Report Summary 1. Report Information - Research Variety: Methanol [doc id='1'] - Report Cycle: Daily Report - Date: 20260114 2. Key Points from the Report a. Futures Market - Methanol futures latest price is 2,288 yuan/ton, with a change of +1.15%. The current basis is at a historically low level. The basis has significantly narrowed in the last 5 trading days due to the relatively stronger futures price. The current basis is lower than the one - year average, indicating that the futures market has a slightly better supply - demand expectation for the future than the spot market, with limited arbitrage space and weak delivery intention [doc id='2'] b. Influencing Factors - **Supply Side** - Domestic methanol capacity utilization remains high, but some plants are under maintenance due to profit losses, resulting in a slight increase in production. Internationally, the situation in Iran is disturbing export expectations, potentially leading to a marginal contraction in global supply. Potential supply - disturbing factors include the geopolitical conflict in Iran (high impact) and domestic environmental protection restrictions (medium impact) [doc id='4'] - Recent import volume has increased due to the arrival of previously low - priced international goods, but future Iranian export expectations are decreasing, which may lead to a reduction in imports. Influencing factors include the Iranian geopolitical situation (high impact) and exchange - rate fluctuations (medium impact). China has a high import dependence, and international supply changes significantly affect domestic prices [doc id='5'] - **Demand Side** - The operating rate of downstream MTO plants remains low, mainly due to limited profits (narrowing ethylene - methanol spread), and weak demand restricts price increases. Other downstream products like formaldehyde and dimethyl ether have stable demand without significant growth. The marginal change in consumption is neutral to weak [doc id='4'] - **Inventory** - Port inventories are continuously increasing and are at a historically high level, mainly due to increased imports and weak demand. Production enterprises tend to reduce inventories, but traders have insufficient willingness to replenish stocks. High inventories suppress prices, and the inventory - to - consumption ratio has increased, indicating a loose supply - demand pattern [doc id='5'] c. Market Outlook - In the short term, there is a game between the geopolitical disturbance in Iran on the supply side and high domestic inventories, and a game between weak demand and cost support on the demand side. Market hot - discussion topics include changes in Iranian exports, expectations of a rebound in MTO operating rates, and the rhythm of inventory reduction [doc id='7']

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core View of the Report - The geopolitical situation in Iran has eased, the upward trend of oil prices has slowed down, and the focus will return to the fundamentals of pure benzene and styrene [3]. - The fundamentals of pure benzene have improved, with downstream开工率 bottoming out and rebounding. However, the port inventory is still at a historical high, and the sustainability of the improvement in downstream开工率 needs to be monitored [3]. - For styrene, the port inventory is still being depleted, the recovery rate of styrene开工率 is slow, and the downstream开工率 has increased, with the inventory pressure of ABS gradually alleviating [3]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs I. Pure Benzene and EB's Basis Structure, Inter - Period Spreads - Figures include pure benzene's main basis and main futures contract price, main contract basis, spot - M2 paper cargo spread, and the spread between the first - and third - month contracts; also styrene's main basis and main contract, EB main contract basis, and the spread between the first - and third - month contracts [8][12][17] II. Pure Benzene and Styrene Production Profits, Domestic - Foreign Spreads - Figures cover naphtha processing fee, the difference between pure benzene FOB Korea and naphtha CFR Japan, styrene non - integrated device production profit, and various spreads and profits related to pure benzene and styrene in different regions [19][22][29] III. Pure Benzene and Styrene Inventory, Operating Rates - Figures show pure benzene's East China port inventory and operating rate, and styrene's East China port inventory, commercial inventory, factory inventory, and operating rate [35][38][40] IV. Styrene Downstream Operating Rates and Production Profits - Figures display the operating rates and production profits of EPS, PS, and ABS [49][51][53] V. Pure Benzene Downstream Operating Rates and Production Profits - Figures present the operating rates and production profits of caprolactam, phenol - acetone, aniline, adipic acid, and other downstream products of pure benzene [59][61][70] 4. Strategy - Unilateral: Cautiously go long and hedge EB2602 and BZ2603 at low prices [4] - Basis and inter - period: No strategy [4] - Cross - variety: No strategy [4]

