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稳健医疗(300888):消费品业务延续较快增长,医疗业务保持稳健
CMS· 2025-05-03 06:16
Investment Rating - The report maintains a strong buy investment rating for the company [3][10]. Core Views - The company's revenue is projected to grow by 9.7% year-on-year to 8.98 billion yuan in 2024, with the consumer goods segment growing by 17% to 4.99 billion yuan and the medical segment growing by 1% to 3.91 billion yuan [1][10]. - In Q1 2025, revenue increased by 36.5% year-on-year to 2.6 billion yuan, with consumer goods and medical segments growing by 29% and 46% respectively [1][10]. - The company has implemented reforms in its consumer goods business, including organizational restructuring and marketing innovations, which are beginning to show positive results [1][10]. Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved a net profit of 700 million yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 19.8%, and a non-recurring net profit of 590 million yuan, growing by 43.4% [1][10]. - The company plans to distribute a total cash dividend of 379 million yuan for 2024, accounting for 54.43% of the net profit [1][10]. - The medical segment's revenue for 2024 is expected to be 3.91 billion yuan, with a growth of 1.1% [7][10]. Segment Analysis - The consumer goods segment is expected to achieve a revenue of 4.99 billion yuan in 2024, with a year-on-year growth of 17.1%, driven by products like cotton soft towels and sanitary napkins [2][7]. - The medical segment is projected to show steady growth, with high-end wound dressings performing particularly well, contributing to a revenue of 1.25 billion yuan in Q1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 46.3% [7][10]. Profitability and Valuation - The company's net profit margin improved to 7.75% in 2024, with an overall gross margin of 47.32% [10][16]. - The projected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is 1.81 yuan, with a price-to-earnings (PE) ratio of 28.9 [9][16]. - The company is expected to achieve a net profit of 1.05 billion yuan in 2025, reflecting a growth of 51% [9][10].
海澜之家(600398):2025Q1主业企稳,京东奥莱有望成为新的增长亮点
CMS· 2025-05-02 15:35
Investment Rating - The report maintains a strong buy rating for the company, with a current market capitalization of 39.9 billion and a corresponding PE of 16X [5][11]. Core Insights - The company's revenue for 2024 decreased by 2.65% to 20.957 billion, and net profit attributable to shareholders fell by 26.88% to 2.159 billion. However, Q1 2025 shows signs of stabilization with revenue growth of 0.16% and net profit growth of 5.46% [1][10]. - The company is expanding its sports retail and urban outlet business, which is expected to become a new growth highlight [1][10]. - The main brand's revenue has declined, but other brands are experiencing rapid growth, particularly in direct sales and online channels [2][10]. Revenue and Profitability - In 2024, the main brand's revenue was 15.270 billion, down 7.22%, while other brands achieved a revenue of 2.668 billion, up 32.38% [2][10]. - For Q1 2025, the main brand's revenue decreased by 9.52% to 4.642 billion, while other brands saw a 100% increase to 0.743 billion [2][10]. - The net profit margin for 2024 decreased by 3.41 percentage points to 10.3%, while the gross margin improved slightly to 44.52% [4][10]. Store Expansion and Brand Performance - The total number of stores at the end of 2024 was 7,178, with a net decrease in the main brand's stores but an increase in other brands [8][10]. - The company is focusing on enhancing its operational quality through direct store expansion and strategic partnerships, such as with JD.com for urban outlet development [10][11]. Financial Forecasts - Revenue projections for 2025 to 2027 are set at 22.274 billion, 24.466 billion, and 25.940 billion, reflecting growth rates of 6%, 10%, and 6% respectively [11][13]. - Net profit forecasts for the same period are 2.443 billion, 2.721 billion, and 2.900 billion, with expected growth rates of 13%, 11%, and 7% [11][13].
湖南黄金(002155):受益金锑价格上行,业绩同比高增
CMS· 2025-05-02 15:34
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Strong Buy" investment rating for Hunan Gold [3][7]. Core Views - The company benefits from rising gold and antimony prices, leading to significant year-on-year growth in performance [1][7]. - The revenue for 2024 reached 27.84 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 19.5%, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 850 million yuan, up 73.1% year-on-year [1][2]. - The first quarter of 2025 saw a revenue of 13.12 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 67.8% [1][2]. Financial Data and Valuation - Total revenue projections for 2025 are estimated at 49.56 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 78% [2][14]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to reach 2.087 billion yuan in 2025, reflecting a 147% increase year-on-year [2][14]. - The price-to-earnings (PE) ratio is projected to decrease from 31.8 in 2024 to 12.9 in 2025, indicating improved valuation attractiveness [2][14]. Production and Sales Performance - In 2024, the company produced 46.3 tons of gold, a decrease of 2.87% year-on-year, and 2.92 million tons of antimony, down 6.15% year-on-year [7]. - The company plans to produce 72.5 tons of gold and 39,500 tons of antimony in 2025 [7]. Profitability and Margins - The gross margin increased due to rising gold and antimony prices, with gold product unit revenue rising by 22.3% year-on-year [7]. - The overall gross margin improved by 0.74 percentage points, with specific increases in gold and antimony margins [7]. Shareholder Information - The major shareholder, Hunan Gold Group, holds a 35.06% stake in the company [3].
