two years. The cost rate of interest - bearing liabilities of A - share listed banks in Q2 2025 was 1.72%, down 8BP quarter - on - quarter and 45BP from the high point in Q4 2023. It is expected to drop below 1.65% in Q4 2025. In the next five years, the liability cost of commercial banks will decline year - by - year, supporting the downward oscillation of bond yields [18]. - China has entered a low - interest - rate era. It is recommended to lower the return expectation of bond investment. Commercial bank self - operation, as the largest bond allocator, also needs to lower the return expectation. In the long run, the bond investment ratio may increase [20]. - It is recommended that commercial bank self - operation increase the allocation of 10Y government bonds during the bond market adjustment. The Fed may cut interest rates by 25BP in October, and there is still room for RRR and interest rate cuts in the next six months. It is predicted that the 10Y Treasury bond yield may return to around 1.65% by the end of the year [21].

New Consumption - In September 2025, the GMV of the beauty category on Douyin increased by 19.7% year-on-year, while it decreased by 10.4% month-on-month [2][6] - The total GMV of the top 20 beauty brands on Douyin reached over 3 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 38.59%. Han Shu maintained the top position with a GMV exceeding 500 million yuan, and 40% of brands saw their GMV double [7][8] - Domestic brands showed strong performance in self-operated channels, with 60% of the top 20 beauty brands having a higher GMV contribution from self-operated sales than from influencer promotions [7][8] - The price distribution in the skincare category is relatively balanced, while the makeup and perfume categories heavily rely on affordable products. The price segment under 150 yuan accounted for 49.54% of the market [8] Real Estate - The real estate sector saw a decline of 0.8% this week, with new home transactions in 42 key cities totaling 980,000 square meters, a 51% decrease week-on-week [10][12] - The Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development is focusing on urban renewal and governance, with new regulations introduced in cities like Shenzhen and Chengdu to promote the construction of "good houses" [13][15] - The government is also increasing housing provident fund loan limits in cities like Nanjing and Shaoxing to support homebuyers [13][14] North Exchange - The research on solid-state lithium batteries has made significant progress, with new technologies enhancing the stability of metal lithium anodes [16][17] - The energy storage sector is rapidly developing, with a total of 1,663 energy storage stations in operation as of June 2025, totaling 75.79 GW/175.12 GWh [16][17] - The North Exchange has identified 24 companies in the energy storage industry, spanning upstream material production to downstream system operation [17][18] Pharmaceuticals - The pharmaceutical index rose by 0.36% this week, with expectations for innovative drugs to continue rapid growth and export businesses to perform well [28][29] - The market anticipates catalysts such as ESMO and BD meetings in October, which may stabilize and rebound the innovative drug sector [29][30] - Recommended stocks include innovative drug companies like Xinlitai, Hotgen Biotech, and China Biologic Products, as well as export-oriented firms like WuXi AppTec and Jiuzhou Pharmaceutical [29][34] Company Analysis - Mixue Group plans to invest 286 million yuan to acquire 51% of Fulu Family, expanding its brand matrix into the fresh beer market [36][37] - Fulu Family offers fresh beer products priced between 6 to 10 yuan per 500 ml, focusing on high-quality and affordable offerings [37][38] - The acquisition is expected to leverage Mixue's existing supply chain advantages to enhance its brand presence in the fresh beer sector [38]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the beauty care industry is "Positive" (maintained) [4] Core Insights - In September 2025, the GMV (Gross Merchandise Value) of the beauty category on Douyin increased by 19.7% year-on-year, although it saw a month-on-month decline of 10.4% [4] - The top 20 beauty brands on Douyin achieved a total GMV exceeding 3 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 38.59%. Notably, the brand Han Shu maintained its leading position with over 500 million yuan in GMV, and 40% of brands in the top 20 experienced more than double growth [4] - Domestic brands showed strong performance, with 60% of the top 20 brands having a higher GMV contribution from self-operated channels than from influencer promotions. Brands like Han Shu and Bai Que Ling had over 70% of their GMV from self-operated channels, indicating a competitive advantage for domestic brands in self-operated channels [4] Summary by Sections Market Performance - The beauty and skincare product price distribution is relatively balanced, while the color cosmetics and fragrance categories heavily rely on affordable products. The price segment under 150 yuan accounted for 49.54% of the market share in September, marking it as the main price segment [4] - Products priced under 150 yuan made up 36.23% of the skincare category, while products priced over 1,000 yuan contributed over 10% to GMV. In contrast, 74% of the GMV in the color cosmetics and fragrance category came from products priced under 150 yuan, indicating