Report Industry Investment Ratings No relevant information provided. Core Views Oils and Fats - Palm oil: Facing pressure from high inventory, slow - down in export growth, and policy changes, it may weaken further after potentially breaking through the 4000 - ringgit support. Domestic palm oil may also fall below 8500 yuan [1]. - Soybean oil: CBOT soybean oil may oscillate narrowly. In the domestic market, although it is in the Spring Festival stocking season, the supply of soybeans and soybean oil is sufficient, and the spot basis quotation will have limited short - term fluctuations [1]. - Rapeseed oil: Affected by macro - sentiment and international oil price drops, as well as news from Canada, the rapeseed oil futures market is under pressure [1]. Cotton - ICE cotton futures are affected by the strong US dollar and demand concerns but supported by a strong export sales report. It is expected to maintain a low - level oscillation. Zhengzhou cotton may face short - term adjustments, but the overall bullish trend remains [2]. Sugar - ICE raw sugar futures continue to decline due to increased sugar production in India and sufficient supply. The domestic sugar market is expected to maintain a low - level oscillation [3]. Red Dates - With sufficient supply and weak demand in the 2025/26 production season, the futures price of red dates is running weakly [4]. Apples - In the short - term, the price in the production area is weakly stable, and the market activity in the sales area has declined. In the long - term, high prices may suppress consumption, and the futures market shows a pattern of near - strong and far - weak [7][12]. Corn and Corn Starch - The corn price in the Northeast is strong, and in North China, it oscillates narrowly. The demand side has different inventory situations. In the short - term, the corn price is supported by supply tightness and pre - holiday stocking, but the increase is limited by policy auctions [16][17]. Pigs - The spot price of pigs is back in an oscillatory pattern. The overall supply in January is expected to be sufficient. The basis is strong, but there is no obvious fundamental positive. It is recommended to short at high levels after the price stabilizes [18]. Meal - USDA's report has a short - term negative impact on the market, but the decline space of CBOT is limited. The domestic meal market is in a loose situation, but the low - level arrival expectation in the first quarter limits the downward space. The market will oscillate in the short - term [21]. Eggs - The egg market is in a situation of overall supply exceeding demand. The pre - holiday stocking drives up demand, but the price may experience short - term digestion pressure and a slight correction. The futures price is expected to oscillate within a range [25]. Summaries by Catalog Oils and Fats - **Price Changes**: On January 15, the prices of soybean oil, palm oil, and rapeseed oil all declined. The decline rates of soybean oil, palm oil, and rapeseed oil futures were - 0.78%, - 1.94%, and - 1.35% respectively [1]. - **Inventory and Warehouse Receipts**: The inventory and warehouse receipts of palm oil decreased, and the inventory of soybean oil and rapeseed oil also showed certain changes [1]. Cotton - **Futures Market**: On January 16, the prices of cotton 2605 and 2609 decreased, and the ICE cotton price increased slightly. The 5 - 9 spread decreased significantly [2]. - **Spot Market**: The spot prices of cotton in Xinjiang and the CC Index increased slightly [2]. - **Industry Situation**: The commercial inventory of Xinjiang cotton is rising, and the export sales of US cotton are strong [2]. Sugar - **Futures Market**: On January 16, the prices of sugar 2605 and 2609 decreased, and the ICE raw sugar price also declined [3]. - **Spot Market**: The spot price in Nanning remained unchanged, and the price in Kunming decreased slightly [3]. - **Industry Situation**: The