奇安信(688561):Q1企稳向好,紧抓回款与现金流管理
CMS· 2025-05-02 15:04
证券研究报告 | 公司点评报告 2025 年 05 月 02 日 奇安信(688561.SH) Q1 企稳向好,紧抓回款与现金流管理 TMT 及中小盘/计算机 25Q1 公司收入企稳、新签订单额同比增长 16%,下游客户需求出现复苏迹 象。公司紧抓回款与现金流管理,AI 安全为行业贡献业务新增量。 ❑ 风险提示:政策不及预期、下游客户需求不及预期、行业竞争加剧。 财务数据与估值 | 会计年度 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入(百万元) | 6442 | 4349 | 4697 | 5167 | 5684 | | 同比增长 | 4% | -32% | 8% | 10% | 10% | | 营业利润(百万元) | 26 | (1432) | (315) | 56 | 152 | | 同比增长 | -226% | -5656% | -78% | -118% | 170% | | 归母净利润(百万元) | 72 | (1379) | (307) | 50 | 142 | | 同比增 ...
软通动力(301236):基本盘稳健运营,AI+国产化多点开花
CMS· 2025-05-02 12:45
证券研究报告 | 公司点评报告 2025 年 05 月 02 日 软通动力(301236.SZ) 基本盘稳健运营,AI+国产化多点开花 TMT 及中小盘/计算机 并购整合导致公司 24 年利润承压,软件业务基本盘企稳向好趋势巩固。看好公 司软硬一体协同发展,紧抓 AI+国产化机遇实现多点开花。 ❑ 风险提示:信创等政策扶持力度不达预期;云计算、AI 产业技术发展低于预 期;行业竞争加剧;技术创新不及预期 财务数据与估值 | 会计年度 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入(百万元) | 17581 | 31316 | 32906 | 34387 | 35762 | | 同比增长 | -8% | 78% | 5% | 4% | 4% | | 营业利润(百万元) | 485 | 123 | 387 | 469 | 552 | | 同比增长 | -51% | -75% | 214% | 21% | 18% | | 归母净利润(百万元) | 534 | 180 | 370 | 452 | ...
永辉超市(601933):调改持续推进,供应链优化提效
CMS· 2025-05-02 09:09
证券研究报告 | 公司点评报告 2025 年 05 月 02 日 永辉超市(601933.SH) 调改持续推进,供应链优化提效 消费品/商业 公司调改持续推进,同时优化尾部老店,门店数量减少致短期收入波动。品质 零售大势所趋。永辉超市为国内商超龙头,生鲜及供应链根基扎实,当前坚定 "胖东来"路线,围绕商品强化选品+品控+差异化,围绕服务优化环境+做重服 务+提升员工状态;叠加胖东来倾力帮扶输出顶层设计及科学方法,名创入股有 望在日百品类注入更多可能。当前公司调改步入轨道,长期看公司品质零售路 线空间广阔。维持"增持"评级。 财务数据与估值 当前股价:5.16 元 基础数据 | 总股本(百万股) | 9075 | | --- | --- | | 已上市流通股(百万股) | 9075 | | 总市值(十亿元) | 46.8 | | 流通市值(十亿元) | 46.8 | | 每股净资产(MRQ) | 0.5 | | ROE(TTM) | -45.1 | | 资产负债率 | 88.7% | | 广东骏才国际商贸有限公司 主要股东 | | | 主要股东持股比例 | 29.4% | 股价表现 % 1m 6m 12m 绝对 ...