a more concentrated price distribution [4] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on domestic brands that are continuously enhancing their market scale and brand influence through mainstream channels. Recommended stocks include: 1. Mao Ge Ping, a leading high-end domestic beauty brand with strong product and channel expansion capabilities 2. Po Lai Ya, known for its mature organizational structure and industry-leading marketing and management capabilities 3. Wan Mei Biological, which is experiencing accelerated brand growth through its flagship products 4. Shang Mei Co., benefiting from the trend of affordable consumption with multi-category and multi-channel development [4]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the real estate industry is "Positive" (maintained) [3][4] Core Viewpoints - The report emphasizes the importance of stabilizing the real estate market and stock market as a means to boost social expectations and facilitate domestic demand circulation. The focus is on high-quality housing and urban renewal, with a potential wave of development for high-quality residential properties [4][45] - The report suggests that the central government's consistent messaging since September 2024 has been to stabilize the real estate market, especially in light of external economic pressures [4][45] Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.4%, while the Shenzhen Component Index fell by 1.3%, and the ChiNext Index dropped by 3.9%. The real estate sector (Shenwan) decreased by 0.8% during the week [4][7] - In terms of individual stocks, Hefei Urban Construction saw a significant increase of 18.1%, while Shenzhen Real Estate A experienced a decline of 12.0% [4][7] Data Tracking New Housing Transactions - In the week of October 4-10, 2025, 42 key cities recorded a total new housing transaction volume of 980,000 square meters, a decrease of 51.0% from the previous week and a year-on-year decline of 53.5% [11][17] - For the month up to October 10, 2025, new housing transactions in these cities totaled 1.22 million square meters, down 44.8% month-on-month and 39.5% year-on-year [17] Second-Hand Housing Transactions - During the same week, 21 key cities recorded a total of 860,000 square meters in second-hand housing transactions, a decrease of 26.6% from the previous week and a year-on-year decline of 48.4% [29][35] - For the month up to October 10, 2025, second-hand housing transactions totaled 930,000 square meters, down 64.5% month-on-month and 29.3% year-on-year [35] Industry News - The Ministry of Housing and Urban-Rural Development is focusing on urban renewal and governance, with plans to upgrade old houses into "good houses" [45] - New regulations in Shenzhen limit the height of residential buildings to manage safety risks, while Chengdu has increased the area limit for balconies and other auxiliary spaces [45][46] Company Announcements - In September 2025, China Overseas Development reported a sales figure of 20.17 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 7.2%, while Poly Developments reported 20.53 billion yuan, a decrease of 1.8% [48] - New City Holdings issued a total of 160 million USD in unsecured fixed-rate bonds with a 2-year term and an interest rate of 11.88% [48]

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, marking its first coverage [5][8]. Core Insights - The company is positioned as a hidden champion in overseas metering, benefiting from the global smart grid construction wave. The advanced metering infrastructure (AMI) market is expected to grow significantly, driven by carbon neutrality goals and energy digitalization [5][7][10]. Summary by Sections 1. Market Performance - The company's closing price is 92.43 yuan, with a market capitalization of 12,837.29 million yuan and a circulating market value of 2,938.66 million yuan. The asset-liability ratio stands at 22.45% [3]. 2. Financial Forecast and Valuation - Revenue projections for 2023 to 2027 are as follows: 2,550 million yuan (2023), 2,933 million yuan (2024), 3,698 million yuan (2025E), 4,383 million yuan (2026E), and 5,082 million yuan (2027E). The corresponding net profit estimates are 486 million yuan (2023), 589 million yuan (2024), 757 million yuan (2025E), 935 million yuan (2026E), and 1,073 million yuan (2027E) [6][8]. 3. Industry Dynamics - The global smart metering market is projected to grow from 21.91 billion USD in 2022 to 32.46 billion USD by 2027, with a CAGR of 8.2%. The company is well-positioned to capture market share in this expanding sector [7][19]. 4. Competitive Landscape - The company competes with global giants like Itron and Landis+Gyr, and has successfully established a presence in various European markets. Its market share in Europe has increased from 9.46% in 2021 to 12.14% in 2023 [10][31]. 5. Company Strengths - The company has a strong technological foundation with over 600 global certifications and a significant presence in the European market. It has established long-term relationships with top-tier power companies, enhancing its competitive edge [10][44][49]. 6. Growth Potential - The company is expected to see substantial growth in both domestic and international markets, with a projected revenue increase of 132.86% in the domestic market for the first half of 2025. The company aims to expand its production capacity significantly through new investment projects [7][10][30].