sugar production in India increased, and the domestic sugar production, sales, and inventory showed different trends [3]. Red Dates - **Futures Market**: On January 16, the prices of red dates 2605, 2607, and 2609 all decreased [4]. - **Spot Market**: The spot prices of red dates in Cangzhou remained unchanged [4]. Apples - **Futures Market**: On January 16, the prices of apple 2605 and 2610 decreased, and the 5 - 10 spread decreased [7]. - **Spot Market**: The prices in the main production areas were weakly stable [12]. - **Market Activity**: The arrival volume in the wholesale market increased slightly, and the inventory in the cold storage decreased [7]. Corn and Corn Starch - **Corn**: The price of corn in the Northeast is strong, and in North China, it oscillates narrowly. The demand side has different inventory situations [16]. - **Corn Starch**: The price of corn starch increased slightly, and the basis decreased [16]. Pigs - **Futures Market**: On January 16, the prices of pig 2605 and 2603 decreased, and the 3 - 5 spread decreased [18]. - **Spot Market**: The spot prices in different regions showed different trends [18]. - **Industry Situation**: The slaughter volume decreased slightly, and the prices of piglets and sows increased slightly [18]. Meal - **Price Changes**: On January 16, the prices of soybean meal and rapeseed meal futures decreased slightly [21]. - **Inventory and Warehouse Receipts**: The warehouse receipts of soybean meal increased, and those of rapeseed meal remained unchanged [21]. - **Spreads and Ratios**: The spreads and ratios such as the oil - meal ratio and the soybean - rapeseed meal spread changed slightly [21]. Eggs - **Futures Market**: On January 16, the prices of egg 03 and 04 increased, and the 3 - 4 spread increased [25]. - **Spot Market**: The prices of egg - related products such as egg - laying chicken seedlings and culled chickens increased [25]. - **Industry Situation**: The egg market is in a situation of supply exceeding demand, but the pre - holiday stocking drives up demand [25].

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information about the industry investment rating is provided in the report. 2. Core View The report presents the daily arbitrage data of various futures varieties on January 16, 2026, including basis, inter - period spreads, and inter - commodity spreads for different sectors such as power coal, energy and chemicals, black metals, non - ferrous metals, agricultural products, and stock index futures. 3. Summary by Directory Power Coal - Basis data from January 9 to January 15, 2026, shows that the basis was - 102 yuan/ton on January 9, - 101 yuan/ton on January 12, and - 100 yuan/ton from January 13 to January 15. The 5 - 1 spread, 9 - 1 spread, and 9 - 5 spread remain at 0 [1][2]. Energy and Chemicals Energy Commodities - Basis data for fuel oil, crude oil, and asphalt from January 9 to January 15, 2026, and related ratio data such as price ratios are provided. For example, the basis of INE crude oil was - 3.18 yuan/ton on January 15 [7]. Chemical Commodities - Basis data for rubber, methanol, PTA, LLDPE, PVC, and PP from January 9 to January 15, 2026. For example, the basis of rubber was - 345 yuan/ton on January 15 [9]. - Inter - period spreads for rubber, methanol, PTA, LLDPE, PVC, PP, and ethylene glycol. For example, the 5 - 1 spread of rubber was - 390 yuan/ton [10]. - Inter - commodity spreads for LLDPE - PVC, LLDPE - PP, PP - PVC, and PP - 3 * methanol from January 9 to January 15, 2026. For example, the LLDPE - PVC spread was 1939 yuan/ton on January 15 [10]. Black Metals - Basis data for rebar, iron ore, coke, and coking coal from January 9 to January 15, 2026. For example, the basis of rebar was 110 yuan/ton on January 15 [20]. - Inter - period spreads for rebar, iron ore, coke, and coking coal. For example, the 5 - 1 spread of rebar was - 40 yuan/ton [19]. - Inter - commodity spreads for rebar/iron ore, rebar/coke, coke/coking coal, and rebar - hot - rolled coil from January 9 to January 15, 2026. For example, the rebar/iron ore ratio was 3.87 on January 15 [19]. Non - Ferrous Metals Domestic Market - Domestic basis data for copper, aluminum, zinc, lead, nickel, and tin from January 9 to January 15, 2026. For example, the basis of copper was - 360 yuan/ton on January 15 [28]. London Market - LME spreads, Shanghai - London ratios, CIF prices, domestic spot prices, and import profit and loss data for copper, aluminum, zinc, lead, nickel, and tin