器色盒属数据日报 | 2025/05/08 | | 国贸期货出品 ITG国贸期货 | | --- | --- | --- | | 投资咨询业务资格:证监许可[2012] 31号 | | | | 黑色金属研究中心 | 执业证号 | 投资咨询证号 | | 张宝慧 | F0286636 | Z0010820 | | 黄志鸿 | F3051824 | Z0015761 | | 节子ք | F03094002 | Z0020036 | | | 远月合约收盘价 | RB2601 | HC2601 | 12601 | J2601 | JM2601 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | (元/吨) | | | | | | | | 5月7日 | 3126.00 | 3239.00 | 681.00 | 1550.00 | 951.00 | | | 涨跌值 | 5.00 | 8.00 | 1.00 | -9.00 | -13.00 | | | 涨跌幅(%) | 0.16 7 | 0. 25 | 0. 15 | -0. 58 | -1.35 | | | 近月合约收盘价 ...

2025年05月08日 国泰君安期货商品研究晨报-黑色系列 观点与策略 | 铁矿石：预期反复，宽幅震荡 | 2 | | --- | --- | | 螺纹钢：需求预期不佳，低位反复 | 3 | | 热轧卷板：需求预期不佳，低位反复 | 3 | | 硅铁：宏观因素影响，硅铁宽幅震荡 | 5 | | 锰硅：宏观因素影响，锰硅宽幅震荡 | 5 | | 焦炭：震荡偏弱 | 7 | | 焦煤：电煤疏港情绪影响，震荡偏弱 | 7 | | 动力煤：强制疏港情绪影响，震荡偏弱 | 9 | | 玻璃：原片价格平稳 | 10 | 国 泰 君 安 期 货 研 究 所 请务必阅读正文之后的免责条款部分 1 期货研究 商 品 研 究 2025 年 5 月 8 日 铁矿石：预期反复，宽幅震荡 | 张广硕 | | 投资咨询从业资格号：Z0020198 | zhangguangshuo@gtht.com | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 马亮 | 投资咨询从业资格号：Z0012837 | maliang@gtht.com | | 【基本面跟踪】 | | | | 铁矿石基本面数据 | | | | 昨日收盘价(元/吨 ...

-200 0 200 400 600 800 1000 日期 01-13 01-26 02-08 02-21 03-05 03-18 03-31 04-13 04-26 05-09 05-22 06-04 06-17 06-30 07-13 07-26 08-08 08-21 09-03 09-16 09-29 10-12 10-25 11-07 11-20 12-03 12-16 12-29 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 铁矿石--基差 -1000 -500 0 500 1000 1500 日期 01-13 01-26 02-08 02-21 03-05 03-18 03-31 04-13 04-26 05-09 05-22 06-04 06-17 06-30 07-13 07-26 08-08 08-21 09-03 09-16 09-29 10-12 10-25 11-07 11-20 12-03 12-16 12-29 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 焦煤--基差 -1000 -500 0 500 1000 1500 日期 01-15 01-30 02-14 02 ...

投资咨询业务资格：证监许可【2011】1778 号 运筹帷幄 决胜千里 宝城期货品种套利数据日报（2025 年 5 月 7 日） 一、动力煤 | 商品 | | | 动力煤（元/吨） | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 日期 | 基差 | 5月-1月 | 9月-1月 | 9月-5月 | | 2025/05/06 | -153.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | | 2025/04/30 | -151.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | | 2025/04/29 | -149.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | | 2025/04/28 | -147.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | | 2025/04/25 | -146.4 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | -200 -150 -100 -50 0 50 100 150 200 450 550 650 750 850 950 1050 动力煤基差 基差（右） 动力煤现货价:秦皇岛 期货结算价(活跃合约) :动力煤 www.bcqhgs.com 1 杭州市求是路8号公元大厦东南裙楼1 ...

国 泰 君 安 期 货 研 究 请务必阅读正文之后的免责条款部分 1 2025年05月07日 国泰君安期货商品研究晨报-黑色系列 观点与策略 | 螺纹钢：需求预期不佳，低位反复 | 2 | | --- | --- | | 热轧卷板：需求预期不佳，低位反复 | 2 | | 硅铁：成本拖累价格，硅铁走势偏弱 | 4 | | 锰硅：成本拖累价格，锰硅走势偏弱 | 4 | | 焦炭：政策预期扰动，底部震荡 | 6 | | 焦煤：政策预期扰动，底部震荡 | 6 | | 动力煤：观望情绪浓厚，震荡偏弱 | 8 | | 玻璃：原片价格平稳 | 9 | 期货研究 商 品 研 究 所 2025 年 05 月 07 日 螺纹钢：需求预期不佳，低位反复 热轧卷板：需求预期不佳，低位反复 马亮 投资咨询从业资格号：Z0012837 maliang@gtht.com 【基本面跟踪】 螺纹钢、热轧卷板基本面数据 请务必阅读正文之后的免责条款部分 1 2 国 泰 君 安 期 货 研 究 所 期货研究 商 品 研 究 | 螺纹钢、热轧卷板基本面数据 | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | ...