Investment Rating - The report indicates a positive outlook for the energy storage industry, particularly focusing on lithium-ion battery technologies and their advancements [1][2]. Core Insights - The research highlights significant progress in solid-state lithium batteries, particularly in solid-solid interface contact, which is crucial for their engineering applications [6][7]. - The electrochemical energy storage sector is experiencing rapid growth, with a notable increase in installed capacity and technological diversification [10][11]. - As of June 2025, the total operational energy storage capacity reached 75.79 GW/175.12 GWh, with lithium-ion batteries dominating the market [25][36]. Summary by Sections 1. Rapid Development of Electrochemical Energy Storage Technologies - The report emphasizes the advancements in solid-state lithium batteries, which are seen as the next generation of energy storage devices due to their high safety and energy density [6][7]. - The energy storage technology landscape is diversifying, with lithium-ion batteries maintaining a dominant position, accounting for 97.34% of the total operational energy storage capacity as of June 2025 [36][19]. 2. Market Performance of North Exchange Technology Growth Stocks - The median price change for North Exchange technology growth stocks was +0.11% from October 9 to October 10, 2025, with 80 companies (52%) experiencing an increase [42][44]. - Notable performers included Changfu Co., Ltd. (+29.89%) and Lingge Technology (+29.82%) [45]. 3. Industry Valuation Metrics - The median TTM price-to-earnings ratio for the new energy industry increased by 1.70% to 38.7X, indicating a positive valuation trend [46]. - The electronic equipment sector's median TTM P/E ratio rose from 57.8X to 58.6X, reflecting a stable market environment [46]. 4. Company Announcements - Tianhong Lithium Battery and Shaanxi Hongda Electric Power Engineering Co., Ltd. plan to jointly establish a holding subsidiary with a registered capital of RMB 50 million [4]. 5. Energy Storage Industry Overview - The report identifies 24 companies within the energy storage industry chain on the North Exchange, categorized into upstream (materials & production equipment), midstream (manufacturing & integration), and downstream (systems & operations) sectors [37][39]. - The report notes that large-scale energy storage projects (over 100 MW) are becoming increasingly prevalent, with a significant portion of new installations focusing on independent energy storage systems [33][30].

Investment Rating - Investment rating: None [4] Core Insights - Recent developments in the overseas uranium industry have led to increased market activity, particularly with Sprott Physical Uranium Trust (SPUT) purchasing approximately 4 million pounds of U3O8, raising total inventory from about 50.7 million pounds to nearly 55 million pounds, tightening the supply and driving uranium prices up [4][16] - The U.S. Department of Energy plans to expand its strategic uranium reserves to reduce dependence on Russian uranium, which currently fuels about 25% of U.S. nuclear power plants, potentially affecting 5% of national electricity generation if supply is disrupted [4][16] - The importance of nuclear energy in the U.S. energy structure is increasing due to the acceleration of electrification and rising demand for clean energy, with the strategic reserve seen as crucial for energy security and stable supply [4][16] Market Performance Summary - The Hong Kong and U.S. tech stocks experienced volatility, with the Hang Seng Tech Index closing at 6259.8, down 5.5%, underperforming the Hang Seng Index by 2.4 percentage points [7][9] - The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index closed at 6407.6, down 2.7%, also underperforming compared to the Nasdaq 100 and S&P 500 indices [7][9] - The AI energy sector showed strong performance, with top gainers including AMD (+31%), ENERGY FUELS (+23%), and URANIUM ENERGY (+11%) [9][14] Web3 and Cryptocurrency Market - The total market capitalization of cryptocurrencies decreased to $4.14 trillion as of October 10, 2025, down from $4.15 trillion the previous week [18][22] - The total trading volume in the cryptocurrency market was $211.71 billion, accounting for 5.11% of the total market capitalization [18][22] - Core assets in the cryptocurrency market saw significant inflows, with a total net inflow of $2.715 billion recorded, despite a sharp price drop following the announcement of new tariffs by the U.S. government [29][30]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [5] Core Views - The acquisition of a 53% stake in Fulu Family further expands the brand matrix of the company [5] - The beer industry has a large market size and consumer base, with increasing demand for high-quality and diverse products, which is expected to open up opportunities in the fresh beer market [8] - The company is expected to leverage its existing supply chain advantages and franchisee strengths to enhance its brand presence in the fresh beer sector [8] Financial Performance and Forecast - Revenue projections for the company are as follows: - 2023: 20,302.47 million RMB - 2024: 24,828.87 million RMB (growth of 22.29%) - 2025E: 30,443.21 million RMB (growth of 22.61%) - 2026E: 36,691.03 million RMB (growth of 20.52%) - 2027E: 42,410.49 million RMB (growth of 15.59%) [6] - Net profit forecasts are as follows: - 2023: 3,137.34 