on January 15, 2026. For example, the LME spread of copper was 37.60 on January 15 [31]. Agricultural Products - Basis data for soybeans No.1, soybeans No.2, soybean meal, soybean oil, and corn from January 9 to January 15, 2026. For example, the basis of soybeans No.1 was - 253 yuan/ton on January 15 [36]. - Inter - period spreads for soybeans No.1, soybeans No.2, soybean meal, soybean oil, rapeseed meal, rapeseed oil, palm oil, corn, sugar, and cotton. For example, the 5 - 1 spread of soybeans No.1 was - 10 yuan/ton [36]. - Inter - commodity spreads for soybeans No.1/corn, soybeans No.2/corn, soybean oil/soybean meal, soybean meal - rapeseed meal, soybean oil - palm oil, rapeseed oil - soybean oil, and corn - corn starch on January 15, 2026. For example, the soybeans No.1/corn ratio was 1.89 on January 15 [36]. Stock Index Futures - Basis data for CSI 300, SSE 50, CSI 500, and CSI 1000 from January 9 to January 15, 2026. For example, the basis of CSI 300 was 4.83 on January 15 [47]. - Inter - period spreads for CSI 300, SSE 50, CSI 500, and CSI 1000. For example, the next - month - current - month spread of CSI 300 was - 6.0 [49].

Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided in the content Group 2: Report Core Views Polyolefin Industry - Market short - covering sentiment cooled, spot trading worsened. For PE, HD - LLDPE spread narrowed, with increased marginal supply of LLDPE and weakening downstream demand in the off - season. For PP, supply and demand were both weak, with more maintenance, expected destocking in January, and improved balance. Pay attention to the implementation of future maintenance [2]. Methanol Industry - Methanol futures opened lower and then fluctuated narrowly, with light spot trading. Inland prices are expected to fluctuate, while port prices are under pressure due to factors such as low MTO profits and potential device maintenance [5]. Pure Benzene and Styrene Industry - Pure benzene has a weak short - term supply - demand pattern but is supported by the strong performance of downstream styrene. Styrene has short - term supply shortages but may accumulate inventory around the Spring Festival [8]. Natural Rubber Industry - Supply: Domestic production is ending, and raw material prices are rising. Demand: Some semi - steel tire export orders are increasing, and inventory is accumulating. The price is expected to fluctuate in the range of 15,500 - 16,500 [9][10]. Glass and Soda Ash Industry - Soda ash futures are expected to fluctuate weakly in the short term, with high inventory and weak downstream demand. Glass futures are also expected to decline, with weakening supply and demand in the off - season [11]. Urea Industry - Urea supply is high, but short - term regional agricultural demand boosts market confidence. Prices are expected to be strong in the short term, and attention should be paid to downstream agricultural demand and plant restart schedules [12]. PVC and Caustic Soda Industry - Caustic soda prices are expected to be weak, with increased supply and lack of demand improvement. PVC fundamentals are under pressure, with high supply, low demand, and inventory accumulation [13]. LPG Industry - No specific view provided in the content Crude Oil Industry - Oil prices fell on Thursday. Geopolitical risks have eased, and the supply - demand outlook is weak. Attention should be paid to geopolitical conflicts in the Middle East [17]. Polyester Industry Chain - PX is expected to fluctuate at a high level before the Spring Festival and may be tight in the second quarter. PTA and MEG are expected to have weak supply - demand in January and February. Short - fiber and bottle - chip prices are mainly driven by raw materials [19]. Group 3: Summary by Related Catalogs Polyolefin Industry - **Price Changes**: L2605 and L2609 closed down, PP2605 slightly up, PP2609 down. Some spreads and basis had significant changes [2]. - **Inventory and开工率**: PE and PP enterprise and social inventories decreased, while PE device and downstream weighted开工率 decreased, and PP device开工率 slightly increased [2]. Methanol Industry - **Price Changes**: MA2605 and MA2609 closed down, with significant changes in some spreads and basis [5]. - **Inventory and开工率**: Methanol enterprise inventory increased slightly, while port and social inventories decreased. Upstream and downstream开工率 had different changes [5]. Pure Benzene and Styrene Industry - **Price Changes**: Many prices such as crude oil, pure benzene, and styrene