新房：1-10月光大核心30城住宅成交面积同比-11%，成交均价同比+2% 报告摘要 点击注册小程序 查看完整报告 特别申明： 本订阅号中所涉及的证券研究信息由光大证券研究所编写，仅面向光大证券专业投资者客户，用作新媒体形势下研究 信息和研究观点的沟通交流。非光大证券专业投资者客户，请勿订阅、接收或使用本订阅号中的任何信息。本订阅号 难以设置访问权限，若给您造成不便，敬请谅解。光大证券研究所不会因关注、收到或阅读本订阅号推送内容而视相 关人员为光大证券的客户。 1）2025年10月，光大核心30城商品住宅(不含保障)成交面积为1,029万㎡，同比-36.9%，环比-4.5%；其 中，北上广深杭蓉成交面积292万㎡，同比-40.3%，环比-9.8%，余下二线24城成交面积737万㎡，同 比-35.5%，环比-2.2%。 2）2025年1-10月，光大核心30城商品住宅(不含保障)成交面积为1.06亿㎡，同比-11.2%；其中，北上广深 杭蓉成交面积3,346万㎡，同比-6.2%，余下二线24城成交面积7,259万㎡，同比-13.4%。 3）10月，光大核心30城商品住宅(不含保障)成交均价为24,141元/㎡， ...

Primary Market - In the week from November 10 to November 14, 2025, a total of 330 credit bonds were issued, with a total issuance scale of 455.379 billion yuan, an increase of 25.31% week-on-week [4] - The issuance scale of industrial bonds was 169.680 billion yuan, a decrease of 4.09%, accounting for 37.26% of the total credit bond issuance [4] - City investment bonds issued totaled 81.729 billion yuan, down 19.25%, representing 17.95% of the total [4] - Financial bonds saw an issuance of 203.970 billion yuan, an increase of 139.20%, making up 44.79% of the total [4] - The average issuance term for credit bonds was 2.75 years, with industrial bonds averaging 2.25 years, city investment bonds 3.51 years, and financial bonds 2.13 years [4] - The overall average coupon rate for credit bonds was 2.12%, with industrial bonds at 2.06%, city investment bonds at 2.26%, and financial bonds at 1.94% [4] - Two credit bonds were canceled during the week [4] Secondary Market - In terms of credit spreads, the largest increase for AAA-rated industries was in agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery, which rose by 6.5 basis points, while the largest decrease was in steel, down by 3.5 basis points [5] - For AA+ rated industries, the largest increase was in electronics, up by 1.4 basis points, and the largest decrease was in automobiles, down by 16.6 basis points [5] - The largest increase in AA-rated industries was in transportation, up by 0.9 basis points, while the largest decrease was in mining, down by 3.9 basis points [5] - For city investment bonds, the largest increase in AAA-rated credit spreads was in Zhejiang, up by 3 basis points, and the largest decrease was in Yunnan, down by 10.2 basis points [5] - The total trading volume of credit bonds was 1219.783 billion yuan, a decrease of 5.53% week-on-week [6] - The top three types of credit bonds by trading volume were commercial bank bonds, corporate bonds, and medium-term notes [6] - Commercial bank bonds had a trading volume of 375.608 billion yuan, an increase of 3.93%, accounting for 30.79% of the total [6] - Corporate bonds had a trading volume of 414.081 billion yuan, a decrease of 7.86%, representing 33.95% of the total [6] - Medium-term notes had a trading volume of 243.078 billion yuan, down by 16.01%, accounting for 19.93% of the total [6]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the slowdown in credit expansion in October 2025, highlighting insufficient demand and the impact of seasonal factors on loan growth, with a focus on the performance of various loan categories and monetary aggregates [3][4][9]. Group 1: Credit Expansion and Loan Data - In October, new RMB loans amounted to 220 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 280 billion, aligning with the lower end of predictions and below the consensus forecast of 460 billion [3][7]. - Cumulative new RMB loans since the beginning of the year reached 15 trillion, a year-on-year decrease of 1.6 trillion, indicating a weak credit environment in the second half of the year [4]. - The corporate loan segment saw new loans of 350 billion in October, a year-on-year increase of 220 billion, with significant contributions from bill financing [5]. Group 2: Monetary Aggregates - M2 growth was recorded at 8.2%, a decrease of 0.2 percentage points from the end of September, while M1 growth was at 6.2%, down 1 percentage point [10]. - The total social financing in October was 815 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 597 billion, with a growth rate of 8.5%, continuing a downward trend since August [9]. Group 3: Residential Loan Trends - Residential loans showed a seasonal decline, with a net decrease of 360 billion in October, a year-on-year drop of 520 billion, reflecting weak consumer demand and economic conditions [8]. - The share of residential loans in total new credit was 4.9%, significantly lower than the previous year's 12.7%, indicating a strong deleveraging trend among households [8].

