Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Accumulate" rating for the company with a target price of 29.00 CNY [6][13]. Core Viewpoints - The demand curve for AI is reshaping, driving the company's low dielectric products into a growth cycle of volume and profit, while the sustained prosperity of the wind power sector is expected to support strong production and sales in the wind power yarn and blade business [2][13]. Financial Summary - Total revenue is projected to be 25,893 million CNY in 2023, with a slight increase of 0.3%. However, a decrease of 7.4% is expected in 2024, followed by a recovery with a 16.4% increase in 2025 [4]. - Net profit attributable to the parent company is forecasted to drop significantly to 892 million CNY in 2024, a 59.9% decline, before rebounding to 1,865 million CNY in 2025, representing a 109.1% increase [4]. - Earnings per share (EPS) is expected to be 1.32 CNY in 2023, decreasing to 0.53 CNY in 2024, and then recovering to 1.11 CNY in 2025 [4]. Investment Highlights - The AI demand expectation has accelerated since May 2025, driven by various segments of the AI industry, including increased capital expenditure from cloud vendors and significant growth in token usage [17][20]. - The wind power installation is expected to be more sustainable than previously anticipated, with a projected 164.1 GW of new wind power tenders in 2024, indicating that the construction cycle is not yet over [18][41]. - The company is positioned as the first domestic supplier to provide second-generation low dielectric products in bulk, with production expected to ramp up significantly in 2025 [13][42]. Industry Outlook - The wind power sector is showing resilience, with a total of 46.28 GW of new installations in the first five months of 2025, indicating strong demand [35][41]. - The company’s blade and wind power yarn businesses are expected to maintain good production and sales levels, supported by the ongoing demand in the wind power market [18][38].

策 略 研 究 商品价格转强，权益分化加剧 [Table_Authors] 方奕(分析师) ——资产配置全球跟踪 2025 年 7 月第 2 期 本报告导读： 上周（7/7-7/11），商品延续强势。欧股强于美日。中债熊平，美债熊陡。金价相对油 /铜/银走弱。美元由贬转升，但欧元/英镑相对美元自年初以来仍保持升值。 投资要点： 策略研究 /[Table_Date] 2025.07.14 | | 021-38031658 | | --- | --- | | | fangyi2@gtht.com | | 登记编号 | S0880520120005 | | | 郭佼佼(分析师) | | | 021-38031042 | | | guojiaojiao2@gtht.com | | 登记编号 | S0880523070002 | [Table_Report] 相关报告 反内卷预期提升，消费景气边际改善 2025.07.09 融资资金大幅净买入，全球外资回流中美股市 2025.07.07 商品表现较佳，权益涨势收敛 2025.07.06 成交活跃度回落，中盘股估值领涨 2025.07.06 空调排产同比下滑，动力煤价格有 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is upgraded to "Accumulate" [4][10]. Core Views - The company is actively enriching its product matrix and strengthening its ambient products, enhancing C-end channel diversification and B-end channel synergy after integrating Mengniu Cheese, leading to a significant improvement in profitability for H1 2025 [2][10]. - The company expects a notable increase in net profit for H1 2025, projecting a net profit attributable to shareholders of 120-145 million yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 56.29%-88.86% [10]. - The integration of Mengniu Cheese has strengthened synergy across the entire operation, from procurement to sales, enhancing efficiency and profitability [10]. Financial Summary - Total revenue for 2023 is 5,322 million yuan, with projections of 4,844 million yuan for 2024, and expected growth to 5,313 million yuan in 2025, reflecting a 9.7% increase [3][11]. - Net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted to rise from 60 million yuan in 2023 to 225 million yuan in 2025, indicating a growth rate of 97.7% [3][11]. - Earnings per share (EPS) is expected to increase from 0.12 yuan in 2023 to 0.44 yuan in 2025, with a projected net asset return rate of 4.9% in 2025 [3][11]. Market Data - The company's target price is set at 33.20 yuan, with a current price of 28.34 yuan [4][10]. - The market capitalization is approximately 14,512 million yuan, with a 52-week price range of 11.78-32.69 yuan [5][10]. Financial Ratios - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is projected to decrease from 241.60 in 2023 to 64.61 in 2025, indicating improved valuation [3][11]. - The return on equity (ROE) is expected to rise from 1.3% in 2023 to 4.9% in 2025, reflecting enhanced profitability [3][11].