Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the consumer electronics sector, specifically for action cameras and panoramic cameras [6]. Core Insights - The action camera and panoramic camera industry is experiencing high growth, transitioning from niche markets to emerging blue oceans, driven by the rise of outdoor activities, rapid growth of social media content, and the maturation of VR/AR technologies [1][2]. - Major players in the industry include Insta360, GoPro, and DJI, with competition shifting from hardware specifications to AI, software ecosystems, and differentiated innovation capabilities [1][4]. Market Space - The market for action cameras and panoramic cameras is evolving from a niche market to a broad blue ocean, characterized by new consumption attributes such as experience-driven, personalization, and user-generated content [2][33]. - The global action camera market size was 31.44 billion in 2023 and is expected to reach 51.35 billion by 2027, with a CAGR of 13.0% [2][36]. - The global panoramic camera market size was 5.03 billion in 2023 and is projected to grow to 7.85 billion by 2027, with a CAGR of 11.8% [2][39]. Competitive Landscape - The competitive landscape for action cameras has shifted from a single dominant player (GoPro) to a multi-strong competition, with DJI and Insta360 emerging as key players [3]. - In the panoramic camera segment, Insta360 holds a dominant market share of 67.2% in 2023, followed by Ricoh and GoPro [3]. Future Trends - The future of the industry is expected to focus on the integration of AI, software ecosystems, and differentiated innovation capabilities, moving away from hardware-centric competition [4][5]. - The trend towards "all-in-one" personal imaging devices is anticipated, with the boundaries between action cameras and panoramic cameras becoming increasingly blurred [4]. User Profiles - Action cameras primarily target "adventurous players" such as extreme sports enthusiasts and outdoor explorers, while panoramic cameras appeal to "creative pioneers" including content creators and VR content producers [22][24].

Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Overweight" (Maintain) [7] Core Viewpoints - The ETF market showed a steady growth in total assets, with a month-on-month increase of 1.6% and a 0.9% rise in stock ETFs, indicating a moderate growth trend despite market fluctuations [11][12] - Bond funds reached a new high with net assets of 284.1 billion, growing by 15% month-on-month, and their market share increased by 0.8 percentage points to 6.9% [2][13] - The competitive landscape saw a slight decline in the concentration of leading firms, with the top three firms maintaining their positions but experiencing a slight decrease in market share compared to the beginning of the year [3][18] - The issuance of new products in May was relatively scattered, with a significant month-on-month decline in issuance scale, totaling 7.1 billion, down 51% [4][22] - The implementation of the "Action Plan for Promoting High-Quality Development of Public Funds" is expected to reshape the industry ecosystem, emphasizing the need to enhance the scale and proportion of equity investments in public funds, which may accelerate the development of stock ETFs [5][26] Summary by Sections Total Structure - As of the end of May, the total net asset value of stock ETFs reached 297.36 billion, reflecting a month-on-month increase of 0.9%. The overall ETF market's net asset value totaled 412.6 billion, up 1.6% month-on-month, with a total of 27.469 billion shares, down 1.7% month-on-month [2][12] Competitive Landscape - The concentration of leading firms in the ETF market slightly decreased, with CR3, CR5, and CR10 at 44.8%, 57.5%, and 77.6% respectively, all down by 0.3 percentage points [3][18] New Product Issuance - The new issuance scale of stock ETFs in May saw a decline, primarily due to the previous month's bulk issuance of various ETFs. The highest scale product in May was the Morgan CSI A500 Enhanced Strategy ETF, which raised 1 billion [4][22] Policy Dynamics - The "Action Plan for Promoting High-Quality Development of Public Funds" was released on May 7, outlining a comprehensive reform roadmap aimed at enhancing governance, product issuance, investment operations, and assessment mechanisms within the industry [5][26]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for banks and securities [9] Core Views - The report highlights the growth in wealth management products and the expansion of ETF assets, driven by the continuous improvement in the capital market's financing reforms [1][2] - It suggests seizing opportunities in high-quality individual stocks, recommending banks like China Merchants Bank and Ningbo Bank, as well as securities firms like GF Securities and Orient Securities [1] Summary by Sections Wealth Management - In May 2025, the total number of wealth management products issued was 5,400, a