decreased, with some spreads and basis changing [8]. - **开工率 and Inventory**: Some开工率 increased, while some decreased. Pure benzene port inventory reached a record high, and styrene port inventory decreased [8]. Natural Rubber Industry - **Price Changes**: Spot prices of natural rubber decreased, and some spreads changed significantly [9]. - **Production,开工率, and Inventory**: Production in some regions changed, tire开工率 increased, and inventory in China continued to accumulate [9]. Glass and Soda Ash Industry - **Price Changes**: Glass and soda ash prices were mostly stable, with some futures prices down [11]. - **Supply, Demand, and Inventory**: Soda ash production increased, demand was weak, and inventory was high. Glass supply and demand were weak, and inventory was still relatively high year - on - year [11]. Urea Industry - **Price Changes**: Futures prices fluctuated down, and spot prices were stable with a slight upward trend [12]. - **Supply and Demand**: Supply was high, industrial demand was stable, and agricultural demand in some regions increased [12]. - **Inventory**: Factory and port inventories decreased [12]. PVC and Caustic Soda Industry - **Price Changes**: Caustic soda and PVC prices decreased slightly, with some spreads and basis changing [13]. - **Supply, Demand, and Inventory**: Caustic soda supply increased, demand was weak, and inventory increased in some regions. PVC supply was stable, demand was low, and inventory accumulated [13]. LPG Industry - **Price Changes**: Some futures prices changed slightly, and spot prices were stable [15]. - **Inventory and开工率**: LPG refinery and port inventories decreased slightly, and some开工率 increased while some decreased [15]. Crude Oil Industry - **Price Changes**: Brent and WTI prices decreased, while SC increased slightly. Many refined oil product prices decreased [17]. - **Spread Changes**: Some spreads such as Brent - WTI changed [17]. Polyester Industry Chain - **Price Changes**: Upstream and downstream product prices in the polyester industry chain mostly decreased, with changes in some spreads and basis [19]. - **开工率 and Inventory**: Some开工率 increased slightly while some decreased. MEG port inventory increased, and the arrival forecast decreased [19].

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not mentioned in the provided content 2. Core View of the Report - Not mentioned in the provided content 3. Summary by Related Catalogs Metals and Minerals - **Ferroalloys**: The price of 72-silicon ferroalloy qualified blocks in Inner Mongolia - Tianjin warehouse receipts increased by 2.56% to 5728, and its historical quantile is 54.50%. The price of 6517-silicon manganese in Inner Mongolia - Hubei warehouse receipts is 6517 [1]. - **Steel Products**: The price of HRB400 20mm in Shanghai increased by 4.11% to 3160, and the price of Q235B 4.75mm in Shanghai decreased by 0.151% to 3307. The price of rebar (RB2605) is 3290, and the price of hot - rolled coil (HC2605) is 3290 [1]. - **Iron Ore**: The price of iron ore (I2605) increased by 7.49% to 874, and the historical quantile is 47.70%. The converted price of 62.5% Brazilian mixed powder (BRBF) from Vale at Rizhao Port is 1745, with a historical quantile of 65.45% [1]. - **Coke and Coking Coal**: The price of coke (J2605) and the converted price of quasi - first - grade metallurgical coke at Rizhao Port are provided, and the price of coking coal (JM2605) is 1156, and the converted price of S1.3 G75 main coking coal (Meng 5) at Shaheyi is 1188 [1]. - **Non - ferrous Metals**: The price of copper (CU2603) is 102575, the price of aluminum (AL2603) decreased by 0.76% to 24375, and the price of zinc (ZN2603) is 25090. The price of tin (SN2602) decreased by 7000, and the price of nickel is 146500. The price of stainless steel (SS2603) is 14570, the price of lithium carbonate (LC2605) decreased by 2.59% to 163220, and the price of industrial silicon (SISEOF) increased by 5.96% to 8730 [1]. - **Precious Metals**: The price of gold (AU2602) is 1035.2, and the price of silver (AG2604) is 22684.0 [1]. Agricultural Products - The price of soybean meal (M2605) is 3090, the price of soybean oil (Y2605) is 7938.0, the price of palm oil (P2605) is 8540, the price of rapeseed meal (RM605) is 2460, the price of rapeseed oil (Oleos) is 9670, the price of corn (C2603) is 2355, the price of corn starch (CS2603) is 2565.0, the price of live pigs (H2603) is 11950.0, the price of eggs (JD2603) is 3066.0, the price of cotton (CF605) is 15700, the