点击注册小程序 查看完整报告 特别申明： 本订阅号中所涉及的证券研究信息由光大证券研究所编写，仅面向光大证券专业投资者客户，用作新媒体形势下研究 信息和研究观点的沟通交流。非光大证券专业投资者客户，请勿订阅、接收或使用本订阅号中的任何信息。本订阅号 难以设置访问权限，若给您造成不便，敬请谅解。光大证券研究所不会因关注、收到或阅读本订阅号推送内容而视相 关人员为光大证券的客户。 2024年12月商务部发布第46号（《关于加强相关两用物项对美国出口管制的公告》），公告的内容主要为： 一、禁止两用物项对美国军事用户或军事用途出口。二、原则上不予许可镓、锗、锑、超硬材料相关两用物项 对美国出口；对石墨两用物项对美国出口，实施更严格的最终用户和最终用途审查。2025年11月9日，商务部 发布公告称，经批准，自即日起至2026年11月27日，商务部公告2024年第46号（《关于加强相关两用物项对美 国出口管制的公告》）第二款暂停实施。 对美出口限制的解除，将有望拉动中国锑出口增长 2023年中国锑出口量占锑产量的比例为36%。2025年5月，国家开始对出口走私进行打击。5-9月中国氧化锑出 口量仅为159、87、74、1 ...

点击注册小程序 查看完整报告 特别申明： 本订阅号中所涉及的证券研究信息由光大证券研究所编写，仅面向光大证券专业投资者客 户，用作新媒体形势下研究信息和研究观点的沟通交流。非光大证券专业投资者客户，请勿 订阅、接收或使用本订阅号中的任何信息。本订阅号难以设置访问权限，若给您造成不便， 敬请谅解。光大证券研究所不会因关注、收到或阅读本订阅号推送内容而视相关人员为光大 证券的客户。 本订阅号是光大证券股份有限公司研究所（以下简称"光大证券研究所"）依法设立、独立运营的 官方唯一订阅号。其他任何以光大证券研究所名义注册的、或含有"光大证券研究"、与光大证券 研究所品牌名称等相关信息的订阅号均不是光大证券研究所的官方订阅号。 产业矩阵继续扩张，电力交易及聚合充电平台发展快速 公司以生活缴费业务、互联网运营业务为稳定盘，通过快速发展聚合充电平台业务及电力交易业务持续贡 献营收增量。截至2025年6月底，新电途聚合充电平台注册用户超过2300万，平台已累计接入充电运营商 4300家，充电设备数量超过200万。聚合充电平台通过营销补贴，积累用户并提升行业渗透率；客户群体 逐渐稳定叠加公共充电桩保有量不断攀升，公司聚合充电平 ...

Core Insights - Company Wenyan Zhixing is a leading player in the global L4 autonomous driving sector, established in 2017 and set to go public on NASDAQ in October 2024 as the "first global general autonomous driving stock" [4] - The company operates in 11 countries and 30 cities, holding autonomous driving licenses in seven countries, making it the only company globally with such a distinction [4] - For FY25H1, the company reported revenue of 200 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 32.8%, with product revenue soaring by 230% to 70 million yuan, while service revenue remained flat at 130 million yuan [4] Group 1: Robotaxi Cost Reduction and Policy Support - Continuous optimization of Robotaxi operating costs is driven by several factors: decreasing core hardware costs like LiDAR, improved human-vehicle ratios through remote safety personnel, and energy-efficient specialized chips [5] - The revised Chinese "Autonomous Driving Management Measures (2025)" allows for full-scale L4-level paid operations in cities like Shanghai, with similar policies in key areas of Beijing and support from international locations such as Abu Dhabi and San Francisco [5] - The global Robotaxi market is projected to reach $66.6 billion by 2030, with a concentrated competitive landscape led by top companies in China and the U.S., and emerging markets in the Middle East expected to be key growth areas [5] Group 2: Commercialization and Technology Development - The company is the only entity with autonomous driving licenses in seven countries, covering 11 countries and 30 cities, with five core product lines tailored for smart mobility, freight, and sanitation [6] - The Robotaxi business is focusing on the Middle East, where high customer spending enhances profitability, with a partnership with Uber accelerating fleet expansion [6] - In FY25Q2, the Robotaxi business generated 50 million yuan in revenue, a staggering year-on-year increase of 836.7%, with the Abu Dhabi Robotaxi fleet tripling since December 2024, indicating strong revenue growth potential in the near term [6]

