Investment Rating - The industry rating for electrical equipment is maintained as "Overweight" [8] Core Insights - The new standard for electric meters has led to a price rebound, with expected price increases of over 20% in the upcoming bidding rounds, indicating a recovery in profitability for the industry [2][5] - The introduction of the new standard and the demand for supplementary bidding in 2026 are expected to result in high overall demand for electric meters, benefiting leading companies with technological advantages [4][5] Summary by Sections Price Trends - The bidding prices for electric meters in the third batch of 2025 saw significant increases, with A, B, C, D, and high-end smart meters rising by 55%, 46%, 37%, 111%, and 53% respectively compared to the second batch [2] - The new bidding process has set clear price limits for various types of electric meters, with expected price increases of over 20% compared to the previous batch [2][3] Demand Outlook - The total bidding volume for electric meters in 2025 was 66.47 million units, with a low actual bidding volume of 49.52 million units, indicating strong replenishment demand for 2026 [4] - The historical trend shows that new standards typically lead to increased demand in subsequent bidding rounds, suggesting a potential for rapid growth in 2026 [4] Company Recommendations - Companies recommended for investment include Samsung Medical, Oriental Electronics, and Juhua Technology, which are expected to gain higher market shares due to their technological advantages in the early stages of the new standard implementation [5][11]

证券研究报告 金融 交投回落，战略加配优质金融 华泰研究 2026 年 2 月 08 日│中国内地 行业周报（第六周） 投资机会方面证券>保险>银行。市场波动加大，上周 A 股日均成交额 2.4 万亿元，周环比-21%；融资余额连续 6 个交易日下滑。央行等八部门发布 《关于进一步防范和处置虚拟货币等相关风险的通知》，禁止在境内开展现 实世界资产代币化活动，并严格监管境内主体赴境外开展相关业务活动。年 初至今保险板块中的弹性组合表现优于稳健组合，显示市场在交易保险股的 β属性。央行信贷市场工作会议提出要落实好结构性货币政策工具增量政 策，加强与财政政策协同。齐鲁银行披露业绩快报，营收增速较前三季度提 升，利润保持同比高增，资产质量持续优化。 子行业观点 1）证券：上周 A 股日均成交额 2.4 万亿元，周环比-21%；融资余额连续 6 个交易日下滑。前期涨幅较高的资产明显回落，市场风格切换，看好券商板 块高性价比机会。2）保险：在市场波动率加大的背景下，投资者可能需要 降低风险偏好，关注稳健标的。3）银行：央行信贷市场工作会议提出要落 实好结构性货币政策工具增量政策，加强与财政政策协同。齐鲁银行披露业 绩快报 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the construction and building materials sector, with specific recommendations for several companies [9][12]. Core Insights - The report highlights the recent price increases in electronic fabrics, indicating a positive trend in both emerging technologies and traditional cyclical investments. The price of 7628 electronic fabric increased by over 0.5 yuan/meter, exceeding market expectations, which reflects a broader trend of high-end electronic fabric demand trickling down to standard electronic fabrics [1][12]. - The report emphasizes the importance of effective investment in stabilizing economic growth, as reiterated in the recent State Council meeting, which is expected to boost construction activity in Q1 2026 [1][14]. - The report suggests a balanced investment approach between emerging industries and traditional cyclical sectors, recommending companies such as Yaxiang Integration, Jinggong Steel Structure, and China Construction International [1][12]. Summary by Sections Industry Overview - The report notes that the price of ordinary electronic yarn and fabric has increased significantly, with G75 electronic yarn prices rising by 10.5% and 7628 electronic fabric prices by 11.9% week-on-week [2][19]. - The domestic cement price decreased by 0.9% week-on-week, with a notable drop in the cement shipment rate [2][26]. Key Companies and Dynamics - China National Building Material has issued a profit warning, expecting a loss of approximately 2.3 billion to 4 billion yuan for 2025, a significant shift from a profit of 2.387 billion yuan in 2024 [3]. - The report recommends several companies for investment, including Yaxiang Integration (603929 CH), China Construction International (3311 HK), and Sichuan Road and Bridge (600039 CH), all rated as "Buy" with target prices set above current market levels [9][37]. Market Trends - The report indicates that the construction materials sector is experiencing a cyclical recovery, with price increases in various segments such as waterproofing and engineering materials, driven by government policies aimed at boosting infrastructure investment [1][15]. - The report also highlights the ongoing demand for high-end materials in commercial aerospace, including high-temperature fiber materials and perovskite materials for solar wings [1][12].

