证券研究报告|公司点评报告 [Table_Date] 2026 年 01 月 28 日 [Table_Title] 全球首个原生 AI 平台，开启全新产品周期 [Table_Title2] 长城汽车(601633) [Table_Summary] 事件概述 根据官方微博，1 月 16 日，长城汽车发布全球首个原生 AI 全 动力汽车平台——归元平台。该平台以"活字印刷术"智慧为 设计灵感，构建"可拆、可配、可进化"的底层架构，是行业 内唯一兼容 FCEV 氢燃料、ICE 高效燃油、BEV 纯电、HEV 油电 混动、PHEV 插电混动五种动力形式的全动力平台，可实现"一 车多动力、一车多品类"的灵活适配。 ► 基于归元平台将推出超级 Hi4 插混平台，纯电续航高达 363 公里 超级 Hi4 平台将配备市面上罕见的 4 挡混动专用变速箱，支持 2.0T 专用发动机和高能量密度电池包、270kW 的后桥电机。系 统应用 800V 高压电气架构、2.0T 高效混动专用发动机、4 挡混 动专用变速箱、270kW 碳化硅后桥、以及大容量、高能量密度的 电池包，结合全场景智能油电协同策略，以平台 D 级 SUV 为例： ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [1] Core Insights - The company reported FY26Q2 net revenue of $119.1 million, a year-on-year increase of 14.7%, with net profit attributable to shareholders at $4.55 million, up 42.3%, and Non-GAAP net profit at $7.29 million, reflecting a 68.6% increase [2] - The revenue exceeded expectations primarily due to the recovery in new education business and the revival of Dongfang Zhenxuan, with profit growth outpacing revenue growth due to a 1.2 percentage point increase in gross margin and a 2.6 percentage point decrease in sales expense ratio [2] - The company has successfully advanced its shareholder return plan, having fully paid the first cash dividend of $0.06 per ordinary share and initiated a $300 million share buyback plan, repurchasing approximately 1.6 million ADS for a total consideration of about $86.3 million as of January 27, 2026 [2] Summary by Relevant Sections Business Performance - Non-academic business showed a recovery with a 6.4% increase in enrollment and a 10.2% rise in deferred revenue in the first half of the year. The new education business grew by 21.6% year-on-year in FY26Q2, significantly up from 15.3% in FY26Q1, driven by a focus on core education services and improved teaching quality [3] - The deferred revenue balance reached $2.162 billion, a 10.2% year-on-year increase, slightly up from 10.0% in FY26Q1 [3] Profitability Metrics - The company's gross margin and net profit margin for FY26Q2 were 53.3% and 3.8%, respectively, reflecting year-on-year increases of 1.2 and 0.7 percentage points. The sales and management expense ratios decreased by 2.6 and 0.1 percentage points, respectively [4] Financial Guidance - The company provided FY26Q3 guidance for revenue growth of 11-14% in USD terms, with an annual revenue growth forecast of 5%-10% for FY26. New business is expected to grow by 20%-25%, while high school business is projected to grow by 13% [5] - Long-term, the company is positioned as a rare national leader with stable core education revenue, focusing on cost reduction and efficiency improvements, which are expected to enhance profit margins [5] - The company maintains its revenue forecasts for FY26-28 at $5.297 billion, $5.778 billion, and $6.296 billion, respectively, and net profit forecasts at $458 million, $526 million, and $577 million, respectively, corresponding to EPS of $0.28, $0.32, and $0.35 [5]