month-on-month decrease of 9.8% [2][16] - The total outstanding scale of bank wealth management products reached 31.29 trillion yuan, an increase of 0.35 trillion yuan month-on-month, primarily driven by fixed-income products [2][39] - The average yield of bank wealth management products remained stable at 2.52% [2] Public Funds - As of the end of May 2025, the total market size of public funds was 32.03 trillion yuan, with a month-on-month increase of 0.35% and a year-on-year increase of 10% [3][16] - The issuance of public funds in May was 64.1 billion units, a month-on-month decrease of 31% [3][16] - The ETF assets saw a slight increase in net value, with the benchmark credit bond ETF contributing significantly to the growth [3] Securities Asset Management - As of Q4 2024, the scale of securities asset management was 6.10 trillion yuan, a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 3% [4][16] - In May 2025, the new issuance was 1.337 billion units, a month-on-month decrease of 55% [4] Private Funds - By the end of April 2025, the total scale of private fund products was 20.22 trillion yuan, with a month-on-month increase of 1.28% [5][16] - In April, the newly registered scale of private funds was 64.4 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 83% [5] Insurance Asset Management - As of Q1 2025, the balance of insurance fund utilization reached 34.93 trillion yuan, an increase of 5% since the beginning of the year [6][16] - The allocation ratio of bonds and stocks increased month-on-month [6] Trusts - In May, the issuance scale of trust products was 17.2 billion yuan, a month-on-month decrease of 64% [7][16]

Investment Rating - The industry rating is "Overweight" (Maintain) [7] Core Viewpoints - The ETF market showed a steady growth in total assets, with a month-on-month increase of 1.6% and a 0.9% rise in stock ETFs, indicating a moderate growth trend despite market fluctuations [11][12] - Bond funds reached a new high with net assets of 284.1 billion, growing by 15% month-on-month, and their market share increased by 0.8 percentage points to 6.9% [2][12] - The competitive landscape saw a slight decline in the concentration of leading firms, with the top three firms maintaining their positions but experiencing a slight decrease in market share compared to the beginning of the year [3][18] - The issuance of new products in May was relatively scattered, with a significant month-on-month decline in scale, reflecting a shift from previous peaks in issuance [4][22] - The implementation of the "Action Plan for Promoting High-Quality Development of Public Funds" is expected to reshape the industry ecosystem, emphasizing the need to enhance the scale and proportion of equity investments in public funds, which may accelerate the development of stock ETFs [5][26] Summary by Sections Total Structure - As of the end of May 2025, the total net asset value of stock ETFs reached 29,736 billion, reflecting a 0.9% month-on-month increase. The overall ETF market's net asset value totaled 41,260 billion, with a month-on-month growth of 1.6% [12][2] - The share of stock ETFs in the total ETF market slightly decreased by 0.4 percentage points to 72% due to ongoing market volatility [2][13] Competitive Landscape - The concentration of the ETF market slightly decreased, with the CR3, CR5, and CR10 ratios at 44.8%, 57.5%, and 77.6%, respectively, all showing a decline of 0.3 percentage points [3][18] - The top three firms, including Huaxia, E Fund, and Huatai-PB, maintained their positions, although their market shares have slightly decreased since the beginning of the year [3][21] New Product Issuance - The issuance scale of new stock ETFs in May saw a significant decline, with the total new issuance amounting to 7.1 billion, a 51% decrease month-on-month [4][22] - The highest scale product issued was the Morgan Zhongzheng A500 Enhanced Strategy ETF, which raised 1 billion [4][22] Policy Dynamics - The "Action Plan for Promoting High-Quality Development of Public Funds" was released on May 7, outlining a comprehensive reform roadmap aimed at enhancing governance, product issuance, investment operations, and assessment mechanisms within the industry [5][26] - The plan emphasizes the need to increase the scale and proportion of equity investments in public funds, which is expected to accelerate the development of stock ETFs [5][26]