price of sugar (SR605) is 5390, the price of apples (AP605) is 9807.0, and the price of red dates (CJ605) is - 840.0 [1]. Energy and Chemicals - The price of p - xylene (PX603) is 7130.0, the price of PTA (TA605) is 5048.0, the price of ethylene glycol (EG2605) is 3675.0, the price of polyester staple fiber (PF603) is 6394.0, the price of styrene (EB2602) is 7235.0, the price of methanol (MA605) is 2273.0, the price of urea (UR605) is 1801.0, the price of LLDPE (L2605) is 6785.0, the price of PP (PP2605) is 6592.0, the price of PVC (V2605) is 4868.0, the price of caustic soda (SH603) is 2056.0, the price of LPG (PG2603) is 4233.0, the price of asphalt (BU2603) is 3167.0, the price of butadiene rubber (BR2603) is 12100.0, the price of float glass (FG605) is 936.0, the price of soda ash (SA605) is 1193.0, and the price of natural rubber (RU2605) is 15995.0 [1]. Financial Futures - The price of IF2603.CFE is 4751.4, the price of IH2603.CFE is 3105.6, the price of IC2603.CFE is 8206.8, the price of IM2603.CFE is 8195.4, the price of 2 - year bond (TS2603) is 100.07, the price of 5 - year bond (TF2603) is 105.76, the price of 10 - year bond (T2603) is 108.05, and the price of 30 - year bond (TL2603) is 111.26 [1].

Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content Core Viewpoints - For PTA, the near - end TA device has a slight reduction in load, the polyester load remains stable, and the inventory continues to decline. However, with the concentrated introduction of polyester maintenance plans, the basis weakens, and the spot processing fee shrinks. In the future, the domestic production of PX remains high due to high profits, and the overseas start - up recovers, resulting in a downward revision of the destocking amplitude for the far - month. The short - term upward space is limited, but the overall pattern has not changed before the new device is put into production. Attention should be paid to the progress of the overseas start - up increase [4]. - For MEG, the near - end domestic oil - based production has a partial reduction in load, and overseas maintenance increases month - on - month. The port inventory decreases at the beginning of the week, but the arrival forecast rebounds during the week, and the basis remains weak. The coal - based efficiency improves month - on - month. The overall inventory accumulation continues, and the pattern is expected to remain weak under the continued new production. Attention should be paid to the opportunity of short - selling on rebounds [4]. - For polyester staple fiber, the near - end device operates stably, the start - up rate is maintained at 97.6%, and the sales improve month - on - month, with a slight reduction in inventory. The downstream seasonal trend is expected to continue to weaken, and the start - up rate remains high with limited inventory pressure. It has a medium - low valuation and weak driving force, with limited overall contradictions. Attention should be paid to the situation of warehouse receipts [4]. Summaries by Related Contents PTA - **Price and Index Data**: From January 9th to 15th, 2026, the price of crude oil decreased from 6540 to 6380, the PX processing fee fluctuated slightly, the PTA load index remained at 80.4, and the polyester load remained at 78.2. The average daily trading basis of PTA was 2605(-64) [4]. - **Device Changes**: Yisheng New Materials' 3.6 million - ton device and Ineos' 1.25 million - ton device were under maintenance. The near - end TA device had a slight reduction in load, and the start - up rate decreased month - on - month [4]. - **Market Situation**: The polyester load remained stable, the inventory continued to decline, but the polyester maintenance plans were concentrated, the basis weakened, and the spot processing fee shrank. The domestic start - up of PX was at a high level, and the overseas load increase led to a month - on - month contraction of PXN, with the disproportionation benefit weakening and the isomerization benefit remaining high [4]. MEG - **Price and Index Data**: From January 9th to 15th, 2026, the price of MEG had small fluctuations, the coal - based MEG profit improved month - on - month, and the basis for 05 was around (-145) [4]. - **Device Changes**: Inner Mongolia Yankuang's 400,000 - ton device increased its load. The near - end domestic oil - based production had a partial reduction in load, and overseas maintenance increased month - on - month [4]. - **Market Situation**: The port inventory decreased