证券研究报告|港股公司点评报告 出国教育业务增速分化，核心板块展现增长韧性。1）FY26Q2 海外考试准备和出国咨询业务同比变化分别为 +4.1%/-3.0%（FY26Q1 为 1.0%及 2.0%）。2）大学生及成人考试业务同比增长 12.8%（FY26Q1 为 14.4%）。 FY2026Q2 归母净利率提升幅度低于毛利率，主要由于其他收入占比下降、公允价值变动收益转负，部分抵 消 了 费 用率优化的正向影响。（1）FY2026Q2 公司毛利率/归母净利率分别为 53.3%/3.8%，同比提升 1.2/0.7PCT。（2）从费用率来看，FY2026Q2 销售/管理费用率分别为 16.3%/31.4%，同比下降 2.6/0.1PCT；公允 价值变动收益占比下降 0.4PCT（由正转负）；其他收入占比下降 1.1PCT；所得税拨备占比增加 0.6PCT。 [Table_Date] 2026 年 01 月 29 日 [Table_Title] Q2 业绩超预期，教育业务稳健增长 [Table_Title2] 新东方-S(9901.HK) | [Table_DataInfo] 评级： | 买入 | 股票代码： | ...

Group 1: Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the content Group 2: Report's Core View - The report analyzes the scale increment, yield performance, and credit - bond allocation changes of amortized bond funds in Q4 2025 and forecasts the 2026 opening scale [2][11] - In Q4 2025, the scale of amortized bond funds increased steadily, but they faced yield - decline pressure. The credit - bond allocation intensity slowed down [3][4] - In 2026, the opening scale of amortized bond funds is expected to reach nearly 650 billion yuan, and credit bonds remain an important allocation option [6] Group 3: Summary by Relevant Catalogs 1. Q4 Amortized Bond Fund Scale Growth - In Q4 2025, the scale of amortized bond funds increased by 37.4 billion yuan, reaching about 1.52 trillion yuan. The increment mainly came from the small - scale expansion of some products that did not reach the scale limit after opening for redemption [3][15] - Affected by the interest - rate decline, the amortized bond funds opened in 2025 faced yield - decline pressure. The median of the Q4 2025 fund net - value growth rate of products opened in the first three quarters showed a quarterly decreasing trend [3][19] 2. Q4 Open Amortized Bond Funds' Credit - Bond Allocation Intensity Slowed Down - In Q4 2025, open amortized bond funds continued to increase credit - bond allocation, with the credit - bond holding scale and proportion rising. The credit - bond holding value reached 446 billion yuan, an increase of 153.3 billion yuan from the end of Q3, and the proportion in the total bond holding value increased from 15% to 22.3% [3][22] - Compared with the first three quarters, the credit - bond allocation intensity of Q4 open products slowed down. For products opened for the first time in Q4, the credit - bond holding proportion dropped to 45%. The possible reasons are the reduced cost - effectiveness of credit bonds and their disadvantages in actual construction and pledge financing [4][27] - Among the 4 products opened for the second time in Q4, 3 had a small - scale increase. Although they still focused on credit - bond holdings, the credit - bond holding proportion decreased slightly, and the allocation focus shifted to inter - bank certificates of deposit and financial bonds [4][32] - One 24 - month - closed - period product restarted operation in Q4, but its Q4 holding data was not disclosed. Another 12 - month - closed - period product entered the suspension - operation state after opening for redemption in December 2025 [5][33] 3. 2026 Amortized Bond Fund Opening Scale Nearly 650 Billion Yuan - The top - five held credit bonds of Q4 open products preferred medium - to high - rated varieties. The proportion of implicit ratings of AA+ and above increased compared with products opened in the first three quarters [36] - In 2026, the opening scale of amortized bond funds is expected to be about 645.1 billion yuan. The opening scale and product closed - period vary significantly in different periods [6][40]

证券研究报告|宏观点评报告 [Table_Date] 2026 年 01 月 29 日 [Table_Title] 美联储按下暂停，鲍威尔未"抗争" 1 月 29 日，美联储暂停降息，维持 3.5-3.75%。沃勒和米兰持异议，支持降息 25bp。资产表现方面，美 元、美债利率冲高回落，黄金先小幅回调再冲高，美股波动不大。 第一，美联储声明对经济和劳动力市场转向略偏乐观。1 月会议声明指出，经济活动"稳步"扩张 （solid），而 12 月会议声明的对应表述为"温和"（moderate）。声明指出"就业增长保持低位，失业率出现一 些企稳迹象"，而且删除了 12 月会议中关于就业下行风险的表述。表述略偏乐观，但未明显超出预期。北京时间 3：00 声明发布后，2 年期美债收益率小幅上行接近 1bp，美元指数上涨 0.18%，市场反应不大。 第二，鲍威尔讲话整体中性，并未进一步抗争。从市场反应来看，3：30 新闻发布会开始后，2 年和 10 年 美债利率一度下行 2bp 左右，美元指数下跌 0.3%，黄金冲高上涨接近 0.9%，标普涨约 0.2%。鲍威尔的讲话整 体偏中性，但打消了市场对于司法部调查引发鲍威尔更趋鹰 ...