Quantitative Models and Construction Methods 1. Model Name: Brinson Attribution Model - **Model Construction Idea**: The model is used to decompose the excess returns of active equity funds into stock selection and sector allocation contributions, providing insights into the sources of fund performance [16][19][22] - **Model Construction Process**: The Brinson model calculates excess returns as follows: $ R_{excess} = \sum_{i=1}^{n} (W_{i,f} - W_{i,b}) \cdot R_{i,b} + \sum_{i=1}^{n} W_{i,f} \cdot (R_{i,f} - R_{i,b}) $ - $ W_{i,f} $: Fund weight in sector $ i $ - $ W_{i,b} $: Benchmark weight in sector $ i $ - $ R_{i,f} $: Fund return in sector $ i $ - $ R_{i,b} $: Benchmark return in sector $ i $ The first term represents the allocation effect, and the second term represents the selection effect [16][19] - **Model Evaluation**: The model highlights that stock selection contributes more significantly to excess returns than sector allocation, with stock selection accounting for 83.17% of the total contribution on average [16][22] --- Model Backtesting Results 1. Brinson Attribution Model - Average stock selection contribution: 5.38% per half-year [22] - Probability of positive stock selection returns: 69.12% [23] - Probability of positive sector allocation returns: 53.66% [23] --- Quantitative Factors and Construction Methods 1. Factor Name: Fund Stability Factor - **Factor Construction Idea**: This factor measures the stability of a fund's sector allocation and its impact on outperforming benchmarks [10][12] - **Factor Construction Process**: Funds are categorized into 16 groups based on static and dynamic sector allocation characteristics: - Static categories: Highly diversified, diversified, concentrated, highly concentrated - Dynamic categories: Highly stable, stable, rotational, highly rotational The average probability of outperforming benchmarks is calculated for each group [10][12] - **Factor Evaluation**: Funds with highly stable and diversified sector allocations have the highest probability of outperforming benchmarks, exceeding 73% on average [12][14] 2. Factor Name: Style Consistency Factor - **Factor Construction Idea**: This factor evaluates the consistency of a fund's style (e.g., large-cap value) and its correlation with performance [27][30] - **Factor Construction Process**: Funds are classified based on their style consistency over time: - Long-term stable allocation - Majority-time allocation - Partial-time allocation - Rare-time allocation The probability of outperforming benchmarks is calculated for each group [27][28] - **Factor Evaluation**: Funds with long-term stable large-cap value styles have the highest probability of outperforming benchmarks, reaching 79.77% [28][30] --- Factor Backtesting Results 1. Fund Stability Factor - Highly diversified-highly stable funds: - Probability of outperforming benchmark: 73.12% - Probability of outperforming benchmark +10%: 57.29% [12] 2. Style Consistency Factor - Long-term stable large-cap value funds: - Probability of outperforming benchmark: 79.77% - Probability of outperforming benchmark +10%: 69.05% [28]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is maintained as "Buy" with a target price of RMB 13.29 [8][11]. Core Views - The company has triggered the conditional redemption clause for its convertible bonds, which is expected to enhance its capital strength and support further business expansion [2][4]. - The company is rooted in a high-quality region in Jiangsu, showing steady profit growth and maintaining a high dividend payout ratio, making it a potential growth and dividend stock [1][3]. - The stock has underperformed compared to peers since the beginning of the year, indicating potential for valuation recovery [1][3]. Summary by Sections Convertible Bonds - The company announced that from May 13, 2025, to June 9, 2025, the closing price of its convertible bonds has been above 130% of the conversion price, triggering the conditional redemption clause [2]. - As of the end of Q1 2025, the unconverted balance of the convertible bonds was RMB 10.5 billion, which will improve the capital adequacy ratio by 0.57 percentage points to 9.46% upon conversion [2]. Earnings and Dividends - As of June 9, 2025, the unconverted balance of the convertible bonds was approximately RMB 5.2 billion, accounting for about 4% of the company's total market value [3]. - The dilution effect on earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is estimated to be around 10%, but the impact on dividend yield and return on equity (ROE) is manageable [3]. - The company is expected to maintain a competitive position in terms of profitability and dividend yield, with a projected dividend yield of 5.21% and a price-to-book (PB) ratio of 0.78x for 2025 [3]. Performance and Shareholder Confidence - The company has a clear strategic goal and has shown steady growth in performance, with revenue and net profit increasing by 6.5% and 7.1% year-on-year in Q1 2025, respectively [4]. - Major shareholders have increased their holdings significantly, with over RMB 7 billion in purchases, reflecting strong confidence in the company's future [4]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The profit forecast remains unchanged, with projected EPS for 2025, 2026, and 2027 at RMB 1.86, RMB 2.02, and RMB 2.23, respectively [5]. - The target PB ratio is set at 0.90x, with a target price of RMB 13.29, indicating a favorable valuation compared to peers [5].