Core Viewpoint - Tencent Holdings reported strong Q3 2025 earnings, with revenue and profit exceeding market expectations, driven by robust performance in gaming and advertising sectors [4][5][6]. Group 1: Financial Performance - In Q3 2025, Tencent achieved operating revenue of 192.9 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 15.4%, surpassing Bloomberg consensus expectations by 2.15% [4]. - Non-IFRS operating profit reached 72.6 billion yuan, exceeding consensus by 0.58%, with an operating margin of 37.6%, slightly below the expected 38.2% due to higher sales and R&D expenses [4]. - Non-IFRS net profit was 70.6 billion yuan, exceeding consensus by 6.84%, with a net profit margin of 36.6%, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 0.8 percentage points [4]. Group 2: Gaming Sector - Tencent's gaming revenue for Q3 2025 was 63.6 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 22.8%, significantly exceeding consensus expectations by 5.21% [5]. - Domestic gaming revenue was 42.8 billion yuan, up 14.7% year-on-year, with the game "Delta Force" ranking third in the domestic industry, and daily active users (DAU) increasing from 20 million to 30 million [5]. - Overseas gaming revenue reached 20.8 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 43.4%, greatly surpassing expectations by 14.8%, driven by growth from Supercell and new game studio acquisitions [5]. Group 3: Advertising and Enterprise Services - Marketing services revenue was 36.2 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 20.8%, exceeding consensus expectations by 1.81%, supported by improved ad loading rates and AI-driven ROI enhancements [6]. - Financial technology and enterprise services revenue was 58.2 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 9.6%, also surpassing expectations by 0.07% [7]. Group 4: Capital Expenditure and AI Strategy - Capital expenditure for Q3 2025 was 13 billion yuan, a year-on-year decline of 24%, falling short of expectations by 43.9%, primarily due to supply chain issues [8]. - The company increased its investment in AI research and development, with R&D expenses reaching a record high for a single quarter, focusing on AI Agent integration with its social ecosystem [8].

Company Research - Longxin Group (300682.SZ) is focusing on digitalization and has a diversified business model, leveraging its relationship with Ant Group and enhancing its energy internet segment [5] - The company is expected to see earnings per share (EPS) of 0.35, 0.57, and 0.73 yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [5] Industry Research - WeRide is a leading player in the global L4 autonomous driving sector, with a significant milestone in overseas commercialization expected soon [6] - Revenue projections for WeRide are 587 million, 1.131 billion, and 2.017 billion yuan for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [6] - The company is anticipated to have a price-to-sales (PS) ratio below the average of comparable companies for the years 2026 and 2027 [6] - Factors contributing to WeRide's growth include decreasing hardware and operational costs for Robotaxi and an improving single-vehicle economic model [6]

Core Viewpoint - The economic data for October 2025 indicates a slowdown in industrial production, a continued decline in fixed asset investment, and a slight decrease in retail sales growth, reflecting ongoing economic challenges in the country [3][4][5][6]. Industrial Production - In October 2025, the industrial added value for large enterprises grew by 4.9% year-on-year, a decrease of 1.6 percentage points from September. The month-on-month growth rate was +0.17%, marking the lowest level of the year [4]. - The month-on-month growth rate for October 2023 and 2024 was higher at +0.42% and +0.48%, respectively, indicating a significant decline in industrial production compared to previous years [4]. Fixed Asset Investment - From January to October 2025, the cumulative year-on-year growth rate of fixed asset investment was -1.7%, continuing a downward trend. The month-on-month growth rate for October was -1.62%, indicating an expanded decline [5]. - The real estate investment remains weak, while manufacturing and infrastructure investments have also weakened from their high levels at the beginning of the year [5]. Retail Sales - The year-on-year growth rate of social consumer goods retail sales in October was 2.9%, showing a slight decrease compared to the previous month. However, the month-on-month growth rate turned positive at 0.16%, although it was weaker than seasonal expectations [6]. Bond Market Insights - Since August 2025, the yield on government bonds has shown a clear divergence, with short-term yields remaining stable while long-term yields experienced a rise followed by a decline. As of November 13, 2025, the yields on 10-year and 30-year government bonds decreased by 9 basis points and 13 basis points, respectively, from their highest points in 2025 [7]. - The convertible bond market has seen a year-to-date increase of +19.3% as of November 13, 2025, which is lower than the +25.2% increase in the broader equity market. However, the convertible bond market has started to gain momentum alongside the equity market's recovery [7].

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the significant increase in influenza cases and the potential investment opportunities in related products such as vaccines, diagnostic tests, and medications due to the rising demand driven by the flu season [4][5][6]. Group 1: Influenza Situation - The incidence of influenza-like illness (ILI) has risen, with southern provinces reporting an ILI percentage of 4.6% in week 44 of 2025, up from 4.1% the previous week and higher than the same period in 2022 and 2024 [4]. - Northern provinces reported an ILI percentage of 5.1%, also showing an increase from 3.7% the previous week and higher than the same period in previous years [4]. - The flu season in 2025 is expected to be more severe than in previous years, with a notable change in circulating strains, particularly A(H3N2), which may increase the risk of breaking through herd immunity [4]. Group 2: Investment Opportunities - **Influenza Vaccines**: The low penetration rate of flu vaccines in China presents a significant growth opportunity as demand is expected to rise with the flu season approaching [5]. - **Virus Testing**: The demand for rapid and accurate diagnostic tests for respiratory viruses is anticipated to grow, benefiting companies that offer such testing products [6]. - **Cold and Specialty Medications**: The demand for cold medications is expected to increase in Q4 2025, with potential sales exceeding market expectations due to the rising flu cases and the clearing of social inventory formed during the COVID-19 pandemic [6].