证券研究报告 能源/基础材料 美印协议下国内炼厂成本优势或凸显 华泰研究 2026 年 2 月 09 日│中国内地 动态点评 当地时间 2 月 2 日，美国总统特朗普表示美印已达成贸易协议，将美国对印 度商品的关税从 50%削减至 18%，同时印度将停止购买俄罗斯石油并转而 从美国等购买石油。由于欧盟针对俄罗斯的第 18 轮制裁包括从 26 年初起 禁止进口由俄油加工得到的产品，印度自 25 年 11 月起已逐步减少俄罗斯 石油进口量，导致俄油折价水平显著扩大，1 月末 ESPO 较 Brent 折价较 25 年 10 月末已显著提升超 10 美元/桶至 17.15 美元/桶。我们认为美印"石 油换关税"协议达成或将导致印度俄油进口量进一步下滑，俄油折价水平或 将维持高位，叠加人民币升值潜力，均有望带动我国炼厂原油采购成本优势 进一步凸显。 欧盟制裁叠加美印"石油换关税"协议，俄油折价水平显著提升 据海关总署，2025 年我国原油进口量同比增长 4.6%至 5.8 亿吨，自俄罗斯 /沙特/伊拉克/马来西亚/巴西进口量占比分别为 17%/14%/11%/11%/8%，其 中 25 年 12 月我国原油进口量/俄 ...

2026 年 2 月 08 日│美国 互联网 亚马逊 4Q 业绩：收入同增 13.6%至 2134 亿美元，超 VA 一致预期 1%（下 同）。北美、国际、AWS 营收分别同增 10%、17%、24%，对应经营利润 率同比+1/-1/-1.9pct。4Q 经营利润剔除非经常损益后 274 亿美元（超预期 4%），净利润同增 6%至 212 亿美元。4Q 资本开支达到 385 亿美元，超预 期 12%。尽管 4Q 云增速和行业差距扩大（对比谷歌云、微软智能云 +48/29%yoy），我们认为应更多关注中长期催化：①Anthropic 已开始使用 Rainier 进行模型训练，叠加近期 AWS EC2 上调价格，强劲需求有望支撑 AWS 在 26 年加速增长；②亚马逊正与 OpenAI 洽谈至多 500 亿美元的潜 在投资，后续有望引入 OpenAI 定制化模型至其 AI 产品（例如智能语音助 手 Alexa）；③Agentic 购物渗透有望加速，公司亦计划引入更多三方智能 助手；近期 Cowork 及集成 Gemini 的 Chrome 已对用户渗透形成推动。维 持"增持"评级。 26 年 Capex 指引同比 ...

Investment Rating - The report indicates a positive investment sentiment towards the technology sector ETFs, highlighting a "contrarian" inflow of funds despite a downturn in the underlying stock prices [1][6]. Core Insights - The technology sector ETFs in Hong Kong experienced a net inflow of 173.59 billion, with specific inflows of 112.76 billion for the Hang Seng Technology Index ETFs and 28.12 billion for the Hang Seng Internet Technology Index ETFs, both exceeding 5% of their respective total ETF sizes [1][6]. - Historical data suggests that when the Hang Seng Technology Index and the Hang Seng Internet Technology Index see a weekly decline of over 5% alongside a net inflow of over 500 million, there is a high probability of a rebound in short-term returns [9][11]. - The Hang Seng Internet Technology Index, which includes only internet-related companies, shows a sharper focus in the technology sub-sector, making it a potential area for continued investor interest [6][12]. Summary by Sections ETF Fund Flows - The technology sector led the net inflows among various ETF categories, with significant contributions from medical, financial, consumer, and high-end manufacturing sectors [2][15]. - The total net inflow for the technology sector ETFs was 173.59 billion, while other sectors saw lower inflows, indicating a strong preference for technology investments during the reporting period [15]. ETF Trading Activity - The top five ETFs by trading volume included those tracking the Hang Seng Technology and Internet Technology indices, with trading volumes of 989.65 billion and 234.63 billion respectively [3][16]. - The report highlights that the trading activity in these ETFs reflects investor confidence despite the overall market downturn [3][19]. ETF Issuance - In the past two weeks, three new Hong Kong ETFs were established, focusing on diverse themes including biotechnology, dividends, and technology, with a total fundraising of 20.79 billion [4][21]. - The report notes the increasing variety in ETF offerings, which may cater to different investor interests and market conditions [4][22]. ETF Financing - The report indicates that the Huatai Baichuan Hang Seng Technology ETF had a financing buy-in amount exceeding 50 billion, showcasing strong investor engagement [2][20]. - Other ETFs, such as the E Fund Hang Seng Technology ETF and the Huaxia Hang Seng Internet Technology ETF, also reported significant financing activities, indicating robust market participation [20][19].

证券研究报告 宏观 春运出行较为活跃 2026 年 2 月 08 日│中国内地 国内周报 一周概览 农历春节对齐后的高频数据显示，春运前五天人员流动量同比景气度较高， 节前工业生产活动同比有所降温，新房和二手房成交同比亦有所回落；港口 高频指标显示 1 月出口或保持较高景气度。上周人民币兑美元汇率升值、国 债收益率趋平，银行间流动性整体偏松；本周重点关注 1 月通胀数据和货币 信贷"开门红"成色。 高频经济活动跟踪 居民出行景气度小幅回落，工业生产与建筑开工和地产成交同比仍偏弱。出 行及消费方面，春运前 5 天（2 月 2-6 日）全社会跨区域人员流动量累计同 比增长 1.9%，其中公路/水路/民航发送旅客数量同比增长 2%/19.8%/5.8%， 而铁路发送客运量同比回落 0.7%；飞猪数据显示，截至 2 月 5 日，春节假 期高星级酒店预订量同比增长近 70%。节前工业生产趋于平淡，焦化/沥青/ 半钢胎企业开工率同比下行 2.6/4.8/6.1 个百分点；建筑开工需求偏弱，建 筑钢材成交量同比降幅走阔至 47.4%，而偏低基数下水泥开工/发运率同比 上行 5.1/1.8 个百分点。出口及物流方面，出口高频 ...