million RMB - 2024: 4,436.50 million RMB (growth of 41.41%) - 2025E: 5,425.05 million RMB (growth of 22.28%) - 2026E: 6,586.02 million RMB (growth of 21.40%) - 2027E: 7,670.19 million RMB (growth of 16.46%) [6] - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios for the upcoming years are projected as follows: - 2025E: 26.88 - 2026E: 22.14 - 2027E: 19.01 [6] Company Overview - The company has acquired a 51% stake in Fulu Family for an investment of 286 million RMB, with the acquisition expected to enhance its brand portfolio [8] - Fulu Family operates approximately 1,200 stores across 28 provinces in China, primarily using a franchise model for expansion [8] - The company aims to maintain a high-quality and affordable product positioning in the fresh beer market, which includes a diverse product range [8]

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, marking its first coverage [5][10]. Core Insights - The company is the largest independent digital payment solution provider in China, offering digital payment and value-added services to global traders. It has obtained 65 licenses globally, covering key markets including mainland China, Hong Kong, Singapore, the US, the UK, Thailand, Luxembourg, and Indonesia [6][18]. - The digital payment market is rapidly growing due to globalization and the trend of cross-border e-commerce, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 13.7% for China's cross-border e-commerce imports and exports from 2020 to 2024 [6][42]. - The company's revenue primarily comes from global payment services, with cross-border payment contributing about 60% of its income. The fee rates for cross-border payments are expected to remain stable, while domestic payment rates are lower due to competition [6][9]. - The company has seen significant growth in its value-added services, which include digital marketing and operational support, with revenue from digital marketing rapidly increasing from 3.76 million in 2021 to 79.08 million in 2023 [6][50]. - The strategic sale of shares in a joint venture has positively impacted the company's performance, with a reported gain of approximately 2 billion RMB in the first half of 2025 [6][34]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company was established in 2009 and has focused on digital payment services, obtaining various licenses to expand its global footprint. It has a strong management team with extensive experience in finance and technology [18][24]. Market Performance - As of October 10, 2025, the company's closing price was HKD 8.67, with a market capitalization of approximately HKD 9.69 billion. The asset-liability ratio stands at 86.32% [3]. Financial Projections - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are estimated at 1.7 billion, 2.2 billion, and 2.7 billion RMB, with corresponding growth rates of 29.3%, 29.6%, and 22.7% [9][12]. - The net profit for 2025 is projected to be 1.456 billion RMB, with a significant increase from previous years [9][12]. Competitive Landscape - The cross-border payment industry is characterized by a few dominant players, with the company being the only Chinese firm holding payment licenses in all US states. The competitive landscape includes companies like Payoneer and Airwallex, each with unique strengths [53][57]. Strategic Developments - The company has received a VATP license in Hong Kong, which is expected to enhance its business capabilities in virtual asset trading and improve cross-border payment efficiency [9][10].

- The report compares the performance of the Sci-Tech Innovation Board 50 Index (STAR 50), ChiNext Index, and CSI All Share Index before and after the tariff war escalation on April 2, 2025, and October 10, 2025[7][8][9] - The report highlights the increase in the proportion of stocks hitting new highs within the past year across various indices, indicating a higher market recognition and trend strength compared to early April 2025[10][11][12] - The turnover rate of the STAR 50 Index is significantly higher, suggesting a potential overheating and correction risk, while the ChiNext Index and CSI All Share Index have moderate turnover rates[27][28][32] - The valuation metrics (PE_TTM) for the three indices have increased significantly since April 2025, indicating higher market valuations and potential short-term volatility and correction risks[33][37] - The financing balance of the three indices has increased substantially, reflecting a stronger bullish sentiment in the market, but the current market overheating level is lower compared to the 2015 bull market peak[38][39][43] - The report compares the performance of various industries before and after the tariff war escalation, noting that the computer, electronics, and media industries performed well before the escalation, while the communication, non-ferrous metals, and electronics industries performed well after the escalation[44][45][47] - The valuation levels of most industries have increased since April 2025, with the average price-to-book ratio and price-to-earnings ratio percentiles rising significantly, indicating higher market valuations and potential short-term risks for high-valuation sectors[46][48][50] - The report emphasizes the need to be cautious of sectors with high valuation percentiles and recent high trading activity, such as the computer and electronics industries, which may experience short-term volatility[46][54][55]