证券研究报告 策略 资金透视：资金交投情绪修复 华泰研究 2025 年 6 月 09 日│中国内地 策略周报 核心观点 上周，资金入市热情小幅回升：1）交易型资金热度环比回暖，融资资金在连 续两周净流出后转向净流入，散户资金上周净流出环比收窄，行业 ETF 净流 入扩大，其配置呈现出向成长方向偏移的特征，资金流入医药、拥挤度回落 的 TMT 方向；2）Wind 微盘股成交额占比回升至 2023 年以来相对高位，但 与去年年初相比，本轮资金杠杆水平或更低、仓位控制或更优，资金面负反 馈风险低于此前；3）外资交易活跃度回升，其中主动配置型资金净流出 A 股 规模收窄，被动配置型外资近期相对震荡，趋势性流入或仍需等待。 关注点 1：交易型资金热度环比回升 上周，交易型资金热度小幅回升，配置上向成长方向迁移：1）散户资金上 周净流出环比收窄，配置由前期的防御型资产向电子、计算机等成长方向转 移；2）融资资金在连续两周净流出后转向净流入，资金活跃度小幅回升， 但仍处于春节后的低位水平，方向上，资金对医药的配置力度显著回升；3） 行业 ETF 净流入扩大，电子等 TMT 板块是主要的买入方向。 公募基金：上周普通型、偏股 ...

Group 1: Global AI Outlook - The report highlights a new paradigm in AI development characterized by new scaling, new architecture, and new total addressable market (TAM) opportunities [1] - The demand for computing power is expected to rise due to advancements in both training and inference processes, potentially unlocking new TAMs [1][3] - The report maintains a positive outlook on AI industry investments, anticipating that global AI applications will enter a performance harvesting phase [1] Group 2: Model Development - The pre-training scaling law is anticipated to open a new starting point for model development, with significant innovations in architecture being explored [2][23] - The report notes that the classic transformer architecture has reached a parameter scale bottleneck, with existing public data nearly exhausted [2][20] - Major tech companies are experimenting with new architectures, such as Tencent's Hunyuan TurboS and Google's Gemini Diffusion, which may accelerate scaling law advancements [23][24] Group 3: Computing Power Demand - The report identifies a clear long-term upward trend in computing power demand, driven by both training and inference needs [3][32] - New scaling paths are emerging in the post-training phase, with ongoing exploration of new architectures that may reignite pre-training demand narratives [3][33] - The deployment of large-scale computing clusters, such as OpenAI's StarGate, is expected to support the exploration of pre-training [38] Group 4: Application Development - The report indicates that the rapid advancement of agent applications is leading to a performance harvesting phase for global AI applications [4][67] - The commercialization of agent products is accelerating, with domestic AI applications quickly iterating and entering the market [4][67] - The report emphasizes that agent applications are evolving from simple tools to complex solutions, with significant growth expected in various sectors [5][68] Group 5: Business Model Transformation - The shift from traditional software delivery to outcome-based delivery is highlighted as a key trend, with quantifiable ROI accelerating the adoption of agent applications [5] - Specific sectors such as consumer-facing scenarios (advertising, e-commerce) and AI in marketing/sales are expected to lead in commercialization due to their inherent advantages [5][67] - The report notes that AI applications in HR are transitioning from efficiency tools to strategic hubs, indicating a broader transformation in business models [5][67]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 13.29 RMB [8][11]. Core Views - The company has triggered the conditional redemption clause for its convertible bonds, which is expected to strengthen its capital base and support further business expansion [2][4]. - The company is rooted in a high-quality region in Jiangsu, showing steady profit growth and maintaining a high dividend payout ratio, making it a potential growth and dividend stock [1][3]. - The stock has underperformed compared to peers since the beginning of the year, indicating potential