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a rating of "Accumulate" for the company [12] Core Views - The company has a strong layout in wind-solar-storage grid-type products and is experiencing continuous breakthroughs in overseas markets, embracing AIDC to establish a second growth curve [3][12] - The company is expected to achieve total revenue of 3.8 billion in 2023, with a projected increase to 6.6 billion by 2027, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 20.4% [5][12] - Net profit attributable to the parent company is forecasted to grow from 500 million in 2023 to 900 million in 2027, with a significant increase of 88.2% in 2023 [5][12] Financial Summary - Total revenue projections: 3.8 billion in 2023, 3.7 billion in 2024, 4.8 billion in 2025, 5.5 billion in 2026, and 6.6 billion in 2027 [5] - Net profit (attributable to the parent) is expected to be 500 million in 2023, 400 million in 2024, 600 million in 2025, 800 million in 2026, and 900 million in 2027 [5] - Earnings per share (EPS) forecast: 1.10 in 2023, 0.97 in 2024, 1.38 in 2025, 1.66 in 2026, and 1.95 in 2027 [5] - Return on equity (ROE) is projected to improve from 12.8% in 2023 to 14.1% in 2027 [5] Market Data - The company's market capitalization is approximately 13.946 billion [6] - The stock price has ranged from 11.16 to 35.14 over the past 52 weeks [6] - The current stock price is 30.68, with a target price set at 37.81 [12] Business Growth - The engineering transmission business is expected to generate 560 million in revenue in 2024, with a year-on-year growth of 16.7% and a gross margin of 44.5% [12] - Overseas revenue is projected to reach 259 million in 2024, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 122.7% with a gross margin of 54.2% [12] - The company has established over 30 service bases in various countries, including the Netherlands, Brazil, and India, to support its overseas expansion [12] Product Development - The company has invested six years in developing wind-solar-storage grid-type products, which are expected to significantly enhance the safety and stability of power systems [12] - The company has launched various products, including a 1.5-20MW doubly-fed converter for wind power and a 320-350kW string inverter for photovoltaic applications, both designed to support high overload capabilities [12]

Investment Rating - The report rates the black electrical appliances industry as "Overweight" [1][34]. Core Viewpoints - The black electrical appliances industry is currently in a window of demand recovery and technological upgrade, with global capacity layout, especially in Mexico and Vietnam, being a core strategy to address tariff challenges. Chinese brands have advantages in high-end positioning and cost control, which provide resilience to the industry. The recent tariff adjustments in Vietnam are expected to reduce uncertainties, with tariffs on major production bases for exports to the U.S. projected to be in the range of 10% to 40%, improving from previous pessimistic expectations of over 46% [3][34]. Summary by Sections 1. Core Logic - The recent tariff agreement with Vietnam, effective July 3, 2025, introduces a 20% export tariff and a 40% transshipment tariff, which, despite increasing costs, have been mitigated by the flexible capacity layout of leading companies. The global expansion of leading black electrical appliance brands continues, with an upward trend in market share for the "dual champions" [8]. 2. Current Global Market Status 2.1. Enhanced Global Competitiveness of the Dual Champions - The global market is dominated by Chinese black electrical appliance leaders, TCL Electronics and Hisense, who leverage technological and capacity advantages. The global TV market is expected to reverse its continuous decline in 2024, with significant growth in shipments of large-sized TVs (80 inches and above). In Q1 2025, shipments of high-end TVs (75 inches and above) surged by 79% year-on-year, with revenue increasing by 59% [9][34]. 2.2. Tariff Conflicts in the North American Market - The North American market accounts for approximately 17% of the global market share. The lack of domestic panel production in the U.S. means that black electrical appliance production relies entirely on imports. Tariff increases could lead to higher retail prices, potentially suppressing end demand, but the impact on leading companies is limited due to similar cost pressures across all brands [20][34]. 3. Resolution of Tariff Negotiations in Vietnam 3.1. Vietnam as a Key Production Base for Exports to the U.S. - The recent tariff negotiations with Vietnam, which began in April 2025 and concluded in July, have resulted in a significant reduction in tariffs, alleviating previous uncertainties. The agreement allows for a 20% export tariff and a 40% transshipment tariff, a notable improvement from earlier expectations of over 46% [30][34]. 3.2. Long-term Advantages of Globally Positioned Leading Brands - While uncertainties from tariffs have decreased, the long-term risk of fluctuating U.S. tariff policies remains. Brands with global production layouts are better positioned to navigate these challenges through flexible supply chain adjustments, enhancing their competitive edge [32][34]. 4. Investment Recommendations - The black electrical appliances industry is positioned for growth due to demand recovery and technological upgrades. The report recommends investing in leading companies with established overseas layouts and ample production capacity, specifically highlighting TCL Electronics (2025 PE: 12.0X) and Hisense (12.1X) as key investment opportunities [34][35].