Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of 36.00 RMB based on a 2025 PE of 18 times [4]. Core Insights - The industry is poised for growth driven by AI mattresses and government subsidies, with short-term demand expected to rebound and long-term expansion potential [1][2][3]. - The company is leveraging AI mattress innovations to enhance customer engagement and increase average transaction values, while also expanding its brand matrix to cover various market segments [2][3][36]. - The acquisition of a Singaporean brand is anticipated to facilitate entry into the Southeast Asian market, which is projected to grow significantly [3][36]. Summary by Sections Industry Demand - Government subsidies are expected to stimulate short-term demand recovery, with significant increases in mattress sales observed on major e-commerce platforms [1][13][18]. - The long-term outlook for the mattress industry remains positive, with potential for increased market share among leading companies as they enhance product offerings and distribution channels [1][21]. AI Mattress Growth Drivers - The global market for AI mattresses is projected to reach approximately 1.8 billion USD by 2024, with the company’s AI mattress products expected to drive sales growth and customer acquisition [2][42]. - The company has developed a comprehensive brand matrix to cater to different price segments, thereby broadening its target consumer base [2][47]. Expansion and Acquisitions - The company’s acquisition of MIPL and its Indonesian factory is expected to enhance its presence in the Southeast Asian market, which is currently underpenetrated compared to China and the US [3][36]. - The Southeast Asian mattress market is projected to reach 3.3 billion USD by 2025, indicating substantial growth opportunities [3][36]. Financial Projections - The company’s projected net profits for 2025-2027 are 799 million, 900 million, and 989 million RMB, reflecting growth rates of 4.12%, 12.69%, and 9.87% respectively [4][6]. - The revenue forecast shows a gradual increase from 5.6 billion RMB in 2024 to 7.5 billion RMB in 2027, with a compound annual growth rate of approximately 10% [6][4].

5 月 8 日晚，理想正式发布新款 L6/L7/L8/L9，新车延续新款 MEGA 的定价策略，全系价格不变，配置上相对此前宣传的仅升级智驾硬 件有所加强，相对于老款： 1、配置升级：1）智驾：全系升级 ATL 激光雷达，AD Pro 亦增配， 智驾功能上仍为高速 NOA，主要升级了主动安全能力；AD MAX 升级 为单颗 Thor 芯片，算力 700TOPS，Pro 升级为 J6M； 2）外观内饰：新增天青色外观，内饰新增棕色配色，新增轮毂造型； 3）三电&驾控：L7/L8 Max 版本升级 52.3 度大电池，L7/L8/L9 升级 双腔闭式空悬； 4）舒适性配置：L6 Pro 限时赠送冰箱，L9 增加热石按摩同时后排 娱乐屏尺寸扩大至 21.4 英寸。 2、限时权益：3 年免息与老款保持一致；有交 5000 抵 10000 的减 免，此外还有 1 万元选装基金和赠送充电桩等。 1、整体符合预期。本次改款事实上给出了一定升级和预售权益。但 如此前所说的：1）虽然给出了一定的权益折扣存在一定幅度的回收， 具体其改款诚意、市场接受情况仍有待商榷；2）而权益目前看无法 弥补其此前大额的终端优惠，因而整体看权益仍 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, expecting a price increase of over 15% in the next 6-12 months [4][12]. Core Insights - The recent model upgrades for the L series are in line with expectations, providing certain enhancements and pre-sale benefits, although the overall effectiveness of these changes in driving sales remains uncertain [3]. - The company’s core strengths include excellent product development capabilities, strategic positioning, and meticulous management, which are expected to support long-term growth despite short-term pressures [4]. - The anticipated revenue and profit growth for the company is reflected in the adjusted net profit forecasts for 2025, 2026, and 2027, which are projected at 107.6 billion, 137.1 billion, and 170.9 billion respectively [4]. Summary by Sections Product Upgrades - The new L6/L7/L8/L9 models feature upgrades such as ATL laser radar across the series, enhanced active safety capabilities, and improved battery specifications [2]. - Aesthetic changes include new color options and interior designs, while comfort features have been added to enhance user experience [2]. Market Expectations - The report indicates that the market's acceptance of the upgraded models and the upcoming pure electric i8 remains uncertain, with a need to monitor order statuses closely [3]. - The company is expected to see potential sales growth as the market enters a peak season and further incentives are implemented [3]. Financial Projections - Revenue for 2023 is projected at 123.851 billion, with a growth rate of 173.48%, while net profit is expected to reach 11.704 billion [9]. - Future projections show a steady increase in revenue and net profit, with significant growth rates anticipated in the coming years [9][11].