Group 1 - The report indicates that the stock market is experiencing a differentiated trend, with the Shanghai Composite Index slightly loosening its "4140 constraint," rising by 0.27% to 4151 points, while the ChiNext and small-cap stocks have seen a pullback after leading the market previously [1] - The overall market remains in a fluctuating framework, with short-term upward pressure on indices, while the mid-cap indices are more favorable for participation [2] - The non-ferrous metals sector has reached a historical high in terms of crowding, with significant increases in various metal indices, indicating strong performance driven by impressive earnings and rising commodity prices [2] Group 2 - The technology sector is expected to see a rotation, potentially moving towards upstream areas such as PCB materials and semiconductor equipment, following a strong performance in 2025 [3] - The report highlights a narrative around cloud service price increases, with major companies like Google and Amazon announcing significant price hikes, which could benefit cloud service providers and related sectors [3] - The Hong Kong stock market shows a continued trend of dividend recovery, with indices reflecting strong performance, particularly in technology and innovative pharmaceuticals [3] Group 3 - The central bank maintains a net injection of liquidity despite the pressure of large reverse repos maturing, indicating a supportive stance for the market [4] - The report discusses potential new monetary policy tools that may be introduced by the central bank, which could enhance liquidity management and support market expectations [5][6] - The bond market is expected to remain in a range-bound state, with short-term rates stable and long-term rates fluctuating within a defined range [6] Group 4 - The commodity market is seeing a resurgence in bullish sentiment, particularly in precious metals and non-ferrous sectors, with significant inflows of capital into these areas [7] - Gold prices are reaching new highs driven by a combination of dollar credit reassessment and geopolitical risks, indicating strong demand for safe-haven assets [8] - The aluminum market is experiencing a rally as funds shift towards assets with financial attributes, reflecting a broader trend of capital moving away from overvalued sectors [9]

Performance Overview - In Q4 2025, convertible bond funds achieved a median return of 1.09%, outperforming first-level bond funds (0.6%), second-level bond funds (0.44%), and mixed bond funds (0.31%) [1] - For the entire year of 2025, the median return for convertible bond funds was 22.43%, significantly higher than first-level bond funds (2.06%), second-level bond funds (4.66%), and mixed bond funds (5.49%) [1] Fund Scale and Demand - In Q4 2025, the scale of second-level bond funds increased by 2506 billion CNY to reach 15535 billion CNY, while first-level bond funds and mixed bond funds saw decreases of 142.5 billion CNY and 7 billion CNY, respectively [1] - The net subscription for second-level bond funds in Q4 2025 was 2344 billion units, while first-level bond funds faced a net redemption of 186 billion units [19] Convertible Bond Holdings - In Q4 2025, the convertible bond holdings of first-level bond funds increased by 0.32 percentage points to 7.97%, while second-level bond funds and mixed bond funds saw declines of 1.07 and 0.88 percentage points, respectively [33] - Public funds focused on increasing holdings in bank bonds, as well as in sectors like new energy, cyclical stocks, and military-related bonds [40] Investment Strategy Insights - The demand for fixed-income plus funds is robust, with second-level bond funds becoming the primary vehicle for this demand, while first-level bond and convertible bond fund scales have marginally declined [3] - Institutions with equity allocation permissions are shifting their demand from first-level bond funds to second-level bond and mixed bond products due to the high valuation of convertible bonds [3]