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a rating of "Accumulate" for the company [11][18]. Core Views - The company has slightly exceeded performance expectations for the first half of 2025, with a gradual recovery in the pharmaceutical and medical sectors, and steady growth in traditional testing services. Additionally, the company plans to acquire South Africa's Safety SA, accelerating its internationalization strategy [3][11]. Financial Summary - Total revenue is projected to grow from 5,605 million in 2023 to 7,501 million in 2027, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 7.7% [5]. - Net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to increase from 910 million in 2023 to 1,310 million in 2027, with a notable growth rate of 15.7% in 2025 [5]. - Earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to rise from 0.54 in 2023 to 0.78 in 2027 [5]. Market Data - The company's market capitalization is approximately 20,295 million, with a current share price of 12.06 [6][11]. - The stock has traded within a range of 10.24 to 16.64 over the past 52 weeks [6]. Strategic Developments - The company is actively pursuing an international strategy, with the planned acquisition of Safety SA expected to enhance its service capabilities in South Africa and the broader African market [11]. - Previous acquisitions include German and Greek testing institutions, indicating a consistent approach to expanding its global footprint [11]. Performance Metrics - The company’s return on equity (ROE) is projected to remain stable around 13.3% to 14.7% from 2023 to 2027 [5][12]. - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is expected to decrease from 22.30 in 2023 to 15.49 in 2027, indicating potential value appreciation [5][12].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Accumulate" with a target price of 43.59 CNY [6][12]. Core Insights - The company has won a 6.126 billion CNY natural gas booster station project from Algeria's national oil company, which is expected to enhance its operational performance and accelerate overseas expansion in key regions such as the Middle East and Africa [2][12]. - The project signifies a strategic expansion in North Africa, reinforcing the company's brand influence in the integrated development and construction services market for onshore oil and gas fields [12]. - The report anticipates a shift in the company's core business drivers from oil capital expenditure to gas capital expenditure, with significant contributions expected from important markets in the Middle East and Africa [12]. Financial Summary - Total revenue is projected to grow from 13,912 million CNY in 2023 to 22,149 million CNY by 2027, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 17.2% [4][13]. - Net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to increase from 2,454 million CNY in 2023 to 4,290 million CNY in 2027, with a CAGR of about 19.3% [4][13]. - Earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to rise from 2.40 CNY in 2023 to 4.19 CNY in 2027 [4][12]. Market Data - The company's market capitalization is approximately 35,927 million CNY, with a current share price of 35.09 CNY [7]. - The stock has traded within a range of 25.50 CNY to 41.65 CNY over the past 52 weeks [7]. - The price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio is projected to decrease from 14.64 in 2023 to 8.38 by 2027, indicating potential undervaluation [4][12].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with an updated target price of 182.91 CNY [9][18]. Core Insights - The company is experiencing significant revenue growth in H1 2025, driven by the strong performance of its flagship chips and comprehensive growth across all AIoT product lines [2][9]. - The company is one of the leading domestic AIoT chip manufacturers, continuously expanding its product portfolio [9]. - The projected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025, 2026, and 2027 have been revised upwards to 2.73 CNY, 3.67 CNY, and 4.72 CNY respectively, reflecting a strong growth outlook [9]. Financial Summary - Revenue for 2023 is projected at 2,135 million CNY, with a year-on-year growth of 5.2%. By 2027, revenue is expected to reach 6,805 million CNY, representing a growth rate of 20.0% [8]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company is forecasted to be 135 million CNY in 2023, with a significant increase to 1,986 million CNY by 2027, indicating a growth of 28.8% [8]. - The company’s net asset return (ROE) is expected to improve from 4.4% in 2023 to 31.3% in 2027 [8]. Market Performance - The company's stock price has fluctuated between 49.38 CNY and 193.19 CNY over the past 52 weeks, with a current price of 148.30 CNY [3][9]. - The total market capitalization stands at 62,387 million CNY [3]. - The company has shown a 142% absolute increase in stock price over the past 12 months [7].