for valuation recovery [1][3]. Summary by Sections Convertible Bonds and Capital Strengthening - The company announced that from May 13, 2025, to June 9, 2025, it had 15 trading days where the closing price was at least 130% of the current conversion price of the convertible bonds, triggering the redemption clause [2]. - As of the end of Q1 2025, the unconverted balance of the convertible bonds was 10.5 billion RMB, and the completion of the conversion is expected to increase the core capital adequacy ratio by 0.57 percentage points to 9.46% [2]. Earnings and Dividend Growth - As of June 9, 2025, the unconverted balance of the convertible bonds was approximately 5.2 billion RMB, accounting for about 4% of the company's total market value [3]. - The dilution effect on earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is estimated to be around 10%, but the impact on dividend yield and return on equity (ROE) is manageable [3]. - The company is expected to maintain strong profitability and dividend metrics, with a projected dividend yield of 5.21% and a price-to-book (PB) ratio of 0.78x for 2025 [3]. Performance and Shareholder Confidence - The company has a clear strategic goal and has shown steady growth in performance, with revenue and net profit increasing by 6.5% and 7.1% year-on-year in Q1 2025, respectively [4]. - Major shareholders have increased their holdings significantly, with over 7 billion RMB in purchases, reflecting strong confidence in the company's future [4]. Profit Forecast and Valuation - The profit forecast remains unchanged, with EPS projected at 1.86, 2.02, and 2.23 RMB for 2025-2027, respectively [5]. - The target PB ratio has been adjusted to 0.90x, with a target price of 13.29 RMB, indicating a favorable valuation compared to peers [5].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the communication industry [8] Core Insights - The report highlights strong investment opportunities in the optical module sector and CPO technology, driven by continuous high growth in performance and low PE valuations [12][13] - Broadcom's recent launch of the TH6 chip is expected to accelerate the implementation of CPO technology, which is anticipated to significantly enhance GPU cluster stability and reduce link fluctuations [2][13] - The report emphasizes the potential for AI business revenue growth, with network products contributing 40% to Broadcom's AI revenue in Q2 FY25, and forecasts that at least three clients will deploy million-card clusters by 2027 [12][14] Summary by Sections Market Performance - The communication index rose by 5.27% last week, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index and Shenzhen Component Index, which increased by 1.13% and 1.42% respectively [12] Key Companies and Dynamics - Recommended companies include ZTE Corporation, Zhongji Xuchuang, Xinyi Technology, Tianfu Communication, Taicheng Light, and Global Data, focusing on AI computing power chains and core asset value reassessment [2][9] Investment Recommendations - Specific stock recommendations include: - China Mobile (600941 CH) - Buy, target price 126.40 - China Telecom (601728 CH) - Buy, target price 9.13 - China Unicom (600050 CH) - Hold, target price 7.62 - ZTE Corporation (000063 CH) - Buy, target price 39.41 - Zhongji Xuchuang (300308 CH) - Buy, target price 164.78 - Xinyi Technology (300502 CH) - Buy, target price 128.76 - Tianfu Communication (300394 CH) - Buy, target price 119.12 - Taicheng Light (300570 CH) - Hold, target price 99.01 - Lais Information (688631 CH) - Hold, target price 84.41 - Global Data-SW (9698 HK) - Buy, target price 40.47 [9][50]