- The report includes a global asset allocation model based on artificial intelligence, which uses machine learning to score and rank various assets for monthly equal-weighted allocation strategy[30][31] - The global asset allocation model suggests weights for May: government bond index (66.09%), Nasdaq index (17.59%), German DAX index (13.83%), and Nikkei 225 (2.49%)[30] - Historical performance of the global asset allocation model from January 2021 to April 2025 shows an annualized return of 13.76%, Sharpe ratio of 0.75, maximum drawdown of 16.53%, and excess annualized return of 9.02%[30][36] - The dynamic macro event factor-based stock-bond rotation strategy includes three different risk preference models: conservative, balanced, and aggressive[37] - The stock-bond allocation models for April show stock weights of 45% for aggressive, 13.82% for balanced, and 0% for conservative[37][39] - Historical performance of the stock-bond allocation models from January 2005 to April 2025 shows annualized returns of 19.93% for aggressive, 11.00% for balanced, and 6.06% for conservative[37][44] - The dividend timing model uses economic growth and monetary liquidity indicators to construct a timing strategy for the dividend index, showing an annualized return of 15.84%, maximum drawdown of -21.70%, and Sharpe ratio of 0.89[45][49] - The dividend timing model's recommended position for April is 0%, with most economic growth indicators showing bearish signals and cautious monetary liquidity signals[45] Model Performance Metrics - Global asset allocation model: annualized return 13.76%, Sharpe ratio 0.75, maximum drawdown 16.53%[30][36] - Stock-bond allocation models: annualized returns 19.93% (aggressive), 11.00% (balanced), 6.06% (conservative)[37][44] - Dividend timing model: annualized return 15.84%, Sharpe ratio 0.89, maximum drawdown -21.70%[45][49]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, expecting a price increase of over 15% in the next 6-12 months [4][12]. Core Insights - The recent model updates for the L series are in line with expectations, providing certain upgrades and pre-sale benefits, although the overall effectiveness of these benefits in recovering previous discounts remains uncertain [3]. - The company's core advantages include strong product development capabilities, excellent strategic positioning, and refined management skills, which are expected to support long-term growth despite short-term pressures [4]. - The report highlights the importance of monitoring order status and the performance of the new electric model i8, as market acceptance remains a key concern [3][4]. Financial Summary - Projected revenues for 2023 are estimated at 123.85 billion RMB, with a growth rate of 173.48%. For 2024, revenues are expected to reach 144.46 billion RMB, growing at 16.64% [9]. - The net profit for 2023 is projected at 11.70 billion RMB, with a significant increase of 681.65% compared to the previous year. The net profit for 2024 is expected to be 8.03 billion RMB, reflecting a decrease of 31.37% [9]. - The diluted earnings per share (EPS) for 2023 is estimated at 5.52 RMB, with projections of 3.79 RMB for 2024 and 5.07 RMB for 2025 [9]. - The report anticipates a return on equity (ROE) of 19.46% for 2023, decreasing to 11.33% in 2024, and gradually increasing to 15.12% by 2027 [9].

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to the company, with a target price of HKD 52.55 for 2025, based on a 35x price-to-sales (P/S) ratio [4]. Core Insights - The company is a leading high-tech enterprise focused on the research and industrialization of GaN-on-Si technology, utilizing an IDM model that integrates chip design, epitaxy growth, chip manufacturing, and packaging [2]. - The global GaN power device market is projected to grow from CNY 3.2 billion in 2024 to CNY 50.1 billion in 2028, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 98.5%, driven primarily by applications in consumer electronics and electric vehicles [2][40]. Summary by Sections Investment Logic - The company has established deep collaborations with leading firms in various sectors, including lidar, data centers, 5G communications, and electric vehicle charging, achieving mass production of GaN power devices that range from low to high voltage (15V-1200V) [2]. - GaN power devices offer advantages such as high frequency, low loss, and cost-effectiveness, making them suitable for a wide range of applications [2]. Competitive Advantages - Cost Advantage: The company benefits from an 8-inch wafer production process, which is more cost-effective and efficient compared to the 6-inch products of most competitors. The company has achieved a manufacturing yield exceeding 95% as of 2024 [3]. - Capacity Advantage: The company has established production bases in Suzhou and Zhuhai, with a monthly capacity of 13,000 8-inch GaN power wafers, positioning it as the largest in the world [3]. - Customer and Technology Advantage: The company serves well-known brands in consumer electronics, data centers, and automotive sectors, with significant growth in automotive-grade product shipments and AI-related products [3]. Financial Forecast and Valuation - Revenue projections for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are CNY 1.32 billion, CNY 2.21 billion, and CNY 3.45 billion, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 59%, 67%, and 56% [4][8]. - The company is expected to reduce losses significantly in 2025 and 2026, with a forecasted net profit of CNY 238 million in 2027, representing a year-on-year increase of 265% [4][8].