[Table_Title2] 妙可蓝多(600882) | [Table_DataInfo] 评级： | 买入 | 股票代码： | 600882 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 上次评级： | 买入 | 52 周最高价/最低价（元)： | 32.46/17.62 | | 目标价格（元）： | | 总市值(亿元) | 116.19 | | 最新收盘价（元）： | 22.78 | 自由流通市值(亿元) | 116.19 | | | | 自由流通股数(百万) | 510.05 | [Table_Summary] 事件概述 2025 年 12 月末至今，公司发布一系列公告：12 月 27 日关于参股并购基金进展及相关风险的提示性公 告，12 月 30 日关于控股股东增持公司股份及后续增持计划的公告，1 月 26 日关于副董事长、总经理、行政总 经理离任暨聘任总经理以及变更法定代表人的公告等。 证券研究报告|公司点评报告 [Table_Date] 2026 年 01 月 27 日 [Table_Title] 利空落地，专注经营进入新征程 分析判断: ► 参股并购基金相关风险影响确认 2025 ...

Investment Rating - The report initiates coverage with a "Buy" rating for the company [6] Core Insights - The company is positioned to benefit from the trend of returning to hometowns and diversification in public examination training, launching a new class type that breaks exam boundaries based on subject types. The company is expected to achieve significant growth in the number of training centers and profitability over the next three years [1][3] - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are estimated at 3.31 billion, 3.94 billion, and 4.68 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding net profits of 324 million, 400 million, and 596 million yuan, indicating substantial growth rates [1][5] Summary by Sections Company Overview - The company is a leading player in China's public examination training sector, with over 330,000 students trained and more than 1,000 learning centers as of December 31, 2024. The education business has been continuously injected into the company since 2023 [2][12] - The company has undergone significant changes in ownership and structure, with a complete injection of its education business expected in 2024 [12][36] Industry Analysis - The public examination training market is projected to reach approximately 500 billion yuan by 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 1.54% from 2025 to 2027. The company is expected to capture a significant share of this market [3][44] - Despite a decline in recruitment numbers for national examinations in 2026, the overall trend in registration numbers remains stable, with a 12% increase in national examination registrations in 2026 [3][47] Competitive Landscape - The company possesses strong research and development capabilities, a high-quality teaching staff, and a solid reputation for high pass rates, which contribute to its competitive advantage in the market [4][44] - The company has successfully integrated AI technology into its teaching methods, enhancing the effectiveness of its instructors [4] Growth Drivers - The introduction of new class types and the expansion of training centers are expected to drive revenue growth and improve profit margins over the coming years [1][4] - The company anticipates reaching over 320 training centers by the first quarter of 2026, with projected profits of around 1 billion yuan [1] Financial Projections - The company forecasts significant revenue growth, with total revenues expected to increase from 3.31 billion yuan in 2025 to 4.68 billion yuan in 2027, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 17%, 19%, and 19% [1][5] - The earnings per share (EPS) is projected to rise from 1.65 yuan in 2025 to 3.03 yuan in 2027, indicating strong profitability potential [1][5]

证券研究报告|公司点评报告 [Table_Date] 2026 年 01 月 27 日 [Table_Title] 利空落地，专注经营进入新征程 [Table_Title2] 妙可蓝多(600882) | [Table_DataInfo] 评级： | 买入 | 股票代码： | 600882 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 上次评级： | 买入 | 52 周最高价/最低价（元)： | 32.46/17.62 | | 目标价格（元）： | | 总市值(亿元) | 116.19 | | 最新收盘价（元）： | 22.78 | 自由流通市值(亿元) | 116.19 | | | | 自由流通股数(百万) | 510.05 | [Table_Summary] 事件概述 2025 年 12 月末至今，公司发布一系列公告：12 月 27 日关于参股并购基金进展及相关风险的提示性公 告，12 月 30 日关于控股股东增持公司股份及后续增持计划的公告，1 月 26 日关于副董事长、总经理、行政总 经理离任暨聘任总经理以及变更法定代表人的公告等。 分析判断: ► 参股并购基金相关风险影响确认 2025 ...