证券研究报告 +(86) 10 6321 1166 张皓怡* 研究员 SAC No. S0570522020001 zhanghaoyi@htsc.com 寒武纪 (688256 CH) 新品进展顺利，上调 27 年预测 目标价(人民币): 1,679.40 郭龙飞* 研究员 SAC No. S0570525080001 guolongfei@htsc.com 林文富* 研究员 SAC No. S0570525100003 linwenfu@htsc.com 王心怡 研究员 SAC No. S0570523110001 SFC No. BTB527 xinyi.wang@htsc.com +(86) 21 2897 2228 基本数据 | 收盘价 (人民币 截至 2 月 6 日) | 1,037 | | --- | --- | | 市值 (人民币百万) | 437,283 | | 6 个月平均日成交额 (人民币百万) | 12,998 | | 52 周价格范围 (人民币) | 523.50-1,587.91 | 股价走势图 (13) 32 77 121 166 Feb-25 Jun-25 Oct-25 Feb ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for Amazon with a target price of $260 [6]. Core Insights - Amazon's Q4 revenue increased by 13.6% year-over-year to $213.4 billion, exceeding consensus expectations by 1% [1]. - The company reported a Q4 operating profit of $27.4 billion, which was 4% above expectations, and a net profit increase of 6% to $21.2 billion [1]. - Capital expenditures for Q4 reached $38.5 billion, surpassing expectations by 12% [1]. - Concerns arose regarding cash flow and high valuation due to a significant increase in 2026 Capex guidance to $200 billion, compared to the expected $147.5 billion [2]. - AWS revenue growth was 24% year-over-year, although it lagged behind competitors like Google Cloud and Microsoft Azure [3]. - The company is focusing on high-end organic grocery products through its Whole Foods brand, with plans to open over 100 new stores in the coming years [4]. - Adjustments to revenue and net profit forecasts for 2026 and 2027 were made, reflecting a slowdown in AWS growth and increased capital expenditures [5]. Financial Performance - Q4 operating margin was reported at 11.3%, with a net margin of 10.7% [18]. - The company expects Q1 2026 revenue to be between $137.5 billion and $178.5 billion, aligning with expectations [2]. - The annualized revenue for AWS is projected to exceed $100 billion, with significant contributions from self-developed chips like Trainium and Graviton [3]. - The report anticipates a decrease in net profit margins due to increased capital expenditures and depreciation [5]. Business Segments - North American e-commerce revenue grew by 10%, while international e-commerce revenue increased by 17% [4]. - The grocery business is transitioning to focus on high-end organic products, with a total annual sales exceeding $150 billion [4]. - The AI shopping assistant Rufus has expanded its user base to over 300 million, significantly increasing transaction probabilities for users [15]. Future Outlook - The report projects Amazon's revenue for 2026 to be $806 billion, with net profit expected to reach $84 billion [8]. - The company is investing heavily in its Leo project, which aims to provide low-orbit satellite internet services, enhancing its cloud offerings [15]. - AWS is expected to enter a new pricing cycle, with recent price increases for EC2 instances indicating strong demand for cloud services [10].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [1] Core Views - The company's performance is rapidly recovering due to growth in storage orders, with a target price raised to JPY 52,000 from JPY 44,000 [5][8] - The company has adjusted its revenue and net profit guidance upwards for the fiscal year, indicating confidence in future performance [6] - The report highlights a significant increase in DRAM revenue share, reflecting a strong demand for HBM-related equipment [6] Financial Performance - For FY2026, the company expects revenue of JPY 2,410 billion, a slight decrease of 0.9% year-on-year, with a net profit of JPY 550 billion, an increase of 1.1% year-on-year [6][10] - The company anticipates a revenue increase of 15% to 20% in the WFE market for CY2026, driven by demand for advanced packaging and 2nm production [7] - The report projects double-digit growth in Logic and DRAM-related revenues for FY27 and FY28 [8] Business Segmentation - The revenue breakdown shows a decrease in logic foundry revenue share from 59% to 56%, while DRAM's share increased from 27% to 36% [6] - The company has achieved significant coverage in the HBM-related bonding and etching equipment sectors, validating the logic of the storage boom cycle [6] Market Trends - The report indicates that the global WFE market is expected to grow by over 15% in CY2026, with DRAM and logic foundry sectors driving this growth [7] - The company is well-positioned to benefit from the increasing demand for AI chips and advanced packaging technologies [7] Valuation Metrics - The report provides updated valuation metrics, with a projected PE ratio of 39.1x for FY27, reflecting the company's strong market position and growth potential [8][23]