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report The report comprehensively analyzes the supply and trading situation of local government bonds, including the overview of the stock market, the rhythm of primary - supply, and the characteristics of secondary - trading, presenting the current status and trends of the local government bond market [12][20][43]. 3. Summary According to the Directory 3.1 Stock Market Overview - As of April 30, 2025, the stock size of local government bonds reached 50.51 trillion yuan, with the market continuously expanding. New special bonds accounted for over 43%, and refinancing special bonds accounted for 21% [12]. - Among the bonds with clear funding uses, the stock balances of shantytown renovation, new district construction in industrial parks, and rural revitalization exceeded 1 trillion yuan. The stock balance of toll roads exceeded 870 billion yuan, and that of water conservancy and ecological projects exceeded 200 billion yuan [12]. - As of April 30, 2025, Guangdong, Jiangsu, and Shandong ranked top three in terms of local government bond stock size, all exceeding 3 trillion yuan. Other major GDP - contributing provinces such as Sichuan, Zhejiang, Hunan, Henan, Hebei, and Hubei also had stock sizes above 2 trillion yuan [12]. 3.2 Primary Supply Rhythm - In the week from April 28 - 30, 2025, with fewer working days, local government bonds worth 93.091 billion yuan were issued, including 116.707 billion yuan of new special bonds and 15.465 billion yuan of refinancing special bonds. "Ordinary/project revenue" and "repayment of local bonds" were the main investment areas for special bond funds [20]. - As of April 30, 2025, the issuance of special refinancing special bonds in April had reached 261.669 billion yuan, accounting for 37.74% of the monthly local government bond issuance [20]. - In terms of the issuance term structure, the issuance proportion of local government bonds with terms within 7 years and 10 - 20 years was relatively high, both exceeding 30%. The average coupon rates of major - term local government bonds were basically the same as those two weeks ago [30]. - The spread between the issuance rate of 30 - year local government bonds and the same - term treasury bonds narrowed to 20.32BP, while the spread of 20 - year local government bonds widened slightly to 12.78BP. The upper limit of the bid - rate last week was basically the same as that two weeks ago, and the primary - tender sentiment rebounded significantly [30]. - Regionally, many provinces issued new bonds last week. Hunan had the largest issuance volume this month with a balanced term distribution; Heilongjiang followed, with terms mainly concentrated in 10 - 20 years; Jiangsu showed a short - term characteristic, all within 7 years. Most regions had an average issuance rate of 2% or lower, with Guizhou having the highest rate of 2.1%, and Shandong, Sichuan, Jiangxi, and Jilin also reaching over 2% [5][38]. 3.3 Secondary Trading Characteristics - Since mid - to - late March this year, the yield of local government bonds has been in a continuous downward - oscillation trend. As of April 30, 2025, the yield of 10 - year local government bonds was 1.88%, with a spread of 25.57BP compared to the same - term treasury bonds, at the 86% quantile since 2024. The quantiles of the price spreads of 15 - year and 30 - year bonds were 96.9% and 97.2% respectively [43]. - Last week, the turnover rate of local government bonds decreased, and the turnover rates of all - term varieties dropped significantly compared to two weeks ago. The 10 - year - plus varieties still had the highest weekly turnover rate, at 0.98%. Regionally, only Jiangsu and Zhejiang had over 100 trading volumes last week. The average trading term of local government bonds last week was 17.3 years, with an average yield of 1.98% [48]. - In terms of the investor structure, commercial banks, insurance companies, securities proprietary departments, and broad - based funds were the most active institutions in local government bond trading. Insurance companies remained the main undertakers of local government bond supply, with a total net purchase of 24.16 billion yuan, of which the purchase of 20 - 30 - year and above varieties accounted for 63.13%. Wealth management products had a net purchase of 10.438 billion yuan last week, an increase compared to two weeks ago, mainly in the 5 - 10 - year and 10 - 20 - year varieties [50].

Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with a "Buy" rating and sets a target price of HKD 13.69 per share based on a FY26 P/E of 20 times [4]. Core Views - The company is a leading jewelry retailer in China with a market share of 10% as of 2024, demonstrating strong brand power, product quality, and channel strength [13][14]. - The jewelry industry is expected to see a recovery in gold consumption, shifting the competitive advantage from channel strength to product quality [35][40]. - The company is focusing on product optimization and enhancing store operations to drive high-quality growth, with expectations for improved same-store performance and profitability [3][4]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company, founded in 1929, has established itself as a benchmark in the jewelry industry, adapting its growth strategies through economic cycles and maintaining a strong market presence with 6,423 retail points as of Q1 2025 [2][13]. Industry Trends - The demand for gold jewelry is anticipated to bottom out and improve, with a notable shift in consumer preferences towards product aesthetics and craftsmanship [35][40]. - The market for gold jewelry in China has grown significantly, with a CAGR of 11% from 2018 to 2023, and gold products now account for 63% of the jewelry market [35][36]. Product Optimization - The company has a strong aesthetic foundation and has successfully integrated modern design with traditional craftsmanship, launching successful product lines such as the "Heritage" series and the "Palace Museum" series, each generating approximately HKD 4 billion in sales [3][58]. - The proportion of fixed-price gold products has increased from 5% in Q3 2023 to 25.6% in Q1 2025, which is expected to enhance gross margins [3][62]. Store Operations - The company has been optimizing its store network, closing 896 underperforming stores to focus on quality over quantity, with plans to slow down the pace of closures moving forward [3][84]. - New store formats have been introduced, which have shown better performance than average same-store sales [3][84]. Financial Projections - The company forecasts net profits of HKD 57.74 billion, HKD 68.36 billion, and HKD 78.36 billion for FY2025, FY2026, and FY2027, respectively, with a projected P/E ratio of 18.4, 15.5, and 13.5 times [4][88].

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company with a target price of HKD 13.69 per share based on a projected FY26 P/E of 20 times [4]. Core Insights - The company is a leading jewelry retailer in China with a market share of 10% as of 2024, maintaining its position as the top player in the industry [2][13]. - The jewelry market is expected to see a recovery in gold consumption demand, shifting the competitive advantage from channel strength to product quality [35][40]. - The company has undergone a brand transformation to adapt to changing consumer preferences and market conditions, focusing on high-quality product offerings and operational efficiency [46][25]. Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company has nearly a century of experience in the jewelry industry, with a focus on craftsmanship and innovation, operating 6,423 retail points as of Q1 2025 [2][13]. - The company has a strong brand heritage and product aesthetic, integrating modern design with traditional craftsmanship [3][19]. Industry Trends - The demand for gold jewelry is anticipated to improve after a period of decline, with a notable increase in consumer interest in high-quality and aesthetically pleasing gold products [35][40]. - The market for gold jewelry in China has grown significantly, with a CAGR of 11% from 2018 to 2023, indicating a robust demand for gold products [35][36]. Product Strategy - The company has shifted its product strategy towards fixed-price gold products, which now account for 25.6% of its gold offerings, significantly up from 5% in Q3 2023 [3][62]. - New product lines, such as the "Chuanfu" and "Palace" series, have achieved sales of approximately HKD 4 billion each, reflecting strong market acceptance [58][60]. Financial Projections - The company forecasts a decline in net profit for FY2025, followed by growth in FY2026 and FY2027, with projected net profits of HKD 57.74 billion, HKD 68.36 billion, and HKD 78.36 billion respectively [4][88]. - The expected revenue for FY2025 is HKD 87.566 billion, with a significant recovery anticipated in subsequent years [88]. Store Operations - The company has been optimizing its store operations by closing underperforming locations, reducing the number of inefficient stores by 896 to 6,274 by FY25 [3][84]. - The focus on enhancing store quality and customer experience is expected to improve same-store sales performance in the coming fiscal years [85][88].

Core Insights - The Federal Reserve has maintained the federal funds target rate range at 4.25%-4.50%, marking the third consecutive "pause" since the beginning of the current rate cut cycle in September 2024, with a total reduction of 100 basis points across three meetings [2][3] - Concerns regarding "stagflation" risks have intensified, with the Fed emphasizing increased uncertainty in economic outlook and rising risks of high unemployment and inflation [3][4] Monetary Policy and Economic Outlook - The Fed's ability to provide clear guidance on interest rate paths is hampered by ongoing policy uncertainty, making it challenging to restart the rate cut cycle in the short term [4] - The Fed's stance on tariffs has shifted, acknowledging that announced tariff increases have exceeded expectations and could lead to rising inflation, slower economic growth, and higher unemployment if sustained [4] - The Fed's view on inflation has evolved, moving away from the notion of "transitory" impacts of tariffs, recognizing that the effects could be either "one-time shifts" or "persistent," depending on the scale and duration of tariffs [4] Investment Recommendations - Gold is expected to perform well amid potential "hard landing" scenarios in the U.S. economy, driven by factors such as a renewed Fed rate cut cycle, dollar depreciation, and increased central bank gold purchases [5] - The pharmaceutical sector, particularly innovative drugs, is anticipated to benefit from the Fed's rate cut cycle, with opportunities for excess returns in both A-shares and Hong Kong stocks [5] - U.S. equities are facing a trend of adjustment rather than temporary fluctuations, with increasing economic downturn risks affecting profit growth expectations [5] - U.S. Treasury bonds may present a trend-based allocation opportunity only after inflation recedes, with potential for rapid interest rate increases due to repayment risks in the interim [5]