Core Viewpoint - The monitoring of market prices for 50 important production materials across nine categories indicates a mixed trend, with 20 products experiencing price increases, 25 seeing declines, and 5 remaining stable from mid-April to late April 2025 [2][3]. Price Changes Summary 1. Black Metals - Rebar (Φ20mm, HRB400E) increased by 27.5 CNY to 3193.3 CNY per ton, a rise of 0.9% - Wire rod (Φ8-10mm, HPB300) rose by 33.3 CNY to 3358.3 CNY per ton, an increase of 1.0% - Ordinary medium plate (20mm, Q235) increased by 17.5 CNY to 3548.8 CNY per ton, a rise of 0.5% - Hot-rolled ordinary plate (4.75-11.5mm, Q235) saw a slight increase of 3.0 CNY to 3310.2 CNY per ton, a rise of 0.1% - Seamless steel pipe (219*6, 20) decreased by 12.0 CNY to 4143.6 CNY per ton, a decline of 0.3% - Angle steel (5) fell by 18.3 CNY to 3503.7 CNY per ton, a decrease of 0.5% [4]. 2. Nonferrous Metals - Electrolytic copper (1) increased by 1826.5 CNY to 77680.7 CNY per ton, a rise of 2.4% - Aluminum ingot (A00) rose by 234.6 CNY to 19952.9 CNY per ton, an increase of 1.2% - Lead ingot (1) increased by 87.5 CNY to 16800.0 CNY per ton, a rise of 0.5% - Zinc ingot (0) rose by 222.9 CNY to 22862.9 CNY per ton, an increase of 1.0% [4]. 3. Chemical Products - Sulfuric acid (98%) decreased by 24.6 CNY to 661.4 CNY per ton, a decline of 3.6% - Caustic soda (liquid, 32%) increased by 8.6 CNY to 867.1 CNY per ton, a rise of 1.0% - Methanol (first grade) saw a slight decrease of 1.4 CNY to 2393.8 CNY per ton, a decline of 0.1% - Pure benzene (industrial grade) decreased by 188.0 CNY to 6092.0 CNY per ton, a decline of 3.0% - Styrene (first grade) fell by 169.6 CNY to 7416.0 CNY per ton, a decline of 2.2% [4]. 4. Energy Products - Liquefied natural gas (LNG) decreased by 21.2 CNY to 4460.4 CNY per ton, a decline of 0.5% - Liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) fell by 108.0 CNY to 4924.0 CNY per ton, a decline of 2.1% - Gasoline (95 National VI) decreased by 83.0 CNY to 8540.8 CNY per ton, a decline of 1.0% - Diesel (0 National VI) fell by 79.0 CNY to 7018.2 CNY per ton, a decline of 1.1% [4]. 5. Coal - Anthracite (washed lump) increased by 27.5 CNY to 960.0 CNY per ton, a rise of 2.9% - Ordinary mixed coal (4500 kcal) decreased by 5.4 CNY to 520.6 CNY per ton, a decline of 1.0% - Shanxi large mixed coal (5000 kcal) fell by 9.4 CNY to 588.6 CNY per ton, a decline of 1.6% [4]. 6. Agricultural Products - Rice (glutinous) increased by 12.7 CNY to 3938.0 CNY per ton, a rise of 0.3% - Wheat (national standard grade three) rose by 17.8 CNY to 2405.8 CNY per ton, an increase of 0.7% - Corn (yellow corn grade two) increased by 19.6 CNY to 2215.3 CNY per ton, a rise of 0.9% - Soybeans (yellow soybeans) rose by 54.0 CNY to 4242.4 CNY per ton, an increase of 1.3% [5].

期货研究报告|中观数据 2025-05-06 去库压力仍存，关注原料行业 ——行业景气度系列二 研究院 徐闻宇 xuwenyu@htfc.com 从业资格号：F0299877 投资咨询号：Z0011454 投资咨询业务资格： 证监许可【2011】1289 号 中观事件 4 月中国制造业 PMI 为 49（-1.5 pct MoM），处于扩张区间的行业环比减少 3 个，处于收 缩区间的行业环比增加 3 个；非制造业 PMI 为 50.4（-0.4 pct MoM），处于扩张区间的 行业环比持平，处于收缩区间的行业环比持平。 核心观点 ■ 制造业 总体：4 月制造业 PMI 近五年分位数位于 6.7%，变动-62.7%。其中，5 个行业制造业 PMI 处于扩张区间，环比减少 3 个，同比减少 4 个。 供给：暂缓。4 月制造业 PMI 生产指数为 49.8 ，环比减少 2.8 个百分点；其中，9 个行 业出现环比改善，6 个行业出现环比回落。 需求：暂缓。4 月制造业 PMI 新订单为 49.2，环比减少 2.6 个百分点。其中，8 个行业 出现了环比改善，7 个行业出现了环比回落。 库存：去库延续。4 月制造业 ...