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly state an investment rating for the industry Core Insights - The policy direction focuses on "ensuring basic needs and strengthening innovation," aiming to enhance accessibility and affordability of medical products and services while promoting innovation across the pharmaceutical industry [4][7] - The support for innovative drugs continues to increase, with measures to enhance their quality development and integration into insurance systems [12][13] - The report highlights the ongoing collection and procurement processes for various drug categories, including generic drugs, traditional Chinese medicine, and high-value consumables, indicating a trend towards optimization and expansion [21][24][31] Summary by Sections 1. Top-Level Design Direction - The central government has issued guidelines to enhance social security and improve public services, particularly in the healthcare sector, emphasizing the need for equitable access to medical resources [7][8] 2. Support for Innovative Drugs - The National Healthcare Security Administration (NHSA) and the National Health Commission have released measures to support the high-quality development of innovative drugs, including multi-channel payment systems and international promotion [12][13] - The introduction of a separate payment mechanism for long-term and high-cost drugs is being implemented in various provinces, enhancing accessibility for patients [14][16] 3. Generic Drugs - The report anticipates optimization of the rules for the 11th batch of drug procurement, which is expected to take place in 2025, focusing on quality and price adjustments [21][23] 4. Traditional Chinese Medicine - The procurement rules for traditional Chinese medicine are becoming clearer, with expectations for quality improvements and market expansion [24][26] 5. High-Value Consumables - The report notes that most high-value consumable procurement has been completed, with ongoing attention to key product renewals and the expansion of procurement coverage [31][32] 6. In Vitro Diagnostics (IVD) - The report discusses the dual approach of alliance procurement and service price governance, indicating a comprehensive strategy to enhance the IVD sector [35][38] 7. Industry Regulation - Regulatory measures are being strengthened to guide high-quality development in the healthcare sector, including ongoing efforts to combat corruption and ensure compliance among medical institutions and retail pharmacies [8][9] 8. Real-Time Medical Insurance Settlement - The NHSA plans to implement real-time settlement of basic medical insurance funds by the second half of 2025, which is expected to alleviate cash flow pressures for medical institutions [9][10]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the industry is "Increase" which indicates a relative increase of more than 15% compared to the CSI 300 index [28] Core Insights - The Central Financial Committee's sixth meeting emphasized the high-quality development of the marine economy and the exploration of marine carbon sink accounting [8] - The first international standard for algal carbon footprint has been officially released, marking a breakthrough in carbon footprint standards [8] - The national carbon market is expanding beyond the power sector, increasing the demand for CCER (Voluntary Carbon Emission Reduction) [9] - New methodologies for CCER are expected to accelerate expansion, including projects related to low-concentration gas utilization in coal mines and energy-saving in highway tunnel lighting [10] Summary by Sections Weekly Investment Perspective - The meeting highlighted the need for top-level design in marine economic development and encouraged social capital participation [8] - The national carbon market will include cement, steel, and electrolytic aluminum industries, with a target to cover 7.5 billion tons of greenhouse gas emissions by 2027 [9] Environmental Sector Performance - The environmental sector saw a weekly increase of 0.81%, with notable stock performances including Xuedilong (+31.74%) and Sandetech (+26.25%) [13][16] - The weekly trading volume for national carbon market emissions was 2.47 million tons, with an average price of 72.64 yuan/ton, reflecting a 62% decrease from the previous week [14] Carbon Neutrality Tracking - The CCER trading volume reached 103,000 tons with an average price of 87.04 yuan/ton [14] - The Shanghai pilot carbon market achieved 100% compliance for twelve consecutive years, with a significant increase in green electricity consumption [18] Investment Recommendations - Recommendations include leading waste incineration companies such as Sanfeng Environment and Huanlan Environment, as well as companies in the recycling sector like Zhuoyue New Energy and Sanlian Hongpu [11]