at the beginning of the week due to low arrivals, but the arrival forecast rebounded during the week, and the basis remained weak. The overall inventory accumulation continued, and the absolute inventory was not low. The pattern was expected to remain weak under the continued new production [4]. Polyester Staple Fiber - **Price and Index Data**: The spot price was around 6472, and the market basis for 02 was around - 60. From January 9th to 15th, 2026, the prices of related products such as 1.4D cotton - type staple fiber remained relatively stable [4]. - **Device and Production**: The near - end device operated stably, the start - up rate was maintained at 97.6%, the sales improved month - on - month, and the inventory decreased slightly. The downstream yarn - making start - up rate remained stable, the raw material inventory decreased, and the finished product inventory increased [4]. - **Market Situation**: After the raw material price adjustment, the spot processing fee of staple fiber improved, but the futures price remained low. The downstream seasonal trend was expected to continue to weaken, and the start - up rate remained high with limited inventory pressure [4]. Natural Rubber and 20 - grade Rubber - **Price Data**: From January 9th to 15th, 2026, the prices of products such as US - dollar - denominated Thai standard rubber, US - dollar - denominated Thai mixed rubber, and Shanghai full - latex rubber had certain fluctuations. For example, the price of US - dollar - denominated Thai standard rubber increased from 1885 to 1920 [4]. - **Spread and Profit Data**: The spreads such as the difference between mixed rubber and RU main contract, and the processing profit of Thai standard rubber also changed. For example, the processing profit of Thai standard rubber increased from 3.8 to 5.2 [4].

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided. 2. Core Viewpoints No information provided. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs BR (Butadiene Rubber) - **Futures Indicators**: The closing price of the BR main contract on 1/15 was 12,190, a daily decrease of 60 and a weekly decrease of 5. The open interest was 99,183, a daily decrease of 1,393. The trading volume was 150,035, a daily decrease of 26,996 and a weekly decrease of 17,602. The warehouse receipt quantity remained at 26,330, with a weekly increase of 2,000. The long - short ratio was 18.83, with a weekly increase of 13 [4]. - **Basis/Spread/Inter - Variety**: The butadiene rubber basis was - 190, a daily increase of 60 and a weekly increase of 5. The styrene - butadiene basis was 110, a daily increase of 110. The 02 - 03 spread was - 60, a daily decrease of 30 and a weekly decrease of 25. The 03 - 04 spread was - 35, a daily decrease of 10 and a weekly decrease of 20. The RU - BR spread was 3,805, a daily decrease of 105 and a weekly decrease of 120. The NR - BR spread was 660, a daily decrease of 105 and a weekly decrease of 210 [4]. - **Spot (Domestic/External)**: The Shandong market price, Chuanhua market price remained unchanged at 12,000 and 11,950 respectively. The Qilu ex - factory price remained at 12,100, with a weekly increase of 200. The CFR Northeast Asia price remained at 1,450, with a weekly increase of 35. The CFR Southeast Asia price remained at 1,675, with a weekly increase of 40 [4]. - **Profit**: The spot processing profit was - 273, a daily decrease of 77 and a weekly decrease of 383. The import profit was 75, a daily increase of 7 and a weekly decrease of 237. The export profit was 603, a daily decrease of 7 and a weekly increase of 242 [4]. BD (Butadiene) - **Spot (Domestic/External)**: The Shandong market price on 1/15 was 9,875, a daily increase of 75 and a weekly increase of 375. The Jiangsu market price remained at 9,650, with a weekly increase of 350. The Yangzi ex - factory price remained at 9,550, with a weekly increase of 450. The CFR China price remained at 1,140 [4]. - **Profit**: The ethylene cracking profit data on 1/15 was N/A. The carbon - four extraction profit data on 1/15 was N/A. The import profit was 516, a daily increase of 5 and a weekly decrease of 687. The export profit was - 1,432, a daily increase of 694 and a weekly increase of 1,281. The styrene - butadiene production profit was 663, a daily decrease of 25 and a weekly decrease of 225. The ABS production profit remained at - 871, with a weekly decrease of 58. The SBS production profit was - 615, a daily decrease of 30 and a weekly decrease of 220 [4].