日度报告——综合晨报 美 4 月 ISM 服务业好于预期，智利 3 月铜产 量同比增加 9% [T报ab告le_日R期an：k] 2025-05-06 宏观策略（外汇期货(美元指数)） 美国拒绝完全豁免对日本的"对等"关税 美国 4 月非农数据好于预期，新增就业维持在较高水平，表明劳 动力市场没有受到关税的负面影响，美元指数维持震荡。 宏观策略（国债期货） 中国 4 月官方制造业 PMI 为 49%，不及预期 综 4 月官方制造业 PMI 不及预期，贸易冲突对于经济基本面的影响 正在体现。基本面将会主导债券走势，预计国债以震荡偏强为 主。 合 宏观策略（黄金） 晨 美国 4 月 ISM 非制造业 PMI 录得 51.6 报 国际金价昨日上涨超过 3%，收复了五一假期间的跌幅，市场再 度针对关税和地缘政治风险展开交易。特朗普表示要对海外制 作的美国电影加征关税再度施压市场风险偏好。 黑色金属（螺纹钢/热轧卷板） Mysteel 五大品种库存周环比下降 87.17 万吨 节前五大品种去库加速，受补库等因素带动，螺纹表需回升到 291 万吨以上，但市场对短期需求回升的关注度并不算高，需求 走弱预期依然导致钢价承压， ...

Core Viewpoint - The manufacturing PMI in April 2025 has declined compared to the previous month and the past five-year average, indicating a weakening manufacturing sector under external pressures, particularly from trade tensions with the US [1][3][4] Manufacturing PMI Analysis - The manufacturing PMI for April 2025 is reported at 49.0%, down 1.5 percentage points from the previous month and 1.3 percentage points lower than the five-year average, reflecting a decrease in manufacturing activity due to external trade pressures [2][3] - The production index within the manufacturing PMI is at 49.8%, which is 2.4 percentage points lower than the five-year average, indicating a decline in production levels [4] - The new export orders index is at 44.7%, significantly lower than the five-year average by 4.8 percentage points, primarily due to reduced exports to the US [4][5] Sector Performance - Among 15 major manufacturing sectors, only 5 have PMIs above the threshold, with 4 sectors showing a month-on-month increase, including non-ferrous metal smelting and processing, which rose by 9.1 percentage points [5] - The gap between PMIs of large, medium, and small enterprises is narrowing, with large enterprises experiencing a more significant decline [5] Non-Manufacturing PMI Insights - The non-manufacturing PMI for April 2025 is at 50.4%, which is 3.6 percentage points lower than the five-year average, indicating weaker domestic demand [6] - The service sector PMI is at 50.1%, and the construction sector PMI is at 51.9%, both reflecting a decline compared to historical averages [6] Policy Response - The Central Political Bureau meeting in April outlined measures to stabilize the economy, including accelerating existing policy implementation, introducing new policies, and preparing contingency plans [7] - Specific actions include expediting the issuance of local government bonds and establishing new financial tools to support infrastructure and industrial investments [7] Market Outlook - Economic fundamentals are expected to support the bond market, with anticipated monetary easing leading to a potential decline in interest rates for medium and long-term bonds [8]

金融界2025年5月5日消息，国家知识产权局信息显示，宝山钢铁股份有限公司申请一项名为"内层极薄 复合管的无管端盲区探伤方法及装置"的专利，公开号CN119915899A，申请日期为2023年10月。 天眼查资料显示，宝山钢铁股份有限公司，成立于2000年，位于上海市，是一家以从事黑色金属冶炼和 压延加工业为主的企业。企业注册资本2226220.0234万人民币。通过天眼查大数据分析，宝山钢铁股份 有限公司共对外投资了29家企业，参与招投标项目5000次，财产线索方面有商标信息254条，专利信息 5000条，此外企业还拥有行政许可9302个。 专利摘要显示，内层极薄复合管的无管端盲区探伤方法及装置，包括如下步骤：1)在射流检测耦合水循 环腔体上沿周向安装若干射流耦合超声检测单元，射流检测耦合水循环腔体为圆柱筒状结构，各检测单 元之间圆心角相同，且，沿腔体轴向方向上等间距布置；每个检测单元为一超声波探测通道；2)复合管 通过射流检测耦合水循环腔体，调整腔体高度，使得腔体和复合管轴线重合一致；3)启动水耦合循环系 统，驱动复合管匀速依次穿过各相邻检测单元，动态水射流耦合超声波进入复合管管体内进行成像探 测，直至复 ...