比音勒芬(002832):营收稳健增长,利润短期承压,期待多品牌成长
CMS· 2025-05-02 09:06
证券研究报告 | 公司点评报告 2025 年 05 月 02 日 比音勒芬(002832.SZ) 营收稳健增长,利润短期承压,期待多品牌成长 消费品/轻工纺服 24 年公司营收、归母净利润同比分别+13.24%、-14.28%,25Q1 同比分别 +1.41%、-8.47%。线上渠道增速领先,线下直营门店持续扩张,短期毛利率承 压&费用率增加拖累净利率下滑。预计 25-27 年归母净利润分别为 7.98 亿元、 8.96 亿元、10.11 亿元,当前市值对应 25PE12X,26PE11X,维持强烈推荐评 级。 ❑ 营收稳健增长,利润指标承压。 (2)门店数量:截至 2024 年末公司门店数量净增加 39 家至 1294 家,其中 直营店 644 家(净增 37 家),店均面积 172.12 平米(+10.54%),店均销 售金额 398.72 万元(+1.05%);加盟店 650 家(净增 2 家)。 ❑ 毛利率总体承压但线上毛利率提升,费用率增加拖累净利率下滑。 (1)2024 年:公司毛利率同比-1.60pct 至 77.01%,其中线上毛利率 74.63% (+4.01pct),线下直营毛利率 81. ...
大北农(002385):养殖盈利修复,饲料及种业开局良好
CMS· 2025-05-02 01:39
证券研究报告 | 公司点评报告 2025 年 05 月 02 日 大北农(002385.SZ) 养殖盈利修复,饲料及种业开局良好 消费品/农林牧渔 25Q1饲料及种业开局良好、养殖盈利改善。公司未来将聚焦强化种业、疫苗动 保等科技产业业务,夯实饲料业务,平稳发展生猪养殖业务。 ❑ 风险提示:猪价表现/公司规模扩张低于预期,突发大规模不可控疫情;自然 灾害,转基因商业化进度不达预期。 财务数据与估值 | 会计年度 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入(百万元) | 33390 | 28767 | 33720 | 35969 | 38193 | | 同比增长 | 3% | -14% | 17% | 7% | 6% | | 营业利润(百万元) | (2485) | 791 | 805 | 984 | 1218 | | 同比增长 | -761% | -132% | 2% | 22% | 24% | | 归母净利润(百万元) | (2174) | 346 | 549 | 725 | 93 ...
中钨高新(000657):年报及一季报点评:收入稳定增长,柿竹园并表增厚业绩
CMS· 2025-05-01 06:54
证券研究报告 | 公司点评报告 2025 年 05 月 01 日 中钨高新(000657.SZ)年报及一季报点评 收入稳定增长,柿竹园并表增厚业绩 周期/金属及材料 q 风险提示:钨价格波动风险、汇率风险、下游需求不及预期。 财务数据与估值 强烈推荐(维持) 当前股价:9.55 元 基础数据 | 总股本(百万股) | 2279 | | --- | --- | | 已上市流通股(百万股) | 1247 | | 总市值(十亿元) | 21.8 | | 流通市值(十亿元) | 11.9 | | 每股净资产(MRQ) | 4.2 | | ROE(TTM) | 11.5 | | 资产负债率 | 48.6% | | 主要股东 | 中国五矿股份有限公司 | | 主要股东持股比例 | 33.37% | 股价表现 % 1m 6m 12m 绝对表现 -3 2 -11 相对表现 -0 5 -15 资料来源:公司数据、招商证券 -40 -30 -20 -10 0 10 20 May/24 Aug/24 Dec/24 Apr/25 (%) 中钨高新 沪深300 相关报告 1、《中钨高新(000657)—收入稳 定增长,净利润下滑》20 ...
华泰证券(601688):自营高增贡献良多、期待资负梳理下资金业务动能-20250430
CMS· 2025-04-30 15:40
证券研究报告 | 公司点评报告 2025 年 04 月 30 日 华泰证券(601688.SH) 自营高增贡献良多、期待资负梳理下资金业务动能 总量研究/非银行金融 25Q1 公司实现营业收入 82.3 亿,同比+35%,环比-18%;归母净利润 36.4 亿, 同比+59%,环比+29%。年化 ROE 为 8.4%,同比+2.9pct;经营杠杆为 3.36 倍,较年初略有增长。 (3)资管稳健。25Q1 资管收入 4.2 亿,同比-62%。同比下滑和市场走势出 现明显分歧,是由于 24Q3 公司出售 AssetMark 后、对应收入减少。公司旗 下南方基金、华泰柏瑞基金非货规模同比分别为+18%、+58%,非货 ETF 规 模同比分别为+60%、+74%。 ❑ 总体概览:自营高增贡献良多、期待资负梳理下资金业务动能。25Q1 公司实 现营业收入 82.3 亿,同比+35%,环比-18%;归母净利润 36.4 亿,同比+59%, 环比+29%。截至 25Q1,公司总资产 8233 亿,较年初+1%;归母净资产 1953 亿,较年初+2%。年化 ROE 为 8.4%,同比+2.9pct;经营杠杆为 3.36 倍 ...