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided. 2. Core Viewpoints - Before the holiday, the 380 cracking spread fluctuated, and after the holiday, it weakened slightly. The 380 monthly spread rebounded from its low but remained weak year-on-year. The high-sulfur cracking spread in Europe weakened, and the monthly spread oscillated at a low level. [3] - The 0.5% cracking spread in Singapore oscillated at a historical low, with the structure turning to Contango at a historical low and the basis oscillating at a historical low. [3] - In terms of inventory, Singapore's residue stocks increased significantly, high-sulfur floating storage decreased significantly, ARA's residue stocks increased slightly, Fujairah's residue stocks decreased, high-sulfur floating storage decreased, and EIA's residue stocks increased slightly. [4] - The conflict in Venezuela escalated over the weekend, having a short-term positive and long-term negative impact on heavy crude oil. Attention should be paid to the duration of logistics disruptions. The arrival premium of Merey crude at the end of December remained around -12. [4] - The high-sulfur spot market remained loose. Attention should be paid to the boost brought by the premium and discount of heavy raw materials recently. The low-sulfur market maintained a weak oscillation pattern. [4] 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Rotterdam Fuel Oil Swap Data | Product | Change from 2026/01/09 - 2026/01/15 | | --- | --- | | Rotterdam 3.5% HSF O Swap M1 | -9.08 | | Rotterdam 0.5% VLS FO Swap M1 | -13.40 | | Rotterdam HSFO - Brent M1 | 0.78 | | Rotterdam 10ppm Gasoil Swap M1 | -18.15 | | Rotterdam VLSFO - Gasoil M1 | 4.75 | | LGO - Brent M1 | 0.00 | | Rotterdam VLSFO - HSFO M1 | -4.32 | [1] Singapore Fuel Oil Swap Data | Product | Change from 2026/01/09 - 2026/01/15 | | --- | --- | | Singapore 380cst M1 | 0.78 | | Singapore 180cst M1 | -2.68 | | Singapore VLSFO M1 | -3.01 | | Singapore Gasoil M1 | -0.60 | | Singapore 380cst - Brent M1 | 0.27 | | Singapore VLSFO - Gasoil M1 | 1.43 | [1][9] Singapore Fuel Oil Spot Data | Product | Change from 2026/01/09 - 2026/01/15 | | --- | --- | | FOB 380cst | 0.78 | | FOB VLSFO | -2.72 | | 380 Basis | 0.05 | | High-Sulfur Domestic-International Spread | 0.9 | | Low-Sulfur Domestic-International Spread | -1.1 | [2] Domestic FU Futures Data | Product | Change from 2026/01/09 - 2026/01/15 | | --- | --- | | FU 01 | -3 | | FU 05 | -12 | | FU 09 | -13 | | FU 01 - 05 | 9 | | FU 05 - 09 | 1 | | FU 09 - 01 | -10 | [2] Domestic LU Futures Data | Product | Change from 2026/01/09 - 2026/01/15 | | --- | --- | | LU 01 | 7 | | LU 05 | -13 | | LU 09 | -22 | | LU 01 - 05 | 20 | | LU 05 - 09 | 9 | | LU 09 - 01 | -29 | [3]

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